Southern California Housing Report Table of Contents 2 ..… Meet the Everyday Luxury Real Estate Group at Evergreen Realty 3 ..… Los Angeles County Housing Market Overview 4 ..… Los Angeles County Median Home Price and Rents 5 ..… Los Angeles County Resale and rental $/SF Year-over-Year Percentage Change 6 ..… Los Angeles County Historic Valuation and Market Timing Rating 7 ..… Los Angeles County Investor Returns 8 ..… East Los Angeles Market Performance and Trends: Ventura County, Major Cities, and Zips 11 ..… East Los Angeles Market Timing Rating and Valuations: Ventura County, Major Cities, and Zips 14 ..… West Los Angeles Market Performance and Trends: Ventura County, Major Cities, and Zips 18 ..… West Los Angeles Market Timing Rating and Valuations: Ventura County, Major Cities, and Zips 22 ..… Orange County Housing Market Overview 23 ..… Orange County Median Home Price and Rents 24 ..… Orange County Resale and rental $/SF Year-over-Year Percentage Change 25 ..… Orange County Historic Valuation and Market Timing Rating 26 ..… Orange County Investor Returns 27 ..… Orange County Market Performance and Trends: Ventura County, Major Cities, and Zips 29 ..… Orange County Market Timing Rating and Valuations: Ventura County, Major Cities, and Zips 31 ..… Riverside County Housing Market Overview 32 ..… Riverside County Median Home Price and Rents 33 ..… Riverside County Resale and rental $/SF Year-over-Year Percentage Change 34 ..… Riverside County Historic Valuation and Market Timing Rating 35 ..… Riverside County Investor Returns 36 ..… Riverside County Market Performance and Trends: Ventura County, Major Cities, and Zips 38 ..… Riverside County Market Timing Rating and Valuations: Ventura County, Major Cities, and Zips 40 ..… San Bernardino County Housing Market Overview 41 ..… San Bernardino County Median Home Price and Rents 42 ..… San Bernardino County Resale and rental $/SF Year-over-Year Percentage Change 43 ..… San Bernardino County Historic Valuation and Market Timing Rating 44 ..… San Bernardino County Investor Returns 45 ..… San Bernardino County Market Performance and Trends: Ventura County, Major Cities, and Zips 47 ..… San Bernardino County Market Timing Rating and Values: Ventura County, Major Cities, and Zips 49 ..… Ventura County Housing Market Overview 50 ..… Ventura County Median Home Price and Rents 51 ..… Ventura County Resale and rental $/SF Year-over-Year Percentage Change 52 ..… Ventura County Historic Valuation and Market Timing Rating 53 ..… Ventura County Investor Returns 54 ..… Ventura County Market Performance and Trends: Ventura County, Major Cities, and Zips 55 ..… Ventura County Market Timing Rating and Valuations: Ventura County, Major Cities, and Zips OC Housing News info@ochousingnews.com
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Los Angeles County Housing Market News Historically, properties in this market sell at a 9.5% discount. Today's discount is 14.2%. This market is 4.7% undervalued. Median home price is $507,300 with a rental parity value of $589,300. This market's discount is $82,000. Monthly payment affordability has been improving over the last 3 month(s). Momentum suggests improving affordability. Resale prices on a $/SF basis increased from $407/SF to $409/SF. Resale prices have been rising for 10 month(s). Over the last 12 months, resale prices rose 5.4% indicating a longer term upward price trend. Median rental rates increased $8 last month from $2,633 to $2,641. The current capitalization rate (rent/price) is 5.0%. Rents have been rising for 12 month(s). Price momentum signals rising rents over the next three months. Market rating = 7
Median Home Price and Rental Parity trailing twelve months Rating 7 7 8 8 7 7 8 8 8 7 7 7
Median Rental Parity Historic Value $800,000 $ 469,300 $ 569,000 $ 514,855 $ 467,600 $ 570,000 $ 515,759 $600,000 $ 470,100 $ 567,700 $ 513,678 $ 475,100 $ 578,200 $ 523,179 $400,000 $ 484,300 $ 571,900 $ 517,479 $ 492,600 $ 566,200 $ 512,321 $200,000 $ 501,000 $ 567,000 $ 513,045 $ 505,100 $ 581,300 $ 525,984 $ 508,100 $ 588,300 $ 532,318 $- $ 508,000 $ 599,000 $ 542,000 $ 508,800 $ 588,900 $ 532,861 $ 507,300 $ 589,300 $ 533,223
Median
Rental Parity
Historic Value
1/ 20 1 2/ 5 20 1 3/ 5 20 1 4/ 5 20 1 5/ 5 20 1 6/ 5 20 1 7/ 5 20 1 8/ 5 20 1 9/ 5 20 10 15 /2 0 11 15 /2 0 12 15 /2 01 5
Date 1/2015 2/2015 3/2015 4/2015 5/2015 6/2015 7/2015 8/2015 9/2015 10/2015 11/2015 12/2015
Resale $/SF and year-over-year percentage change trailing twelve months Âą Typ. Value -6.2% -7.5% -8.0% -8.1% -7.3% -5.9% -3.8% -3.1% -3.3% -4.5% -4.6% -4.7%
$/SF $ 388 $ 382 $ 383 $ 387 $ 391 $ 395 $ 398 $ 400 $ 403 $ 406 $ 407 $ 409
% Change 8.7% 7.1% 7.1% 7.6% 7.6% 7.6% 6.6% 4.8% 4.4% 4.8% 4.9% 5.4%
$415 $409 $406 $407 $410 $403 $400 $405 $398 $400 $395 $391 $395 $388 $387 $390 $383 $382 $385 $380 $375 $370 1/ 20 15 2/ 20 15 3/ 20 15 4/ 20 15 5/ 20 15 6/ 20 15 7/ 20 15 8/ 20 15 9/ 20 1 10 5 /2 01 11 5 /2 01 12 5 /2 01 5
Date 1/2015 2/2015 3/2015 4/2015 5/2015 6/2015 7/2015 8/2015 9/2015 10/2015 11/2015 12/2015
-0.0951588
OC Housing News info@ochousingnews.com
2
3
$2
,64
3
$2
,63
5
,63
$2
,61
0
$2
,59
9
,56
$2
$2
7
$2
,54
2
$2
,52
7
,50
$2
,48
8
$2
$2
,47
4
Own Historic Cost to Own Relative to Rent $2,800 $ 2,087 $ 2,239 $ 2,054 $ 2,242 $2,600 $ 2,044 $ 2,250 $2,400 $ 2,049 $ 2,264 $ 2,085 $ 2,286 $2,200 $ 2,136 $ 2,302 $ 2,208 $ 2,325 $2,000 $ 2,245 $ 2,344 Rent Own $1,800 $ 2,260 $ 2,366 $ 2,247 $ 2,383 $ 2,255 $ 2,383 $ 2,261 $ 2,390 ,47
Rent $ 2,474 $ 2,478 $ 2,487 $ 2,502 $ 2,527 $ 2,544 $ 2,569 $ 2,590 $ 2,615 $ 2,633 $ 2,633 $ 2,642
$2
% Change 5.3% 5.5% 6.0% 6.2% 6.7% 6.8% 6.9% 6.9% 6.9% 7.0% 7.2% 7.4%
Historic Cost to Own Relagve to Rent
1/ 20 1 2/ 5 20 1 3/ 5 20 1 4/ 5 20 1 5/ 5 20 1 6/ 5 20 1 7/ 5 20 1 8/ 5 20 1 9/ 5 20 10 15 /2 0 11 15 /2 0 12 15 /2 01 5
Date 1/2015 2/2015 3/2015 4/2015 5/2015 6/2015 7/2015 8/2015 9/2015 10/2015 11/2015 12/2015
4
Rental rate and year-over-year percentage change trailing twelve months
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1/ 19 1/ 88 19 1/ 89 19 1/ 90 19 1/ 91 19 1/ 92 19 1/ 93 19 1/ 94 19 1/ 95 19 1/ 96 19 1/ 97 19 1/ 98 19 1/ 99 20 1/ 00 20 1/ 01 20 1/ 02 20 1/ 03 20 1/ 04 20 1/ 05 20 1/ 06 20 1/ 07 20 1/ 08 20 1/ 09 20 1/ 10 20 1/ 11 20 1/ 12 20 1/ 13 20 1/ 14 20 1/ 15 20 1/ 16 20 17 1/ 19 1/ 88 19 1/ 89 19 1/ 90 19 1/ 91 19 1/ 92 19 1/ 93 19 1/ 94 19 1/ 95 19 1/ 96 19 1/ 97 19 1/ 98 19 1/ 99 20 1/ 00 20 1/ 01 20 1/ 02 20 1/ 03 20 1/ 04 20 1/ 05 20 1/ 06 20 1/ 07 20 1/ 08 20 1/ 09 20 1/ 10 20 1/ 11 20 1/ 12 20 1/ 13 20 1/ 14 20 1/ 15 20 1/ 16 20 17
Los Angeles County median home price since January 1988
$700,000
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Median Resale
Median Rent
Rental Parity
Cost to Own
January 2016
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Historic Value Projecgon
$600,000
$500,000
$400,000
$300,000
$200,000
$100,000
$0
Los Angeles County median rent and monthly cost of ownership since January 1988
$3,500 Historic Cost to Own Relagve to Rent
$3,000
$2,500
$2,000
$1,500
$1,000
$500
$0
Shevy Akason 877-409-8515
Resale $/SF Year-over-Year Percentage Change: Los Angeles County since January 1989 Appreciagon rates in excess of 7% are not sustainable. Long periods of excessive appreciagon lead to a crash.
Normal and sustainable
Falling/Correcgng
1/ 19 1/ 89 19 1/ 90 19 1/ 91 19 1/ 92 19 1/ 93 19 1/ 94 19 1/ 95 19 1/ 96 19 1/ 97 19 1/ 98 19 1/ 99 20 1/ 00 20 1/ 01 20 1/ 02 20 1/ 03 20 1/ 04 20 1/ 05 20 1/ 06 20 1/ 07 20 1/ 08 20 1/ 09 20 1/ 10 20 1/ 11 20 1/ 12 20 1/ 13 20 1/ 14 20 1/ 15 20 1/ 16 20 17
50% 45% 40% 35% 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% -5% -10% -15% -20% -25% -30% -35% -40% -45% -50%
Rental $/SF Year-over-Year Percentage Change: Los Angeles County since January 1989 18% 16%
Rental rates in excess of 7% are not sustainable. Long periods of excessive appreciagon lead to a crash.
14% 12% 10% 8%
Normal and sustainable
6% 4% 2%
Weak
0% -2%
Falling/Correcgng
-4% -6%
1/ 19 1/ 89 19 1/ 90 19 1/ 91 19 1/ 92 19 1/ 93 19 1/ 94 19 1/ 95 19 1/ 96 19 1/ 97 19 1/ 98 19 1/ 99 20 1/ 00 20 1/ 01 20 1/ 02 20 1/ 03 20 1/ 04 20 1/ 05 20 1/ 06 20 1/ 07 20 1/ 08 20 1/ 09 20 1/ 10 20 1/ 11 20 1/ 12 20 1/ 13 20 1/ 14 20 1/ 15 20 1/ 16 20 17
-8%
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Historic Median Home Price Relative to Rental Parity: Los Angeles County since January 1988 91.0% 84.0% 77.0% 70.0% 63.0% 56.0% 49.0% 42.0% 35.0% 28.0% 21.0% 14.0% 7.0% 0.0% -7.0% -14.0% -21.0% -28.0% -35.0% -42.0% -49.0%
Historic Norm
Stable period between housing bubbles from 1993-1999 establishes historic norm.
1/ 19 1/ 88 19 1/ 89 19 1/ 90 19 1/ 91 19 1/ 92 19 1/ 93 19 1/ 94 19 1/ 95 19 1/ 96 19 1/ 97 19 1/ 98 19 1/ 99 20 1/ 00 20 1/ 01 20 1/ 02 20 1/ 03 20 1/ 04 20 1/ 05 20 1/ 06 20 1/ 07 20 1/ 08 20 1/ 09 20 1/ 10 20 1/ 11 20 1/ 12 20 1/ 13 20 1/ 14 20 1/ 15 20 1/ 16 20 17
Discount or Premium
Value Relagve to Rental Parity
OCHN Market Timing System Rating: Los Angeles County since January 1988 10 9 8
Values 7-10: Undervalued Market: Strong Buy Recommendagon
7 6 5
Values 4-6: Neutral Market, Weak Buy Recommendagon
4 3
Values 1-3: Inated or Weak Market: Consider Selling. Do not Buy.
2 1
1/ 19 1/ 88 19 1/ 89 19 1/ 90 19 1/ 91 19 1/ 92 19 1/ 93 19 1/ 94 19 1/ 95 19 1/ 96 19 1/ 97 19 1/ 98 19 1/ 99 20 1/ 00 20 1/ 01 20 1/ 02 20 1/ 03 20 1/ 04 20 1/ 05 20 1/ 06 20 1/ 07 20 1/ 08 20 1/ 09 20 1/ 10 20 1/ 11 20 1/ 12 20 1/ 13 20 1/ 14 20 1/ 15 20 1/ 16 20 17
0
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1/ 19 1/ 88 19 1/ 89 19 1/ 90 19 1/ 91 19 1/ 92 19 1/ 93 19 1/ 94 19 1/ 95 19 1/ 96 19 1/ 97 19 1/ 98 19 1/ 99 20 1/ 00 20 1/ 01 20 1/ 02 20 1/ 03 20 1/ 04 20 1/ 05 20 1/ 06 20 1/ 07 20 1/ 08 20 1/ 09 20 1/ 10 20 1/ 11 20 1/ 12 20 1/ 13 20 1/ 14 20 1/ 15 20 1/ 16 20 17 1/ 19 1/ 88 19 1/ 89 19 1/ 90 19 1/ 91 19 1/ 92 19 1/ 93 19 1/ 94 19 1/ 95 19 1/ 96 19 1/ 97 19 1/ 98 19 1/ 99 20 1/ 00 20 1/ 01 20 1/ 02 20 1/ 03 20 1/ 04 20 1/ 05 20 1/ 06 20 1/ 07 20 1/ 08 20 1/ 09 20 1/ 10 20 1/ 11 20 1/ 12 20 1/ 13 20 1/ 14 20 1/ 15 20 1/ 16 20 17
Cash Investor Capitalization Rate: Los Angeles County since January 1988 Capitalizagon Rate
OC Housing News info@ochousingnews.com Mortgage Interest Rate
12.0%
10.0%
8.0%
6.0%
4.0%
2.0%
0.0%
Financed Investor Cash-on-Cash Return: Los Angeles County since January 1988
25.0%
20.0%
15.0%
10.0%
5.0%
0.0%
-5.0%
-10.0%
-15.0%
-20.0%
-25.0%
-30.0%
January 2016
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Market Performance and Trends: East Los Angeles County, Major Cities, and Zips City
Median Resale $
Resale % Rent % Change YoY Resale $/SF Change YoY
Median Rent $
Cost of Ownership
Ownership Prem./Disc.
Cap Rate
Alhambra
$ 533,600
3.7%
$ 392
10.8%
$ 2,098
$ 2,372
$ 274
3.8%
Arcadia
$ 941,700
-14.5%
$ 507
4.3%
$ 2,803
$ 4,204
$ 1,401
2.9%
Artesia
$ 392,400
15.3%
$ 377
0.6%
$ 1,717
$ 1,757
$ 40
4.2%
Azusa
$ 372,700
1.7%
$ 286
3.0%
$ 1,887
$ 1,644
$ (243)
4.9%
Baldwin Park
$ 347,500
8.5%
$ 300
10.3%
$ 1,746
$ 1,553
$ (193)
4.8%
Bellflower
$ 420,500
14.5%
$ 326
3.9%
$ 1,925
$ 1,840
$ (85)
4.4%
Canyon Country
$ 419,800
10.1%
$ 255
7.9%
$ 2,174
$ 1,863
$ (311)
5.0%
Cerritos
$ 629,800
8.1%
$ 375
5.9%
$ 2,564
$ 2,799
$ 235
3.9%
Claremont
$ 579,100
0.7%
$ 307
4.4%
$ 2,225
$ 2,595
$ 370
3.7%
Covina
$ 430,100
8.2%
$ 302
8.8%
$ 2,001
$ 1,906
$ (95)
4.5%
Diamond Bar
$ 533,400
3.2%
$ 336
4.2%
$ 2,403
$ 2,378
$ (24)
4.3%
Downey
$ 472,500
14.3%
$ 347
12.0%
$ 1,921
$ 2,117
$ 196
3.9%
Duarte
$ 413,900
9.6%
$ 343
9.0%
$ 1,994
$ 1,802
$ (192)
4.6%
El Monte
$ 412,400
2.6%
$ 304
17.0%
$ 1,811
$ 1,842
$ 31
4.2%
Glendora
$ 528,100
5.0%
$ 341
5.6%
$ 2,275
$ 2,341
$ 66
4.1%
Hacienda Heights
$ 545,000
2.7%
$ 312
1.4%
$ 2,272
$ 2,417
$ 145
4.0%
La Mirada
$ 488,500
4.8%
$ 328
4.5%
$ 2,442
$ 2,163
$ (279)
4.8%
La Puente
$ 380,100
9.9%
$ 307
5.8%
$ 1,933
$ 1,681
$ (252)
4.9%
La Verne
$ 561,900
6.7%
$ 327
3.1%
$ 2,326
$ 2,565
$ 239
4.0%
Lakewood
$ 491,300
8.4%
$ 379
4.6%
$ 2,249
$ 2,177
$ (72)
4.4%
Lancaster
$ 208,200
11.0%
$ 122
0.0%
$ 1,474
$ 909
$ (565)
6.8%
Monrovia
$ 548,000
1.1%
$ 399
5.8%
$ 2,306
$ 2,451
$ 146
4.0%
Monterey Park
$ 539,800
4.0%
$ 368
5.3%
$ 2,257
$ 2,356
$ 98
4.0%
Newhall
$ 354,300
7.4%
$ 254
8.6%
$ 1,683
$ 1,591
$ (91)
4.6%
Norwalk
$ 391,500
14.1%
$ 343
4.5%
$ 1,965
$ 1,741
$ (224)
4.8%
Palmdale
$ 249,700
14.8%
$ 140
8.7%
$ 1,535
$ 1,100
$ (435)
5.9%
Pasadena
$ 668,700
-0.7%
$ 484
3.4%
$ 2,389
$ 2,968
$ 579
3.4%
Pomona
$ 327,200
7.6%
$ 250
3.4%
$ 1,644
$ 1,452
$ (192)
4.8%
Rowland Heights
$ 565,100
4.3%
$ 342
2.5%
$ 2,259
$ 2,522
$ 263
3.8%
San Dimas
$ 500,200
7.4%
$ 318
6.6%
$ 2,000
$ 2,175
$ 175
3.8%
San Gabriel
$ 660,200
-2.1%
$ 419
0.0%
$ 2,322
$ 2,939
$ 616
3.4%
San Marino
$ 2,223,800
-12.0%
$ 820
1.9%
$ 3,572
$ 9,915
$ 6,342
1.5%
Sierra Madre
$ 836,400
3.8%
$ 489
-6.5%
$ 2,364
$ 3,718
$ 1,354
2.7%
South Pasadena
$ 1,045,700
-2.5%
$ 553
5.2%
$ 2,607
$ 4,614
$ 2,007
2.4%
Stevenson Ranch
$ 623,000
2.5%
$ 265
-5.8%
$ 2,326
$ 2,746
$ 419
3.6%
Sunland
$ 441,900
13.1%
$ 342
32.1%
$ 1,965
$ 1,988
$ 22
4.3%
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Market Performance and Trends: East Los Angeles County, Major Cities, and Zips Median Resale $
Resale % Rent % Change YoY Resale $/SF Change YoY
Median Rent $
Cost of Ownership
Ownership Prem./Disc.
Cap Rate
City Temple City
$ 653,700
-3.4%
$ 430
6.4%
$ 2,139
$ 2,950
$ 811
3.1%
Tujunga
$ 468,600
20.6%
$ 368
-1.3%
$ 2,127
$ 2,075
$ (51)
4.4%
Van Nuys
$ 439,200
5.5%
$ 303
8.5%
$ 1,966
$ 1,934
$ (32)
4.3%
West Covina
$ 460,600
6.9%
$ 311
2.6%
$ 2,042
$ 2,038
$ (3)
4.3%
Whittier
$ 448,200
7.8%
$ 329
1.9%
$ 2,008
$ 1,990
$ (18)
4.3%
Woodland Hills
$ 652,500
4.6%
$ 360
6.3%
$ 2,554
$ 2,892
$ 338
3.8%
Alhambra 91801
$ 531,300
4.7%
$ 399
12.2%
$ 1,962
$ 2,361
$ 399
3.5%
Alhambra 91803
$ 535,200
4.8%
$ 389
5.7%
$ 1,885
$ 2,387
$ 502
3.4%
Arcadia 91006
$ 928,000
-7.5%
$ 518
4.0%
$ 2,817
$ 4,134
$ 1,317
2.9%
Azusa 91702
$ 372,700
1.7%
$ 286
3.0%
$ 1,887
$ 1,644
$ (243)
4.9%
Canyon Country 91351
$ 395,400
9.2%
$ 258
8.9%
$ 1,744
$ 1,756
$ 13
4.2%
Canyon Country 91387
$ 461,100
9.1%
$ 250
3.5%
$ 2,437
$ 2,016
$ (420)
5.1%
Covina 91722
$ 399,700
5.8%
$ 306
0.4%
$ 2,121
$ 1,778
$ (343)
5.1%
Covina 91723
$ 425,500
9.9%
$ 309
18.1%
$ 1,729
$ 1,884
$ 155
3.9%
Diamond Bar 91765
$ 540,500
2.5%
$ 331
5.0%
$ 2,411
$ 2,394
$ (17)
4.3%
Duarte 91010
$ 413,900
9.9%
$ 344
8.5%
$ 1,994
$ 1,798
$ (197)
4.6%
El Monte 91732
$ 392,800
5.7%
$ 302
8.5%
$ 1,742
$ 1,779
$ 37
4.3%
Glendora 91740
$ 454,700
6.0%
$ 331
6.9%
$ 2,325
$ 2,022
$ (303)
4.9%
Glendora 91741
$ 635,400
4.7%
$ 352
4.6%
$ 2,367
$ 2,831
$ 463
3.6%
Hacienda Hts 91745
$ 552,500
2.9%
$ 313
-0.7%
$ 2,322
$ 2,455
$ 133
4.0%
La Puente 91744
$ 377,300
10.6%
$ 307
5.2%
$ 1,864
$ 1,669
$ (195)
4.7%
La Verne 91750
$ 567,500
5.7%
$ 324
3.1%
$ 2,326
$ 2,585
$ 260
3.9%
Lakewood 90713
$ 507,600
8.8%
$ 390
-0.3%
$ 2,211
$ 2,247
$ 35
4.2%
Lakewood 90715
$ 412,300
11.9%
$ 341
14.9%
$ 1,804
$ 1,807
$ 3
4.2%
Monrovia 91016
$ 548,000
1.1%
$ 399
5.8%
$ 2,306
$ 2,451
$ 146
4.0%
Monterey Park 91754
$ 544,600
6.2%
$ 383
5.6%
$ 2,207
$ 2,367
$ 160
3.9%
Monterey Park 91755
$ 478,200
1.4%
$ 346
-0.2%
$ 2,356
$ 2,132
$ (224)
4.7%
Newhall 91321
$ 343,500
7.3%
$ 254
8.3%
$ 1,683
$ 1,547
$ (135)
4.7%
Norwalk 90650
$ 391,500
14.1%
$ 343
4.5%
$ 1,965
$ 1,741
$ (224)
4.8%
Pasadena 91101
$ 493,500
0.7%
$ 481
4.3%
$ 2,514
$ 2,210
$ (305)
4.9%
Pasadena 91103
$ 604,300
26.7%
$ 492
10.5%
$ 2,392
$ 2,620
$ 228
3.8%
Pasadena 91104
$ 662,500
11.3%
$ 479
13.0%
$ 2,226
$ 2,985
$ 759
3.2%
Pasadena 91105
$ 1,127,600
-2.4%
$ 548
14.7%
$ 3,402
$ 5,172
$ 1,771
2.9%
Pasadena 91106
$ 555,900
10.7%
$ 483
4.6%
$ 2,411
$ 2,435
$ 23
4.2%
Pasadena 91107
$ 699,200
-5.0%
$ 455
0.7%
$ 2,562
$ 3,134
$ 573
3.5%
Playa del Rey 90293
$ 570,200
14.0%
$ 555
5.5%
$ 2,898
$ 2,503
$ (394)
4.9%
Pomona 91767
$ 340,700
7.3%
$ 248
3.9%
$ 1,808
$ 1,505
$ (303)
5.1%
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Market Performance and Trends: East Los Angeles County, Major Cities, and Zips Median Resale $
Resale % Rent % Change YoY Resale $/SF Change YoY
Median Rent $
Cost of Ownership
Ownership Prem./Disc.
Cap Rate
City Pomona 91767
$ 340,700
7.3%
$ 248
3.9%
$ 1,808
$ 1,505
$ (303)
5.1%
Pomona 91768
$ 324,200
8.6%
$ 248
9.7%
$ 1,535
$ 1,433
$ (102)
4.5%
Rosemead 91770
$ 506,200
5.0%
$ 374
3.3%
$ 1,923
$ 2,220
$ 297
3.6%
Rowland Heights 91748
$ 565,100
4.2%
$ 342
2.6%
$ 2,259
$ 2,522
$ 263
3.8%
San Dimas 91773
$ 500,200
7.3%
$ 318
6.5%
$ 2,000
$ 2,175
$ 175
3.8%
San Gabriel 91775
$ 757,400
1.2%
$ 451
-6.8%
$ 2,322
$ 3,334
$ 1,012
2.9%
San Gabriel 91776
$ 548,900
-8.6%
$ 379
12.7%
$ 1,943
$ 2,409
$ 466
3.4%
San Marino 91108
$ 2,223,800
-12.0%
$ 820
1.8%
$ 3,572
$ 9,915
$ 6,342
1.5%
Sierra Madre 91024
$ 870,400
3.8%
$ 489
-6.7%
$ 2,364
$ 3,849
$ 1,485
2.6%
South Pasadena 91030
$ 1,045,700
-2.4%
$ 554
5.2%
$ 2,607
$ 4,614
$ 2,007
2.4%
Stevenson Ranch 91381
$ 623,000
2.5%
$ 265
-5.8%
$ 2,326
$ 2,746
$ 419
3.6%
Sunland 91040
$ 441,900
13.1%
$ 342
32.1%
$ 1,965
$ 1,988
$ 22
4.3%
Temple City 91780
$ 648,500
-3.4%
$ 430
6.5%
$ 2,139
$ 2,936
$ 797
3.2%
Tujunga 91042
$ 468,600
20.7%
$ 368
0.0%
$ 2,359
$ 2,075
$ (284)
4.8%
West Covina 91790
$ 452,500
7.8%
$ 321
3.4%
$ 2,177
$ 1,996
$ (182)
4.6%
West Covina 91791
$ 488,100
3.9%
$ 307
1.0%
$ 2,108
$ 2,153
$ 45
4.1%
West Covina 91792
$ 422,000
7.0%
$ 296
5.2%
$ 1,943
$ 1,899
$ (44)
4.4%
Whittier 90603
$ 504,700
6.1%
$ 335
1.2%
$ 2,499
$ 2,235
$ (264)
4.8%
Whittier 90605
$ 439,000
8.6%
$ 337
8.3%
$ 1,959
$ 1,950
$ (10)
4.3%
Woodland Hills 91364
$ 751,500
3.0%
$ 363
4.9%
$ 3,045
$ 3,318
$ 273
3.9%
OC Housing News info@ochousingnews.com
10 of 58
January 2016
Shevy Akason 877-409-8515
Market Timing Rating and Valuations: East Los Angeles County, Major Cities, and Zips % Over/Under Rental Parity Rental Parity
Historic Premium
% Over/Under Historic Prem.
12.0%
26.6%
-14.5%
$ 625,300
50.7%
56.3%
-5.6%
$ 392,400
$ 383,000
-1.3%
12.9%
-14.1%
7
$ 372,700
$ 421,000
-11.7%
1.8%
-13.5%
Baldwin Park
7
$ 347,500
$ 389,600
-9.8%
4.2%
-14.0%
Bellflower
10
$ 420,500
$ 429,400
-3.5%
23.0%
-26.5%
Canyon Country
8
$ 419,800
$ 484,900
-12.4%
8.8%
-21.2%
Cerritos
8
$ 629,800
$ 572,000
9.8%
21.4%
-11.6%
Claremont
6
$ 579,100
$ 496,300
14.2%
19.1%
-4.9%
Covina
7
$ 430,100
$ 446,400
-4.3%
9.8%
-14.1%
Diamond Bar
10
$ 533,400
$ 536,000
-0.8%
25.6%
-26.4%
Downey
6
$ 472,500
$ 428,600
11.0%
7.2%
3.8%
Duarte
7
$ 413,900
$ 444,900
-10.4%
2.5%
-12.9%
El Monte
7
$ 412,400
$ 404,000
-1.2%
3.6%
-4.8%
9
$ 528,100
$ 507,500
5.4%
20.6%
-15.2%
7
$ 545,000
$ 506,900
7.3%
21.0%
-13.6%
9
$ 488,500
$ 544,700
-11.8%
-0.5%
-11.3%
9
$ 380,100
$ 431,300
-12.0%
4.2%
-16.3%
10
$ 561,900
$ 518,800
10.4%
33.8%
-23.4%
8
$ 491,300
$ 501,600
-3.1%
12.2%
-15.3%
6
$ 208,200
$ 328,800
-37.8%
-14.0%
-23.8%
7
$ 548,000
$ 514,300
10.1%
18.9%
-8.9%
10
$ 539,800
$ 503,600
7.1%
29.7%
-22.6%
9
$ 354,300
$ 375,300
-3.1%
23.1%
-26.2%
8
$ 391,500
$ 438,400
-12.1%
0.4%
-12.5%
7
$ 249,700
$ 342,400
-26.9%
-15.2%
-11.7%
6
$ 668,700
$ 532,900
22.1%
17.1%
5.1%
8
$ 327,200
$ 366,700
-13.9%
-4.6%
-9.3%
8
$ 565,100
$ 503,900
8.1%
13.5%
-5.4%
9
$ 500,200
$ 446,200
7.4%
24.5%
-17.2%
4
$ 660,200
$ 518,000
28.2%
32.5%
-4.3%
1
$ 2,223,800
$ 796,900
170.8%
100.0%
70.8%
Sierra Madre
4
$ 836,400
$ 527,300
59.0%
53.2%
5.8%
South Pasadena
4
$ 1,045,700
$ 581,600
77.3%
56.6%
20.7%
Stevenson Ranch
4
$ 623,000
$ 519,000
15.8%
14.6%
1.2%
Sunland
6
$ 441,900
$ 438,400
-0.4%
4.1%
-4.4%
Rating
Median
Alhambra
8
$ 533,600
$ 468,100
Arcadia
5
$ 941,700
Artesia
6
Azusa
City
Glendora Hacienda Heights La Mirada La Puente La Verne Lakewood Lancaster Monrovia Monterey Park Newhall Norwalk Palmdale Pasadena Pomona Rowland Heights San Dimas San Gabriel San Marino
OC Housing News info@ochousingnews.com
11 of 58
January 2016
Shevy Akason 877-409-8515
Market Timing Rating and Valuations: East Los Angeles County, Major Cities, and Zips % Over/Under Rental Parity Rental Parity
Historic Premium
% Over/Under Historic Prem.
36.9%
40.6%
-3.7%
-2.4%
-6.7%
4.4%
-3.1%
5.5%
-8.6%
-1.3%
12.4%
-13.7%
-0.1%
10.1%
-10.2%
12.7%
20.2%
-7.6%
18.6%
31.1%
-12.5%
25.2%
20.3%
4.9%
47.1%
56.9%
-9.9%
-11.7%
1.8%
-13.5%
$ 389,000
-2.6%
9.7%
-12.3%
$ 461,100
$ 543,600
-17.9%
31.7%
-49.5%
9
$ 399,700
$ 473,200
-14.9%
10.5%
-25.3%
Covina 91723
6
$ 425,500
$ 385,600
7.2%
11.1%
-3.9%
Diamond Bar 91765
10
$ 540,500
$ 537,900
-0.5%
26.9%
-27.4%
Duarte 91010
7
$ 413,900
$ 444,900
-10.7%
2.5%
-13.2%
El Monte 91732
7
$ 392,800
$ 388,500
-0.7%
5.5%
-6.3%
Glendora 91740
10
$ 454,700
$ 518,700
-10.2%
10.9%
-21.1%
Glendora 91741
10
$ 635,400
$ 528,100
21.5%
43.2%
-21.7%
Hacienda Hts 91745
6
$ 552,500
$ 518,000
5.8%
20.9%
-15.1%
La Puente 91744
8
$ 377,300
$ 415,800
-9.9%
5.0%
-14.9%
La Verne 91750
10
$ 567,500
$ 518,800
11.3%
33.4%
-22.1%
Lakewood 90713
5
$ 507,600
$ 493,300
1.8%
12.4%
-10.5%
Lakewood 90715
7
$ 412,300
$ 402,400
1.9%
10.3%
-8.3%
Monrovia 91016
7
$ 548,000
$ 514,300
10.1%
18.9%
-8.9%
Monterey Park 91754
10
$ 544,600
$ 492,300
10.1%
30.8%
-20.7%
Monterey Park 91755
6
$ 478,200
$ 525,500
-8.0%
23.4%
-31.4%
Newhall 91321
9
$ 343,500
$ 375,300
-5.8%
23.7%
-29.5%
Norwalk 90650
8
$ 391,500
$ 438,400
-12.1%
0.4%
-12.4%
Pasadena 91101
6
$ 493,500
$ 560,900
-12.2%
-8.8%
-3.4%
Pasadena 91103
5
$ 604,300
$ 533,600
8.0%
-5.2%
13.2%
Pasadena 91104
6
$ 662,500
$ 496,500
33.5%
31.3%
2.2%
Pasadena 91105
6
$ 1,127,600
$ 758,900
51.8%
65.5%
-13.7%
8
$ 555,900
$ 537,900
0.2%
15.8%
-15.6%
5
$ 699,200
$ 571,500
23.4%
32.5%
-9.1%
10
$ 570,200
$ 646,400
-13.4%
19.5%
-32.9%
Rating
Median
Temple City
6
$ 653,700
$ 477,100
Tujunga
4
$ 468,600
$ 474,400
Van Nuys
8
$ 439,200
$ 438,700
West Covina
9
$ 460,600
$ 455,500
Whittier
6
$ 448,200
$ 448,000
Woodland Hills
8
$ 652,500
$ 569,700
Alhambra 91801
8
$ 531,300
$ 437,600
Alhambra 91803
8
$ 535,200
$ 420,400
Arcadia 91006
6
$ 928,000
$ 628,400
Azusa 91702
7
$ 372,700
$ 421,000
Canyon Country 91351
7
$ 395,400
Canyon Country 91387
10
Covina 91722
City
Pasadena 91106 Pasadena 91107 Playa del Rey 90293
OC Housing News info@ochousingnews.com
12 of 58
January 2016
Shevy Akason 877-409-8515
Market Timing Rating and Valuations: East Los Angeles County, Major Cities, and Zips % Over/Under Rental Parity Rental Parity
Historic Premium
% Over/Under Historic Prem.
-16.4%
-6.7%
-9.6%
-5.7%
-8.1%
2.4%
14.0%
29.3%
-15.3%
8.1%
14.0%
-5.9%
7.4%
24.5%
-17.2%
42.0%
43.4%
-1.4%
24.0%
37.3%
-13.4%
170.8%
99.5%
71.3%
64.6%
53.2%
11.3%
77.3%
56.6%
20.7%
$ 519,000
15.8%
23.4%
-7.5%
$ 441,900
$ 438,400
-0.4%
3.1%
-3.5%
6
$ 648,500
$ 477,100
36.3%
40.8%
-4.5%
Tujunga 91042
6
$ 468,600
$ 526,200
-11.7%
-0.5%
-11.2%
West Covina 91790
9
$ 452,500
$ 485,700
-7.3%
14.4%
-21.8%
West Covina 91791
7
$ 488,100
$ 470,300
0.5%
13.9%
-13.3%
West Covina 91792
8
$ 422,000
$ 433,400
-0.3%
12.6%
-12.9%
Whittier 90603
9
$ 504,700
$ 557,600
-9.6%
20.4%
-30.0%
Whittier 90605
7
$ 439,000
$ 437,100
2.3%
15.9%
-13.7%
Woodland Hills 91364
9
$ 751,500
$ 679,400
7.0%
15.7%
-8.7%
Rating
Median
Pomona 91767
8
$ 340,700
$ 403,200
Pomona 91768
6
$ 324,200
$ 342,400
Rosemead 91770
9
$ 506,200
$ 428,900
Rowland Heights 91748
8
$ 565,100
$ 503,900
San Dimas 91773
9
$ 500,200
$ 446,200
San Gabriel 91775
2
$ 757,400
$ 518,000
San Gabriel 91776
5
$ 548,900
$ 433,500
San Marino 91108
1
$ 2,223,800
$ 796,900
Sierra Madre 91024
3
$ 870,400
$ 527,300
South Pasadena 91030
4
$ 1,045,700
$ 581,600
Stevenson Ranch 91381
4
$ 623,000
Sunland 91040
6
Temple City 91780
City
OC Housing News info@ochousingnews.com
13 of 58
January 2016
Shevy Akason 877-409-8515
Market Performance and Trends: West Los Angeles County, Major Cities, and Zips City
Median Resale $
Resale % Rent % Change YoY Resale $/SF Change YoY
Median Rent $
Cost of Ownership
Ownership Prem./Disc.
Cap Rate
Agoura Hills
$ 687,600
9.2%
$ 349
4.4%
$ 2,788
$ 3,026
$ 239
3.9%
Altadena
$ 672,700
12.3%
$ 446
-7.7%
$ 2,467
$ 3,019
$ 552
3.5%
Beverly Hills
$ 2,211,100
7.8%
$ 954
7.8%
$ 3,963
$ 9,684
$ 5,721
1.7%
Burbank
$ 642,600
4.2%
$ 444
10.9%
$ 2,692
$ 2,849
$ 157
4.0%
Calabasas
$ 1,035,900
5.8%
$ 412
1.7%
$ 3,268
$ 4,599
$ 1,331
3.0%
Canoga Park
$ 368,400
12.5%
$ 298
0.1%
$ 1,792
$ 1,656
$ (136)
4.7%
Carson
$ 413,100
8.8%
$ 300
10.5%
$ 2,257
$ 1,850
$ (407)
5.2%
Chatsworth
$ 483,900
0.7%
$ 271
9.7%
$ 2,460
$ 2,235
$ (225)
4.9%
Culver City
$ 739,300
17.4%
$ 578
3.1%
$ 3,177
$ 3,277
$ 100
4.1%
Encino
$ 689,600
2.0%
$ 401
7.2%
$ 2,747
$ 3,108
$ 361
3.8%
Gardena
$ 418,300
9.6%
$ 322
7.2%
$ 2,243
$ 1,855
$ (388)
5.1%
Glendale
$ 631,300
9.4%
$ 423
3.4%
$ 2,262
$ 2,842
$ 580
3.4%
Granada Hills
$ 534,300
9.2%
$ 319
6.6%
$ 2,476
$ 2,389
$ (86)
4.4%
Harbor City
$ 485,900
8.3%
$ 319
1.7%
$ 2,375
$ 2,107
$ (267)
4.7%
Hawthorne
$ 485,000
5.5%
$ 392
4.9%
$ 2,939
$ 2,182
$ (757)
5.8%
Hermosa Beach
$ 1,394,100
11.2%
$ 934
11.1%
$ 3,766
$ 6,119
$ 2,353
2.6%
Inglewood
$ 368,200
20.2%
$ 291
1.6%
$ 1,694
$ 1,637
$ (56)
4.4%
La Canada Flintridge
$ 1,564,100
12.8%
$ 632
-1.9%
$ 3,577
$ 6,829
$ 3,252
2.2%
La Crescenta
$ 728,300
9.4%
$ 458
13.1%
$ 3,212
$ 3,237
$ 24
4.2%
Lomita
$ 523,400
11.0%
$ 373
9.7%
$ 2,203
$ 2,320
$ 117
4.0%
Long Beach
$ 462,000
8.2%
$ 382
9.5%
$ 2,197
$ 2,048
$ (149)
4.6%
Los Angeles (City)
$ 654,600
6.8%
$ 512
7.8%
$ 3,233
$ 2,915
$ (317)
4.7%
Malibu
$ 2,022,100
1.5%
$ 1,049
7.0%
$ 3,960
$ 8,719
$ 4,759
1.9%
Manhattan Beach
$ 2,096,600
18.0%
$ 1,138
15.1%
$ 3,856
$ 9,078
$ 5,223
1.8%
Marina del Rey
$ 896,900
6.7%
$ 604
6.2%
$ 3,517
$ 3,954
$ 436
3.8%
Montrose
$ 547,800
5.6%
$ 406
-1.7%
$ 2,701
$ 2,442
$ (260)
4.7%
North Hills
$ 433,400
10.6%
$ 267
7.7%
$ 2,446
$ 1,931
$ (515)
5.4%
North Hollywood
$ 472,600
11.3%
$ 364
3.8%
$ 2,171
$ 2,094
$ (78)
4.4%
Northridge
$ 600,500
8.3%
$ 304
4.4%
$ 3,081
$ 2,661
$ (421)
4.9%
Pacific Palisades
$ 2,251,700
4.7%
$ 925
-1.2%
$ 4,642
$ 10,019
$ 5,378
2.0%
Playa del Rey
$ 570,200
14.0%
$ 555
6.2%
$ 2,898
$ 2,503
$ (394)
4.9%
Rancho Palos Verdes
$ 1,093,200
5.2%
$ 518
3.3%
$ 3,825
$ 4,809
$ 984
3.4%
Redondo Beach
$ 852,900
7.3%
$ 536
3.7%
$ 3,117
$ 3,819
$ 702
3.5%
Reseda
$ 428,300
10.9%
$ 311
2.5%
$ 2,359
$ 1,900
$ (459)
5.3%
San Pedro
$ 467,700
7.6%
$ 354
4.5%
$ 1,943
$ 2,079
$ 136
4.0%
Santa Monica
$ 1,196,800
0.6%
$ 940
8.2%
$ 3,592
$ 5,402
$ 1,810
2.9%
Sherman Oaks
$ 735,500
6.7%
$ 451
3.1%
$ 2,814
$ 3,221
$ 408
3.7%
OC Housing News info@ochousingnews.com
14 of 58
January 2016
Shevy Akason 877-409-8515
Market Performance and Trends: West Los Angeles County, Major Cities, and Zips Median Resale $
Resale % Rent % Change YoY Resale $/SF Change YoY
Median Rent $
Cost of Ownership
Ownership Prem./Disc.
Cap Rate
City Studio City
$ 927,700
5.8%
$ 530
12.5%
$ 3,682
$ 4,189
$ 507
3.8%
Sylmar
$ 395,400
5.5%
$ 268
3.1%
$ 2,400
$ 1,754
$ (646)
5.8%
Tarzana
$ 559,700
5.4%
$ 333
9.3%
$ 2,649
$ 2,503
$ (146)
4.5%
Torrance
$ 591,500
2.7%
$ 417
5.6%
$ 2,693
$ 2,644
$ (49)
4.4%
Valencia
$ 472,500
5.6%
$ 288
4.2%
$ 2,459
$ 2,090
$ (368)
5.0%
Valley Village
$ 782,400
4.6%
$ 423
11.0%
$ 2,790
$ 3,489
$ 700
3.4%
Venice
$ 1,597,700
8.3%
$ 1,096
9.4%
$ 3,958
$ 7,269
$ 3,310
2.4%
Walnut
$ 709,900
-1.5%
$ 370
3.2%
$ 2,616
$ 3,182
$ 566
3.5%
West Hills
$ 574,300
10.6%
$ 346
5.8%
$ 2,735
$ 2,544
$ (192)
4.6%
West Hollywood
$ 695,600
15.3%
$ 701
4.2%
$ 3,489
$ 3,067
$ (421)
4.8%
Winnetka
$ 460,300
8.9%
$ 293
3.3%
$ 2,474
$ 2,026
$ (449)
5.2%
Agoura Hills 91301
$ 687,600
9.2%
$ 349
4.4%
$ 2,788
$ 3,026
$ 239
3.9%
Altadena 91001
$ 672,700
12.1%
$ 446
-7.7%
$ 2,467
$ 3,019
$ 552
3.5%
Beverly Hills 90210
$ 2,717,800
6.2%
$ 1,036
5.2%
$ 3,913
$ 12,185
$ 8,273
1.4%
Beverly Hills 90211
$ 1,541,600
0.1%
$ 756
1.7%
$ 4,298
$ 6,698
$ 2,400
2.7%
Burbank 91501
$ 598,000
8.7%
$ 433
0.6%
$ 2,567
$ 2,632
$ 65
4.1%
Burbank 91504
$ 623,700
3.2%
$ 405
4.1%
$ 2,889
$ 2,748
$ (141)
4.4%
Burbank 91505
$ 628,000
4.7%
$ 470
14.8%
$ 2,456
$ 2,784
$ 328
3.8%
Calabasas 91302
$ 1,124,800
5.0%
$ 414
1.6%
$ 3,356
$ 4,886
$ 1,531
2.9%
Chatsworth 91311
$ 483,900
0.7%
$ 271
9.7%
$ 2,460
$ 2,235
$ (225)
4.9%
Culver City 90230
$ 510,800
16.6%
$ 531
5.2%
$ 2,839
$ 2,220
$ (619)
5.3%
Gardena 90247
$ 383,000
7.8%
$ 299
-2.0%
$ 1,600
$ 1,705
$ 105
4.0%
Glendale 91202
$ 571,200
10.6%
$ 401
10.7%
$ 2,571
$ 2,513
$ (58)
4.3%
Glendale 91206
$ 628,600
7.4%
$ 389
-3.2%
$ 2,246
$ 2,645
$ 399
3.4%
Glendale 91207
$ 810,900
15.3%
$ 452
4.6%
$ 2,665
$ 3,675
$ 1,011
3.2%
Glendale 91208
$ 829,000
10.8%
$ 449
1.2%
$ 2,635
$ 3,700
$ 1,065
3.1%
Granada Hills 91344
$ 537,200
8.5%
$ 318
6.6%
$ 2,476
$ 2,406
$ (69)
4.4%
Harbor City 90710
$ 482,100
8.2%
$ 319
2.0%
$ 2,383
$ 2,098
$ (285)
4.7%
La Canada Flintridge 91011 $ 1,564,100
12.8%
$ 632
-1.9%
$ 3,577
$ 6,829
$ 3,252
2.2%
La Crescenta 91214
$ 728,300
9.4%
$ 458
13.1%
$ 3,212
$ 3,237
$ 24
4.2%
Lomita 90717
$ 523,400
11.4%
$ 373
9.1%
$ 2,203
$ 2,320
$ 117
4.0%
Long Beach 90802
$ 293,000
9.0%
$ 377
9.4%
$ 2,084
$ 1,291
$ (793)
6.8%
Long Beach 90803
$ 660,700
4.3%
$ 502
7.5%
$ 2,497
$ 3,044
$ 547
3.6%
Long Beach 90804
$ 359,700
6.6%
$ 358
7.6%
$ 1,881
$ 1,577
$ (304)
5.0%
Long Beach 90805
$ 353,300
7.4%
$ 308
10.2%
$ 1,933
$ 1,568
$ (365)
5.3%
Long Beach 90805
$ 353,300
7.4%
$ 308
10.2%
$ 1,933
$ 1,568
$ (365)
5.3%
Long Beach 90806
$ 422,800
15.9%
$ 346
9.8%
$ 1,653
$ 1,849
$ 196
3.8%
OC Housing News info@ochousingnews.com
15 of 58
January 2016
Shevy Akason 877-409-8515
Market Performance and Trends: West Los Angeles County, Major Cities, and Zips Median Resale $
Resale % Rent % Change YoY Resale $/SF Change YoY
Median Rent $
Cost of Ownership
Ownership Prem./Disc.
Cap Rate
City Long Beach 90807
$ 533,500
11.1%
$ 369
8.3%
$ 1,556
$ 2,325
$ 769
2.8%
Long Beach 90808
$ 571,900
3.6%
$ 398
10.0%
$ 2,252
$ 2,546
$ 295
3.8%
Long Beach 90813
$ 299,800
15.0%
$ 300
10.3%
$ 1,182
$ 1,332
$ 150
3.8%
Long Beach 90814
$ 617,400
1.6%
$ 419
27.3%
$ 2,236
$ 2,718
$ 482
3.5%
Long Beach 90815
$ 582,300
8.9%
$ 406
11.2%
$ 2,462
$ 2,571
$ 110
4.1%
Los Angeles 90004
$ 806,300
12.1%
$ 629
23.3%
$ 3,448
$ 3,610
$ 162
4.1%
Los Angeles 90005
$ 607,700
-2.3%
$ 435
10.6%
$ 2,943
$ 2,659
$ (284)
4.6%
Los Angeles 90012
$ 460,800
2.5%
$ 519
7.0%
$ 2,294
$ 2,051
$ (243)
4.8%
Los Angeles 90019
$ 877,200
9.7%
$ 497
5.6%
$ 2,587
$ 3,896
$ 1,309
2.8%
Los Angeles 90020
$ 441,800
1.6%
$ 493
9.0%
$ 2,326
$ 1,946
$ (380)
5.1%
Los Angeles 90024
$ 834,800
5.7%
$ 678
5.7%
$ 3,114
$ 3,686
$ 573
3.6%
Los Angeles 90025
$ 772,100
10.5%
$ 586
7.5%
$ 3,721
$ 3,430
$ (291)
4.6%
Los Angeles 90026
$ 826,900
8.4%
$ 592
-1.7%
$ 3,450
$ 3,544
$ 94
4.0%
Los Angeles 90027
$ 1,205,000
2.7%
$ 605
10.7%
$ 3,193
$ 5,319
$ 2,126
2.5%
Los Angeles 90034
$ 828,000
12.6%
$ 596
32.4%
$ 3,811
$ 3,763
$ (48)
4.4%
Los Angeles 90035
$ 973,900
14.6%
$ 625
8.3%
$ 3,269
$ 4,288
$ 1,019
3.2%
Los Angeles 90036
$ 1,205,200
1.9%
$ 617
10.0%
$ 3,743
$ 5,153
$ 1,411
3.0%
Los Angeles 90042
$ 511,700
0.7%
$ 443
9.6%
$ 2,127
$ 2,315
$ 187
4.0%
Los Angeles 90045
$ 913,200
8.5%
$ 576
15.1%
$ 3,627
$ 4,009
$ 382
3.8%
Los Angeles 90046
$ 1,232,200
1.3%
$ 696
-3.9%
$ 3,426
$ 5,566
$ 2,140
2.7%
Los Angeles 90048
$ 1,507,200
13.6%
$ 759
-0.5%
$ 3,744
$ 6,643
$ 2,899
2.4%
Los Angeles 90049
$ 1,624,800
5.6%
$ 801
11.5%
$ 3,743
$ 7,057
$ 3,314
2.2%
Los Angeles 90064
$ 1,066,400
8.1%
$ 693
6.3%
$ 3,478
$ 4,627
$ 1,149
3.1%
Los Angeles 90066
$ 1,126,600
9.8%
$ 710
4.0%
$ 3,793
$ 4,990
$ 1,197
3.2%
Los Angeles 90068
$ 1,193,500
7.8%
$ 612
7.7%
$ 3,944
$ 5,321
$ 1,377
3.2%
Manhattan Beach 90266
$ 2,096,600
18.3%
$ 1,141
14.2%
$ 3,856
$ 9,078
$ 5,223
1.8%
Marina del Rey 90292
$ 896,900
6.7%
$ 604
6.2%
$ 3,517
$ 3,954
$ 436
3.8%
Montrose 91020
$ 551,400
6.2%
$ 407
-1.0%
$ 2,676
$ 2,455
$ (221)
4.7%
North Hills 91343
$ 433,400
10.6%
$ 267
7.6%
$ 2,446
$ 1,931
$ (515)
5.4%
Northridge 91325
$ 531,800
10.7%
$ 292
3.5%
$ 2,357
$ 2,352
$ (5)
4.3%
Pacific Palisades 90272
$ 2,251,700
4.8%
$ 926
-0.5%
$ 4,642
$ 10,019
$ 5,378
2.0%
Palos Verdes Estates 90274$ 1,640,200
-2.3%
$ 674
8.7%
$ 3,793
$ 7,467
$ 3,674
2.2%
Redondo Beach 90277
$ 911,500
6.0%
$ 597
5.6%
$ 3,147
$ 4,093
$ 946
3.3%
Redondo Beach 90278
$ 804,800
11.2%
$ 485
4.1%
$ 3,285
$ 3,587
$ 302
3.9%
Reseda 91335
$ 428,300
11.0%
$ 311
2.5%
$ 2,359
$ 1,900
$ (459)
5.3%
San Pedro 90731
$ 472,300
8.7%
$ 363
3.2%
$ 1,668
$ 2,085
$ 417
3.4%
San Pedro 90732
$ 460,400
6.7%
$ 343
6.5%
$ 1,939
$ 2,054
$ 115
4.0%
OC Housing News info@ochousingnews.com
16 of 58
January 2016
Shevy Akason 877-409-8515
Market Performance and Trends: West Los Angeles County, Major Cities, and Zips Median Resale $
Resale % Rent % Change YoY Resale $/SF Change YoY
Median Rent $
Cost of Ownership
Ownership Prem./Disc.
Cap Rate
City Santa Monica 90402
$ 2,832,500
3.3%
$ 1,239
-8.7%
$ 3,631
$ 12,592
$ 8,961
1.2%
Santa Monica 90403
$ 1,183,300
2.5%
$ 825
1.2%
$ 3,715
$ 5,062
$ 1,347
3.0%
Santa Monica 90404
$ 755,800
7.3%
$ 661
5.8%
$ 3,310
$ 3,505
$ 196
4.2%
Santa Monica 90405
$ 1,359,800
6.6%
$ 906
6.4%
$ 3,577
$ 6,153
$ 2,576
2.5%
Sherman Oaks 91403
$ 842,100
7.2%
$ 450
1.9%
$ 2,721
$ 3,760
$ 1,038
3.1%
Sherman Oaks 91423
$ 857,300
7.0%
$ 471
4.3%
$ 2,669
$ 3,684
$ 1,015
3.0%
Tarzana 91356
$ 754,800
7.4%
$ 339
10.9%
$ 2,611
$ 3,198
$ 586
3.3%
Torrance 90501
$ 544,800
2.4%
$ 404
3.4%
$ 2,459
$ 2,404
$ (54)
4.3%
Torrance 90502
$ 613,900
-24.3%
$ 316
0.4%
$ 1,806
$ 2,732
$ 926
2.8%
Torrance 90503
$ 668,700
6.7%
$ 453
4.4%
$ 2,725
$ 2,957
$ 232
3.9%
Torrance 90504
$ 579,300
5.9%
$ 417
2.8%
$ 2,616
$ 2,598
$ (18)
4.3%
Torrance 90505
$ 772,300
-2.3%
$ 458
8.1%
$ 3,004
$ 3,485
$ 481
3.7%
Valencia 91354
$ 479,000
5.3%
$ 275
4.5%
$ 2,527
$ 2,117
$ (410)
5.1%
Valencia 91355
$ 430,100
7.5%
$ 302
5.7%
$ 1,877
$ 1,930
$ 53
4.2%
Valley Village 91607
$ 810,800
3.9%
$ 415
9.3%
$ 2,790
$ 3,566
$ 776
3.3%
Venice 90291
$ 1,662,600
12.9%
$ 1,155
10.2%
$ 3,709
$ 7,547
$ 3,837
2.1%
Walnut 91789
$ 709,900
-1.5%
$ 370
3.2%
$ 2,616
$ 3,182
$ 566
3.5%
West Hills 91307
$ 536,900
6.8%
$ 340
4.5%
$ 2,793
$ 2,386
$ (407)
5.0%
West Hollywood 90069
$ 682,400
21.0%
$ 704
4.8%
$ 3,488
$ 2,941
$ (547)
4.9%
Winnetka 91306
$ 460,300
8.9%
$ 293
3.3%
$ 2,474
$ 2,026
$ (449)
5.2%
OC Housing News info@ochousingnews.com
17 of 58
January 2016
Shevy Akason 877-409-8515
Market Timing Rating and Valuations: West Los Angeles County, Major Cities, and Zips % Over/Under Rental Parity Rental Parity
Historic Premium
% Over/Under Historic Prem.
8.0%
24.3%
-16.3%
$ 550,300
25.5%
5.4%
20.1%
$ 2,211,100
$ 884,100
143.6%
136.7%
6.9%
7
$ 642,600
$ 600,500
7.4%
3.5%
3.9%
Calabasas
9
$ 1,035,900
$ 729,000
38.9%
70.9%
-32.0%
Canoga Park
8
$ 368,400
$ 399,800
-11.9%
13.8%
-25.7%
Carson
7
$ 413,100
$ 503,600
-18.1%
-3.3%
-14.7%
Chatsworth
7
$ 483,900
$ 548,900
-9.4%
8.7%
-18.1%
Culver City
7
$ 739,300
$ 708,700
5.5%
6.5%
-1.0%
Encino
6
$ 689,600
$ 612,900
13.1%
25.7%
-12.6%
Gardena
8
$ 418,300
$ 500,300
-17.0%
5.0%
-22.0%
Glendale
7
$ 631,300
$ 504,600
23.1%
21.5%
1.6%
Granada Hills
7
$ 534,300
$ 552,300
-1.7%
3.1%
-4.8%
Harbor City
8
$ 485,900
$ 529,800
-11.6%
13.8%
-25.4%
8
$ 485,000
$ 655,700
-22.2%
-18.5%
-3.7%
6
$ 1,394,100
$ 840,100
60.3%
62.6%
-2.4%
6
$ 368,200
$ 377,800
-0.8%
9.6%
-10.4%
1
$ 1,564,100
$ 798,100
94.6%
58.7%
35.9%
7
$ 728,300
$ 716,600
0.8%
14.5%
-13.7%
9
$ 523,400
$ 491,400
10.8%
39.0%
-28.3%
7
$ 462,000
$ 490,100
-6.8%
2.2%
-9.0%
6
$ 654,600
$ 721,100
-9.3%
-23.1%
13.8%
2
$ 2,022,100
$ 883,400
119.3%
92.4%
26.8%
1
$ 2,096,600
$ 860,100
135.1%
67.3%
67.8%
8
$ 896,900
$ 784,700
10.0%
11.1%
-1.1%
7
$ 547,800
$ 602,700
-9.6%
8.2%
-17.8%
8
$ 433,400
$ 545,600
-20.3%
-3.1%
-17.2%
7
$ 472,600
$ 484,400
-5.1%
-2.9%
-2.2%
7
$ 600,500
$ 687,400
-10.5%
-8.4%
-2.1%
3
$ 2,251,700
$ 1,035,500
122.8%
103.8%
19.0%
10
$ 570,200
$ 646,400
-13.4%
20.8%
-34.1%
10
$ 1,093,200
$ 853,300
26.8%
71.1%
-44.3%
Redondo Beach
7
$ 852,900
$ 695,300
20.1%
21.0%
-0.9%
Reseda
8
$ 428,300
$ 526,300
-18.5%
-9.3%
-9.3%
San Pedro
10
$ 467,700
$ 433,500
5.0%
34.9%
-29.9%
Santa Monica
1
$ 1,196,800
$ 801,300
51.3%
16.2%
35.0%
Sherman Oaks
8
$ 735,500
$ 627,700
13.5%
21.0%
-7.5%
Rating
Median
Agoura Hills
9
$ 687,600
$ 621,900
Altadena
1
$ 672,700
Beverly Hills
6
Burbank
City
Hawthorne Hermosa Beach Inglewood La Canada Flintridge La Crescenta Lomita Long Beach Los Angeles (City) Malibu Manhattan Beach Marina del Rey Montrose North Hills North Hollywood Northridge Pacific Palisades Playa del Rey Rancho Palos Verdes
OC Housing News info@ochousingnews.com
18 of 58
January 2016
Shevy Akason 877-409-8515
Market Timing Rating and Valuations: West Los Angeles County, Major Cities, and Zips % Over/Under Rental Parity Rental Parity
Historic Premium
% Over/Under Historic Prem.
17.3%
23.0%
-5.7%
-25.4%
-6.8%
-18.6%
-5.0%
21.2%
-26.2%
-3.0%
17.1%
-20.1%
-14.8%
6.8%
-21.6%
24.1%
40.8%
-16.6%
86.3%
-9.1%
95.4%
21.8%
36.2%
-14.4%
-6.6%
2.2%
-8.8%
-11.9%
-9.1%
-2.7%
$ 551,900
-17.4%
-2.3%
-15.2%
$ 687,600
$ 621,900
8.0%
24.3%
-16.3%
1
$ 672,700
$ 550,300
25.5%
5.4%
20.1%
Beverly Hills 90210
7
$ 2,717,800
$ 872,900
211.1%
195.7%
15.4%
Beverly Hills 90211
4
$ 1,541,600
$ 958,900
58.7%
64.5%
-5.8%
Burbank 91501
6
$ 598,000
$ 572,700
4.5%
12.7%
-8.2%
Burbank 91504
10
$ 623,700
$ 644,500
-2.7%
14.8%
-17.5%
Burbank 91505
7
$ 628,000
$ 547,800
12.4%
4.4%
8.0%
Calabasas 91302
8
$ 1,124,800
$ 748,600
43.5%
65.1%
-21.6%
Chatsworth 91311
7
$ 483,900
$ 548,900
-9.4%
8.7%
-18.1%
Culver City 90230
10
$ 510,800
$ 633,300
-19.8%
7.9%
-27.7%
Gardena 90247
3
$ 383,000
$ 357,000
9.0%
11.6%
-2.7%
Glendale 91202
10
$ 571,200
$ 573,600
-4.7%
29.6%
-34.3%
Glendale 91206
4
$ 628,600
$ 501,000
18.3%
29.7%
-11.5%
Glendale 91207
10
$ 810,900
$ 594,400
37.2%
74.7%
-37.5%
Glendale 91208
6
$ 829,000
$ 587,900
40.4%
49.8%
-9.3%
Granada Hills 91344
7
$ 537,200
$ 552,300
-1.0%
3.1%
-4.1%
Harbor City 90710
8
$ 482,100
$ 531,500
-12.5%
15.0%
-27.5%
La Canada Flintridge 91011
1
$ 1,564,100
$ 798,100
94.6%
62.6%
31.9%
La Crescenta 91214
7
$ 728,300
$ 716,600
0.8%
14.1%
-13.3%
Lomita 90717
9
$ 523,400
$ 491,400
10.8%
36.0%
-25.2%
Long Beach 90802
6
$ 293,000
$ 465,000
-36.4%
-40.4%
4.0%
Long Beach 90803
10
$ 660,700
$ 557,100
16.1%
56.1%
-40.0%
9
$ 359,700
$ 419,700
-17.8%
3.5%
-21.3%
10
$ 353,300
$ 431,200
-19.1%
19.7%
-38.8%
10
$ 353,300
$ 431,200
-19.1%
19.7%
-38.8%
10
$ 422,800
$ 368,700
13.9%
52.5%
-38.6%
Rating
Median
Studio City
7
$ 927,700
$ 821,500
Sylmar
10
$ 395,400
$ 535,500
Tarzana
10
$ 559,700
$ 591,000
Torrance
10
$ 591,500
$ 600,700
Valencia
10
$ 472,500
$ 548,500
Valley Village
9
$ 782,400
$ 622,300
Venice
1
$ 1,597,700
$ 883,100
Walnut
7
$ 709,900
$ 583,500
West Hills
8
$ 574,300
$ 610,200
West Hollywood
7
$ 695,600
$ 778,300
Winnetka
8
$ 460,300
Agoura Hills 91301
9
Altadena 91001
City
Long Beach 90804 Long Beach 90805 Long Beach 90805 Long Beach 90806 OC Housing News info@ochousingnews.com
19 of 58
January 2016
Shevy Akason 877-409-8515
Market Timing Rating and Valuations: West Los Angeles County, Major Cities, and Zips % Over/Under Rental Parity Rental Parity
Historic Premium
% Over/Under Historic Prem.
48.2%
74.4%
-26.1%
8.8%
13.0%
-4.2%
11.7%
-2.0%
13.7%
24.6%
29.4%
-4.8%
5.0%
15.1%
-10.1%
6.1%
44.2%
-38.0%
-8.7%
48.5%
-57.1%
-9.8%
-5.2%
-4.5%
46.7%
3.8%
42.9%
-16.7%
17.4%
-34.1%
$ 694,700
16.9%
43.9%
-27.0%
$ 772,100
$ 830,200
-7.5%
14.7%
-22.2%
2
$ 826,900
$ 769,800
5.6%
-11.1%
16.7%
Los Angeles 90027
6
$ 1,205,000
$ 712,300
68.4%
53.4%
15.0%
Los Angeles 90034
6
$ 828,000
$ 850,100
-1.1%
3.2%
-4.4%
Los Angeles 90035
4
$ 973,900
$ 729,400
32.3%
15.8%
16.6%
Los Angeles 90036
2
$ 1,205,200
$ 835,000
39.4%
11.4%
28.0%
Los Angeles 90042
4
$ 511,700
$ 474,600
8.6%
-5.0%
13.6%
Los Angeles 90045
6
$ 913,200
$ 809,100
13.2%
20.4%
-7.2%
Los Angeles 90046
1
$ 1,232,200
$ 764,300
64.9%
14.2%
50.6%
Los Angeles 90048
1
$ 1,507,200
$ 835,200
81.6%
28.8%
52.8%
Los Angeles 90049
9
$ 1,624,800
$ 835,100
86.8%
110.5%
-23.6%
Los Angeles 90064
7
$ 1,066,400
$ 775,900
33.6%
37.1%
-3.5%
Los Angeles 90066
6
$ 1,126,600
$ 846,300
30.2%
14.8%
15.3%
Los Angeles 90068
4
$ 1,193,500
$ 879,800
36.1%
17.8%
18.3%
Manhattan Beach 90266
1
$ 2,096,600
$ 860,100
135.1%
66.1%
69.1%
Marina del Rey 90292
8
$ 896,900
$ 784,700
10.0%
11.0%
-1.0%
Montrose 91020
7
$ 551,400
$ 597,000
-8.3%
7.9%
-16.2%
North Hills 91343
8
$ 433,400
$ 545,600
-20.3%
-3.1%
-17.2%
Northridge 91325
9
$ 531,800
$ 525,800
-1.0%
21.6%
-22.6%
Pacific Palisades 90272
3
$ 2,251,700
$ 1,035,500
122.8%
103.5%
19.3%
Palos Verdes Estates 90274
4
$ 1,640,200
$ 846,100
105.6%
94.0%
11.6%
Redondo Beach 90277
8
$ 911,500
$ 702,100
27.0%
31.5%
-4.5%
7
$ 804,800
$ 732,900
9.7%
12.3%
-2.5%
8
$ 428,300
$ 526,300
-18.5%
-9.3%
-9.3%
9
$ 472,300
$ 372,200
23.4%
45.2%
-21.8%
10
$ 460,400
$ 432,500
4.2%
32.7%
-28.5%
Rating
Median
Long Beach 90807
9
$ 533,500
$ 347,200
Long Beach 90808
7
$ 571,900
$ 502,300
Long Beach 90813
5
$ 299,800
$ 263,600
Long Beach 90814
5
$ 617,400
$ 498,700
Long Beach 90815
7
$ 582,300
$ 549,200
Los Angeles 90004
10
$ 806,300
$ 769,200
Los Angeles 90005
10
$ 607,700
$ 656,500
Los Angeles 90012
8
$ 460,800
$ 511,700
Los Angeles 90019
2
$ 877,200
$ 577,100
Los Angeles 90020
9
$ 441,800
$ 518,900
Los Angeles 90024
10
$ 834,800
Los Angeles 90025
8
Los Angeles 90026
City
Redondo Beach 90278 Reseda 91335 San Pedro 90731 San Pedro 90732 OC Housing News info@ochousingnews.com
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Market Timing Rating and Valuations: West Los Angeles County, Major Cities, and Zips % Over/Under Rental Parity Rental Parity
Historic Premium
% Over/Under Historic Prem.
$ 2,832,500
$ 810,000
242.7%
179.8%
62.9%
3
$ 1,183,300
$ 828,800
34.2%
5.9%
28.3%
Santa Monica 90404
7
$ 755,800
$ 738,400
5.1%
5.4%
-0.3%
Santa Monica 90405
1
$ 1,359,800
$ 798,000
72.0%
14.0%
58.0%
Sherman Oaks 91403
4
$ 842,100
$ 607,100
40.9%
28.4%
12.5%
Sherman Oaks 91423
6
$ 857,300
$ 595,500
34.9%
25.8%
9.1%
Tarzana 91356
6
$ 754,800
$ 582,600
22.6%
22.5%
0.0%
Torrance 90501
10
$ 544,800
$ 548,500
-1.0%
16.3%
-17.4%
Torrance 90502
10
$ 613,900
$ 402,800
48.8%
120.2%
-71.4%
Torrance 90503
10
$ 668,700
$ 607,900
6.9%
31.3%
-24.5%
Torrance 90504
10
$ 579,300
$ 583,600
0.2%
16.5%
-16.3%
Torrance 90505
7
$ 772,300
$ 670,200
14.5%
38.4%
-23.9%
Valencia 91354
10
$ 479,000
$ 563,800
-15.7%
12.5%
-28.2%
Valencia 91355
10
$ 430,100
$ 418,600
-1.5%
36.2%
-37.7%
Valley Village 91607
5
$ 810,800
$ 622,300
26.8%
4.6%
22.2%
Venice 90291
1
$ 1,662,600
$ 827,500
104.4%
-9.2%
113.6%
Walnut 91789
7
$ 709,900
$ 583,500
21.8%
36.2%
-14.4%
West Hills 91307
10
$ 536,900
$ 623,000
-13.2%
4.6%
-17.8%
West Hollywood 90069
7
$ 682,400
$ 778,100
-15.9%
-8.1%
-7.8%
Winnetka 91306
8
$ 460,300
$ 551,900
-17.4%
-2.3%
-15.2%
Rating
Median
Santa Monica 90402
1
Santa Monica 90403
City
OC Housing News info@ochousingnews.com
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Orange County Housing Market News Historically, properties in this market sell at a 0.6% premium. Today's discount is 3.5%. This market is 4.1% undervalued. Median home price is $594,700 with a rental parity value of $611,600. This market's discount is $16,900. Monthly payment affordability has been improving over the last 3 month(s). Momentum suggests improving affordability. Resale prices on a $/SF basis increased from $392/SF to $394/SF. Resale prices have been rising for 11 month(s). Over the last 12 months, resale prices rose 5.1% indicating a longer term upward price trend. Median rental rates declined $8 last month from $2,750 to $2,741. The current capitalization rate (rent/price) is 4.4%. Rents have been rising for 12 month(s). Price momentum signals rising rents over the next three months. Market rating = 8
Median Home Price and Rental Parity trailing twelve months Rating 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8
Median Rental Parity Historic Value $640,000 $ 560,800 $ 601,600 $ 605,294 $ 558,800 $ 597,800 $ 601,470 $620,000 $ 560,500 $ 593,400 $ 597,043 $600,000 $ 563,400 $ 600,700 $ 604,388 $580,000 $ 569,400 $ 599,500 $ 603,181 $ 577,800 $ 595,100 $ 598,754 $560,000 $ 586,900 $ 597,500 $ 601,169 $540,000 $ 592,800 $ 617,000 $ 620,788 $ 594,400 $ 622,300 $ 626,121 $520,000 $ 597,000 $ 627,200 $ 631,051 $ 596,600 $ 615,000 $ 618,776 $ 594,700 $ 611,600 $ 615,355
Median
Rental Parity
Historic Value
1/ 20 1 2/ 5 20 1 3/ 5 20 1 4/ 5 20 1 5/ 5 20 1 6/ 5 20 1 7/ 5 20 1 8/ 5 20 1 9/ 5 20 10 15 /2 0 11 15 /2 0 12 15 /2 01 5
Date 1/2015 2/2015 3/2015 4/2015 5/2015 6/2015 7/2015 8/2015 9/2015 10/2015 11/2015 12/2015
Resale $/SF and year-over-year percentage change trailing twelve months Âą Typ. Value -5.7% -6.8% -6.9% -6.7% -6.2% -5.3% -3.9% -3.5% -4.0% -5.0% -4.7% -4.1%
$/SF $ 374 $ 375 $ 375 $ 377 $ 378 $ 380 $ 384 $ 386 $ 388 $ 391 $ 392 $ 394
% Change 5.9% 4.8% 4.7% 4.5% 3.8% 3.5% 3.3% 3.7% 3.6% 4.5% 4.7% 5.1%
$400 $394 $391 $392 $395 $388 $386 $390 $384 $385 $378 $380 $380 $374 $375 $375 $377 $375 $370 $365 $360 1/ 20 15 2/ 20 15 3/ 20 15 4/ 20 15 5/ 20 15 6/ 20 15 7/ 20 15 8/ 20 15 9/ 20 1 10 5 /2 01 11 5 /2 01 12 5 /2 01 5
Date 1/2015 2/2015 3/2015 4/2015 5/2015 6/2015 7/2015 8/2015 9/2015 10/2015 11/2015 12/2015
0.00613984
Rental rate and year-over-year percentage change trailing twelve months
OC Housing News info@ochousingnews.com
9 ,59 9 $2 ,64 8 $2 ,67 4 $2 ,70 8 $2 ,74 9 $2 ,76 6 $2 ,75 8 $2 ,75 0 $2 ,74 2 $2
,59
9
$2
$2
,59
6
Own Historic Cost to Own Relative to Rent $2,900 $ 2,494 $ 2,632 $2,800 $ 2,454 $ 2,615 $2,700 $ 2,441 $ 2,615 $ 2,441 $ 2,615 $2,600 $ 2,469 $ 2,665 $2,500 $ 2,516 $ 2,691 $2,400 $ 2,590 $ 2,724 $2,300 $ 2,632 $ 2,766 Rent Own $2,200 $ 2,647 $ 2,783 $ 2,636 $ 2,774 $ 2,645 $ 2,767 $ 2,652 $ 2,759 ,61
Rent $ 2,616 $ 2,599 $ 2,599 $ 2,599 $ 2,648 $ 2,674 $ 2,708 $ 2,749 $ 2,766 $ 2,758 $ 2,750 $ 2,742
$2
% Change 4.9% 5.0% 5.1% 5.1% 5.4% 5.5% 5.6% 5.9% 6.1% 6.0% 6.0% 6.0%
Historic Cost to Own Relagve to Rent
1/ 20 1 2/ 5 20 1 3/ 5 20 1 4/ 5 20 1 5/ 5 20 1 6/ 5 20 1 7/ 5 20 1 8/ 5 20 1 9/ 5 20 10 15 /2 0 11 15 /2 0 12 15 /2 01 5
Date 1/2015 2/2015 3/2015 4/2015 5/2015 6/2015 7/2015 8/2015 9/2015 10/2015 11/2015 12/2015
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1/ 19 1/ 88 19 1/ 89 19 1/ 90 19 1/ 91 19 1/ 92 19 1/ 93 19 1/ 94 19 1/ 95 19 1/ 96 19 1/ 97 19 1/ 98 19 1/ 99 20 1/ 00 20 1/ 01 20 1/ 02 20 1/ 03 20 1/ 04 20 1/ 05 20 1/ 06 20 1/ 07 20 1/ 08 20 1/ 09 20 1/ 10 20 1/ 11 20 1/ 12 20 1/ 13 20 1/ 14 20 15 1/ 19 1/ 88 19 1/ 89 19 1/ 90 19 1/ 91 19 1/ 92 19 1/ 93 19 1/ 94 19 1/ 95 19 1/ 96 19 1/ 97 19 1/ 98 19 1/ 99 20 1/ 00 20 1/ 01 20 1/ 02 20 1/ 03 20 1/ 04 20 1/ 05 20 1/ 06 20 1/ 07 20 1/ 08 20 1/ 09 20 1/ 10 20 1/ 11 20 1/ 12 20 1/ 13 20 1/ 14 20 1/ 15 20 1/ 16 20 17
Orange County median home price since January 1988
$800,000
OC Housing News info@ochousingnews.com
Median Resale
Median Rent
Projecgon
Cost to Own
January 2016
23 of 58
Rental Parity Historic Value
$700,000
$600,000
$500,000
$400,000
$300,000
$200,000
$100,000
$0
Orange County median rent and monthly cost of ownership since January 1988
$4,500 Historic Cost to Own Relagve to Rent
$4,000
$3,500
$3,000
$2,500
$2,000
$1,500
$1,000
$500
$0
Shevy Akason 877-409-8515
Resale $/SF Year-over-Year Percentage Change: Orange County since January 1989 40% 35% 30%
Appreciagon rates in excess of 7% are not sustainable. Long periods of excessive appreciagon lead to a crash.
25% 20% 15% 10% 5%
Normal and sustainable
0% -5%
Falling/Correcgng
-10% -15%
1/ 19 1/ 89 19 1/ 90 19 1/ 91 19 1/ 92 19 1/ 93 19 1/ 94 19 1/ 95 19 1/ 96 19 1/ 97 19 1/ 98 19 1/ 99 20 1/ 00 20 1/ 01 20 1/ 02 20 1/ 03 20 1/ 04 20 1/ 05 20 1/ 06 20 1/ 07 20 1/ 08 20 1/ 09 20 1/ 10 20 1/ 11 20 1/ 12 20 1/ 13 20 1/ 14 20 15
-20%
Rental $/SF Year-over-Year Percentage Change: Orange County since January 1989 14% 12%
Rental rates in excess of 7% are not sustainable. Long periods of excessive appreciagon lead to a crash.
10% 8% 6%
Normal and sustainable
4% 2% Weak
0% -2%
Falling/Correcgng
-4% -6%
1/ 19 1/ 89 19 1/ 90 19 1/ 91 19 1/ 92 19 1/ 93 19 1/ 94 19 1/ 95 19 1/ 96 19 1/ 97 19 1/ 98 19 1/ 99 20 1/ 00 20 1/ 01 20 1/ 02 20 1/ 03 20 1/ 04 20 1/ 05 20 1/ 06 20 1/ 07 20 1/ 08 20 1/ 09 20 1/ 10 20 1/ 11 20 1/ 12 20 1/ 13 20 1/ 14 20 15
-8%
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Historic Median Home Price Relative to Rental Parity: Orange County since January 1988 Historic Norm
Stable period between housing bubbles from 1993-1999 establishes historic norm.
1/ 19 1/ 88 19 1/ 89 19 1/ 90 19 1/ 91 19 1/ 92 19 1/ 93 19 1/ 94 19 1/ 95 19 1/ 96 19 1/ 97 19 1/ 98 19 1/ 99 20 1/ 00 20 1/ 01 20 1/ 02 20 1/ 03 20 1/ 04 20 1/ 05 20 1/ 06 20 1/ 07 20 1/ 08 20 1/ 09 20 1/ 10 20 1/ 11 20 1/ 12 20 1/ 13 20 1/ 14 20 15
Discount or Premium
Value Relagve to Rental Parity
91.0% 84.0% 77.0% 70.0% 63.0% 56.0% 49.0% 42.0% 35.0% 28.0% 21.0% 14.0% 7.0% 0.0% -7.0% -14.0% -21.0% -28.0% -35.0%
OCHN Market Timing System Rating: Orange County since January 1988 10 9
Values 7-10: Undervalued Market: Strong Buy Recommendagon
8 7 6
Values 4-6: Neutral Market, Weak Buy Recommendagon
5 4 3
Values 1-3: Inated or Weak Market: Consider Selling. Do not Buy.
2 1
1/ 19 1/ 88 19 1/ 89 19 1/ 90 19 1/ 91 19 1/ 92 19 1/ 93 19 1/ 94 19 1/ 95 19 1/ 96 19 1/ 97 19 1/ 98 19 1/ 99 20 1/ 00 20 1/ 01 20 1/ 02 20 1/ 03 20 1/ 04 20 1/ 05 20 1/ 06 20 1/ 07 20 1/ 08 20 1/ 09 20 1/ 10 20 1/ 11 20 1/ 12 20 1/ 13 20 1/ 14 20 15
0
OC Housing News info@ochousingnews.com
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1/ 19 1/ 88 19 1/ 89 19 1/ 90 19 1/ 91 19 1/ 92 19 1/ 93 19 1/ 94 19 1/ 95 19 1/ 96 19 1/ 97 19 1/ 98 19 1/ 99 20 1/ 00 20 1/ 01 20 1/ 02 20 1/ 03 20 1/ 04 20 1/ 05 20 1/ 06 20 1/ 07 20 1/ 08 20 1/ 09 20 1/ 10 20 1/ 11 20 1/ 12 20 1/ 13 20 1/ 14 20 15 1/ 19 1/ 88 19 1/ 89 19 1/ 90 19 1/ 91 19 1/ 92 19 1/ 93 19 1/ 94 19 1/ 95 19 1/ 96 19 1/ 97 19 1/ 98 19 1/ 99 20 1/ 00 20 1/ 01 20 1/ 02 20 1/ 03 20 1/ 04 20 1/ 05 20 1/ 06 20 1/ 07 20 1/ 08 20 1/ 09 20 1/ 10 20 1/ 11 20 1/ 12 20 1/ 13 20 1/ 14 20 15
Cash Investor Capitalization Rate: Orange County since January 1988 Capitalizagon Rate
OC Housing News info@ochousingnews.com Mortgage Interest Rate
12.0%
10.0%
8.0%
6.0%
4.0%
2.0%
0.0%
Financed Investor Cash-on-Cash Return: Orange County since January 1988
15.0%
10.0%
5.0%
0.0%
-5.0%
-10.0%
-15.0%
-20.0%
-25.0%
January 2016
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Market Performance and Trends: Orange County and Major Cities and Zips Median Resale $
Resale % Rent % Change YoY Resale $/SF Change YoY
Median Rent $
Cost of Ownership
Ownership Prem./Disc.
Cap Rate
City Aliso Viejo
$ 506,200
3.0%
$ 357
4.3%
$ 2,507
$ 2,269
$ (238)
4.8%
Anaheim
$ 470,600
5.5%
$ 319
5.2%
$ 2,183
$ 2,093
$ (90)
4.5%
Anaheim Hills
$ 627,700
5.0%
$ 337
3.4%
$ 2,583
$ 2,796
$ 213
4.0%
Brea
$ 625,300
4.9%
$ 340
7.8%
$ 2,561
$ 2,803
$ 242
3.9%
Buena Park
$ 475,900
6.8%
$ 333
3.8%
$ 2,303
$ 2,128
$ (175)
4.6%
Corona Del Mar
$ 1,528,300
14.2%
$ 1,106
0.5%
$ 4,071
$ 6,615
$ 2,543
2.6%
Costa Mesa
$ 686,700
8.6%
$ 458
5.9%
$ 2,802
$ 3,051
$ 249
3.9%
Coto De Caza
$ 1,019,200
3.6%
$ 343
3.8%
$ 3,584
$ 4,523
$ 939
3.4%
Cypress
$ 543,600
8.2%
$ 352
1.0%
$ 2,533
$ 2,430
$ (103)
4.5%
Dana Point
$ 801,100
9.1%
$ 545
6.5%
$ 2,584
$ 3,553
$ 969
3.1%
Fountain Valley
$ 668,300
6.5%
$ 362
4.1%
$ 2,794
$ 2,985
$ 191
4.0%
Fullerton
$ 524,400
5.4%
$ 342
6.5%
$ 2,519
$ 2,311
$ (209)
4.6%
Garden Grove
$ 490,200
5.4%
$ 336
4.3%
$ 2,006
$ 2,176
$ 170
3.9%
Huntington Beach
$ 678,500
6.2%
$ 439
4.8%
$ 2,718
$ 3,019
$ 301
3.8%
Irvine
$ 712,800
3.7%
$ 433
3.3%
$ 3,006
$ 3,201
$ 196
4.0%
La Habra
$ 471,800
7.5%
$ 324
5.5%
$ 1,801
$ 2,068
$ 268
3.7%
La Palma
$ 615,200
2.5%
$ 311
0.5%
$ 2,628
$ 2,751
$ 122
4.1%
Ladera Ranch
$ 630,500
3.2%
$ 329
2.7%
$ 2,907
$ 2,828
$ (79)
4.4%
Laguna Beach
$ 1,671,100
4.8%
$ 1,051
6.0%
$ 3,571
$ 7,305
$ 3,734
2.1%
Laguna Hills
$ 600,500
2.9%
$ 344
5.0%
$ 2,539
$ 2,585
$ 46
4.1%
Laguna Niguel
$ 719,300
2.9%
$ 388
4.2%
$ 2,757
$ 3,211
$ 453
3.7%
Laguna Woods
$ 228,900
4.5%
$ 230
9.0%
$ 1,731
$ 1,023
$ (708)
7.3%
Lake Forest
$ 575,100
5.2%
$ 342
1.4%
$ 2,490
$ 2,560
$ 70
4.2%
Mission Viejo
$ 620,000
5.3%
$ 352
3.0%
$ 2,693
$ 2,761
$ 68
4.2%
Newport Beach
$ 1,513,600
6.2%
$ 789
9.7%
$ 3,522
$ 6,715
$ 3,193
2.2%
Newport Coast
$ 2,923,400
0.6%
$ 761
3.4%
$ 4,456
$ 12,835
$ 8,379
1.5%
North Tustin
$ 867,800
5.2%
$ 362
5.5%
$ 1,539
$ 4,341
$ 2,803
1.7%
Orange
$ 581,700
6.5%
$ 352
9.3%
$ 2,588
$ 2,609
$ 22
4.3%
Placentia
$ 579,800
5.5%
$ 316
8.9%
$ 2,397
$ 2,548
$ 151
4.0%
Rancho Santa Margarita
$ 563,700
5.1%
$ 343
7.4%
$ 2,453
$ 2,518
$ 66
4.2%
San Clemente
$ 837,300
7.1%
$ 433
9.8%
$ 2,622
$ 3,701
$ 1,079
3.0%
San Juan Capistrano
$ 719,600
3.7%
$ 351
1.6%
$ 2,756
$ 3,183
$ 427
3.7%
Santa Ana
$ 416,600
8.6%
$ 325
5.9%
$ 1,999
$ 1,862
$ (137)
4.6%
Tustin
$ 560,200
6.3%
$ 375
6.5%
$ 2,456
$ 2,506
$ 51
4.2%
Westminster
$ 556,500
7.8%
$ 372
-3.4%
$ 2,482
$ 2,491
$ 9
4.3%
Yorba Linda
$ 726,200
4.0%
$ 352
1.1%
$ 3,069
$ 3,230
$ 161
4.1%
OC Housing News info@ochousingnews.com
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Market Performance and Trends: Orange County and Major Cities and Zips City
Median Resale $
Resale % Rent % Change YoY Resale $/SF Change YoY
Median Rent $
Cost of Ownership
Ownership Prem./Disc.
Cap Rate
Anaheim 92801
$ 426,200
5.2%
$ 320
4.8%
$ 2,033
$ 1,909
$ (123)
4.6%
Anaheim 92802
$ 457,500
4.1%
$ 316
3.7%
$ 2,081
$ 2,051
$ (30)
4.4%
Anaheim 92804
$ 482,800
9.6%
$ 318
8.1%
$ 2,032
$ 2,146
$ 115
4.0%
Anaheim 92805
$ 450,600
8.0%
$ 331
2.4%
$ 2,238
$ 1,991
$ (246)
4.8%
Anaheim 92806
$ 525,200
6.2%
$ 302
5.0%
$ 2,357
$ 2,318
$ (39)
4.3%
Anaheim 92807
$ 514,000
5.4%
$ 331
5.8%
$ 1,693
$ 2,279
$ 587
3.2%
Fullerton 92831
$ 558,000
7.1%
$ 346
4.1%
$ 2,481
$ 2,442
$ (39)
4.3%
Fullerton 92832
$ 436,100
7.4%
$ 352
7.6%
$ 2,287
$ 1,960
$ (327)
5.0%
Fullerton 92833
$ 515,000
4.4%
$ 342
5.7%
$ 2,450
$ 2,257
$ (193)
4.6%
Fullerton 92835
$ 606,000
5.0%
$ 335
5.2%
$ 3,103
$ 2,728
$ (375)
4.9%
Garden Grove 92840
$ 453,200
2.7%
$ 321
3.2%
$ 1,852
$ 2,009
$ 157
3.9%
Garden Grove 92841
$ 520,600
8.6%
$ 341
11.6%
$ 2,231
$ 2,309
$ 78
4.1%
Huntington Beach 92646 $ 574,200
4.6%
$ 404
3.3%
$ 2,841
$ 2,535
$ (307)
4.8%
Huntington Beach 92647 $ 640,000
5.3%
$ 412
2.4%
$ 2,650
$ 2,857
$ 207
4.0%
Huntington Beach 92648
$ 812,400
6.8%
$ 462
6.1%
$ 3,252
$ 3,618
$ 366
3.8%
Huntington Beach 92649
$ 709,000
6.7%
$ 479
4.7%
$ 2,465
$ 3,143
$ 679
3.3%
Newport Beach 92660
$ 1,552,200
6.6%
$ 678
3.9%
$ 3,611
$ 6,899
$ 3,288
2.2%
Newport Beach 92663
$ 1,348,500
5.2%
$ 808
11.8%
$ 3,574
$ 5,943
$ 2,368
2.5%
Orange 92867
$ 551,400
4.5%
$ 343
8.1%
$ 2,249
$ 2,527
$ 279
3.9%
Orange 92869
$ 579,800
5.5%
$ 316
8.9%
$ 2,397
$ 2,548
$ 151
4.0%
OC Housing News info@ochousingnews.com
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Market Timing Rating and Valuations: Orange County and Major Cities and Zips % Over/Under Rental Parity Rental Parity
Historic Premium
% Over/Under Historic Prem.
-9.6%
-4.7%
-4.9%
$ 487,100
-3.5%
4.5%
-8.0%
$ 627,700
$ 576,300
7.5%
22.2%
-14.7%
7
$ 625,300
$ 571,300
9.5%
14.9%
-5.4%
Buena Park
8
$ 475,900
$ 513,700
-8.0%
-1.5%
-6.5%
Corona Del Mar
7
$ 1,528,300
$ 908,300
59.6%
82.6%
-23.0%
Costa Mesa
7
$ 686,700
$ 625,100
8.3%
13.8%
-5.5%
Coto De Caza
10
$ 1,019,200
$ 799,600
27.3%
54.3%
-27.0%
Cypress
7
$ 543,600
$ 565,100
-3.0%
17.6%
-20.6%
Dana Point
7
$ 801,100
$ 576,400
34.1%
26.8%
7.3%
Fountain Valley
9
$ 668,300
$ 623,400
9.0%
21.0%
-12.0%
Fullerton
8
$ 524,400
$ 562,100
-8.2%
-4.4%
-3.8%
Garden Grove
8
$ 490,200
$ 447,400
8.9%
5.3%
3.6%
Huntington Beach
8
$ 678,500
$ 606,400
10.7%
15.8%
-5.1%
8
$ 712,800
$ 670,500
6.7%
13.2%
-6.5%
6
$ 471,800
$ 401,700
15.5%
5.5%
10.0%
7
$ 615,200
$ 586,400
5.6%
21.4%
-15.8%
9
$ 630,500
$ 648,600
-4.7%
5.5%
-10.2%
3
$ 1,671,100
$ 796,700
107.3%
59.5%
47.8%
10
$ 600,500
$ 566,400
1.1%
27.8%
-26.7%
8
$ 719,300
$ 615,100
14.0%
18.7%
-4.7%
10
$ 228,900
$ 386,000
-40.9%
-10.4%
-30.5%
6
$ 575,100
$ 555,500
2.1%
8.8%
-6.7%
9
$ 620,000
$ 600,800
2.6%
11.6%
-9.1%
6
$ 1,513,600
$ 785,800
88.3%
75.3%
13.0%
1
$ 2,923,400
$ 994,000
181.3%
105.3%
76.0%
1
$ 867,800
$ 343,300
151.1%
46.4%
104.7%
6
$ 581,700
$ 577,300
-0.2%
-9.6%
9.4%
7
$ 579,800
$ 534,800
3.4%
-1.3%
4.7%
7
$ 563,700
$ 547,200
0.0%
2.2%
-2.1%
5
$ 837,300
$ 585,000
40.6%
28.9%
11.7%
6
$ 719,600
$ 614,700
14.8%
22.7%
-7.8%
Santa Ana
7
$ 416,600
$ 445,900
-8.2%
-1.4%
-6.8%
Tustin
8
$ 560,200
$ 547,800
2.2%
6.3%
-4.0%
Westminster
3
$ 556,500
$ 553,700
4.1%
5.8%
-1.7%
Yorba Linda
8
$ 726,200
$ 684,800
4.9%
23.6%
-18.7%
Rating
Median
Aliso Viejo
8
$ 506,200
$ 559,300
Anaheim
8
$ 470,600
Anaheim Hills
9
Brea
City
Irvine La Habra La Palma Ladera Ranch Laguna Beach Laguna Hills Laguna Niguel Laguna Woods Lake Forest Mission Viejo Newport Beach Newport Coast North Tustin Orange Placentia Rancho Santa Margarita San Clemente San Juan Capistrano
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Market Timing Rating and Valuations: Orange County and Major Cities and Zips % Over/Under Rental Parity Rental Parity
Historic Premium
% Over/Under Historic Prem.
-5.6%
-16.5%
11.0%
$ 464,200
-2.4%
5.7%
-8.1%
$ 482,800
$ 453,200
2.8%
-10.0%
12.8%
6
$ 450,600
$ 455,700
-1.5%
-12.7%
11.2%
Anaheim 92806
8
$ 525,200
$ 525,900
-1.5%
0.4%
-1.9%
Anaheim 92807
3
$ 514,000
$ 377,600
34.6%
-10.9%
45.6%
Fullerton 92831
7
$ 558,000
$ 544,700
4.1%
-1.9%
6.0%
Fullerton 92832
6
$ 436,100
$ 510,200
-15.0%
-12.7%
-2.3%
Fullerton 92833
9
$ 515,000
$ 546,600
-8.3%
2.3%
-10.6%
Fullerton 92835
10
$ 606,000
$ 692,300
-9.8%
47.3%
-57.1%
Garden Grove 92840
8
$ 453,200
$ 413,100
8.0%
9.6%
-1.6%
Garden Grove 92841
7
$ 520,600
$ 497,700
3.6%
18.2%
-14.6%
Huntington Beach 92646
10
$ 574,200
$ 633,900
-10.8%
10.2%
-21.0%
Huntington Beach 92647
8
$ 640,000
$ 591,200
7.8%
13.1%
-5.3%
10
$ 812,400
$ 725,500
13.4%
56.1%
-42.7%
8
$ 709,000
$ 549,800
27.9%
21.8%
6.1%
8
$ 1,552,200
$ 805,600
90.6%
83.2%
7.4%
3
$ 1,348,500
$ 797,300
68.6%
36.5%
32.1%
6
$ 551,400
$ 501,700
9.3%
0.6%
8.7%
7
$ 579,800
$ 534,800
3.4%
-1.3%
4.7%
Rating
Median
Anaheim 92801
7
$ 426,200
$ 453,400
Anaheim 92802
9
$ 457,500
Anaheim 92804
5
Anaheim 92805
City
Huntington Beach 92648 Huntington Beach 92649 Newport Beach 92660 Newport Beach 92663 Orange 92867 Orange 92869
OC Housing News info@ochousingnews.com
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Riverside County Housing Market News Historically, properties in this market sell at a 18.5% discount. Today's discount is 23.5%. This market is 4.9% undervalued. Median home price is $306,900 with a rental parity value of $397,300. This market's discount is $90,400. Monthly payment affordability has been improving over the last 3 month(s). Momentum suggests improving affordability. Resale prices on a $/SF basis increased from $172/SF to $173/SF. Resale prices have been rising for 2 month(s). Over the last 12 months, resale prices rose 4.9% indicating a longer term upward price trend. Median rental rates declined $4 last month from $1,785 to $1,781. The current capitalization rate (rent/price) is 5.6%. Rents have been rising for 12 month(s). Price momentum signals rising rents over the next three months. Market rating = 8
Median Home Price and Rental Parity trailing twelve months Rating 7 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8
Median Rental Parity Historic Value $500,000 $ 289,600 $ 389,100 $ 316,987 $ 290,500 $ 389,100 $ 316,987 $400,000 $ 292,300 $ 386,200 $ 314,625 $ 294,800 $ 392,900 $ 320,083 $300,000 $ 298,100 $ 388,600 $ 316,580 $200,000 $ 301,000 $ 385,700 $ 314,217 $ 305,100 $ 388,000 $ 316,091 $100,000 $ 306,300 $ 398,400 $ 324,563 $ 306,500 $ 401,800 $ 327,333 $- $ 306,100 $ 406,200 $ 330,918 $ 307,400 $ 399,300 $ 325,297 $ 306,900 $ 397,300 $ 323,667
Median
Rental Parity
Historic Value
1/ 20 1 2/ 5 20 1 3/ 5 20 1 4/ 5 20 1 5/ 5 20 1 6/ 5 20 1 7/ 5 20 1 8/ 5 20 1 9/ 5 20 10 15 /2 0 11 15 /2 0 12 15 /2 01 5
Date 1/2015 2/2015 3/2015 4/2015 5/2015 6/2015 7/2015 8/2015 9/2015 10/2015 11/2015 12/2015
Resale $/SF and year-over-year percentage change trailing twelve months Âą Typ. Value -5.6% -6.5% -6.5% -6.3% -5.7% -4.9% -3.7% -3.6% -4.2% -5.3% -5.3% -4.9%
$/SF $ 165 $ 164 $ 166 $ 168 $ 169 $ 170 $ 171 $ 172 $ 172 $ 172 $ 172 $ 173
% Change 7.4% 5.4% 4.7% 4.2% 3.9% 3.6% 3.6% 3.4% 3.9% 4.3% 4.7% 4.9%
$172 $172 $172 $173 $171 $172 $170 $169 $168 $170 $166 $165 $164 $165 $175
$160 $155 $150 1/ 20 15 2/ 20 15 3/ 20 15 4/ 20 15 5/ 20 15 6/ 20 15 7/ 20 15 8/ 20 15 9/ 20 1 10 5 /2 01 11 5 /2 01 12 5 /2 01 5
Date 1/2015 2/2015 3/2015 4/2015 5/2015 6/2015 7/2015 8/2015 9/2015 10/2015 11/2015 12/2015
-0.1853326
Rental rate and year-over-year percentage change trailing twelve months
OC Housing News info@ochousingnews.com
2 ,70 0 $1 ,71 7 $1 ,73 3 $1 ,75 8 $1 ,77 5 $1 ,78 6 $1 ,78 6 $1 ,78 6 $1 ,78 1 $1
,69
2
$1
$1
,69
2
Own Historic Cost to Own Relative to Rent $2,000 $ 1,287 $ 1,378 $ 1,270 $ 1,378 $1,800 $ 1,267 $ 1,378 $1,600 $ 1,273 $ 1,385 $ 1,291 $ 1,399 $1,400 $ 1,315 $ 1,412 $ 1,351 $ 1,432 $1,200 $ 1,366 $ 1,446 Rent Own $1,000 $ 1,370 $ 1,455 $ 1,357 $ 1,455 $ 1,361 $ 1,455 $ 1,365 $ 1,451 ,69
Rent $ 1,692 $ 1,692 $ 1,692 $ 1,700 $ 1,717 $ 1,733 $ 1,758 $ 1,775 $ 1,786 $ 1,786 $ 1,786 $ 1,781
$1
% Change 2.2% 2.2% 2.4% 2.4% 2.7% 2.9% 3.4% 3.7% 4.0% 4.2% 4.6% 5.0%
Historic Cost to Own Relagve to Rent
1/ 20 1 2/ 5 20 1 3/ 5 20 1 4/ 5 20 1 5/ 5 20 1 6/ 5 20 1 7/ 5 20 1 8/ 5 20 1 9/ 5 20 10 15 /2 0 11 15 /2 0 12 15 /2 01 5
Date 1/2015 2/2015 3/2015 4/2015 5/2015 6/2015 7/2015 8/2015 9/2015 10/2015 11/2015 12/2015
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1/ 19 1/ 89 19 1/ 90 19 1/ 91 19 1/ 92 19 1/ 93 19 1/ 94 19 1/ 95 19 1/ 96 19 1/ 97 19 1/ 98 19 1/ 99 20 1/ 00 20 1/ 01 20 1/ 02 20 1/ 03 20 1/ 04 20 1/ 05 20 1/ 06 20 1/ 07 20 1/ 08 20 1/ 09 20 1/ 10 20 1/ 11 20 1/ 12 20 1/ 13 20 1/ 14 20 1/ 15 20 1/ 16 20 17 1/ 19 1/ 88 19 1/ 89 19 1/ 90 19 1/ 91 19 1/ 92 19 1/ 93 19 1/ 94 19 1/ 95 19 1/ 96 19 1/ 97 19 1/ 98 19 1/ 99 20 1/ 00 20 1/ 01 20 1/ 02 20 1/ 03 20 1/ 04 20 1/ 05 20 1/ 06 20 1/ 07 20 1/ 08 20 1/ 09 20 1/ 10 20 1/ 11 20 1/ 12 20 1/ 13 20 1/ 14 20 1/ 15 20 1/ 16 20 17
Riverside County median home price since January 1988
$450,000
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Median Resale
Median Rent
Rental Parity
Cost to Own
January 2016
32 of 58
Historic Value Projecgon
$400,000
$350,000
$300,000
$250,000
$200,000
$150,000
$100,000
$50,000
$0
Riverside County median rent and monthly cost of ownership since January 1988
$3,000 Historic Cost to Own Relagve to Rent
$2,500
$2,000
$1,500
$1,000
$500
$0
Shevy Akason 877-409-8515
Resale $/SF Year-over-Year Percentage Change: Riverside County since January 1989 Appreciagon rates in excess of 7% are not sustainable. Long periods of excessive appreciagon lead to a crash.
Normal and sustainable
Falling/Correcgng
1/ 19 1/ 89 19 1/ 90 19 1/ 91 19 1/ 92 19 1/ 93 19 1/ 94 19 1/ 95 19 1/ 96 19 1/ 97 19 1/ 98 19 1/ 99 20 1/ 00 20 1/ 01 20 1/ 02 20 1/ 03 20 1/ 04 20 1/ 05 20 1/ 06 20 1/ 07 20 1/ 08 20 1/ 09 20 1/ 10 20 1/ 11 20 1/ 12 20 1/ 13 20 1/ 14 20 1/ 15 20 1/ 16 20 17
50% 45% 40% 35% 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% -5% -10% -15% -20% -25% -30% -35% -40% -45% -50%
Rental $/SF Year-over-Year Percentage Change: Riverside County since January 1989 18% 16%
Rental rates in excess of 7% are not sustainable. Long periods of excessive appreciagon lead to a crash.
14% 12% 10% 8% 6%
Normal and sustainable
4% 2%
Weak
0% -2%
Falling/Correcgng
-4% -6%
1/ 19 1/ 89 19 1/ 90 19 1/ 91 19 1/ 92 19 1/ 93 19 1/ 94 19 1/ 95 19 1/ 96 19 1/ 97 19 1/ 98 19 1/ 99 20 1/ 00 20 1/ 01 20 1/ 02 20 1/ 03 20 1/ 04 20 1/ 05 20 1/ 06 20 1/ 07 20 1/ 08 20 1/ 09 20 1/ 10 20 1/ 11 20 1/ 12 20 1/ 13 20 1/ 14 20 1/ 15 20 1/ 16 20 17
-8%
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Historic Median Home Price Relative to Rental Parity: Riverside County since January 1988 Historic Norm
Stable period between housing bubbles from 1993-1999 establishes historic norm.
1/ 19 1/ 89 19 1/ 90 19 1/ 91 19 1/ 92 19 1/ 93 19 1/ 94 19 1/ 95 19 1/ 96 19 1/ 97 19 1/ 98 19 1/ 99 20 1/ 00 20 1/ 01 20 1/ 02 20 1/ 03 20 1/ 04 20 1/ 05 20 1/ 06 20 1/ 07 20 1/ 08 20 1/ 09 20 1/ 10 20 1/ 11 20 1/ 12 20 1/ 13 20 1/ 14 20 1/ 15 20 1/ 16 20 17
Discount or Premium
Value Relagve to Rental Parity
112.0% 105.0% 98.0% 91.0% 84.0% 77.0% 70.0% 63.0% 56.0% 49.0% 42.0% 35.0% 28.0% 21.0% 14.0% 7.0% 0.0% -7.0% -14.0% -21.0% -28.0% -35.0% -42.0% -49.0% -56.0% -63.0%
OCHN Market Timing System Rating: Riverside County since January 1988 10 9 8
Values 7-10: Undervalued Market: Strong Buy Recommendagon
7 6 5
Values 4-6: Neutral Market, Weak Buy Recommendagon
4 3
Values 1-3: Inated or Weak Market: Consider Selling. Do not Buy.
2 1
1/ 19 1/ 88 19 1/ 89 19 1/ 90 19 1/ 91 19 1/ 92 19 1/ 93 19 1/ 94 19 1/ 95 19 1/ 96 19 1/ 97 19 1/ 98 19 1/ 99 20 1/ 00 20 1/ 01 20 1/ 02 20 1/ 03 20 1/ 04 20 1/ 05 20 1/ 06 20 1/ 07 20 1/ 08 20 1/ 09 20 1/ 10 20 1/ 11 20 1/ 12 20 1/ 13 20 1/ 14 20 1/ 15 20 1/ 16 20 17
0
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1/ 19 1/ 88 19 1/ 89 19 1/ 90 19 1/ 91 19 1/ 92 19 1/ 93 19 1/ 94 19 1/ 95 19 1/ 96 19 1/ 97 19 1/ 98 19 1/ 99 20 1/ 00 20 1/ 01 20 1/ 02 20 1/ 03 20 1/ 04 20 1/ 05 20 1/ 06 20 1/ 07 20 1/ 08 20 1/ 09 20 1/ 10 20 1/ 11 20 1/ 12 20 1/ 13 20 1/ 14 20 1/ 15 20 1/ 16 20 17 1/ 19 1/ 88 19 1/ 89 19 1/ 90 19 1/ 91 19 1/ 92 19 1/ 93 19 1/ 94 19 1/ 95 19 1/ 96 19 1/ 97 19 1/ 98 19 1/ 99 20 1/ 00 20 1/ 01 20 1/ 02 20 1/ 03 20 1/ 04 20 1/ 05 20 1/ 06 20 1/ 07 20 1/ 08 20 1/ 09 20 1/ 10 20 1/ 11 20 1/ 12 20 1/ 13 20 1/ 14 20 1/ 15 20 1/ 16 20 17
Cash Investor Capitalization Rate: Riverside County since January 1988 Capitalizagon Rate
OC Housing News info@ochousingnews.com Mortgage Interest Rate
12.0%
10.0%
8.0%
6.0%
4.0%
2.0%
0.0%
Financed Investor Cash-on-Cash Return: Riverside County since January 1988
30.0%
25.0%
20.0%
15.0%
10.0%
5.0%
0.0%
-5.0%
-10.0%
-15.0%
-20.0%
-25.0%
January 2016
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Market Performance and Trends: Riverside County, Major Cities, and Zips City
Median Resale $
Resale % Rent % Change YoY Resale $/SF Change YoY
Median Rent $
Cost of Ownership
Ownership Prem./Disc.
Cap Rate
Banning
$ 202,600
3.3%
$ 138
6.7%
$ 1,174
$ 905
$ (270)
5.6%
Beaumont
$ 272,000
6.7%
$ 138
0.3%
$ 1,698
$ 1,209
$ (489)
6.0%
Cathedral City
$ 249,100
2.6%
$ 150
1.4%
$ 1,592
$ 1,129
$ (464)
6.1%
Corona
$ 406,500
5.5%
$ 217
4.4%
$ 2,145
$ 1,812
$ (333)
5.1%
Desert Hot Springs
$ 160,500
12.6%
$ 104
8.1%
$ 967
$ 711
$ (256)
5.8%
Hemet
$ 194,100
6.2%
$ 116
8.0%
$ 1,204
$ 870
$ (334)
6.0%
Indio
$ 271,100
6.1%
$ 148
2.0%
$ 1,615
$ 1,201
$ (414)
5.7%
La Quinta
$ 376,100
7.5%
$ 212
2.8%
$ 1,481
$ 1,646
$ 165
3.8%
Lake Elsinore
$ 302,000
9.3%
$ 154
7.2%
$ 1,735
$ 1,341
$ (394)
5.5%
Menifee
$ 306,500
7.3%
$ 151
5.7%
$ 1,606
$ 1,365
$ (241)
5.0%
Moreno Valley
$ 262,000
7.6%
$ 156
3.6%
$ 1,556
$ 1,163
$ (393)
5.7%
Murrieta
$ 356,100
7.3%
$ 166
5.2%
$ 1,839
$ 1,590
$ (249)
5.0%
Norco
$ 462,600
6.7%
$ 248
-1.7%
$ 2,195
$ 2,047
$ (148)
4.6%
Palm Desert
$ 308,500
5.5%
$ 189
8.6%
$ 1,557
$ 1,378
$ (179)
4.8%
Palm Springs
$ 323,100
2.8%
$ 233
5.9%
$ 1,375
$ 1,405
$ 30
4.1%
Perris
$ 246,300
7.4%
$ 143
1.6%
$ 1,443
$ 1,085
$ (359)
5.6%
Rancho Mirage
$ 394,100
-4.8%
$ 198
-6.1%
$ 2,013
$ 1,776
$ (237)
4.9%
Riverside
$ 330,400
5.5%
$ 200
2.1%
$ 1,748
$ 1,456
$ (292)
5.1%
San Jacinto
$ 216,300
7.2%
$ 116
5.7%
$ 1,434
$ 966
$ (467)
6.4%
Sun City
$ 197,600
2.2%
$ 141
0.1%
$ 1,076
$ 872
$ (205)
5.2%
Temecula
$ 403,700
5.0%
$ 192
4.5%
$ 2,003
$ 1,789
$ (214)
4.8%
Wildomar
$ 308,200
10.9%
$ 156
7.1%
$ 1,785
$ 1,380
$ (405)
5.6%
Banning 92220
$ 202,600
3.3%
$ 142
6.4%
$ 1,174
$ 905
$ (270)
5.6%
Beaumont 92223
$ 271,900
6.4%
$ 137
0.3%
$ 1,698
$ 1,208
$ (490)
6.0%
Canyon Lake 92587
$ 350,800
1.4%
$ 185
2.3%
$ 1,909
$ 1,557
$ (352)
5.2%
Cathedral City 92234
$ 245,900
2.4%
$ 150
1.5%
$ 1,600
$ 1,115
$ (486)
6.2%
Corona 92880
$ 415,600
2.8%
$ 207
11.8%
$ 2,283
$ 1,851
$ (433)
5.3%
Corona 92881
$ 442,400
3.6%
$ 218
2.6%
$ 2,228
$ 2,002
$ (226)
4.8%
Corona 92882
$ 402,200
9.7%
$ 237
2.4%
$ 2,228
$ 1,800
$ (428)
5.3%
Corona 92883
$ 409,500
3.7%
$ 198
2.6%
$ 2,225
$ 1,829
$ (396)
5.2%
Desert Hot Springs 92240 $ 159,900
12.2%
$ 103
10.6%
$ 1,004
$ 712
$ (292)
6.0%
Hemet 92544
$ 201,000
7.0%
$ 120
5.9%
$ 1,214
$ 898
$ (316)
5.8%
Hemet 92545
$ 219,700
7.8%
$ 119
7.2%
$ 1,315
$ 978
$ (336)
5.7%
Indio 92201
$ 229,800
8.5%
$ 145
-1.4%
$ 1,433
$ 1,048
$ (385)
6.0%
Indio 92203
$ 289,300
2.8%
$ 151
2.5%
$ 1,759
$ 1,283
$ (477)
5.8%
La Quinta 92253
$ 376,900
7.5%
$ 212
2.8%
$ 1,481
$ 1,649
$ 168
3.8%
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Market Performance and Trends: Riverside County, Major Cities, and Zips Median Resale $
Resale % Rent % Change YoY Resale $/SF Change YoY
Median Rent $
Cost of Ownership
Ownership Prem./Disc.
Cap Rate
City Lake Elsinore 92530
$ 279,600
8.2%
$ 161
8.5%
$ 1,393
$ 1,233
$ (159)
4.8%
Menifee 92584
$ 317,600
7.0%
$ 151
2.9%
$ 1,757
$ 1,416
$ (341)
5.3%
Moreno Valley 92551
$ 250,800
7.2%
$ 151
10.0%
$ 1,388
$ 1,115
$ (273)
5.3%
Moreno Valley 92553
$ 239,500
8.9%
$ 167
5.7%
$ 1,416
$ 1,059
$ (357)
5.7%
Moreno Valley 92555
$ 301,800
2.3%
$ 135
2.8%
$ 1,700
$ 1,336
$ (364)
5.4%
Moreno Valley 92557
$ 276,200
11.5%
$ 165
0.6%
$ 1,532
$ 1,226
$ (306)
5.3%
Murrieta 92562
$ 358,700
7.0%
$ 179
4.5%
$ 1,892
$ 1,606
$ (285)
5.1%
Murrieta 92563
$ 353,200
7.9%
$ 155
6.3%
$ 1,790
$ 1,564
$ (226)
4.9%
Norco 92860
$ 462,600
6.7%
$ 248
-1.7%
$ 2,195
$ 2,047
$ (148)
4.6%
Palm Desert 92211
$ 307,400
4.5%
$ 182
2.5%
$ 1,659
$ 1,381
$ (279)
5.2%
Palm Desert 92260
$ 307,700
6.9%
$ 198
16.4%
$ 1,475
$ 1,382
$ (92)
4.6%
Palm Springs 92262
$ 330,500
1.8%
$ 242
12.0%
$ 1,618
$ 1,444
$ (173)
4.7%
Palm Springs 92264
$ 315,900
3.4%
$ 222
-2.2%
$ 1,434
$ 1,404
$ (29)
4.4%
Perris 92571
$ 247,700
3.7%
$ 142
2.5%
$ 1,456
$ 1,090
$ (366)
5.6%
Rancho Mirage 92270
$ 394,100
-4.9%
$ 198
-6.0%
$ 2,013
$ 1,776
$ (237)
4.9%
Riverside 92503
$ 330,900
5.8%
$ 203
1.1%
$ 1,731
$ 1,448
$ (283)
5.0%
Riverside 92504
$ 297,400
8.8%
$ 205
8.6%
$ 1,559
$ 1,319
$ (240)
5.0%
Riverside 92506
$ 361,800
7.2%
$ 219
8.1%
$ 1,629
$ 1,620
$ (8)
4.3%
Riverside 92507
$ 280,700
5.1%
$ 195
3.6%
$ 1,375
$ 1,233
$ (142)
4.7%
Riverside 92508
$ 414,800
3.6%
$ 176
-3.7%
$ 1,973
$ 1,838
$ (135)
4.6%
San Jacinto 92583
$ 201,200
9.1%
$ 122
5.7%
$ 1,302
$ 905
$ (397)
6.2%
Sun City 92586
$ 183,200
1.1%
$ 139
5.2%
$ 1,085
$ 814
$ (270)
5.7%
Temecula 92592
$ 403,600
5.5%
$ 193
3.9%
$ 1,993
$ 1,789
$ (204)
4.7%
Wildomar 92595
$ 309,300
11.2%
$ 156
6.5%
$ 1,740
$ 1,384
$ (356)
5.4%
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Market Timing Rating and Valuations: Riverside County, Major Cities, and Zips % Over/Under Rental Parity Rental Parity
Historic Premium
% Over/Under Historic Prem.
-24.1%
-14.6%
-9.5%
$ 378,800
-28.7%
-31.6%
2.9%
$ 249,100
$ 355,200
-27.7%
-18.0%
-9.7%
8
$ 406,500
$ 478,400
-15.7%
-19.4%
3.7%
Desert Hot Springs
6
$ 160,500
$ 215,600
-25.1%
-26.9%
1.8%
Hemet
7
$ 194,100
$ 268,500
-27.5%
-20.2%
-7.3%
Indio
8
$ 271,100
$ 360,300
-24.6%
-31.2%
6.6%
La Quinta
6
$ 376,100
$ 330,300
10.5%
-3.5%
14.1%
Lake Elsinore
6
$ 302,000
$ 387,000
-23.7%
-27.4%
3.7%
Menifee
8
$ 306,500
$ 358,200
-15.1%
-7.0%
-8.1%
Moreno Valley
7
$ 262,000
$ 347,200
-25.2%
-18.4%
-6.8%
Murrieta
8
$ 356,100
$ 410,200
-14.0%
-3.9%
-10.1%
Norco
5
$ 462,600
$ 489,700
-5.1%
-7.6%
2.5%
Palm Desert
10
$ 308,500
$ 347,400
-11.0%
14.9%
-25.9%
7
$ 323,100
$ 306,700
2.6%
-11.1%
13.7%
5
$ 246,300
$ 322,000
-25.2%
-26.8%
1.6%
6
$ 394,100
$ 449,000
-11.8%
21.3%
-33.1%
8
$ 330,400
$ 390,000
-16.5%
-20.4%
3.9%
8
$ 216,300
$ 319,900
-31.8%
-23.5%
-8.2%
7
$ 197,600
$ 240,100
-17.2%
-4.0%
-13.2%
8
$ 403,700
$ 446,800
-12.3%
-9.2%
-3.1%
8
$ 308,200
$ 398,100
-23.0%
-5.5%
-17.5%
9
$ 202,600
$ 262,000
-24.1%
-13.9%
-10.2%
6
$ 271,900
$ 378,800
-28.7%
-33.6%
4.9%
9
$ 350,800
$ 425,900
-18.7%
5.9%
-24.5%
7
$ 245,900
$ 357,000
-29.1%
-20.1%
-9.1%
7
$ 415,600
$ 509,400
-18.5%
-19.9%
1.4%
8
$ 442,400
$ 497,000
-10.3%
-10.2%
-0.1%
7
$ 402,200
$ 496,900
-17.3%
-10.2%
-7.1%
8
$ 409,500
$ 496,400
-17.8%
-22.0%
4.2%
7
$ 159,900
$ 224,000
-30.5%
-19.1%
-11.3%
10
$ 201,000
$ 270,800
-24.5%
-1.9%
-22.7%
Hemet 92545
6
$ 219,700
$ 293,300
-25.6%
-20.5%
-5.1%
Indio 92201
4
$ 229,800
$ 319,600
-27.2%
-30.5%
3.3%
Indio 92203
10
$ 289,300
$ 392,500
-27.1%
-4.1%
-23.0%
La Quinta 92253
5
$ 376,900
$ 330,300
10.7%
-8.2%
18.9%
Rating
Median
Banning
9
$ 202,600
$ 397,300
Beaumont
6
$ 272,000
Cathedral City
7
Corona
City
Palm Springs Perris Rancho Mirage Riverside San Jacinto Sun City Temecula Wildomar Banning 92220 Beaumont 92223 Canyon Lake 92587 Cathedral City 92234 Corona 92880 Corona 92881 Corona 92882 Corona 92883 Desert Hot Springs 92240 Hemet 92544
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Market Timing Rating and Valuations: Riverside County, Major Cities, and Zips % Over/Under Rental Parity Rental Parity
Historic Premium
% Over/Under Historic Prem.
-15.9%
-18.2%
2.3%
$ 391,900
-18.9%
-10.1%
-8.8%
$ 250,800
$ 309,500
-20.6%
-14.6%
-6.0%
7
$ 239,500
$ 315,800
-25.9%
-22.3%
-3.6%
Moreno Valley 92555
9
$ 301,800
$ 379,200
-20.6%
-5.7%
-14.9%
Moreno Valley 92557
6
$ 276,200
$ 341,800
-19.8%
-11.0%
-8.8%
Murrieta 92562
9
$ 358,700
$ 422,000
-15.1%
0.3%
-15.3%
Murrieta 92563
7
$ 353,200
$ 399,200
-13.3%
-6.3%
-7.1%
Norco 92860
5
$ 462,600
$ 489,700
-5.1%
-7.6%
2.5%
Palm Desert 92211
10
$ 307,400
$ 370,200
-16.4%
22.5%
-38.9%
Palm Desert 92260
8
$ 307,700
$ 328,900
-4.4%
9.8%
-14.3%
Palm Springs 92262
4
$ 330,500
$ 360,800
-8.7%
-17.9%
9.2%
Palm Springs 92264
4
$ 315,900
$ 319,800
-4.2%
-1.7%
-2.4%
Perris 92571
8
$ 247,700
$ 324,800
-25.5%
-29.5%
4.0%
Rancho Mirage 92270
4
$ 394,100
$ 449,000
-11.8%
8.0%
-19.8%
Riverside 92503
6
$ 330,900
$ 386,000
-17.3%
-23.0%
5.7%
Riverside 92504
5
$ 297,400
$ 347,700
-14.5%
-24.5%
10.0%
Riverside 92506
6
$ 361,800
$ 363,300
-2.1%
0.0%
-2.2%
Riverside 92507
8
$ 280,700
$ 306,700
-11.2%
-18.5%
7.3%
Riverside 92508
3
$ 414,800
$ 440,100
-6.3%
-16.9%
10.5%
San Jacinto 92583
8
$ 201,200
$ 290,500
-31.1%
-17.7%
-13.5%
Sun City 92586
8
$ 183,200
$ 242,000
-23.3%
-4.1%
-19.1%
Temecula 92592
8
$ 403,600
$ 444,700
-10.5%
-10.4%
-0.1%
9
$ 309,300
$ 388,200
-21.6%
-5.5%
-16.1%
Rating
Median
Lake Elsinore 92530
6
$ 279,600
$ 310,600
Menifee 92584
8
$ 317,600
Moreno Valley 92551
6
Moreno Valley 92553
City
Wildomar 92595
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San Bernardino County Housing Market News Historically, properties in this market sell at a 25.7% discount. Today's discount is 32.2%. This market is 6.6% undervalued. Median home price is $280,200 with a rental parity value of $406,600. This market's discount is $126,400. Monthly payment affordability has been worsening over the last 1 month(s). Momentum suggests unchanging affordability. Resale prices on a $/SF basis increased from $184/SF to $184/SF. Resale prices have been rising for 1 month(s). Over the last 12 months, resale prices rose 7.0% indicating a longer term upward price trend. Median rental rates declined $23 last month from $1,845 to $1,822. The current capitalization rate (rent/price) is 6.2%. Rents have been rising for 12 month(s). Price momentum signals rising rents over the next three months. Market rating = 8
Median Home Price and Rental Parity trailing twelve months Rating 9 9 9 9 9 9 8 7 8 7 8 8
Median Rental Parity Historic Value $500,000 $ 258,700 $ 400,900 $ 297,987 $ 258,200 $ 402,800 $ 299,399 $400,000 $ 261,100 $ 400,100 $ 297,392 $ 263,500 $ 407,700 $ 303,041 $300,000 $ 267,300 $ 407,200 $ 302,670 $200,000 $ 268,800 $ 406,900 $ 302,447 $ 274,600 $ 407,100 $ 302,595 $100,000 $ 278,000 $ 417,600 $ 310,400 $ 278,800 $ 418,700 $ 311,218 $- $ 281,000 $ 422,300 $ 313,893 $ 280,100 $ 412,800 $ 306,832 $ 280,200 $ 406,600 $ 302,224
Median
Rental Parity
Historic Value
1/ 20 1 2/ 5 20 1 3/ 5 20 1 4/ 5 20 1 5/ 5 20 1 6/ 5 20 1 7/ 5 20 1 8/ 5 20 1 9/ 5 20 10 15 /2 0 11 15 /2 0 12 15 /2 01 5
Date 1/2015 2/2015 3/2015 4/2015 5/2015 6/2015 7/2015 8/2015 9/2015 10/2015 11/2015 12/2015
Resale $/SF and year-over-year percentage change trailing twelve months Âą Typ. Value -8.7% -9.5% -9.7% -9.7% -9.2% -8.9% -7.9% -7.6% -7.5% -7.8% -7.3% -6.6%
$/SF $ 171 $ 171 $ 172 $ 173 $ 174 $ 176 $ 179 $ 181 $ 183 $ 184 $ 184 $ 184
% Change 5.8% 4.5% 4.6% 4.4% 3.9% 3.8% 6.3% 7.0% 6.9% 7.1% 6.6% 7.0%
$190
$184 $183 $184 $184 $181 $179 $180 $176 $174 $175 $171 $171 $172 $173 $185
$170 $165 $160 1/ 20 15 2/ 20 15 3/ 20 15 4/ 20 15 5/ 20 15 6/ 20 15 7/ 20 15 8/ 20 15 9/ 20 1 10 5 /2 01 11 5 /2 01 12 5 /2 01 5
Date 1/2015 2/2015 3/2015 4/2015 5/2015 6/2015 7/2015 8/2015 9/2015 10/2015 11/2015 12/2015
-0.2567051
OC Housing News info@ochousingnews.com
3 ,82
6
$1
7
,84 $1
,85
1
$1
,86
1
$1
,86
,84
,82
5
$1
$1
9
$1
4
,79
$1
,76
2
$1
,75
2
$1
$1
,75
3
Own Historic Cost to Own Relative to Rent $2,000 $ 1,148 $ 1,296 $1,800 $ 1,134 $ 1,302 $ 1,130 $ 1,303 $1,600 $ 1,135 $ 1,311 $1,400 $ 1,155 $ 1,337 $ 1,176 $ 1,359 $1,200 $ 1,211 $ 1,371 $1,000 $ 1,230 $ 1,383 Rent Own $800 $ 1,241 $ 1,383 $ 1,238 $ 1,380 $ 1,242 $ 1,372 $ 1,248 $ 1,355 ,74
Rent $ 1,743 $ 1,752 $ 1,752 $ 1,764 $ 1,799 $ 1,828 $ 1,845 $ 1,861 $ 1,861 $ 1,857 $ 1,846 $ 1,823
$1
% Change 4.5% 4.7% 4.7% 4.8% 5.1% 5.0% 5.0% 4.8% 4.8% 4.5% 4.1% 4.0%
Historic Cost to Own Relagve to Rent
1/ 20 15 2/ 20 15 3/ 20 15 4/ 20 15 5/ 20 15 6/ 20 15 7/ 20 15 8/ 20 15 9/ 20 1 10 5 /2 01 11 5 /2 01 12 5 /2 01 5
Date 1/2015 2/2015 3/2015 4/2015 5/2015 6/2015 7/2015 8/2015 9/2015 10/2015 11/2015 12/2015
8
Rental rate and year-over-year percentage change trailing twelve months
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D 12 ate /1 12 988 /1 12 989 /1 12 990 /1 12 991 /1 12 992 /1 12 993 /1 12 994 /1 12 995 /1 12 996 /1 12 997 /1 12 998 /1 12 999 /2 12 000 /2 12 001 /2 12 002 /2 12 003 /2 12 004 /2 12 005 /2 12 006 /2 12 007 /2 12 008 /2 12 009 /2 12 010 /2 12 011 /2 12 012 /2 12 013 /2 12 014 /2 12 015 /2 01 6
1/ 19 1/ 88 19 1/ 89 19 1/ 90 19 1/ 91 19 1/ 92 19 1/ 93 19 1/ 94 19 1/ 95 19 1/ 96 19 1/ 97 19 1/ 98 19 1/ 99 20 1/ 00 20 1/ 01 20 1/ 02 20 1/ 03 20 1/ 04 20 1/ 05 20 1/ 06 20 1/ 07 20 1/ 08 20 1/ 09 20 1/ 10 20 1/ 11 20 1/ 12 20 1/ 13 20 1/ 14 20 1/ 15 20 1/ 16 20 17
San Bernardino County median home price since January 1988
$450,000
OC Housing News info@ochousingnews.com
Median Resale
Median Rent
Rental Parity
Cost to Own
January 2016
41 of 58
Historic Value Projecgon
$400,000
$350,000
$300,000
$250,000
$200,000
$150,000
$100,000
$50,000
$0
San Bernardino County median rent and monthly cost of ownership since January 1988 $2,500 Historic Cost to Own Relagve to Rent
$2,000
$1,500
$1,000
$500
$0
Shevy Akason 877-409-8515
Resale $/SF Year-over-Year Percentage Change: San Bernardino County since January 1989
Appreciagon rates in excess of 7% are not sustainable. Long periods of excessive appreciagon lead to a crash.
Normal and sustainable
Falling/Correcgng
1/ 19 1/ 89 19 1/ 90 19 1/ 91 19 1/ 92 19 1/ 93 19 1/ 94 19 1/ 95 19 1/ 96 19 1/ 97 19 1/ 98 19 1/ 99 20 1/ 00 20 1/ 01 20 1/ 02 20 1/ 03 20 1/ 04 20 1/ 05 20 1/ 06 20 1/ 07 20 1/ 08 20 1/ 09 20 1/ 10 20 1/ 11 20 1/ 12 20 1/ 13 20 1/ 14 20 15
50% 45% 40% 35% 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% -5% -10% -15% -20% -25% -30% -35% -40% -45% -50%
Rental $/SF Year-over-Year Percentage Change: San Bernardino County since January 1989 18% 16%
Rental rates in excess of 7% are not sustainable. Long periods of excessive appreciagon lead to a crash.
14% 12% 10% 8%
Normal and sustainable
6% 4% 2%
Weak
0% -2%
Falling/Correcgng
-4% -6%
1/ 19 1/ 89 19 1/ 90 19 1/ 91 19 1/ 92 19 1/ 93 19 1/ 94 19 1/ 95 19 1/ 96 19 1/ 97 19 1/ 98 19 1/ 99 20 1/ 00 20 1/ 01 20 1/ 02 20 1/ 03 20 1/ 04 20 1/ 05 20 1/ 06 20 1/ 07 20 1/ 08 20 1/ 09 20 1/ 10 20 1/ 11 20 1/ 12 20 1/ 13 20 1/ 14 20 15
-8%
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Historic Median Home Price Relative to Rental Parity: San Bernardino County since January 1988 84.0% 77.0% 70.0% 63.0% 56.0% 49.0% 42.0% 35.0% 28.0% 21.0% 14.0% 7.0% 0.0% -7.0% -14.0% -21.0% -28.0% -35.0% -42.0% -49.0% -56.0% -63.0% -70.0%
Historic Norm
Stable period between housing bubbles from 1993-1999 establishes historic norm.
1/ 19 1/ 89 19 1/ 90 19 1/ 91 19 1/ 92 19 1/ 93 19 1/ 94 19 1/ 95 19 1/ 96 19 1/ 97 19 1/ 98 19 1/ 99 20 1/ 00 20 1/ 01 20 1/ 02 20 1/ 03 20 1/ 04 20 1/ 05 20 1/ 06 20 1/ 07 20 1/ 08 20 1/ 09 20 1/ 10 20 1/ 11 20 1/ 12 20 1/ 13 20 1/ 14 20 1/ 15 20 1/ 16 20 17
Discount or Premium
Value Relagve to Rental Parity
OCHN Market Timing System Rating: San Bernardino County since January 1988 10 9 8
Values 7-10: Undervalued Market: Strong Buy Recommendagon
7 6
Values 4-6: Neutral Market, Weak Buy Recommendagon
5 4 3
Values 1-3: Inated or Weak Market: Consider Selling. Do not Buy.
2 1
1/ 19 1/ 88 19 1/ 89 19 1/ 90 19 1/ 91 19 1/ 92 19 1/ 93 19 1/ 94 19 1/ 95 19 1/ 96 19 1/ 97 19 1/ 98 19 1/ 99 20 1/ 00 20 1/ 01 20 1/ 02 20 1/ 03 20 1/ 04 20 1/ 05 20 1/ 06 20 1/ 07 20 1/ 08 20 1/ 09 20 1/ 10 20 1/ 11 20 1/ 12 20 1/ 13 20 1/ 14 20 1/ 15 20 16
0
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1/ 19 1/ 88 19 1/ 89 19 1/ 90 19 1/ 91 19 1/ 92 19 1/ 93 19 1/ 94 19 1/ 95 19 1/ 96 19 1/ 97 19 1/ 98 19 1/ 99 20 1/ 00 20 1/ 01 20 1/ 02 20 1/ 03 20 1/ 04 20 1/ 05 20 1/ 06 20 1/ 07 20 1/ 08 20 1/ 09 20 1/ 10 20 1/ 11 20 1/ 12 20 1/ 13 20 1/ 14 20 1/ 15 20 1/ 16 20 17 1/ 19 1/ 88 19 1/ 89 19 1/ 90 19 1/ 91 19 1/ 92 19 1/ 93 19 1/ 94 19 1/ 95 19 1/ 96 19 1/ 97 19 1/ 98 19 1/ 99 20 1/ 00 20 1/ 01 20 1/ 02 20 1/ 03 20 1/ 04 20 1/ 05 20 1/ 06 20 1/ 07 20 1/ 08 20 1/ 09 20 1/ 10 20 1/ 11 20 1/ 12 20 1/ 13 20 1/ 14 20 1/ 15 20 1/ 16 20 17
Cash Investor Capitalization Rate: San Bernardino County since January 1988 Capitalizagon Rate
OC Housing News info@ochousingnews.com Mortgage Interest Rate
14.0%
12.0%
10.0%
8.0%
6.0%
4.0%
2.0%
0.0%
Financed Investor Cash-on-Cash Return: San Bernardino County since January 1988
50.0%
40.0%
30.0%
20.0%
10.0%
0.0%
-10.0%
-20.0%
-30.0%
January 2016
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Market Performance and Trends: San Bernardino County, Major Cities, and Zips City
Median Resale $
Resale % Rent % Change YoY Resale $/SF Change YoY
Median Rent $
Cost of Ownership
Ownership Prem./Disc.
Cap Rate
Adelanto
$ 155,800
6.7%
$ 98
11.7%
$ 1,056
$ 695
$ (361)
6.5%
Apple Valley
$ 193,200
1.7%
$ 110
3.5%
$ 968
$ 860
$ (107)
4.8%
Chino
$ 417,100
5.6%
$ 238
5.3%
$ 2,106
$ 1,832
$ (274)
4.8%
Chino Hills
$ 533,000
6.0%
$ 308
-0.2%
$ 2,289
$ 2,397
$ 108
4.1%
Colton
$ 222,600
8.6%
$ 173
3.2%
$ 1,242
$ 981
$ (261)
5.4%
Fontana
$ 331,600
6.9%
$ 195
0.6%
$ 2,041
$ 1,477
$ (564)
5.9%
Hesperia
$ 214,300
4.6%
$ 116
3.4%
$ 1,240
$ 953
$ (287)
5.6%
Highland
$ 274,900
12.7%
$ 167
-0.4%
$ 1,670
$ 1,196
$ (475)
5.8%
Joshua Tree
$ 121,300
6.9%
$ 95
-5.9%
$ 824
$ 531
$ (294)
6.5%
Loma Linda
$ 332,500
0.0%
$ 153
-0.1%
$ 1,620
$ 1,479
$ (141)
4.7%
Montclair
$ 345,800
8.1%
$ 244
0.1%
$ 1,656
$ 1,535
$ (121)
4.6%
Ontario
$ 341,500
10.0%
$ 245
0.6%
$ 1,803
$ 1,509
$ (293)
5.1%
Rancho Cucamonga
$ 420,700
5.0%
$ 248
0.8%
$ 2,108
$ 1,864
$ (245)
4.8%
Redlands
$ 330,800
8.3%
$ 210
4.9%
$ 1,711
$ 1,482
$ (229)
5.0%
Rialto
$ 280,800
8.2%
$ 180
5.7%
$ 1,536
$ 1,245
$ (291)
5.3%
San Bernardino (City)
$ 214,100
10.2%
$ 159
2.1%
$ 1,366
$ 943
$ (423)
6.1%
Twentynine Palms
$ 71,200
-7.4%
$ 68
-13.3%
$ 828
$ 319
$ (509)
11.2%
Upland
$ 466,600
4.6%
$ 262
10.2%
$ 2,040
$ 2,119
$ 78
4.2%
Victorville
$ 195,100
7.1%
$ 106
3.7%
$ 1,274
$ 873
$ (402)
6.3%
Yucaipa
$ 310,000
7.2%
$ 177
8.8%
$ 1,337
$ 1,371
$ 34
4.1%
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Market Performance and Trends: San Bernardino County, Major Cities, and Zips Median Resale $
Resale % Rent % Change YoY Resale $/SF Change YoY
Median Rent $
Cost of Ownership
Ownership Prem./Disc.
Cap Rate
City Chino 91710
$ 420,400
6.0%
$ 246
6.7%
$ 2,047
$ 1,843
$ (205)
4.7%
Fontana 92336
$ 388,300
5.4%
$ 190
0.8%
$ 2,172
$ 1,723
$ (449)
5.4%
Fontana 92337
$ 316,800
2.9%
$ 195
-2.0%
$ 1,740
$ 1,416
$ (324)
5.3%
Grand Terrace 92313
$ 286,200
11.7%
$ 187
6.4%
$ 1,520
$ 1,284
$ (235)
5.1%
Hesperia 92344
$ 225,900
1.7%
$ 106
4.1%
$ 1,290
$ 1,014
$ (276)
5.5%
Mentone 92359
$ 321,200
6.6%
$ 156
1.0%
$ 1,195
$ 1,409
$ 214
3.6%
Ontario 91762
$ 340,600
10.3%
$ 244
-3.8%
$ 1,471
$ 1,501
$ 30
4.1%
Rancho Cucamonga 91701
$ 437,800
5.0%
$ 252
1.3%
$ 2,036
$ 1,957
$ (79)
4.5%
Rancho Cucamonga 91730
$ 353,800
7.2%
$ 247
2.5%
$ 1,890
$ 1,585
$ (306)
5.1%
Rancho Cucamonga 91737
$ 467,500
-0.6%
$ 252
3.1%
$ 2,116
$ 2,094
$ (21)
4.3%
Rancho Cucamonga 91739
$ 570,100
4.2%
$ 246
-2.6%
$ 2,626
$ 2,510
$ (116)
4.4%
Redlands 92373
$ 384,600
12.5%
$ 235
2.1%
$ 1,929
$ 1,743
$ (187)
4.8%
Rialto 92376
$ 263,300
7.7%
$ 177
3.7%
$ 1,478
$ 1,174
$ (304)
5.4%
Rialto 92377
$ 336,100
10.2%
$ 190
14.2%
$ 1,822
$ 1,479
$ (343)
5.2%
San Bernardino (City) 92405 $ 200,100
13.6%
$ 159
10.9%
$ 1,221
$ 890
$ (331)
5.9%
San Bernardino (City) 92410 $ 161,900
5.0%
$ 149
6.4%
$ 1,010
$ 707
$ (302)
6.0%
Upland 91784
$ 579,900
4.7%
$ 258
7.4%
$ 2,344
$ 2,602
$ 257
3.9%
Upland 91786
$ 390,500
5.6%
$ 267
10.4%
$ 1,824
$ 1,766
$ (58)
4.5%
Victorville 92392
$ 199,200
9.0%
$ 105
4.5%
$ 1,246
$ 893
$ (354)
6.0%
Victorville 92394
$ 187,300
2.0%
$ 101
1.6%
$ 1,268
$ 840
$ (428)
6.5%
Victorville 92395
$ 191,000
9.4%
$ 113
4.0%
$ 1,205
$ 846
$ (359)
6.1%
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Market Timing Rating and Valuations: San Bernardino County, Major Cities, and Zips % Over/Under Rental Parity Rental Parity
Historic Premium
% Over/Under Historic Prem.
-33.6%
-3.8%
-29.8%
$ 215,900
-11.0%
9.7%
-20.7%
$ 417,100
$ 469,700
-13.3%
-9.0%
-4.3%
5
$ 533,000
$ 510,600
4.5%
6.6%
-2.1%
Colton
8
$ 222,600
$ 277,000
-21.2%
-10.7%
-10.5%
Fontana
6
$ 331,600
$ 455,300
-28.0%
-33.7%
5.7%
Hesperia
8
$ 214,300
$ 276,700
-24.0%
-21.2%
-2.8%
Highland
6
$ 274,900
$ 372,600
-28.6%
-11.9%
-16.7%
Joshua Tree
5
$ 121,300
$ 183,900
-35.4%
-20.0%
-15.4%
Loma Linda
8
$ 332,500
$ 361,400
-8.7%
34.8%
-43.5%
Montclair
5
$ 345,800
$ 369,500
-5.6%
-6.0%
0.4%
Ontario
6
$ 341,500
$ 402,100
-15.5%
-3.9%
-11.6%
Rancho Cucamonga
6
$ 420,700
$ 470,300
-12.1%
-7.6%
-4.4%
Redlands
8
$ 330,800
$ 381,700
-12.0%
-0.2%
-11.8%
7
$ 280,800
$ 342,700
-19.8%
-22.8%
3.0%
7
$ 214,100
$ 304,700
-28.8%
-28.5%
-0.3%
4
$ 71,200
$ 184,700
-60.6%
-28.7%
-31.9%
7
$ 466,600
$ 455,200
2.7%
6.9%
-4.1%
10
$ 195,100
$ 284,200
-30.8%
-6.4%
-24.4%
5
$ 310,000
$ 298,200
0.2%
-9.2%
9.4%
Rating
Median
Adelanto
10
$ 155,800
$ 235,600
Apple Valley
8
$ 193,200
Chino
8
Chino Hills
City
Rialto San Bernardino (City) Twentynine Palms Upland Victorville Yucaipa
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Market Timing Rating and Valuations: San Bernardino County, Major Cities, and Zips % Over/Under Rental Parity Rental Parity
Historic Premium
% Over/Under Historic Prem.
-10.9%
-7.4%
-3.4%
$ 484,600
-20.6%
-33.2%
12.6%
$ 316,800
$ 388,200
-18.8%
-20.6%
1.8%
8
$ 286,200
$ 339,000
-17.0%
-7.2%
-9.8%
Hesperia 92344
7
$ 225,900
$ 287,700
-21.5%
-13.1%
-8.4%
Mentone 92359
7
$ 321,200
$ 266,600
15.6%
28.1%
-12.4%
Ontario 91762
3
$ 340,600
$ 328,200
2.0%
8.6%
-6.7%
Rancho Cucamonga 91701
6
$ 437,800
$ 454,200
-2.7%
3.1%
-5.8%
Rancho Cucamonga 91730
7
$ 353,800
$ 421,700
-17.3%
-14.6%
-2.7%
Rancho Cucamonga 91737
9
$ 467,500
$ 472,000
-0.7%
23.9%
-24.6%
Rancho Cucamonga 91739
3
$ 570,100
$ 585,800
-4.4%
-17.3%
12.9%
Redlands 92373
10
$ 384,600
$ 430,400
-5.2%
20.5%
-25.7%
Rialto 92376
7
$ 263,300
$ 329,800
-21.9%
-22.1%
0.3%
Rialto 92377
7
$ 336,100
$ 406,400
-19.0%
-8.2%
-10.8%
San Bernardino (City) 92405
6
$ 200,100
$ 272,300
-26.2%
-18.6%
-7.7%
San Bernardino (City) 92410
10
$ 161,900
$ 225,200
-28.5%
-1.5%
-27.0%
Upland 91784
7
$ 579,900
$ 523,000
8.7%
10.9%
-2.2%
Upland 91786
8
$ 390,500
$ 406,900
-3.4%
8.5%
-11.9%
Victorville 92392
10
$ 199,200
$ 278,000
-28.8%
3.8%
-32.6%
Victorville 92394
8
$ 187,300
$ 282,900
-32.9%
-14.4%
-18.5%
Victorville 92395
9
$ 191,000
$ 268,700
-30.0%
-9.8%
-20.2%
Rating
Median
Chino 91710
8
$ 420,400
$ 456,700
Fontana 92336
5
$ 388,300
Fontana 92337
5
Grand Terrace 92313
City
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Ventura County Housing Market News Historically, properties in this market sell at a 15.8% premium. Today's discount is 12.2%. This market is 28.0% undervalued. Median home price is $518,300 with a rental parity value of $583,000. This market's discount is $64,700. Monthly payment affordability has been improving over the last 9 month(s). Momentum suggests improving affordability. Resale prices on a $/SF basis increased from $320/SF to $322/SF. Resale prices have been rising for 1 month(s). Over the last 12 months, resale prices rose 8.9% indicating a longer term upward price trend. Median rental rates declined $32 last month from $2,645 to $2,613. The current capitalization rate (rent/price) is 4.8%. Rents have been rising for 12 month(s). Price momentum signals rising rents over the next three months. Market rating = 10
Median Home Price and Rental Parity trailing twelve months Rating 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10
Median Rental Parity Historic Value $800,000 $ 501,900 $ 558,500 $ 646,955 $ 506,100 $ 557,900 $ 646,260 $600,000 $ 507,900 $ 557,600 $ 645,913 $ 513,800 $ 572,200 $ 662,825 $400,000 $ 515,900 $ 577,200 $ 668,617 $ 522,600 $ 588,800 $ 682,054 $200,000 $ 523,400 $ 583,900 $ 676,378 $ 523,400 $ 597,600 $ 692,248 $ 523,100 $ 591,500 $ 685,182 $- $ 521,900 $ 601,800 $ 697,113 $ 519,400 $ 591,600 $ 685,297 $ 518,300 $ 583,000 $ 675,335
Median
Rental Parity
Historic Value
1/ 20 1 2/ 5 20 1 3/ 5 20 1 4/ 5 20 1 5/ 5 20 1 6/ 5 20 1 7/ 5 20 1 8/ 5 20 1 9/ 5 20 10 15 /2 0 11 15 /2 0 12 15 /2 01 5
Date 1/2015 2/2015 3/2015 4/2015 5/2015 6/2015 7/2015 8/2015 9/2015 10/2015 11/2015 12/2015
Resale $/SF and year-over-year percentage change trailing twelve months Âą Typ. Value -26.0% -25.8% -25.3% -25.3% -25.8% -26.5% -26.6% -27.2% -27.3% -28.3% -28.2% -28.0%
$/SF $ 296 $ 297 $ 302 $ 307 $ 312 $ 317 $ 319 $ 320 $ 321 $ 321 $ 320 $ 322
% Change 2.3% 2.3% 3.8% 4.9% 6.0% 6.9% 6.5% 6.7% 7.0% 7.1% 7.3% 8.9%
$320 $321 $321 $320 $322 $319 $317
$325 $320
$312
$315
$307
$310
$302
$305
$300 $296 $297 $295 $290 1/ 20 15 2/ 20 15 3/ 20 15 4/ 20 15 5/ 20 15 6/ 20 15 7/ 20 15 8/ 20 15 9/ 20 1 10 5 /2 01 11 5 /2 01 12 5 /2 01 5
Date 1/2015 2/2015 3/2015 4/2015 5/2015 6/2015 7/2015 8/2015 9/2015 10/2015 11/2015 12/2015
1/0/00
OC Housing News info@ochousingnews.com
3
6
,61 $2
6
,64 $2
,64
9
$2
,62
3
$2
,66
,64
$2
$2
0 ,64 6 $2
6
,55
$2
,47
3
$2
,44
6
$2
$2
,42
8
Own Historic Cost to Own Relative to Rent $3,400 $ 2,215 $ 2,813 $ 2,199 $ 2,810 $2,900 $ 2,202 $ 2,829 $ 2,216 $ 2,868 $2,400 $ 2,242 $ 2,954 $ 2,283 $ 3,065 $1,900 $ 2,333 $ 3,065 $ 2,350 $ 3,084 Rent Own $1,400 $ 2,343 $ 3,045 $ 2,317 $ 3,064 $ 2,314 $ 3,064 $ 2,313 $ 3,027 ,42
Rent $ 2,428 $ 2,426 $ 2,443 $ 2,476 $ 2,550 $ 2,646 $ 2,646 $ 2,663 $ 2,629 $ 2,646 $ 2,646 $ 2,613
$2
% Change 8.2% 6.9% 7.0% 6.8% 6.8% 7.1% 7.3% 6.8% 4.9% 4.7% 4.0% 3.8%
Historic Cost to Own Relagve to Rent
1/ 20 15 2/ 20 15 3/ 20 15 4/ 20 15 5/ 20 15 6/ 20 15 7/ 20 15 8/ 20 15 9/ 20 1 10 5 /2 01 11 5 /2 01 12 5 /2 01 5
Date 1/2015 2/2015 3/2015 4/2015 5/2015 6/2015 7/2015 8/2015 9/2015 10/2015 11/2015 12/2015
6
Rental rate and year-over-year percentage change trailing twelve months
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1/ 19 1/ 88 19 1/ 89 19 1/ 90 19 1/ 91 19 1/ 92 19 1/ 93 19 1/ 94 19 1/ 95 19 1/ 96 19 1/ 97 19 1/ 98 19 1/ 99 20 1/ 00 20 1/ 01 20 1/ 02 20 1/ 03 20 1/ 04 20 1/ 05 20 1/ 06 20 1/ 07 20 1/ 08 20 1/ 09 20 1/ 10 20 1/ 11 20 1/ 12 20 1/ 13 20 1/ 14 20 1/ 15 20 1/ 16 20 17 1/ 19 1/ 88 19 1/ 89 19 1/ 90 19 1/ 91 19 1/ 92 19 1/ 93 19 1/ 94 19 1/ 95 19 1/ 96 19 1/ 97 19 1/ 98 19 1/ 99 20 1/ 00 20 1/ 01 20 1/ 02 20 1/ 03 20 1/ 04 20 1/ 05 20 1/ 06 20 1/ 07 20 1/ 08 20 1/ 09 20 1/ 10 20 1/ 11 20 1/ 12 20 1/ 13 20 1/ 14 20 1/ 15 20 1/ 16 20 17
Ventura County median home price since January 1988
$800,000
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Median Resale
Median Rent
Rental Parity
Cost to Own
January 2016
50 of 58
Historic Value Projecgon
$700,000
$600,000
$500,000
$400,000
$300,000
$200,000
$100,000
$0
Ventura County median rent and monthly cost of ownership since January 1988
$4,000 Historic Cost to Own Relagve to Rent
$3,500
$3,000
$2,500
$2,000
$1,500
$1,000
$500
$0
Shevy Akason 877-409-8515
Resale $/SF Year-over-Year Percentage Change: Ventura County since January 1989 Appreciagon rates in excess of 7% are not sustainable. Long periods of excessive appreciagon lead to a crash.
Normal and sustainable
Falling/Correcgng
1/ 19 1/ 89 19 1/ 90 19 1/ 91 19 1/ 92 19 1/ 93 19 1/ 94 19 1/ 95 19 1/ 96 19 1/ 97 19 1/ 98 19 1/ 99 20 1/ 00 20 1/ 01 20 1/ 02 20 1/ 03 20 1/ 04 20 1/ 05 20 1/ 06 20 1/ 07 20 1/ 08 20 1/ 09 20 1/ 10 20 1/ 11 20 1/ 12 20 1/ 13 20 1/ 14 20 15
50% 45% 40% 35% 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% -5% -10% -15% -20% -25% -30% -35% -40% -45% -50%
Rental $/SF Year-over-Year Percentage Change: Ventura County since January 1989 18% 16%
Rental rates in excess of 7% are not sustainable. Long periods of excessive appreciagon lead to a crash.
14% 12% 10% 8% 6%
Normal and sustainable
4% 2%
Weak
0% -2%
Falling/Correcgng
-4% -6%
1/ 19 1/ 89 19 1/ 90 19 1/ 91 19 1/ 92 19 1/ 93 19 1/ 94 19 1/ 95 19 1/ 96 19 1/ 97 19 1/ 98 19 1/ 99 20 1/ 00 20 1/ 01 20 1/ 02 20 1/ 03 20 1/ 04 20 1/ 05 20 1/ 06 20 1/ 07 20 1/ 08 20 1/ 09 20 1/ 10 20 1/ 11 20 1/ 12 20 1/ 13 20 1/ 14 20 15
-8%
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Historic Median Home Price Relative to Rental Parity: Ventura County since January 1988 126.0% 119.0% 112.0% 105.0% 98.0% 91.0% 84.0% 77.0% 70.0% 63.0% 56.0% 49.0% 42.0% 35.0% 28.0% 21.0% 14.0% 7.0% 0.0% -7.0% -14.0% -21.0% -28.0% -35.0% -42.0%
Historic Norm
Stable period between housing bubbles from 1993-1999 establishes historic norm.
1/ 19 1/ 88 19 1/ 89 19 1/ 90 19 1/ 91 19 1/ 92 19 1/ 93 19 1/ 94 19 1/ 95 19 1/ 96 19 1/ 97 19 1/ 98 19 1/ 99 20 1/ 00 20 1/ 01 20 1/ 02 20 1/ 03 20 1/ 04 20 1/ 05 20 1/ 06 20 1/ 07 20 1/ 08 20 1/ 09 20 1/ 10 20 1/ 11 20 1/ 12 20 1/ 13 20 1/ 14 20 1/ 15 20 1/ 16 20 17
Discount or Premium
Value Relagve to Rental Parity
OCHN Market Timing System Rating: Ventura County since January 1988 10 9
Values 7-10: Undervalued Market: Strong Buy Recommendagon
8 7 6
Values 4-6: Neutral Market, Weak Buy Recommendagon
5 4 3
Values 1-3: Inated or Weak Market: Consider Selling. Do not Buy.
2
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1/2017
1/2016
1/2015
1/2014
1/2013
1/2012
1/2011
1/2010
1/2009
1/2008
1/2006
1/2007
1/2005
1/2004
1/2003
1/2002
1/2001
1/2000
1/1999
1/1998
1/1997
1/1996
1/1995
1/1994
1/1993
1/1992
1/1991
1/1990
1/1989
0
1/1988
1
Shevy Akason 877-409-8515
1/ 19 1/ 88 19 1/ 89 19 1/ 90 19 1/ 91 19 1/ 92 19 1/ 93 19 1/ 94 19 1/ 95 19 1/ 96 19 1/ 97 19 1/ 98 19 1/ 99 20 1/ 00 20 1/ 01 20 1/ 02 20 1/ 03 20 1/ 04 20 1/ 05 20 1/ 06 20 1/ 07 20 1/ 08 20 1/ 09 20 1/ 10 20 1/ 11 20 1/ 12 20 1/ 13 20 1/ 14 20 1/ 15 20 1/ 16 20 17 1/ 19 1/ 88 19 1/ 89 19 1/ 90 19 1/ 91 19 1/ 92 19 1/ 93 19 1/ 94 19 1/ 95 19 1/ 96 19 1/ 97 19 1/ 98 19 1/ 99 20 1/ 00 20 1/ 01 20 1/ 02 20 1/ 03 20 1/ 04 20 1/ 05 20 1/ 06 20 1/ 07 20 1/ 08 20 1/ 09 20 1/ 10 20 1/ 11 20 1/ 12 20 1/ 13 20 1/ 14 20 1/ 15 20 1/ 16 20 17
Cash Investor Capitalization Rate: Ventura County since January 1988 Capitalizagon Rate
OC Housing News info@ochousingnews.com Mortgage Interest Rate
12.0%
10.0%
8.0%
6.0%
4.0%
2.0%
0.0%
Financed Investor Cash-on-Cash Return: Ventura County since January 1988
15.0%
10.0%
5.0%
0.0%
-5.0%
-10.0%
-15.0%
-20.0%
-25.0%
-30.0%
-35.0%
January 2016
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Market Performance and Trends: Ventura County, Major Cities, and Zips City
Median Resale $
Resale % Rent % Change YoY Resale $/SF Change YoY
Median Rent $
Cost of Ownership
Ownership Prem./Disc.
Cap Rate
Camarillo
$ 530,000
8.5%
$ 311
2.6%
$ 2,517
$ 2,363
$ (154)
4.6%
Moorpark
$ 607,800
8.7%
$ 284
1.6%
$ 2,495
$ 2,688
$ 193
3.9%
Newbury Park
$ 635,300
4.5%
$ 321
2.7%
$ 2,784
$ 2,837
$ 52
4.2%
Oak Park
$ 616,100
4.0%
$ 366
7.1%
$ 2,529
$ 2,778
$ 249
3.9%
Oxnard
$ 421,700
13.0%
$ 299
18.0%
$ 2,139
$ 1,891
$ (248)
4.9%
Port Hueneme
$ 339,300
-3.4%
$ 262
6.1%
$ 1,531
$ 1,492
$ (39)
4.3%
Simi Valley
$ 496,900
10.0%
$ 296
1.0%
$ 2,358
$ 2,218
$ (140)
4.6%
Thousand Oaks
$ 621,000
1.8%
$ 343
7.2%
$ 2,675
$ 2,772
$ 97
4.1%
Ventura
$ 500,300
11.5%
$ 356
0.3%
$ 2,003
$ 2,203
$ 200
3.8%
Westlake Village
$ 780,200
13.8%
$ 395
9.1%
$ 2,678
$ 3,524
$ 847
3.3%
Camarillo 93010
$ 524,500
5.4%
$ 310
7.7%
$ 2,340
$ 2,360
$ 20
4.3%
Newbury Park 91320
$ 634,200
4.6%
$ 322
3.1%
$ 2,784
$ 2,832
$ 48
4.2%
Oxnard 93033
$ 367,300
15.7%
$ 398
-8.3%
$ 1,916
$ 1,599
$ (318)
5.0%
Oxnard 93035
$ 537,800
12.5%
$ 221
16.7%
$ 2,237
$ 2,415
$ 178
4.0%
Port Hueneme 93041
$ 329,500
-3.5%
$ 262
6.0%
$ 1,531
$ 1,456
$ (75)
4.5%
Simi Valley 93063
$ 491,700
10.0%
$ 293
0.9%
$ 2,621
$ 2,197
$ (423)
5.1%
Simi Valley 93065
$ 500,300
9.2%
$ 298
7.3%
$ 2,290
$ 2,241
$ (49)
4.4%
Thousand Oaks 91360
$ 592,100
-1.8%
$ 333
6.4%
$ 2,530
$ 2,640
$ 110
4.1%
Thousand Oaks 91362
$ 670,300
9.0%
$ 349
6.1%
$ 2,895
$ 3,008
$ 113
4.1%
Ventura 93004
$ 501,800
20.8%
$ 297
7.3%
$ 2,391
$ 2,223
$ (168)
4.6%
Westlake Village 91361
$ 781,700
9.9%
$ 412
12.7%
$ 2,913
$ 3,469
$ 556
3.6%
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Market Timing Rating and Valuations: Ventura County, Major Cities, and Zips % Over/Under Rental Parity Rental Parity
Historic Premium
% Over/Under Historic Prem.
-6.2%
26.7%
-32.9%
$ 556,500
4.8%
17.6%
-12.9%
$ 635,300
$ 621,100
-0.4%
14.3%
-14.8%
10
$ 616,100
$ 564,300
6.6%
37.8%
-31.2%
Oxnard
9
$ 421,700
$ 477,100
-12.8%
12.2%
-24.9%
Port Hueneme
9
$ 339,300
$ 341,500
-1.3%
28.7%
-29.9%
Simi Valley
6
$ 496,900
$ 526,100
-9.1%
3.1%
-12.1%
Thousand Oaks
8
$ 621,000
$ 596,800
1.3%
26.5%
-25.2%
Ventura
7
$ 500,300
$ 446,800
12.4%
33.5%
-21.1%
Westlake Village
8
$ 780,200
$ 597,400
36.3%
58.7%
-22.5%
Camarillo 93010
10
$ 524,500
$ 522,100
1.4%
29.5%
-28.1%
Newbury Park 91320
9
$ 634,200
$ 621,100
-0.6%
14.3%
-14.9%
Oxnard 93033
8
$ 367,300
$ 427,500
-16.4%
27.3%
-43.7%
Oxnard 93035
9
$ 537,800
$ 499,000
5.1%
34.5%
-29.4%
10
$ 329,500
$ 341,500
-3.7%
28.6%
-32.3%
7
$ 491,700
$ 584,600
-16.2%
7.4%
-23.6%
6
$ 500,300
$ 510,900
-2.6%
1.9%
-4.4%
8
$ 592,100
$ 564,400
1.3%
19.8%
-18.6%
10
$ 670,300
$ 645,800
1.1%
45.4%
-44.3%
10
$ 501,800
$ 533,400
-7.1%
32.2%
-39.3%
10
$ 781,700
$ 649,800
15.0%
66.5%
-51.5%
Rating
Median
Camarillo
10
$ 530,000
$ 561,500
Moorpark
6
$ 607,800
Newbury Park
9
Oak Park
City
Port Hueneme 93041 Simi Valley 93063 Simi Valley 93065 Thousand Oaks 91360 Thousand Oaks 91362 Ventura 93004 Westlake Village 91361
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Shevy Akason 877-409-8515
OC Housing News Monthly Market Report
OC Housing News monthly market report and newsleler provides a clear picture of the health of the housing market. Both buyers and sellers find the informagon on locagon, valuagon, and price trends, gmely and relevant to their decision to buy or sell a home. The OC Housing News report answers the most important quesgons to buyers and sellers: (1) Where should I look for bargains, (2) Are current prices over or under valued in my area, and (3) what direcgon are prices headed, up or down in my area? Armed with beler informagon, people make beler decisions. There is too much informagon about housing floagng around the Internet, and most of it is bad. It is easy to take data and create prely charts and graphs that don't provide any useful informagon someone might use to make a good decision. The OC Housing News has eliminated the useless informagon and disglled the market down to three key pieces of informagon: (1) resale value relagve to rent, (2) yearly change in resale prices, and (3) yearly changes in rents.
Using the OCHN Monthly Report
When most people are considering rengng or buying a home, they already have narrowed their choices for locagon. Most want to be near work, but they may also want to be near family, friends, or a pargcular school district. The table of contents on the front page of the OCHN monthly report organizes the reports by county so people can narrow their search to the area they are most interested in. I suggest searchers start with the overview of the county as this provides important data on the broader real estate market.
InterpreJng an OCHN Monthly Market Report
The first page of a county report breaks down into four parts: The news overview, Median Home Price and Rental Parity trailing twelve months, Resale $/SF and year-over-year percentage change trailing twelve months, Rental rate and year-over-year percentage change trailing twelve months. NEWS OVERVIEW The news overview provides concise descripgons of the facts and condigons in the market. It states whether the market trades at a premium or a discount to rental parity and provides a measure of it. A market trading at a premium to rental parity is more desirable, so buyers are willing to pay more than rental parity to live there. A market trading at a discount is less desirable, and people must be mogvated to live there by saving versus rengng. The news overview measures the current premium or discount, compares it to the historic premium or discount, and states whether the market is currently overvalued or undervalued. This is an important measure of future financial performance. MEDIAN HOME PRICE AND RENTAL PARITY TRAILING TWELVE MONTHS For those who want the bolom line without all the analysis and detail, the market ragng is the first row of the first secgon of data. The ragng encapsulates all the condigons of the market into one figure. Suffice to say that a ragng of 10 is good and a ragng of 1 is bad. Buyers can rest assured that a highly rated property or market is a good financial buy. The chart displays three lines that reveal much about the market. The first two lines to note are the parallel green and orange lines, rental parity (green) and historic value (orange). As mengoned previously, some markets trade at a discount and some at a premium to rental parity. If the orange line (historic value) is above the green line (rental parity), the market is a premium market. If the orange line (historic value) is below the green line (rental parity), the market is a discount market. The larger the gap, the greater the premium or discount is. The third line ploled against these two parallel lines is the median resale price for the area. This line reveals whether the market is currently trading at a premium or discount to rental parity and historic value. The more important of these relagonships is between median resale price and historic value. Over gme, the market has shown a tendency toward trading at historic value. If it trades above for a while, over gme it will revert back to this value. That may happen either by an extended period of lille or no appreciagon or an outright decline in prices. If the market trades below its historic value, it’s likely to see a rebound back to this value in the future. The best markets are those trading at a steep discount to its historic value.
OC Housing News info@ochousingnews.com
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Shevy Akason 877-409-8515
RESALE $/SF AND YEAR-OVER-YEAR PERCENTAGE CHANGE TRAILING TWELVE MONTHS
Since the historic value is so important, the first column in next secgon displays the premium or discount from historic value over the last year. The second column and the chart shows the dollars-per-square-foot resale price in the market. The line on the chart visually shows the general direcgon of prices, and the third column shows the actual percentage change. It’s important to note that the percentage change in resale prices can be misleading. Most buyers foolishly extrapolate short-term movements in market prices will congnue forever, mogvagng them to buy at what is oren the worst possible gme. In reality, buying in a declining market when valuagons are low is generally the best gme to buy because sellers are mogvated and supply is abundant. Buying in an appreciagng market may not be wise, pargcularly if valuagon signals a bubble. In short, valuagon is much more important that price movement.
RENTAL RATE AND YEAR-OVER-YEAR PERCENTAGE CHANGE TRAILING TWELVE MONTHS
The final table and chart on the page is similar to the first grouping; it displays three lines, two of which are parallel and show current rent and the historic cost of ownership relagve to rent, and the third line is the current cost of ownership. The relagonships are similar, the charts will look similar, and the interpretagons are the same. This method of looking at the data is more revealing to those who like to focus on monthly costs rather than purchase price. It reveals how affordable properges are relagve to monthly rent, which is what rental parity analysis is all about. The first column of data shows the rate of rent growth over the last year, and the next two columns show the cost of rengng and the cost of owning during the same period.
HISTORIC MARKET DATA CHARTS
The next page of the report shows two charts: County median home price since January 1988, and County median rent and monthly cost of ownership since January 1988. These charts are designed to put current circumstances in historic context. They answer quesgons like, “How volagle are prices?” and “How does today’s pricing compare to the fluctuagons of the past?” and “How much danger is there in buying today?” The chart above displays LA County through early 2014, but the palern is similar across California. With the green line for rental parity and the orange line for historic value, it’s easy to tell when the market is fairly valued, over valued, or under valued.
HISTORIC VALUATION
The next page in the report shows two charts: Historic Median Home Price Relagve to Rental Parity: County since January 1988, and OCHN Market Timing System Ragng: Los Angeles County since January 1988. The chart on historic valuagon shows, at a glance, how close the market trades to its historic norm. The benchmark period is shown in green, and the degree of market volaglity can be inferred from the scale to the ler. For example, LA County traded for as much as 42% below rental parity and 84% above it during the 26-year period shown. Needless to say, that is very volagle, and people who bought during the overvalued periods endured painful price correcgons when their houses were worth far less than they paid. 57 of 58 OC Housing News Shevy Akason January 2016 info@ochousingnews.com 877-409-8515
OCHN RATING SYSTEM CHART
The market gming ragng system mechanically idengfies both good and buy dimes to buy based on valuagon, resale price change, and rental rate change. Since 1988, in LA County, it was wrong in its recommendagon in only a single two-year period from late 1999 to mid 2001 as the local economy gpped into a recession. The system correctly idengfied the housing bubbles from the late 80s and the mid 00s as well as the buying opportuniges in the mid 90s and early 10s.
MARKET PERFORMANCE AND TRENDS TABLE
The market performance trends table provides a tabular summary of the current market condigons by city and zip within the county. It displays the same performance metrics detailed in previous secgons including: median resale price, resale percentage change year-over-year, resale dollars-per-square-foot, rent percentage change year-over-year, median rent, monthly cost of ownership, the ownership premium or discount based on rent, and the capitalizagon rate. For how to interpret these numbers see previous secgons for more detail. To use these tables effecgvely, users should have a short list of potengal ciges they would consider living in. These tables allow the user to search alphabegcally for city data. It’s suggested to consult both the city data and the zip code data that oren provides more detail, pargcularly in larger ciges that may have significant neighborhood variability. For example, in Canyon Country, the two zip codes demonstrate that 91387 is more desirable than 91351 because the former costs more to own than to rent whereas the later costs more to rent than to own. By compiling and comparing data from the various ciges in a users search area, they can determine how much they would have to spend to either own or rent in each area, suggesgng how desirable and affordable each area is. This will also allow users to eliminate areas they may not be able to afford.
MARKET TIMING RATING AND VALUATIONS TABLE The next table shows the ragngs and valuagons for each city and zip within the county. This informagon is most valuable for those hungng for bargain properges or fearful of overpaying in an overvalued market. In the example above Artesia is a prime market for buying a home. The market usually trades at a 12.9% premium to rental parity, but at the gme of this report, it was trading at a 16.9% discount, making it 29.6% undervalued! A buyer in this market should experience above average appreciagon as the market rebounds to its historic norm. This table helps buyers spot those markets where the best deals are to be found. Helping buyers target their search to where deals are best is the primary value of this report.
OC Housing News info@ochousingnews.com
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January 2016
Shevy Akason 877-409-8515