2020 Annual Report
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2 A Letter from our Leaders ..................................................................................... 3 2020 Board of Directors ........................................................................................... 4 2020 Advisory Council .............................................................................................. 6 2020 Programming Overview............................................................................... 7 David R. Kotok Global Healthcare Series Overview................................ 11 College of Central Bankers ................................................................................... 15 2020 GIC Members ................................................................................................ 17 GIC Blog....................................................................................................................... 19 2020 Financial Highlights ..................................................................................... 20 2020 GIC Sponsors & Partners .......................................................................... 21 Contact Information ............................................................................................... 23 GIC Members at the National Palace in Mexico City during our delegation on February 26-28, 2020. TABLE OF CONTENTS
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Welcome to the Global Interdependence Center’s 2020 Annual Report. We would like to begin by extending our sincere well wishes to our GIC Community in the hope that you are staying healthy and safe. We would also like to offer our gratitude to those who supported the front-lines in the battle against COVID-19.
Jillian ExecutiveFornito,Director Kathleen Stephansen, Board Chair
3 Dear GIC Members and Friends,
As a reminder, our website has an abundance of GIC and CCB resources available to the general public including videos, presentation material, articles, blogs, and media coverage. We invite you to visit our website to access these resources and explore opportunities for membership.
Throughout these Briefings, we were able to examine COVID-19 and its impact on a multitude of areas such as monetary policy, geopolitics, the economies of the US, China and Europe, AI/Machine Learning, the energy sector, small business, climate change, higher education, the role of nurses, and more. The resources from these and all of our events are available online for the public to access free of charge.
The Global Interdependence Center College of Central Bankers (CCB), established in 2018, also saw an impressive year in 2020. We were delighted to announce the induction of seven new Fellows from Europe, South America and the U.S.! We look forward to their involvement in GIC’s future programs in which we invite our Fellows to continue to share their unique insight and knowledge following careers as leaders in global Central Banking.
A LETTER FROM OUR LEADERS
Like many organizations, the GIC transitioned to virtual programming at the onset of the pandemic, which allowed us to host an impressive 27 Executive Briefings and Members Only Roundtables from March through December. Our virtual programming demonstrated the breadth and depth of the virtual conference stage as we reached over 2,800 audience members in ten months. Many of these Executive Briefings were a part of our Analyzing Pandemics: Economic and Policy Impacts, which was launched alongside the David R. Kotok Global Healthcare Series. In March 2020, GIC proudly established the David R. Kotok Global Healthcare Series, thanks to a generous legacy gift offered by Mr. Kotok. The GIC sought to leverage Mr. Kotok’s seed money by matching the gift and raising additional funds through the rest of the year, reaching nearly $38,000 in new donations. The David R. Kotok Global Healthcare Series serves as a multi-year live and virtual program series focused on the role health and healthcare policy play in the interdependent global community. The series serves as a neutral forum to elevate, vet, and disseminate objective information about how changing interdependencies in a world where pandemics transcend governmental borders and influence fiscal policy, monetary policy, finance, trade, politics and culture.
The GIC experienced a unique year of programming which included a robust beginning with four in-person conferences in February. Our first conference of 2020, on AI and Machine Learning, took place at the Conrad Prebys Performing Arts Center in La Jolla, California with the UCSD Rady School of Management. After which, GIC returned to Sarasota, Florida for our Fourth Annual Financial Literacy Day, held in partnership with the University of South Florida Sarasota-Manatee Campus and Cumberland Advisors. At the end of the month, GIC hosted its second delegation trip to Mexico City in partnership with the Banco de México and our third conference on Sovereign Debt Restructuring, in partnership with LeBow College of Business. In one very short month, we featured Federal Reserve Bank Presidents Loretta Mester, Raphael Bostic, and Charles Evans, as well as Governor of the Banco de México, Alejandro Diaz de Leon.
In closing, we extend our heartfelt appreciation to our Members and friends for supporting our organization through your generous donations and for your Membership renewals. We are looking forward to our return to in-person programming soon and hope you will join us. Thank you for making our mission a reality and for your unwavering support during this challenging year.
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Michael Drury Vice Chair of International Chief Economist, McVean Trading & Investments
Michael TreasurerVeloric
Peter A. Gold, Esq. Vice ChairChairofthe College of Central Bankers
William J. McLaughlin
David R. Kotok
President, McLaughlin & Morgan, Inc.
Founder and TheGoldGroup,President,LLC
President, Marion Street Capital
Maryanne Waldman
President, Veloric Holdings
Benjamin Leavenworth Founding Partner and Chief Relationship Officer, Afina Holdings, LLC and Honorary Consul of Chile Vibhas Madan, Ph.D.
Kathleen Stephansen Chair Senior Economist, Haver Analytics and Trustee of EQAT Trust Funds
Donald ChairmanRissmillerEmeritus Partner, Chief Economist, Strategas Research Partners
First Vice President –Financial Advisor, RBC Wealth Management
J. Paul Horne Active Independent International Market Economist Ali A. Houshmand, Ph.D. President, Rowan University Justin Hyde Co-founder & CEO of Bronze Buffalo Club Companies
George P. Tsetsekos, Ph.D. Secretary Dean Emeritus and Francis Professor of Finance, LeBow College of Business, Drexel University
Dean, LeBow College of Business, Drexel University
Chairman and CIO, Cumberland Advisors, Inc.
2020 BOARD OF DIRECTORS4
William Kennedy Vice Chair of Programs Co-founder, CEO and CIO, RiskBridge Advisors
Manuel Balmaseda, Ph.D. Chief Economist, CEMEX Ray Dillon Former CEO, Deltic Timber Sean Heberling
Stephanie Mackay Vice Chair of Development Board Director, Switchpoint Community Resource Center
5GIC COMMITTEES EXECUTIVE COMMITTEE PROGRAM COMMITTEE FINANCE & GOVERNANCE COMMITTEE DEVELOPMENT COMMITTEE COLLEGE OF CENTRAL BANKERS COMMITTEE Chair: Kathleen Stephansen • Michael Drury • Peter A. Gold, Esq. • Jilllian Fornito • William Kennedy Chair: William Kennedy • Michael Drury • Jilllian Fornito Chair: Michael Veloric • Jilllian Fornito • Sean Heberling Chair: Stephanie Mackay • Jilllian Fornito Chair: Peter A. Gold, Esq. • Jilllian Fornito • Stephanie Mackay • Donald Rissmiller • George P. Tsetsekos, Ph.D. • Michael Veloric • Stephanie Mackay • Donald Rissmiller • Kathleen Stephansen • Stephanie Mackay • Kathleen Stephansen Attendees of Big Data, Machine Learning/AI, and Digital Money: How are they Changing Everything? in La Jolla, CA on February 3, 2020.
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Former Executive Vice President, Sanford Health
Former Senior Economist and Economic Advisor, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago
John Silvia, Ph.D. CEO, Dynamic Economic Strategy
Catherine L. Mann, Ph.D. Global Chief Economist, Citi Stephen Sexauer Chief Investment Officer, The San Diego County Employees Retirement Association (SDCERA)
Mary Caraccioli Chief Communications Officer, Central Park Conservancy James Clancy Executive Vice President and Deputy Head for Asia, Wells Fargo Global Financial Institutions (GFI)
Domenic D’Ginto
Executive Vice President and Director of Research, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta
William Strauss
Daniel G. Sullivan, Ph.D. Executive Vice President, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago Timothy Weckesser, Ph.D. Co-founder and President & CEO, Sino-Consulting, Inc. Mine Yücel, Ph.D.
David C. Link
Steven J. Batzer Partner, WBD Investment Group
6 2020 ADVISORY COUNCIL
Julian Callow Head of Emerging Markets Research, Rokos Capital Management
Business Economist and Research Officer, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
William Dunkelberg, Ph.D. Chief Economist, National Federation of Independent Business Philippa Dunne Co-editor, The Liscio Report and Sightlines Bulletin
Kevin L. Kliesen
Senior Vice President and Senior Research Advisor, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas
Senior Vice President, PNC’s Corporate Finance Group
David Altig, Ph.D.
February 3, 2020 | Big Data, Machine Learning/AI, & Digital Money: How are they Changing Everything? was held in La Jolla, CA with keynote speaker Raphael Bostic, the President and CEO of the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta. Additional speakers included represen tatives from the Microsoft Corporation and the Bank of Canada. This event was held in partnership with the University of California, San Diego Rady School of Management.
February 14, 2020 | Fourth Annual Financial Literacy Day: Understanding Global Markets and Finance was held in Sarasota, FL with keynote speaker Loretta J. Mester, the President and CEO of the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, who also took part in a private Q&A with local university students. This event was held in partnership with the University of South Florida Sarasota-Manatee College of Business and Cumberland Advisors.
February 26-28, 2020 | GIC Members Delegation to Mexico City consisted of a three-night, two-day delegation program that included meetings with central banking, government and business leaders as well as dining and cultural events, including a conference with keynote speakers Charles Evans, the President and CEO of the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, and Alejandro Diaz de León, the Governor of the Banco de México, who partnered with GIC.
7GIC IN PERSON PROGRAMMING
February 14, 2020
February 3, 2020
February 27, 2020
February 28, 2020 | Sovereign Debt Restructuring: the Case of Argentina took place in Philadelphia, PA with speakers from the International Monetary Fund, Moody’s Macroeconomic Board, the Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond, and the Peterson Institute for International Economics. GIC partnered with the LeBow College of Business at Drexel University to produce this event for the third year in a row.
February 28, 2020
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Dennis Lockhart, Former President & CEO of the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta
Theresa Madaline, MD, Healthcare Epidemiologist, Montefiore Health System
“ “ GIC VIRTUAL PROGRAMMING
Bleakley Advisors •
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presentation: Monetary Policy Response
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8 January 23 | Is Productivity Dead? Structural and Cyclical Factors Impacting Growth • Jeffrey Korzenik, Chief Investment Strategist, Fifth Third Bank March 19 | Insights from the Frontlines • Jeffrey Gold, MD, Chancellor, University of Nebraska Medical Center April 2 | China’s Healthcare & Economy in the Aftermath of COVID-19 • Mei Mei Hu, CEO, United Neuroscience • Michael Drury, Chief Economist, McVean Trading & Investments April 16 | Geopolitical Implications • George Friedman, Ph.D., Founder, Geopolitical Futures April 23 | Pandemic Narratives • Ben Hunt, Ph.D., Chief Investment Officer, Second Foundation Partners April 30 | Outlook for Energy and Utility Policies • James Lucier, Managing Director, Capital Alpha Partners May 7 | Preparing, Responding, and Preparing Again • Judith Monroe, MD, President and CEO of the CDC Foundation May 14 | Impact of COVID-19 on the European Economy • Alvaro Pereira, Director of the Country Studies Branch at the Economics Department, OECD • Debora Revoltella, Director of Economics Department at the European Investment Bank
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Challenges in Economic Forecasting
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Jeffrey Gold, MD, Chancellor, University of Nebraska Medical Center
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Peter Boockvar, Chief Investment Officer,
Andrew D. Racine, M.D., Ph.D., Senior Vice-President and Chief Medical Officer, Montefiore Health System
The Fed’s Response to COVID-19
Loretta J. Mester, Ph.D., President and CEO of the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland
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David E. Altig, Ph.D., Executive Vice President and Director of Research, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta
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Cure and the Disease: Part 1
Very insightful andSimplyinformative.lovedit.
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Holly Wade, Director of Research and Policy Analysis, NFIB 28 College of Central Bankers
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May COVID-19 and Small Business
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Barry S. Zingman, MD, Clinical Director of Infectious Diseases, Montefiore Health System
Megan E. Greene, Senior Fellow, Harvard Kennedy School Donald Rissmiller, Chief Economist, Strategas
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June 24 | Cure and the Disease: Part 2
Philipp Carlsson-Szlezak, GLobal Chief Economist, BCG
June 18 |
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Greg Driscoll, Senior Vice President of Service Operations & Chief Information Officer, Penn Mutual Peter A. Gold, Esq., Principal, TheGoldGroup
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David Blanchflower, Professor of Economics, Dartmouth College
Michael Gapen, Chief US Economist, Barclays
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Ali A. Houshmand, Ph.D., President, Rowan University Nido R. Qubein, President, High Point University
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LLC
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Honestly, these webcasts have been just fantastic. Each one is better than the previous one. “ “ One of the best resources through the pandemic. “ “ GIC VIRTUAL PROGRAMMING
Rayna Letourneau, PhD, RN, Assistant professor, University of South Florida College of Nursing
James Bullard, Ph.D., President and CEO of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
and Trade
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October 21 Covid on Campus
9 July 9 | COVID-19’s Impact on Agronomics and Food Supply Chains • John Newton, Chief Economist, American Farm Bureau Federation July 16 | Economic Outlook with President Charles Evans • Charles Evans, President & CEO of the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago July 23 | The New Monetary Policy • Stephen Cecchetti, Rosen Family Chair in International Finance in the Brandeis International Business School • Paul O’Brien, former CIO, Abu Dhabi Investment Authority (ADIA) September 10 | US/China Relations: Trump, Trade, and Tensions • Michael Drury, Chief Economist, McVean Trading & Investments • Leland R. Miller, Chief Executive Officer, China Beige Book International September 15 | Climate Change • Bob Bunting, CEO, Climate Adaptation and Mitigation Center • Kathleen Stephansen, GIC Chair, Senior Economist for Haver Analytics and Trustee of EQAT Trust Funds September 24 | US Economy and Monetary Policy •
Patrick T. Harker, President and Chief Executive Officer, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia
Kathleen Stephansen, GIC Chair, Senior Economist for Haver Analytics and Trustee of EQAT Trust Funds
December 3 | The Role of Nurses
Analytics
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Strategas October 6 | Pandemic: Accelerating AI and Machine Learning?
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Shelly Schwedhelm, MSN, RN, NEA-BC, Executive Director of Emergency Management and Biopreparedness, Nebraska Medicine
John P. Donohue, Vice President of Information Services Enterprise Services, Penn Medicine
November 19 38th Annual Monetary Conference
Mickey Levy, Ph.D., Chief Economist, Berenberg Capital Markets Mark Zandi, Chief Economist, Moody’s
Donald Rissmiller, Chief Economist, A Cross-Industry
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The Coronavirus Pandemic: The End of the Beginning or the Beginning of the End? Bruce Gellin, M.D. M.P.H., President, Global Immunization, Sabin Vaccine Institute
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Kathleen Stephansen, GIC Chair, Senior Economist for Haver Analytics and Trustee of EQAT Trust Funds
Patrick Honohan, Ph.D., Former Governor of the Central Bank of Ireland
September 25 Monetary Policy
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Kathleen Stephansen, GIC Chair, Senior Economist for Haver Analytics and Trustee of EQAT Trust Funds
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J. Paul Horne, Independent International Economist
Leland R. Miller, Chief Executive Officer, China Beige Book International
Kathleen Stephansen, GIC Chair, Senior Economist for Haver Analytics and Trustee of EQAT Trust Funds
GIC MEMBERS’ PRIVATE ROUNDTABLES September 11 | U.S./China Relations: A New Cold War? • Michael Drury, Chief Economist, McVean Trading & Investments •
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November 13 | Election Outlook
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*When
I follow
Bruce Poliquin, Former State Treasurer and Congressman for Maine’s 2nd District
A of GIC’s programming, Roundtable Discussions invite Members to participate in a candid exchange of viewpoints and ideas among industry leaders on issues most relevant to the global economic environment and are held under Chatham House Rule*. In 2020, GIC hosted three private discussions for our members, including one featuring a College of Central Bankers Fellow. a meeting, or part thereof, is held under the Chatham House Rule, participants are free to use the information received, but neither the identity nor the affiliation of the speaker(s), nor that of any other participant, may be revealed. all that GIC is doing and admire the accomplishments…I think we are going to need organizations like GIC more than ever. “
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DAVID R. KOTOK GLOBAL HEALTHCARE SERIES 11 FEATURED SPEAKERS MEI MEI HU April 2 China’s Healthcare & Economy in the Aftermath of COVID-19 JUDITH MONROE, MD May 7 Preparing, Responding, and Preparing Again President and CEO of the CDC Foundation CEO of United Neuroscience CHARLES EVANS July 16 Economic Outlook President & CEO of the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago PATRICK T. HARKER October 6 Pandemic: Accelerating AI and Machine Learning? A Cross-Industry Update LORETTA J. MESTER, PH.D. June 18 The Fed’s Response toCOVID-19President & CEO of the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland JAMES BULLARD, PH.D. September 24 US Economy and Monetary Policy President & CEO of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis President & CEO of the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia
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Excellent program. The quality of the speakers is determinative in assuring the high level of content. “ “ 4,486 REGISTRANTS 2,860 ATTENDEES 1,014 VIDEO REPLAYS 1 , 2 3 5 8.82 average satisfaction rating (out of 10) SURVEY PARTICIPANTS 12 DAVID R. KOTOK GLOBAL HEALTHCARE SERIES
13 PRIVATE MEMBERS3ROUNDTABLES 4 6 TOTAL SPEAKERS 13 were a direct result of the David R. Kotok Global Healthcare Series NEW MEMBERSHIPS $ 3 0 , 0 0 0 was collected for the David R. Kotok Global Healthcare Series Matching Gift Campaign DONATIONS PRIVATE MEMBERS3ROUNDTABLES 4 6 TOTAL SPEAKERS 13 were a direct result of the David R. Kotok Global Healthcare Series NEW MEMBERSHIPS $ 3 0 , 0 0 0 was collected for the David R. Kotok Global Healthcare Series Matching Gift Campaign DONATIONS The GIC is so helpful to a wide variety of audiences as it tackles relevant topics. “ “ DAVID R. KOTOK GLOBAL HEALTHCARE SERIES
14 • Keith Covington • Rich Manewal • Clay Skurdal • Anonymous • Jack Allen • Michael Doll • Douglas Duncan • John Fornito • Richard Greenwald • Eric Hale • Sonia Hamstra • Roy Hoke • Seth Kaufman • Pete Kennedy • Gerald Laurain • Arkansas Chamber of Commerce • William Kennedy • Chris Lane • William McLaughlin • Christine Schlesinger • Stephanie Mackay • Peter McMullin • Barry Nobel • John Palmer • Mine Yucel • Michael Kochmann • John Goldenberg THANK YOU TO OUR DONORS WHO CONTRIBUTED TO OUR MATCHING GIFT CAMPAIGN IN 2020! • Kathleen Stephansen • Paul and Kim Thomas • Michael Veloric • Tracy Yaktus • Jenny Elbracht • Jack Blumenthal • Elise Drake • Gerald Marshall • Roger Braunfeld • Ray Dillon • J. Paul Horne • Maryanne Waldman $2,500 AND ABOVE $1,000$500-$999$2,499$100-$499UPTO$99 DAVID R. KOTOK GLOBAL HEALTHCARE SERIES
2020 Inductees:
David Blanchflower, CBE, Former Member of the Monetary Policy Committee of the Bank of England
Charles Plosser, Ph.D., Former President & CEO of the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia
Michael McKee, International Economics and Policy Correspondent for Bloomberg Television and Radio
These joined existing fellows (listed alphabetically):
Patrick Honohan, Ph.D., Former Governor of Central Bank of Ireland
Katarzyna Zajdel-Kurowska, Former Member of the Management Board of the National Bank of Poland
William Kennedy, GIC Vice Chair of Programs and Co-founder, CEO and CIO, RiskBridge Advisors
Herb Taylor, Ph.D., Secretary of the Federal Advisory Council
Roger Ferguson, Ph.D., Former Vice Chairman of the Board of Governors of the U.S. Federal Reserve System
William Poole, Ph.D., Former President of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
Jeremy Siegel, Ph.D., Russell E. Palmer Professor of Finance at the Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania
Michael Drury, GIC Vice Chair of International and Chief Economist for McVean Trading & Investments, LLC
Alfonso Prat-Gay, Former Governor of the Central Bank of Argentina
The Global Interdependence Center’s College of Central Bankers provides a platform for former leaders of the world’s central banks and similar institutions to share their unique combination of hands-on experience and continued thought leadership on important global issues facing economies and effecting the quality of life. Through their participation in our events, the GIC offers a distinguished, neutral platform for thought leadership on important macroeconomic and socially important topics – many in central banking and monetary policy.
Christian Noyer, Honorary Governor of the Banque de France
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Jose De Gregorio, Ph.D., Former President of the Central Bank of Chile
José Manuel González Páramo, Ph.D., Former Member of the Executive Board of the European Central Bank
COLLEGE OF CENTRAL BANKERS
Anthony Santomero, Ph.D., Former President of the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia
Dennis Lockhart, Former President & CEO of the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta
Chair: Peter A. Gold, Esq., GIC Vice Chair and Principal of the TheGoldGroup, LLC
J. Paul Horne, GIC Board Member and Active Independent International Market Economist
FELLOWS ADVISORY BOARD PROGRAMS May 28, 2020 Assessing the Monetary Policy Response • Dennis P. Lockhart September 25, 2020 GIC Members Private Roundtable Discussion • Patrick Honohan, Ph.D. • J. Paul Horne November 19, 2020 38th Annual Monetary and Trade Conference • David Blanchflower, CBE
Kathleen Stephansen, GIC Chair, Senior Economist for Haver Analytics, and Trustee of EQAT Trust Funds
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The College of Central Bankers has an Advisory Board made up of practitioners in monetary policy, academia, economics, financial markets, and the media. The Advisory Board meets with the Fellows periodically to discuss recruitment efforts, CCB activities, strategic planning, and offers guidance and insight on the evolution of the College.
The College activities include Executive Briefings and Private Roundtables as well as our recently launched Survey Project and the upcoming Institutional Alignment Project. There are additional CCB resources on our website including replays to our Executive Briefings featuring College Fellows and blog posts and publications on a variety of topics pertaining to monetary policy and the global economic landscape. We are open to ideas for collaboration and looking for partners to support the College of Central Bankers and its research, virtual and in-person conferences and programs, private briefings and more. We encourage you to visit our website to learn more the College of Central Bankers and look forward to keeping our GIC community updated on its developments.
Peter Gold, Esq., College of Central Bankers Chair
FROM THE COLLEGE OF CENTRAL BANKERS CHAIR
The Global Interdependence Center’s College of Central Bankers provides a platform for former leaders of the world’s central banks and similar institutions to share their unique combination of hands-on experience and continued thought leadership on important global issues facing economies and effecting the quality of life. Through their participation in our events, surveys, and special projects, the GIC offers a distinguished, neutral platform for thought leadership on important macroeconomic and socially important topics – many in central banking and monetary policy.
While expanding in number, to date, the GIC has inducted 14 Fellows into the College of Central Bankers – five Fellows from the US Federal Reserve System as well as former leaders of Central Bankers in Ireland, England, France, Germany, Poland, Chile, Argentina, Cyprus, and Japan. The College of Central Bankers is truly a unique organization as its Fellows are now somewhat less constrained, and able to share their thoughts without some of the organizational guardrails.
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FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS20FISCAL YEAR JANUARY 1, 2020 - DECEMBER 31, 2020 (WITH COMPARATIVE TOTALS AT DECEMBER 31, 2019) ASSETS 2020 2019 Cash and cash equivalents $ 335,503 $ 303,926 Prepaid expenses 2,240 4,012 Contributions receivable 7,501 12,408 Equipment, net 233 699 Investments 75,031 24,309 TOTAL ASSETS $ 420,508 $ 345,354 LIABILITIES Accounts payable and accrued expenses $ 4,846 $ 7,320 Deferred revenue 6,500 16,625 TOTAL LIABILITIES $ 11,346 $ 23,945 NET ASSETS Without Donor Restrictions 328,817 321,409 With Donor Restrictions 80,345 TOTAL NET ASSETS 409,162 321,409 TOTAL LIABILITIES AND NET ASSETS $ 420,508 $ 345,354 CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF FINANCIAL POSITION Sponsorships and Contributions David R. Kotok Global Healthcare Series Matching Gift Campaign DevelopmentAdministrationPrograms Funding Spending InvestmentMembershipProgramsIncome 64%22%10% 3% .5% 63%23%13%
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its findings
divergent
We
We
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