By Appointment to her Majesty The Queen. Supplier of Quality Seeds Gleadell Agriculture Ltd Lincolnshire
Spring 2013 VOL 11, ISSUE 1 www.gleadell.co.uk
History tells us that it’s a world market The challenges faced by the
increase of 244,000 ha in the spring barley area versus the previous season.
UK arable sector have been considerable over the past months. Added to a low yielding, low quality UK harvest came the autumn deluge which impacted on winter plantings in a way not seen since the year 2000. They say that we must all learn from history and, therefore, the harvest of 2001, being the closest in recent memory to what we can expect in 2013, is worth close examination – with the large caveat that no two seasons are ever identical, and we still have some way to go before we actually see the 2013 harvest.
In 2001, following the badly impacted autumn of 2000, we produced a wheat crop of 11.6 mln mt from 1.635 mln ha at a yield of 7.1 mt per ha, some 5.1 mln mt lower than in the previous year! We began the 2001 season with high wheat stocks, 2.4 mln mt, and imports totalled 1.5 mln mt. Of course, in 2001 we had lower domestic demand due to the lack of any bioethanol industry - which accounts for the relatively low import figure for that season - and during the season we exported around 600,000 mt of wheat. The 2001 barley crop totalled 6.6 mln mt, around what we expect in 2013, with an
In continental and eastern Europe, the harvest of 2001 was generally high yielding and of good quality. The effect on the UK market, which began the season focussed on supply limitations within the UK, was long term negative with bearish world and European influences becoming more dominant and influential as the season developed - to the extent that a UK cooperative, which had made their trading decisions based on purely UK factors, was forced to call in the receivers in April 2002.
Contents MARKET PROSPECTS
02
Gleadell’s traders discuss market prospects for feed grain, milling wheat, pulses, organics, oilseed rape, malting barley and oats.
SPOTLIGHT ON FERTILISER
04
British fertiliser for British farmers and market prospects for fertiliser.
Taking into account that there are still a lot of unknown factors surrounding the world, EU and UK harvests for 2013 (US spring crop plantings, worldwide weather, currency parities, UK crop outturn and politics to name a few), what lessons can we learn from 2001? The main point to take on board is that world and EU influences will be more influential than purely UK issues and, because of this, we will need to keep our focus not merely on our own back yard, but firmly on
SPOTLIGHT ON Seed
06
A review of oilseed rape varieties for autumn 2013 and hybrid barley.
the progress of crops and markets much further afield. David Sheppard, managing director, Gleadell Agriculture
SPOTLIGHT ON PULSES
07
A review of pulse varieties, agronomy and end markets.
UK Wheat/Barley Yield By Year 10
Tonne/Ha
8 6 4 2 0 1994
GLEADELL AROUND THE COUNTRY 1996
1998
2000
2002
Wheat Yield
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
Barley Yield
2013 estimated
Our offices and facilities around the country to service our farmer customers, trade customers and end users.
UK Wheat/Barley Crop Size By Year Million Tonnes
20.000 15.000 10.000
Scan the QR code to visit our web site.
5.000 0.000 1994
1996
1998
2000
2002
Wheat Crop Size
2004
2006
2008
2010
Barley Crop Size
Gleadell Agriculture Limited
2012
2013 estimated
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