City of Doral Competitive Assessment

Page 63

Economic Analysis Competitive Assessment

Traffic and Transportation The time and cost of congestion, increased commute times, and lost productivity due to travel delays are tangible economic concerns for today’s employers, and play an increasingly important role in business location and expansion decisions. According to 2015 ACS estimates, 83.7 percent of the City of Doral’s employed population 16+ years of age commute to work each day by truck, car, van and drive alone compared to 79.2 in Miami-Dade County, as a whole. An estimated 8.7 percent of the City’s workers carpool and 0.9 percent use public transportation. The mean travel time to work (one-way) is 26.4 minutes which is slightly less than the County (29.9 minutes). According to the Florida Department of Transportation (FDOT), all of the City’s main east-west roadways — NW 58th St., NW 36th St., NW 25th St., and NW 12th St. — are congested at rush hour, operating at Level of Service (LOS) D or worse. Mean travel time to work for Doral residents, at 26.4 minutes, is less than the County average of 29 minutes, but note that almost 42 percent of Doral residents travel 30 minutes or more to work. Doral is in many ways a victim of its own success. This study has noted that the significant mismatch between worker inflow and resident worker outflow, in addition to increasing truck traffic, is driving Doral’s congestion problems. Doral’s transportation issues are a function of land use, employment location, and limited roadway capacity. Doral’s wildly successful economic growth has created traffic congestion problems that, if not addressed, may grind the City’s transportation to a halt, and threaten its future economic growth. Failure to significantly reduce increasing traffic congestion will also threaten the quality of life it offers to its residents. The mismatch between Doral’s workforce and employment opportunities has resulted in a significant daily commute trip flow entering and leaving Doral: an estimated 73,000 non-resident workers stream into Doral every day and about 15,000 Doral residents commute to other places. This huge demand has been a significant contributor to the congestion problems in and around Doral. If the current trend continues, traffic gridlock will get much worse in the future. According to the Southeast Regional Planning Model (SERPM), by the year 2040 about 29,000 Doral workers would need to leave Doral for job opportunities with another 76,700 non-resident workers commuting into Doral every day (see table below).

Doral Households Residents Employment Resident workers Inside Doral Outside Doral Non-resident workers

Census LEHD 2014

77,612 19,621 4,678 14,943 72,934

ACS 2015 15,038 51,382 23,446 7,620 15,826

Model Year 2040 27,193 80,161 103,836 37,270 8,160 29,110 76,710

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