Reasons for the Increase in Global Mean Temperature and Climate Change The Nile Climate Engine' (NiCE) “. . . . . . . . an absolute Nobel Prize winner”. Tom Wysmuller NASA (retd.) Conor McMenemie. Ratho Station. Edinburgh. Scotland. 00 (44) 74 62 88 75 82. mcmenemieconor@hotmail.com Abstract: Global Warming is overwhelmingly a condition that involves the additional heating of the oceans. This effect is profoundly biased to the Atlantic, particularly between 40 degrees north and 60 degrees south. It is caused by human interference in a previously unrecognised climatic chain reaction, referred to here as the 'Nile Climate Engine' (NiCE). This has caused a reduction in the equatorial cloud mass above predominantly the Atlantic, which has allowed more solar radiation to be absorbed by the ocean surface, producing a heating effect. The normal ocean currents then circulate this additional heat, altering the dynamics of hurricane development, dissipating some heat into the atmosphere, making the atmosphere warmer, as well as reducing the polar ice mass. Given that the NiCE effect is most prevalent over the African Continent and the Atlantic Ocean, this presentation will concentrate on those areas. For millions of years up till the start of the last century, the African Easterly Wave (AEW) weather system would produce about 100 USA sized cloud-scapes across the equatorial Atlantic each year. These marine stratocumulus cloud reflected incoming solar energy away from the ocean, ensuring the oceans remained relatively cooler than now. Unfortunately, humans had interfered in one of the precursors to this AEW system, so that now there are only about 60 of such cloud-scapes each year. This allowing for the additional solar energy to produce its ocean heating effect. For millions of years, every time the river Nile in Egypt produced its July to October flood, the 26,000 square kilometre flood surface would evaporate more than 4,000 cubic meters of water per second. The resultant moisture flux would veer east and west as it was pulled southwards by the northern Hadley Cell. Approximately every three days this flux would rise up on the Ethiopian Highlands to disrupt the west flowing monsoon. The resultant 'Kiremt' or 'long rains' would then be pushed westwards by the Trade Winds, becoming organised into the AEWs, which eventually covered the equatorial oceans. In 1902 a dam was built on the Egyptian Nile at Aswan, which after two subsequent enlargements was superseded in 1964 by the Aswan High Dam (AHD). In each instance the nature of the annual Nile flood altered, then completely stopped due the AHD storing all the flood water in it's reservoir, Lake Nasser. This also altered then removed the evaporative component which had been a precursor to the Kiremt – African Easterly Wave chain reaction. Thus, this singular human endeavour ultimately being responsible for altering the dynamics of a number of major weather systems, hurricanes, named storms, ocean heat transport, polar ice mass and the observed increase in mean temperatures.