Mercom Capital Group India Solar Market Update
India Solar Quarterly Market Update – Indian Solar Installations Total 883 MW in 2014, Mercom Forecasts a Stronger 2015 February 2015
KEY FINDINGS
Indian solar installations in calendar year 2014 totaled 883 MW, down about 12% compared to 1,004 MW installed in 2013
Our 2015 forecast for solar installations in India is a lot brighter at approximately 1,800 MW with some upside as we go into the second quarter
In the nine months since the NDA administration has been in office there have been six different solar programs announced, but no auctions have been held yet
MNRE recently released another revised draft for Phase II Batch 2 for 3,000 MW of PV projects
MNRE also recently issued draft guidelines to establish 2,000 MW grid-connected solar PV power projects under JNNSM Phase II Batch 3 - “State Specific VGF Scheme”
The Governments of Uttarakhand and Telangana both released their list of winning bids for 30 MW and 500 MW of solar projects, respectively
The Modi government has brought policy momentum to the solar industry; the sector is now looking for quick implementation and actual installations
The Government needs to fix the financial health of DISCOMs and improve the credit rating of offtakers
The Government should bring Renewables under the priority lending sector category
List of Charts/Tables India Solar Installations (MW)……………………………………………………………..……………….. 2 National Solar Mission Policy Map……………………………………………………………................... 4 JNNSM Policy Comparison ………………………………………………………………………………..
6
Utility-Scale Solar Projects in India…………………………………………………………….................. 8 All India Cumulative Solar Installations By Policy Type (MW)………………………………………….. 9 Uttarakhand Winning Bids………………………………………..………………………………………… 11 Telangana Winning Bids……………………………………………………….......................................... 13
©2015 Mercom Capital Group, llc. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. I www.mercomcapital.com I solar@mercomcapital.com I Page 1
Mercom Capital Group India Solar Market Update
Indian solar installations in calendar year 2014 totaled 883 MW, down 12% compared to 1,004 MW installed in 2013. The Indian solar industry remains positive as solar programs are being announced with increased frequency and the installation goal continues to grow. The 100 GW solar installation goal set recently by the Modi government has thrilled the sector, but signs of frustration are starting to show. The industry is also pragmatic and realizes that while 100 GW looks tremendous on paper, the last five years have resulted in only 3,000 MW in solar installations, with last year’s installations at less than 1 GW. Most of the industry is currently confused as they are constantly bombarded with new policies, drafts and revisions; they just want to see execution. The last time the National Solar Mission (NSM) conducted a solar auction was in October 2013, and in the nine months since the NDA administration has been in office there have been six different solar programs announced and several versions of guidelines, but not a single auction has been announced. The two most impactful steps the government can take to help the solar industry take off and bring in investments are -
•
Fix the financial health of DISCOMs and improve the credit rating of offtakers
•
Bring Renewables under priority lending sector category
Our 2015 forecast for solar installations in India is bright with approximately 1,800 MW planned and some upside as we go into the second quarter. A large portion of the 2015 installations will be the 700 MW Phase II Batch 1 projects which are due to be commissioned in May of this year. Also, looking at the timeline for the last Batch, it takes 19 months from RfS (request for submission) approval to commissioning date. This means that the next three months will be crucial to get these policies finalized and RfS approved for 2016 to be a big year.
India Solar Installations (MW)
Feb 2015
2,000
6,000
1,800
Annual Solar Installations
5,000
Annual Installations (MW)
1,600 Cumulative Solar Installations
1,400
4,000
1,200 986
1,000
1,004
3,000
883
800 2,000
600 400
1,000
172
200 6
12
2009
2010
Cumulative Installations (MW)
1,780
0
0 2011
2012
2013
Data derived from MNRE, Mercom Project Tracker & Public Sources
2014
2015F
Source: Mercom Capital Group, llc
©2015 Mercom Capital Group, llc. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. I www.mercomcapital.com I solar@mercomcapital.com I Page 2
Mercom Capital Group India Solar Market Update
Industry Perspective
Takeaways from our recent conversations with major developers, manufacturers and investors Developers Feedback from developers this quarter was positive to mixed with regards to the recent developments in the sector. Most feel good about all the announcements coming from the government almost on a weekly basis, but they want to see execution. There is a general feeling of confusion with so many programs announced, some overlapping others, and a lack of consistency in policies as criteria seem to change with every batch. Developers want to get beyond the draft phase and see the final guidelines. The 100 GW solar installation goal set by the government sounds great for a lot of developers, but they also are aware that only 3 GW have been installed in the last 5 years and want to actually see concrete steps on which to execute toward achieving that goal. Many are concerned about logistics and details. For example, how well will the solar park infrastructure be managed? What is the fix for the offtaker financial problems? There is also general consensus among developers that current policies announced are much more favorable to large industrial conglomerates with big balance sheets as large project sizes, and onerous deposits and guarantees are tying up valuable capital and hindering growth for pure-play solar developers. The project size band should be narrower as competitive bidding becomes tricky because the cost advantage for a 50 MW project is higher than a 10 MW project bidding under the same program. Developers were also strongly against projects with accelerated benefits being treated on par with others. When it comes to lending, renewable energy is still part of the larger power/infrastructure funding basket in most banks, and with most funding going towards coal power projects, there is very little funding left for renewable energy. Developers would like to see the sector treated separately due to its uniqueness rather than under the broader umbrella of power/infrastructure, which would result in more funding allocated to renewable energy. Manufacturers Manufacturers are upbeat due to a slew of big policy announcements and they are especially happy with the addition of the DCR clause to almost all batches. That said, they want to see demand pick up before they restart manufacturing lines (many need financing to upgrade the lines). Some mentioned they are aggressively expanding and doubling capacity. We saw a similar pattern of behavior before the downturn hit the Indian manufacturers, there was an aggressive push to start or expand manufacturing based on government announcements with the assumption that 100% of the domestic installations would use domestic panels. If the government announcements turn into RfPs and installations, we expect foreign manufacturers to start setting up operations in India. Utilization rates cited were in the 55-100 percent range, while average selling prices were quoted in the $0.60-0.65 (~â‚š37-40)/W range.
Š2015 Mercom Capital Group, llc. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. I www.mercomcapital.com I solar@mercomcapital.com I Page 3
Mercom Capital Group India Solar Market Update Investors Overall, financial institutions expressed positive sentiments based on various solar policies that were recently announced, including the government's goal to install 100 GW. Like developers, banks also think the goals are too aggressive while implementation has always been an issue. The good news is that more and more financial institutions are now lending to solar developers, although they remain conservative in their approach. Banks feel that there are many developers now in the industry who are under qualified and overly aggressive, which has led to project failures in some states and poor build quality. They see many developers competing for limited capital as well. Almost all investors we had conversations with were skeptical about VGF as they feel that there is less incentive for production and quality than there is for capital costs. They also feel that VGF is bringing in marginal players and there is no selection criteria to separate the serious pure-play solar players who have good track records. In terms of funding criteria, the offtaker credit rating is the most important to the majority of investors, followed by finding qualified promoters with a good track record. Interest rates charged by financial institutions were in the 12-13 percent range and for companies with solid balance sheets, interest rates dropped below 11 percent.
National Solar Mission Policy Map PHASE II
PHASE I
Batch 1
1,000 MW
9,000 MW
(2010-13)
(2013-17)
Batch 2
Batch 1
Batch 2
Batch 3
620 MW
350 MW
750 MW
3,000 MW
2,000 MW
(2010-11)
(2011-12)
(2013-14)
(2014-15)
(2014-15)
Batch 4 NA
Batch 5 CPSUs - 1,000 MW (2014-15)
OTHERS
Solar Parks 20 GW (2014-19)
Defence Establishments
Canal Projects
300 MW
100 MW
(2014-15)
(2014-15)
Source: Mercom Capital Group, llc
Š2015 Mercom Capital Group, llc. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. I www.mercomcapital.com I solar@mercomcapital.com I Page 4
Mercom Capital Group India Solar Market Update
Policy Updates JNNSM - Phase II Batch 1 Under this batch, a total of 700 MW are scheduled to be completed by May 2015. JNNSM - Phase II Batch 2 Since our last update, MNRE released another revised draft for Batch 2 for 3,000 MW of PV projects. It has been almost six months of going back and forth on Phase II Batch 2 policy drafts. It is time to execute and start the RfS process. While the government has done a good job in making developers follow a strict timeline, the government agencies themselves seem to have no sense of urgency. When it takes place, this will be the first solar auction held by the NDA administration, which has been in office for almost a year. The proposed 3,000 MW solar PV projects will be implemented by NTPC Vidyut Vyapar Nigam Limited (NVVN) in the form of solar parks (large areas designated for solar projects), and will be developed by central and state agencies on land provided by state governments or land identified and arranged by developers in their respective states. The minimum project size was brought down to 10 MW. NVVN is also trying to keep the project size uniform; for example, a 1,000 MW park will consist of 100x10 MW projects. Land size and shape will determine this on a case-by-case basis. The bidding will be state-specific and an e-bidding process is proposed. The lowest bids to supply power to NVVN for 25 years will win these projects. An important change in this draft is the allowance for bidders to use other available financial incentives, like accelerated depreciation, concessional customs and excise duties, tax holidays, etc., as available for such projects. Bidders that have access to these types of incentives can drive down bid prices and will have an unfair advantage. This allowance is not popular with pure-play developers who can lose out to aggressive bidding from companies that can use these additional incentives to make up the difference. It is surprising that after five years, the government is still experimenting on policies that create unnecessary complexity and unpredictibiity. This is no way to attract investors. A percentage of these projects (not disclosed yet) will need to meet domestic content requirements (DCR). NVVN may issue a RFS in one or more solar parks based on the infrastructure and states’ readiness. Under this Batch, crystalline silicon, thin film or CPV, with or without trackers, can be used, and the developer has the option of leasing solar plant equipment from their foreign parent/affiliate.
Š2015 Mercom Capital Group, llc. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. I www.mercomcapital.com I solar@mercomcapital.com I Page 5
Mercom Capital Group India Solar Market Update
Jawaharlal Nehru National Solar Mission (JNNSM) Policy Comparison Phase 1
Date (Month & Year) Technology
Phase 2
Batch 1
Batch 2
Batch 1 CSP
Jul 2010
Aug 2011
Jul 2010
Batch 1
Batch 2 (Draft)*
Batch 3 (Draft)**
Oct 2013
Jan 2015
Feb 2015
PV
PV
CSP
PV
PV
PV
Scheme
Bundling
Bundling
Bundling
VGF
State Specific Bundling Scheme
State Specific VGF Scheme
Batch Size
150 MW
2,000 MW
350 MW
470 MW
750 MW
3,000 MW
Min 5 MW; Max 100 MW Tariff Based Competitive Reverse Bidding
Min 10 MW; Max 50 MW in multiples of 10 MW Fixed Tariff of ₹5.45 (~0.09)/kWh and Reverse Bidding on the VGF
Min 10 MW; Max tbd
Min 10 MW; Max tbd
Tariff Based Competitive Reverse Bidding
Fixed Tariff at ₹5.43 (~0.09)/kWh and Reverse Bidding on the VGF
Plant Size
5 MW
Bid Type
Tariff Based Competitive Reverse Bidding
Min 5 MW; Max 20 MW in multiples of 5 MW Tariff Based Competitive Reverse Bidding
CERC Levelized Tariff
₹17.91 ($0.29)
₹15.39 ($0.25)
₹15.31($0.25)
₹8.75 ($0.14)
Highest Bid
₹12.76 ($0.21)
₹9.44 ($0.16)
₹12.24 ($0.20)
Fixed Tariff at ₹5.45 ($0.09) + VGF ₹2.46 Crore ($0.4M)/MW under DCR VGF ₹1.35 Crore ($0.22M)/MW under Open
CERC Levelized Tariff (starting bid) for Solar PV for the FY 2014-15: ₹7.72 ($0.13)/kWh
The tariff is fixed at ₹5.43 (~$0.09)/kWh for the initial year and then escalated annually by ₹0.05 (~$0.001)/ kWh for next 20 years, for a maximum allowable tariff of ₹6.43 (~$0.11)/ kWh at the end of 21st year. The levelized tariff for the term of the PPA thus becomes ₹5.79 (~$0.095)/kWh.
Lowest Bid
₹10.95 ($0.18)
₹7.49 ($0.12)
₹10.49 ($0.17)
Fixed Tariff at ₹5.45 ($0.09) + VGF ₹1.35 Crore ($0.22M)/MW under DCR VGF ₹0.18 Crore ($0.03M)/MW under Open
Average Bid
₹12.16 ($0.20)
₹8.77 ($0.14)
₹11.66 ($0.19)
Fixed Tariff at ₹5.45 ($0.09) + VGF ₹2.07 Crore ($0.34M)/MW under DCR VGF ₹1.07 Crore ($0.18M)/MW under Open
Crystalline silicon modules manufactured in India
Cells and modules manufactured in India
30% of local content excluding land
180 Days
210 Days
180 Days
210 Days
210 Days
210 Days
12 Months
13 Months
28 Months
13 Months
13 Months
13 Months
NVVN
NVVN
NVVN
SECI
NVVN
SECI
Earnest Money Deposit
₹20 Lakh/MW (~$32,787)
₹20 Lakh/MW (~$32,787)
₹20 Lakh/MW (~$32,787)
₹10 Lakh/MW (~16,393)
₹10 Lakh/MW (~16,393)
₹10 Lakh/MW (~16,393)
Performance Bank Guarantee
₹30 Lakh/MW (~$49,180)
₹30 Lakh/MW (~$49,180)
₹30 Lakh/MW (~$49,180)
₹20 Lakh/MW (~$32,787)
₹20 Lakh/MW (~$32,787)
₹30 Lakh/MW (~$49,180)
-
-
-
Domestic Content Requirement (DCR) Financial Closure from the date of signing of PPA Commissioning Schedule from the date of signing of PPA Offtaker/PPA
Bid Bond
Amount of Bid Bond applicable for every paise of discount on CERC Approved Tariff (per MW)
375 MW under DCR 375 MW under Open
The Project developer will be provided a viability gap funding based on his bid. The upper limit for VGF is kept at ₹1.0 Crore (~$0.16M)/MW for open category and ₹1.31 Crore (~$0.21M)/MW for projects in DCR category.
NA
250 MW under DCR
Crystalline Silicon Cells and Modules, Thin Film
*Batch II Draft Guidelines, dt 29 Jan 2015: MNRE now proposes to add a total Solar PV capacity of 3,000 MW to be implemented through NVVN as part of Phase-II Batch-II through open competitive bidding under 'State Specific Bundling Scheme'. MNRE is facilitating development 25 solar parks to accelerate the solar capacity addition in various states. The bidder will approach Solar Park Implementation Agency (SPIA) for allotment of land and connectivity. **Batch III Draft Guidelines, dt 04 Feb 2015: The proposed 2,000 MW Solar PV Projects to be selected under the 'State Specific VGF Scheme' as part of Phase II Batch III, will be implemented by SECI in Solar Parks to be developed through association of Central and State Agencies/Land provided by State Governments or Land identified and arranged by Solar Power Developers in the respective States. Source: Mercom Capital Group, llc
Note: Dollar-Rupee conversions were calculated at $1 = ₹61
©2015 Mercom Capital Group, llc. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. I www.mercomcapital.com I solar@mercomcapital.com I Page 6
Mercom Capital Group India Solar Market Update
JNNSM - Phase II Batch 3 (New) The MNRE also recently issued draft guidelines to set up 2,000 MW of grid-connected solar PV power projects under JNNSM Phase II Batch 3 - “State Specific VGF Scheme.” Viability Gap Funding was first used in Phase II Batch 1, omitted in Batch 2 and added back in Batch 3 without any explanation, just the kind of policy flip-flop that frustrates both developers and investors. In our conversations with investors, almost all of them expressed negative views about the VGF mechanism, as they feel that there is less incentive for production and quality and more emphasis on capital costs. Instead of NVVN, another government agency, Solar Energy Corporation of India (SECI), will be the implementing agency for this Batch. Solar projects of 2,000 MW capacity under this Batch will also be set up as part of solar parks in various states, similar to Phase II Batch 2 projects. In states where solar parks are not yet established, the projects can be located anywhere within that state. Of the 2,000 MW capacity, 250 MW will be earmarked for bidding under DCR. MNRE will specify the total state-wise capacity of projects (both “Open Category” and “DCR Category”) based on commitments from the states. Mechanism of Viability Gap Funding (VGF) in the Scheme
The tariff payable to the project developer is fixed at ₹5.43 (~$0.09)/kWh for the initial year and then escalated annually by ₹0.05 (~$0.001)/kWh for the next 20 years, resulting in a maximum allowable tariff of ₹6.43 (~$0.11)/kWh at the end of the 21st year. The tariff would, thereafter, remain fixed at ₹6.43 (~$0.11)/kWh. The levelized tariff for the term of the Power Purchase Agreement (PPA) therefore becomes ₹5.79 (~$0.09)/kWh.
The project developer will be provided viability gap funding based on bidding price. The upper limit for VGF is kept at ₹1 Crore (~$0.16M)/MW for open category and ₹1.31 Crore (~$0.21M)/MW for projects in the DCR category.
The project developer has to infuse capital in the form of equity for an amount of at least ₹1.2 Crore (~$0.19M)/MW. The remaining amount can be financed by the developer.
The VGF will be released in six tranches, 50 percent on successful commissioning of the full capacity of the project (COD) and the balance 50 percent progressively over the next five years subject to the project meeting generation requirements.
©2015 Mercom Capital Group, llc. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. I www.mercomcapital.com I solar@mercomcapital.com I Page 7
Mercom Capital Group India Solar Market Update
Utility-Scale Solar Projects in India Operational and Under Development Updated on February 2015 Capacity (MW) In-Operations Solar PV Solar Thermal Total
2,974.5 205.5 3,180.0
Under Development Solar PV Solar Thermal Total
5,082.9 280.0 5,362.9
Source: Mercom Capital Group, llc
Other Announced Solar Programs Ultra Mega Projects in Solar Parks MNRE announced a separate plan to set up ‘Ultra Mega Solar Power Projects’ in 25 Solar Parks, each with a capacity of 500 MW and above, targeting 20,000 MW of installed capacity in a span of five years beginning in FY 2014-15. The solar parks are proposed to have a minimum capacity of 500 MW and maximum capacity of 1,000 MW. Smaller parks of 100 MW and above may be set up in the North Eastern States of Himachal Pradesh, Uttarakhand, and Jammu and Kashmir. According to our sources, nine solar parks in six states are currently under development. JNNSM - Phase II Batch 5 (New) MNRE has announced a new plan under Batch 5 (note: there is no Batch 4) to set up grid-connected solar PV power projects by the Central Public Sector Undertakings (CPSUs) and the Government of India organizations’ self-use or third-party sale or merchant sale, with VGF over a span of three years from FY 2014-15 to 2016-17. A budget of ₹1,000 Crore (~$164M) has been established for this plan. DCR will be mandatory for these projects. VGF will be provided through SECI at a fixed rate of ₹1 Crore (~$0.16M)/MW for projects where both the cells and modules are domestically produced and ₹50,00,000 (~$81,967)/MW for projects that use only domestically manufactured modules.
©2015 Mercom Capital Group, llc. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. I www.mercomcapital.com I solar@mercomcapital.com I Page 8
Mercom Capital Group India Solar Market Update
Solar Projects by Defense Sector Under this plan, more than 300 MW of grid-connected and off-grid solar PV power projects are proposed to be set up with VGF by Defense Establishments under the Ministry of Defense over five years, from 2014-2019. It will be mandatory that all PV cells and modules used in solar projects set up under this program will be made in India. A provision of ₹750 Crore (~$123M) has been earmarked for MNRE from the National Clean Energy Fund, to implement this program. Grid Connected Solar PV Power Plants on Canal Banks and Canal Tops MNRE has launched yet another program for development of grid-connected solar PV power projects on canal banks and canal tops at an estimated cost of ₹975 Crore (~$160M) and with Central Financial Assistance (CFA) of ₹228 Crore (~$37M). The objective is to utilize the area on top of canals and on vacant government land along the banks of canals, where available, to set up 100 MW of solar PV power projects.
State Policy
All India Cumulative Solar Installations By Policy Type Policy Type
MW
Gujarat Solar Policy
906.5
REC Mechanism
638.4
Maharashtra Solar Policy
206
Madhya Pradesh Solar Policy
175
NTPC Bundling Scheme Projects
110
Karnataka Solar Policy
79
Rajasthan Solar Policy
70.5
Punjab Solar Policy
52.5
Andhra Pradesh Solar Policy Uttar Pradesh Solar Policy
10
Others
9.4
Odisha Solar Policy
JNSSM
42
7
West Bengal Solar Policy
5
JNNSM - Phase I Batch II
330
JNNSM - Phase I Batch I (Thermal)
200
JNNSM - Phase I Batch I
140
JNNSM - Rooftop Projects
94.3
JNNSM - Migration Scheme JNNSM - Phase II MNRE - Demonstration Program MNRE - Demonstration Program (Thermal) JNNSM - Migration Scheme (Thermal) Total Installed Capacity Source: Merom Capital Group, llc
48 30 20.9 3 2.5 3,180 (Feb 2015)
©2015 Mercom Capital Group, llc. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. I www.mercomcapital.com I solar@mercomcapital.com I Page 9
Mercom Capital Group India Solar Market Update
Uttar Pradesh: Uttar Pradesh signed PPAs for 110 MW in December 2013. A 10 MW project was commissioned in January 2015 and the remaining 100 MW are expected to be commissioned by the first half of 2015. A Request for Proposal (RfP) to set up 300 MW of solar PV projects was announced in August 2014. The projects were allotted through a reverse bidding process. Successful bidders with project capacities less than 25 MW will be required to commission projects within 13 months and those larger than 25 MW capacity must be commissioned within 18 months. PPAs have been signed for 85 MW of projects and a RFP has been issued for the remaining 215 MW. The deadline for bid submission and opening of non-financial bids is April 7, 2015. Andhra Pradesh: Andhra Pradesh signed PPAs for 619 MW of grid connected solar projects in December 2014. Projects less than 10 MW in size are scheduled to commission by December 2015 while projects greater than 10 MW (579 MW) have a commissioning date of March 2016. Punjab: Punjab opened bidding for about 250 MW of solar PV projects. With average tariffs ranging between ₹8.20-8.40 (~$0.13-0.14)/kWh, PPAs were signed in December 2013 after a delay due to land acquisition problems during the election period. Of these, about 48.5 MW has been commissioned to date and the remainder is expected to be commissioned by the first half of 2015. Kerala: Under the 10,000 rooftop solar power plant program currently being implemented, approximately 7,000 installations are complete. The remaining 3,000 installations were postponed, but are expected to be launched again with a revised tariff. These projects are up to 1 kW in size and for captive use. The Agency for Non-Conventional Energy and Rural Technology, the renewable energy agency of Kerala, is expected to announce a tender for 14 MW of solar projects this year. Madhya Pradesh: To date, there are 175 MW of solar projects installed under Madhya Pradesh’s state policy. Another 105 MW of solar projects are expected to be commissioned in 2015 and 20 MW in the first quarter of 2016.
©2015 Mercom Capital Group, llc. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. I www.mercomcapital.com I solar@mercomcapital.com I Page 10
Mercom Capital Group India Solar Market Update
Uttarakhand: The government of Uttarakhand issued a request for selection for procurement of solar power from grid-connected solar PV projects for an aggregate capacity of up to 30 MW through a tariff-based competitive bidding process under its Solar Power Policy 2013.Bids were received from 42 solar project developers for 166 MW. The winning bids were announced and the PPAs are expected to be signed soon.
Uttarakhand Winning Bids Project Size Sl. No.
Winning Bids
Name of the Bidder MW
(₹/kWh)
(~$/kWh)
1
Redwoods Projects
2
6.85
0.112
2
Advika Energies Energy
1
7.56
0.124
3
Purshotam Industries
1
7.71
0.126
4
Purshotam Industries
1
7.73
0.127
5
Madhav Infra Projects
12
7.74
0.127
6
UJVN
1.46
7.75
0.127
7
UJVN
4.39
7.8
0.128
8
Purshotam Ispat
1
7.88
0.129
9
Vivaan Solar
3.5
7.93
0.130
10
Purshotam Ispat
1
7.96
0.130
11
R.C. Energy
1
7.98
0.131
12
Eastman International
0.636
7.99
0.131
Note: Dollar-Rupee conversions were calculated at $1 = ₹61 Source: UREDA
Mercom Capital Group, llc
Haryana: A five MW solar plan developed under the state policy is expected to be commissioned next year. A tender inviting bids for 50 MW of solar PV projects was issued in 2014 and the bidders list is expected to be announced shortly. Maharashtra: There are 206 MW of solar projects installed under Maharashtra’s state policy. The Maharashtra State Power Generation Company recently invited tenders to develop a 50 MW grid-connected solar project in Kaudgaon and a 25 MW project in Sakri. The financial bids are expected to be opened by the end of February 2015.
©2015 Mercom Capital Group, llc. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. I www.mercomcapital.com I solar@mercomcapital.com I Page 11
Mercom Capital Group India Solar Market Update
Chhattisgarh: Chhattisgarh State Power Distribution Company Limited (CSPDCL) announced the bid results for 100 MW solar projects. The lowest bid price was ₹5.54 (~$0.09)/kWh, and the highest ₹7.81 (~$0.13)/kWh. CSPDCL will sign 20year PPAs from these successful bidders. The only confirmed project is a 60 MW installation that will be commissioned by end of 2015. Karnataka: The state has 79 MW in solar projects installed to date, including e 40 MW already commissioned of the 60 MW solar projects announced in Batch I. Of the remaining 20 MW, only 10 MW is expected to be commissioned in early 2015. A 10 MW CSP project, under Batch I, is expected to be commissioned in 2016. There were 130 MW of solar projects announced in Batch II for which the PPAs are signed and 30 MW in solar projects are already commissioned. Of the remaining 100 MW projects, 75 MW is expected to be commissioned in 2015. The State also announced financial bids for solar projects totaling 50 MW in Batch 3 of which 14 MW is expected to be commissioned in 2015, and the remainder in 2016. Karnataka Renewable Energy Development Limited (KREDL) invited RfPs for solar projects totaling 500 MW and received bids for 1,412 MW from 44 solar project developers. The lowest bid was ₹6. 71 (~$0.11) and the highest bid was ₹8. 29 (~$0.14). Nine companies were selected with the highest bid at ₹7.12 (~$0.12) and the lowest at ₹6.71 (~$0.11). PPAs are currently being signed for these projects. Bihar: Bihar recently announced bid results for 100 MW solar projects. Five successful bidders have signed PPAs in January 2015 and the projects are expected to be commissioned in 2016.
©2015 Mercom Capital Group, llc. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. I www.mercomcapital.com I solar@mercomcapital.com I Page 12
Mercom Capital Group India Solar Market Update Telangana: The recently created state of Telangana released its list of winning bids for 500 MW of solar projects. The selection was through reverse bidding and PPAs are currently being signed. The successful bidders with project capacities less than 10 MW will be required to commission projects within 12 months, and those with more than 10 MW capacity must be commissioned within 15 months.
Telangana Winning Bids
1
First Solar Power India
Project Size MW 50
2
SS Indus Solar Energy
2
6.49
0.106
33/11 KV SS Kattangur
3
Global Coal & Mining
10
6.51
0.107
132/33 KV SS Parigi
4
Rays Power Infra
10
6.55
0.107
132/33 KV SS Kalwakurthy
5
Solairedirect Energy India
20
6.59
0.108
132/33 KV SS Chegunta
6
R N Jewels
7
6.59
0.108
132/33 KV SS Habsipur
7
SQA Concepts
2
6.59
0.108
33/11 KV SS Weddekothapally
8
First Solar Power India
15
6.60
0.108
132/33 KV SS Polepally (Jadchela) 132/33 KV SS Kalwakurthy
Sl. No.
Name of the Bidder
Winning Bids (₹/kWh) (~$/kWh) 6.45 0.106
Substation Alloted 132/33 KV SS Tandur
9
Haldiram Snacks
10
6.60
0.108
10
International Solar Corporation
5
6.60
0.108
33/11 KV SS Madaram
11
Karvy Consultants
20
6.70
0.110
220/132 KV SS Sadasivapet
12
Renew Solar Power
100
6.73
0.110
400/220 KV SS Veltoor
13
ACME Solar Energy
50
6.73
0.110
132/33 KV SS Balanagar
14
Cybercity Builders and Developers
5
6.75
0.111
33/11 KV SS Rajapet
15
Global Associates
3
6.75
0.111
33/11 KV SS Kulkulpally
16
Prime Lige Space Consultancy
3
6.75
0.111
33/11 KV SS Paladugu
17
Suraj Impex India
2
6.75
0.111
33/11 KV SS Paladugu
18
Keerthi Estates
10
6.78
0.111
132/33 KV SS Nagarkurnool
19
Photon Energy Systems
5
6.78
0.111
33/11 KV SS Narayankhed
20
Solairedirect Energy India
20
6.79
0.111
132/33 KV SS Nandipet
21
Renew Solar Power
24
6.80
0.111
132/33 KV SS Sadasivpet
22
Minopharm Laboratories
5
6.81
0.112
33/11 KV SS Parigi
23
Sri Luxmi Estates Agro Paper
10
6.84
0.112
132/33 KV SS Makthal
24
ACME Solar Energy
30
6.84
0.112
132/33 KV SS Maddur
25
Sai Achyuth Energy
5
6.84
0.112
33/11 KV SS Venkatapur
26
Keerthi Estates
5
6.87
0.113
33/11 KV SS Kandagatla
27
Sapark Infra Advisors India
2
6.88
0.113
33/11 KV SS Kodakandla
28
NV Vogt Singapore PTE
10
6.88
0.113
132/33 KV SS Gadwal
29
Talettutayi Solar Projects
10
6.88
0.113
132/33 KV SS Gadwal
30
Mahindra EPC Services
30
6.89
0.113
132/33 KV SS Tandur
31
Solairedirect Energy India
10
6.89
0.113
132/33 KV SS Ramayampet
32
Shapoorji Pallonji Infrastructure Capital
10
6.90
0.113
132/33 KV SS Alampur
33
Cybercity Builders and Developers
5
6.90
0.113
33/11 KV SS Nednoor
Note: Dollar-Rupee conversions were calculated at $1 = ₹61 Source: TSSPDCL
Mercom Capital Group, llc
©2015 Mercom Capital Group, llc. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. I www.mercomcapital.com I solar@mercomcapital.com I Page 13
Mercom Capital Group India Solar Market Update
The Modi government has brought policy momentum to the solar industry. The sector is now looking for quick implementation and actual installations. Mercom forecasts a stronger 2015 for Indian solar installations and will continue to monitor the execution on the ground.
Note: Dollar-rupee conversions were calculated at $1 = â‚š61.
Š2015 Mercom Capital Group, llc. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. I www.mercomcapital.com I solar@mercomcapital.com I Page 14
Mercom Capital Group India Solar Market Update
About Mercom Capital Group Mercom Capital Group, llc, is a global communications and consulting firm focused on Cleantech, Healthcare IT and financial communications. Mercom’s consulting division advises companies on new market entry, overall strategic decision-making, and provides custom market research. Mercom delivers highly respected industry market intelligence reports covering Solar Energy, Wind Energy, Smart Grid and Healthcare IT. Our reports provide timely industry happenings and ahead-of-the-curve analysis specifically for C-level decision making. Mercom’s communications division helps companies and financial institutions build powerful relationships with media, analysts, local communities and strategic partners. To receive Mercom’s popular market intelligence reports, visit: http://mercomcapital.com/market_intelligence.php.
©2015 Mercom Capital Group, llc. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. I www.mercomcapital.com I solar@mercomcapital.com I Page 15
Mercom Capital Group India Solar Market Update
Mercom Capital Group, llc 4611 Bee Caves Road, Suite 303 Austin, Texas 78746 t | +1.512.215.4452 w | www.mercomcapital.com e | info@mercomcapital.com
Mercom Communications India, Pvt. Ltd. A subsidiary of Mercom Capital Group, llc S-3, Harshita Arcade No.138, First Main Road Sheshadripuram Bangalore-560020 t | +91.80.2356.0436
DISCLAIMER © 2015 by Mercom Capital Group, llc. All rights reserved. Strictly no redistribution allowed without prior written permission of Mercom Capital Group. When quoting, please cite “Mercom Capital Group, llc”. Although information in this report has been obtained from sources that we believe to be reliable, Mercom Capital Group does not guarantee its accuracy. Published by Mercom Capital Group, llc, 4611 Bee Cave Rd, Suite 303, Austin, TX 78746 USA. A copy of the full Terms and Conditions that you agreed to can be found at: http://mercomcapital.com/termsandconditions.php. For information about this document, please contact us at: solar@mercomcapital.com.
©2015 Mercom Capital Group, llc. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. I www.mercomcapital.com I solar@mercomcapital.com I Page 16