201509

ISSN 2287-7266

ECONOMIC BULLETIN (Republic of Korea)

Republic of Korea

Vol.37 No.9 september 2015 eb.kdi.re.kr

conomic u l l e t i n

Vol.37 No.9 september 2015

The Green Book: Current Economic Trends Policy Issue 2016 Budget Planned to Increase Youth Employment and Support Economic Innovation

Economic News Briefing Korea Calls for Well-Calibrated Monetary Policies at G20 Meeting S&P Raises Korea’s Credit Rating 2015-2019 Public Institution Financial Management Plan Korea Grows 0.3% in Q2

Statistical Appendices

ECONOMIC BULLETIN

(Republic of Korea)

For free subscriptions and enquiries, please contact: International Media Relations Division Ministry of Strategy and Finance Government Complex, 477 Galmae-ro

september 2015

Sejong, 30109 Republic of Korea Tel. +82 2 731 1530 Fax. +82 2 731 1540 E-mail. fppr@mosf.go.kr Website. http://english.mosf.go.kr Economic Information and Education Center Korea Development Institute 263 Namsejong-ro Sejong, 30149 Republic of Korea Fax. +82 44 550 4941 E-mail. jiyounlee@kdi.re.kr Website. http://eb.kdi.re.kr

MOSF / KDI

Tel. +82 44 550 4645

02 The Green Book: Current Economic Trends Overview

03

01. External economic situation

04

02. Private consumption

08

03. Facility investment

11

04. Construction investment

13

05. Exports and imports

15

06. Mining and manufacturing production

17

07. Service sector activity

19

08. Employment

21

09. Financial markets

25

9.1 Stock market

25

9.2 Exchange rate

26

9.3 Bond market

27

9.4 Money supply & money market

27

10. Balance of payments

29

11. Prices

31

11.1 Consumer prices

31

11.2 International oil and commodity prices

32

12. Real estate market 12.1 Housing market

35

12.2 Land market

37

13. Composite indices of business cycle indicators

contents Editor-in-Chief Kim Joo-Hoon (KDI) An Il-Whan (MOSF) Editorial Board Park Joon-Kyu (MOSF) Lee Yong-Soo (KDI) Lee Jae-Yeal (KDI) Coordinators Kim Dae-Hyun (MOSF) Lee Ji-Youn (KDI) Editors Jeon Aram (MOSF) Kim Hanul (MOSF)

35

39

Vol.37 No.9 / September 2015

41 Policy Issue 2016 Budget Planned to Increase Youth Employment and Support Economic Innovation

49 Economic News Briefing Korea Calls for Well-Calibrated Monetary Policies at G20 Meeting Measures to Stimulate Consumption Announced S&P Raises Korea’s Credit Rating 2015-2019 Public Institution Financial Management Plan Korea Set to Export SMART Reactors Vice Finance Minister Discusses Current Issues with Member Countries at IDB Meeting External Debt Amounts to US $420.6 Billion as of Q2 Korea Grows 0.3% in Q2 (Preliminary)

53 Statistical Appendices

02

The Green Book : Current Economic Trends

Overview

01. External economic situation

02. Private consumption 03. Facility investment 04. Construction investment 05. Exports and imports 06. Mining and manufacturing production 07. Service sector activity 08. Employment 09. Financial markets 10. Balance of payments 11. Prices 12. Real estate market 13. Composite indices of business cycle indicators

The Green Book: Current Economic Trends

03

ECONOMIC BULLETIN • september 2015

OVERVIEW The Korean economy has been recovering from a slowdown in the second quarter as consumption, investment and employment are improving, but mining and manufacturing production decreased due to weak exports and inflation remains low.

The economy added 326,000 jobs year-on-year in July, led by the manufacturing sector. On a month-onmonth basis, job growth accelerated from 21,000 to 122,000.

Consumer price inflation in August remained in the less than 1 percent range year-on-year at 0.7 percent as petroleum product prices fell and stable supplies of agricultural products due to favorable weather conditions pushed down prices. Core inflation, which excludes oil and agricultural products and is more related to demand, was recorded at 2.1 percent, staying in the two percent range.

Mining and manufacturing production declined in July compared with the previous month from a 2.5 percent increase to a 0.5 percent fall, as companies cut the production of electronic parts due to too much inventory.

Both overseas and domestic shipments increased for two consecutive months Service output and retail sales rebounded in July from the previous month’s slump, recovering from the aftermath of the MERS outbreak, as the indices rose 1.7 and 1.9 percent, respectively.

Facility investment rose for the second consecutive month in July, up 1.3 percent month-on-month, as investment in both machinery and transportation equipment increased. Construction completed increased for the third month in a row, up 0.8 percent month-on-month, backed by strong building construction.

The cyclical indicator of the coincident composite index rose 0.2 points in July from the previous month, while the cyclical indicator of the leading composite index stayed unchanged.

Exports fell 14.7 percent year-on-year in August partly due to temporary factors such as fewer days worked and the Tianjin explosions as well as low oil prices and delayed deliveries of drillship.

Stock market volatility increased in August due to concerns about China’s stock markets, the yuan depreciation and uncertainties regarding the Fed’s rate hike. The Korean won depreciated against both the US dollar and Japanese yen.

Both housing prices and Jeonse (lump-sum deposits with no monthly payments) prices continued to increase month-on-month in August, each rising 0.3 percent.

Consumption has been recovering from the aftermath of the MERS outbreak, but both the consumer and corporate sentiments have yet to fully pick up, and external uncertainties as to the Fed’s rate hikes and China’s stock market volatility are posing risks.

The Green Book : Current Economic Trends

The government will continue to work on stimulating consumption, in particular early implementing the supplementary budget and expanding the Korea Grand Sale, a nationwide shopping promotion event, while accelerating the reform of the four areas of the public, education, labor and financial sectors.

The government will closely monitor internal and external economic developments and their impact on domestic financial markets, in particular regarding the concerns over the Chinese economy and the Fed’s rate hikes, and will be prepared to make appropriate responses if necessary.

1. External economic situation While the US and other advanced economies continue to recover, there are still concerns about instability in global financial markets due to uncertainties stemming from the Fed’s interest rate hike and risks from the Chinese economy.

Eurozone faces low inflation and instability in commodity exporters continues due to continuing low oil prices.

US The US economy grew 3.7 percent in the second quarter (annualized q-o-q, preliminary), rebounding from 0.6 percent growth in the previous quarter, as the labor market improved and consumer spending increased backed by low oil prices.

Industrial production grew 0.6 percent month-on-month in July, which was the largest gain over the past eight months, as manufacturing production increased, and the ISM Manufacturing Index fell compared to the previous month to 51.1 in August.

ISM Manufacturing Index (base=50) 55.1 (Dec 2014) → 53.5 (Jan 2015) → 52.9 (Feb) → 51.5 (Mar) → 51.5 (Apr) → 52.8 (May) → 53.5 (Jun) → 52.7 (Jul) → 51.1 (Aug)

Retail sales grew 0.6 percent month-on-month in July. The Conference Board Consumer Confidence rose in August, but the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index fell due to sharp fluctuations in global stock markets.

University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index (1966=100) 93.6 (Dec 2014) → 98.1 (Jan 2015) → 95.4 (Feb) → 93.0 (Mar) → 95.9 (Apr) → 90.7 (May) → 96.1 (Jun) → 93.1 (Jul) → 91.9 (Aug) Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index (1985=100) 93.1 (Dec 2014) → 103.8 (Jan 2015) → 98.8 (Feb) → 101.4 (Mar) → 94.3 (Apr) → 94.6 (May) → 99.8 (Jun) → 90.9 (Jul) → 101.5 (Aug)

04

05

ECONOMIC BULLETIN • september 2015

(Percentage change from previous period)

2012

2013

2014

Annual Annual Annual 1

Q1

Q2

2015 Q3

Q4

Q1

Q2

May

Jun

Jul

Real GDP

2.2

1.5

2.4

-0.9

4.6

4.3

2.1

0.6

3.7

-

-

-

- Personal consumption expenditure

1.5

1.7

2.7

1.3

3.8

3.5

4.3

1.8

3.1

-

-

-

- Nonresidential fixed investment - Residential fixed investment Industrial production

9.0

3.0

6.2

8.3

4.4

9.0

0.7

1.6

3.2

-

-

-

13.5

9.5

1.8

-2.8

10.4

3.4

10.0

10.1

7.8

-

-

-

3.0

1.9

3.7

0.9

1.4

1.0

1.2

-0.1

-0.5

-0.3

0.1

0.6

Retail sales

4.9

3.9

3.8

0.6

2.4

0.8

0.5

-1.0

1.7

1.2

0.0

0.6

Existing home sales

8.9

9.0

-3.0

-5.1

4.5

3.5

0.1

-1.7

6.5

4.5

3.0

2.0

Unemployment rate²

8.1

7.4

6.2

6.6

6.2

6.1

5.7

5.6

6.5

5.5

5.3

5.3

Consumer prices (y-o-y)

2.1

1.5

1.6

1.4

2.1

1.8

1.2

-0.1

0.0

0.0

0.1

0.2

1. Annualized rate (%) 2. Seasonally adjusted Sources: US Department of Commerce, Bloomberg

US GDP growth and industrial production 10

Sources: US Department of Commerce, Federal Reserve Board

(%)

8 6 4 2 0 -2 -4 -6 -8 -10 2004.Q1

2005.Q1

2006.Q1

2007.Q1

2008.Q1

GDP (q-o-q, annualized rate)

2009.Q1

2010.Q1

2011.Q1

2012.Q1

2013.Q1

2014.Q1

2015.Q1

Industrial production (q-o-q)

The housing market continued to recover as home prices continued to rise and existing home sales in July reached 5,590,000 (annualized), the highest since February 2007.

Case-Shiller Home Price Index (y-o-y, %) 4.2 (Nov 2014) → 4.4 (Dec) → 4.4 (Jan 2015) → 4.9 (Feb) → 5.0 (Mar) → 5.0 (Apr) → 5.0 (May) → 5.0 (Jun) Existing home sales (m-o-m, %) 1.2 (Oct 2014) → -4.1 (Nov) → 2.4 (Dec) → -4.9 (Jan 2015) → 1.5 (Feb) → 6.5 (Mar) → -2.3 (Apr) → 4.5 (May) → 3.0 (Jun) → 2.0 (Jul)

The labor market continued to recover as the unemployment rate was 5.3 percent in July, the lowest since April 2008, and 245,000 jobs were added to nonfarm payrolls.

06

The Green Book : Current Economic Trends

Nonfarm payroll increase (m-o-m, thousand) 329 (Dec 2014) → 201 (Jan 2015) → 266 (Feb) → 119 (Mar) → 187 (Apr) → 260 (May) → 245 (Jun) → 245 (Jul)

US nonfarm payroll growth and unemployment rate Source: US Department of Labor 800

(thousands)

12

(%)

600 10 400 8

200 0

6 -200 4

-400 -600

2 -800 -1,000

0

2004.1

2005.1

2006.1

2007.1

2008.1

2009.1

2010.1

2011.1

2012.1

2013.1

US nonfarm payroll growth (m-o-m, left)

2014.1

2015.1

Unemployment rate (right)

China Concerns about a slowdown in the Chinese economy continued as production and consumption indicators fell, exports decreased considerably and the manufacturing PMI recorded a three-year low in July.

Manufacturing PMI (base=50) 50.3 (Nov 2014) → 50.1 (Dec) → 49.8 (Jan 2015) → 49.9 (Feb) → 50.1 (Mar) → 50.1 (Apr) → 50.2 (May) → 50.2 (Jun) → 50.0 (Jul) → 49.7 (Aug)

China’s GDP growth and fixed asset investment 18

Source: China National Bureau of Statistics 70

(%)

(%)

16

60

14

50

12

40

10

30

8

20

6

10

4

0 2004.Q1

2005.Q1

GDP (y-o-y, left)

2006.Q1

2007.Q1

2008.Q1

2009.Q1

2010.Q1

2011.Q1

2012.Q1

2013.Q1

2014.Q1

2015.Q1

Fixed asset investment (accumulated, y-o-y, right)

07

ECONOMIC BULLETIN • september 2015

(Percentage change from same period in previous year)

Real GDP Industrial production Fixed asset investment (accumulated) Retail sales Exports Consumer prices1 Producer prices1

2012 2013 Annual Annual Q4¹ 7.7 7.7 7.7 10.0 9.7 10.0 20.6 19.6 19.6 14.3 13.1 13.5 8.3 8.6 7.5 2.6 2.6 2.9 -1.7 -1.9 -1.4

Q1 7.4 8.7 17.6 12.0 -3.5 2.3 -2.0

2014 Q2 Q3 7.5 7.3 8.9 8.0 17.3 16.1 12.3 11.9 5.0 13.0 2.2 2.0 -1.5 -1.3

Q4 7.3 7.6 15.7 11.7 8.6 1.5 -2.7

Q1 7.0 6.4 13.5 10.6 4.7 1.2 -4.6

2015 Q2 Jun 7.0 6.3 6.8 11.4 11.4 10.2 10.6 -2.1 2.8 1.4 1.4 -4.8 -4.8

Jul 6.0 11.2 10.4 -8.3 1.6 -5.4

1. Quarterly change: average of monthly change Source: China National Bureau of Statistics

Japan Japan’s GDP fell 0.4 percent in the second quarter due to a slowdown in both consumption and exports, and the recovery outlook is grim as industrial production and other economic indicators remained sluggish in July.

Consumer prices increased 0.2 percent (0.0% excluding fresh food) in July, rising at a slower pace month-onmonth for the fourth consecutive month, while consumer prices excluding fresh food and energy grew 0.6 percent, the same amount of increase as the previous month.

(Percentage change from previous period)

Real GDP Industrial production Retail sales Exports (y-o-y) Consumer prices (y-o-y)

2012 2013 Annual Annual Q4 1.8 1.6 -0.2 0.2 -0.6 1.8 1.5 1.2 1.4 -2.7 9.5 17.4 -0.0 0.4 1.4

Annual -0.1 2.1 1.7 4.8 2.7

Q1 1.1 2.3 3.8 6.6 1.5

2014 Q2 -1.9 -3.1 -7.2 0.1 3.6

Q3 -0.3 -1.3 3.9 3.2 3.3

Q4 0.3 0.8 1.0 9.1 2.6

Q1 1.1 1.6 -2.1 9.0 2.3

2015 Q2 -0.4 -1.4 0.2 6.7 0.5

Jun 1.1 -0.6 9.5 0.4

Jul -0.6 1.2 7.6 0.2

Sources: Japan's Cabinet Office, Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry, Ministry of Finance, Statistics Bureau of Japan

Japan’s GDP growth and industrial production 6

Source: Japan's Cabinet Office, Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry 25

(%)

(%)

4

20 15 10

2

5 0

0

-5 -2

-10 -15

-4

-20 -25

-6 2004.Q1

2005.Q1

GDP (q-o-q, left)

2006.Q1

2007.Q1

2008.Q1

2009.Q1

2010.Q1

2011.Q1

2012.Q1

2013.Q1

2014.Q1

2015.Q1

Industrial production (q-o-q, right)

08

The Green Book : Current Economic Trends

Eurozone The eurozone economy continued to recover as the ECB maintained its quantitative easing program and due to a weak euro, but risks remain including uncertainties over the Greek debt negotiations and low consumer price growth.

Manufacturing PMI (base=50) 50.6 (Dec 2014) → 51.0 (Jan 2015) → 51.0 (Feb) → 52.2 (Mar) → 52.0 (Apr) → 52.2 (May) → 52.5 (Jun) → 52.4 (Jul) → 52.3 (Aug) (Percentage change from previous period)

2012 2013 Annual Annual Q3

Q4

Annual

Q1

2014 Q2

Q3

Q4

Q1

Q2

2015 May

Jun

Jul

Real GDP

-0.8

-0.3

0.2

0.3

0.9

0.2

0.1

0.2

0.4

0.4

0.3

-

-

-

Industrial production

-2.4

-0.7

0.0

0.6

0.8

0.1

0.0

-0.1

0.4

1.0

-0.2

-0.2

-0.4

-

Retail sales

-1.7

-0.8

0.6

-0.3

1.3

0.6

0.4

0.1

0.7

0.9

0.4

0.2

-0.2

0.4

Exports (y-o-y)

7.7

1.1

0.3

1.0

2.3

1.0

0.6

2.9

4.5

5.1

7.8

2.5

12.3

-

Consumer prices (y-o-y)

2.5

1.4

1.3

0.8

0.4

0.7

0.6

0.4

0.2

-0.3

0.2

0.3

0.2

0.2

Sources: Eurostat, Bloomberg

Eurozone’s GDP growth and industrial production 3

Source: Eurostat

(%)

(%)

10 8

2

6 4

1

2 0

0

-2 -1

-4 -6

-2

-8 -10

-3 2004.Q1

2005.Q1

2006.Q1

2007.Q1

2008.Q1

2009.Q1

2010.Q1

GDP (q-o-q, left)

2011.Q1

2012.Q1

2013.Q1

2014.Q1

2015.Q1

Industrial production (q-o-q, right)

2. Private consumption Private consumption in the second quarter of 2015 (preliminary GDP) fell 0.2 percent compared to the previous quarter and rose 1.7 percent compared to a year ago.

09

ECONOMIC BULLETIN • september 2015

(Percentage change from previous period)

Annual

Q1

2013 Q2

1.9

-0.1

0.5

1.1

0.6

1.8

0.4

-0.4

0.8

0.5

0.6

-0.2

-

1.6

1.9

1.9

2.2

-

2.6

1.7

1.5

1.4

1.5

1.7

Private consumption² (y-o-y)

Q1

2014 Q2

Q3

Q4¹

20151 Q1¹ Q2¹

1

Q3

Q4

Annual¹

1. Preliminary 2. National accounts Source: The Bank of Korea

Private consumption 12

Source: The Bank of Korea (national accounts)

(%)

10 8 6 4 2 0 -2 -4 -6 2004.Q1

2005.Q1

2006.Q1

2007.Q1

2008.Q1

2009.Q1

2010.Q1

2011.Q1

2012.Q1

2013.Q1

Private consumption (q-o-q)

2014.Q1

2015.Q1

Private consumption (y-o-y)

Retail sales grew 1.9 percent month-on-month in July as durable goods (up 1.2%), such as household appliances, semi-durable goods (up 7.0%), such as clothing, and nondurable goods (up 0.4%), such as fuel, all increased. The index rose 1.9 percent compared with the same period of the previous year.

Retail sales 20

Source: Statistics Korea (industrial activity trends)

(%)

15

10

5

0

-5

-10 2004.1

2005.1

Retail sales (m-o-m)

2006.1

2007.1

2008.1

2009.1

2010.1

2011.1

2012.1

2013.1

2014.1

2015.1

Retail sales (y-o-y)

10

The Green Book : Current Economic Trends

(Percentage change from previous period)

Annual

2013 Q3

Q4

Annual

Q1

2014 Q2

Q3

Q4

Q1

Q2¹

2015 Jun¹

Jul¹

Retail sales

-

0.8

0.4

-

0.2

-0.2

1.3

0.4

0.5

0.6

-3.5

1.9

(y-o-y)

0.7

0.5

1.1

1.7

2.4

0.8

1.5

1.9

1.6

2.9

0.6

1.9

- Durable goods²

0.3

-0.3

0.2

5.1

3.8

-0.2

1.8

1.3

5.2

-0.4

-2.1

1.2

· Automobiles

2.1

2.1

-2.1

16.6

9.8

5.3

1.2

6.3

3.9

3.9

2.4

-3.7

- Semi-durable goods³

2.1

0.7

-0.4

-0.6

-1.4

-1.1

4.8

-1.8

-3.5

-0.2

-11.6

7.0

- Nondurable goods4

0.4

1.5

0.8

0.8

-0.9

0.2

-0.7

1.0

-0.5

1.5

-0.9

0.4

1. Preliminary 2. Durable goods: Automobiles, electronic appliances, furniture, telecommunications devices, etc.

3. Semi-durable goods: Clothing, footwear, etc. 4. Nondurable goods: Food, medicine, cosmetics, fuel, tobacco, etc.

Source: Statistics Korea

Retail sales by type

Source: Statistics Korea (industrial activity trends)

50 (y-o-y, %) 40 30 20 10 0 -10 -20 -30 2004.1

2005.1

2006.1

2007.1

2008.1

2009.1

Durable goods

2010.1

2011.1

2012.1

2013.1

2014.1

2015.1

Nondurable goods

Semi-durable goods

Retail sales in August continued to improve led by increases in domestic car sales and gasoline. Department store and large discount store sales fell year-on-year due to a high base effect from last year’s early Chuseok holiday (September 6-9). (y-o-y, %)

2015 Jan

Feb

Mar

Apr

May

Jun

Jul

Aug

3.1

10.0

5.7

15.3

7.1

8.6

14.5

10.3

Department store sales

-11.0

6.6

-5.7

1.3

3.1

-11.9

0.7

-6.6

Large discount store sales

-18.3

24.5

-6.5

0.0

0.5

-10.2

-1.8

-8.4

Domestic sales of gasoline

7.3

12.1

8.6

9.6

3.3

1.0

0.7

6.2

Domestic sales of cars

3.9

-3.8

5.5

2.8

-0.2

9.4

3.5

14.9

Credit card use

Sources: Credit Finance Association of Korea, Ministry of Trade, Industry and Energy, Korea National Oil Corporation, Korea Automobile Manufacturers Association

11

ECONOMIC BULLETIN • september 2015

3. Facility investment Facility investment (preliminary GDP) rose 0.5 percent quarter-on-quarter and 5.0 percent year-on-year in the second quarter of 2015.

(Percentage change from previous quarter)

Annual -0.8 -2.3 3.1

Facility investment² (y-o-y) - Machinery - Transportation equipment

2013 Q3 3.5 2.3 6.3 -3.5

Q4 4.2 11.6 2.3 9.1

Annual 5.8 5.0 7.7

2014 Q2 1.3 7.7 0.4 3.6

Q1 -1.4 7.2 -3.4 3.7

2015 Q3 0.2 4.2 2.0 -3.8

Q4 4.0 4.2 5.6 0.4

Q1¹ 0.2 5.8 -0.7 2.4

Q2¹ 0.5 5.0 -3.9 10.6

2013.Q1

2014.Q1

2015.Q1

1. Preliminary 2. National accounts Source: The Bank of Korea

Facility investment 40

Source: The Bank of Korea (national accounts)

(%)

30 20 10 0 -10 -20 -30 2004.Q1

2005.Q1

2006.Q1

2007.Q1

2008.Q1

2009.Q1

2010.Q1

2011.Q1

2012.Q1

Facility investment (q-o-q)

Facility investment (y-o-y)

The facility investment index in July rose 1.3 percent month-on-month as machinery and transportation equipment investment both increased. The index rose 6.9 percent year-on-year.

Facility investment by type Source: The Bank of Korea (national accounts) 50

(y-o-y, %)

40 30 20 10 0 -10 -20 -30 2004.Q1

2005.Q1

Transportation equipment

2006.Q1

2007.Q1

2008.Q1

2009.Q1

2010.Q1

2011.Q1

2012.Q1

2013.Q1

2014.Q1

2015.Q1

Machinery

12

The Green Book : Current Economic Trends

(Percentage change from previous quarter)

2013 Annual Annual Facility investment index

Q1

2014 Q2

Q3

Q4

Q1

Q21

2015 Jun1

Jul1 1.3

-0.8

5.2

-4.0

1.7

-0.9

8.6

-1.6

-1.5

4.2

-

-

7.5

6.7

1.5

5.4

8.4

5.1

12.2

6.9

- Machinery

-2.1

3.9

-6.1

0.9

-0.8

11.7

-1.3

-5.8

8.0

1.2

- Transportation equipment

2.8

8.8

1.6

3.6

-1.4

1.5

-2.4

10.2

-3.3

0.8

(y-o-y)

1. Preliminary Source: Statistics Korea

The facility investment outlook is mixed, as the average manufacturing operation ratio declined while business sentiment slightly improved.

Business survey index for manufacturing sector (Bank of Korea) 75 (Dec 2014) → 77 (Jan 2015) → 73 (Feb) → 82 (Mar) → 80 (Apr) → 82 (May) → 76 (Jun) → 67 (Jul) → 70 (Aug) → 71 (Sep)

Leading indicators of facility investment Sources: Statistics Korea (machinery orders), Korea International Trade Association (machinery imports) 10

(trillion won)

70

(%)

60

9

50

8

40 30

7

20

6

10 0

5

-10

4

-20 -30

3

-40

2

-50

2004.Q1

2005.Q1

2006.Q1

2007.Q1

2008.Q1

2009.Q1

2010.Q1

2011.Q1

2012.Q1

2013.Q1

Machinery orders (left)

2014.Q1

2015.Q1

Machinery imports (right)

(Percentage change from same period in previous year)

Domestic machinery orders (q-o-q, m-o-m) - Public - Private Machinery imports Average manufacturing operation ratio Facility investment adjustment pressure²

2013 Annual 6.6

Annual 14.8

Q1 18.5

2014 Q2 4.0

Q3 49.4

Q4 -6.3

Q1 -2.6

Q2¹ 15.7

Jun¹ 8.6

Jul¹ 13.2

-

-

-2.0

-11.3

45.2

-26.0

6.2

1.4

-4.8

-3.4

20.5 5.1

94.2 4.8

184.6 4.7

-45.0 9.1

418.5 7.7

-27.6 -2.0

-66.9 12.0

61.7 13.2

84.7 5.0

50.2 11.2

1.1

5.8

2.5

11.9

1.7

7.0

8.4

-1.1

9.9

-2.3

76.5 -0.9

76.1 -1.5

77.1 -0.7

76.1 -1.1

76.0 -0.5

75.1 -3.5

74.4 -2.5

74.2 -2.7

75.2 0.3

74.7 -4.1

1. Preliminary 2. Production growth rate minus production capacity growth rate in the manufacturing sector (%p) Sources: Statistics Korea, Korea International Trade Association

13

ECONOMIC BULLETIN • september 2015

4. Construction investment Construction investment in the second quarter of 2015 (preliminary GDP) rose 1.6 percent quarter-on-quarter and 1.6 percent year-on-year.

(Percentage change from previous quarter)

Annual

2013 Q3

Q4

Annual

Q1

2014 Q2

Q3

Q4

Q1¹

2015

Construction investment²

5.5

-0.8

-4.8

1.0

5.3

0.5

0.9

-7.8

7.4

1.6

(y-o-y)

-

7.4

3.5

-

4.1

0.2

2.3

-1.5

0.6

1.6

Q2¹

- Building construction

11.2

0.2

-3.3

4.4

3.2

3.1

2.4

-7.3

4.5

4.6

- Civil engineering works

-2.5

-2.5

-7.2

-4.4

8.9

-3.8

-1.8

-8.8

12.7

-3.6

2014.Q1

2015.Q1

1. Preliminary 2. National accounts Source: The Bank of Korea

Construction investment 15

Source: The Bank of Korea (national accounts)

(%)

10

5

0

-5

-10 2004.Q1

2005.Q1

2006.Q1

2007.Q1

2008.Q1

2009.Q1

2010.Q1

2011.Q1

2012.Q1

2013.Q1

Construction investment (q-o-q)

Construction investment (y-o-y)

The value of construction completed (constant) in July rose 0.8 percent month-on-month as an increase in building construction offset a decrease in civil engineering works. The index rose 1.0 percent year-on-year.

(Percentage change from previous period)

2013 Annual Annual Construction completed (constant) (y-o-y) - Building construction - Civil engineering works 1. Preliminary Source: Statistics Korea

Q1

2014 Q2

Q3

Q4

Q1

2015 Q21 Jun1

Jul¹

10.2

-0.8

1.0

-0.4

-2.7

-3.9

4.8

-2.6

4.3

0.8

-

-

6.6

0.1

-1.9

-5.9

-2.0

-4.5

0.3

0.1

15.1 4.4

7.8 -12.3

4.8 -4.6

2.0 -4.1

-3.8 -0.8

-3.7 -4.2

5.0 4.5

-1.4 -4.6

1.0 10.5

6.4 -8.8

14

The Green Book : Current Economic Trends

Construction investment by type Source: The Bank of Korea (national accounts) 40

(y-o-y, %)

30

20

10

0

-10

-20 -30 2004.Q1

2005.Q1

2006.Q1

2007.Q1

2008.Q1

2009.Q1

2010.Q1

2011.Q1

2012.Q1

2013.Q1

Residential buildings

Building construction

2014.Q1

2015.Q1

Civil engineering works

Construction investment is projected to increase partly due to a decline in unsold houses and a rise in building permits.

Unsold houses (thousand, Ministry of Land, Infrastructure and Transport) 40 (Nov 2014) → 40 (Dec) → 37 (Jan 2015) → 34 (Feb) → 29 (Mar) → 28 (Apr) → 28 (May) → 34 (Jun) → 33 (Jul) New apartment sales (thousand, Ministry of Land, Infrastructure and Transport) 43 (Nov 2014) → 17 (Dec) → 15 (Jan 2015) → 9 (Feb) → 33 (Mar) → 55 (Apr) → 59 (May) → 46 (Jun) → 34 (Jul) → 491 (Aug) 1. Estimate

Leading indicators of construction investment Sources: Statistics Korea (construction orders), Ministry of Land, Infrastructure and Transport (building permit area) 300

(y-o-y, %)

250 200 150 100 50 0 -50 -100 2004.1

2005.1

Construction orders

2006.1

2007.1

2008.1

2009.1

2010.1

2011.1

2012.1

2013.1

2014.1

2015.1

Building permit area

15

ECONOMIC BULLETIN • september 2015

(Percentage change from same period in previous year)

2013

2014

Annual Annual Construction orders (current value)

-12.9

(q-o-q, m-o-m)

15.3

2015

Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4

Q1

Q21

Jun1

Jul1

15.5

25.4

42.8

-7.5

55.4

49.9

46.4

22.5

-

-

-5.1

12.4

22.0

-29.0

50.9

13.3

-26.7

-4.8

- Building construction

-10.2

24.5

11.2

45.6

61.8

-5.0

87.7

49.9

22.2

26.1

- Civil engineering works

-18.2

-4.4

24.0

-11.5

-6.2

-13.1

-1.5

50.0

126.5

8.4

-7.3

11.2

18.4

21.6

14.7

-4.6

11.0

25.1

28.8

88.2

Building permits²

1. Preliminary 2. Floor area Sources: Statistics Korea, Ministry of Land, Infrastructure and Transport

5. Exports and imports Exports in August declined 14.7 percent (preliminary) year-on-year to US $39.33 billion.

Exports decreased at a faster rate compared with the previous month (down 3.4%) partly due to lower oil prices (down US $8.0), delayed deliveries of drillship (until early 2017), Tianjin explosions and fewer days worked (0.5 days).

Exports declined in most items except mobile phones and semiconductors. By region, shipments to all regions fell including the US and China.

Export growth by item (y-o-y, %) 19.0 (mobile phones), 4.7 (semiconductors), -9.1 (automobiles), -17.4 (steel), -25.7 (petrochemicals), -40.3 (petroleum products), -51.5 (vessels) Export growth by region (y-o-y, %) -4.4 (US), -6.5 (ASEAN countries), -8.8 (China), -19.2 (Middle East), -20.8 (EU), -21.3 (Latin America), -24.4 (Japan)

Average daily exports, an indicator adjusted to days worked, was down 12.8 percent year-on-year to US $1.79 billion in August.

Average daily export growth (y-o-y, %) -7.3 (Jan 2015) → 9.4 (Feb) → -8.5 (Mar) → -8.0 (Apr) → -6.7 (May) → -12.9 (Jun) → -3.4 (Jul) → -12.8 (Aug) (US $ billion)

2013

2014

Annual Annual Exports (y-o-y, %) Average daily exports 1. Preliminary Source: Korea Customs Service

Q1

Q2

2015 Q3

Q4

559.63 572.66 137.53 145.67 141.76 147.70

Aug

Q1

Q2

46.11 133.45 135.17

Jul

Aug1

46.57

39.33

2.1

2.3

1.6

3.2

3.6

0.9

-0.4

-3.0

-7.2

-3.4

-14.7

2.05

2.11

2.07

2.19

2.07

2.13

2.05

2.01

1.99

1.86

1.79

16

The Green Book : Current Economic Trends

Exports by item

Sources: Korea Customs Service, Ministry of Trade, Industry and Energy (export and import trends)

160 (y-o-y, %)

140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 -20 -40 -60

-80 2004.1

2005.1

2006.1

2007.1

Export growth rate

2008.1

2009.1

2010.1

2011.1

Semiconductors

2012.1

2013.1

2014.1

2015.1

Automobiles

Steel

Imports in August fell 18.3 percent (preliminary) year-on-year to US $34.98 billion.

Capital goods and consumer goods imports sharply rose in August, while commodity imports continued to fall.

Import growth by category (Jul → Aug, y-o-y, %) 2.0 → 9.7 (capital goods), -2.6 → 3.0 (consumer goods), -26.3 → -34.2 (commodities) (US $ billion)

2013 Imports

2014

2015

Annual

Annual

Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4

Aug

Q1

Q2

Jul

Aug 1

515.59

525.51

132.37

130.96

132.84

129.35

42.79

111.85

110.53

38.85

34.98

(y-o-y, %)

-0.8

1.9

2.0

3.3

5.4

-2.8

2.9

-15.5

-15.6

-15.3

-18.3

Average daily imports

1.89

1.94

1.99

1.97

1.94

1.86

1.90

1.68

1.62

1.55

1.59

1. Preliminary Source: Korea Customs Service

Imports by item 100

Sources: Korea Customs Service, Ministry of Trade, Industry and Energy (export and import trends)

(y-o-y, %)

80 60 40 20 0 -20 -40 -60 -80 2004.1

2005.1

Import growth rate

2006.1

2007.1

2008.1

2009.1

2010.1

Commodities

2011.1

2012.1

2013.1

2014.1

2015.1

Capital goods

17

ECONOMIC BULLETIN • september 2015

Exports and imports

Sources: Korea Customs Service, Ministry of Trade, Industry and Energy (export and import trends)

60 (US $ billion) 50

40

30

20

10

0

-10 2004.1

2005.1

2006.1

2007.1

2008.1

2009.1

2010.1

Trade balance

2011.1

2012.1

2013.1

2014.1

2015.1

Exports

Imports

The trade balance (preliminary) posted a surplus of US $4.35 billion in August, staying in the black for the 43rd consecutive month, and the surplus shrank compared with the previous month.

(US $ billion)

2013

2014

Annual Annual Trade balance

44.05

47.15

2015

Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4

Aug

Q1

Q2

Jul

Aug1

5.17

14.72

8.92

18.35

3.32

21.59

24.64

7.72

4.35

1. Preliminary Source: Korea Customs Service

6. Mining and manufacturing production Mining and manufacturing production fell 0.5 percent month-on-month in July as strong automobiles and other transportation equipment was offset by weak electronic part and mechanical equipment. Compared to the same period of the previous year, the index declined 3.3 percent.

Compared to the previous month, production of automobiles (up 4.9%), other transportation equipment (up 6.3%) and nonmetallic minerals (up 4.0%) rose, while electronic parts (down 8.2%), mechanical equipment (down 5.2%) and communications equipment (down 11.0%) decreased.

Compared to a year ago, production of refined petroleum (up 8.5%), semiconductors (up 4.8%) and chemical products (up 0.6%) rose, while communications equipment (down 29.4%), processed metals (down 8.0%) and electronic parts (down 7.0%) declined.

18

The Green Book : Current Economic Trends

Industrial production Source: Statistics Korea (industrial activity trends) 50

(%)

40 30 20 10 0 -10 -20 -30 2004.1

2005.1

2006.1

2007.1

2008.1

2009.1

2010.1

2011.1

2012.1

2013.1

Industrial production (m-o-m)

2014.1

2015.1

Industrial production (y-o-y)

(Percentage change from previous period)

2013 Annual Annual

Q1

2014 Q2

Q3

Q4

Q1

Q2¹

2015 May Jun¹

Jul¹

-0.3

-0.6

0.1

-0.9

-0.1

-0.9

-1.6

2.5

-0.5

Mining (q-o-q, m-o-m)

-

-

(y-o-y)

0.7

0.0

0.7

0.5

1.2

-1.9

-0.9

-1.5

-3.0

1.4

-3.3

Manufacturing (q-o-q, m-o-m)

-

-

-0.2

-0.7

0.1

-1.0

0.0

-1.0

-1.7

2.4

-0.4

Mining and (y-o-y) manufacturing Shipment activity²

0.7

0.1

0.7

0.4

1.2

-1.9

-1.0

-1.4

-3.0

1.5

-3.5

0.7

0.0

-0.3

-0.3

-0.4

0.0

-0.6

-0.7

-1.4

1.1

0.5

- Domestic consumption

-0.8

0.3

-0.4

-0.2

-0.9

-0.8

0.5

0.4

-1.6

0.2

0.9

- Exports

2.6

-0.4

-0.1

-0.3

0.1

1.1

-2.0

-2.0

-1.1

2.1

0.2

Inventory³

4.4

-1.8

-0.3

0.6

0.9

-2.2

3.5

3.7

-1.3

3.0

0.6

Manufacturing Average operation ratio (%) indicators Production capacity (y-o-y)

76.5

76.1

77.1

76.1

76.0

75.1

74.4

74.2

73.2

75.2

74.7

1.6

1.6

1.4

1.5

1.7

1.6

1.5

1.3

1.3

1.2

0.6

1. Preliminary 2. Including mining, manufacturing, electricity and gas industry 3. End-period

The manufacturing inventory-shipment ratio rose 0.1 percentage points month-on-month to 129.2 percent as inventories rose 0.6 percent and shipments increased 0.5 percent.

Inventories of automobiles (up 6.9%), chemical products (up 3.9%) and audio-visual equipment (up 29.7%) rose, while groceries (down 6.7%), electronic parts (down 3.1%) and mechanical equipment (down 0.9%) declined.

Shipments of automobiles (up 4.8%), other transportation equipment (up 5.7%) and semiconductors (up 2.0%) rose, while communications equipment (down 13.1%), electronic parts (down 3.5%) and primary metals (down 1.1%) fell.

The average operation ratio of the manufacturing sector fell 0.5 percentage points month-on-month to 74.7 percent.

19

ECONOMIC BULLETIN • september 2015

Shipment and inventory 10 8

Source: Statistics Korea (industrial activity trends)

(m-o-m, %)

6 4 2 0 -2 -4 -6 -8 -10 -12 2004.1

2005.1

2006.1

2007.1

2008.1

2009.1

2010.1

2011.1

2012.1

2013.1

2014.1

Shipment growth

Inventory growth

Average manufacturing operation ratio 100

2015.1

Source: Statistics Korea (industrial activity trends)

(%)

90

80

70

60

50 2004.1

2005.1

2006.1

2007.1

2008.1

2009.1

2010.1

2011.1

2012.1

2013.1

2014.1

2015.1

Mining and manufacturing production is expected to improve in August as consumption has been recovering from the aftermath of the MERS outbreak and the release of new cars and mobile phones has positively affected the index. However, the summer vacation may offset the positive factors.

7. Service sector activity Service output in July rose 1.7 percent month-on-month, as most sectors recovered from the aftermath of the MERS outbreak. Compared to the same period of the previous year, service output rose 2.2 percent.

Wholesale & retail (up 1.6%, m-o-m), hotels & restaurants (up 6.9%, m-o-m) and entertainment, cultural & sports services (up 7.1%, m-o-m), which had declined in the previous month due to the MERS outbreak, rebounded in July.

20

The Green Book : Current Economic Trends

Financial & insurance services (up 2.0%, m-o-m) continued to rise, while real estate & renting (down 0.6%, m-o-m) declined for the first time in five months.

Service sector activity 15

Source: Statistics Korea (industrial activity trends)

(%)

10

5

0

-5

-10 2004.1

2005.1

2006.1

2007.1

2008.1

2009.1

2010.1

2011.1

2012.1

2013.1

Service sector activity (m-o-m)

2014.1

2015.1

Service sector activity (y-o-y)

(Percentage change from previous period)

2013 Weight Annual Q4 Service activity index - Wholesale & retail

Annual

2014 Q1 Q2

Q3

Q4

Q1

0.7

2015 Q21 Jun1 Jul1

100.0

1.5

0.8

2.2

0.1

0.9

1.0

0.5 -0.1 -1.5

1.7

21.6

0.1

0.8

-0.2 -0.4 -0.5

0.1

0.1

0.5 -0.1 -2.8

1.6

0.6

2.6

0.1 -3.2 -6.1

2.2

2.6 -1.2 -0.5 -3.3 -10.2

6.9

- Transportation services

8.5

1.0 -0.3

1.7

0.8

- Hotels & restaurants

7.2

0.5

0.9

1.2

0.2 -1.5

- Publishing & communications services

8.4

2.2

3.0

1.8 -1.2

0.9 -0.2

0.1 -2.7 -0.6 -0.1

3.9

14.7

0.5

0.5

5.2

2.5

1.2

2.1

2.9

2.7

2.1

2.0

2.0

- Real estate & renting

5.3

2.5

2.7

6.2

0.2

4.4

0.0

3.6 -2.1

7.1

1.2

-0.6

- Professional, scientific & technical services

5.6

3.3

0.4

2.3

0.1

2.6 -1.1

2.0 -2.9 -0.6

9.8

-3.3

- Business services

3.3

2.1

0.4

2.4

1.5 -0.6

0.3

1.0

1.9

0.5 -2.7

0.8

- Education services

10.9

0.8

0.3

1.3

1.6 -1.9

1.1

0.0

0.8 -0.8

0.2

0.0

- Healthcare & social welfare services

7.5

5.2

1.7

6.3

1.4

1.4

2.7

2.1 -0.9 -1.7

0.6

- Entertainment, cultural & sports services

2.9

-0.7 -0.4

-1.1

0.0 -4.7

6.1 -2.1

2.6 -4.2 -12.6

7.1

- Membership organizations & personal services

3.6

6.1 -1.0

-0.6

1.1 -1.0

0.5 -3.8

1.8

2.0 -3.0

3.4

- Sewerage & waste management

0.6

-0.4

1.0

0.2 -1.4

1.6

1.8

3.2

3.1

- Financial & insurance services

1. Preliminary Source: Statistics Korea

1.2

0.7

1.0

1.1

1.9

21

ECONOMIC BULLETIN • september 2015

July 2015 service output by business 14

(y-o-y, %)

12

Source: Statistics Korea (industrial activity trends)

8 6 4 0

Total index

-2 -4 -8

Membership organizations & personal services

Education services

Health & social welfare services

Business services

Financial & insurance services

Transportation services

-6

Professional, scientific & technical services

Publishing & communications services

Wholesale & retail

2

Sewerage & waste management

Real estate & renting

10

Entertainment, cultural & sports services

Hotels & restaurants

-10 -12

The service output outlook for August is mixed as there have been both positive and negative factors, such as the temporary national holiday on August 14 and the Korea Grand Sale, a shopping festival, as positive factors, and a drop in stock transactions as negative factors.

Average daily stock transactions (trillion won) 7.2 (Jan 2015) → 7.5 (Feb) → 8.1 (Mar) → 10.9 (Apr) → 9.8 (May) → 10.1 (Jun) → 11.2 (Jul) → 8.9 (Aug)

8. Employment The number of workers on payroll in July increased by 326,000 from a year earlier to 26,310,000 and the employment rate rose 0.3 percentage points to 66.3 percent.

By industry, services and manufacturing continued to lead employment growth.

By employment status, permanent workers continued to lead employment growth, while temporary workers and self-employed workers decreased.

Number of persons employed and employment growth 1,000

Source: Statistics Korea (employment trends)

(thousands)

(millions)

800

27 26

600 25 400 24 200 23

0

22

-200 -400 2004.1

21 2005.1

2006.1

Employment growth (y-o-y, left)

2007.1

2008.1

2009.1

2010.1

2011.1

2012.1

2013.1

2014.1

2015.1

Number of employed (seasonally adjusted, right)

22

The Green Book : Current Economic Trends

2011 2012 2013 Annual Annual Annual Q4 Annual Q1 Number of employed (millions)

2014 Q2 Q3

Q4

Jul

Q1

2015 Q2 Jun

Jul

24.24 24.68 25.07 25.35 25.60 24.91 25.79 25.93 25.77 25.98 25.27 26.10 26.21 26.31

Employment rate (%)

59.1 59.4 59.5 60.0 60.2 58.8 60.8 60.9 60.4 61.1 59.0 60.7 60.9 61.1

(Seasonally adjusted)

59.1 59.4 59.5 59.9 60.2 60.4 59.9 60.3 60.3 60.1 60.5 59.9 59.9 60.1

Employment growth (y-o-y, thousands)

415

437

386

541

533

729

464

517

422

505

354

308

329

326

(Excluding agriculture, forestry & fisheries)

440

451

394

556

601

717

518

638

531

616

441

435

452

418

- Manufacturing

63

14

79

49

146

123

136

194

129

191

139

147

133

170

- Construction

-2

22

-19

-9

42

27

12

57

72

57

72

44

29

25

- Services

386

416

318

507

424

570

387

403

336

388

222

235

- Agriculture, forestry & fisheries

-25

-14

-8

-15

-68

12

- Wage workers

427

315

483

604

548

路 Permanent workers

575

436

615

637

路 Temporary workers

-78

-2

-96

路 Daily workers

-70 -120 -11

282

212

-54 -121 -109 -111

-87 -127 -123

-91

711

485

519

476

532

442

422

457

478

443

606

478

333

355

351

355

332

346

462

2

140

74

118

226

141

235

82

3

65

-31

-37

-35

-35

31 -111

-40

-20

-54

4

87

47

47

121

-97

-63

-15

19

-22

-3

-54

-27

-88 -114 -128 -151

1

124

-67

-54

1

-7

-14

19

7

-17

-49

-37

-57

-76

- Male

238

234

186

262

266

373

228

268

196

287

141

145

131

118

- Female

177

203

200

279

267

357

236

249

226

218

213

163

199

208

- 15 to 29

-35

-36

-50

46

77

97

53

102

56

107

32

90

71

22

- 30 to 39

-47

-31

-21

-42

-21

-6

-42

-7

-29

16

-1

-56

-55

-53

- 40 to 49

57

11

22

53

38

99

34

15

4

0

-47

-15

-12

4

- 50 to 59

291

270

254

285

239

323

227

215

190

203

177

138

155

180

- 60 or more

149

222

181

200

200

218

192

192

201

179

192

150

170

173

- Nonwage workers 路 Self-employed workers

Source: Statistics Korea

Employment rate Source: Statistics Korea (employment trends) 64

(%)

63 62 61 60 59 58 57 56 55

2004.1

2005.1

Original data

2006.1

2007.1

2008.1

2009.1

2010.1

2011.1

2012.1

2013.1

2014.1

2015.1

Seasonally adjusted rate

23

ECONOMIC BULLETIN • september 2015

Employment by industry

Source: Statistics Korea (employment trends)

(%)

100

80 70.9 71.1 70.2 69.4 69.2 69.1 69.4 69.6 69.4 69.1 69.7 70.8 71.1 71.2 70.6 69.7 69.4 69.3 69.6 69.7 69.6 69.5 69.8 70.8 71.5 71.4 70.8 70.2 70.0 69.9 69.9 60

40 6.9 6.7 6.9 7.1 7.1 7.1 7.0 6.9 7.0 7.1 7.0 7.0 6.8 6.7 6.8 6.9 7.1 7.1 7.1 7.0 7.1 7.1 7.2 7.2 7.0 6.9 7.0 7.1 7.1 7.1 7.1 20 17.4 17.3 16.9 16.7 16.4 16.4 16.4 16.3 16.4 16.5 16.7 17.1 17.3 17.2 17.0 16.7 16.8 16.8 16.8 16.7 16.8 16.8 16.8 17.4 17.6 17.6 17.3 17.2 17.0 17.1 17.2 0 4.3 4.6 5.6 6.3 6.7 6.9 6.7 6.8 6.8 6.9 6.2 4.7 4.4 4.5 5.3 6.1 6.4 6.5 6.2 6.2 6.2 6.2 5.8 4.2 3.9 4.1 4.9 5.5 5.9 5.9 5.8 2013.1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 2014.1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 2015.1 2 3 4 5 6 7

Services

Construction

Manufacturing

Agriculture, forestry & fisheries

Employment by status of workers Source: Statistics Korea (employment trends)

(%) 100 4.2 4.2 4.7 5.0 5.0 5.2 5.1 5.2 5.2 5.3 5.1 4.3 4.2 4.3 4.6 4.8 5.0 5.0 5.0 5.0 4.9 4.9 4.7 4.1 4.0 4.1 4.3 4.5 4.6 4.7 4.7

80

22.7 22.8 23.0 22.8 22.6 22.5 22.6 22.7 22.5 22.4 22.2 21.9 22.1 22.0 22.3 22.2 22.1 22.1 22.1 22.4 22.2 22.1 21.9 21.5 21.5 21.5 21.9 21.8 21.8 21.6 21.5 6.2 6.0 6.0 6.5 6.7 6.7 6.3 6.1 6.3 6.5 6.4 6.4 6.3 6.0 5.7 6.0 6.1 6.1 6.0 5.8 6.1 6.2 6.4 6.2 6.0 6.0

60

5.7 6.2 6.5 6.2 6.1

19.9 19.7 19.5 19.5 19.5 19.5 19.6 19.2 19.4 19.4 19.5 19.5 19.2 19.4 19.6 19.7 19.7 19.5 20.1 19.7 19.8 19.7 19.7 19.7 19.5 19.4 19.5 19.4 19.3 19.5 19.7

40

20

46.9 47.3 47.0 46.3 46.2 46.1 46.4 46.8 46.7 46.5 46.9 47.8 48.3 48.2 47.8 47.3 47.1 47.2 46.8 47.0 47.1 47.2 47.3 48.5 49.0 49.0 48.5 48.1 47.8 47.9 48.0

0 2013.1 2

3

4

5

6

Unpaid family workers

8

9

10

11 12 2014.1 2

Self-employed workers

Unemployment rate 6

7

3

4

5

6

7

8

Daily workers

9

10

11 12 2015.1 2

Temporary workers

3

4

5

6

7

Permanent workers

Source: Statistics Korea (employment trends)

(%)

5

4

3

2 2004.1

2005.1

Original data

2006.1

2007.1

2008.1

2009.1

2010.1

2011.1

2012.1

2013.1

2014.1

2015.1

Seasonally adjusted rate

24

The Green Book : Current Economic Trends

The number of unemployed persons in July increased by 87,000 year-on-year to 998,000, and the unemployment rate rose 0.3 percentage points to 3.7 percent. The unemployment rate declined among those in their 30s, but rose in all other age groups.

2011 2012 2013 Annual Annual Annual Q4 Annual Q1

2014 Q2 Q3

Q1

Q2

2015 Jun

Q4

Jul

912 1,089 1,042

Jul

Number of unemployed (thousands)

855

820

807

733

Unemployment growth (y-o-y, thousands)

-65

-35

-13

- Male

-48

-26

-6

- Female

-17

-9

-7

18

80

84 103

70

63

87

32

23

24

16

Unemployment rate (%)

3.4

3.2

3.1

2.8

3.5

4.0

3.3

3.2

3.4

4.1

3.8

3.9

3.7

937 1,031 977

884

854

11

137

107

121

84

58

-7

49

37

59

-3

25

125 165 40

62 3.7

1,050

998

65

101

87

42

77

71

(Seasonally adjusted)

3.4

3.2

3.1

3.0

3.5

3.5

3.7

3.5

3.5

3.4

3.7

3.8

3.9

3.7

-15 to 29

7.6

7.5

8.0

7.9

9.0

9.8

9.4

8.6

8.3

8.9

10.3

9.9

10.2

9.4

- 30 to 39

3.4

3.0

3.0

2.6

3.1

3.2

3.4

3.0

2.8

3.2

3.1

3.3

3.3

2.9

- 40 to 49

2.1

2.0

2.0

1.7

2.2

2.3

2.4

2.1

2.1

2.2

2.4

2.5

2.3

2.4

- 50 to 59 - 60 or more

2.1

2.1

1.9

1.5

2.2

2.2

2.3

2.1

2.2

2.1

2.6

2.6

2.7

2.5

2.6

2.4

1.8

1.4

2.3

4.4

1.9

1.5

1.6

1.6

4.1

2.2

2.1

2.3

Source: Statistics Korea

The economically inactive population in July was up 114,000 from a year earlier to 15,750,000, while the labor force participation rate rose 0.2 percentage points to 63.4 percent.

The number of those economically inactive due to education (down 137,000, y-o-y) and housework (down 76,000, y-o-y) decreased, while those due to rest (up 92,000, y-o-y) and childcare (up 22,000, y-o-y) increased.

Labor force participation rate 65

Source: Statistics Korea (employment trends)

(%)

64 63 62 61 60 59 58 57 2004.1

2005.1

Original data

2006.1

2007.1

2008.1

2009.1

2010.1

2011.1

2012.1

2013.1

2014.1

2015.1

Seasonally adjusted rate

25

ECONOMIC BULLETIN • september 2015

2011 2012 2013 Annual Annual Annual Q4 Annual Q1 Economically inactive population (millions)

2014 Q2 Q3

Q4

Jul

Q1

2015 Q2 Jun

Jul

15.95 16.08 16.22 16.17 15.98 16.40 15.69 15.76 16.07 15.64 16.47 15.84 15.77 15.75

Labor force participation rate (%) 61.1 61.3 61.5 61.7 62.4 61.3 63.1 63.0 62.4 63.2 61.5 63.2 63.3 63.4 (Seasonally adjusted)

61.1 61.3 61.5 61.8 62.4 62.6 62.2 62.5 62.4 62.3 62.8 62.3 62.3 62.5

Growth in economically inactive population (y-o-y, thousands)

112

- Childcare - Housework

128

-5

-2

101

123

141 1

-91 -246 -433 -226 -222 -101 -206 -14

-39

-29

72

150

104

114

-57

-41

-31

-56

41

50

37

22

-3 -112 -131 -230 -127

-99

-67

-47

-91

-41

-72

-76

- Education

-51

-12

77

-44

-81

-76

-68 -109

-72 -111 -141 -213 -212 -137

- Old age - Rest

-45

148

54

21

93

81

113

91

89

94

68

95

96

100

182

-53

-7

21

-92 -197

-90

-65

-15

-71

154

151

102

92

Source: Statistics Korea

9. Financial markets 9.1 Stock market The KOSPI fell 4.4 percent in August, from 2,030 points to 1,941 points. The KOSPI declined sharply due to the Chinese stock market crash and North Korean threats, but rebounded later in the month on bargain hunting and alleviated inter-Korean tensions.

The KOSDAQ fell 5.2 percent from 725 points to 687 points due to increased volatility in Chinese stock markets and threats from North Korea.

Stock prices 2,200

(monthly average)

2,000 1,800 1,600 1,400 1,200 1,000 800 600 400 200 2004.1

KOSPI

2005.1

2006.1

2007.1

2008.1

2009.1

2010.1

2011.1

2012.1

2013.1

2014.1

2015.1

KOSDAQ

26

The Green Book : Current Economic Trends

(Closing rate)

Jul 2015

KOSPI Aug 2015

Change1

Stock price index (points)

2,030.2

1,941.5

Market capitalization (trillion won)

1,268.9

Average daily trade value (trillion won) Foreign stock ownership (%, %p)

Jul 2015

KOSDAQ Aug 2015

Change1

-88.7 (-4.4%)

725.1

687.1

-38.0 (-5.2%)

1,212.7

-56.2 (-4.4%)

199.1

191.1

-8.0 (-4.0%)

6.8

5.8

-1.0 (-14.7%)

4.4

3.2

-1.2 (-27.3%)

32.3

31.7

-0.6 (-1.9%)

10.5

10.6

0.1 (1.0%)

1. Change from the end of the previous month Source: Korea Exchange

9.2 Exchange rate The dollar-won exchange rate in August rose 12.5 won to 1,182.5 won from 1,170.0 won at the end of July.

The exchange rate surged earlier in the month as demand for safe-haven assets increased due to the devaluation of the yuan, stock market volatility and North Korea-related risks, but fell back later in the month as the Chinese stock market and inter-Korean tensions calmed down somewhat.

The 100 yen-won exchange rate rose 33 won from 943.2 won in July to 976.2 won in August, as the value of the yen rose due to increased demand for safe-haven assets.

(Closing rate)

2009 Dec

2010 Dec

2011 Dec

2012 Dec

2013 Dec

2014 Dec

Jul

2015 Aug

Change1

Dollar-Won

1,164.5

1,134.8

1,151.8

1,070.6

1,055.4

1,099.3

1,170.0

1,182.5

-1.1

100 Yen-Won

1,264.5

1,393.6

1,481.2

1,238.3

1,002.3

913.0

943.2

976.2

-3.4

2014.1

2015.1

1. Appreciation from the end of the previous year (%); the exchange rate is based on the closing price at 3:00 p.m., local time.

Foreign exchange rates 1,800

(month-end, \)

1,600

1,400

1,200

1,000

800

600 2004.1

2005.1

Dollar-Won

2006.1

2007.1

2008.1

2009.1

2010.1

2011.1

2012.1

2013.1

100 Yen-Won

27

ECONOMIC BULLETIN • september 2015

9.3 Bond market 3-year Treasury bond yields fell from 1.77 percent in July to 1.74 percent in August. Treasury bond yields fell as demand for safe-haven assets increased due to concerns over China’s economic slowdown.

Interest rates 10

Source: The Bank of Korea

(monthly average, yearly, %)

9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 2004.1

2005.1

2006.1

2007.1

2008.1

2009.1

Overnight call rate (daily)

2010.1

2011.1

2012.1

2013.1

2014.1

3-yr Treasury bond yield

2015.1

3-yr corporate bond yield

(Closing rate, %)

Call rate (1 day) CD (91 days) Treasury bonds (3 yrs) Corporate bonds (3 yrs) Treasury bonds (5 yrs)

2009 Dec 2.01 2.88 4.44 5.56 4.98

2010 Dec 2.51 2.80 3.38 4.27 4.08

2011 Dec 3.29 3.55 3.34 4.21 3.46

2012 Dec 2.77 2.89 2.82 3.29 2.97

2013 Dec 2.52 2.66 2.86 3.29 3.23

2014 Dec 2.03 2.13 2.10 2.43 2.28

2015 Jun 1.50 1.65 1.79 2.01 2.07

Jul 1.50 1.64 1.77 2.01 2.03

Aug 1.52 1.63 1.74 1.99 1.93

Change1 2 -1 -3 -2 -10

1. Basis point, changes from the previous month

9.4 Money supply & money market M2 (monthly average) in June rose 9.0 percent from a year earlier. Private sector credit rose, led by banks, and money supply from the government sector also increased.

(Percentage change from same period in previous year, average)

M1² M2 Lf ³

2009 Annual 16.3 10.3 7.9

2010 Annual 11.8 8.7 8.2

2011 Annual 6.6 4.2 5.3

2012 Annual 3.8 5.2 7.8

2013 Annual 9.5 4.8 6.9

1. Balance at end June 2015, trillion won 2. M1 excluding corporate MMFs and individual MMFs while including CMAs 3. Liquidity aggregates of financial institutions (mostly identical with M3)

2014 Annual 10.9 6.6 7.0

2015 Apr 17.7 9.0 10.0

May 18.9 9.3 10.3

Jun 18.5 9.0 10.5

Jun1 630.5 2,180.0 2,986.3

28

The Green Book : Current Economic Trends

Total money supply Source: The Bank of Korea 40 (y-o-y, monthly average balance, %) 30

20

10

0

-10 -20 2004.1

2005.1

2006.1

2007.1

2008.1

Reserve money

2009.1

2010.1

2011.1

2012.1

2013.1

2014.1

M1

2015.1

Lf

Bank deposit growth decelerated in July, amid plummeting instant access deposits (18.1 trillion won → -6.1 trillion won) due to large cash withdrawals by corporations for VAT payments.

Asset management company (AMC) deposits rose, as short-term funds flowed into money market funds (MMF) (-3.6 trillion won → 9.9 trillion won) and equity funds (0.7 trillion won → 1.3 trillion won).

Deposits in financial institutions 60

Source: The Bank of Korea

(y-o-y, end of month balance, trillion won)

50 40 30 20 10 0 -10 -20 -30 2004.1

2005.1

2006.1

2007.1

2008.1

2009.1

2010.1

2011.1

2012.1

2013.1

2014.1

2015.1

(Change from previous period, end-period, trillion won)

Bank deposits AMC deposits 1. Balance at end July 2015

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Annual Annual Annual Annual Annual Annual Dec 54.8 36.9 58.9 37.0 41.0 115.4 52.0 -27.6 -16.7 -16.6 18.8 17.7 47.0 -8.7

2015 May 15.6 -2.2

Jun 19.9 6.3

Jul 0.6 13.9

Jul1 1,324.3 429.8

29

ECONOMIC BULLETIN • september 2015

10. Balance of payments Korea’s current account (preliminary) in July posted a surplus of US $10.11 billion, staying in the black for 41 consecutive months.

The goods account surplus declined in July from US $13.14 billion in the previous month amid weak exports.

Goods exports (US $ billion) 49.23 (Jun 2015) → 48.20 (Jul 2015) Goods imports (US $ billion) 36.08 (Jun 2015) → 37.35 (Jul 2015) Export growth by item (y-o-y, %) -3.4 (total), -28.5 (oil), -18.8 (petrochemicals), -17.4 (mobile phones), -6.7 (automobiles), 6.4 (steel), 6.2 (semiconductors) Import growth by category (y-o-y, %) -15.3 (total), -26.3 (commodities), 2.0 (capital goods), -2.6 (consumer goods)

Current account balance 15

Source: The Bank of Korea (balance of payments trends)

(US $ billion)

10

5

0

-5 2004.1

2005.1

2006.1

2007.1

2008.1

Goods account

2009.1

2010.1

Services account

2011.1

2012.1

2013.1

2014.1

2015.1

Current account

The services account deficit declined from US $2.50 billion to US $1.92 billion, as the other businesses account improved, offsetting a rise in the travel account deficit.

Services account (US $ billion, Jun → Jul) -0.50 → -0.51 (manufacturing), -0.23 → -0.18 (transportation), -1.04 → -1.45 (travel), 0.75 → 0.92 (construction), -0.16 → 0.02 (intellectual property rights), -1.28 → -0.60 (other businesses)

The primary income account surplus fell from US $1.68 billion to US $1.28 billion due to a decline in dividend income. The secondary income account deficit fell from US $0.22 billion to US $0.10 billion.

30

The Green Book : Current Economic Trends

(US $ billion)

2013 Annual Annual

2014

2015

Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4

Jul

Q1

Q2

Jun

Jul1

Current account

81.15

89.22

15.19

24.24

22.57

27.23

7.88

23.45

28.86

12.11

10.11

- Goods balance

82.78

92.69

17.75

26.43

21.68

26.84

6.79

25.26

34.86

13.14

10.86

- Services balance

-6.50

-8.16

-3.50

-1.84

-0.90

-1.92

0.03

-5.41

-4.02

-2.50

-1.92

- Primary income balance

9.06

10.20

1.91

1.33

3.14

3.82

1.49

4.83

-0.86

1.68

1.28

- Secondary income balance

-4.19

-5.50

-0.96

-1.68

-1.35

-1.51

-0.43

-1.22

-1.11

-0.22

-0.10

1. Preliminary Source: The Bank of Korea

The capital and financial account (preliminary) in July posted a net outflow of US $10.67 billion.

Capital & financial account balance (US $ billion) -9.80 (Dec 2014) → -8.25 (Jan 2015) → -5.54 (Feb) → -11.03 (Mar) → -10.07 (Apr) → -8.81 (May) → -10.51 (Jun) → -10.67 (Jul)

FDI net outflows declined sharply from US $4.99 billion to US $0.12 billion.

Net outflows of portfolio investment rose from US $6.50 billion to US $7.15 billion. Korean investment in overseas shares declined from US $6.42 billion to US $2.21 billion, and net outflows of foreign investment in Korean shares rose from US $0.08 billion to US $4.94 billion.

Net outflows of financial derivatives investment rose from US $0.24 billion to US $0.96 billion, while other investment turned negative from a net inflow of US $2.24 billion to a net outflow of US $3.38 billion as financial institutions increased foreign loan repayments and overseas deposits.

The current account surplus is expected to fall month-on-month, considering the small trade surplus (US $4.35 billion).

Capital & financial account balance 15

Source: The Bank of Korea (balance of payments trends)

(US $ billion)

10

5

0

-5

-10

-15 2004.1

2005.1

Direct investment

2006.1

2007.1

2008.1

2009.1

Portfolio investment

2010.1

2011.1

2012.1

Financial derivatives

2013.1

2014.1

2015.1

Capital & financial account

31

ECONOMIC BULLETIN • september 2015

11. Prices 11.1 Consumer prices Consumer prices rose 0.7 percent year-on-year in August.

Consumer price inflation 7

Source: Statistics Korea (consumer price trends)

(%)

6 5 4 3 2 1 0 -1 2004.1

2005.1

2006.1

2007.1

2008.1

2009.1

2010.1

2011.1

2012.1

2013.1

Consumer price inflation (m-o-m)

2014.1

2015.1

Consumer price inflation (y-o-y)

Consumer price inflation

(%)

2015 Jan

Feb

Mar

Apr

May

Jun

Jul

Aug

Month-on-Month

0.5

0.0

0.0

0.1

0.3

0.0

0.2

0.2

Year-on-Year

0.8

0.5

0.4

0.4

0.5

0.7

0.7

0.7

Source: Statistics Korea

Declines in oil product prices (down 18.2%) pushed down consumer price inflation in August by 0.93 percentage points. Agricultural, livestock and fishery product prices stabilized as the drought ended.

Agricultural, livestock & fishery price increases (y-o-y, %) 4.1 (Jun 2015) → 3.7 (Jul) → 3.4 (Aug)

Consumer price inflation in major sectors Total

Agricultural, livestock & fishery products

Manufactured Public Housing Public Personal products Oil products utilities rents services services

Year-on-Year (%)

0.7

3.4

-0.1

-18.2

-11.3

2.7

1.9

1.7

Contribution (%p)

-

0.25

-0.04

-0.93

-0.58

0.26

0.27

0.55

32

The Green Book : Current Economic Trends

Core inflation stayed in the 2 percent range. Consumer prices excluding oil and agricultural products rose 2.1 percent year-on-year, and consumer prices excluding food and energy rose 2.5 percent.

Prices

Source: Statistics Korea (consumer price trends)

16 (y‐o‐y, %) 13 10 7 4 1 -2 -5 2004.1

2005.1

2006.1

2007.1

2008.1

2009.1

Consumer price inflation

2010.1

2011.1

2012.1

2013.1

2014.1

Core inflation

2015.1

Producer price inflation

(y-o-y, %)

Jan

Feb

Mar

2015 Apr May

Consumer prices excluding oil and agricultural products

2.4

2.3

2.1

2.0

2.1

2.0

2.0

2.1

Consumer prices excluding food and energy

2.3

2.3

2.3

2.3

2.2

2.2

2.5

2.5

Jun

Jul

Aug

Source: Statistics Korea

The expected annual inflation stayed in the mid-2 percent range.

Expected inflation (%, Bank of Korea) 2.6 (Jan 2015) → 2.6 (Feb) → 2.5 (Mar) → 2.5 (Apr) → 2.5 (May) → 2.5 (Jun) → 2.6 (Jul) → 2.5 (Aug)

11.2 International oil and commodity prices International oil prices fell in August due to oversupply concerns and China’s economic slowdown.

Dubai crude prices declined due to China's economic slowdown concerns, high OPEC production levels and expectations that Iran’s oil output will increase following the closing of the nuclear deal.

According to Bloomberg, OPEC’s daily oil output in August was 323.2 million barrels, exceeding its output target of 300 million barrels per day for the 15 th consecutive month. Meanwhile, the Energy

33

ECONOMIC BULLETIN • september 2015

Information Administration (EIA) predicted that Iran will increase crude oil production by 600,000 barrels per day by the end of 2016 once economic sanctions against Iran are lifted.

Dubai crude ($/barrel) 50.3 (1st week Aug) → 49.8 (2nd week) → 47.6 (3rd week) → 44.1 (4th week)

International oil prices 160

Source: Korea National Oil Corporation

($/B)

140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 2004.1

2005.1

2006.1

2007.1

2008.1

2009.1

2010.1

2011.1

2012.1

2013.1

2014.1

2015.1

Dubai crude

WTI

(US $/barrel, period average)

2013 Annual Annual

Q1

2014 Q2

Q3

Q4

Q1

Apr

May

Jun

Jul

Aug

Dubai crude

105.2

96.6

104.4

106.1

101.6

74.6

51.9

57.7

63.0

60.8

55.6

47.8

Brent crude

108.7

99.1

108.1

109.7

102.7

76.7

55.1

61.1

65.6

63.8

56.7

48.2

WTI crude

98.0

93.1

98.7

103.0

97.2

73.4

48.6

54.6

59.4

59.8

51.0

42.9

Source: Korea PDS

Domestic gasoline prices continued to fall, despite the weakening won, as falling international gasoline prices were reflected with a time lag.

Domestic gasoline prices (won/liter) 1,559.7 (1st week Aug) → 1,552.5 (2nd week) → 1,543.8 (3rd week) → 1,532.0 (4th week) International gasoline prices ($/barrel) 72.2 (4th week Jul) → 70.1 (5th week) → 66.8 (1st week Aug) → 65.3 (2nd week) Dollar-won exchange rate (won) 1,154.3 (4th week Jul) → 1,164.8 (5th week) → 1,169 (1st week Aug) → 1,173 (2nd week)

34

The Green Book : Current Economic Trends

(Won/liter, period average)

2013 Annual Annual

2014 Q2

Q1

Q3

Q4

Q1

2015 May Jun

Apr

Jul

Aug

Gasoline prices

1,924.5 1,827.6 1,882.7 1,868.9 1,837.8 1,721.1 1,485.4 1,507.4 1,542.2 1,580.0 1,576.0 1,544.5

Diesel prices

1,729.6 1,637.0 1,699.9 1,680.0 1,641.4 1,526.7 1,312.6 1,320.2 1,343.5 1,368.8 1,354.7 1,307.8

Source: Korea National Oil Corporation

Dubai crude prices and import prices Source: Korea National Oil Corporation 160

160 (thousand won/B) 140

140

120

120

100

100

80

80

60

60

40

40 20

20 2004.1

2005.1

2006.1

2007.1

2008.1

2009.1

2010.1

2011.1

2012.1

Dubai crude (import prices, won, left)

2013.1

2014.1

2015.1

Dubai international prices (dollar, right)

International grain prices fell in August, due to favorable weather conditions and an upward revision of the inventory outlook. On August 12, the US Department of Agriculture raised its 2015-16 forecast for global grain inventories by 1.4 percent.

International grain price increases in August (m-o-m, %) corn (-9.5), wheat (-8.8), soybeans (-6.6), raw sugar (-10.1)

Nonferrous metal prices fell due to concerns over China’s economic slowdown.

Nonferrous metal price increases in August (m-o-m, %) copper (-6.7), aluminum (-5.7), zinc (-9.6), nickel (-9.2) (Period average)

2013 Annual Annual

Q1

2014 Q2

Q3

Q4

Q1

Apr

2,600

2,608

2,491

2,397

2,368

2,389

2015 May Jun

Jul

Aug

2,380

2,254

1

Reuters Index (sep 18,1931=100)

2,774

2,523

1. A weighted average index of 17 major commodities Source: KOREA PDS

2,374

2,415

35

ECONOMIC BULLETIN • september 2015

International commodity prices

Sources: Bloomberg (CRB), The Bank of Korea (Reuters Index) * CRB demonstrates a futures price index of 21 commodities listed on the US Commodity Transaction Market, including beans and other crops, crude oil and jewelry.

4000

470 430

3000

390 350

2000

310 270

1000

230 190 150

0

2004.1

2005.1

2006.1

2007.1

2008.1

2009.1

2010.1

2011.1

2012.1

2013.1

CRB (left)

2014.1

2015.1

Reuters index (right)

12. Real estate market 12.1 Housing market Apartment prices rose 0.3 percent month-on-month nationwide in August.

Apartment price growth decelerated slightly in the Seoul metropolitan area (up 0.3%), which includes Seoul (up 0.4%) and Incheon (up 0.2%).

Apartment prices continued to rise at a consistent pace in areas excluding the Seoul metropolitan area (up 0.2%). Apartment prices in the five metropolitan cities and the eight provinces were up 0.3 percent and 0.1 percent, respectively.

Apartment price increase in five metropolitan cities (m-o-m, %) Busan (0.2), Daegu (0.8), Gwangju (0.3), Daejeon (0.0), Ulsan (0.2)

Apartment sales prices by region 3

Source: Korea Appraisal Board

(m-o-m, %)

2

1

0

-1 2009.1

Nationwide

7

2010.1

7

2011.1

7

2012.1

7

Seoul metropolitan area

2013.1

7

2014.1

7

2015.1

7

Areas excluding Seoul metropolitan area

36

The Green Book : Current Economic Trends

Nationwide apartment prices Nationwide Seoul metropolitan area Seoul Gangnam¹ Gangbuk² Areas excluding the Seoul metropolitan area

(Percentage change from previous period)

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Annual Annual Annual Annual Annual Aug Annual Mar 1.9 6.9 0.0 0.3 1.7 0.1 2.4 0.3 -1.7 0.5 -3.0 -1.1 1.5 0.1 2.9 0.4 -1.2 0.3 -2.9 -1.4 1.1 0.0 2.9 0.4 -1.0 0.3 -3.5 -1.1 1.2 0.1 3.4 0.4 -1.4 0.3 -2.3 -1.7 1.1 0.0 2.3 0.3 6.4

15.1

3.1

1.7

1.9

0.1

1.8

Apr 0.4 0.6 0.5 0.6 0.4

2015 May 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.6 0.3

Jun 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.4

Jul 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.3

Aug 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.4

0.3

0.2

0.3

0.2

0.2

0.2

1. Upscale area of Southern Seoul 2. Northern Seoul Source: Korea Appraisal Board

Apartment rental prices rose 0.3 percent month-on-month nationwide in August.

Rental prices rose 0.4 percent in the Seoul metropolitan area and 0.2 percent in regions excluding the Seoul metropolitan area.

Apartment rental price increase in major districts in Seoul (m-o-m, %) Gangnam (0.6), Seocho (0.6), Songpa (0.4), Gangdong (0.5), Seongdong (1.0), Nowon (0.9)

Nationwide apartment rental prices 2010 Annual 7.1 6.3 6.4 7.6 5.1

Nationwide Seoul metropolitan area Seoul Gangnam¹ Gangbuk² Areas excluding the Seoul metropolitan area

9.2

(Percentage change from previous period)

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Annual Annual Annual Annual Aug Annual Mar Apr May 12.3 3.5 4.7 3.4 0.2 3.3 0.5 0.6 0.4 11.0 2.1 6.2 4.7 0.2 3.9 0.7 0.9 0.7 10.8 2.1 6.6 3.6 0.1 4.5 0.6 0.8 0.6 11.1 2.4 6.7 3.3 0.1 5.3 0.7 1.0 0.7 10.6 1.8 6.4 3.8 0.2 3.7 0.5 0.6 0.5 14.5

4.6

3.3

2.2

0.1

1.9

0.3

0.3

0.2

Jun 0.5 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.5

Jul 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.5

Aug 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.5

0.3

0.2

0.2

1. Upscale area of Southern Seoul 2. Northern Seoul Source: Korea Appraisal Board

Apartment rental prices by region Source: Korea Appraisal Board 3

(m-o-m, %)

2

1

0

-1

-2 2009.1

Nationwide

7

2010.1

7

2001.1

7

2012.1

7

Seoul metropolitan area

2013.1

7

2014.1

7

2015.1

7

Areas excluding Seoul metropolitan area

37

ECONOMIC BULLETIN • september 2015

Apartment sales transactions rose 0.3 percent from 110,383 transactions in June to 110,675 transactions in July, and were up 43.2 percent from a year ago (77,286).

Apartment sales transactions

(Thousands)

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Annual1 Annual1 Annual1 Annual1 Annual1 Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul 67

Nationwide

82

61

71

84

77

76

87

109

91

91

79

79

112 120 110 110 111

1. Monthly average Source: Ministry of Land, Infrastructure and Transport

Monthly apartment transaction volume 160

Source: Ministry of Land, Infrastructure and Transport

(thousands)

140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 2009.1

7

2010.1

7

Nationwide

2011.1

7

2012.1

7

2013.1

Seoul metropolitan area

7

2014.1

7

2015.1

7

Areas excluding Seoul metropolitan area

12.2 Land market Land prices rose 0.22 percent month-on-month nationwide in July.

Land price growth accelerated in the Seoul metropolitan area (up 0.20%), which includes Seoul (up 0.24%) and Gyeonggi Province (up 0.17%).

Land price increase in Seoul metropolitan area (m-o-m, %) 0.14 (Dec 2014) → 0.14 (Jan 2015) → 0.15 (Feb) → 0.17 (Mar) → 0.19 (Apr) → 0.17 (May) → 0.19 (Jun) → 0.20 (Jul)

Land price growth decelerated in areas excluding the Seoul metropolitan area (up 0.24%), which include Busan (up 0.28%), Daejeon (up 0.26%) and Ulsan (up 0.23%).

Land price increase in areas excluding Seoul metropolitan area (m-o-m, %) 0.20 (Dec 2014) → 0.15 (Jan 2015) → 0.15 (Feb) → 0.22 (Mar) → 0.21 (Apr) → 0.20 (May) → 0.25 (Jun) → 0.24 (Jul)

38

The Green Book : Current Economic Trends

Land prices

(Percentage change from previous period)

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Annual Annual Annual Annual Annual Annual Q2 Q3 Q4 Annual Q1 Q2 May Jun Jul 0.96 1.05 1.17 0.96 1.14 1.96 0.48 0.49 0.53 1.29 0.48 0.59 0.18 0.21 0.22

Nationwide Seoul

1.40 0.53

0.97

0.38

1.21

2.66 0.59 0.69 0.67

1.51 0.57 0.69 0.23 0.23 0.24

Gyeonggi

1.22 1.49

1.47

1.04

0.91

1.24 0.37 0.27 0.33

0.93 0.35 0.41 0.11 0.15 0.17

Incheon

1.99 1.43

0.66

0.46

0.87

1.35 0.25 0.32 0.40

1.08 0.37 0.53 0.14 0.19 0.17

Source: Korea Appraisal Board

There were 290,000 land transactions in July, up 3.7 percent from the previous month and up 32.3 percent from a year ago (219,000).

Land transactions rose in Seoul (up 7.2%, m-o-m), Daejeon (up 23.4%, m-o-m), Daegu (up 18.7%, m-o-m) and Incheon (up 16.3%, m-o-m).

Vacant land transactions, which accounted for 35.7 percent of total land transactions, rose 1.7 percent monthon-month to 103,000 and 19.3 percent from a year ago (88,000).

Land transactions

(Land lots, thousands)

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Annual1 Annual1 Annual1 Annual1 Annual1 Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Nationwide 187 208 170 187 220 219 204 214 258 228 257 219 199 278 293 262 279 290 Seoul

16

18

13

17

22

21

21

23

29

25

23

20

21

33

36

34

33

36

Gyeonggi

41

43

33

37

46

45

42

46

57

50

53

45

43

62

66

60

65

62

Incheon

8

10

8

8

10

8

9

10

13

11

9

8

8

12

13

12

13

15

1. Monthly average Source: Korea Land & Housing Corporation

Land transaction volume 500,000

Source: Korea Appraisal Board

(thousand m²)

400,000

300,000

200,000

100,000

0 2004.1

2005.1

2006.1

Seoul metropolitan area

2007.1

2008.1

2009.1

2010.1

2011.1

2012.1

2013.1

2014.1

2015.1

Areas excluding Seoul metropolitan area

39

ECONOMIC BULLETIN • september 2015

13. Composite indices of business cycle indicators Industrial output in July rose 0.5 percent month-on-month and 0.2 percent year-on-year. Output rose in services (up 1.7%, m-o-m) and construction (up 0.8%, m-o-m), but fell in mining & manufacturing (down 0.5%, m-o-m) and public administration (down 4.0%, m-o-m).

Index of all industry production 20

Source: Statistics Korea (industrial activity trends)

(%)

15

10

5

0

-5

-10 -15 2004.1

2005.1

2006.1

2007.1

2008.1

2009.1

2010.1

2011.1

2012.1

2013.1

Index of all industry production (m-o-m)

2014.1

2015.1

Index of all industry production(y-o-y)

2014 Dec

Jan

Feb

Mar

2015 Apr

May

Jun1

Jul1

1.3 2.1

-1.9 0.6

2.2 0.6

-0.5 2.0

-0.5 0.7

-0.6 0.1

0.6 1.4

0.5 0.2

(m-o-m, %)

123.1 0.7

123.6 0.4

124.4 0.6

124.7 0.2

125.1 0.3

125.0 -0.1

125.2 0.2

125.8 0.5

Cyclical indicator of coincident composite index (m-o-m, p)

100.1 0.3

100.1 0.0

100.5 0.4

100.3 -0.2

100.3 0.0

99.8 -0.5

99.5 -0.3

99.7 0.2

Leading composite index (2010=100) (m-o-m, %)

125.9 0.7

127.8 1.5

129.0 0.9

130.5 1.2

131.1 0.5

132.1 0.8

132.3 0.2

133.0 0.5

Cyclical indicator of leading composite index (m-o-m, p)

101.5 0.4

102.5 1.0

103.1 0.6

103.8 0.7

103.7 -0.1

104.0 0.3

103.5 -0.5

103.5 0.0

Index of all industry production (m-o-m, %) (y-o-y, %) Coincident composite index (2010=100)

1. Preliminary

The cyclical indicator of the coincident composite index rose 0.2 points month-on-month to 99.7. Among the components of the coincident composite index, retail sales and domestic shipments declined, while mining & manufacturing production, service output, the value of construction completed and imports rose.

40

The Green Book : Current Economic Trends

Components of the coincident composite index in July (m-o-m) mining & manufacturing production (0.2%), service output (0.2%), value of construction completed (2.4%), imports (1.6%), nonfarm payroll employment (0.3%), retail sales (-0.7%), domestic shipments (-0.2%)

Cyclical indicator of coincident composite index 110

Source: Statistics Korea (industrial activity trends)

(points)

100

90 2004.1

2005.1

2006.1

2007.1

2008.1

2009.1

2010.1

2011.1

2012.1

2013.1

2014.1

2015.1

The cyclical indicator of the leading composite index remained unchanged at 103.5. Among the components of the leading composite index, domestic shipments of machinery, the ratio of export to import prices and spreads between long & short term interest rates rose, while six other components declined.

Components of the leading composite index in July (m-o-m) domestic shipments of machinery (0.8%), ratio of export to import prices (0.4%), spreads between long & short term interest rates (0.10%p), inventory circulation indicator (-0.6%p), consumer expectations index (-0.8p), value of construction orders received (-1.7%), international commodity prices (-0.3%), ratio of job openings to job seekers (-0.1%p), KOSPI (-0.8%)

Cyclical indicator of leading composite index

Source: Statistics Korea (industrial activity trends)

110 (points)

100

90 2004.1

2005.1

2006.1

2007.1

2008.1

2009.1

2010.1

2011.1

2012.1

2013.1

2014.1

2015.1

41

ECONOMIC BULLETIN • september 2015

2016 Budget Planned to Increase Youth Employment and Support Economic Innovation

Policy Issue

42

Policy Issue

2016 Budget Planned to Increase Youth Employment and Support Economic Innovation The 2016 budget proposal pursues economic stimulation and fiscal soundness at the same time as total budgets will be increased by 11.3 trillion won, or 3.0 percent compared with the 2015 budget. A total of 387 trillion won expenditures will be focused on increasing youth employment, promoting economic innovation, developing culture and service industries, and improving welfare. The 2015-2019 national fiscal management plan has been drawn up to promote economic stimulation and structural reform, while helping recover fiscal soundness in the mid- to long-term.

I. 2016 budget proposal 1. Key policies The 2016 budget proposal supports economic stimulation amid increasing uncertainties, such as China’s slowdown, by maintaining recovery momentum gathered through the 2015 supplementary budget, while emphasizing increased investment in youth employment and new growth engine development in order for the economy to achieve a big leap forward. The budget will support national

priorities including structural reform, and investment to improve social security and public safety will be increased.

Budgets will be more efficiently spent in 2016 by getting rid of wasteful spending on similar or overlapping projects and benefit fraud. Meanwhile, the government will strictly manage national debt increases.

2. The 2016 budget proposal The total government revenues are projected to increase 2.4 percent, while the total government expenditures will increase 3.0 percent. Fiscal soundness will temporarily worsen as fiscal deficits will increase 0.2 percentage points from 2.1 percent to GDP to 2.3 percent to GDP compared with 2015.

National debt is forecast to be 40.1 percent to GDP1.

The 2016 budget proposal lays the foundations for creating a virtuous cycle of expansionary fiscal spending, economic recovery and increased revenues, while continues to purse fiscal expenditure efficiency, such as by thoroughly reviewing fiscal projects.

1) National debt is projected to increase due to revenue shortages, the 2015 supplementary budget and increased issuance of public housing bonds, which are required to be purchased when buying a house, amid increased housing transactions.

43

ECONOMIC BULLETIN • september 2015

2016 budget proposal

(trillion won, %)

Change

2015 budget (A)

2016 budget proposal (B)

(B-A)

(%)

Total government revenues

382.4

391.5

9.1

2.4

Total government expenditures

375.4

386.7

11.3

3.0

Consolidated fiscal balance minus social security (% to GDP)

-33.4 (-2.1)

-37.0 (-2.3)

-3.6 (-0.2%p)

-

National debt (% to GDP)

595.1* (38.5)

645.2 (40.1)

50.1 (1.6%p)

-

* Including the 6.2 trillion won worth of housing bonds and local government bonds transferred from 2014, 2015 supplementary budget and increased issuance of housing bonds

Budgets by area

(trillion won)

Change

2015 budget (A)

2016 budget proposal (B)

(B-A)

%

Total expenditures

375.4

386.7

11.3

3.0

Social security

115.7

122.9

7.2

6.2

Job creation

14.0

15.8

1.8

12.8

Education

52.9

53.2

0.3

0.5

Education grants to local governments

39.4

41.3

1.9

4.7

Sports, tourism, culture

6.1

6.6

0.5

7.5

Environment

6.8

6.8

-

0.4

R&D

18.9

18.9

-

0.2

Industry, SME, energy

16.4

16.1

-0.3

-2.0

SOC

24.8

23.3

-1.5

-6.0

Agriculture, forestry, fishery, food

19.3

19.3

-

0.1

National defense

37.5

39.0

1.5

4.0

Diplomacy, reunification

4.5

4.7

0.2

3.9

Social order & safety

16.9

17.5

0.5

3.0

Safety

14.7

14.8

0.1

1.1

Local government

58.0

60.9

2.9

4.9

Tax sharing with local governments

34.9

36.2

1.3

3.7

44

Policy Issue

3. Budget proposal by initiative Increasing youth employment

Peak Wage System as the government will provide 10.80 million won annually per newly employed young adult, while internships in leading medium-sized enterprises will be increased from 15,000 to 30,000

1) Improve education and job training - Invest 41.8 billion won to introduce a corporate job training program which can lead to employment by the corporation or its affiliates - Increase the number of students who can be trained through the industry-customized training program from 35,000 to 77,000 - Increase the number of vocational schools from 9 to 40 and the number of corporations providing workstudy programs from 3,300 to 6,300

3) M ore efficiently manage Creative Economy Innovation Centers - Creative Economy Innovation Centers to provide employment services, including information regarding work and study programs - Merge similar programs and discontinue inefficient ones

Developing growth potential

2) Encourage business startup and job sharing

1) Increase investment in future growth engines

- A total of 34 universities to receive support for their leading startup programs, an increase from 28, and the programs will include all-round education necessary to establish a new business - A total of 10,000 young adults to find jobs through the

- P romote establishing ventures and startups by utilizing Creative Economy Innovation Centers, develop the Second Pangyo Creative Valleys and increase investment in the Tech Incubator Program for Startups from 36.5 billion won to 42.5 billion won

Deputy Prime Minister Choi Kyung Hwan (center) briefs the press on the 2016 budget proposal and 2015-2019 national fiscal management plan at the Sejong Government Complex on September 7.

45

ECONOMIC BULLETIN • september 2015

- Support to be focused on industrial convergence between ICT and manufacturing, IoT, drones (6 billion won newly allocated) and 5G mobile and wireless communications - I ncrease support for basic researches from 1.5 trillion won to 1.6 trillion won and promote convergence related researches, while reforming the R&D support system, such as making it possible to terminate support for long-term projects based on evaluation results 2) Promote SMEs developing technologies - Provide SMEs and leading medium-sized enterprises with 0.4 trillion won worth of R&D vouchers, and introduce the Fraunhofer-Gesellschaft management system to public research centers so that the research centers can focus more on private sector corporate research projects - H elp SMEs develop new markets by increasing support from 5 billion won to 15 billion won and newly provide 9.5 billion won to help enter the global halal market - Provide specialized support for SMEs which have been in operation for 2 to 5 years because companies usually face difficulties at around 2 to 5 years of business operation, such as in commercialization and distribution channels - I ncrease the size of the work environment improvement funds from 27 billion won to 60 billion won and renovate old factories in industrial complexes

Promoting culture industries and other service industries 1) Launch a culture and creation belt to support the creation of cultural contents - N ewly invest 500 million won in the Cultural Content Creation Center to support the development of ideas - O perate programs to support content creation ventures - B uild facilities for cultural events including performance by the end of 2017, such as K-Culture Valley, K-Experience and a giant arena - Open an educational institution in March 2016 in order to foster talents and develop technology in cultural industries 2) Support high value-added services - Promote the exportation of medical services while improving tourist services to help attract foreign patients, such as operating call centers exclusive for foreign patients and providing interpretation and transportation guide services - Invest 18.8 billion won in Han River tourist attraction development and 15 billion won in tourist attraction development for the 2018 Pyeongchang Winter Olympics - N ewly invest 2.5 billion won to promote the exportation of the Korean pop culture 3) Invest in the appreciation of art and culture

3) Enhance competiveness of small merchants and traditional markets - Invest 0.2 trillion won to enhance small merchants’ competitiveness - Newly invest 12.8 billion won to promote the setting up of young generation zones in traditional markets and provide support to help each market develop its specialty

- I ncrease support for performance tours from 18 billion won to 35 billion won and support for free-ofcharge cultural events from 9 billion won to 15 billion won - I ncrease artist support from 35 million won to 40 million won, and 500 artists to receive freeof-charge professional counseling, an increase from 270

46

Policy Issue

Strengthening social safety net 1) Strengthen customized support - (Low income households) Increase investment from 8.8 trillion won to 9.6 trillion won to support the customized benefit system2, while promote working3 - ( Disabled) Increase the number of the disabled eligible for daily living activity assistance from 58,000 to 61,000 - (Women) Increase the number of workplace daycare centers from 620 to 757, reform the daycare system and increase the number of daycare teachers - ( Elderly) Increase elderly employment from 337,000 to 387,000 and expand basic pension recipients from 4,640,000 to 4,800,000 - (Middle-aged) Increase the number of affordable rental homes 2) Increase public safety - Strengthen disease prevention and response, such as by securing antiviral medication for 30 percent of total population, improving disease control centers and operating disease control call centers at all times - Enhance disaster response capabilities, improve public security services and increase support for victims of crime from 300 million won to 800 million won 3) Strengthen national defense capabilities - Increase the national defense budget by 4.0 percent from 37.5 trillion won to 39.0 trillion won, a larger

increase compared with the total budget increase of 3.0 percent - Increase investment in the railroad recovery on the Kyeongwon Line from 3.2 billion won to 63 billion won, and work on improving relations with the North

4. Increase spending efficiency The government will save around 2 trillion won annually by improving spending efficiency.

- Merge more than 600 similar or overlapping projects by the end of 2016 - C ut budgets by more than 50 percent for low performing projects - E valuate the spending efficiency of support programs, and strengthen the connection between fiscal support and performance evaluation - R educe the number of subsidy programs by 10 percent from 1,818 to 1,523, and with regard to the number of projects excluding subsidy programs, it will not exceed the 2015 level - Introduce a ‘one-out, one-in’ approach when starting a new project

II. 2015-2019 national fiscal management plan 1. Key policies Fiscal resources will be managed to prop up the economic recovery, while the mid- to long-term fiscal management plans focus on the 4 major area reform4

2) Social security benefits designed to be applied separately according to different needs, such as basic living expenses support, healthcare benefits, housing benefits and education benefits 3) Hope Raising Accounts to be available for 5,000 households and Securing the Future Accounts to be available for 15,000 rehabilitating workers, both of which are designed to receive a certain level of government support for the amount deposited 4) Public sector, labor market, education and financial sector

47

ECONOMIC BULLETIN • september 2015

and the 3 Year Plan for Economic Innovation in order to enhance future growth potential.

- Total government expenditures will be managed to increase at an average of 2.6 percent every year in 2015-2019.

- The consolidated fiscal balance minus social security funds will gradually improve from 2017.

- National debt will be managed in the 40 percent range to GDP.

The government will introduce fiscal rules to increase mid- to long-term fiscal sustainability, and will gradually reduce fiscal deficits and keep the national debt at a stable level by tightly managing fiscal spending.

3. Managing Korea’s fiscal position

Fiscal reform will be accelerated in order to increase spending efficiency, and the government will root out subsidy fraud, streamline fiscal projects and improve local government fiscal spending efficiency. The government will also increase cooperation with the private sector.

1) Tightly manage total fiscal expenditures The government reduced total fiscal expenditures for 2015-2019 due to expected revenue decreases. The government will manage the annual rate of total fiscal expenditure increases below the level at which total revenues increase.

2. Mid-term fiscal outlook and fiscal management goals

The government will continue to work on improving the PAYGO budget spending rule5 in order to improve fiscal soundness, and will review the adoption of

- Total government revenues are projected to increase at an average of 4.0 percent every year in 2015-2019.

2015-2019 national fiscal management plan

(trillion won, %)

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

Total government revenues - National taxes

377.7 215.7

391.5 223.1

406.8 233.1

426.6 244.2

446.6 255.6

Total government expenditures (% growth)

384.7 (8.1)

386.7 (3.0)

396.7 (2.6)

406.2 (2.4)

416.0 (2.4)

Consolidated fiscal balance minus social security funds (% GDP)

-33.4 (-2.1)

-37.0 (-2.3)

-33.1 (-2.0)

-25.7 (-1.4)

-17.7 (-0.9)

Fiscal balance (% GDP)

7.0 (0.4)

4.8 (0.3)

10.1 (0.6)

20.4 (1.1)

30.6 (1.6)

National debt (% GDP)

595.1 (38.5)

645.2 (40.1)

692.9 (41.0)

731.7 (41.1)

761.0 (40.5)

5) The rule requires any fiscal spending to be paid for by revenue increases or tax break cuts.

48

Policy Issue

other fiscal rules, such as controlling the total fiscal expenditures below a certain level.

2) Increase fiscal spending efficiency Fiscal projects will be carefully planned and efficiently implemented, and their performance will be strictly evaluated. Tax sharing with local governments and education subsidies will be reformed based on demand.

The government will strengthen punishment for subsidy fraud and expand the publication of statistics on fiscal projects. A subsidy management system will be built by the first half of 2017 to transparently manage subsidies and prevent subsidy fraud.

3) Broaden the tax base Tax reductions and exemptions will be thoroughly reviewed and reformed.

The government will increase tax transparency by avoiding tax fraud and strictly treating tax evasion. The government will work on revising income tax to increase taxes on capital gains and reducing VAT exemptions to a level similar to other countries’ VAT exemptions.

4. Budget allocation plan by area Regarding social welfare, the government will increase investment in basic social security and customized welfare while at the same time making expenditures

more efficient.

The government will continue to pursue increasing youth employment and strengthening job training programs while at the same time establishing workfriendly welfare programs and increasing opportunities for every citizen to enjoy cultural events.

Regarding the economy, the government will increase investment in future growth engines, while working on making fiscal investment more efficient.

The government will reform R&D support as it will increase spending on basic researches and future growth engine related researches while at the same time withdrawing support from low-performing R&D projects. Support for creating a healthy startup ecosystem will continue to be strengthened, and SOC investment will be focused on safety with an emphasis on spending efficiency. With respect to agriculture and forestry, the government will increase investment in promising export items.

The government will continue to invest to secure public safety, including disease prevention, citizen safety and environmental protection, and will build a safety management system which covers safety education and training.

The 2016 budget proposal and the 2015-2019 national fiscal management plan will proceed through the Cabinet Meeting, and will be submitted to the National Assembly.

49

ECONOMIC BULLETIN • september 2015

Korea Calls for Well-Calibrated Monetary Policies at G20 Meeting Measures to Stimulate Consumption Announced S&P Raises Korea’s Credit Rating 2015-2019 Public Institution Financial Management Plan Korea Set to Export SMART Reactors Vice Finance Minister Discusses Current Issues with Member Countries at IDB Meeting External Debt Amounts to US $420.6 Billion as of Q2 Korea Grows 0.3% in Q2 (Preliminary)

Economic News Briefing

50

Economic News Briefing

Korea Calls for Well-Calibrated Monetary Policies at G20 Meeting Deputy Prime Minister Choi Kyung Hwan attended the G20 Finance Ministers and Central Bank Governors Meeting in Ankara, Turkey on September 4-5, where the finance ministers and central bank governors discussed the recent market volatility and measures to support global recovery including structural reform and investment.

The government will also promote parallel imports and overseas direct purchases of manufactured goods in order to offer consumers more choices. The number of parallel import items will be increased from 596 in 2014 to more than 800 in 2015 to lower domestic prices for items that can be purchased up to 40 percent cheaper overseas. Shipping tax rates for overseas direct purchases will be lowered, and customs duty exemptions will be given to imports worth US $150 or less.

At the meeting, Deputy Prime Minister Choi commented that the G20 needs to help strengthen global financial safety nets, and mentioned that structural reform can improve economic fundamentals, encouraging growth and employment. He also referred to Korea’s structural reforms in the four major sectors of labor, public, education and finance. The Deputy Prime Minister welcomed the country-specific investment strategies prepared by the financial leaders at the meeting, and urged multilateral development banks to take active roles and better utilize resources.

S&P Raises Korea’s Credit Rating

Meanwhile, Korea and Brazil held their fifth finance ministers meeting on September 5 on the sidelines of the G20 meeting. The two ministers discussed measures for economic cooperation in detail, in regard to infrastructure investment and people-to-people exchange as well as policy coordination at the G20.

The two countries expect more active private sector level economic cooperation in the future.

2015-2019 Public Institution Financial Management Plan

Measures to Stimulate Consumption Announced The government announced measures to unlock pentup demand on August 26, which include temporarily cutting individual consumption tax rates by 30 percent for the rest of the year and expanding eligibility for reverse mortgage loans to include residential units in commercial buildings.

Standard & Poor’s (S&P) upgraded Korea’s sovereign debt rating from ‘A+’ to ‘AA-’ on September 15, reflecting the country’s favorable policy environment, sound fiscal position and net external creditor position.

S&P’s outlook on the long-term foreign and local currency ratings is ‘stable’, based on the expectation that Korea will see broadly unchanged credit metrics over the next two years.

The government submitted the 2015-2019 public institution financial management plan to the National Assembly on September 11. According to the plan, public institutions’ financial soundness is expected to continue to improve. Total debt and the debt to equity ratio (hereby known as debt ratio) of the 39 public institutions that submitted the 2015-2019 plan is projected to improve compared with the 2014-2018 plan. The total debt reduction target of less than 200 percent, which was scheduled to be achieved in 2017, is projected to be reached by the end of 2015. The debt ratio is projected to reach 163 percent in 2019.

Public institutions will be required to continue to carry out their individual debt reduction plans by selling assets, scaling down projects and improving management efficiency, while their debt reduction

51

ECONOMIC BULLETIN • september 2015

2014-2018 debt reduction plan vs. 2015-2019 mid- to long-term plan

2014-2018 debt reduction plan 2015-2019 mid- to long-term plan Difference

(trillion won, %, %p)

2014 (Outcome)

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

Debt

510.6

523.9

525.5

516.6

512.8

-

Debt ratio

222

215

202

185

174

-

Debt

(497.6)

496.6

508.2

507.0

508.2

510.6

Debt ratio

(216)

197

191

177

170

163

Debt

(-13.0)

-27.3

-17.3

-9.6

-4.6

-

Debt ratio

(-6)

-18

-11

-8

-4

-

performance will be evaluated regularly. The government will continue to require limits on total bond issuance, and public institution projects will be subject to in-depth feasibility studies. In addition, more public institutions are required to adopt a project-based accounting system that is designed to efficiently manage debt by type.

Korea Set to Export SMART Reactors Korea signed a pre-project engineering (PPE) contract with Saudi Arabia on September 2 regarding the construction of a nuclear reactor called SMART (System-integrated Modular Advanced Reactor). This is the first practical joint project related to the SMART Partnership MOU that was signed during President Park Geun-hye’s visit to Saudi Arabia in March.

According to the contract, the two countries will invest a total of US $130 million to train researchers in Saudi Arabia and make preparations for building SMART reactors in the country.

Vice Finance Minister Discusses Current Issues with Member Countries at IDB Meeting Vice Minister of Strategy and Finance Joo Hyunghwan met with the governors from the Latin American countries on the sidelines of the IDB special governors meeting and stressed the need for increasing Korea’s quotas in NewCo, which will be launched next year to

strengthen support for the private sector by utilizing capital transferred from the Inter-American Investment Corporation (IIC) and contributions from the IIC member countries.

Vice Minister Joo also had bilateral talks with Nathan Sheets, Under Secretary of the US Treasury for International Affairs and discussed the importance of a North East Asian Development Bank to regional security, sharing views regarding the functions of the bank. The establishment of the bank is premised on the North’s completely abandoning its nuclear weapons.

External Debt Amounts to US $420.6 Billion as of Q2 Korea’s external debt amounted to US $420.6 billion as of the end of June 2015, an increase of US $1.7 billion from the previous quarter. Short-term debt increased US $8.4 billion quarter-on-quarter to US $121.2 billion, as borrowings by Korean branches of foreign banks and monetary stability bond investment by nonresidents rose. Long-term debt was down US $6.7 billion quarter-on-quarter to US $299.4 billion, as the value of foreigners’ bond investments decreased due to the weaker won. External debt soundness indicators remain stable as the ratio of short-term external debt to total external debt was low at 28.8 percent and the ratio of short-term external debt to foreign exchange reserves was 32.3 percent, although the indicators slightly rose compared with the previous quarter, up 1.9 percentage points and 1.2 percentage points, respectively.

52

Economic News Briefing

unchanged, as gains in financial & insurance service and real estate & renting were offset by declines in wholesale & retail, hotels & restaurants and healthcare & social welfare services.

Korea Grows 0.3% in Q2 (Preliminary) Korea’s real gross domestic product (GDP) expanded 0.3 percent quarter-on quarter and 2.2 percent year-onyear in the second quarter of 2015, according to preliminary data released by the Bank of Korea on September 3. The figures were in line with the advanced estimates that were released on July 24.

On the expenditure side, private consumption declined 0.2 percent due to decreasing semi-durable goods consumption, while facility investment grew 0.5 percent due to increasing transportation equipment investment. Construction investment was up 1.6 percent, led by building construction, and intellectual property investment was down 0.7 percent due to declines in private sector R&D investment.

On the production side, agriculture, forestry & fisheries contracted 12.2 percent quarter-on-quarter due to droughts. Manufacturing grew 1.2 percent, led by mobile phones and automobiles. Construction remained unchanged from the previous quarter, as growth in building construction was offset by declines in civil engineering works. Services also remained

Exports rose 0.3 percent, led by semiconductors, mobile phones and automobiles, while imports rose 0.9 percent, led by crude oil and automobiles.

GDP by production and expenditure*

(Percentage change from previous period) 1

2013 Q1

Q2

20151

2014 Q3

Q4

Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4

Q1

Q2

0.6

1.0

0.9

0.9

1.1

0.5

0.8

0.3

0.8

0.3

(2.1)2

(2.7)2

(3.2)2

(3.5)2

(3.9)2

(3.4)2

(3.3)2

(2.7)2

(2.5)2

(2.2)2

Agriculture, forestry & fisheries

-2.0

0.7

4.1

3.3

-2.2

-2.0

2.0

2.8

3.4

-12.2

Manufacturing

1.6

1.1

0.8

0.8

2.2

1.1

-0.9

0.0

0.4

1.2

Construction

2.0

1.5

0.1

-1.2

1.4

0.1

0.9

-3.0

2.0

0.0

Services3

0.5

1.2

0.8

0.7

0.9

0.3

1.2

0.6

0.9

0.0

Private consumption

-0.1

0.5

1.1

0.6

0.4

-0.4

0.8

0.5

0.6

-0.2

Government consumption

1.2

1.9

0.7

0.4

0.1

0.6

2.1

0.2

0.2

0.8

Facility investment

2.7

0.9

3.5

4.2

-1.4

1.3

0.2

4.0

0.2

0.5

Construction investment

5.3

4.6

-0.8

-4.8

5.3

0.5

0.9

-7.8

7.4

1.6

Intellectual property investment

3.0

0.6

0.6

3.3

2.0

-0.1

-0.3

-0.5

2.3

-0.7

Exports

0.2

2.3

-0.7

1.3

1.4

1.3

-1.7

0.4

0.1

0.3

Imports

0.7

1.5

0.0

2.9

-1.1

1.2

-0.7

0.7

0.6

0.9

GDP

*At 2010 chained prices in seasonally adjusted terms 1. Preliminary 2. Percentage change from the same period of the previous year (original data) 3. Wholesale & retail, hotels & restaurants, transportation & storage, communications services, financial & insurance services, real estate & renting, business services, public administration, defense & social security, education services, healthcare & social welfare services, entertainment, cultural & sports services and other services are included.

53

ECONOMIC BULLETIN • september 2015

01. National accounts 02. Production, shipment and inventory 03. Production capacity and operation ratio 04. Consumer goods sales index 05. Consumer goods shipment index and consumer sentiment index 06. Machinery orders received and estimated facility investment index 07. Value of construction completed and domestic construction orders received 08. Composite indices of business cycle indicators and BSI 09. Balance of payments (I) 10. Balance of payments (II) 11. Prices 12. Employment 13. Financial indicators 14. Monetary indicators 15. Exchange rates

Statistical Appendices

54

Statistical Appendices

1. National accounts (year-on-year change, %, chained 2010 year prices)

Real GDP

Final consumption Agri., fores. & Manufacturing expenditure fisheries

Period

Gross fixed capital formation Construction

Facilities

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014P

5.2 5.5 2.8 0.7 6.5 3.7 2.3 2.9 3.3

1.6 4.1 5.6 3.2 -4.3 -2.0 -0.9 3.1 2.6

7.7 8.4 3.7 -0.5 13.7 6.5 2.4 3.6 4.0

5.2 5.3 2.2 1.3 4.3 2.7 2.2 2.2 2.0

3.6 5.0 -0.9 0.3 5.5 0.8 -0.5 3.3 3.1

0.7 1.5 -2.7 3.5 -3.7 -3.4 -3.9 5.5 1.0

8.4 9.7 -0.2 -7.7 22.0 4.7 0.1 -0.8 5.8

2006 Ⅰ Ⅱ Ⅲ Ⅳ

6.3 4.7 2.1 4.8

4.1 -0.2 -1.3 4.2

9.6 7.4 8.2 6.1

5.9 5.1 4.7 5.0

3.0 0.7 4.3 5.9

1.7 -4.1 -0.3 5.4

4.6 8.8 13.5 6.8

2007 Ⅰ Ⅱ Ⅲ Ⅳ

4.7 5.6 5.1 6.3

1.7 7.0 8.1 -0.6

6.5 8.6 7.4 10.9

5.2 5.6 5.5 5.0

6.6 6.3 2.1 5.2

3.8 2.0 0.0 0.9

10.3 14.2 2.1 12.2

2008 Ⅰ Ⅱ Ⅲ Ⅳ

5.5 4.1 3.9 -1.6

7.7 4.6 4.3 6.4

8.2 7.1 6.1 -5.3

4.7 3.1 2.4 -1.4

1.8 0.9 2.3 -7.0

-2.0 -0.7 0.2 -7.3

7.0 1.4 5.6 -13.0

2009 Ⅰ Ⅱ Ⅲ Ⅳ

-1.9 -1.1 0.9 4.8

2.5 0.0 5.0 5.0

-8.4 -5.7 1.6 10.4

-1.9 0.9 1.7 4.5

-5.4 -1.1 0.8 5.8

1.9 4.4 3.1 4.1

-19.4 -13.6 -5.9 9.5

2010 Ⅰ Ⅱ Ⅲ Ⅳ

7.2 7.4 5.4 6.0

0.0 -2.2 -7.8 -5.7

16.1 17.2 10.1 11.9

6.2 3.6 3.9 3.4

12.0 6.8 3.8 1.2

1.6 -4.8 -4.8 -5.2

27.6 28.8 20.6 12.9

2011 Ⅰ Ⅱ Ⅲ Ⅳ

4.9 3.6 3.3 3.1

-9.3 -2.5 -5.8 7.1

11.4 6.5 5.6 3.4

3.3 3.3 2.8 1.7

-0.7 2.5 1.7 -0.3

-8.2 -2.5 -2.2 -2.0

8.3 8.3 3.4 -0.9

2012 Ⅰ Ⅱ Ⅲ Ⅳ

2.6 2.4 2.1 2.1

0.1 -1.8 0.0 -1.3

2.7 2.8 2.0 2.0

2.2 1.3 2.7 2.7

6.2 -2.2 -0.9 -3.6

-0.2 -5.3 -2.6 -6.4

11.0 -1.9 -4.2 -3.8

2013 Ⅰ Ⅱ Ⅲ Ⅳ

2.1 2.7 3.2 3.5

-1.2 0.3 4.4 6.8

2.7 3.6 3.8 4.2

1.5 2.2 2.4 2.6

-3.2 4.3 4.9 6.5

1.3 8.9 7.4 3.5

-12.3 -3.2 2.3 11.6

2014PⅠ Ⅱ Ⅲ Ⅳ

3.9 3.4 3.3 2.7

5.6 3.3 1.4 1.3

5.1 5.1 3.3 2.4

2.7 1.7 2.0 1.8

5.8 3.3 3.3 0.7

4.1 0.2 2.3 -1.5

7.2 7.7 4.2 4.2

2015PⅠ Ⅱ

2.5 2.2

6.3 -4.7

0.7 0.8

1.9 2.0

2.4 2.4

0.6 1.6

5.8 5.0

P: Preliminary Source: The Bank of Korea

55

ECONOMIC BULLETIN • september 2015

2. Production, shipment and inventory (constant prices, 2010=100)

Period

Production index

Shipment index

y-o-y change(%)

Inventory index

y-o-y change(%)

Service production index

y-o-y change(%)

y-o-y change(%)

2012 2013 2014

107.4 108.2 108.2

1.3 0.7 0.0

107.2 108.1 107.9

1.5 0.8 -0.2

125.2 130.7 128.4

4.4 4.4 -1.8

104.8 106.4 108.7

1.6 1.5 2.2

2012 Ⅰ Ⅱ Ⅲ Ⅳ

106.6 108.9 103.7 110.6

3.9 1.3 -0.3 0.8

106.6 108.4 103.8 109.8

3.1 1.7 0.6 0.5

117.7 114.8 114.5 125.2

12.2 4.6 2.0 4.4

102.0 104.9 104.8 107.6

2.6 1.5 1.6 0.8

2013 Ⅰ Ⅱ Ⅲ Ⅳ

106.0 109.3 104.3 113.0

-0.6 0.4 0.6 2.2

106.1 109.4 104.5 112.2

-0.5 0.9 0.7 2.2

123.1 119.2 124.5 130.7

4.6 3.8 8.7 4.4

103.2 106.8 105.6 110.0

1.2 1.8 0.8 2.1

2014 Ⅰ Ⅱ Ⅲ Ⅳ

106.7 109.8 105.5 110.9

0.7 0.5 1.2 -1.9

106.5 109.3 104.8 111.0

0.4 -0.1 0.3 -1.1

130.0 128.9 129.7 128.4

5.6 8.1 4.2 -1.8

105.3 108.4 108.3 112.9

2.0 1.5 2.6 2.6

2015 Ⅰ ⅡP

105.7 108.2

-0.9 -1.5

105.9 107.9

-0.6 -1.3

133.7 136.5

2.8 5.9

108.2 111.0

2.9 2.5

2013 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

111.2 97.3 109.6 109.5 110.6 107.8 108.0 103.9 101.1 113.3 112.2 113.4

9.0 -8.3 -1.8 2.5 -0.1 -1.3 1.9 3.6 -3.4 4.1 -0.4 2.8

110.0 98.2 110.2 109.3 110.3 108.6 107.1 104.9 101.4 112.6 111.4 112.6

7.0 -7.4 -0.7 2.9 0.4 -0.5 1.8 5.0 -4.5 4.1 0.4 2.3

128.6 124.6 123.1 120.7 121.7 119.2 124.0 123.5 124.5 126.3 129.1 130.7

7.8 6.1 4.6 3.6 3.0 3.8 7.5 3.5 8.7 8.8 6.4 4.4

102.4 100.4 106.7 105.6 107.7 107.0 105.6 105.7 105.4 107.8 107.4 114.7

2.1 0.5 0.9 2.7 1.6 1.0 0.8 1.7 -0.3 2.9 1.8 1.8

2014 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

106.2 101.0 112.9 112.4 108.4 108.5 112.3 101.2 103.1 109.8 108.3 114.7

-4.5 3.8 3.0 2.6 -2.0 0.6 4.0 -2.6 2.0 -3.1 -3.5 1.1

105.1 101.3 113.1 111.3 108.7 107.8 109.5 101.7 103.2 109.0 109.2 114.9

-4.5 3.2 2.6 1.8 -1.5 -0.7 2.2 -3.1 1.8 -3.2 -2.0 2.0

132.1 129.3 130.0 131.2 130.0 128.9 133.2 130.6 129.7 130.7 129.7 128.4

2.7 3.8 5.6 8.7 6.8 8.1 7.4 5.7 4.2 3.5 0.5 -1.8

104.7 101.8 109.4 106.9 108.8 109.6 108.7 107.9 108.3 110.6 109.8 118.4

2.2 1.4 2.5 1.2 1.0 2.4 2.9 2.1 2.8 2.6 2.2 3.2

2015 1 2 3 4 5 6P 7P

108.1 96.0 113.0 109.5 105.1 110.0 108.6

1.8 -5.0 0.1 -2.6 -3.0 1.4 -3.3

108.1 96.6 113.1 109.5 105.5 108.8 107.4

2.9 -4.6 0.0 -1.6 -2.9 0.9 -1.9

132.4 133.0 133.7 135.2 134.6 136.5 139.7

0.2 2.9 2.8 3.0 3.5 5.9 4.9

107.1 104.6 113.0 111.2 111.4 110.6 111.1

2.4 2.8 3.3 4.0 2.4 0.9 2.2

P: Preliminary Source: Statistics Korea

56

Statistical Appendices

3. Production capacity and operation ratio Period

Production capacity index (2010=100)

Operation ratio index (2010=100)

y-o-y change (%)

y-o-y change (%)

Average operation ratio (%)

2012 2013 2014

106.9 108.6 110.3

2.1 1.6 1.6

97.5 95.1 94.2

-2.7 -2.5 -0.9

78.6 76.5 76.1

2012 Ⅰ Ⅱ Ⅲ Ⅳ

106.3 106.7 107.0 107.5

2.7 2.1 1.9 1.8

97.5 101.0 93.2 98.3

-0.3 -2.4 -4.6 -3.5

79.9 79.5 76.6 78.0

2013 Ⅰ Ⅱ Ⅲ Ⅳ

108.1 108.3 108.8 109.3

1.7 1.5 1.7 1.7

93.7 97.9 90.8 98.3

-3.9 -3.1 -2.6 0.0

77.3 76.1 75.4 77.0

2014 Ⅰ Ⅱ Ⅲ Ⅳ

109.6 109.9 110.6 111.0

1.4 1.5 1.7 1.6

92.8 96.8 91.5 95.8

-1.0 -1.1 0.8 -2.5

77.1 76.1 76.0 75.1

2015 Ⅰ ⅡP

111.2 111.3

1.5 1.3

90.1 94.9

-2.9 -2.0

74.4 74.2

2013 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

108.0 108.1 108.1 108.1 108.3 108.5 108.6 108.9 108.9 109.1 109.2 109.6

1.7 1.8 1.6 1.4 1.5 1.6 1.8 1.6 1.8 1.7 1.6 1.9

98.9 84.9 97.2 97.9 99.4 96.3 94.6 90.7 87.0 99.7 98.2 96.9

6.9 -12.7 -5.5 -1.0 -3.1 -5.0 -2.7 2.7 -7.5 1.6 -2.5 0.8

78.8 77.3 75.9 75.8 76.4 76.2 74.7 76.8 74.8 77.0 76.5 77.4

2014 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

109.7 109.5 109.7 109.6 109.9 110.1 110.4 110.7 110.8 110.9 110.9 111.1

1.6 1.3 1.5 1.4 1.5 1.5 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.6 1.6 1.4

91.9 87.5 99.0 99.8 95.6 94.9 98.7 86.8 88.9 95.8 94.1 97.6

-7.1 3.1 1.9 1.9 -3.8 -1.5 4.3 -4.3 2.2 -3.9 -4.2 0.7

77.8 76.3 77.2 77.2 74.9 76.3 77.9 74.7 75.4 74.2 74.6 76.6

2015 1 2 3 4 5 6P 7P

111.1 111.0 111.5 111.2 111.3 111.4 111.1

1.3 1.4 1.6 1.5 1.3 1.2 0.6

93.0 81.1 96.3 95.8 91.9 96.9 94.7

1.2 -7.3 -2.7 -4.0 -3.9 2.1 -4.1

74.1 75.1 73.9 74.1 73.2 75.2 74.7

P: Preliminary Source: The Bank of Korea

57

ECONOMIC BULLETIN • september 2015

4. Consumer goods sales index (constant prices, 2010=100)

Period

y-o-y change (%)

Consumer goods sales index Durable goods Semi-durable goods y-o-y y-o-y change (%) change (%)

Nondurable goods y-o-y change (%)

2012 2013 2014

107.1 107.9 109.7

2.5 0.7 1.7

116.3 116.6 122.6

5.4 0.3 5.1

103.9 106.1 105.5

-0.3 2.1 -0.6

104.3 104.7 105.5

2.2 0.4 0.8

2012 Ⅰ Ⅱ Ⅲ Ⅳ

103.5 106.5 106.7 111.8

2.9 1.5 2.9 2.7

109.4 115.0 118.5 122.1

4.0 2.7 6.5 8.4

99.0 105.6 92.4 118.4

0.6 -0.4 -2.2 0.5

102.8 103.0 107.5 104.1

3.3 1.9 3.1 0.8

2013 Ⅰ Ⅱ Ⅲ Ⅳ

103.8 107.7 107.2 113.0

0.3 1.1 0.5 1.1

111.0 118.2 116.8 120.3

1.5 2.8 -1.4 -1.5

102.1 107.3 94.9 119.9

3.1 1.6 2.7 1.3

101.2 102.9 108.0 106.6

-1.6 -0.1 0.5 2.4

2014 Ⅰ Ⅱ Ⅲ Ⅳ

106.3 108.6 108.8 115.1

2.4 0.8 1.5 1.9

117.2 121.2 123.4 128.6

5.6 2.5 5.7 6.9

100.3 104.9 96.2 120.4

-1.8 -2.2 1.4 0.4

103.8 104.3 107.5 106.5

2.6 1.4 -0.5 -0.1

2015 Ⅰ ⅡP

108.0 111.7

1.6 2.9

126.6 131.8

8.0 8.7

98.7 104.0

-1.6 -0.9

103.4 105.8

-0.4 1.4

2013 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

104.6 99.5 107.3 105.4 110.9 106.8 109.2 104.5 107.8 111.3 113.2 114.6

-2.8 1.6 2.1 2.2 0.6 0.6 0.7 2.0 -1.4 2.0 1.3 0.1

112.3 105.9 114.8 115.1 119.7 119.9 127.5 116.2 106.8 120.5 120.2 120.1

4.7 -1.2 0.9 7.2 2.0 -0.2 1.4 1.8 -7.8 2.9 -2.4 -4.7

102.8 93.3 110.2 106.7 113.8 101.3 98.0 86.6 100.1 113.9 123.8 122.1

-1.9 1.5 9.8 1.7 2.2 0.9 0.6 5.4 2.6 -0.8 4.1 0.4

101.7 99.3 102.5 100.3 105.5 103.0 105.6 106.8 111.6 105.8 105.3 108.8

-6.7 3.2 -0.6 0.0 -0.8 0.7 0.4 0.8 0.3 2.8 1.9 2.6

2014 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

110.4 99.1 109.3 105.6 112.1 108.1 109.9 107.1 109.3 111.1 114.3 119.9

5.5 -0.4 1.9 0.2 1.1 1.2 0.6 2.5 1.4 -0.2 1.0 4.6

116.1 116.9 118.5 114.2 121.8 127.5 131.1 118.5 120.5 118.9 128.7 138.1

3.4 10.4 3.2 -0.8 1.8 6.3 2.8 2.0 12.8 -1.3 7.1 15.0

100.7 92.0 108.2 105.8 111.8 97.2 95.7 91.5 101.5 116.0 120.6 124.7

-2.0 -1.4 -1.8 -0.8 -1.8 -4.0 -2.3 5.7 1.4 1.8 -2.6 2.1

111.9 93.9 105.5 101.5 107.7 103.7 106.3 108.6 107.5 105.4 104.9 109.3

10.0 -5.4 2.9 1.2 2.1 0.7 0.7 1.7 -3.7 -0.4 -0.4 0.5

2015 1 2 3 4 5 6P 7P

107.3 104.4 112.4 110.8 115.6 108.8 112.0

-2.8 5.3 2.8 4.9 3.1 0.6 1.9

128.2 117.2 134.5 129.3 130.1 136.0 140.2

10.4 0.3 13.5 13.2 6.8 6.7 6.9

97.9 92.6 105.7 107.6 115.4 88.9 92.4

-2.8 0.7 -2.3 1.7 3.2 -8.5 -3.4

101.7 103.6 105.0 103.5 109.0 104.9 107.4

-9.1 10.3 -0.5 2.0 1.2 1.2 1.0

P: Preliminary Source: Statistics Korea

58

Statistical Appendices

5. Consumer goods shipment index and consumer sentiment index Domestic consumer goods shipment index (2010=100) Durable goods Nondurable goods y-o-y y-o-y y-o-y change (%) change (%) change (%)

Period

Consumer sentiment index

2012 2013 2014

102.5 102.2 101.8

1.6 -0.3 -0.4

102.8 103.4 102.6

2.5 0.6 -0.8

102.4 101.7 101.5

1.2 -0.7 -0.2

-

2012 Ⅰ Ⅱ Ⅲ Ⅳ

100.8 99.9 103.5 106.0

-0.2 2.0 2.0 2.6

97.8 99.1 102.5 112.0

-1.7 -1.6 1.6 11.9

102.0 100.2 103.9 103.4

0.4 3.5 2.2 -1.1

-

2013 Ⅰ Ⅱ Ⅲ Ⅳ

103.0 98.7 102.4 104.7

2.2 -1.2 -1.1 -1.2

108.3 100.9 102.6 101.8

10.7 1.8 0.1 -9.1

100.8 97.7 102.3 105.9

-1.2 -2.5 -1.5 2.4

-

2014 Ⅰ Ⅱ Ⅲ Ⅳ

100.7 100.3 102.4 103.9

-2.2 1.6 0.0 -0.8

103.4 103.0 100.9 103.2

-4.5 2.1 -1.7 1.4

99.5 99.2 103.0 104.2

-1.3 1.5 0.7 -1.6

-

2015 Ⅰ ⅡP

101.8 101.0

1.1 0.7

99.9 102.1

-3.4 -0.9

102.5 100.5

3.0 1.3

-

2013 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

108.8 96.9 103.3 99.5 99.7 96.9 103.4 104.0 99.7 108.8 102.9 102.3

8.2 -1.7 0.2 0.3 -1.9 -2.0 0.6 2.5 -6.0 2.1 -2.6 -3.2

110.3 106.4 108.1 98.1 101.7 102.8 109.0 103.8 94.9 104.4 103.1 97.8

19.2 8.2 5.5 4.3 1.3 0.0 3.5 5.5 -8.7 -3.8 -7.0 -16.1

108.1 92.9 101.3 100.0 98.8 94.4 101.1 104.2 101.7 110.7 102.8 104.2

3.9 -5.9 -1.9 -1.3 -3.2 -3.0 -0.7 1.3 -5.0 4.7 -0.7 3.1

102 102 104 102 104 105 105 105 102 106 107 107

2014 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

102.4 96.6 103.0 101.7 99.8 99.5 104.8 100.2 102.2 105.0 100.9 105.8

-5.9 -0.3 -0.3 2.2 0.1 2.7 1.4 -3.7 2.5 -3.5 -1.9 3.4

99.9 106.7 103.6 97.9 103.4 107.7 107.6 95.0 100.1 99.8 102.9 106.8

-9.4 0.3 -4.2 -0.2 1.7 4.8 -1.3 -8.5 5.5 -4.4 -0.2 9.2

103.4 92.3 102.8 103.3 98.2 96.1 103.7 102.4 103.0 107.3 100.0 105.4

-4.3 -0.6 1.5 3.3 -0.6 1.8 2.6 -1.7 1.3 -3.1 -2.7 1.2

109 108 108 108 105 107 105 107 107 105 103 101

2015 1 2 3 4 5 6P 7P 8

104.8 94.5 106.0 105.5 98.8 98.7 102.9 -

2.3 -2.2 2.9 3.7 -1.0 -0.8 -1.8 -

101.2 92.8 105.8 107.1 98.1 101.2 106.1 -

1.3 -13.0 2.1 9.4 -5.1 -6.0 -1.4 -

106.3 95.2 106.1 104.7 99.1 97.6 101.6 -

2.8 3.1 3.2 1.4 0.9 1.6 -2.0 -

102 103 101 104 105 99 100 102

P: Preliminary Source: Statistics Korea

59

ECONOMIC BULLETIN • september 2015

6. Machinery orders received and estimated facility investment index Domestic machinery orders received excluding ship (billion won, constant value) Total Public Private Estimated facility investment index y-o-y y-o-y y-o-y y-o-y change (%) (2010=100) change (%) change (%) change (%)

Period 2012 2013 2014

21,648 23,078 26,485

-13.9 6.6 14.8

2,142 2,580 5,012

-11.0 20.5 94.2

19,506 20,497 21,473

-14.2 5.1 4.8

100.6 99.8 105.0

-2.8 -0.8 5.2

2012 Ⅰ Ⅱ Ⅲ Ⅳ

6,310 5,391 5,036 4,910

-1.1 -19.8 -11.1 -23.0

810 285 579 468

126.1 -59.7 86.7 -54.6

5,500 5,106 4,458 4,442

-8.7 -15.1 -16.8 -16.9

105.0 104.8 96.2 96.4

8.2 -4.2 -7.9 -6.4

2013 Ⅰ Ⅱ Ⅲ Ⅳ

5,587 5,865 5,144 6,481

-11.5 8.8 2.1 32.0

429 554 522 1,075

-47.0 94.2 -9.7 129.7

5,158 5,311 4,622 5,406

-6.2 4.0 3.7 21.7

91.7 101.1 99.3 107.0

-12.7 -3.5 3.2 11.0

2014 Ⅰ Ⅱ Ⅲ Ⅳ

6,624 6,099 7,687 6,075

18.5 4.0 49.4 -6.3

1,221 305 2,708 778

184.6 -45.0 418.5 -27.6

5,403 5,794 4,979 5,297

4.7 9.1 7.7 -2.0

98.6 107.9 100.8 112.8

7.5 6.7 1.5 5.4

2015 Ⅰ ⅡP

6,453 7,054

-2.6 15.7

405 493

-66.9 61.7

6,048 6,561

12.0 13.2

106.9 113.4

8.4 5.1

2013 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

1,844 1,666 2,078 1,846 2,127 1,893 1,934 1,622 1,588 2,604 2,094 1,783

-4.6 -34.5 13.2 0.0 16.2 10.3 5.4 7.5 -6.2 72.3 26.5 2.3

139 168 121 92 250 212 359 92 71 788 163 124

169.8 -75.8 92.2 63.8 542.9 11.5 15.8 -45.5 -28.5 815.5 28.2 -51.4

1,704 1,497 1,957 1,753 1,877 1,681 1,575 1,530 1,517 1,816 1,931 1,659

-9.4 -18.9 10.4 -2.0 4.8 10.2 3.3 14.2 -4.8 27.4 26.3 11.5

90.1 83.9 101.0 98.7 102.1 102.5 108.4 100.6 88.8 109.6 101.9 109.4

-7.8 -23.1 -6.7 -7.1 -3.5 0.2 2.8 11.7 -4.6 16.0 10.3 7.0

2014 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

1,748 1,847 3,029 2,276 1,826 1,997 1,779 4,090 1,818 1,932 2,303 1,840

-5.2 10.9 45.8 23.3 -14.1 5.5 -8.0 152.2 14.5 -25.8 10.0 3.2

88 120 1,013 97 116 92 89 2,541 79 211 428 139

-36.9 -28.8 735.6 5.1 -53.4 -56.7 -75.3 2,653.2 10.6 -73.2 162.6 12.5

1,660 1,727 2,016 2,179 1,709 1,906 1,690 1,549 1,739 1,722 1,874 1,701

-2.6 15.3 3.0 24.3 -8.9 13.4 7.3 1.3 14.7 -5.2 -2.9 2.5

90.3 95.6 109.8 110.6 108.3 104.9 111.4 90.7 100.2 99.8 112.5 126.0

0.2 13.9 8.7 12.1 6.1 2.3 2.8 -9.8 12.8 -8.9 10.4 15.2

2015 1 2 3 4 5 6P 7P

2,324 1,856 2,273 2,782 2,102 2,170 2,014

32.9 0.5 -24.9 22.2 15.1 8.6 13.2

116 141 148 127 197 169 133

32.0 17.6 -85.4 30.7 69.4 84.7 50.2

2,208 1,715 2,126 2,656 1,905 2,000 1,880

33.0 -0.7 5.5 21.9 11.4 5.0 11.2

102.7 98.6 119.5 113.5 109.1 117.7 119.1

13.7 3.1 8.8 2.6 0.7 12.2 6.9

P: Preliminary Source: Statistics Korea

60

Statistical Appendices

7. Value of construction completed and domestic construction orders received (current value, billion won)

Period

Value of construction completed y-o-y (Total) change (%)

Type of order Public Private

Domestic construction orders y-o-y received change (%) y-o-y change (%) (Total)

y-o-y change (%)

Type of order Public Private y-o-y change (%)

y-o-y change (%)

2012 2013 2014

88,713 98,089 98,465

-3.3 10.6 0.4

33,807 34,459 32,004

-3.7 1.9 -7.1

50,622 59,714 62,403

-2.0 18.0 4.5

89,395 77,885 89,833

-6.2 -12.9 15.3

26,071 24,736 26,497

-8.9 -5.1 7.1

59,811 50,947 61,321

-3.3 -14.8 20.4

2012 Ⅰ Ⅱ Ⅲ Ⅳ

19,275 22,410 21,351 25,676

0.0 -6.8 -0.3 -4.8

7,442 8,892 7,598 9,876

1.6 -4.3 -1.1 -8.8

10,893 12,440 12,676 14,613

-1.2 -6.7 0.6 -0.6

22,671 25,732 18,395 22,596

38.8 1.6 -10.0 -32.0

5,655 5,570 5,401 9,443

37.3 -11.7 -19.5 -17.8

16,309 19,100 12,522 11,877

46.8 8.2 -2.7 -41.2

2013 Ⅰ Ⅱ Ⅲ Ⅳ

20,178 25,760 23,718 28,732

4.7 14.9 11.1 10.7

6,998 9,318 8,058 10,085

-6.0 4.8 6.0 2.1

12,415 15,455 14,739 17,106

14.0 24.2 16.3 17.1

13,826 18,694 16,833 28,532

-39.0 -27.4 -8.5 26.3

4,292 5,371 4,987 10,086

-24.1 -3.6 -7.7 6.8

9,180 12,636 11,442 17,688

-43.7 -33.8 -8.6 48.9

2014 Ⅰ Ⅱ Ⅲ Ⅳ

21,675 26,174 23,601 27,016

7.4 1.6 -0.5 -5.0

7,147 8,706 7,243 8,909

2.1 -6.6 -10.1 -11.7

13,676 16,512 15,360 16,855

10.2 6.8 4.2 -1.5

15,972 23,436 24,035 26,390

15.5 25.4 42.8 -7.5

5,898 6,577 5,190 8,833

37.4 22.5 4.1 -12.4

9,628 16,537 18,175 16,982

4.9 30.9 58.8 -4.0

2015 Ⅰ ⅡP

21,252 25,007

-2.0 -4.5

6,554 8,188

-8.3 -5.9

13,949 15,836

2.0 -4.1

24,821 35,136

55.4 49.9

4,566 9,186

-22.6 39.7

19,980 107.5 25,436 53.8

2013 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

6,272 6,236 7,670 81,057 81,607 94,947 7,854 7,666 8,199 8,637 9,088 10,708

8.2 3.3 3.0 18.4 11.7 15.0 11.6 16.5 6.0 17.6 12.2 4.6

2,072 2,346 2,581 2,830 2,797 3,691 2,635 2,553 2,870 2,952 3,118 4,015

-2.4 -1.1 -12.4 7.0 -2.7 9.4 11.1 10.0 -1.2 13.9 3.8 -6.2

3,962 3,662 4,790 4,978 5,088 5,389 4,908 4,827 5,004 5,344 5,635 6,126

17.4 7.5 16.4 27.5 23.9 21.6 14.7 22.4 12.4 20.0 18.1 13.7

3,557 4,723 5,546 5,151 6,221 7,321 5,775 4,690 6,368 7,751 8,083 12,698

-52.4 -44.4 -17.4 -19.9 -14.9 -39.0 -15.4 -13.0 3.0 33.6 11.6 32.9

1,300 1,281 1,711 1,565 1,564 2,241 1,493 1,474 2,021 1,518 2,664 5,904

-36.1 -42.3 21.9 7.7 47.4 -26.7 -35.2 12.0 13.5 -23.0 26.5 10.0

2,109 3,290 3,781 3,160 4,537 4,940 4,148 3,172 4,122 6,144 5,204 6,340

2014 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

7,057 6,665 7,953 8,476 8,191 9,506 7,914 7,721 7,966 8,239 8,339 10,438

12.5 6.9 3.7 4.6 0.4 0.1 0.8 0.7 -2.8 -4.6 -8.2 -2.5

2,314 2,207 2,626 2,740 2,584 3,382 2,429 2,324 2,491 2,532 2,673 3,704

11.7 -6.0 1.8 -3.2 -7.6 -8.4 -7.8 -9.0 -13.2 -14.2 -14.3 -7.8

4,452 4,237 4,987 5,458 5,316 5,737 5,149 5,112 5,099 5,369 5,293 6,194

12.4 15.7 4.1 9.6 4.5 6.5 4.9 5.9 1.9 0.5 -6.1 1.1

5,528 5,549 4,895 7,359 6,834 9,243 6,969 8,688 8,377 7,755 6,427 12,209

55.4 17.5 -11.7 42.9 9.9 26.2 20.7 85.2 31.6 0.0 -20.5 -3.9

2,034 2,241 1,623 1,894 2,000 2,682 1,533 1,628 2,029 1,416 1,895 5,522

56.4 75.0 -5.1 21.0 27.8 19.7 2.7 10.5 0.4 -6.7 -28.9 -6.5

3,305 56.7 3,158 -4.0 3,165 -16.3 5,454 72.6 4,767 5.1 6,316 27.8 5,298 27.7 6,849 115.9 6,029 46.3 6,157 0.2 4,415 -15.2 6,410 1.1

2015 1 2 3 4 5 6P 7P

6,774 6,681 7,796 7,708 7,764 9,535 7,922

-4.0 0.2 -2.0 -9.1 -5.2 0.3 0.1

1,997 2,089 2,468 2,467 2,325 3,396 2,324

-13.7 -5.3 -6.0 -10.0 -10.0 0.4 -4.3

4,561 4,374 5,014 4,937 5,127 5,772 5,327

2.4 3.2 0.5 -9.6 -3.6 0.6 3.5

7,216 5,367 12,238 9,048 12,556 13,532 8,538

30.5 -3.3 150.0 22.9 83.7 46.4 22.5

1,297 1,133 2,136 2,586 2,458 4,142 1,827

-36.2 -49.4 31.6 36.5 22.9 54.4 19.2

5,882 78.0 4,115 30.3 9,882 215.4 6,406 17.4 9,995 109.7 9,035 43.1 6,682 26.1

P: Preliminary Source: Statistics Korea

-60.0 -46.3 -23.1 -29.2 -26.0 -41.9 -4.2 -21.3 -0.9 62.2 8.5 92.7

61

ECONOMIC BULLETIN • september 2015

8. Composite indices of business cycle indicators and BSI Period

Leading index (2010=100)

Cyclical indicator of leading index (2010=100)

Cyclical Coincident index indicator of (2010=100) coincident index (2010=100)

BSI (results)

BSI (prospects)

2011 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

101.5 101.7 101.8 101.4 101.7 102.2 102.8 103.0 103.1 103.3 103.5 103.8

101.0 100.7 100.3 99.5 99.4 99.4 99.5 99.2 99.0 98.7 98.4 98.3

103.5 103.5 104.0 104.0 104.9 105.6 106.2 106.7 106.8 107.2 107.3 107.7

101.7 101.4 101.4 101.1 101.5 101.8 101.9 102.0 101.6 101.6 101.2 101.2

99.1 92.2 107.8 98.4 98.9 99.6 96.2 86.8 96.4 95.0 93.0 90.1

101.8 98.0 113.5 99.3 104.3 104.3 101.3 98.9 96.3 101.4 96.4 94.8

2012 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

104.6 105.7 106.2 106.6 106.7 107.8 108.3 108.4 108.1 108.5 109.3 110.1

98.5 99.2 99.1 99.1 98.7 99.3 99.3 98.9 98.2 98.1 98.4 98.7

107.7 108.6 108.8 109.2 109.3 109.7 110.5 110.4 110.8 110.9 111.5 112.1

100.8 101.3 101.0 101.0 100.6 100.7 100.9 100.4 100.4 100.0 100.2 100.3

88.6 92.2 101.4 97.5 95.7 90.4 82.1 84.4 89.3 88.9 82.2 87.0

88.3 91.0 106.1 98.4 104.7 98.3 89.7 82.7 99.5 97.0 92.5 82.0

2013 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

110.4 110.9 111.4 111.9 112.7 113.8 114.5 115.1 115.3 116.2 117.1 118.1

98.5 98.5 98.5 98.6 98.8 99.3 99.5 99.6 99.3 99.6 99.9 100.3

112.4 112.9 113.0 113.6 114.1 114.8 115.2 115.8 116.1 116.8 117.2 117.8

100.2 100.2 99.8 100.0 100.0 100.2 100.2 100.3 100.1 100.3 100.2 100.3

85.0 83.0 101.3 94.1 97.6 95.0 91.1 89.8 93.0 94.7 91.9 90.5

85.7 86.7 104.4 101.5 99.8 97.2 90.7 92.7 94.4 101.1 94.7 92.6

2014 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

118.7 118.9 119.0 119.4 119.8 120.5 121.1 122.4 123.6 124.4 124.9 125.9

100.4 100.2 99.8 99.7 99.6 99.7 99.8 100.4 101.0 101.2 101.1 101.5

118.5 118.9 119.4 119.6 119.8 120.2 120.8 121.5 121.8 121.9 122.2 123.0

100.5 100.5 100.5 100.3 100.1 100.1 100.2 100.4 100.2 99.9 99.8 100.1

89.4 87.0 100.7 95.8 93.0 91.3 90.8 89.0 92.3 93.1 90.0 95.4

93.4 88.7 104.4 99.5 101.7 94.5 94.0 91.6 93.1 100.7 93.6 94.0

2015 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

127.8 129.0 130.5 131.1 132.1 132.3 133.0 -

102.5 103.1 103.8 103.8 104.0 103.5 103.5 -

123.6 124.5 124.7 125.1 125.0 125.2 125.8 -

100.2 100.5 100.3 100.3 99.8 99.5 99.7 -

94.0 89.4 101.5 101.3 95.6 79.9 88.4 86.6 -

90.3 92.1 103.7 97.5 99.4 96.4 84.3 89.6 95.1

Sources: Statistics Korea, The Bank of Korea

62

Statistical Appendices

9. Balance of payments (I) (US $ million)

Period

Current account

Goods

2012 2013 2014

50,835.0 79,883.6 89,220.1

2012 Ⅰ Ⅱ Ⅲ Ⅳ

Services

Primary income

Secondary income

554,103.2 536,559.0 528,611.3

-5,213.6 -7,927.4 -8,163.4

12,116.7 11,424.8 10,197.7

-5,474.1 -4,182.3 -5,501.8

144,260.1 150,834.0 149,619.5 158,795.6

142,598.6 142,299.0 133,724.9 135,480.7

-2,970.8 172.0 -679.8 -1,735.0

2,045.3 3,942.3 2,972.2 3,156.9

-1,482.0 -1,044.2 -1,300.2 -1,647.7

14,298.0 20,585.3 23,305.7 24,592.0

147,823.3 154,065.9 153,715.8 162,551.9

133,525.3 133,480.6 130,410.1 137,959.9

-2,667.9 647.9 -2,078.5 -2,400.7

1,812.4 1,660.5 2,346.6 3,236.2

-828.2 -546.3 -1,323.4 -1,491.4

15,185.9 24,240.4 22,565.7 27,228.1

17,745.2 26,428.1 21,676.0 26,838.3

152,688.6 159,385.4 153,482.3 155,742.6

134,943.4 132,957.3 131,806.3 128,904.3

-3,503.4 -1,838.7 -904.0 -1,917.3

1,905.8 1,330.9 3,143.5 3,817.5

-961.7 -1,679.9 -1,349.8 -1,510.4

2015P Ⅰ Ⅱ

23,454.5 28,863.0

25,258.2 34,858.5

135,480.6 143,437.4

110,222.4 108,578.9

-5,413.0 -4,019.5

4,830.5 -863.3

-1,221.2 -1,112.7

2013 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

3,075.6 2,473.1 7,065.6 5,334.6 9,886.4 7,126.4 7,323.2 6,745.6 8,181.6 11,108.9 6,229.9 6,597.3

3,953.0 3,256.4 7,088.6 5,510.6 9,363.1 5,711.6 7,462.2 7,271.4 8,572.1 9,767.8 8,024.8 6,799.4

51,765.7 44,916.0 51,141.6 51,704.7 53,477.3 48,883.9 53,326.3 49,899.2 50,490.3 56,820.8 52,702.3 53,028.8

47,812.7 41,659.6 44,053.0 46,194.1 44,114.2 43,172.3 45,864.1 42,627.8 41,918.2 47,053.0 44,677.5 46,229.4

-1,556.6 -1,144.9 33.6 496.2 -28.7 180.4 -879.0 -869.3 -330.2 405.8 -2,088.9 -717.6

1,169.5 623.3 19.6 -482.0 721.6 1,420.9 1,032.7 665.9 648.0 1,335.7 674.8 1,225.7

-490.3 -261.7 -76.2 -190.2 -169.6 -186.5 -292.7 -322.4 -708.3 -400.4 -380.8 -710.2

2014 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

3,323.7 4,537.5 7,324.7 7,163.1 9,119.2 7,958.1 7,881.7 7,235.1 7,448.9 8,883.2 11,322.1 7,022.8

4,367.0 5,403.4 7,974.8 10,648.0 9,133.5 6,646.6 6,794.4 7,367.3 7,514.3 8,487.1 10,031.4 8,319.8

50,599.8 47,993.3 54,095.5 56,721.4 52,383.0 50,281.0 53,811.7 48,920.1 50,750.5 51,970.8 50,063.0 53,708.8

46,232.8 42,589.9 46,120.7 46,073.4 43,249.5 43,634.4 47,017.3 41,552.8 43,236.2 43,483.7 40,031.6 45,389.0

-1,873.7 -1,020.3 -609.4 -1,004.4 -297.7 -536.6 31.0 -694.3 -240.7 -212.6 -164.6 -1,540.1

1,211.4 371.8 322.6 -1,619.7 725.1 2,225.5 1,488.8 1,048.0 606.7 967.6 1,667.5 1,182.4

-381.0 -217.4 -363.3 -860.8 -441.7 -377.4 -432.5 -485.9 -431.4 -358.9 -212.2 -939.3

2015P 1 2 3 4 5 6 7

6,583.0 6,442.2 10,429.3 8,135.7 8,618.1 12,109.2 10,114.8

6,687.0 7,321.2 11,250.0 12,558.0 9,156.2 13,144.3 10,858.7

45,398.8 40,595.3 49,486.5 50,376.1 43,835.5 49,225.8 48,204.0

38,711.8 33,274.1 38,236.5 37,818.1 34,679.3 36,081.5 37,345.3

-2,384.4 -2,061.6 -967.0 -1,125.0 -397.6 -2,496.9 -1,923.7

2,900.4 1,401.3 528.8 -2,837.5 293.6 1,680.6 1,275.1

-620.0 -218.7 -382.5 -459.8 -434.1 -218.8 -95.3

Exports

Imports

49,406.0 80,568.6 92,687.6

603,509.2 617,127.6 621,298.9

-746.0 11,605.1 16,886.8 23,089.1

1,661.5 8,535.0 15,894.6 23,314.9

2013 Ⅰ Ⅱ Ⅲ Ⅳ

12,614.3 22,347.4 22,250.4 23,936.1

2014 Ⅰ Ⅱ Ⅲ Ⅳ

P: Preliminary Source: The Bank of Korea

63

ECONOMIC BULLETIN • september 2015

10. Balance of payments (II) (US $ million)

Capital & financial account

Direct investment

Portfolio investment

Financial derivatives

Other investment

Capital transfers & acquisition of nonfinancial assets

Reserve assets

2012 2013 2014

-51,582.4 -80,104.6 -90,383.3

-21,136.2 -15,593.2 -20,659.5

6,747.8 -9,344.5 -33,605.3

2,627.8 4,410.3 3,704.9

-26,637.3 -43,281.1 -21,937.9

-41.7 -27.0 -9.0

-13,184.5 -16,296.1 -17,885.5

2012 Ⅰ Ⅱ Ⅲ Ⅳ

-4,564.4 -4,278.7 -18,096.1 -24,643.2

-7,579.6 -4,057.3 -5,705.4 -3,793.9

14,759.6 -6,803.0 4,177.7 -5,386.5

1,198.5 -270.6 595.3 1,104.6

-6,495.1 6,181.1 -13,247.2 -13,076.1

-19.2 -6.7 -9.0 -6.8

-6,447.8 671.1 -3,916.5 -3,491.3

2013 Ⅰ Ⅱ Ⅲ Ⅳ

-11,448.7 -19,645.6 -22,675.5 -26,334.8

-3,878.4 -3,397.8 -3,426.8 -4,890.2

-7,285.9 -9,776.5 9,375.4 -1,657.5

1,395.8 -513.6 1,656.3 1,871.8

2,880.2 -10,063.8 -23,611.4 -12,486.1

-2.7 -27.5 12.8 -9.6

-4,560.4 4,106.1 -6,669.0 -9,172.8

2014 Ⅰ Ⅱ Ⅲ Ⅳ

-17177.8 -24,208.1 -22,481.5 -26,515.9

-3,657.7 -7,552.9 -3,908.6 -5,540.3

-13,596.7 -5,867.2 -4,762.4 -9,379.0

892.6 2,083.5 1,531.9 -803.1

6,207.4 -1,701.9 -9,510.4 -16,933.0

-2.1 -4.3 3.6 -6.2

-7,023.4 -11,169.6 -5,832.0 6,139.5

2015P Ⅰ Ⅱ

-24,799.8 -29,365.0

-5,385.9 -8,161.2

-7,838.4 -6,994.1

41.0 461.4

-4,506.4 -7,369.2

-23.1 -25.5

-7,110.1 -7,301.9

2013 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

-2,694.7 -1,707.1 -7,046.9 -2,435.7 -12,288.9 -4,921.0 -9,446.1 -6,236.3 -6,993.1 -10,139.4 -7,433.1 -8,762.3

-802.5 -909.3 -2,166.6 401.3 -2,175.6 -1,623.5 -796.8 -1,157.2 -1,472.8 -340.7 -2,243.9 -2,305.6

-5,964.7 2,149.9 -3,471.1 -2,060.8 -1,642.1 -6,073.6 1,785.8 1,584.1 6,005.5 4,942.8 -1,557.9 -5,042.4

579.6 651.0 165.2 -301.1 719.1 -931.6 431.4 210.0 1,014.9 805.3 466.9 599.6

4,123.7 -1,158.3 -85.2 -1,382.5 -8,189.7 -491.6 -8,821.6 -5,172.4 -9,617.4 -10,754.2 -1,248.6 -483.3

-8.0 -2.9 8.2 -1.6 -11.0 -14.9 1.1 18.2 -6.5 -2.0 0.0 -7.6

-630.8 -2,440.4 -1,489.2 907.4 -1,000.6 4,199.3 -2,044.9 -1,700.8 -2,923.3 -4,792.6 -2,849.6 -1,530.6

2014 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

-4,477.0 -6,920.5 -5,780.3 -6,238.8 -8,132.4 -9,836.9 -5,916.9 -7,802.4 -8,762.2 -6,801.5 -9,915.5 -9,798.9

529.9 -2,163.5 -2,024.1 -2,157.8 -3,338.8 -2,056.3 -1,011.5 -749.5 -2,147.6 -2,088.9 -2,098.2 -1,353.2

-4,193.1 -7,394.4 -2,009.2 1,662.3 -3,311.0 -4,218.5 -1,743.7 504.4 -3,523.1 -382.4 -2,835.6 -6,161.0

155.5 223.1 514.0 858.1 534.5 690.9 504.1 557.7 470.1 -570.7 -81.8 -150.6

1,937.4 4,739.0 -469.0 -5,935.6 3,950.6 283.1 -338.1 -7,288.1 -1,884.2 -4,007.0 -7,797.4 -5,128.6

-3.0 3.5 -2.6 2.6 -4.3 -2.6 -6.3 11.2 -1.3 -1.1 -0.9 -4.2

-2,906.7 -2,324.7 -1,792.0 -665.8 -5,967.7 -4,536.1 -3,327.7 -826.9 -1,677.4 247.5 2,897.5 2,994.5

2015P 1 2 3 4 5 6 7

-8,240.4 -5,538.7 -11,020.7 -10,061.9 -8,810.9 -10,492.2 -10,635.4

-1,001.5 -1,994.5 -2,389.9 -1,971.3 -1,202.7 -4,987.2 -115.4

-3,623.7 -3,001.5 -1,213.2 -138.0 -358.3 -6,497.8 -7,149.3

-76.2 27.5 89.7 301.9 403.7 -244.2 -959.9

489.1 -371.2 -4,624.3 -4,851.0 -4,755.5 2,237.3 -3,383.6

-13.0 -1.7 -8.4 -8.5 -1.5 -15.5 -29.9

-4,028.1 -199.0 -2,883.0 -3,403.5 -2,898.1 -1,000.3 972.8

Period

P: Preliminary Source: Statistics Korea

64

Statistical Appendices

11. Prices (2010=100)

Period

Consumer Prices Commodities Services

All Items y-o-y change (%)

y-o-y change (%)

Producer prices All Items Commodities

Core

y-o-y change (%)

y-o-y change (%)

y-o-y change (%)

y-o-y change (%)

2012 2013 2014

106.3 107.7 109.0

2.2 1.3 1.3

108.9 110.1 111.1

3.0 1.0 0.9

104.2 105.8 107.4

1.4 1.5 1.6

104.9 106.6 108.8

1.6 1.6 2.0

107.5 105.7 105.2

0.7 -1.6 -0.5

108.9 106.2 104.8

0.2 -2.5 -1.4

2012 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

105.7 106.1 106.0 106.0 106.2 106.1 105.9 106.3 107.0 106.9 106.5 106.7

3.4 3.1 2.6 2.5 2.5 2.2 1.5 1.2 2.0 2.1 1.6 1.4

107.9 108.5 109.2 108.9 109.2 108.8 107.9 108.8 110.4 109.8 108.9 109.0

4.4 3.9 4.1 4.1 4.3 3.6 1.9 1.6 3.1 3.0 2.0 1.6

103.9 104.2 103.5 103.7 103.9 104.0 104.2 104.4 104.4 104.6 104.6 104.8

2.7 2.5 1.4 1.3 1.3 1.2 1.1 1.1 1.3 1.4 1.3 1.3

104.6 104.7 104.3 104.4 104.6 104.9 104.9 105.1 105.2 105.2 105.3 105.5

3.2 2.5 1.9 1.8 1.6 1.5 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.5 1.3 1.2

107.7 108.4 108.9 109.0 108.4 107.1 106.6 107.2 107.6 106.8 106.1 105.8

3.2 3.1 2.4 1.9 1.0 0.0 -0.6 -0.1 0.2 -0.5 -0.9 -1.2

109.5 110.5 111.2 111.1 110.3 108.4 107.6 108.6 109.2 107.8 106.8 106.4

3.6 3.6 2.7 1.9 0.7 -0.7 -1.5 -0.9 -0.4 -1.4 -1.9 -2.3

2013 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

107.3 107.7 107.6 107.5 107.5 107.3 107.6 107.9 108.1 107.8 107.8 107.9

1.6 1.6 1.5 1.3 1.1 1.2 1.6 1.5 1.0 0.9 1.2 1.1

109.9 110.4 110.4 109.9 109.6 109.4 109.7 110.3 110.9 110.1 110.1 110.2

1.7 1.6 1.1 0.9 0.4 0.7 1.7 1.5 0.4 0.3 1.0 0.9

105.3 105.6 105.4 105.6 105.7 105.7 105.9 106.1 106.0 106.0 106.0 106.2

1.5 1.5 1.7 1.7 1.8 1.6 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.4 1.3 1.3

105.9 106.2 106.0 106.0 106.4 106.6 106.7 106.7 107.0 107.1 107.4 107.5

1.3 1.4 1.6 1.6 1.7 1.6 1.7 1.5 1.7 1.8 2.0 1.9

106.0 106.7 106.3 105.9 105.6 105.5 105.5 105.8 105.7 105.3 105.1 105.4

-1.6 -1.6 -2.4 -2.8 -2.6 -1.4 -1.0 -1.3 -1.8 -1.4 -0.9 -0.4

106.8 107.8 107.1 106.6 106.1 106.0 106.0 106.2 106.1 105.5 105.2 105.5

-2.5 -2.5 -3.7 -4.1 -3.8 -2.2 -1.6 -2.1 -2.8 -2.2 -1.5 -0.9

2014 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

108.5 108.8 109.0 109.1 109.2 109.1 109.3 109.5 109.4 109.1 108.8 108.8

1.1 1.0 1.3 1.5 1.7 1.7 1.6 1.4 1.1 1.2 1.0 0.8

110.9 111.4 111.6 111.3 111.5 111.2 111.2 111.4 111.5 110.6 110.2 110.1

0.9 0.9 1.1 1.3 1.7 1.7 1.4 1.0 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.0

106.6 106.7 107.0 107.3 107.5 107.4 107.7 107.9 107.8 107.8 107.7 107.8

1.3 1.1 1.5 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.6 1.6

107.7 108.0 108.3 108.5 108.8 108.9 109.1 109.2 109.1 109.1 109.1 109.3

1.7 1.7 2.1 2.3 2.2 2.1 2.2 2.4 1.9 1.8 1.6 1.6

105.6 105.8 105.7 105.6 105.5 105.6 105.7 105.6 105.2 104.5 104.1 103.1

-0.3 -0.9 -0.5 -0.3 0.0 0.1 0.2 -0.2 -0.5 -0.8 -0.9 -2.1

105.7 105.9 105.7 105.4 105.3 105.4 105.5 105.1 104.7 103.6 103.1 101.9

-1.0 -1.7 -1.3 -1.1 -0.7 -0.6 -0.4 -1.1 -1.3 -1.8 -2.0 -3.6

2015 1 2 3 4 5 6 7

109.4 109.4 109.4 109.5 109.8 109.8 110.0

0.8 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.7 0.7

110.9 110.6 110.3 110.1 110.6 110.7 110.3

-0.1 -0.7 -1.2 -1.1 -0.8 -0.5 -0.8

108.2 108.4 108.7 109.0 109.2 109.2 109.8

1.5 1.5 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 2.0

110.3 110.4 110.6 110.7 111.1 111.1 111.3

2.4 2.3 2.1 2.0 2.1 2.0 2.0

101.9 101.9 101.8 101.8 101.8 101.8 101.4

-3.6 -3.6 -3.7 -3.6 -3.5 -3.6 -4.0

99.7 99.7 99.5 99.3 99.3 99.3 98.6

-5.8 -5.8 -5.9 -5.8 -5.7 -5.8 -6.4

Source: The Bank of Korea

65

ECONOMIC BULLETIN • september 2015

12. Employment Period

Economically active persons (thousand)

All industry

y-o-y change (%)

Employed persons (thousand) Manufacturing SOC & services

y-o-y change (%)

y-o-y change (%)

y-o-y change (%)

Unemployment rate (%)

2012 2013 2014

25,501 25,873 26,536

1.6 1.5 2.6

24,681 25,066 25,599

1.8 1.6 2.1

4,105 4,184 4,330

0.3 1.9 3.5

19,033 19,347 19,805

2.4 1.6 2.4

3.2 3.1 3.5

2012 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

24,585 24,825 25,210 25,653 25,939 25,939 25,901 25,623 25,755 25,787 25,652 25,139

2.0 1.6 1.2 1.6 1.8 1.4 1.7 1.4 2.7 1.5 1.3 1.0

23,732 23,783 24,265 24,758 25,133 25,117 25,106 24,859 25,003 25,069 24,941 24,402

2.3 1.9 1.8 1.9 1.9 1.5 1.9 1.5 2.8 1.6 1.4 1.1

4,034 4,060 4,018 4,027 4,071 4,084 4,114 4,111 4,153 4,188 4,218 4,183

-2.8 -2.1 -2.5 -2.0 -1.6 -1.2 0.8 2.0 3.5 3.6 4.0 2.8

18,631 18,599 18,870 19,103 19,292 19,248 19,265 19,040 19,125 19,128 19,088 19,010

3.5 3.2 3.4 3.1 3.0 2.3 2.2 1.6 2.8 1.4 0.9 0.9

3.5 4.2 3.7 3.5 3.1 3.2 3.1 3.0 2.9 2.8 2.8 2.9

2013 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

24,901 24,973 25,397 25,928 26,195 26,291 26,301 26,074 26,186 26,268 26,230 25,736

1.3 0.6 0.7 1.1 1.0 1.4 1.5 1.7 1.7 1.9 2.3 2.4

24,054 23,984 24,514 25,103 25,398 25,478 25,473 25,291 25,466 25,545 25,530 24,962

1.4 0.8 1.0 1.4 1.1 1.4 1.5 1.7 1.9 1.9 2.4 2.3

4,189 4,139 4,141 4,192 4,175 4,180 4,167 4,116 4,174 4,218 4,253 4,264

3.9 1.9 3.1 4.1 2.6 2.3 1.3 0.1 0.5 0.7 0.8 2.0

18,810 18,736 18,989 19,303 19,492 19,531 19,577 19,438 19,540 19,558 19,670 19,514

1.0 0.7 0.6 1.0 1.0 1.5 1.6 2.1 2.2 2.2 3.0 2.7

3.4 4.0 3.5 3.2 3.0 3.1 3.1 3.0 2.7 2.8 2.7 3.0

2014 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

25,650 25,997 26,187 26,714 26,762 26,825 26,891 26,775 26,766 26,809 26,786 26,270

3.0 4.1 3.1 3.0 2.2 2.0 2.2 2.7 2.2 2.1 2.1 2.1

24,759 24,819 25,163 25,684 25,811 25,875 25,979 25,885 25,917 25,951 25,968 25,384

2.9 3.5 2.6 2.3 1.6 1.6 2.0 2.3 1.8 1.6 1.7 1.7

4,280 4,274 4,284 4,288 4,324 4,345 4,358 4,335 4,347 4,361 4,355 4,406

2.2 3.3 3.5 2.3 3.6 3.9 4.6 5.3 4.1 3.4 2.4 3.3

19,376 19,407 19,538 19,819 19,815 19,841 20,003 19,940 19,949 19,973 20,098 19,896

3.0 3.6 2.9 2.7 1.7 1.6 2.2 2.6 2.1 2.1 2.2 2.0

3.5 4.5 3.9 3.9 3.6 3.5 3.4 3.3 3.2 3.2 3.1 3.4

2015 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8

26,094 26,398 26,577 26,954 27,211 27,255 27,303 27,064

1.7 1.5 1.5 0.9 1.7 1.6 1.5 1.1

25,106 25,195 25,501 25,900 26,189 26,205 26,305 26,141

1.4 1.5 1.3 0.8 1.5 1.3 1.3 1.0

4,421 4,433 4,400 4,455 4,464 4,478 4,528 4,491

3.3 3.7 2.7 3.9 3.2 3.1 3.9 3.6

19,693 19,716 19,832 20,004 20,179 20,161 20,250 20,153

1.6 1.6 1.5 0.9 1.8 1.6 1.2 1.1

3.8 4.6 4.0 3.9 3.8 3.9 3.7 3.4

Source: Statistics Korea

66

Statistical Appendices

13. Financial indicators (period average)

Period

Yields(%) Corporate bonds Treasury bonds (3 years, AA-) (3 years)

Treasury bonds (5 years)

Stock KOSPI(endperiod)

Call rate (1 day)

CDs (91 days)

2011 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

2.7 2.8 2.9 3.0 3.0 3.2 3.3 3.3 3.3 3.2 3.3 3.3

2.9 3.1 3.4 3.4 3.5 3.5 3.6 3.6 3.6 3.6 3.6 3.6

4.5 4.7 4.5 4.5 4.4 4.4 4.5 4.2 4.2 4.3 4.2 4.2

3.7 3.9 3.7 3.7 3.7 3.7 3.8 3.6 3.5 3.5 3.4 3.4

4.3 4.4 4.1 4.1 4.0 3.9 4.0 3.7 3.6 3.6 3.5 3.5

2,069.73 1,939.30 2,106.70 2,192.36 2,142.47 2,100.69 2,133.21 1,880.11 1,769.65 1,909.03 1,847.51 1,825.74

2012 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

3.3 3.3 3.3 3.3 3.3 3.3 3.1 3.0 3.0 2.8 2.8 2.8

3.6 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.3 3.2 3.1 2.9 2.9 2.9

4.2 4.3 4.4 4.3 4.0 3.9 3.6 3.4 3.3 3.3 3.3 3.3

3.4 3.4 3.6 3.5 3.4 3.3 3.0 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.9

3.5 3.6 3.7 3.6 3.5 3.4 3.1 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.9 3.0

1,955.79 2,030.25 2,014.04 1,981.99 1,843.47 1,854.01 1,881.99 1,905.12 1,996.21 1,912.06 1,932.90 1,997.05

2013 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

2.8 2.8 2.7 2.8 2.6 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5

2.9 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7

3.2 3.1 3.0 2.9 3.0 3.2 3.4 3.3 3.3 3.3 3.4 3.4

2.8 2.7 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.8 2.9 2.9

2.9 2.8 2.7 2.6 2.7 3.1 3.2 3.2 3.2 3.1 3.2 3.3

1,961.94 2,026.49 2,004.89 1,963.95 2,001.05 1,863.32 1,914.03 1,926.36 1,996.96 2,030.09 2,044.87 2,011.34

2014 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.3 2.2 2.1 2.0 2.0

2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.5 2.4 2.2 2.1 2.1

3.3 3.3 3.3 3.3 3.3 3.2 3.0 3.0 2.8 2.6 2.5 2.5

2.9 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.8 2.7 2.6 2.5 2.4 2.2 2.1 2.1

3.3 3.2 3.2 3.2 3.1 3.0 2.8 2.8 2.6 2.4 2.3 2.3

1,941.15 1,979.99 1,985.61 1,961.79 1,994.96 2,002.21 2,076.12 2,068.54 2,020.09 1,964.43 1,980.78 1,915.59

2015 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8

2.0 2.0 1.8 1.7 1.7 1.6 1.5 1.5

2.1 2.1 2.0 1.8 1.8 1.7 1.7 1.6

2.4 2.3 2.1 2.0 2.1 2.0 2.0 2.0

2.0 2.0 1.9 1.7 1.9 1.8 1.8 1.7

2.2 2.1 2.0 1.9 2.1 2.0 2.0 1.9

1,949.26 1,985.80 2,041.03 2,127.17 2,114.80 2,074.20 2,030.16 1,941.49

Source: The Bank of Korea

67

ECONOMIC BULLETIN • september 2015

14. Monetary indicators (billion won)

Period 2012 2013 2014

Reserve money y-o-y change (%)

M1

M2

y-o-y change (%)

Lf

y-o-y change (%)

y-o-y change (%)

82,131.1 91,379.4 103,331.5

9.2 11.3 13.1

441,963.6 484,062.9 536,733.4

3.8 9.5 10.9

1,798,625.7 1,885,781.3 2,009,576.3

5.2 4.8 6.6

2,379,518.7 2,543,299.4 2,721,747.4

7.8 6.9 7.0

2012 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

81,635.4 81,655.3 79,068.0 80,641.8 80,547.7 81,804.0 81,555.7 82,369.1 82,958.7 85,078.6 82,956.5 85,302.7

11.0 8.3 8.3 10.2 9.1 9.5 10.1 8.9 6.4 10.6 8.3 9.6

439,352.9 437,193.9 440,075.4 437,445.3 438,795.3 441,611.0 441,760.6 439,573.2 440,034.3 444,477.8 445,463.9 457,778.9

2.3 1.1 2.1 2.8 3.5 4.7 5.4 4.0 3.5 5.5 5.3 5.8

1,757,058.7 1,762,988.4 1,773,172.9 1,777,114.7 1,784,220.5 1,796,981.5 1,807,289.2 1,817,134.9 1,819,290.1 1,822,420.9 1,830,280.3 1,835,556.7

4.8 5.3 5.7 5.5 5.5 5.9 6.0 5.7 5.2 4.6 4.4 4.5

2,292,213.5 2,302,065.8 2,341,626.9 2,349,723.2 2,357,701.0 2,377,071.3 2,393,737.7 2,405,239.9 2,415,263.5 2,424,000.4 2,440,062.8 2,455,962.9

6.5 7.2 8.8 8.6 8.4 8.5 8.4 7.8 7.6 7.1 7.1 7.3

2013 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

85,839.3 88,855.7 89,523.5 87,729.0 89,654.8 91,207.6 90,643.7 93,729.6 95,130.6 93,640.4 93,609.9 96,988.5

5.1 8.8 13.2 8.8 11.3 11.5 11.1 13.8 14.7 10.1 12.8 13.7

464,914.5 472,239.6 472,430.1 475,330.0 475,526.7 486,587.5 488,982.7 481,416.9 490,518.7 491,947.9 499,242.7 509,617.9

5.8 8.0 7.4 8.7 8.4 10.2 10.7 9.5 11.5 10.7 12.1 11.3

1,841,128.1 1,857,135.0 1,862,405.5 1,867,726.3 1,870,289.7 1,884,193.2 1,890,728.6 1,888,658.4 1,903,187.1 1,908,557.6 1,923,339.2 1,932,026.4

4.8 5.3 5.0 5.1 4.8 4.9 4.6 3.9 4.6 4.7 5.1 5.3

2,469,789.3 2,488,539.0 2,499,718.1 2,512,459.7 2,518,239.1 2,533,750.8 2,549,443.5 2,557,336.3 2,577,546.7 2,587,071.4 2,605,873.9 2,619,029.5

7.7 8.1 6.8 6.9 6.8 6.6 6.5 6.3 6.7 6.7 6.8 6.6

2014 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

98,541.6 100,547.9 100,624.0 98,898.5 101,791.4 101,412.3 101,164.2 107,682.4 105,354.1 107,117.5 106,667.9 110,175.6

14.8 13.2 12.4 12.7 13.5 11.2 11.6 14.9 10.7 14.4 13.9 13.6

515,742.5 518,475.5 520,299.0 518,809.3 523,069.9 532,041.2 534,028.8 538,640.3 548,550.8 551,416.0 562,006.2 577,721.1

10.9 9.8 10.1 9.1 10.0 9.3 9.2 11.9 11.8 12.1 12.6 13.4

1,937,045.6 1,954,340.7 1,964,954.0 1,970,361.6 1,982,390.9 1,999,376.3 2,013,935.1 2,031,777.2 2,037,600.8 2,051,149.8 2,083,253.5 2,088,729.8

5.2 5.2 5.5 5.5 6.0 6.1 6.5 7.6 7.1 7.5 8.3 8.1

2,635,100.1 2,647,674.0 2,659,370.7 2,669,341.4 2,684,643.9 2,703,088.1 2,725,737.6 2,743,972.5 2,759,390.8 2,776,971.6 2,817,698.0 2,837,910.9

6.7 6.4 6.4 6.2 6.6 6.7 6.9 7.3 7.1 7.3 8.1 8.2

2015 1 2 3 4 5 6 7

113,304.2 116,502.4 115,974.9 115,132.7 117,726.3 118,688.2 122,041.0

15.0 15.9 15.3 16.4 15.7 17.0 20.6

579,964.2 592,737.4 600,719.9 610,803.3 621,985.5 630,546.3 645,975.4

12.5 14.3 15.5 17.7 18.9 18.5 21.0

2,092,223.5 2,109,843.2 2,127,887.8 2,148,114.7 2,166,741.1 2,180,006.1 2,200,510.9

8.0 8.0 8.3 9.0 9.3 9.0 9.3

2,857,610.1 2,876,619.9 2,907,976.4 2,936,746.7 2,960,998.1 2,986,326.9 3,013,503.9

8.4 8.6 9.3 10.0 10.3 10.5 10.6

Source: The Bank of Korea

68

Statistical Appendices

15. Exchange rates (end-period)

Period

100/ \

US $/ \

Euro/ \

Won

y-o-y change (%)

Won

y-o-y change (%)

Won

y-o-y change (%)

2012 2013 2014

1,071.1 1,055.3 1,099.2

-7.1 -1.5 4.2

1,247.5 1,004.7 920.1

-16.0 -19.5 -8.4

1,416.3 1,456.3 1,336.5

-5.2 2.8 -8.2

2012 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

1,125.0 1,126.5 1,137.8 1,134.2 1,177.8 1,153.8 1,136.2 1,134.6 1,118.6 1,094.1 1,084.7 1,071.1

1.0 -0.1 2.8 5.8 9.0 7.0 7.9 5.9 -5.2 -0.9 -5.7 -7.1

1,473.1 1,399.2 1,380.7 1,412.0 1,489.1 1,453.8 1,453.6 1,444.0 1,441.1 1,374.5 1,320.6 1,247.5

8.6 1.3 3.7 7.5 11.5 8.8 7.4 3.4 -6.2 -5.7 -10.5 -16.0

1,478.2 1,516.3 1,513.4 1,501.7 1,456.6 1,435.0 1,393.1 1,419.6 1,444.3 1,418.3 1,407.3 1,416.3

-2.4 -2.1 -3.2 -5.6 -6.0 -8.0 -7.6 -8.3 -9.8 -9.2 -8.2 -5.2

2013 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

1,082.7 1,085.4 1,112.1 1,108.1 1,128.3 1,149.7 1,113.6 1,110.9 1,075.6 1,061.4 1,062.1 1,055.3

-3.8 -3.6 -2.3 -2.3 -4.2 -0.4 -2.0 -2.1 -3.8 -3.0 -2.1 -1.5

1,188.5 1,176.2 1,180.1 1,132.0 1,116.6 1,167.2 1,135.4 1,129.2 1,098.7 1,077.5 1,038.2 1,004.7

-19.3 -15.9 -14.5 -19.8 -25.0 -19.7 -21.9 -21.8 -23.8 -21.6 -21.4 -19.5

1,469.3 1,425.8 1,425.2 1,451.3 1,471.4 1,498.2 1,476.7 1,470.6 1,451.3 1,456.6 1,444.8 1,456.3

-0.6 -6.0 -5.8 -3.4 1.0 4.4 6.0 3.6 0.5 2.7 2.7 2.8

2014 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

1,079.2 1,067.7 1,068.8 1,031.7 1,021.6 1,014.4 1,024.3 1,013.6 1,050.6 1,054.0 1,101.1 1,099.2

-0.3 -1.6 -3.9 -6.9 -9.5 -11.8 -8.0 -8.8 -2.3 -0.7 3.7 4.2

1,043.7 1,044.8 1,038.7 1,005.3 1,004.2 1,000.0 995.7 977.6 960.2 964.1 933.9 920.1

-12.2 -11.2 -12.0 -11.2 -10.1 -14.3 -12.3 -13.4 -12.6 -10.5 -10.0 -8.4

1,473.6 1,463.6 1,469.4 1,425.0 1,389.6 1,384.2 1,371.8 1,336.2 1,333.3 1,328.8 1,372.2 1,336.5

0.3 2.7 3.1 -1.8 -5.6 -7.6 -7.1 -9.1 -8.1 -8.8 -5.0 -8.2

2015 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8

1,090.8 1,099.2 1,105.0 1,068.1 1,108.0 1,124.1 1,166.3 1,176.3

1.1 3.0 3.4 3.5 8.5 10.8 13.9 16.1

921.3 920.7 920.3 897.2 894.6 917.2 939.3 970.1

-11.7 -11.9 -11.4 -10.8 -10.9 -8.3 -5.7 -0.8

1,235.7 1,230.7 1,196.8 1,187.0 1,215.2 1,260.5 1,275.4 1,317.3

-16.1 -15.9 -18.6 -16.7 -12.6 -8.9 -7.0 -1.4

Source: The Bank of Korea

69

ECONOMIC BULLETIN • september 2015

Seodaemun Prison Seodaemun Prison was built in the early 20th century. It was used by the Japanese colonial government to imprison and torture anticolonial activists. After the Japanese colonial rule ended, it continued to be used as a prison by the Korean government until 1987. In 1998, the site was reborn as Seodaemun Prison History Hall, a place where visitors can learn about the independence movement and the patriots who fought for liberation during the colonial era.

Useful websites Ministry of Strategy and Finance http://english.mosf.go.kr Ministry of Trade, Industry and Energy http://www.motie.go.kr/language/eng Financial Services Commission http://www.fsc.go.kr/eng Financial Supervisory Service http://english.fss.or.kr Fair Trade Commission http://eng.ftc.go.kr Ministry of Employment and Labor http://www.moel.go.kr/english The Bank of Korea http://www.bok.or.kr/eng Statistics Korea http://kostat.go.kr/portal/english

ISSN 2287-7266

ECONOMIC BULLETIN (Republic of Korea)

Republic of Korea

Vol.37 No.9 september 2015 eb.kdi.re.kr

conomic u l l e t i n

Vol.37 No.9 september 2015

The Green Book: Current Economic Trends Policy Issue 2016 Budget Planned to Increase Youth Employment and Support Economic Innovation

Economic News Briefing Korea Calls for Well-Calibrated Monetary Policies at G20 Meeting S&P Raises Korea’s Credit Rating 2015-2019 Public Institution Financial Management Plan Korea Grows 0.3% in Q2

Statistical Appendices

ECONOMIC BULLETIN

(Republic of Korea)

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