O
HHIC C
CAROLINE FLINT MP PROFESSOR PAUL EKINS DR TINA HOLT
HEATING HOTWATER
INDUSTRY COUNCIL AUGUST 2012 ISSUE 18
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ELIZABETH LEIGHTON - WWF PROFESSOR DOUG KING DR ELAINE LANCASTER
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CONTENTS
WELCOME
FROM YOUR EDITOR Many moons ago, I produced a programme for BBC Radio 4 on the history of the public library. What struck me most in researching this documentary was how people’s desire for free knowledge was incredibly important. The success of the Green Deal depends on how consumers will perceive this scheme and how the trusted, information bearers deliver its benefits. This is why in this issue, I have a gathered a diverse pool of experts from academia, government and industry specialists to debate many concerns relating to the Green Deal. With the government and
industry putting a serious commitment into the scheme, they really can’t afford it to fail. Jodie Wiltshire, EDITOR, editor@hhic.org.uk, Twitter: JodieCommsHHIC
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SECRETARIAT Director Roger Webb Tel. 01926 513740 e-mail: roger@hhic.org.uk
Communications Manager Jodie Wiltshire Tel. 01926 513743 e-mail: editor@hhic.org.uk
Deputy Director Chris Yates Tel. 01926 513744 e-mail: chris.yates@hhic.org.uk
Administrator Natalie Flay Tel. 01926 513741 e-mail: natalie@hhic.org.uk
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If you are interested in submitting editorial for HHIC Journal, please contact the Editor, Jodie Wiltshire on 01926 513743 or e-mail editor@hhic.org.uk The Editor reserves the right to withhold or edit any material submitted for publication. The Editor’s decision is final. Views expressed in HHIC Journal are not necessarily the official view of the Heating & Hotwater Industry Council. The inclusion of advertising, circulation of any advertising literature or enclosures with HHIC Journal does not signify HHIC endorsement of any of the products or items concerned.
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CONTENTS AUGUST 2012 ISSUE 18 FEATURES
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CONSUMER BEHAVIOUR IS VITAL FOR GREEN DEAL TO WORK Professor of Energy, Paul Ekins and Dr Catalina Spataru discuss how consumer behaviour is vital for the Green Deal to work
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HOME COMFORTS IN AN AGE OF UNCERTAINTY
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THE GREEN DEAL MUST BE A GOOD DEAL TOO
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FORGET ‘ECOBLING’ THE UK NEEDS TO CONSUME LESS ENERGY Professor Doug King debates how the UK must build
Professor Chris Tweed discusses how retrofitting houses must result in a better quality of life
Caroline Flint MP, talks about how important the Green Deal is to the Labour government
refurbishments that actually address energy consumption
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PUTTING ENERGY SAVINGS WITHIN REACH
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NEW NAME, SAME CREDIBILITY, FRESH ENERGY
Elizabeth Leighton, Senior Policy Officer, WWF Scotland compares an equivalent Green Deal scheme in the USA
Mike Foster, Chief Executive of Energy and Utilities Alliance (EUA) explains why this trade association is finally moving forward
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HOMES BEHAVING BADLY
Dr Tina Holt tells us more about the
HOBBS project funded by the UK government’s recent communityfocused scheme, the Local Energy Assessment Fund (LEAF)
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DOING THE DEAL Dr Elaine Lancaster, Research & Development
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BOILERS CAN BE THE TRIGGER TO KICK-START THE GREEN DEAL Neil Schofield from the Worcester Bosch Group discusses the
Director at Ideal Heating discusses how high efficiency systems are crucial if the carbon targets are to be met
importance the Green Deal has on the boiler manufacturing industry
REGULARS
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MEMBER NEWS
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MARKET UPDATE
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MATTER IN QUESTION Roger Webb, HHIC’s Director reflects on how the backbone of the Green Deal is heating
CONTRIBUTORS Caroline Flint Caroline Flint MP is the Shadow Secretary of State for Energy and Climate Change. Caroline is a British Labour Party politician who has been the Member of Parliament (MP) for Don Valley since 1997. She served as the Minister of State for Housing and Planning in 2008, and later as the Minister for Europe until 2009. In October 2010, she was elected to the Shadow Cabinet, and Ed Miliband appointed her Shadow Secretary of State for Communities and Local Government. In October 2011 Miliband appointed her Shadow Secretary of State for Energy and Climate Change.
Elizabeth Leighton Elizabeth is a Senior Policy Officer - Footprint Project Manager for WWF and her role is to paint a picture of a One Planet Scotland and engage with government and others to make it a reality. Scotland is currently living a three planet lifestyle. One Planet Scotland is a project to cut the Ecological Footprint as the UK is on a footprint trajectory that could lead to a 20 per cent increase by 2020.
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Professor Doug King Doug King is an independent specialist in innovative and sustainable buildings. He has been behind the design of some of the most influential sustainable buildings in the world and has received numerous awards recognising his work and his contribution to the construction industry. Doug is a Royal Academy of Engineering Visiting Professor in Building Physics and was author of their reports “Engineering a Low Carbon Built Environment” and “The Case for Centres of Excellence in Integrated Sustainable Building Design.”
Professor Christopher Tweed Professor Christopher Tweed is the BRE Chair in Sustainable Design of the Built Environment, Welsh School of Architecture at Cardiff University. He has a general interest in environmental design in the built environment, which embraces research into reducing the demand for energy in existing buildings as well as research on the role of built cultural heritage in urban sustainability.
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CONSUMER BEHAVIOUR
“The Green Deal will be the biggest home improvement programme since the Second World War shifting our outdated draughty homes from the past into the future.” Greg Barker, Climate Change Minister (June 2011)
The UK has one of the oldest stocks of residential buildings in Europe. In England 21% of dwellings were built before 1919 and 16% built between 1919 and 1945 which represent nearly one third of the total non-domestic building stock.1 The energy efficiency of these dwellings will need to be much improved to meet the UK Government’s energy policy objectives of reduced carbon emissions, increased energy security and affordable fuel bills. To pursue these objectives, the government has developed and implemented a range of policies, including regulation, information and market incentives to influence people’s energy behaviour.
CONSUMER BEHAVIOUR IS VITAL FOR
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TO WORK
BY PROFESSOR PAUL EKINS AND DR CATALINA SPATARU, UCL ENERGY INSTITUTE
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n 2010 the coalition government announced the introduction of the Green Deal which will come into effect from autumn 2012. The Green Deal is a regulatory framework that is intended to make energy efficiency affordable
for consumers with no up-front cost and provides the conditions for a competitive market where customers can choose.2 The Green Deal will apply to owner-occupiers, the social and private
rented sectors and the commercial sector. Chris Huhne, the then Secretary of State for Energy and Climate Change, announced on 21st September 2010 that: “The Green Deal is a massive new business opportunity which has the potential to support up to a quarter of a million jobs as part of our third industrial revolution”3. The Chartered Institution of Building Services and Engineers (CIBSE) mentioned that an average of one building every minute will need to be refurbished over the next 40 years4 to meet the national targets for carbon emissions reduction. In fact, refurbishing one home a minute would only upgrade around 20 million dwellings5, so to do the whole building stock by
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“One of the most important but least understood factors related to the Green Deal is the diversity of consumer behaviour”
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CONSUMER BEHAVIOUR
then would require more than one per
bill over a maximum of 25 years. The
and budgets. The Deal is taken out
manufacturers. The Energy Saving
minute (including upgrading relatively
Department of Energy and Climate
for a particular property at a particular
Trust (EST) studies in heat pumps7 and
new buildings).
Change (DECC) has published a list
time and the package may suit the
solar thermal systems8 show that in
of measures including insulation,
current consumer. However, if a
the case of heat pumps some installed
a programme have attracted a good
boiler, glazing and heating controls
new owner or tenant occupies the
systems failed to meet the levels
deal of scepticism. In January 2012
improvements. These are expected
property, the Green Deal may not be
studied in European field trials. In the
the UK Energy Research Centre
to be suitable for Green Deal finance
appropriate for them with implications
case of solar thermal systems, the
(UKERC)6 highlighted a series of
with eligibility being dependent on the
for the energy and cost savings. The
trial found examples where systems
irregularities in Green Deal design
calculated savings from the energy
Green Deal tailors an energy efficiency
were not properly configured or used.
by drawing attention to what it calls
measures being less than the bill
package for a particular consumer, not
Therefore, the performance of these
‘key omissions and inconsistencies’
repayments – the so-called ‘Golden
a standard product which may suit a
systems could be affected by user
in the document. Also the UKERC is
Rule.’ However the government will not
wide range of people. Also, this may
behaviour and attitudes (how they
seeking clarification on how the Green
guarantee the actual cash savings and
cause a problem in the fluidity of the
are controlled and used) and by the
Deal will fit with and complement
should the occupier move, the charge
housing market.
quality of installation.
other reforms and initiatives being
on the electricity bill will stay with the
proposed, particularly the Renewable
property and the next bill payer.
The logistical implications of such
Heat Incentive, and Feed-in-Tariffs.
In addition most studies to date have focused on characterising the
(heat pumps, solar photovoltaics (PV)
technologies and less on the context
least understood factors related to
and others), which have shown that
of people and buildings. These latter
will be able to borrow up to £10,000
the Green Deal is the diversity of
poor installation and site selection,
is particularly important in terms of
to pay for different measures and pay
consumer behaviour. Different owners
as well as some tool deficiencies,
understanding behaviour diversity
back the capital (plus interest) through
or tenants have different lifestyles,
were major factors leading to poorer
and how technologies may perform
an extra charge on their electricity
preferences, comfort requirements
performance than predicted by
in occupied buildings. All field trials
Under the Green Deal, homeowners
One of the most important but
There have been a number of field trials of micro-distributed technologies
“The Deal is taken out for a particular property at a particular time and the package may suit the current consumer.”
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have their limitations but even so the main findings that have emerged can still be useful. For example, there is no evidence that demand temperatures have risen over time and controls do not necessarily result in lower temperatures as assumed in the Standard Assessment Procedure (SAP). In dwellings with small heat loss the parasitic power9 during start up and cooling down can mean that condensing boilers can outperform micro-chp10 units. Another point is that behavioural changes can be more important in reducing electricity consumption than any energy efficiency intervention relating to household equipment. If heat pumps increasingly replace boilers for space heating and hot water, the peak electricity demand could increase significantly if not carefully managed. This could well drive an increase in the unit cost of electricity. Micro-distributed technologies where several devices provide heat in a connected system are more sensitive to occupant behaviour. Unfortunately there
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“All field trials have their limitations but even so the main findings that have emerged to date can still be useful.”
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CONSUMER BEHAVIOUR
are few findings available from field studies
to take into account different occupants’
detailing the interactions between occupants
behaviour, heating patterns, different climate
and energy efficiency and systems, and the
locations, etc.
diversity of these. Additional research on the diversity of people, controls, smart home
If the Golden Rule is going to work so that Green Deal customers who keep their energy
energy management, as well as education of
haviour unchanged do not face higher energy
households and installers, can help in providing
bills, then far more thought is required in how
more understanding of real dwellings behaviour
to characterise occupant behaviour. Also, how
and the interaction with their occupants.
to include this in the assessments that will
In addition a variety of criticisms of SAP
work out which measures meet the Golden
have been made in recent years. Many studies
Rule and should therefore be supported
have shown that SAP can overestimate or
through Green Deal finance will need to be
underestimate the savings made in dwellings,
considered. Unless this is done before the first
yet the government intends to use SAP for
Green Deal loans are issued, there is a real risk
the Green Deal. SAP was designed to assess
that some customers who change their energy
buildings, not to provide an accurate estimate
behaviour following the energy efficiency
of the performance of a specific building-
measures, perhaps without being aware of it,
technology-occupant-location system. A
will be disappointed to see their energy bills
Green Deal assessment based on SAP may
rise rather than fall. And that will risk bringing
give misleading results unless it is adjusted
the whole of the Green Deal into disrepute.
1 English Housing Survey, Housing Stock Report, 2008 Communities and Local Government, http://www.communities.gov.uk/documents/statistics/pdf/1750754.pdf 2 DECC 2010, The Green Deal A summary of the Government’s proposals, http://www.decc.gov. uk/assets/decc/legislation/energybill/1010-green-deal-summary-proposals.pdf 3 http://www.decc.gov.uk/en/content/cms/news/pn10_104/pn10_104.aspx 4 http://www.cibsemail.org/preview.php?c=904&m=0&previewtype=html 538years X 365.25 days X 24 hrs X 60 min= 19,986,480 6 http://www.ukerc.ac.uk/support/tiki-read_article.php?articleId=1679&fullscreen=y Full version of UKERC’s response to the Green Deal Consultation http://tinyurl.com/853zfdm 7 The Energy Saving Trust, 2010, Getting warmer: a field trial of heat pumps 8 The Energy Saving Trust, 2011, Here comes the sun: a field trial of solar water heating systems 9 Parasitic power is power used to make the machine work, but that doesn’t produce a useful output 10 Chp stands for combined heat and power. These units produce both electricity and useful heat.
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MEMBER NEWS
MEMBER NEWS
BY ISAAC OCCHIPINTI, MEMBERSHIP MANAGER Everyone involved in the Green Deal wants to see SMEs engaged with the scheme. However, given the structure of the Green Deal, is this realistic?
H
HIC has been working
provider to guarantee the works and to
hard with industry and the
provide any capital for the project.
One is as a subcontractor to a Green
It would also boost the take up Green
Deal provider. The Green Deal provider
Deal assessments hopefully leading to
would conduct the assessments and
full Green Deals by consumers wanting
find a solution to this dilemma. We all
probably have to receive work from the
arrange finance. The installer would
to claim their £500.
accept that the Green Deal will be more
Green Deal providers once a deal has
do the work and would be paid by the
successful if SMEs are engaged, but no
already been agreed. The dilemma
provider to do so.
one has yet come up with a definitive
here is that if a heating engineer
way that ensures they will be.
is called into a home to quote on
trade body or merchant chain that
replacing a boiler, recommending the
may have a provider scheme that
around 60,000 installation and servicing
Green Deal will not guarantee they get
allows installers access to Green Deal
to simplify the Green Deal process to
businesses. Most of these are small and
the job. Instead, if they quote privately
finance to help them offer the Green
allow installers to also be Green Deal
micro companies, often employing one
they have a better chance of keeping
Deal to their customers. However a
assessors. This is currently possible but
or two people.
all the income for themselves.
Green Deal assessment would still
the costs for doing so are prohibitive
have to take place.
and the process complicated.
government in trying to
Within the heating industry there are
Around 80% of gas boiler
This means small companies would
If the heating engineer has a prior
Another route is working with a
Local authorities may also set up
This however is a short-term solution to help remove some of the initial barriers that may be present when the Green Deal is launched. Another more long- term solution is
If government were to make the
installations are done by these small
relationship with the consumer it is even
businesses meaning that every day
less likely that they would recommend
Green Deal schemes that installers
process easier and much cheaper,
around 5,000 homes are visited by
a scheme that may jeopardise a well-
could bid to work on. However
installers could be trained quite easily,
these companies.
standing relationship.
local authority tendering processes
potentially as part of their current regular
are notoriously difficult for smaller
gas competency training to undertake
companies to win.
property assessments. This would allow
Given that boiler installations will
Therefore the current structure
almost certainly be a key driver for
may well alienate smaller installation
Green Deal take up these 5,000 visits
companies and create resentment
could be a very effective way to market
amongst them for the Green Deal.
the Green Deal and ensure its success. So why are there doubts that this will happen? The current structure of the Green
HHIC believe there are some other solutions to this dilemma.
them to take control of the Green Deal process and allow smaller installers to be a one-stop shop for consumers to
Instead, we need to look at ways
One solution could be to use
to help engage installers and find a
some of the stated £200 million
model that fits their current way of
the government has put aside for
doing business.
encouraging Green Deal take up
of the process and understand how it
get a Green Deal. Smaller installers must feel in control
to discount fitting boilers. HHIC’s
benefits them, and then they are more
requires an accredited assessor to
to come up with solutions for this.
idea would be for the boilers to be
likely to recommend it and to push it to
conduct a Green Deal assessment of
Currently it believes there are three
installed outside the Green Deal
be a success.
the potential customer’s property and
broad routes that could involve
mechanism, but with the promise of a
energy use. It also requires a Green Deal
smaller companies.
voucher for a sum, £500 for example,
government over the coming months to
if the consumer undertakes a Green
ensure this message is communicated
Deal assessment within six months of
because we want the Green Deal to
the installation.
be a success. However, we recognise
Deal requires two key elements. It
The government is working hard
This will allow smaller installers to
HHIC will be lobbying the
that if installers are not part of the
continue to sell boilers to their existing
solution then we risk alienating the best,
customers and to bid for work in the
cheapest and most logical route to
same way.
market the Green Deal has.
IF YOU HAVE ANY COMMENT ON THIS ARTICLE
PLEASE CONTACT ME ON 01926 513742
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HOME COMFORTS IN AN AGE OF UNCERTAINTY
HOME COMFORTS in an age of uncertainty BY PROFESSOR CHRISTOPHER TWEED, BRE CHAIR IN SUSTAINABLE DESIGN OF THE BUILT ENVIRONMENT
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O
ur homes are so familiar
to recent DECC statistics more than
to us that we take for
7.6 million homes with solid walls
buildings and reminds us not to
granted much of what
(98%) have yet to be insulated.
rely on generalisations about what
they offer. But relations between
This will have a major impact on
people do outside a given situation.
ourselves and the structures we
people’s homes and yet much of
His major contribution is a pair of
inhabit have fascinated philosophers,
the debate surrounding retrofit
related concepts: affordance and
psychologists, architects and
is about the merits of particular
effectivity. An affordance is what an
anthropologists for centuries. Their
technical solutions for upgrading
environment offers people (for good
various writings illustrate the diverse
the building fabric and renewable
or for ill) and depends not just on
interactions we have with the fabric
energy systems. Focusing solely
the properties of the environment
and contents of our dwellings, and
on the technical aspects of retrofit
but also on the capabilities of
yet their detailed insights barely
ignores the need for users to operate
those immersed in it. In short,
register outside the academic world.
their upgraded homes effectively
buildings support various activities
Such issues gain little traction
to achieve the intended carbon
and amenities, but only for those
with practitioners, policymakers
and energy savings. This is crucial
with the appropriate effectivities.
and others working at the ‘sharp
to achieving the carbon emissions
This interrelationship between
end’ of the construction industry,
reduction targets required by 2050
affordance and effectivity alerts
where concerns about the finer
and is not amenable to purely
us to the unavailability of building
details of design and delivery are
technical treatment. It requires
functions to users, for example, with
often dismissed. This short article
an understanding of how people
reduced mobility.
argues that ideas, methods and
behave in their homes that is so far
observations developed through
absent from current proposals.
careful field studies of people in
One approach to studying how
need to understand people in
Affordances and effectivities, then, are a better way to describe what buildings offer occupants
buildings and the resulting theories
people engage and interact with
than the generic notion of building
about human-environment interaction
the environment stands out. The
function, which is independent
can help us improve quality of life
ecological psychologist, J.J. Gibson,
of who will use the building and
and user satisfaction with the built
emphasised the need to consider
their abilities. It would be limiting,
environment. These concerns are
organisms and environments
however, to think of affordances
at the real sharp end of designing
simultaneously, since the way they
as unavailable to those who lack
and building—the end of the retrofit
interact depends on the properties
an ability or have a “disability.” An
delivery pipe—as that is where
of both. Just as the energy and
interesting corollary of the study
solutions are implemented and either
environmental performance of
of affordances is the realisation
fail or succeed.
unoccupied buildings is relatively
that users must possess certain
meaningless, so treating people in
skills to be able to engage with a
large scale retrofitting of its housing
the abstract, devoid of any particular
building effectively and to access its
stock to reduce CO2 emissions
context can be equally misleading.
intended functions. This is becoming
through the Green Deal. According
Gibson’s approach highlights the
increasingly evident as buildings and
The UK Government is promoting
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“The experience of getting warm in front of a glowing fire almost encapsulates the very idea of home in our climate.”
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HOME COMFORTS IN AN AGE OF UNCERTAINTY
People’s behaviour and actions,
their systems become more complex.
There is a further assumption to be
comfort criteria and the models
In other words, people have to have
challenged, which is also supported
of thermal comfort embedded in
for example, appear to be driven
certain skills if they are get the most
by detailed studies of how people
energy calculation software are
as much by wants as by needs.
out an environment.
engage with buildings.
usually quite crude. Observations
As Henry Petroski noted, “luxury,
of how people create and maintain
rather than necessity, is the
The theory of affordances
Most current efforts to reduce
sketched above questions
energy consumption in buildings
thermal conditions in their
mother of invention.” Once basic
the conventional approach of
reduce the end user experience in
homes suggest the outcomes of
needs are met, people are mainly
separating people and buildings
a refurbished building to a single
refurbishment may be diverse and
interested in the experiences they
in much contemporary design and
‘comfort’ temperature. There is no
differ from the assumed model of
can have in a given environment.
construction, including retrofitting.
detailed consideration of thermal
user behaviour markedly.
In certain conditions this may be straightforward, such as the
“Just as the energy and environmental performance of unoccupied buildings is relatively meaningless, so treating people in the abstract, devoid of any particular context can be equally misleading.”
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physiological need to maintain a core body temperature. But to assume such a need is the main driver for thermally related behaviour in the home, underestimates the role that emotion and feelings play in our everyday lives. As an example, consider the change in methods of heat delivery that is taking place in low energy buildings.
HEATING & HOTWATER INDUSTRY COUNCIL
23/7/12 10:03:15
“People’s behaviour and actions, for example, appear to be driven as much by wants as by needs. As Henry Petroski noted, “luxury, rather than necessity, is the mother of invention.” Once basic needs are met, people are mainly interested in the experiences they can have in a given environment.” removing high temperature sources
If their actions include buying and
issues in designing and planning
forces for people living in northern
from the dwelling. The absence of
using an energy intensive halogen
retrofit programmes. The ultimate
and cool temperate climates. Fire in
high temperature (or high exergy)
type heater from the local DIY store,
success of a nationwide programme
its raw and tamed forms have been
sources stymies comfort habits and
we are in trouble, since this may
will depend on those who are
central features within the home for
practices that have been deeply
subvert the entire low carbon project.
expected to accept and operate
centuries. The experience of getting
embedded over many years in our
Debates about the choice of heating
their modified homes in line with
warm in front of a glowing fire almost
cultural and social norms. Gathering
system and its method of delivering
the intentions of the designers.
encapsulates the very idea of home
around a heat source is not simply
heat to spaces need to consider
Many building projects get things
in our climate, but conventional
a physiological but a culturally
the quality of the heat delivery and
the wrong way round. Concerns
theories about thermal comfort are
sanctioned response to coming in
the experience this provides for
about the end-user experience
largely blind to our preferences for
from the cold. Field observations
the occupants—and not just the
and improvements to the quality
the way in which heat is delivered to
suggest that if people are deprived
immediate thermal experience.
of life are drowned out by loud
us in space and time. Low carbon
of thermal stimulation by the design
solutions, whether new build or
and operation of their heating
mainly focus on technical concerns
methods. Retrofit has to result in
retrofit, tend to introduce new forms
systems, they are likely to devise
and solutions. I have argued for
better quality of life for occupants
of heat delivery that operate at
other ways to regain the variety in
the importance of considering
or else it is unlikely to work in any
much lower temperatures thereby
thermal conditions they are used to.
psychological, social and cultural
wholesale way.
Heat and warmth are primal
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Existing approaches to retrofitting
talk over technical solutions and
AUGUST 2012
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CAROLINE FLINT MP
TheGREEN DEAL
must be a good
deal too
BY CAROLINE FLINT MP, SHADOW SECRETARY OF STATE FOR ENERGY AND CLIMATE CHANGE
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Labour wants the Green Deal to succeed. We had a pay-as-you-save scheme in our manifesto, and it was the last Labour government who initiated pilot programmes to test the scheme. If done properly, a pay-as-you-save energy efďŹ ciency scheme could create jobs, lower bills for families and cut carbon emissions. But for the Green Deal to work, it must be a good deal too. With just a few months until the scheme is due to start, the government still has much to do to improve the Green Deal to ensure it delivers savings for hardpressed bill payers and offers real incentives so millions of people want to take it up.
HEATING & HOTWATER INDUSTRY COUNCIL
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I
t’s not just Labour saying this.
for repaying loans early, which
could be reversed. Labour believes
In recent months the CBI,
will cost consumers thousands of
the funding from the ECO should
Which?, the Federation of
pounds and destroy the public’s
focus on delivering for low income
trust in the scheme.
hard to treat homes, over able-to-pay
Masters Builders, the Construction Products Association, Green Alliance
One solution is the Green
households. This would drive carbon
and even the government’s own
Investment Bank. The government
reduction while ensuring that we put
advisors, the Committee on Climate
announced last year that one of the
those who need help most, first.
Change, have warned the Green
priorities for the Bank is to provide
Deal will fail without significant
support for the Green Deal, but they
Green Deal launches, the government
improvements. But the government
haven’t specified what form that
needs to end the uncertainty,
just dismisses anyone who suggests
will take. It’s vital that any capital
stop the infighting and focus on
improvements, or raises concerns,
made available is used to secure
developing a credible way to deliver
as scaremongerers – when in reality,
affordable, attractive interest rates
new jobs and lower energy bills.
of course, exactly the opposite is
for consumers, in order to lower the
true. The real champions of the
cost of Green Deal packages.
Green Deal are those of us who are
Small businesses should be
trying to improve it and make it a
allowed to complete with bigger
good deal.
companies on a level playing field.
Most importantly consumers
Labour’s vision for the Green Deal
need to be offered affordable rates
is one where small businesses,
of interest on Green Deal loans.
co-operatives, local authorities,
This is absolutely crucial to making
charities and social enterprises are
the scheme a success. Polling
able to compete alongside the big
conducted by the Great British
six and other large companies that
Refurb Campaign found that only
want to take part in the scheme.
7% of homeowners would be
But the government’s proposals
interested in taking up the Green
will restrict full access to the Energy
Deal if the interest rate is 6% or
Company Obligation (ECO), which will
above. Worryingly, however, a report
provide subsidy for energy efficiency
by environmental think tank E3G
measures, to the Big Six energy
says that relying on commercial
companies. These proposals not only
loans - as the government plans
limit smaller providers from competing
- will mean interest rates as high as
on a level playing field across the
8%. Modelling by London-based
whole Green Deal market, but
home improvement firm, Crystal
entrench the dominance of the big six
also shows that even with a 5%
in our energy market. Labour wants to
interest rate, measures taken out
see the Green Deal open to all types
under the Green Deal would cost
and sizes of providers by allowing fair
twice as much over the lifetime of
access to the ECO.
a plan, compared with paying for
Lastly, we have to ensure help
them upfront. Finance at these kinds
reaches those who need it most.
of rates won’t be attractive to most
Under the last Labour government
people, limiting demand and leaving
the number of houses in fuel
the Green Deal struggling to get off
poverty fell by 1.75 million. But with
the ground. To make matters worse,
energy bills on the rise, and cut to
the government are still intent on
programmes like Warm Front, there
including harsh penalty payments
are already warnings that progress
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14-15 caroline flint.indd 15
With time running out until the
AUGUST 2012
15 25/7/12 11:46:18
ECOBLING DOUG KING
FORGET ‘ECOBLING’
THE UK NEEDS TO
CONSUME
LESS ENERGY
BY PROFESSOR DOUG KING
16 16-19 ecoblin.indd 16
AUGUST 2012
HEATING & HOTWATER INDUSTRY COUNCIL
25/7/12 11:50:10
The last two governments have managed to agree on one thing at least: the importance of tackling climate change and addressing future UK energy security. Because of this accord, the UK has actually adopted some extremely worthwhile, but challenging, targets on greenhouse gas abatement and on renewable and low carbon forms of power generation.
B
an electric heat pump in the winter
y now, everyone should
studies of both low carbon housing
be aware that the UK is
and low carbon non-domestic
and then provide the building with
committed to reducing
buildings have shown that there is
sufficient renewable generation to
carbon dioxide emissions 80% below
still a wide performance gap between
offset the electricity consumed by
1990 levels by 2050. Most people
the expectations of the construction
the heat pump over the course of
reading this journal will also be aware
industry and its clients and the
the whole year. What we are seeing
that carbon dioxide emissions arising
ability to deliver real carbon savings.
at the putative cutting edge of
from energy consumption in the
It is therefore vital that we embark
new housing design will no doubt
buildings accounts for around 45%
on this journey of decarbonising
become the default approach for
of the total.
the built environment with a clear
refurbishment too unless we do
understanding of what it will involve
something about it.
Thus, one of the headline policies is that all new buildings should be
and which approaches deliver the
In some instances, I am even
constructed to zero carbon standards
best abatement at the lowest cost.
hearing now of low carbon projects
by 2020. However, by the time 2050
Otherwise, we risk wasting time
that are abandoning super insulation
comes around new, zero carbon
and money on initiatives that fail to
and other passive energy conservation
buildings will only account for around
achieve the end goal of reducing the
measures in order to pay for the
20% of the building stock, the
overall amount of carbon dioxide
revenue earning technologies. Under
remaining 80% are already in use
emitted to the atmosphere.
the right circumstances an owner can now be paid to generate heat
today. The low carbon refurbishment
Recently, the conjunction of local
of some 20 million existing buildings
planning policies demanding on-site
that is wasted in a less well insulated
presents an even greater challenge
renewable energy generation and
building and paid again to generate
for the construction industry than that
the generous financial incentives
renewable electricity to offset the
of zero carbon new buildings. Further,
available for these technologies
wasted consumption and still qualify
in order to meet the commitment we
have created a perverse new market
as zero carbon.
will need to deliver over 2,000 low
for small scale generation in urban
carbon building refurbishments every
locations. The most common
to zero carbon, whether applied to
working day starting today.
approach now being taken to low
new build or refurbishment, may not
and zero carbon housing is to use
actually lead to zero emissions, as
Unfortunately, a number of recent
Subsidies aside, this approach
“By now, everyone should be aware that the UK is committed to reducing carbon dioxide emissions 80% below 1990 levels by 205O.”
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16-19 ecoblin.indd 17
AUGUST 2012
17 23/7/12 12:32:56
ECOBLING DOUG KING
the assessment of carbon abatement
requirement for backup generation
does not take into account the different
to cover the intermittency of the
times at which the generation and the
renewable generators.
demands occur. The carbon intensity
Then we need to consider the
of grid supplied electricity varies
actual performance of heat pumps in
depending on the mix of generation
practice. Ground source heat pumps
required to meet demand. Generally,
provide consistent performance
in the winter the carbon intensity is
throughout the year, but are expensive
higher as more fossil fuel generation
and require large areas of land for
is brought into the mix to match the
heat extraction. The performance
demand, whereas during the summer,
of the more popular air source heat
when building attached renewables will
pumps depends on the external air
be generating at their peak, the carbon
temperature. The performance figures
intensity is low anyway.
that are typically used to assess
Taken to the extreme, if we try to
the carbon abatement potential are
address low carbon refurbishment to
seasonal averages corresponding to
meet our national targets using a mix of
outside air temperatures of 5°C to
heat pumps and small scale renewable
7°C. With well designed, well insulated
generators then we will simply
new and refurbished buildings there
exacerbate the problems. As more and
should be little demand for any space
more renewable generation is added
heating at these temperatures. In the
to buildings, the carbon offset available
future, heat pumps will be required to
for each individual generator will get
work mostly at outdoor temperatures
lower and lower. On the flip side, a
below 0°C, when their performance
wholesale move to electric heating in
drops rapidly. Thus, the instantaneous
the winter, even with the purported
electricity demand from heat pumps
efficiency of heat pumps, will require
during the winter could be much higher
a vast increase in generation capacity.
than anticipated at a time when the
Even if a substantial proportion of
grid has higher carbon intensity.
this demand can be met from large scale renewables there will still be a
18 16-19 ecoblin.indd 18
AUGUST 2012
“One of the headline policies is that all new buildings should be constructed to zero carbon standards by 2020. However, by the time 2050 comes around new, zero carbon buildings will only account for around 20% of the building stock, the remaining 80% are already in use today.”
A further problem with adopting small scale renewable heat
HEATING & HOTWATER INDUSTRY COUNCIL
23/7/12 12:33:15
technologies to refurbish British
peak output to a boiler would be
buildings is that we have a history
prohibitively expensive and lead to
of building homes that leak. The
significant problems in its operation.
UK’s relatively benign climate means
Dealing with the poor state of
that, historically, we never really
the fabric of our buildings must
had to bother with insulation before
be the priority in refurbishment,
energy conservation became such
before we ever start to think of
an issue, whereas our damp weather
bolt-on technologies. Insulation
quickly leads to mould problems in
and airtightness do not have the
buildings without good ventilation.
“EcoBling” attraction of small scale
Our standards of construction
renewable energy, but will require just
therefore reflect these very real drivers.
as much thought and ingenuity if we
However, this means that our buildings
are to get it right.
are generally too expensive to heat
When we try to retrofit high levels
that the approaches we take in order
and that we may have to change
continuously, as the heat just escapes.
of insulation and air-tightness to
to meet policy goals in the short term
direction several times before we can
Consequently we have adopted
traditionally constructed British
may not in fact be the most sustainable
reach our ultimate goal.
a pattern of intermittent heating
buildings we can quickly run into
approach in the long term.
following occupancy in homes and
problems with indoor air quality,
non-domestic buildings alike.
condensation and even rot within
with the building fabric issues in
refurbishments that address the
structural timbers, not to mention
our stock of existing buildings will
fundamental issue of consuming less
high intensity heat source such as
bronchial health problems relating to
require considerable effort, expense
energy to create comfortable and
a gas boiler, and a heating system
mould. Improvements to insulation
and innovation. Failing to deal with
productive internal environments,
that responds quickly, such as the
and airtightness therefore need to
the building fabric issues will result
rather than continuing to delude
traditional radiator. Low carbon and
go hand in hand with provision for
not just in higher than expected
ourselves that we can simply bolt
renewable heating systems work best
protection against condensation
emissions, it could exacerbate health
expensive technology on top of already
when they are configured to deliver
and controlled ventilation with heat
problems and other social issues such
failing buildings. That way, the cost to
low intensity heat continuously to a
recovery. Thus, an apparently simple
as fuel poverty. We need to be aware
decarbonise our energy supply, the
well insulated, airtight building. To
measure actually introduces a whole
that the directions we are taking now
only real way to achieve a low carbon
size a heat pump to deliver similar
family of additional requirements in
through expedience may not lead us
economy, will be reduced in line with
order to maintain a safe and healthy
directly to our hoped for destination
the energy we save.
Intermittent heating requires a
The problems facing us in dealing
We would be much better off focusing our efforts on building
internal environment. Is a serious mistake therefore to try and skimp on consideration of issues relating to the building fabric in order to pay for the low carbon technologies. Therefore, when it comes to retrofit, we must not allow ourselves to become distracted by the apparent financial attractiveness of bolt-on renewable energy technologies. It is conceivable that the conjunction of zero carbon buildings, the Feed in Tariff and Renewable Heat Incentive could actually lead to higher emissions overall, whilst not addressing the root of the problem. This is of course an extreme example, but it does highlight
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16-19 ecoblin.indd 19
“Therefore, when it comes to retrofit, we must not allow ourselves to become distracted by the apparent financial attractiveness of bolt-on renewable energy technologies.”
AUGUST 2012
19 23/7/12 12:33:31
WWF ELIZABETH LEIGHTON
Putting Energy Savings w
WHY SOME HOME EN
20 20-25 wwf.indd 20
AUGUST 2012
HEATING & HOTWATER INDUSTRY COUNCIL
12/7/12 14:25:06
s within Reach:
E ENERGY EFFICIENCY PROGRAMMES WORK BY ELIZABETH LEIGHTON, SENIOR POLICY OFFICER, WWF SCOTLAND
With just months to go before the launch of the Green Deal, questions are being asked about its likely success. Will Green Deal packages be attractive to consumers? Will the Golden Rule hold true? Will enough demand be generated to build a professional energy performance industry? What about the fuel poor? All these questions and more are troubling the minds of campaigners and civil servants alike, who are counting on the Green Deal to help deliver climate change targets.
WWW.CENTRALHEATING.CO.UK
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AUGUST 2012
21 12/7/12 14:25:24
WWF ELIZABETH LEIGHTON
S
o what are the factors for success and how can we make sure the Green Deal and associated policies and programmes really do put energy savings within
reach of ordinary homeowners? Through a Churchill Memorial Trust Travelling Fellowship, I analysed what the US experience could offer in terms of lessons. I visited five exemplar programmes in Vermont, Maine, California, and Oregon. The main conclusion was that there is no single ingredient to success – rather you need the full complement, the entire recipe, to bake the cake. Financing, incentives, customer service, social marketing, professional workforce, performance standards and long-term funding are all essential, put together in one coherent package over a period of several years. All aspects are important – a loan programme could not succeed without good marketing, standards could not succeed without incentives, and nothing succeeds without trusted contractors. In short, all rely on a positive customer journey. What does this tell us for the Green Deal? Here is a checklist for the Energy Minister to consider as he puts the final touches on the Green Deal arrangements:
Guarantee Quality A trusted system of quality assurance helps build a professional contractor network, gives customers confidence, and produces a measure of actual savings achieved. The Green Deal does include some measures of quality assurance, but many are concerned they won’t be robust enough. For example, in the US, all upgrades are ‘tested out’ for air-tightness and quality work. In addition to independent certification of auditors and contractors, there is a need for pump priming and supporting the profession, through funding cooperative marketing, training in customer service and help for small, local companies that need to scale up quickly, but find it difficult to get the capital in place.
Provide a positive customer journey Customer focus is what it is all about. The customer journey has to be rapid, professional, and meet expectations. The best programmes have a strong contractor network which is local, qualified, trained in marketing and customer service, and can be counted on to deliver on time, on budget and with the savings promised. After all, the energy adviser and contractor will be the ones to clinch the deal. Multi-year funding and programmes are important to allow the market to build in tandem with the rising demand - market transformation in action. Online assessments of track record (eg number of jobs completed) and customer service in the style of ‘Trip Adviser’ can help to weed out the ‘cowboys’
22 20-25 wwf.indd 22
AUGUST 2012
HEATING & HOTWATER INDUSTRY COUNCIL
24/7/12 11:17:34
“I visited five exemplar programmes in Vermont, Maine, California, and Oregon. The main conclusion was that there is no single ingredient to success - rather you need the full complement, the entire recipe, to bake the cake.” and reward the top contractors. This
to promote the programme through
also lose faith in stop-go incentive
can also maintain the customer
a range of on-the-ground activities
programmes, assuming they have run
relationship over several years through
– dinner parties to show off upgrades,
out of money and so won’t bother to
tailored correspondence and phone
door-to-door visits, school events and
apply. Yet even with the best financing, it
contact to increase conversions to
competitions. In today’s world of virtual
is not enough to attract much uptake on
upgrades now and in the future.
communities, it is just as important to
its own. The overall energy programme
use social media. Social applications
of advice, technical support, marketing
Work with social norms
need to be developed for the UK market
and quality assurance must be part of
which encourage people to share and
the package.
It is vital to engage with social norms
compare their energy use and ideas for
– the rules and customs that guide
how to reduce it.
social behaviour in a community or
to what their neighbours, friends, or
Provide attractive financing as part of an energy upgrade programme
community does. It is important to take
Consistent and long-term financing
in the housing and rental market.
the time to understand the community
programmes are essential to build
The evidence shows that standards
or segment the audience and design
demand and trust. Short-term incentive
work when aligned with strong
a programme that engages with their
programmes may initiate a burst of
programmes of technical support,
values and needs. A one size fits
activity, but contractors will find it hard
financial assistance, and marketing.
all approach will not work. Another
to respond, undermining confidence
Householders and landlords will
solution is to use trusted local people
in the profession. Householders will
respond if they believe the standard
group. People don’t tend to make rational decisions based on information or finance, but they will often conform
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20-25 wwf.indd 23
Regulate for minimum standards of energy performance Regulation and performance standards are necessary to drive demand and create a value for energy performance
AUGUST 2012
23 23/7/12 15:12:42
WWF ELIZABETH LEIGHTON
24 20-25 wwf.indd 24
AUGUST 2012
HEATING & HOTWATER INDUSTRY COUNCIL
12/7/12 14:26:02
will give some monetary value to
While US energy and housing policies
strong leadership from government
the energy upgrade, so systems to
are different in several respects from
which makes it absolutely clear that
disclose and market the value of the
that in Scotland and the UK, their
by 2020, the UK expects all homes
rating must be implemented and
experience in delivering home energy
to be low carbon homes – warm,
supported. Most important, standards
efficiency programmes has much to
comfortable, and cheap to run. Given
should be developed through a
offer. US programmes show a market
this approach, the Green Deal could
stakeholder process which takes
approach can work, but only if the right
have the potential to achieve genuine
account of all concerns and results in
ingredients are mixed together and
transformation of social norms and the
better compliance.
given careful support. There is no ‘silver
market. The scheme could actually
bullet’ that will motivate homeowners
lead to the pace and scale of change
Help the fuel poor
on its own. A coherent package
needed for a low-carbon Britain.
The Green Deal is not the answer for
must be offered as one attractive
most fuel poor households, so support
and streamlined customer journey.
To read the full report on the
from the Energy Company Obligation
Community engagement, targeted
US home energy efficiency
and government programmes is
marketing and products, a professional
programmes, Putting Energy
essential. In Scotland, the Existing
workforce, independent advice,
Homes Alliance is arguing for a
affordable finance, minimum standards,
National Retrofit Programme aimed
consistent assessment – these are the
at meeting climate change and fuel
main ingredients.
poverty targets. Key elements of the
If any are missing, the programme
Savings within Reach:
why some home energy efficiency programmes
work, go to:www.wcmt.org.
uk/reports/906_1.pdf
programme should include area-
will falter and discredit similar efforts for
Existing Homes Alliance
based programmes targeted at fuel
the future.
Scotland
poor areas that provide free or heavily
There is considerable concern that
www.existinghomesalliance
the UK Government is relying too much
scotland.co.uk/
on the Green Deal to deliver energy
Churchill Memorial Trust
Conclusion
upgrades that will make Britain’s
www.wcmt.org.uk/
In conclusion, energy efficiency is a
homes fit for the 21st century. The
WWF Scotland Contact:
tough sell. You can’t see it or touch
evidence is quite clear – financing on
Elizabeth Leighton
it, and the big financial savings come
its own will not motivate people to take
01350 728 200
over time. Successful programmes
action. Financing must be packaged
07810 507 232
sell the immediate benefits of comfort,
as part of an overall energy upgrade
www.wwfscotland.org.uk
health, warmth, and savings on bills.
programme. This programme needs
discounted measures.
“In today’s world of virtual communities, it is just as important to use social media. Social applications need to be developed for the UK market which encourage people to share and compare their energy use and ideas for how to reduce it.”
AUGUST 2012
20-25 wwf.indd 25
25 23/7/12 15:12:55
EUA NAME CHANGE
BY MIKE FOSTER, FOSTER, CHIEF EXECUTIVE OF ENERGY AND UTILITIES ALLIANCE, (EUA) 1905 was Albert Einstein’s “miracle year” he published his theory of relatively and established mass – energy equivalence (or E=MC2) to you and me. The gas industry was almost a hundred years old by then, with carbonised coal producing town’s gas that provided lighting and heating across the British Isles. It was also the year a Mr Charles Clare of Fletcher Russell (a gas appliance manufacturer) took the first step in creating what was the “Society of British Gas Industries” representing 36 members paying subscriptions of two guineas each. Nearly one hundred years later, in 2003, what was then the Central Heating Information Council was merged into SBGI and became known as the Heating and Hotwater Industry Council. HHIC is one of the three divisions of the former SBGI which has now changed to Energy and Utilities Alliance (EUA).
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AUGUST 2012
HEATING & HOTWATER INDUSTRY COUNCIL
23/7/12 11:27:11
“Energy and Utilities Alliance better reflects the broad base of our membership now standing at over 220.”
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AUGUST 2012
27 23/7/12 11:27:39
EUA NAME CHANGE
T
oday’s environment, with
example of one of those challenges.
its challenges, demands a
No one disputes the good intention
change from the industry and
of the scheme. Promoting energy
for me that triggers a name change
efficiency measures is good for
too. SBGI is widely respected by
households, meaning lower bills; it
those who know the organisation.
reduces consumption and therefore
But frankly, its name no longer does
greenhouse gas emissions, helping
justice to the wide range of members
to save the planet; it provides a base
we have across the three divisions.
for UK employment opportunities,
So in May 2012, we announced
so individuals as well as society
a new name as we take on those
benefit too. But, there is always a but,
challenges. As a name, ‘Energy and
industry insiders are sceptical the
Utilities Alliance’ better reflects the
scheme will work. At its best, Green
broad base of our membership, now
Deal could change our outlook to
standing at over 220. The variety of
energy efficiency for the better and for
member fields includes gas storage,
the long-term but only if government
smart meters, pipes, high efficiency
listens to the wider industry and our
boilers, industrial boilers and
concerns. At worst, the scheme
renewables. (As an aside, in my first
will degenerate into the next
week as CEO our accountant came
industrial scale mis-selling scandal
to see me and the first question he
and will bring energy efficiency
asked me was, “what are you going
and environmental concerns into
to do with the name SBGI?”. When
disregard. We owe it to future
your accountant is giving marketing
generations to get this right.
advice, you know it’s time to act).
EUA is also heavily involved in the
Today, EUA provides a leading
debate around the future of gas, our
industry voice that helps shape the
heritage demands we are. So does
future policy direction within the
the future energy security needs of
sector. Using our wealth of expertise,
the UK. Gas generated electricity is
and over 100 years of experience,
more environmentally friendly than
we act to further the interests of our
coal powered electricity generation.
members and the wider community
Hence, in the short-term it makes
in working towards a sustainable, energy secure and efficient future. There are enormous challenges ahead in the energy and related industrial sector. Rising energy costs, issues over security of supply, greenhouse gas emissions and UK jobs and skills are at the forefront of concerns. Working in partnership with others, EUA intends to be a powerful voice for the industry, speaking out when it matters, as the UK faces these challenges in the years ahead. Let’s take Green Deal, featured in this edition of the HHIC Journal, as an
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AUGUST 2012
“The gas industry was almost a hundred years old by then, with carbonised coal producing town’s gas that provided lighting and heating across the British Isles.”
HEATING & HOTWATER INDUSTRY COUNCIL
23/7/12 11:28:06
sense to make that switch. But
careers in our sector appealing. It is
to gas also means exploring shale
about showing young people how
users is also important as part of the
and biogas, as well as potentially
exciting it is to be “making things”.
future energy mix we will be using
hydrogen and coal-bed methane in
Encouraging the brightest and best
to be green but also keep warm.
our future energy mix. EUA have been
talent to consider long-term careers
Thankfully only a few people in the
developing our policy position towards
in the industry as well as being the
sector are still advocating the end of
shale, energy security and the future
home of well-qualified technicians who
domestic gas supply. The majority,
of gas as part of our strategy to be
can deliver at the coalface the energy
what I call the “sensible realists”,
relevant to the challenges of the future.
secure, energy efficient and energy
recognise that even with large scale
I’ve mentioned the job creation
affordable future we all want.
renewable use in the home, there
opportunities that the Green Deal
is always the need for that peak
potentially offers. Jobs and skills in
is here to contribute to meeting the
demand for heating to be met. And
the UK are central to the public policy
challenge of the future, forged in our
gas is the most efficient means to
debate we will face in the years ahead.
history, championing the interests of
meet it.
Part of that debate is about making
our members.
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25-29 EUA.indd 29
That longer-term commitment
keeping the gas grid for domestic
So Energy and Utilities Alliance
AUGUST 2012
29 23/7/12 11:29:36
MARKET UPDATE
MARKET UPDATE
Highlights • Boiler sales fail to recover • Solar Thermal sales continue to slide
Each quarter we will bring you an update on the heating market, with a focus on boiler sales. This update replaces the quarterly Boiler Sales Update which HHIC used to distribute as a separate publication. Gas Boiler Sales
Solar Thermal Heating Sales
Inflation
The start to 2012 has not provided
The headlines for the December 2011
to the change in CPI annual
the boiler industry with the
Solar Thermal sales have fallen back
consumer prices index (CPI) are:
inflation between March and
optimistic return to normality.
to pre 2008 levels before the prospect
• CPI annual inflation stands at
April came from the operation of
Sales have continued to slide and
of the Renewable Heat Incentive (RHI)
3.0 per cent in April 2012, down
maintain the negative trend that
boosted sales later that year. The
from 3.5 per cent in March. The
started later in 2011. With no
Solar PV industry has now taken hold
timing of Easter had a significant
good news expected in the near
of the solar market with households
impact on the April data. The
at 3.5 per cent in April, down
future, and all economic indicators
preferring to opt for PV and a generous
annual rate was notably lower
from 3.6 per cent in March. The
pointing to a flat year, projections
Feed-in-Tariff. There are rumours of a
in December 2009 when it
largest downward pressures
are not positive. The Jubilee
tariff based RHI for 2013 so hopefully
was 2.9 per cent although the
to the change in RPI annual
holidays will affect quarter 2
this will boost sales later in the year.
3.0 per cent was equalled in
inflation between March and
February 2010
April came from alcoholic drinks,
sales and are unlikely to pick up
• The largest upward pressures
personal transport equipment, restaurants & hotels and rents • RPI annual inflation stands
in the short term. So the spotlight
Ecomomic Overview
• Air transport, off-sales of alcohol,
clothing, fares & other travel and
will be very much on the Green
The heating market is influenced by a
clothing and sea transport were
the purchase of motor vehicles.
Deal to see if it can stimulate
range of factors many of which involve
the most significant drivers
Partially offsetting these were
the market next year.
decisions based on economic factors.
behind the decrease in annual
upward pressures from housing
Some of these are outlined below:
inflation between March and April
and petrol & oil. Source: Office for National Statistics
Gas Boiler Sales Q4 2011 v Q4 2010 Q1 2012 Jan
Feb
Q1 2011 Mar
Jan
Feb
Annual Comparison Q1 12 –
Q1 11 –
%
Q2 11
Q2 10
change
1462.7
1595.4
-8.3
Mar
Total boiler 106.3
129.4
131.4
120.2
118.1
139.6
Interest Rates The Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee voted to maintain the official Bank Rate paid on commercial bank reserves at 0.5%. Source: Bank of England
sales (000’s)
Air transport, off-sales of alcohol, clothing and sea transport were the most significant drivers behind the decrease in annual inflation between March and April
30 30-31 Market.indd 30
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HEATING & HOTWATER INDUSTRY COUNCIL
25/7/12 12:03:55
Solar Thermal Heating Sales by m2 Q1 2012 v Q1 2011 Q1 2012
Q1 2011
Q1 2012 –
Q1 2011– Q2
%
Q2 2011
2010
change
Domestic Fuel Prices The most recent figures available
% change
from the Department for Energy & Climate Change (DECC) are for Q2
Flat Plate
11253.7
16884.4
-33.3
55162.9
71332.9
-22.6
Vacuum tube
2572.6
3683.9
-30.1
15007.2
17728.4
-15.3
Q2 2010.
Total
13826.3
20568.3
-32.7
70170.2
89061.4
-21.2
House Prices
2011 and these are compared with
Average house prices in the UK
Recent changes in RPI and CPI annual rates were as follows:
were essentially unchanged in the first quarter, after allowing for usual
Inflation
seasonal effects. The annual rate Feb 12
Mar 12
Apr 12
CPI change (%)
3.4
3.5
3.0
RPI change (%)
3.7
3.6
3.5
of change moderated from 1.1% to 0.2%. The North saw the strongest quarterly growth rate, with prices up 0.6% quarter-on-quarter. This pushed the annual rate of price
Domestic Fuel Prices Indices:
change up from -1.0% to 0.8%. Apart from the North and the Gas
Electricity
Heating oils
Q1 2012
223.2
176.1
211.6
regions saw their annual rate of
Q1 2011
189.6
159.4
199.4
house price growth slow during the
% comparison
+17.7
+10.5
+6.1
first quarter.
Outer South East, all of the English
Source: Nationwide
House Prices 2011
2012
Jan
£161,211
£162,228
Feb
£161,183
£162,712
Mar
£164,751
£163,327
Average
£162,379
£162,722
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30-31 Market.indd 31
Housing and Property Transactions The total number of property transactions was up to to 81,000 in February 2011, a rise of 14.1%. Source: Construction Products Association
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31 24/7/12 11:29:51
DR TINA HOLT - HOMES BEHAVING BADLY
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12/7/12 14:38:14
AN OPPORTUNITY TO LEAF THROUGH THE
‘Homes Behaving Badly’ BY DR TINA HOLT
“One of the big surprises was the extent to which all the homeowners who put their houses forward as case studies were already reducing bills just with effective energy saving habits.”
H
omes Behaving Badly
Houses under Construction’ series.
saving habits. SAP and NHER energy
(HOBBS for short) is a
Our aim was to champion the cheap
modelling (carried out by Gil Schalom)
Transition West Bridgford
but effective options as well as to
together with thermal imaging and
(TWB) project funded by the UK
provide the low-down on more costly,
air-tightness testing results were
government’s recent community-
but potentially dramatic, improvements
combined with information from the
focused scheme, the Local Energy
that some householders wish to
homeowners themselves to create
Assessment Fund (LEAF). LEAF
understand in more detail.
each case study.
gave groups across the UK funding
The HOBBS project examined eight
for projects to help save or generate
typical housing archetypes in the West
about providing detailed exemplars
energy in their localities.
Bridgford area to demonstrate what the
with which householders could
journey from ‘inefficient’ to ‘efficient’
identify. The power of this approach
green architect Gil Schalom and eco-
or ‘highly efficient’ might look like. Eco
was evident at the workshops, where
champion Penney Poyzer) launched
House Group members were invited
feedback showed that over 90% found
the project on 21st January 2012 at
to come forward if they had energy-
‘seeing what others did’ to be useful
the low energy homes exhibition which
use data and were willing to share
– whether their plans were zero cost or
formed the final event in TWB’s ‘Eco
details about their homes and energy
high cost.
The HOBBS team (Dr Holt, with
WWW.CENTRALHEATING.CO.UK
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The HOBBS case studies were all
AUGUST 2012
33 25/7/12 11:28:36
DR TINA HOLT - HOMES BEHAVING BADLY
Those at the workshop for
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The workshops on solid wall homes
varying degrees of solid wall insulation
householders in cavity wall homes
attracted larger audiences – hardly
on energy use and comfort, and the
were most entertained by ‘Julie,
surprising in a place like West Bridgford
impact of different renewable options.
Queen of Mean’ describing her
which has so many older houses.
proudly maintained Yorkshire habits
For modest budgets, we focused on
convey to householders through the
and mainly low cost measures in her
low cost ideas like draught-proofing
report and the workshops is that every
1960’s bungalow. Feedback from one
and insulation of pipework. We even
house and householder is different,
householder at that workshop was
looked to the Victorians for inspiration
and that one solution does not always
revealing: ‘I thought I had a pretty good
to combine curtains with blinds or
fit all. We encouraged householders
energy efficient home. Now I know
shutters. For those with bigger budgets
to become their own energy experts,
there’s a lot more I can do.’ Many
or just curious to know more, we
for example, by showing them how
people living in cavity wall homes could
examined some options for whole-
to work out roughly what proportion
further improve energy efficiency even
house low energy refurbishment. The
of their annual energy use is devoted
if they think they have already covered
HOBBS case studies illustrated a range
to space heating and how much to
the basics.
of approaches, including the effects of
other uses.
The big message that we wanted to
HEATING & HOTWATER INDUSTRY COUNCIL
23/7/12 14:37:03
“Another fact highlighted by energy modelling was the difference that ‘standard’ measures, such as an efficient boiler, could make to some energy bills. Often the least glamorous options reaped the biggest benefits.”
One of the big surprises was the extent to which all the homeowners who put their houses forward as case
32-27 home behaving badly.indd 35
already been done. For those looking to make their
studies were already reducing bills just
solid wall homes more efficient, energy
with effective energy saving habits.
modelling and householder experience
Actual energy use in each case was
seem to suggest that doing one
between 29% and 56% lower than the
thing well tends to work better than a
‘average’ as predicted by SAP/ NHER
scattergun approach. It also means that
modelling of the same house in its
over time, each element of the house
current state. This proved to be highly
can be improved to a high standard,
motivating, as many people attending
with the eventual result of a very low
the workshops previously believed
energy home.
that energy saving habits would make little impact on energy bills. Another fact highlighted by energy
While some of the homes which formed the HOBBS case studies had renewable technologies installed,
modelling was the difference that
the ‘Homes Behaving Badly’ project
‘standard’ measures, such as an
focused chiefly on the less glamorous
efficient boiler, could make to some
area of efficiency savings. This was
energy bills. Often the least glamorous
by no means a rejection of renewable
options reaped the biggest benefits.
technologies – more a way to ensure
Alongside the big improvements, the
that energy wastage in the badly
case studies indicated that a host of
behaving house is first cut right back so
smaller but cheaper changes could
that smaller boilers can be specified, or
help e.g. insulating hot water pipes or
the most appropriate choice of energy
sealing up unused fireplaces (where
generation technology can be made.
appropriate) – even though some
If our small selection of just eight
were ‘below the radar’ in terms of
local homes and their energy aware
SAP/NHER.
occupants were typical of the UK
For solid wall homes, personal
WWW.CENTRALHEATING.CO.UK
am aware of instances where this has
population, we would be well on the
experiences and energy modelling
way to energy security and dramatic
highlighted the fact that ‘standard’
carbon reduction targets in the
efficiency improvements could only
domestic housing sector. If the SAP and
improve bills and comfort up to a
NHER energy models do indeed reflect
point. Beyond that, solid wall insulation
the ‘average’ householder’s energy use,
was required, improving comfort
then mass adoption of energy saving
dramatically as well as reducing bills.
habits could probably cut UK energy
Our case studies seemed to indicate
demand by at least 20% overnight.
that adding just enough solid wall
Mass uptake of the ‘standard’
insulation to achieve 2012 building
measures such as draught-proofing, loft
regulation standards represented a
and cavity wall insulation, or installing
missed opportunity, whereas a ‘do it
‘A’-rated boilers would bring about
once and do it well’ insulation strategy
another step change. On top of that, a
would save re-work in the future.
well-executed programme of solid wall
Indeed, the ‘Home Truths’ report by
insulation to beyond current building
Brenda Boardman suggests that by
regulations could help to convert ‘hard-
2030 we will be adding solid wall
to-treat’ homes into a new generation
insulation to cavity wall homes, and I
of low energy homes. We are still only
AUGUST 2012
35 23/7/12 14:37:17
DR TINA HOLT - HOMES BEHAVING BADLY
in the foothills of the UK’s energy-
from the Green Deal, and the HOBBS
studies which were relevant to one of
householders, whatever their budget,
efficiency mountain range.
workshops provide them with the
their projects in Derbyshire.
have the potential to make a major
So, from just 12 weeks of work in early 2012, what will be LEAF’s legacy?
tools to do that. Then there is the HOBBS report. On
Overall, the HOBBS team feel that the project has provided
contribution to reducing UK energy requirements and carbon emissions.
the whole it is written for householders
positive evidence that their aim of
Badly’, we have a workshop format
- to dip into, compare their homes with
enabling householders to understand
The HOBBS report is available
that is ready to go. Householders who
a couple of case studies, and become
their own energy use is a realistic
for free and can be downloaded
attended the first HOBBS workshops
their own energy experts. In the words
one. It was encouraging to see
from: Dr Tina Holt:
in March 2012 created their own ‘to
of our proof-reader ‘This is clear,
that workshop participants were
www.ecohousenet.co.uk
do’ lists – as diverse as the homes and
informative and what we’ve all been
highly motivated by seeing what
enquiries@ecohousenet.co.uk
the people in them, and going beyond
waiting for.’ We hope it will be used by
other householders had done, and
TWB Eco House Group:
the simple efficiency messages that
organisations too. Our colleagues at
impressed by the savings that others
www.wbecohouses.co.uk
no longer seem to motivate. We want
Nottingham Energy Partnership have
had made from simple energy saving
wbecohouses@gmail.com
householders to get the best deal
already used selected HOBBS case
habits. The decisions of ordinary
In the case of ‘Homes Behaving
Dr Holt is a specialist in household energy efficiency, from humble energy saving habits to whole-house low energy refurbishment. She has worked for Global Action Plan on the ‘EcoTeams’ behavioural change programme, and is currently refurbishing her own home - a 1950s house of solid wall construction - to the new Passive House standard for retrofit. In 2010, she set up the Eco House Group – a Transition West Bridgford (TWB) initiative providing events for householders looking to reduce their energy bills and increase comfort levels. Events to date include open house visits, seminars, the Eco Houses under Construction project and Homes Behaving Badly and the group has attracted over 260 members. Like other Transition groups around the UK and globally, TWB in Nottinghamshire was set up to improve community resilience and encourage the transition towards a life less dependent on oil.
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24/7/12 10:11:58
AUGUST 2012
32-27 home behaving badly.indd 37
37 25/7/12 12:08:09
MATTER IN QUESTION
Heating is the backbone of the
GREEN DEAL
The much heralded Green Deal scheme is nearly here. Increasingly it is starting to look as though the legal framework will be in place in time to meet the government’s planned timetable to introduce the scheme in the autumn of 2012. However it seems likely that the start of Green Deal will be a ‘soft’ one, meaning that there will be few schemes in place in the first few months after it is introduced and there will probably be only be a gradual build up of business during 2013.
38
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23/7/12 11:49:22
Green Deal is certainly a new and
response, DECC has established a
imaginative approach to resolving this
joint government and industry panel
problem. The key question now is not
to establish a Green Deal business
will it work − but how can we make it
model which can specifically involve
work? Clearly it is the responsibility
SMEs. This panel will be working over
of the government to put a workable
the summer
framework in place and we will see in
and will report its recommendations
due course whether this is the case.
to Ministers.
We have been certainly been very
the Green Deal – it is indeed its
to try to ensure an effective
backbone and will actually be a
framework. But it will then be down to
trigger for consumers to take up
industry to work with the scheme to
other measures. But the most
try to make it a success.
important question is how can we
To do this we need to stimulate
BY ROGER WEBB, HHIC DIRECTOR
T
Heating is so important to
active, working with the government
persuade consumers to arrange
demand for the scheme from
and finance energy efficiency
consumers and if we are to achieve
improvements differently from how
this then we need to encourage
they do now? This will be no easy
the supply industry to adopt it and
task and changing people’s set
to encourage installers of energy
behaviour patterns will be extremely
efficiency products to embrace Green
difficult. As I discussed earlier in
Deal and see it as an effective way
this article, installer education is
of doing business. It is important
paramount and by getting engineers
to recognise that the installer has a
on side, could be the key to
huge influence over the consumer’s
unlocking consumers’ predetermined
purchasing decisions. So in the end,
thought patterns. How? Quite simply,
his soft start approach
technologies, the one thing we must
the installer will have a crucial role
the installer will become the trusted
makes good sense. This is
do above all else is to reduce demand
in determining the level of uptake of
information bearer. Most consumers
an entirely new scheme with
for energy and that means making
Green Deals and hence the extent
are clueless when it comes to their
new (and in some cases complex)
our building stock much more energy
and speed by which the energy
heating systems. The installer that
processes that need to be properly
efficient. Once we have achieved
efficiency of the UK’s housing stock
comes into a house is the expert of
tested. If the Green Deal is to be
this it takes much of the pressure off
will be improved.
which the consumer has no option
successful then it needs acceptance
the argument about which energy
by both those who will deliver it and
sources and heating technologies we
of replacement heating systems
even more so by consumers since
should be using in 2050. It will also
are undertaken by 60,000 micro
it represents a fundamental change
make our homes ready for heating
businesses. One of the big concerns
the Green Deal will make it unlikely
to the way householders arrange
with low carbon and renewable
is that Green Deal, as a large a fairly
that the small installer will be part of
and finance energy efficiency
alternatives to fossil fuels.
complex scheme, is better suited to
this government’s scheme. This has
delivery by large companies and so
to change. There must be appropriate
improvements to their homes
Unfortunately the UK householder
For heating the vast majority
but to trust in making the correct decision for them. Currently, the present structure of
has so far proven resistant to the
small ones might miss out and lose
incentives for the Green Deal to be
important? Well, we can have long
calls and even support to improve
business as a result. We have been
attractive to local installer companies.
debates about what the future energy
the energy efficiency of their homes.
emphasising to the Department of
supply mix will look like and how
Also with the UK having some of
Environment and Climate Change
our trust in installers as the success
we will be heating our homes and
the least energy efficient building
(DECC) the crucial role of small
of the Green Deal could depend
businesses in the future. But whether
stock in Europe makes reducing
companies within the market and the
on how they perceive and present
this future is heating by fossil fuels,
our energy demand for heating a
need for them to be fully engaged
the scheme to an increasingly
electricity, renewables or other
particularly difficult challenge.
if Green Deal is to succeed. In
sceptical public.
So why is Green Deal so
WWW.CENTRALHEATING.CO.UK
38-39 matter in question.indd 39
I believe that we must raise
AUGUST 2012
39 23/7/12 11:50:54
DR ELAINE LANCASTER
40
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12/7/12 14:42:26
“So, with Green Deal forming part of the strategy for reducing the carbon impact of our existing housing stock the potential for the heating installer is enormous. Good, sound traditional heating design and installation skills will be at a premium from now on because any improvements paid for through the Green Deal must deliver what they promise.”
Doing the Deal BY DR ELAINE LANCASTER, RESEARCH & DEVELOPMENT DIRECTOR AT IDEAL HEATING
The UK recession has recently been double hit and our economic future is increasingly unsure. However, what it far more certain in this uncertain age is the fact that energy bills will continue to rise. Households across the UK urgently need to address ongoing running costs in the home, but our homes and buildings are inefficient. This is where the Green Deal kicks in.
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41 12/7/12 14:42:38
DR ELAINE LANCASTER
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12/7/12 14:42:51
F
rom autumn, homeowners
46% of homeowners and tenants
and businesses will be able
in the UK are looking to make
to borrow money for energy
their home more energy efficient
saving improvements and pay it
in order to reduce their energy
back through their energy bill from
bills. This forms a core element of
the intended energy savings. With
the government’s Heat Strategy
the addition of the Energy Company
and indicates that there is a huge
Obligation (ECO) subsidy from the
potential in the retrofit market when
energy supplier intended to integrate
it comes to the installation of the
with the Green Deal, this will also
provisions outlined by the Green
focus on vulnerable and low-income
Deal. Along with this, in order to
householders and hard to treat
reach set targets by 2050, the
properties where additional measures
government has also introduced
are required to improve energy
a series of other schemes to
efficiency and help reduce fuel poverty.
encourage renewable technology
The government is putting a serious
take up, this includes the Feed in
commitment behind the scheme, kick
Tariff (FiT) and Renewable Heat
starting it with an initial cash-back
Incentive (RHI).
incentive of £200 million pounds.
This should all help to boost the
The measures to improve energy
low carbon economy and create
efficiency are critical for existing homes
a massive demand for new and
if carbon reduction targets are to be
retrofit installations carried out
met – as they make up the majority
by heating and plumbing firms. It
of the housing stock in the UK and
will be the biggest opportunity for
will continue to do so in the future.
energy efficiency improvement in
To maximise the uptake of these
heating and hot water provision
provisions, the whole process needs
– which accounts for around 70% of
to be made as hassle-free as possible,
household energy.
from the quoting and installation to the outlay costs and aftersales. A recent survey carried out by the
As well as undertaking installation work, the industry will require the appropriate skills to be called upon
Department for Environment and
to carry out the calculations of the
Climate Change (DECC) found that
possible savings and advise on
“The measures to improve energy efficiency are critical for existing homes if carbon reduction targets are to be met – as they make up the majority of the housing stock in the UK and will continue to do so in the future.”
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JAUGUST 2012
43 23/7/12 12:02:49
DR ELAINE LANCASTER
technical solutions for Green Deal projects.
Facilities management firms are also
To improve the building fabric and cut energy
interested in this market – valued at a
demand from existing homes, improving
potential £200bn. However, there are simply
insulation, double glazing and draught
not enough skilled people around to deliver
proofing are expected to be the focus of the
this volume of energy efficiency work. We
work – requiring heat loss calculations to
will need to step up training and attract
determine energy saving impacts. Heating
new people and skills into the industry, as
system sizing and heating system upgrades
well as looking at how to create ‘template’
including new condensing boilers and heating
solutions that can be replicated and applied to
controls can play a significant part in achieving
thousands of projects.
the energy savings for the customer and
Looking back to the DECC survey, of the
meeting the government energy efficiency and
consumers questioned, 59% highlighted a
carbon saving targets.
benefit which is linked to the Green Deal, as
So, with Green Deal forming part of the
the main reason they make improvements to
strategy for reducing the carbon impact of our
their home. When asked what motivates them
existing housing stock the potential for the
to make their home more efficient, although
heating installer is enormous. Good, sound
cost was the main driver, almost 20% of
traditional heating design and installation skills
people highlighted the need for convincing
will be at a premium from now on because any
information from a trusted installer – providing
improvements paid for through the Green Deal
a real opportunity for experienced installers
must deliver what they promise. The savings
with the appropriate skills as they will be
will be estimated when the finance is made
called upon to carry out the calculations of
available. Designers and installers’ calculations
the possible savings and advise on technical
will need to be carried out carefully to ensure
solutions for Green Deal projects.
accuracy, so the reality matches the design.
Consumers have highlighted that they are
The Golden Rule is that the savings on
willing and want to improve the efficiency of
the energy bill must outweigh the cost of the
their homes, with particular requirements for
installation, meaning the measures which
a warmer, energy efficient home with reduced
make the most significant impact to energy
energy bills. High efficiency heating systems
saving will be the first in line. Good news
are proven to give energy and utility bill savings
for high efficiency boiler installations as the
when installed in place of older systems
installation cost is low in comparison to the
– showing heating installers they have a key
overall lifetime savings on the energy bill.
role to play on the energy efficiency agenda.
“Facilities management firms are also interested in this market – valued at a potential £200bn. However, there are simply not enough skilled people around to deliver this volume of energy efficiency work.”
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23/7/12 12:04:13
NEIL SCHOFIELD
BOILERS CAN BE THE TRIGGER TO KICK-START
THE GREEN DEAL The Green Deal enormous opportunity which will reinvigorate the UK’s housing stock and give the heating industry a much needed boost or an enormous white elephant on a road to nowhere? Discuss.
T
o be honest, I already have, at length, with many people around the heating
industry and the only conclusion I can draw is that the jury is still out, because nobody really knows if this is going to work. What is clear is that the Green Deal has its critics, not least those who prefer the idea
BY NEIL SCHOFIELD, HEAD OF EXTERNAL AND GOVERNMENTAL AFFAIRS AT WORCESTER BOSCH GROUP
of a Big Bang start rather than the government’s preferred soft launch. The critics interpret the soft launch idea as a lack of commitment from the government.
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45 23/7/12 12:28:38
NEIL SCHOFIELD
Personally, I don’t have any problem with it. With something this big and this complex, requiring a significant change in mind-set on the part of the consumer, baby steps are a good idea rather than just jumping in with both feet. What is becoming clear though is that the government has listened. When the Green Deal was first mooted it was an insulation-only solution, but to be fair to the Department of Environment and Change (DECC), it has started to see the sense in using the boiler as the “sprat to catch the mackerel”. In other words, fit a boiler and link it to other energy saving measures including insulation, lighting and glazing. With this model, the boiler becomes the lead generator, or trigger, for the Green Deal. With 5,000 boiler installations every day in the UK, which equates to 1.5 million every year, there is ample opportunity to get in front of homeowners and sell them the benefit of a whole house energy efficiency solution. This is why the original DECC model, which tried to reinvent the supply chain, was so flawed. We don’t get heating advice from our utilities supplier or down at Tesco’s (“four slices of that Yorkshire ham please and when you’re done can you tell me which aisle the condensing boilers are on?”). No, in the UK, the installer is king. We get our advice from Pete the plumber who is invited into the home. There is no cold calling here. Crucially, there are 130,000 Gas Safe Registered installers in the UK. 90,000 of them are active boiler installers and potential Green Deal salesmen if we can only get them on-board. However trusted an advisor he or she may be, it is essential to remember that the average installer is a sole trader and it is important that the Green Deal is not beyond their reach. There is a danger that the Green Deal becomes, in the minds of the UK’s installer base, a scheme run by the big players such as the major energy companies. There is also the added concern that
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Photo: Chris Yates
HEATING & HOTWATER INDUSTRY COUNCIL
25/7/12 12:10:23
many still don’t see the opportunity before them. Nobody is asking, or even suggesting, that the UK’s installer base go out and retrain to become skilled in home insulation, lighting and double glazing. What we have to do is join up the different tradesmen so that together they can provide a comprehensive package for the homeowner. This is where the Green Deal suppliers come in, acting as a catalyst for all the different trades to come together. The installer does not have to do anything more than offer the homeowner a deal along the lines of, “I can get you £500 off this boiler, but only if you get loft and cavity wall insulation within the next six months.” However, we must also build in safeguards to ensure that no installer takes a Green Deal lead to a Green Deal supplier, only to ultimately lose the job. If that happens, then installers will just start rubbishing the Green Deal and we’ll all lose out. The installer must be encouraged to act as an ambassador for the Green Deal which is why the £200 million kick-start fund announced by Greg Barker MP, Minister of State for Energy and Climate Change to pump prime the launch is a fantastic opportunity to use the boiler as the trigger for wider home energy efficiency improvements. To answer the question I posed at the start of this article, I do believe the Green Deal can make an enormous contribution to reinvigorating the UK’s housing stock and give the heating industry a much-needed boost. It’s not flawless, but the government should be commended for making such a forceful commitment to improving the energy efficiency of UK homes and I would urge the UK’s installer base to get involved.
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HEATING HOTWATER
INDUSTRY COUNCIL
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