Financial Investigator 04-2022

Page 72

70 WETENSCHAP EN PRAKTIJK

Chinese onshore convertible bonds: the hidden gem? The Chinese domestic convertible bond market has increased exponentially to become the second largest globally. This happened almost unnoticed. This development deserves a closer look. By Benjamin Barretaud

NUMMER 4 | 2022

Notwithstanding a spectacular growth, the popularity of convertible bonds in China seems sustainable. When one thinks about convertible bonds, what comes to mind is typically small-cap and mid-cap companies that do not necessarily have access to traditional debt capital markets, using them to fund their growth in exchange for part of their equity upside. China looks like the perfect place for this hybrid instrument. On the one hand, many investors are eager to embrace the opportunities China has to offer, but may be fearful of the volatility associated with equity investing. On the other hand, many companies need capital to finance their rapid expansion. It is also a more convenient and flexible funding instrument than equities or loans as it is more costefficient thanks to relatively

low coupons. Furthermore, the regulator’s approval to issue convertible bonds is easier and quicker to obtain than for raising capital. One distinguishing specificity of the Chinese offshore convertible bond universe is how underlying companies are different from the ones in broad equity indices such as the CSI 300. As

at the end of 2021, 39% of the underlying companies had a market capitalization below $ 1 billion equivalent and 86% below $ 5 billion3. Issuers’ ownerships and industries are well diversified. Indeed, private-owned enterprises represent 41%, state-owned enterprises 25% and financials 34%4. In sector terms5, when compared with equity indices, the

FIGURE 1: THE FLOURISHING NUMBER OF ONSHORE CONVERTIBLE BONDS

Source: Wind

ILLUSTRATION: SHUTTERSTOCK

Although the very first convertible bond in China was issued thirty years ago, issuance volumes remained minimal until recently. After many credit-led boom-bust cycles, China has engaged in a real disintermediation since the middle of the 2010s, pushing companies to explore its modernizing capital markets. Since then, issuance has been booming, largely surpassing Chinese offshore convertible bonds. From 49 issuers and 140 billion renminbi ($ 21.5 billion) in 2016, it is now close to 400 issuers and 890 billion renminbi ($ 140 billion)1, as Figure 1 shows. For comparison, the US & European markets are respectively $ 303 billion and $ 98 billion with 252 and 105 issuers. The Asian market (including Japan but ex onshore China) is composed of $ 52 billion and 103 issuers2.


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