Market Report

Page 1

Q1-2020

Report

Boca Raton Sales

Boca Raton Condo Matrix

Q1-2020

%Δ (QTR)

Q4-2019

%Δ (YR)

Q1-2019

Average Sales Price

$384,369

17.6%

$326,828

7.7%

$356,731

Average Price Per Sq Ft

Condo

Dashboard YEAR-OVER-YEAR

+ 10.3%

Prices Median Sales Price

+ 10.2%

Sales Closed Sales

- 13.0%

Inventory Total Inventory

- 1 day

Marketing Time Days On Market

Single Family Dashboard YEAR-OVER-YEAR

+ 9.4%

Prices Median Sales Price

+ 18.5%

Sales Closed Sales

- 28.4%

Inventory Total Inventory

+ 11 days

Marketing Time Days On Market

Median Sales Price

$230

9.0%

$211

3.6%

$222

$240,000

6.7%

$225,000

10.3%

$217,500 597

658

-3.5%

682

10.2%

Days on Market (From Last List Date)

79

9.7%

72

-1.3%

Listing Discount (From Last List Price)

6.8%

Listing Inventory (Active)

1,329

-1.4%

1,348

-13.0%

6.1

3.4%

5.9

-20.8%

7.7

1,671

7.9%

1,549

4.0%

1,607

Number of Sales (Closed)

Months of Supply Average Square Feet (Closed)

6.5%

Boca Raton Condo

Median Sales Price

80 6.8% 1,527

Number of Sales

$300K

900

$240K

800

$180K

700

Boca Raton Condo

Median Sales Price $120K

Number of Sales600 900 500

$300K $60K $240K $0 $180K

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

Condo listing inventory fell year over year for six straight quarters with the most significant decline in the current quarter

Single-family listing inventory declined annually over the past four quarters at a rising rate

Single-family median sales price increased annually for the eighth time in nine quarters

700

Boca Raton Single Family Matrix

Q1-2020

%Δ (QTR)

Q4-2019

%Δ (YR)

Q1-2019

$120K Average Sales Price

$840,655

11.7%

$752,875

9.8%

600 $765,708

$232

6.9%

$217

5.0%

$221 500

$492,250

3.6%

$475,000

9.4%

$450,000

Average Price Per Sq Ft $60K Median Sales Price $0

400

Number of Sales (Closed) 2012 2010 2011 2013 2014 576 2015 2.1% 2016 2017 564 2018 18.5% 2019 2020 486 Median Sales Price Number of Sales Boca Raton Single Family 85 -1.2% 86 14.9% 74 Days on Market (From Last List Date) 900 7.1%

$625K Listing Discount (From Last List Price)

6.7%

Listing Inventory (Active)

1,026

-4.2%

1,071

-28.4%

5.3

-7.0%

5.7

-39.8%

3,624

4.4%

3,472

4.8%

$500K

Months of Supply

$375K Average Square Feet (Closed)

7.0%

Boca Raton Single Family

Median Sales Price $250K

1,432 780

8.8

660 3,457

Number of Sales540 900 420

$625K $125K

780 300

$500K $0 $375K

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

660

$250K

540

$125K

420 300

$0

800 400

2010

2011

Median Sales Price Condo

2012

2013

2014

2016

Boca Raton Luxury

Single Family

Final two weeks of March 2020 • While the number $3.0M of sales rose year over year for both property types, it did not reflect the market conditions of $2.5M the final two weeks of the quarter. Real estate

$2.0M Median Sales Price Condo Single Family $.15M

2015

2017

2018

2019

2020

Number of Sales

Condo

Single Family

market participants became fully aware of the 100 Coronavirus global pandemic after two significant rate cuts by the Federal Reserve and the state stay88of at-home orders. As a result, the final two weeks

76 Number of Sales Condo Single Family 64

Boca Raton Luxury

$3.0M $1.0M $2.5M $500K $2.0M $.15M

100 52

Prepared by Miller Samuel Real Estate Appraisers & Consultants 2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

88 40 76 64


Boca Raton Condo

Median Sales Price

Number of Sales 900

$300K

Q1-2020 The Elliman Report • Quarterly Survey of Boca $240KRaton and Highland Beach Residential Sales the quarter saw limited activity. The most important metric from mid-March and on has been the declining trend in listing inventory since year-end. Luxury listing inventory declined year over year by 5.8% for condos

2010

Luxury

2011

Average Sales Price

• Condo and single-family inventory fell short of year-ago levels

2012

2013

declined year over year for the fourth straight quarter

2.6%

23.8%

$1M – $2M (%)

3.5%

12.1%

Min. – $1M (%)

93.9%

64.2%

Sales Share

Volume Share

7.3%

36.0%

$1M – $2M (%)

10.2%

16.7%

Min. – $1M (%)

82.5%

47.3%

Luxury Single Family Mix

> $2M (%)

This sub-category is the analysis of the top ten percent of all sales. The data is also contained within the other markets presented.

Highland Beach Condo • Condo sales surged year over

year while listing inventory fell sharply

• Condo price trend indicators

continued to show mixed results from the prior-year quarter

Single Family • Single-family sales activity was

nominal with a significant decline in listing inventory

• Single-family listing inventory

fell for the fourth consecutive quarter

This sub-category is the analysis of Highland Beach sales. The data is also contained within the other markets presented.

Questions or comments? Email report author Jonathan Miller at jmiller@millersamuel.com Methodology: millersamuel.com/research-reports/methodology

$1,175,000

10.0%

60

105

-1.4%

146

27.8%

66

-4.3%

144

37.1%

2018

8.4%

2019

2020

8.2% Number of Sales -5.8% 313

295

13.5%

260

13.4

18.6%

11.3

-14.6%

900 15.7

$665,000 780

$620,000

4.2%

$595,000

-6.8%

3,174

19.1%

2,666

3.5%

$375K Luxury Single Family Matrix

Q1-2020

%Δ (QTR)

Q4-2019

%Δ (YR)

660 Q1-2019

$3,481,339

17.8%

$2,955,270

7.0%

$3,254,449 540

$437

7.4%

$407

-4.0%

$455

$2,548,830

34.5%

$1,895,000

39.3%

$1,830,000

58

0.0%

58

18.4%

Median Sales Price

> $2M (%)

-2.1%

69

$1,150,000

2017

Entry Price Threshold $500K

$125K Volume Share

$900,000

$465

2016

Boca Raton Single Family

Average Sales Price $250K

Sales Share

$522

14.0%

Average Price Per Sq Ft

Luxury Condo Mix

1.5%

$530

Average Square Feet (Closed)

• Condo median sales price

$1,600,855

$1,233,567

$625K Months of Supply

footage reached its largest size recorded in this series

5.1%

36.4%

$1,682,398

2015

8.2%

Listing Discount (From Last List Price) Median Sales Price Listing Inventory

• Single-family average square

400 Q1-2019

Q4-2019

Days on Market (From Last List Date)

trend indicators showed mixed results

%Δ (YR)

%Δ (QTR)

2014

Average Price Per Sq Ft Median Sales Price

500

Q1-2020

Number of Sales (Closed)

• Condo and single-family price

700 year. Highland Beach condo sales were jumped over the same period, while single-family sales showed 600 nominal activity.

$180K and by 25.6% for single-family properties. New Year 2020 through mid-March 2020 • Condo sales $120K increased 10.2% to 658, and single-family sales rose 18.5% to 576 respectively from the same period last $60K $0 Condo Matrix Luxury

elliman.com/marketreports 800

Number of Sales (Closed) $0

2014 167 2015 -9.2% 2016

(From Last2012 List Date) 2013 Days on Market2011 2010

Listing Discount (From Last List Price)

2017 184 2018 22.8% 2019

8.8%

9.6%

3,067

420

49 300 2020 136

9.4%

Listing Inventory

305

-10.0%

339

-25.6%

410

Months of Supply

15.8

-9.7%

17.5

-37.1%

25.1

$1,557,500

26.4%

$1,232,500

15.4%

$1,350,000

7,969

9.7%

7,267

11.6%

7,139

Entry Price Threshold Average Square Feet (Closed)

Boca Raton Luxury

Median Sales Price Condo

Number of Sales

Single Family

Condo

Single Family

$3.0M

100

$2.5M

88

$2.0M

76

$.15M

64

$1.0M

52

$500K

2012

2013

2014

2015

2017

2018

2019

2020

40

Q1-2020

%Δ (QTR)

Q4-2019

%Δ (YR)

Q1-2019

$1,129,635

66.1%

$679,934

34.3%

$840,907

$468

26.1%

$371

24.8%

$375

$528,000

-7.1%

$568,500

-8.2%

$575,000

Highland Beach Condo Matrix Average Sales Price

2016

Average Price Per Sq Ft Median Sales Price

37

0.0%

37

37.0%

27

Days on Market (From Last List Date)

126

35.5%

93

-1.6%

128

Listing Discount (From Last List Price)

8.0%

%Δ (YR)

Q1-2019

Number of Sales (Closed)

7.3%

DONTQ1-2020 USE-STACKS %Δ (QTR)THE AREA Q4-2019 Highland Beach Single Family Matrix Average SalesPrice Price Median Sales Condo Single Family Average Price Per Sq Ft

$4,000,000

155.1%

$1,568,000

8.9% 131.2% $1,730,000 Number of Sales Condo Single $346 Family 85.8%

$643

26.8%

$507

Median Sales Price $2.5M Number of Sales (Closed) $2.0M Days on Market (From Last List Date)

$4,000,000

155.1%

$1,568,000

131.2%

1

0.0%

1

-50.0%

13

-86.0%

93

-89.7%

Listing $1.5M Discount (From Last List Price)

-1.3%

14.8%

$1,730,000 125 2 100 126 6.6% 75

$10M

50

$500KDouglas Elliman Real Estate

340 Royal Poinciana Way, Suite 318 Palm Beach, FL 33480 $00 561.655.8600 | elliman.com 2012 2013 2014

Miller Samuel Real Estate Appraisers & Consultants 25 21 West 38th Street, New York, NY 10018 212.768.8100 • millersamuel.com 2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

0

© 2020 DOUGLAS ELLIMAN REAL ESTATE AND MILLER SAMUEL REAL ESTATE APPRAISERS & CONSULTANTS. ALL WORLDWIDE RIGHTS RESERVED. ALL MATERIAL PRESENTED HEREIN IS INTENDED FOR INFORMATION PURPOSES ONLY. WHILE, THIS INFORMATION IS BELIEVED TO BE CORRECT, IT IS REPRESENTED SUBJECT TO ERRORS, OMISSIONS, CHANGES OR WITHDRAWAL WITHOUT NOTICE. ALL PROPERTY INFORMATION, INCLUDING, BUT NOT LIMITED TO SQUARE FOOTAGE, ROOM COUNT, NUMBER OF BEDROOMS AND THE SCHOOL DISTRICT IN PROPERTY LISTINGS SHOULD BE VERIFIED BY YOUR OWN ATTORNEY, ARCHITECT OR ZONING EXPERT. IF YOUR PROPERTY IS CURRENTLY LISTED WITH ANOTHER REAL ESTATE BROKER, PLEASE DISREGARD THIS OFFER. IT IS NOT OUR INTENTION TO SOLICIT THE OFFERINGS OF OTHER REAL ESTATE BROKERS. WE COOPERATE WITH THEM FULLY. EQUAL HOUSING OPPORTUNITY.


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