SOUTH EAST Market looks to 2022.
PAGE 3
DEC 27, 2021 VOL. 39, NO. 26
The Business Newspaper of Metro Grand Rapids, Holland, Muskegon & West Michigan
THIS WEEK
ARTISTIC SKILLS MAKE MESSAGE
Sign painting is a front-row seat to what an artist is still capable of creating. Page 7
SBAM score card shows mixed bag Report indicates small business closures and loss of revenue are continuing in Michigan. Rachel Watson
Retailers facing a worker shortage are making hard decisions involving services and hours of operation. Courtesy istock
An array of factors expected to continue into 2022 are causing small businesses in Michigan to lag behind the national recovery, a new report found. The fall edition of the Michigan Entrepreneurship Score Card, published by the Small Business Association of Michigan (SBAM) in conjunction with Michigan Celebrates Small Business, showed while Michigan’s economy has seen “clear and consistent” improvement in 2021, that trend is not representative of the reality being experienced by small busi-
nesses in the state. The 17th annual score card this year included spring and fall editions to analyze the quickly changing economy amid the pandemic. “The story of Michigan’s economic recovery is complicated and changing quickly,” said SBAM President Brian Calley. “While it is great to see consistent overall economic growth, the topline statistics are not necessarily representative of what’s happening with small businesses who have experienced significant closures and lost revenue. New challenges of acute
rwatson@grbj.com
Retail adapts Consumers are spending more time inside stores than in previous years. PAGE 3
Travel bug Travel and tourism may not be fully back until 2023. PAGE 6
FALSE HOPE? Yes, an increase is coming to Social Security benefits, but it may not matter much. Page 8 TAXING WORK CFP advises full review of charitable giving, stock portfolio, and retirement and estate plan. Page 14
workforce shortages, rising costs and supply chain disruptions are hampering the recovery.” The fall score card identified factors that helped and factors that hindered Michigan’s economic rehabilitation, in addition to what the state’s prospects are for a full and robust recovery. Signs of positive improvement include: •Eight months of improved gross domestic product in a row on the Comerica Economic Activity Index •Michigan’s economy improv-
ing at an average pace as compared to most states in 2021, according to the State Coincidence Index of the Philadelphia Reserve Bank The score card showed while Michigan’s recovery is occurring, many industries dominated by small businesses still are struggling. The report showed: •Changing consumer habits drove customers to large online retailers, and long-term closures and restrictions decimated small stores, restaurants and event venues. •A significant permanent shift to remote work left many downtown business districts lagging in their recovery. •Personal consumption expenditures on goods have fully rebounded, but personal expenditures on services remain below pre-pandemic levels. The service industry is dominated by small businesses. •Employers reported significant hardships in staffing their businesses to grow or even remain fully open, as the pandemic seems to have exacerbated a long-term decline in the labor force participation rate. •The Michigan recovery is below the national average in the number of small businesses open and the loss of revenue exCONTINUED ON PAGE 9
The Right Place shares 2022 outlook Economic development agency hosts presentation on 2021 outcomes, predictions for next year. Rachel Watson
rwatson@grbj.com
The Right Place made up for lost time toward its strategic plan goals in 2021, and an analyst predicted a solid 2022 at the organization’s 25th annual Economic Outlook presentation. West Michigan economic development agency The Right Place on Thursday, Dec. 9, hosted
its 2022 Economic Outlook webinar. The event featured a year-inreview and state-of-the-region presentation by The Right Place President and CEO Randy Thelen, as well as an in-depth economic analysis and forecast for 2022-23 by Don Grimes, University of Michigan regional economic specialist. In general, the regional economy is expected to grow in 2022, slowing a little after the second quarter of the year. 2022 will see a decline in the inflation rate, although at a slow pace. Interest rates will go up. Unemployment rates will decline, reaching 2019 levels. Overall, for the state and region, a solid 2022 is expected,
Grimes said. Right Place accomplishments Thelen provided an update on progress toward the organization’s three-year strategic plan goals. As it winds down the second year of the plan, which runs from 2020-22, the organization is on track to exceed all its goals after underperforming on its metrics in 2020 due to pandemic challenges. The full strategic plan is at bit.ly/RPstrategicplan. In 2021, the organization’s work resulted in 1,541 new and retained jobs, $184 million in new and retained payroll, and $286 million in new capital investment. Since the start of the plan in 2020, the organization’s work resulted in 2,494 new and retained
GRBJ.COM Vol. 39, No. 26 $3.00 a copy. $59 a year © Entire contents copyright 2021 by Gemini Media. All rights reserved.
Inside Track ....... 7 Guest Columns.. 10 Young, educated adults
NO RELIEF in sight for home rental rates.
Change-Ups ...... 16 Calendar ........... 16 Public Record .... 17 Street Talk ...... 18
PAGE 3
jobs against a three-year goal of 3,400, now 74% completed; $127 million in new and retained payroll against a three-year goal of $184 million, now 69% completed; and $397 million in new capital investment against a threeyear goal of $500 million, now 79% completed. The organization met with 422 businesses in 2021. Overall, business leaders reported strong confidence in the local economy, and 79% reported increasing sales, 63% reported plans to expand, 59% reported recruiting challenges, 52% are planning to increase investment in training, and 94% said the region’s business comCONTINUED ON PAGE 9