China: Cars – Market Report. Analysis and Forecast to 2020 2015 Edition | Sample Report
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China: Cars – Market Report. Analysis and Forecast to 2020
TABLE OF CONTENTS 1. INTRODUCTION 1.1 REPORT DESCRIPTION 1.2 RESEARCH METHODOLOGY 2. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 2.1 KEY FINDINGS 2.2 MARKET TRENDS 3. MARKET OVERVIEW 3.1 MARKET VALUE 3.2 MARKET STRUCTURE 3.3 TRADE BALANCE 3.4 PER CAPITA CONSUMPTION 3.5 MARKET FORECAST TO 2020 4. PRODUCTION 4.1 PRODUCTION IN 2007-2014 5. IMPORTS 5.1 IMPORTS IN 2007-2014 5.2 IMPORTS BY TYPES 5.3 IMPORTS BY COUNTRIES 5.4 IMPORT PRICES BY COUNTRIES 6. EXPORTS 6.1 EXPORTS IN 2007-2014 6.2 EXPORTS BY TYPES 6.3 EXPORTS BY COUNTRIES 6.4 EXPORT PRICES BY COUNTRIES
LIST OF TABLES Table 1: Key Findings Table 2: Passenger Car Market Structure, By Type, 2007-2014 Page 2
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China: Cars – Market Report. Analysis and Forecast to 2020
Table 3: Per Capita Consumption, 2007-2014 Table 4: Imports Of Passenger Cars, In Physical And Value Terms, By Type, 2007-2014 Table 5: Imports Of Passenger Cars, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2007-2014 Table 6: Imports Of Cars, In Value Terms, By Country, 2007-2014 Table 7: Import Prices Of Cars, By Type and Country Of Origin, 2007-2014 Table 8: Exports Of Passenger Cars, In Physical And Value Terms, By Type, 2007-2014 Table 9: Exports Of Passenger Cars, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2007-2014 Table 10: Exports Of Passenger Cars, In Value Terms, By Country, 2007-2014 Table 11: Export Prices Of Passenger Cars, By Type and Country Of Destination, 20072014 LIST OF FIGURES Figure 1: Market Volume (Sales), 2007-2014 Figure 2: Market Value (Sales) – At Importer And Exporter Prices, 2007-2014 Figure 3: Passenger Car Market Structure – Domestic Supply Vs. Imports, In Physical Terms, 2007-2014, By Supply Figure 4: Passenger Car Market Structure – Domestic Supply Vs. Imports, In Value Terms, 2007-2014 Figure 5: Passenger Car Market Structure, By Brand, 2012-2014 Figure 6: Passenger Car Market Structure, By Type, 2007-2014 Figure 7: Trade Balance, Tyres, In Physical Terms, 2007-2014 Figure 8: Trade Balance, Tyres, In Value Terms, 2007-2014 Figure 9: Per-Capita Consumption, 2007-2014 Figure 10: Market Forecast To 2020 Figure 11: Production Of Cars, In Physical Terms, 2007–2014 Figure 12: Imports Of Passenger Cars, In Physical Terms, 2007-2014 Figure 13: Imports Of Passenger Cars, In Value Terms, 2007-2014 Figure 14: Import Structure Of Passenger Cars, By Type, 2014 Figure 15: Imports Of Passenger Cars, In Physical Terms, By Type, 2007-2014 Figure 16: Imports Of Passenger Cars, In Value Terms, By Type, 2007-2014 Figure 17: Imports Of Passenger Cars, By Country, 2014 Figure 18: Imports Of Passenger Cars, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2007–2014 Figure 19: Imports Of Cars, In Value Terms, By Country, 2007–2014 Figure 20: Import Prices Of Cars, By Type, 2007-2014 Figure 21: Exports Of Passenger Cars, In Physical Terms, 2007-2014 Figure 22: Exports Of Passenger Cars, In Value Terms, 2007-2014 Figure 23: Export Structure Of Passenger Cars, In Physical Terms, By Type, 2014 Figure 24: Exports Of Passenger Cars, In Physical Terms, By Type, 2007-2014 Figure 25: Exports Of Passenger Cars, In Value Terms, By Type, 2007-2014 Figure 26: Exports Of Passenger Cars, By Country, 2014 Figure 27: Exports Of Passenger Cars, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2007–2014 Figure 28: Exports Of Passenger Cars, In Value Terms, By Country, 2007–2014 Figure 29: Export Prices Of Passenger Cars, By Type, 2007-2014
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China: Cars – Market Report. Analysis and Forecast to 2020
1. REPORT DESCRIPTION The report provides an in-depth analysis of the China’s passenger car market. It presents the latest data of the market size and consumption, domestic production, exports and imports and price dynamics. The report also features current sales data, allowing you to identify the key drivers and restraints. Forecasts illustrate how the market will be transformed in the medium term. Product coverage and classification: According to the standard of “Statistical Classification of China’s Vehicle Models”, passenger car include cars (i.e. basic passenger cars, sedans), MPV (multi-purpose vehicles), SUV (sport utility vehicles) and cross cars (minibuses). Data coverage:
Market value
Volume and dynamics of production
Volume and dynamics of exports/imports
Import/export prices
Market trends, drivers and restraints
Forecast of the market dynamics in the medium term
Per Capita Consumption.
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China: Cars – Market Report. Analysis and Forecast to 2020
2. TRADE – KEY FINDINGS China is a net importer of passenger cars. In value terms, imports consistently exceeded exports from 2007 to 2014. However, the difference in trade balance was less notable in physical terms due to high import prices. China’s passenger car market showed sustainable growth, rising from 6.3 million units in 2007 to 19.7 million units in 2014, with a CAGR of 18%. In value terms, it expanded with a CAGR of 21%, reaching 216.1 billion USD in 2014. The vast majority of passenger cars on the domestic market are of Chinese origin. Market dynamics on the whole are determined by the trends inherent in China’s automotive industry development. Passenger car production showed similar dynamics over the last few years. From 2007 to 2014, China’s production expanded to 19.9 million units, rising with a CAGR of 18%. Due to a cooling economy, China's new-automobile market is caught in a vicious cycle of consumers tightening their belts and vehicles flooding the market. The government of China encourages foreign car makers to operate joint ventures to manufacture locally. The majority of overseas car companies reap substantial dividends after establishing partnerships with big state-owned auto groups. In 2014, exports accounted for only 2.5% of China’s passenger car output. A steeper increase in exports was registered, while imports marginally grew. Due to low trade intensity, imports and exports should not be regarded as strong factors influencing China’s market dynamics in the medium term. In 2014, Iran (20%), Russia (12%), Egypt (7%), Colombia (7%) and Chile (6%) were the leading destinations of China’s passenger car exports, together making up 53% of total exports in physical terms. And while the share of Iran increased significantly, the share of Russia illustrated negative dynamics. The shares of the other countries remained relatively stable throughout the analyzed period. In 2014, Japan, the USA and Germany were the main suppliers of passenger cars with a combined share of 61% of total imports. However, the fastest growing suppliers from 2007 to 2014 were Belgium (+51% per year), Mexico (+46% per year) and the UK (+46% per year).
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3. IMPORTS Figure 13: Imports Of Passenger Cars, In Value Terms, 2007-2014 (million USD) Imports USD
Imports % to previous year
70000
320% 59 701
60000 50000
45 469
47 445
270% 220%
40 941 40000
170% 28 904
30000
201%
20000 10000
14 050 9 833
111%
14 354
143%
102%
2008
2009
120%
142% 104%
126%
70% 20%
0
-30% 2007
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
Source: UN DATA, IndexBox analysis
Figure 16: Imports Of Passenger Cars, In Value Terms, By Type, 2007-2014 (million USD) 60 000
50 000
Automobiles, spark ignition engine of 1500-3000 cc
40 000 Automobiles, spark ignition engine of >3000 cc 30 000 Automobiles, diesel engine of >2500 cc 20 000 Automobiles, spark ignition engine of 1000-1500 cc
10 000
0 2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
Source: UN DATA, IndexBox analysis
SOURCE: http://www.indexbox.co.uk/store/china-cars-market-reportanalysis-and-forecast-to-2020/
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China: Cars – Market Report. Analysis and Forecast to 2020
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4. EXPORTS Figure 22: Exports Of Passenger Cars, In Value Terms, 2007-2014 (million USD) Exports USD
Exports % to previous year
5000
320% 4 290
4500
4 090
4000 3 340
3500 3000 2500
270%
3 949
220% 170%
2 481 2 112
1 860
2000 1500
117%
1000
1 105
180%
120% 128%
168%
95%
70%
97%
20%
45%
500 0
-30% 2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
Source: UN DATA, IndexBox analysis
Figure 25: Exports Of Passenger Cars, In Value Terms, By Type, 2007-2014 (million USD) 900 800 700 Iran
600
Russian Federation
500
Saudi Arabia Chile
400
Colombia
300
Egypt Venezuela
200 100 0 2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
Source: UN DATA, IndexBox analysis SOURCE: http://www.indexbox.co.uk/store/china-cars-market-reportanalysis-and-forecast-to-2020/
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China: Cars – Market Report. Analysis and Forecast to 2020
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