Republic of Korea
Economic Bulletin
Vol.39 No.11 NOVEMBER 2017 eb.kdi.re.kr ISSN 2287-7266
The Green Book: Current Economic Trends Policy Issue Korea to Boost Entrepreneurship, Building up Startup-friendly Environment
Economic News Briefing Government Unveils Support Prior to Minimum Wage Increase Korea and Canada Sign Standing Currency Swap Agreement Government to Improve Regulations to Develop KTB Market Korea Grows 1.4% in Q3 2017
Statistical Appendices
Janggu The janggu , which is a double-headed drum with an hourglass-shaped body, is one of the most widely used instruments in traditional Korean music. The left head of the janggu is covered with thick leather to produce deep tones, while the right head is covered with lighter leather to produce high tones.
02
The Green Book: Current Economic Trends Overview
03
01. External economic situation
04
02. Private consumption
09
03. Facility investment
11
04. Construction investment
13
05. Exports and imports
15
06. Mining and manufacturing production
17
07. Service sector activity
19
08. Employment
21
09. Financial markets
25
9.1 Stock market
25
9.2 Exchange rate
26
9.3 Bond market
27
9.4 Money supply and money market
28
10. Balance of payments
29
11. Prices
32
11.1 Consumer prices
32
11.2 International oil and commodity prices
34
12. Real estate market
36
12.1 Housing market
36
12.2 Land market
38
13. Composite indices of business cycle indicators
42
11
Contents
40
Policy Issue Korea to boost entrepreneurship, building up startup-friendly environment
45
Economic News Briefing Government unveils support prior to minimum wage increase Korea and Canada sign standing currency swap agreement Government to improve regulations to develop KTB market Korea grows 1.4% in Q3 2017 (advanced) Korea ranks 4th in World Bank’s Doing Business index
49 Statistical Appendices
Editor-in-Chief Kim Joo-Hoon (KDI) Lee Kye-Moon (MOSF) Editorial Board Lee Young-Joo (MOSF) Lee Jae-Yeal (KDI) Yu Seong-Im (KDI) Coordinators Kim Dae-Hyun (MOSF) Lee Ji-Youn (KDI) Editors Kwon Bum-Joon (MOSF) Shin Dong-Gyun (MOSF)
The Green Book: Current Economic Trends Overview 01. External economic situation 02. Private consumption 03. Facility investment 04. Construction investment 05. Exports and imports 06. Mining and manufacturing production 07. Service sector activity 08. Employment 09. Financial markets 10. Balance of payments 11. Prices 12. Real estate market 13. Composite indices of business cycle indicators
03
November 2017
Overview The Korean economy continued to improve as exports and production have been strong amid recovering global economies, and domestic demand showed signs of rebound. The economy added 314,000 jobs year-on-year in September, picking up from the temporary setback in the previous month (212,000 jobs) due to the bad weather. Supplementary budget spending contributed somewhat to the increase. Consumer price inflation in October fell 0.3 percentage points from the previous month (up 2.1% → up 1.8%, y-o-y) due to low vegetable prices and without a low base effect from last summer’s electricity rate cut. Mining and manufacturing production rose for the third month in a row in September (up 0.1% → up 0.1%, m-o-m) as automobiles, vessels and chemical products improved, and service output rose for the fourth consecutive month (up 0.1% → up 1.3%, m-o-m) due to strong wholesale & retail. Retail sales rebounded in September (down 0.9% → up 3.1%, m-o-m) due to increased demand before the Chuseok holiday and strong smartphone sales. Facility investment, which had slowed down for two months in a row, surged in September (down 0.7% → up 5.5%, m-o-m) due to a low base effect and strong investment in semiconductor manufacturing equipment. Construction investment continued to decline compared with the previous month (down 1.7% → down 2.2%, m-o-m) due to a slowdown in new home construction, which had risen for three consecutive months. Year-on-year construction investment rose 16.1 percent. In September, the cyclical indicator of the coincident composite index rose 0.1 points from the previous month to 100.9, and the cyclical indicator of the leading composite index fell 0.2 points to 101.6. Exports increased for the 12th consecutive month in October (up 35.0% → up 7.1%, y-o-y), despite fewer days worked, backed by strong semiconductors, vessels and petroleum products. In October, KOSPI increased amid strong global markets and expectations for economic recovery, and the dollar-won exchange rate fell as geopolitical risks on the Korean peninsula have eased somewhat. Government bond yields rose. Housing prices grew in October (up 0.12% → up 0.13%, m-o-m) due to rising prices in the Seoul metropolitan area, and Jeonse (lump sum deposits with no monthly payments) price growth stayed stable (up 0.06% → up 0.06%, m-o-m).
The economy is expected to stay on a recovery path given strong exports and supplementary budget spending. However, internal and external risks linger, such as trade issues, major economies’ monetary policies and North related problems.
04
Economic Bulletin
The Green Book
The government will strengthen its risk management, and will work to help create decent jobs and boost the real economy by successfully implementing supplementary budgets.
1. External economic situation The global economy has been recovering as growth continues in both developed and emerging countries. However, there are risks arising from the spread of protectionism and monetary policy normalization in advanced economies.
US The US economy grew 3.0 percent (annualized q-o-q, advanced estimates) in the third quarter of 2017, despite hurricanes, as private consumption and nonresidential fixed investment improved. Industrial production and consumption increased in September. Industrial production in September rose 0.3 percent month-on-month, meeting the market expectations, backed by an increase in manufacturing production (up 0.1%, m-o-m). The ISM Manufacturing Index fell in October. ISM Manufacturing Index (base=50)
57.7 (Feb 2017) → 57.2 (Mar) → 54.8 (Apr) → 54.9 (May) → 57.8 (Jun) → 56.3 (Jul) → 58.8 (Aug) → 60.8 (Sep) → 58.7 (Oct)
US GDP growth and industrial production (%)
8 6 4 2 0 -2 -4 -6 -8
GDP (q-o-q, annualized rate) Industrial production (q-o-q)
-10 2008.Q1
2009.Q1
2010.Q1
2011.Q1
2012.Q1
2013.Q1
Sources: US Department of Commerce, Federal Reserve Board
2014.Q1
2015.Q1
2016.Q1
2017.Q1
05
November 2017
Retail sales rose 1.6 percent month-on-month in September due to strong auto sales (up 3.6%, m-o-m) and gasoline sales (up 5.8%, m-o-m). Consumer confidence increased for a fourth consecutive month in October. Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index (1985=100)
124.9 (Mar 2017) → 119.4 (Apr) → 117.6 (May) → 117.3 (Jun) → 120.0 (Jul) → 120.4 (Aug) → 120.6 (Sep) → 125.9 (Oct)
Existing home sales improved by 0.8 percent month-on-month in September to an annual rate of 5,390,000 homes. New home sales rebounded, rising 18.9 percent to an annual rate of 560,000 units. Case-Shiller Home Price Index (y-o-y, %)
5.4 (Dec 2016) → 5.7 (Jan 2017) → 5.9 (Feb) → 6.0 (Mar) → 5.8 (Apr) → 5.8 (May) → 5.7 (Jun) → 5.8 (Jul) → 5.9 (Aug)
New home sales (m-o-m, %)
-5.4 (Dec 2016) → 9.3 (Jan 2017) → 2.7 (Feb) → 3.7 (Mar) → -7.5 (Apr) → 2.7 (May) → 2.1 (Jun) → -6.0 (Jul) → -3.6 (Aug) → 18.9 (Sep)
In October, nonfarm payrolls added 261,000 new jobs, falling short of the market expectations of 310,000 new jobs. The unemployment rate fell 0.1 percentage points from the previous month to the lowest level since December 2000. Labor force participation rate (%)
63.0 (Feb 2017) → 63.0 (Mar) → 62.9 (Apr) → 62.7 (May) → 62.8 (Jun) → 62.9 (Jul) → 62.9 (Aug) → 63.1 (Sep) → 62.7 (Oct)
Nonfarm payroll increase (m-o-m, thousands)
232 (Feb 2017) → 50 (Mar) → 207 (Apr) → 145 (May) → 210 (Jun) → 138 (Jul) → 208 (Aug) → 18 (Sep) → 261 (Oct)
US nonfarm payroll growth and unemployment rate (thousands)
(%)
800
12
600 10 400 200
8
0 6 -200 -400
4
-600 2
-800
US nonfarm payroll growth (m-o-m, left) Unemployment rate (right)
-1,000 2008.1
2009.1
2010.1
Source: US Department of Labor
2011.1
2012.1
2013.1
2014.1
2015.1
2016.1
2017.1
0
06
Economic Bulletin
The Green Book
(Percentage change from previous period)
2014 2015
2016
2017
Annual Annual Annual Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Aug Sep Oct
Real GDP¹
2.6
2.9
- Personal consumption expenditures
2.9
- Nonresidential fixed investment
6.9
- Residential fixed investment
1.5
2.2 2.8 1.8 1.2 3.1 3.0
-
-
-
3.6
2.7
3.8 2.8 2.9 1.9 3.3 2.4
-
-
-
2.3
-0.6
3.3 3.4 0.2 7.2 6.7 3.9
-
-
-
3.5
10.2
5.5
-4.7 -4.5 7.1 11.1 -7.3 -6.0
-
-
-
Industrial production
3.1
-0.7
-1.2
-0.2 0.2 0.2 0.4 1.3 -0.4 -0.7 0.3
-
Retail sales
4.2
2.6
3.0
1.5 0.9 1.5 1.0 0.3 0.9 -0.1 1.6
-
Existing home sales
-3.1
6.3
3.9
2.2 -1.8 3.1 1.3 -1.0 -3.1 -1.7 0.8
-
Unemployment rate²
6.2
5.3
4.9
4.9 4.9 4.7 4.7 4.4 4.3 4.4 4.2 4.1
Consumer prices (y-o-y)
1.6
0.1
1.3
1.1 1.1 1.8 2.6 1.9 2.0 1.9 2.2
-
1. Annualized rate (%) 2. Seasonally adjusted Sources: US Department of Commerce, Bloomberg
China China’s economy grew 6.8 percent year-on-year in the third quarter of 2017, despite a slowdown in investment, as consumption continued to be strong. Industrial production, retail sales and exports improved in September compared with the previous month.
China’s GDP growth and fixed asset investment (%)
GDP (y-o-y, left) Fixed asset investment (accumulated, y-o-y, right)
(%)
14
50
12
40
10
30
8
20
6
10
0
4 2008.Q1
2009.Q1
2010.Q1
2011.Q1
Source: China National Bureau of Statistics
2012.Q1
2013.Q1
2014.Q1
2015.Q1
2016.Q1
2017.Q1
07
November 2017
(Percentage change from same period in previous year)
2014 2015
2016
Annual Annual Annual
2017
Q2
Q3
Q4
Q1
Q2
Q3
Jul
Aug
Sep
Real GDP
7.3
6.9
6.7
6.7
6.7
6.8
6.9
6.9
6.8
-
-
-
Industrial production
8.2
6.0
6.2
6.1
6.2
6.1
6.8
6.9
6.3
6.4
6.0
6.6
Fixed asset investment 15.7 10.0 (accumulated)
8.1
9.0
8.2
8.1
9.2
8.6
7.5
8.3
7.8
7.5
Retail sales
12.0 10.6 10.4 10.2 10.5 10.6 10.9 10.8 10.3 10.4 10.1 10.3
Exports
6.0
-3.0
-7.7
-6.4
-7.0
-5.3
7.6
8.5
6.5
6.5
5.1
8.1
Consumer prices
2.0
1.4
2.0
2.1
1.7
2.2
1.4
1.4
1.6
1.4
1.8
1.6
Producer prices
-1.9
-5.2
-1.3
-2.9
-0.8
3.3
7.4
5.8
6.5
5.5
6.3
6.9
Source: China National Bureau of Statistics
Japan Japan’s economy continued to grow as retail sales rebounded and exports continued to be strong. The Bank of Japan decided to maintain its monetary easing at the Monetary Policy Meeting held on October 30-31. Core consumer prices (excluding fresh food, y-o-y, %)
0.2 (Mar 2017) → 0.3 (Apr) → 0.4 (May) → 0.4 (Jun) → 0.5 (Jul) → 0.7 (Aug) → 0.7 (Sep)
Japan’s GDP growth and industrial production (%)
(%)
6
25 20
4
15 10
2
5 0
0 -5
-2
- 10 - 15
-4
- 20
GDP (q-o-q, left) Industrial production (q-o-q, right)
-6 2008.Q1
- 25 2009.Q1
2010.Q1
2011.Q1
2012.Q1
2013.Q1
2014.Q1
2015.Q1
2016.Q1
2017.Q1
Sources: Japan's Cabinet Office, Ministry of Economy Trade and Industry, Ministry of Finance, Statistics Bureau of Japan
08
Economic Bulletin
The Green Book
(Percentage change from previous period)
2014 2015
2016
Annual Annual Annual Q1
2017
Q2
Q3
Q4
Q1
Q2
Q3 -
Jul Aug Sep
Real GDP
0.3
1.1
1.0
0.5
0.5
0.2
0.4
0.3
0.6
Industrial production
2.1
-1.2
-0.2 -0.9
0.2
1.6
1.9
0.2
2.1
Retail sales
1.6
-0.3
-0.7 -1.3
0.0
0.5
1.5 -0.2
Exports (y-o-y)
4.8
3.8
-7.4 -7.9 -9.6 -10.2 -1.8 8.2 10.7 15.2 13.4 18.1 14.1
Consumer prices (y-o-y)
2.7
0.8
-0.1
0.0 -0.4 -0.5
0.3
0.3
-
0.4 -0.8
0.7 -0.1
0.4
-
0.6
-
2.0 -1.1
1.1 -1.6
0.4
0.8
0.7
0.7
Sources: Japan's Cabinet Office, Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry, Ministry of Finance, Statistics Bureau of Japan
Eurozone The eurozone economy grew 0.6 percent quarter-on-quarter in the third quarter of 2017, exceeding the market expectations of 0.5 percent growth, backed by an improvement in consumption and strong investment. Manufacturing PMI
55.2 (Jan 2017) → 55.4 (Feb) → 56.2 (Mar) → 56.7 (Apr) → 57.0 (May) → 57.4 (Jun) → 56.6 (Jul) → 57.4 (Aug) → 58.1 (Sep) → 58.6 (Oct)
Eurozone Economic Sentiment Indicator (base 2010=100)
108.0 (Feb 2017) → 108.0 (Mar) → 109.7 (Apr) → 109.2 (May) → 111.1 (Jun) → 111.3 (Jul) → 111.9 (Aug) → 113.1 (Sep) → 114.0 (Oct)
Eurozone’s GDP growth and industrial production (%)
(%)
2
6 4
1
2 0
0 -2
-1 -4 -2
-6 -8
-3
-10
GDP (y-o-y, left) Industrial production (q-o-q, right)
-4
-12 2008.Q1
2009.Q1
Source: Eurostat Source: Eurostat
2010.Q1
2011.Q1
2012.Q1
2013.Q1
2014.Q1
2015.Q1
2016.Q1
2017.Q1
09
November 2017
(Percentage change from previous period)
2014 2015
2016
Annual Annual Annual Q2
2017
Q3
Q4
Q1
Q2
Q3 0.6
-
-
1.4
Real GDP
1.3
2.1
1.9
0.3
0.4
0.6
0.6
0.7
Industrial production
0.8
2.1
1.5 -0.1
0.4
1.0
0.1
1.2
Retail sales
1.5
2.7
1.5
0.3
0.6
0.9
0.3
1.0
Exports (y-o-y)
2.3
5.3
0.3 -0.2
-0.2
2.3 10.9
5.2
-
Consumer prices (y-o-y)
0.4
0.0
0.2 -0.1
0.3
0.7
1.5
1.5
1.8
Aug Sep
Oct
-
-
-
-
0.7
-
6.8
-
-
1.5
1.5
1.4
0.6 -0.5
Sources: Eurostat, Bloomberg
2. Private consumption Private consumption (advanced estimates of GDP) in the third quarter of 2017 rose 0.7 percent quarter-on-quarter and 2.4 percent year-on-year. (Percentage change from previous period)
2014
2015
Annual Annual Q1
Private consumption² (y-o-y)
Q2
2016 Q3
2017
Q4 Annual¹ Q1¹ Q2¹ Q3¹ Q4¹ Q1¹ Q2¹ Q3¹
1.7
2.2
0.9 -0.3 1.3 1.5
-
-
1.5 1.7 2.2 3.4
2.5 -0.1 0.8 0.6 0.2 0.4 1.0 0.7 -
2.3 3.5 2.7 1.5 2.0 2.3 2.4
1. Preliminary 2. National accounts Source: The Bank of Korea
Private consumption (%) 8 6 4 2 0 -2 -4
Private consumption (y-o-y) Private consumption (q-o-q)
-6 2008.Q1
2009.Q1
2010.Q1
2011.Q1
2012.Q1
2013.Q1
2014.Q1
2015.Q1
2016.Q1
2017.Q1
Source: Bank of Korea (national accounts)
Retail sales in September rose 3.1 percent month-on-month. Sales of durable goods (up 2.4%), semi-durable goods (up 1.3%) and nondurable goods (up 4.1%) all improved. Year-on-year, the index rose 8.3 percent..
10
Economic Bulletin
The Green Book
(Percentage change from previous period)
2015
2016
Annual Annual
2017 Q3¹
Aug¹
-
4.3
-0.2
2.0
-1.2
2.1
-0.5
1.2
1.1
-0.9
3.1
(y-o-y)
2.0
-
5.0
5.9
3.5
2.5
1.9
1.7
4.3
0.9
8.3
- Durable goods²
5.1
4.5
-4.0
5.1
-5.8
5.6
-0.3
5.3
0.1
-2.2
2.4
2.5 -10.0
Retail sales
16.4 · Automobiles - Semi-durable goods³ -0.8 1.6 - Nondurable goods
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Q1
Q2
Sep¹
13.9
-20.0
18.4
-4.0
4.1
-4.8
4.3
0.2
2.5
-0.9
1.1
0.1
0.0
-1.3
-0.9
1.1
0.5
1.3
4.8
2.5
0.6
1.1
1.0
-0.3
-0.3
1.8
-0.6
4.1
1. Preliminary 2. Durable goods: Automobiles, electronic appliances, furniture, telecommunications devices, etc. 3. Semi-durable goods: Clothing, footwear, etc. 4. Nondurable goods: Food, medicine, cosmetics, fuel, tobacco, etc. Source: Statistics Korea
Retail sales (%)
15
10
5
0
-5
Retail sales (y-o-y) Retail sales (m-o-m)
-10 2008.1
2009.1
2010.1
2011.1
2012.1
2013.1
2014.1
2015.1
2016.1
2017.1
Source: Statistics Korea (industrial activity trends)
In October, consumer sentiment continued to improve and Chinese tourists declined at a slower rate, while domestic sales of cars and department store sales fell. 2017 Mar
Aug
Sep
Oct
13.7
3.8
1.9
5.6
4.2
0.3
8.3
-0.8
Department store sales (y-o-y, %)
1.7
0.5
-2.8
0.8
0.1
-1.0
5.0
-0.2
Large discount store sales (y-o-y, %)
3.2
6.8
3.8
1.6
1.0
-1.6
-1.1
1.7
Domestic sales of gasoline (y-o-y, %)
4.8
-2.7
6.3
9.7
13.7
-6.1
9.5
3.4
Credit card use (y-o-y, %)
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Domestic sales of cars (y-o-y, %)
-2.6
-6.3
-9.0
-14.8
9.8
11.7
15.8
-13.5
Consumer sentiment index
96.7
101.2
108.0
111.1
111.2
109.9
107.7
109.2
Number of Chinese tourists (y-o-y, %)
-40.0
-66.6
-64.1
-66.4
-69.3
-61.2
-56.1 -46.9¹
1. Advanced estimates based on all Chinese entries, which can be different from the statistic released by the Ministry of Culture, Sports and Tourism as it excludes diplomatic and military personnel Sources: Bank of Korea, Credit Finance Association of Korea, Korea National Oil Corporation, Korea Automobile Manufacturers Association, data provided by retail industries
11
November 2017
3. Facility investment Facility investment (advanced estimates of GDP) in the third quarter of 2017 rose 0.5 percent quarter-on-quarter and 16.8 percent year-on-year. (Percentage change from previous period)
2015
2016
Annual Annual¹
Facility investment²
Q1¹
Q2¹
2017 Q3¹
Q4¹
Q1¹
Q2¹
Q3¹
4.7
-2.3
-7.0
2.6
0.9
5.9
4.4
5.2
0.5
-
-
-4.6
-2.9
-3.9
2.0
14.4
17.3
16.8
- Machinery
2.9
-2.4
-6.8
2.2
-10.2
2.5
-0.5
8.7
-
- Transportation equipment
8.7
-2.0
-7.2
2.8
6.8
7.5
6.4
3.7
-
(y-o-y)
1. Preliminary 2. National accounts Source: Bank of Korea
The facility investment index in September rose 5.5 percent month-on-month as machinery investment increased. The index increased 25.2 percent year-on-year.
Facility investment (%) 40 30 20 10 0 -10 -20
Facility investment (y-o-y) Facility investment (q-o-q)
-30 2008.Q1
2009.Q1
2010.Q1
2011.Q1
2012.Q1
2013.Q1
2014.Q1
2015.Q1
2016.Q1
2017.Q1
Source: Bank of Korea (national accounts) (Percentage change from previous period)
2015
2016
Annual Annual
Facility investment index
2017
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Q1
Q2
Q3¹
Aug¹
Sep¹
6.9
-1.3
-6.5
5.1
-1.9
8.0
5.6
4.4
-0.3
-0.7
5.5
-
-
-7.6
0.6
-4.7
5.9
18.1
17.7
20.7
12.5
25.2
3.6
-2.2
-4.7
1.2
7.1
6.8
7.4
8.6
-0.2
-3.1
9.0
- Transportation equipment 15.0
0.9
-8.7
11.8 -18.9
10.8
2.0
-5.8
-1.3
5.8
-3.8
(y-o-y) - Machinery 1. Preliminary Source: Statistics Korea
12
Economic Bulletin
The Green Book
The facility investment outlook is mixed: Facility investment pressure improved significantly in September, but domestic machinery orders grew slowly and capacity utilization rates fell. BSI in the manufacturing sector (base=100, Bank of Korea)
71 (Jan 2017) → 76 (Feb) → 81 (Mar) → 82 (Apr) → 84 (May) → 84 (Jun) → 80 (Jul) → 78 (Aug) → 83 (Sep) → 79 (Oct) → 84 (Nov) (Percentage change from same period in previous year)
2015
2016
Annual Annual Q1
Domestic machinery orders (q-o-q, m-o-m) -Public
Q2
2017 Q3
Q4
Q1
Q2
Q3¹ Aug¹ Sep¹
-3.9
3.8
-0.6
-3.0
3.3 16.0 29.0 28.5 30.6 38.9 16.9
-
-
-8.3
7.4
-6.2 26.4
0.9
8.3
-4.2
-4.4
-61.7 48.0 56.9 15.7 17.7 87.1
8.2
-4.9
-2.6
-3.2 -75.9
-6.1
-Private
9.6
0.2
-4.5
-4.4
2.2
8.4 31.3 31.5 33.6 40.6 35.4
Machinery imports
0.4
-2.5 -13.0
-6.7
-2.2
5.9 24.1 23.4 22.8 10.9 27.8
Capacity utilization rate
74.5
Facility investment pressure²
-1.2
72.6 73.4 72.8 71.9 72.4 72.8 71.5 72.3 72.0 71.8 0.2
-0.8
0.5
-0.4
1.3
2.3
-0.5
2.5
1.5
7.5
1. Preliminary 2. Production growth rate minus production capacity growth rate in the manufacturing sector (%p) Sources: Statistics Korea, Korea International Trade Association
Leading indicators of facility investment (trillion won)
(y-o-y, %)
10
60
9 40
8 7
20
6 0
5 4
-20
3
Machinery orders (left) Machinery imports (right)
2 2008.Q1
2009.Q1
2010.Q1
2011.Q1
2012.Q1
2013.Q1
2014.Q1
2015.Q1
2016.Q1
2017.Q1
Sources: Statistics Korea (machinery orders), Korea International Trade Association (machinery imports)
-40
13
November 2017
4. Construction investment Construction investment (advanced estimates of GDP) in the third quarter of 2017 rose 1.5 percent quarter-on-quarter and 7.5 percent year-on-year. (Percentage change from previous period)
2015
2016
Annual Annual¹
Construction investment²
Q1¹
Q2¹
Q3¹
Q4¹
Q1¹
Q2¹
6.6
10.7
7.6
3.1
2.2
-1.2
6.8
0.3
1.5
-
-
9.0
10.6
11.2
11.6
11.3
8.0
7.5
10.0
17.3
6.0
4.9
4.1
1.7
4.9
2.4
-
0.3
-2.8
11.3
-1.1
-2.3
-8.5
12.2
-5.4
-
(y-o-y) - Building construction - Civil engineering works
2017 Q3¹
1. Preliminary 2. National accounts Source: Bank of Korea
Construction investment (%)
15
10
5
0
-5
Construction investment (y-o-y) Construction investment (q-o-q)
-10 2008.Q1
2009.Q1
2010.Q1
2011.Q1
2012.Q1
2013.Q1
2014.Q1
2015.Q1
2016.Q1
2017.Q1
Source: Bank of Korea (national accounts)
Construction investment by type (y-o-y, %) 50 40 30 20 10
0 -10
Building construction -20
Residential buildings Civil engineering works
-30 2008.Q1
2009.Q1
2010.Q1
2011.Q1
Source: Bank of Korea (national accounts)
2012.Q1
2013.Q1
2014.Q1
2015.Q1
2016.Q1
2017.Q1
14
Economic Bulletin
The Green Book
The value of construction completed (constant) in September fell 2.2 percent month-on-month as building construction decreased. The index rose 16.1 percent year-on-year. (Percentage change from previous period)
2016
2015 Annual Annual Q1
Construction completed (constant)
5.0 15.4
6.2
2017
Q2
Q3
Q4
Q1
Q2
Q3¹ Aug¹ Sep¹
2.3
4.2
4.1
5.9
-1.1
0.0
-1.7
-2.2
(y-o-y)
-
- Building construction
7.3 25.7
8.2
4.7
5.7
6.9
7.0
1.7
2.6
1.0
-2.9
- Civil engineering works
1.2
2.4
-2.5
0.9
-2.4
3.1
-8.3
-7.8
-9.9
0.2
-
13.2 15.8 14.5 17.7 17.9 13.6 12.5
-2.6
8.3 16.1
1. Preliminary Source: Statistics Korea
The construction investment outlook is mixed: Building permits increased in September, but construction orders received continued to decline and apartment presales fell in October. Apartment presales (thousands, monthly average of the quarter, Real Estate 114) 43 (Q2 2016) → 32 (Q3) → 57 (Q4) → 19 (Q1 2017) → 27 (Q2) → 30 (Q3) → 17 (Oct)
(Percentage change from same period in previous year)
2015
2016
Annual Annual Q1
Construction orders received 48.4 (current value) (q-o-q, m-o-m)
-
2017
Q2
Q3
8.4 13.9
-6.7
1.3 26.0
-
-8.4 27.2 -11.0
2.0
1.3
-9.6 51.0 -37.8
1.7
-5.0
7.9
-9.1
16.3
Q4
- Building construction - Civil engineering works
50.5 14.5 13.5 42.6
-9.4 15.1 -32.4 -6.4
Building permits²
34.3
-5.7 19.7
3.6 39.7
Q1
Q2
Q3¹
3.6 16.8 -11.4
Aug¹ Sep¹ -4.6
-0.7
-0.8
2.0
-6.8 31.0 57.2 -20.1 -15.0 -14.7
5.3 -24.8 -11.1
-5.0
-7.8
-0.3 -10.0 41.5
1. Preliminary 2. Floor area Sources: Statistics Korea, Ministry of Land, Infrastructure and Transport
Leading indicators of construction investment (y-o-y, %) 200
150
100
50
0
-50
Construction orders Building permit area
-100 2008.1
2009.1
2010.1
2011.1
2012.1
2013.1
2014.1
2015.1
2016.1
2017.1
Sources: Statistics Korea (construction orders), Ministry of Land, Infrastructure and Transport (building permit area)
15
November 2017
5. Exports and imports Exports (preliminary) increased 7.1 percent year-on-year to US $44.98 billion in October. Exports rose for the 12th month in a row, backed by strong major export items such as semiconductors and vessels. By item, semiconductors, vessels and petroleum products surged, while mobile phones fell. By region, shipments to the ASEAN countries, China and the EU increased. Export growth by item (y-o-y, %)
69.6 (semiconductors), 36.0 (vessels), 10.3 (petroleum products), 6.1 (petrochemicals), 4.5 (steel), -12.8 (automobiles), -29.0 (mobile phones)
Export growth by region (y-o-y, %)
17.4 (ASEAN countries), 13.5 (China), 2.7 (EU), -12.0 (US), -12.0 (Japan), -13.9 (Latin America), -33.3 (Middle East)
Average daily exports, an indicator adjusted to days worked, increased month-onmonth to US $2.50 billion. Average daily exports (US $ billion)
1.87 (Oct 2016) → 1.96 (Feb 2017) → 2.03 (Mar) → 2.26 (Apr) → 2.14 (May) → 2.23 (Jun) → 2.08 (Jul) → 1.96 (Aug) → 2.35 (Sep) → 2.50 (Oct)
Exports by item (y-o-y, %)
140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0
Export growth rate Semiconductors Automobiles
-20 -40 -60 -80 2008.1
2009.1
2010.1
2011.1
2012.1
2013.1
2014.1
2015.1
2016.1
2017.1
Steel
Sources: Korea Customs Service, Ministry of Trade, Industry and Energy (export and import trends) (US $ billion)
2014 2015
2016
Annual Annual Annual
Exports (y-o-y, %)
Q1
Q2
2017
Q3
Q4
Oct
Q1
Q2
Q3
Sep
Oct1
572.66 526.76 495.43 115.19 126.02 121.85 132.36 41.98 132.10 147.20 151.04 55.13 44.98 2.3
-8.0
-5.9 -13.7
-6.7
-5.0
1.8
-3.2
14.7
16.8
24.0
35.0
7.1
Average daily 2.11 exports
1.93
1.81
1.88
1.78
1.86
1.87
1.96
2.21
2.13
2.35
2.50
1.73
1. Preliminary Source: Korea Customs Service
16
Economic Bulletin
The Green Book
Imports (preliminary) in October rose 7.4 percent year-on-year to US $37.65 billion. Imports of commodities and capital goods rose at a slower rate, while consumer goods imports fell. Import growth by category (y-o-y, %, Sep → Oct)
22.4 → 14.0 (commodities), 27.3 → 3.6 (capital goods), 13.5 → -2.0 (consumer goods)
Imports by category (y-o-y, %) 100 80 60 40 20 0 -20
Import growth rate
-40 -60
Commodities Capital goods
-80
2008.1
2009.1
2010.1
2011.1
2012.1
2013.1
2014.1
2015.1
2016.1
2017.1
Sources: Korea Customs Service, Ministry of Trade, Industry and Energy (export and import trends)
(US $ billion)
2014 2015
2016
Annual Annual Annual
Imports (y-o-y, %)
Q1
Q2
2017
Q3
Q4
Oct
Q1
Q2
Q3
Sep
Oct1
525.51 436.50 406.19 93.83 99.30 102.46 110.59 35.05 116.25 117.34 120.71 41.67 37.65 1.9 -16.9
Average daily 1.94 imports
1.60
-6.9 -16.0 -10.1
-5.1
4.1
-4.7
23.9
18.2
17.8
22.6
7.4
1.49
1.50
1.56
1.56
1.72
1.76
1.70
1.77
2.09
1.41
1.48
1. Preliminary Source: Korea Customs Service
The trade balance (preliminary) posted a surplus of US $7.33 billion in October, staying in the black for the 69th consecutive month. Surpluses decreased compared with the previous month.
(US $ billion)
2014 2015 Annual Annual Annual
2016 Q1
Q2
Q3
2017 Q4
Oct
Q1
Q2
Q3
Sep
Oct1
Trade balance 47.15 90.26 89.23 21.36 26.72 19.39 21.77 6.93 15.86 29.14 30.33 13.46 7.33 1. Preliminary Source: Korea Customs Service
17
November 2017
6. Mining and manufacturing production Mining and manufacturing production rose 0.1 percent month-on-month in September: Automobiles and other transportation equipment improved while refined petroleum and primary metals fell. The index increased 8.4 percent year-on-year. Compared to the previous month, production of automobiles (up 3.8%), other transportation equipment (up 19.6%) and chemical products (up 0.9%) rose, while refined petroleum (down 4.2%), primary metals (down 2.7%) and electrical equipment (down 4.1%) fell. Compared to a year ago, production of automobiles (up 27.1%), mechanical equipment (up 19.0%) and electronic parts (up 16.6%) rose, while other transportation equipment (down 19.9%), refined petroleum (down 3.6%) and communications equipment (down 11.0%) declined.
Industrial production (%)
50 40 30 20 10 0 -10 -20
Industrial production (y-o-y) Industrial production (m-o-m)
-30 2008.1
2009.1
2010.1
2011.1
2012.1
2013.1
2014.1
2015.1
2016.1
2017.1
Source: Statistics Korea (industrial activity trends)
The manufacturing inventory-shipment ratio fell 2.0 percentage points month-on-month to 119.2 percent as inventories and shipments fell 1.9 percent and 0.2 percent, respectively. Inventories of automobiles (up 4.4%), mechanical equipment (up 2.3%) and leather & shoes (up 6.4%) rose, while primary metals (down 4.7%), semiconductors (down 11.3%) and refined petroleum (down 9.4%) declined. Shipments of other transportation equipment (up 16.9%), automobiles (up 2.3%) and communications equipment (up 12.7%) rose, while mechanical equipment (down 3.7%), chemical products (down 1.9%) and refined petroleum (down 2.4%) fell. The capacity utilization rate of the manufacturing sector declined 0.2 percentage points month-on-month to 71.8 percent. Mining and manufacturing for October is likely to improve given strong exports, but there are uncertainties as to major economies’ monetary policies and trade related issues.
18
Economic Bulletin
The Green Book
Shipment and inventory (m-o-m, %) 10 8 6 4 2 0 -2 -4 -6 -8 -10
Shipment growth
-12 2008.1
2009.1
2010.1
2011.1
2012.1
2013.1
2014.1
2015.1
2016.1
2017.1
2013.1
2014.1
2015.1
2016.1
2017.1
Inventory growth
Source: Statistics Korea (industrial activity trends)
Capacity utilization rate (%) 100
90
80
70
60
50 2008.1
2009.1
2010.1
2011.1
2012.1
Source: Statistics Korea (industrial activity trends) (Percentage change from previous period)
2016 (q-o-q, m-o-m) Mining and manufacturing2 (y-o-y)
Manufacturing
2017
Annual
Q3
Sep
Q2
Q3ยน
Jul
-
0.1
0.7
-2.3
1.5
1.6
Augยน Sepยน 0.1
1.0
0.5
-2.0
0.5
3.5
-0.3
2.3
8.4
0.1
Production (q-o-q, m-o-m) (y-o-y)
-
0.1
0.8
-2.5
1.6
1.5
0.3
0.3
1.0
0.6
-2.0
0.4
3.5
-0.4
2.5
8.7
Shipment
0.6
-0.5
0.5
-2.0
1.8
0.3
0.5
-0.2
-Domestic consumption
1.3
-0.3
1.2
-2.1
1.2
0.5
0.8
-0.2
-Exports
-0.1
-0.8
-0.4
-1.7
2.6
0.1
0.3
-0.3
Inventory3
-5.9
-3.2
-0.8
1.9
1.2
0.9
2.2
-1.9
Capacity utilization rate (%) 72.6 Production capacity (y-o-y) 0.8
71.9
71.6
71.5
72.3
73.1
72.0
71.8
1.0
0.8
0.9
1.0
0.7
1.0
1.2
1. Preliminary 2. Including mining, manufacturing, electricity and gas industry Source: Statistics Korea
3. At the end of the period
19
November 2017
7. Service sector activity Service output rose 1.3 percent month-on-month in September, led by wholesale & retail and healthcare & social welfare services. Transportation services declined, along with publishing & communications services. Compared to a year ago, service output rose 5.4 percent.
Service sector activity (%)
10 8 6 4 2 0 -2
Service sector activity (y-o-y) Service sector activity (m-o-m)
-4 2008.1
2009.1
2010.1
2011.1
2012.1
2013.1
2014.1
2015.1
2016.1
2017.1
Source: Statistics Korea (industrial activity trends) (Percentage change from previous period)
Weight
2015 Annual Annual Q1
2017
2016 Q2
Q3
Q4
Q2 Q31 Aug1 Sep1
Service activity index
100.0 2.9 3.0 0.2 1.1 1.0 -0.3 0.6 1.4 0.1 1.3
- Wholesale & retail
21.6 1.8 3.0 -0.4 1.5 -0.4 1.0 0.2 1.5 -0.4 2.8
- Transportation services
8.5 1.2 1.9 1.3 0.0 0.2 -3.2 0.3 1.4 0.2 -1.3
- Hotels & restaurants
7.2 -2.0 -0.5 -0.4 -0.9 0.3 -3.1 -0.1 0.6 -0.1 3.0
- Publishing & communications services - Financial & insurance services
8.4 -0.5 2.2 -0.3 1.0 -1.5 0.3 0.3 1.5 0.0 -1.2 14.7 9.1 5.9 2.1 1.4 2.9 -0.3 1.1 1.3 -0.2 0.1
- Real estate & renting
5.3 8.4 2.3 -3.5 3.8 3.8 -1.3 3.0 4.8 -0.4 3.2
- Professional, scientific & technical services
5.6 -0.3 -1.3 -2.6 1.0 -0.6 -0.3 0.6 -1.9 1.2 -0.2
- Business services
3.3 3.9 2.0 -0.7 -0.1 0.8 0.7 0.5 1.5 0.5 -0.9
- Education services
10.9 0.7 0.8 0.4 -0.4 0.6 -0.5 -0.8 0.9 0.3 0.5
- Healthcare & social welfare services
7.5 6.2 9.3 0.9 2.8 5.3 1.5 1.6 3.3 1.9 3.5
- Entertainment & leisure
2.9 1.1 2.7 -1.6 2.7 -0.6 -1.1 2.7 -2.7 -2.9 2.8
- Membership organizations & personal services
3.6 -0.5 -0.9 2.0 -0.6 -1.2 -1.2 -0.6 1.6 -0.3 2.2
- Sewerage & waste management
0.6 7.2 3.9 1.3 4.6 -2.2 0.9 -4.3 2.5 -0.8 3.4
1. Preliminary Source: Statistics Korea
20
Economic Bulletin
The Green Book
Wholesale & retail (%) 10 8 6 4 2 0 -2 -4 -6
Wholesale & retail (y-o-y)
-8
2008.1
Wholesale & retail (m-o-m)
2009.1
2010.1
2011.1
2012.1
2013.1
2014.1
2015.1
2016.1
2017.1
Source: Statistics Korea (industrial activity trends)
September 2017 service output by business (y-o-y, %) 12
Healthcare & social welfare services
10 8 6
Total index
Financial & insurance services
Transportation services
4
Business services
Publishing & communications services
Wholesale & retail
Hotels & restaurants
Sewerage & waste management
Professional, scientific & technical services
2 0
Entertainment & leisure
Real estate & renting
Membership organizations & personal services
Education services
-2
Source: Statistics Korea (industrial activity trends)
The service output data for October will likely by affected by both positive and negative factors: Domestic sales of cars and department store sales declined, but stock markets remained strong. 2017 Mar
Apr
May
Domestic sales of cars (y-o-y, %)
-2.6
-6.3
-9.0 -14.8
Department store sales (y-o-y, %)
1.7
0.5
-2.8
Large discount store sales (y-o-y, %)
3.2
6.8
3.8
Average daily stock transactions (trillion won)
8.0
8.0
9.1
Number of Chinese tourists (y-o-y, %)
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
9.8
11.7
15.8 -13.5
0.8
0.1
-1.0
5.0
-0.2
1.6
1.0
-1.6
-1.1
1.7
9.9
8.4
7.6
8.8
10.1
-40.0 -66.6 -64.1 -66.4 -69.3 -61.2 -56.1 -46.9
Sources: Korea Automobile Manufacturers Association, Korea Exchange, data provided by retail industries
21
November 2017
8. Employment The number of workers on payroll in September increased by 314,000 from a year earlier to 26,844,000, and the employment rate (aged 15-64) rose 0.5 percentage points to 66.9 percent. By industry, services continued to lead employment growth. By employment status, permanent, daily and self-employed workers increased, while temporary workers declined.
Number of persons employed and employment growth (thousands)
(millions)
1,000
27
800
26
600
25
400 24 200 23
0
22
-200
Employment growth (y-o-y, left) -400
21 2008.1
Number of employed (seasonally adjusted, right)
2009.1
2010.1
2011.1
2012.1
2013.1
2014.1
2015.1
2016.1
2017.1
Source: Statistics Korea (employment trends)
Employment by industry (%)
100
80 71.5 71.5 70.9 70.7 70.6 70.7 70.9 70.9 70.8 70.8 70.8 71.8 72.1 71.8 71.4 70.8 70.4 70.3 70.6 70.8 70.6
60
40
Services Construction
7.0
6.8
6.9
7.0
7.0
7.0
7.1
7.1
7.1
7.3
7.4
7.2
7.3
7.3
7.4
7.5
7.4
7.3
7.2
7.4
17.9 17.9 17.5 17.3 17.1 16.9 16.8 16.7 16.7 16.7 16.7 17.0 17.2 17.3 16.9 16.7 16.7 16.8 16.8 16.6 16.6
Manufacturing 0
Agriculture, forestry & fisheries
6.8
20
3.6 3.8 2016.1 2
4.8
5.2
5.4
5.5
5.3
5.3
5.4
5.4
5.1
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
Source: Statistics Korea (employment trends)
3.9
3.5 3.7 12 2017.1 2
4.5
5.1
5.4
5.5
5.3
5.4
5.4
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
22
Economic Bulletin
The Green Book
Employment by status of workers (%)
100
3.7
3.8
4.2
4.3
4.4
4.4
4.4
4.5
4.5
4.5
4.4
3.8
3.8
3.7
4.0
4.3
4.3
4.4
4.3
4.3
4.3
20.9 20.9 21.3 21.2 21.3 21.2 21.2 21.5 21.4 21.4 21.3 21.1 21.3 21.4 21.4 21.3 21.2 21.2 21.2 21.3 21.3
80 5.7
5.5
5.3
5.5
5.4
5.7
5.8
5.5
5.5
5.6
5.8
5.8
5.7
5.5
5.4
5.7
5.9
5.9
5.8
5.3
5.6
60 19.3 19.2 19.4 19.5 19.7 19.7 19.8 19.6 19.4 19.3 19.4 19.1 18.4 18.3 18.6 18.8 18.9 19.0 18.9 18.8 18.8
Unpaid family workers
40
Self-employed workers Daily workers Temporary workers Regular workers
50.4 50.6 49.9 49.4 49.1 48.9 48.8 48.9 49.2 49.1 49.2 50.1 50.9 51.0 50.6 49.9 49.7 49.6 49.7 50.2 50.0
20
0
2016.1 2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12 2017.1 2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Source: Statistics Korea (employment trends)
2016 Annual Q1
Number of employed (millions)
Q2
2017
Q3
Q4
Sep
Q1
Q2
Q3
Aug Sep
26.24 25.55 26.39 26.55 26.45 26.53 25.92 26.75 26.83 26.74 26.84
Employment rate (%)
60.4 59.1 60.8 61.1 60.7 61.0 59.4 61.2 61.3 61.1 61.3
(Seasonally adjusted)
60.4 60.5 60.1 60.5 60.6 60.5 60.8 60.6 60.6 60.6 60.7
- 15 to 64
66.1 65.1 66.2 66.5 66.5 66.4 65.7 66.9 66.9 66.7 66.9
Employment growth (y-o-y, thousands)
299 287 289 318 302 267 360 367 279 212
314
(Excluding agriculture, forestry & fisheries) 358 341 375 399 315 332 385 363 255 193 284 - Manufacturing - Construction - Services
-5 126
38
-71 -110
-76 -112
-23
31
25
20
22
-28
38
41 131 157
81
34
108
338 216 360 430 350 369 365 228 142 134
153
-7
85
- Agriculture, forestry & fisheries
-59
19
29
- Wage workers
317 427 392 283 164 178 198 301 281 256
318
386 505 457 316 266 293 322 338 408 460
375
路 Permanent workers
-54
-86
-81
-13
-65
-25
4
24
路 Temporary workers
18
15 120
45 -106
-26 -149 -125 -145 -167 -107
路 Daily workers
-88
-93 -185
-78
-89
- Nonwage workers
25
89
19
-36
50
35 138
89 163
65
-2
-44
-5
52 140
86 170
66
31
-3
45
- Male
151 107 124 183 189 177 174 166
84
- Female
148 180 165 134 113
路 Self-employed workers
-18 -140 -103
5
7
-96
-68
41
83
90 186 201 195 176
231
- 15 to 29
48
40
82
62
7
41
10
15
-22
-21
-30
- 30 to 39
-36
-21
-23
-53
-45
-42
-30
-4
5
-14
27
- 40 to 49
-29
6
-41
-16
-63
-51
-39
-50
-62
- 50 to 59
92
84
82
90 114
- 60 and above Source: Statistics Korea
-69
-68
99 162 141 121 108
110
223 179 189 236 289 219 257 265 237 208
274
23
November 2017
The number of unemployed persons in September was down by 51,000 from a year earlier to 935,000, and the unemployment rate declined 0.2 percentage points year-on-year to 3.4 percent. The unemployment rate fell in all age groups except those in their 50s.
Unemployment rate (%)
6
5
4
3
Original data
2 2008.1
2009.1
2010.1
2011.1
2012.1
2013.1
2014.1
2015.1
2016.1
2017.1
Seasonally adjusted rate
Source: Statistics Korea (employment trends)
2016 Annual
Q1
Q2
Number of unemployed 1,012 1,153 1,028 (thousands)
2017
Q3
Q4
Sep
985
881
Q1
Q2
Q3
Aug
Sep
986 1,167 1,082
966 1,001
935
Unemployment growth (y-o-y, thousands)
36
64
-14
56
36
120
14
54
-19
5
-51
- Male
24
51
11
37
-1
55
-15
34
-8
3
-2
- Female
11
13
-24
19
37
65
29
20
-12
1
-49
Unemployment rate (%)
3.7
4.3
3.8
3.6
3.2
3.6
4.3
3.9
3.5
3.6
3.4
(Seasonally adjusted)
3.7
3.8
3.7
3.8
3.6
4.0
3.8
3.8
3.7
3.8
3.7
- 15 to 29
9.8
11.3
10.3
9.3
8.4
9.4
10.8
10.4
9.3
9.4
9.2
- 30 to 39
3.2
3.2
3.2
3.2
3.1
3.2
3.6
3.5
3.0
3.3
2.9
- 40 to 49
2.1
2.4
2.1
2.1
1.9
2.1
2.4
2.4
2.0
2.1
1.9
- 50 to 59
2.3
2.6
2.3
2.3
2.0
2.3
2.2
2.4
2.3
2.4
2.3
- 60 and above
2.6
4.2
2.2
2.3
2.1
2.3
4.8
2.3
2.2
2.3
2.0
Source: Statistics Korea
24
Economic Bulletin
The Green Book
The economically inactive population in September increased 54,000 from a year earlier to 16,026,000, and the labor force participation rate rose 0.1 percentage points year-on-year to 63.4 percent. The number of persons economically inactive due to rest (up 187,000) and old age (up 65,000) increased, and those due to childcare (down 104,000) and education (down 61,000) decreased.
Labor force participation rate (%)
65 64 63 62 61 60 59
Original data 58
Seasonally adjusted rate 57 2008.1
2009.1
2010.1
2011.1
2012.1
2013.1
2014.1
2015.1
2016.1
2017.1
Source: Statistics Korea (employment trends)
2016 Annual
Economically inactive population (millions)
Q1
Q2
2017
Q3
Q4
Sep
Q1
16.17 16.57 15.97 15.93 16.21 15.97 16.55
Q2
Q3
Aug
Sep
15.9 15.99 16.05 16.03
Labor force participation 62.8 rate (%)
61.7
63.2
63.4
62.8
63.3
62.1
63.7
63.5
63.3
63.4
(seasonally adjusted)
62.8
62.8
62.4
62.9
62.9
63.0
63.2
63.0
63.0
63.0
63.1
Growth in economically inactive population (y-o-y, thousands)
64
99
135
4
17
-18
-17
-74
66
111
54
- Childcare
-79
-115
-105
-63
-36
-57
-83
-87
-105
-111
-104
- Housework
49
32
69
35
59
28
27
24
11
48
-10
- Education
-96
-108
-89
-116
-71
-142
-56
-120
-72
-75
-61
- Old age
117
161
109
113
86
140
57
90
87
95
65
36
97
141
-19
-76
-65
28
14
163
217
187
- Rest Source: Statistics Korea
25
November 2017
9. Financial markets 9.1 Stock market KOSPI rose 5.4 percent in October from 2,394.47 points to 2,523.43 points, and KOSDAQ rose 6.3 percent from 652.82 points to 694.20 points. KOSPI rose to an all-time high, amid strong US markets, due to expectations for a buoyant economy and foreign net buying. KOSPI (points)
2,433.81 (Oct 10, 2017) → 2,489.54 (Oct 20) → 2,523.43 (Oct 31)
(Closing rate)
KOSPI
KOSDAQ Change1
Sep 2017 Oct 2017
Sep 2017 Oct 2017
Change1
Stock price index (points) 2,394.47 2,523.43
+128.96 (+5.4%)
652.82
694.20
+41.38 (+6.3%)
Market capitalization (trillion won)
1,588.2
1,642.3
+54.1 (+3.4%)
224.9
240.1
+15.2 (+6.7%)
Average daily trade value (trillion won)
5.27
6.20
+0.93 (+17.7%)
3.53
3.85
+0.32 (+9.2%)
Foreign stock ownership (%, %p)
37.52
37.79
+0.27 (+0.7%)
12.64
12.62
-0.02 (-0.2%)
1. Change from the end of the previous month in October 2017 Source: Korea Exchange
Stock prices (monthly average, points)
2,600
2,200
1,800
1,400
1,000
600
KOSPI KOSDAQ
200 2008.1
2009.1
Source: Korea Exchange
2010.1
2011.1
2012.1
2013.1
2014.1
2015.1
2016.1
2017.1
26
Economic Bulletin
The Green Book
9.2 Exchange rate The dollar-won exchange rate fell 2.2 percent in October to 1,120.4 won due to easing geopolitical risks, improving economic indicators, rising KOSPI and foreign investors’ net buying of Korean stocks. The 100 yen-won exchange rate fell 2.6 percent to 991.2 won as the yen weakened against the dollar following Bank of Japan’s decision to continue its accommodative monetary policies.
Foreign exchange rates (month-end, ₩)
1,800
1,600
1,400
1,200
1,000
800
Dollar-Won 100 Yen-Won
600 2008.1
2009.1
2010.1
2011.1
2012.1
2013.1
2014.1
2015.1
2016.1
2017.1
Source: Bank of Korea
Daily foreign exchange rate trend (₩)
1,250 1,200 1,150
1,100 1,050 1,000
Dollar-Won 100 Yen-Won
950 2016.11 2016.12
Source: Bank of Korea
2017.1
2017.2
2017.3
2017.4
2017.5
2017.6
2017.7
2017.8
2017.9
2017.10
27
November 2017
(Closing rate)
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Sep
Oct
Change1
1,151.8
1,070.6
1,055.4
1,099.3
1,172.5
1,207.7
1,145.4
1,120.4
+2.2
100 Yen-Won 1,481.2
1,238.3
1,002.3
913.0
974.1
1,035.4
1,016.7
991.2
+2.6
Dollar-Won
2017
1. Appreciation from the end of the previous month in October 2017 (%); the exchange rate is based on the closing price at 3:30 p.m., local time. Source: Bank of Korea
9.3 Bond market Treasury bond yields spiked in October due to the possibilty of an interest rate hike. At the Bank of Korea’s Monetary Policy Board meeting in October, some members of the board called for a rate hike, and Korea’s growth outlook for 2017 was raised from 2.8 percent to 3.0 percent. (Closing rate, %)
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Aug
Sep
2017 Oct
Call rate (1 day)
3.29
2.77
2.52
2.03
1.52
1.27
1.27
1.24
1.22
-2
CD (91 days)
3.55
2.89
2.66
2.13
1.67
1.52
1.38
1.38
1.40
+2
Treasury bonds (3 yrs)
3.34
2.82
2.86
2.10
1.66
1.64
1.75
1.89
2.16
+27
Change1
Corporate bonds (3 yrs)
4.21
3.29
3.29
2.43
2.11
2.13
2.30
2.43
2.73
+30
Treasury bonds (5 yrs)
3.46
2.97
3.23
2.28
1.81
1.80
1.97
2.09
2.40
+31
1. Basis points, %p, changes from the previous month in October 2017 Source: Bank of Korea
Interest rates (monthly average, yearly, %)
10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2
3-yr corporate bond yield
1
3-yr Treasury bond yield
0 2008.1
2009.1
Overnight call rate (daily)
Source: Bank of Korea
2010.1
2011.1
2012.1
2013.1
2014.1
2015.1
2016.1
2017.1
28
Economic Bulletin
The Green Book
9.4 Money supply & money market M2 (monthly average) in August rose 4.6 percent from a year ago as certificate of deposits (CDs) and currency in circulation increased. (Percentage change from same period in previous year, average)
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
Annual
Annual
Annual
Annual
Annual
Annual
Annual
Jul
Aug
Aug1
M12
11.8
6.6
3.8
9.5
10.9
18.6
15.4
9.5
9.1
810.9
M2
8.7
4.2
5.2
4.8
6.6
8.6
7.3
5.1
4.6
2,486.3
Lf3
8.2
5.3
7.8
6.9
7.0
9.7
8.1
6.5
6.2
3,478.8
1. Balance at end August 2017, trillion won 2. M1 excludes corporate MMFs and individual MMFs, and includes CMAs 3. Liquidity aggregates of financial institutions (mostly identical with M3) Source: Bank of Korea
Total money supply (y-o-y, monthly average balance, %)
40
30
20
10
0
Reserve money M1
-10
-20 2008.1
2009.1
2010.1
2011.1
2012.1
2013.1
2014.1
2015.1
2016.1
2017.1
Lf
Source: Bank of Korea
Bank deposits increased 27.8 trillion won in September: Instant access deposits increased 27.8 trillion won as surplus funds flowed in from corporations and Chuseok bonuses flowed in from households. Time deposits rose 3.5 trillion won. Asset management company (AMC) deposits decreased 10.7 trillion won as a total of 15 trillion won flowed out from money market funds (MMFs). Banks withdrew funds from MMFs to meet their BIS ratio requirements and the government also took out funds. (Change from the end of the previous period, trillion won)
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
Annual Annual Annual Annual Annual Annual Annual
2017 Jul
Aug
Sep
Sep1
Bank deposits
36.9
58.9
37.0
41.0 115.4 100.3
80.8
-9.5
16.7
27.8
1,535.6
AMC deposits
-16.7
-16.6
18.8
17.7
47.6
23.1
-4.6
-10.7
501.4
1. Balance at end September 2017 Source: Bank of Korea
42.4
44.4
29
November 2017
Deposits in financial institutions (m-o-m, end of month balance, trillion won)
60 50 40 30 20 10
0 -10 -20 2008.1
2009.1
2010.1
2011.1
2012.1
2013.1
2014.1
2015.1
2016.1
2017.1
Source: Bank of Korea
10. Balance of payments Korea’s current account (preliminary) in September posted a surplus of US $12.21 billion, staying in the black for 67 consecutive months. Goods account surpluses increased month-on-month from US $9.31 billion to US $15.01 billion. Growth in goods exports (y-o-y, %) 15.8 (Aug 2017) → 25.5 (Sep)
Growth in goods imports (y-o-y, %) 12.1 (Aug 2017) → 20.5 (Sep)
Export growth by item in September (y-o-y, %, customs clearance basis)
107.2 (steel), 70.0 (semiconductors), 57.6 (automobiles), 49.5 (petroleum products), 41.5 (petrochemicals), 38.7 (vessels), -15.9 (mobile phones)
Import growth by category in September (y-o-y, %, customs clearance basis) 22.4 (commodities), 27.3 (capital goods), 13.5 (consumer goods)
Services account deficits increased month-on-month from US $2.33 billion to US $2.90 billion. Services balance (US $ billion, Aug → Sep)
-0.57 → -0.77 (manufacturing), -0.27 → -0.46 (transportation), -1.41 → -1.31 (travel), 0.62 → 0.71 (construction), -0.19 → -0.02 (intellectual property rights), -0.61 → -1.12 (other businesses)
The primary income account shifted from deficits of US $0.08 billion to surpluses of US $1.15 billion, and secondary income account deficits expanded from US $0.84 billion to US $1.06 billion.
30
Economic Bulletin
The Green Book
Current account balance (US $ billion) 18 15 12 9 6 3 0
Goods account
-3
Services account
-6 2008.1
2009.1
2010.1
2011.1
2012.1
2013.1
2014.1
2015.1
2016.1
2017.1
2013.1
2014.1
2015.1
2016.1
2017.1
Current account
Source: Bank of Korea (balance of payments trends)
Travel balance (US $ billion)
4 3 2 1 0 -1 -2
Travel balance
-3
Travel payment
-4
Travel revenue
2008.1
2009.1
2010.1
2011.1
2012.1
Source: Bank of Korea (balance of payments trends)
(US $ billion)
2016 Annual1 Q11
Current account
Q21
Q31
2017 Q41
Q11
Q21
Q31
Aug1 Sep1
8.07 19.43 16.84 25.53
6.06 12.21
- Goods balance
120.45 28.95 33.53 28.27 29.69 10.66 27.98 30.36 35.03
9.31 15.01
- Services balance
-17.61 -3.92 -3.91 -5.66 -4.12 -2.58 -8.86 -6.88 -8.52 -2.33 -2.90
- Primary income balance
98.68 25.35 26.34 21.51 25.48
Sep1
1.46
1.20 -2.11
1.26
1.11
0.78
1.13 -5.17
1.65 -0.08 1.15
- Secondary income balance -5.62 -0.88 -1.18 -2.36 -1.20 -0.79 -0.82 -1.48 -2.63 -0.84 -1.06 1. Preliminary Source: Bank of Korea
31
November 2017
The capital and financial account (preliminary) in September posted an outflow of US $12.75 billion. Capital & financial account balance* (US $ billion)
9.58 (Sep 2016) → 9.21 (Feb 2017) → 6.00 (Mar) → 1.83 (Apr) → 2.58 (May) → 8.72 (Jun) → 9.77 (Jul) → 9.13 (Aug) → 12.75 (Sep) * Positive figures represent net outflows, and negative figures represent net inflows.
Net outflows of foreign direct investment (FDI) increased from US $1.58 billion to US $2.28 billion as Korean FDI (up US $2.99 billion → up US $4.09 billion) rose faster than inbound FDI (up US $1.41 billion → up US $1.82 billion). Net outflows of portfolio investment decreased from US $11.46 billion to US $10.35 billion as foreign investment in Korean shares (down US $6.33 billion → down US $3.90 billion) declined at a slower rate. Korean investment in foreign shares (up US $5.13 billion → up US $6.45 billion) increased. Net inflows of financial derivatives investment increased from US $0.07 billion to US $0.11 billion, and other investment went from an inflow of US $4.19 billion to an outflow of US $0.86 billion. The current account surplus is likely to decrease in October given a decrease in trade surpluses (up US $13.46 billion → up US $7.33 billion).
Capital & financial account balance (US $ billion)
15 12 9 6 3 0 -3
Capital & financial account
-6
Direct investment
-9
Portfolio investment
-12 2008.1
Financial derivatives
2009.1
2010.1
2011.1
2012.1
Source: Bank of Korea (balance of payments trends)
2013.1
2014.1
2015.1
2016.1
2017.1
32
Economic Bulletin
The Green Book
11. Prices 11.1 Consumer prices Consumer prices in October declined 0.2 percent from the previous month and rose 1.8 percent from the same period of the previous year. (Percentage change)
2017 Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Consumer price inflation (m-o-m) 0.9
0.3
0.0
-0.1
0.1
-0.1
0.2
0.6
0.1
-0.2
(y-o-y)
1.9
2.2
1.9
2.0
1.9
2.2
2.6
2.1
1.8
2.0
Source: Statistics Korea
Consumer price inflation (%) 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0
Consumer price inflation (y-o-y)
-1 2008.1
2009.1
2010.1
2011.1
2012.1
2013.1
2014.1
2015.1
2016.1
2017.1
Consumer price inflation (m-o-m)
Source: Statistics Korea (consumer price trends)
Agricultural, livestock & fishery product prices rose at a slower pace compared to the previous month (up 4.8% → up 3.0%, y-o-y) due to stabilizing vegetable and livestock product prices. Public utility prices declined (up 8.0% → down 1.6%, y-o-y) without a low base effect from last year’s temporary electricity rate cut. Oil product prices went up at a faster pace (up 6.1% → up 8.2%, y-o-y) in line with high international oil prices amid expectations of OPEC’s output cut extension.
33
November 2017
Consumer price inflation in major sectors Total
Agricultural, Manufactured Public Oil livestock & utilities fishery products products products
Housing Public Personal rents services services
Sep (y-o-y, %)
2.1
Oct (y-o-y, %)
1.8
3.0
1.5
8.2
-1.6
1.5
0.9
2.7
- Contribution (%p)
-
0.25
0.47
0.35
-0.06
0.14
0.13
0.85
4.8
1.2
6.1
8.0
1.5
1.0
2.3
Source: Statistics Korea
Core consumer price inflation has been stable. Consumer prices excluding oil and agricultural products rose 1.3 percent year-on-year. (Percentage change from same period in previous year)
2017 Mar Apr May Jun
Jul
Aug Sep
Oct
Consumer prices excluding oil and agricultural products 1.4
1.3
1.4
1.4
1.8
1.8
1.6
1.3
Consumer prices excluding food and energy
1.5
1.5
1.5
1.5
1.4
1.4
1.6
1.7
Source: Statistics Korea
Basic necessities prices and fresh food prices rose at a slower pace due to falling vegetable prices (down 18.2%, m-o-m). (Percentage change from same period in previous year)
2017 Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Consumer prices for basic necessities
2.8
2.5
2.5
2.3
3.1
3.7
2.9
2.0
Fresh food prices
7.5
4.7
5.6
10.5
12.3
18.3
6.0
1.8
Source: Statistics Korea
Prices (y-o-y, %) 16
12
8
4
0
Consumer price inflation Core inflation Producer price inflation
-4
-8 2008.1
2009.1
2010.1
2011.1
2012.1
2013.1
2014.1
Sources: Statistics Korea (consumer price trends), Bank of Korea (producer prices)
2015.1
2016.1
2017.1
34
Economic Bulletin
The Green Book
11.2 International oil and commodity prices International oil prices rose month-on-month in October amid expectations of OPEC’s output cut extension and rising geopolitical risks in Iran and Iraq. Dubai crude (US $/barrel)
54.6 (1st week Oct 2017) → 54.6 (2nd week) → 55.7 (3rd week) → 56.1 (4th week)
(US $/barrel, period average)
2017
2016 Annual
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Q1
Q2
Q3
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Dubai crude
41.4
30.5
43.2
43.2
48.3
53.0
49.7
50.4
47.6
50.2
53.7
55.5
WTI crude
43.5
33.6
45.6
44.9
49.3
51.8
48.1
48.2
46.7
48.1
49.9
51.6
Brent crude
45.1
35.2
47.0
47.0
51.1
54.6
50.8
52.2
49.1
51.9
55.5
57.6
Source: Korea National Oil Corporation
International oil prices (US $/B)
160 140 120 100 80 60 40 20
WTI
0 2008.1
2009.1
2010.1
2011.1
2012.1
2013.1
2014.1
2015.1
2016.1
2017.1
Dubai crude
Source: Korea National Oil Corporation
Domestic gasoline prices went up in October, reflecting with a time lag rising international oil prices and exchange rates. Domestic gasoline prices (won/liter)
1,500.5 (1st week Oct 2017) → 1,503.1 (2nd week) → 1,505.3 (3rd week) → 1,506.6 (4th week)
International gasoline prices (US $/barrel)
67.3 (3rd week Sep 2017) → 68.1 (4th week) → 66.1 (1st week Oct) → 66.3 (2nd week)
Dollar-won exchange rate (won)
1,130.7 (3rd week Sep 2017) → 1,137.9 (4th week) → 1,137.8 (2nd week Oct)
35
November 2017
(Won/liter, period average)
2017
2016 Annual
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Q1
Q2
Q3
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Gasoline prices
1,403 1,363 1,396 1,419 1,433 1,510 1,477 1,456 1,439 1,452 1,480 1,504
Diesel prices
1,183 1,121 1,168 1,213 1,228 1,301 1,267 1,248 1,230 1,245 1,271 1,296
Source: Korea National Oil Corporation
Dubai crude prices and import prices (thousand won/B)
Dubai crude (import prices, left)
(US $/B)
160
160
140
140
120
120
100
100
80
80
60
60
40
40
20 2008.1
20 2009.1
2010.1
2011.1
2012.1
2013.1
2014.1
2015.1
2016.1
2017.1
Dubai international prices (right)
Source: Korea National Oil Corporation
International corn prices declined in October after the US Department of Agriculture raised its production outlook. Wheat prices fell as the crop yields are expected to improve in the US. International grain price increases in October (monthly average prices, m-o-m, %) -1.5 (corn), -2.6 (wheat), 1.0 (soybeans)
International copper prices rose in October due to strong demand from China, and aluminum prices rose due to supply concerns in China. According to Bloomberg, aluminum production in China is expected to fall by 1 to 1.5 million tons as the country decided to close unlicensed smelting facilities. Nonferrous metal price increases in October (monthly average prices, m-o-m, %) 2.9 (copper), 1.4 (aluminum), 0.8 (nickel)
(Period average)
2017
2016 Annual 1
Reuters Index
(Sep 18, 1931=100)
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Q1
Q2
Q3
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
2,330 2,115 2,250 2,414 2,536 2,644 2,426 2,404 2,406 2,404 2,402 2,417
1. A weighted average index of 17 major commodities Source: KOREA PDS
36
Economic Bulletin
The Green Book
12. Real estate market 12.1 Housing market Housing prices nationwide rose 0.1 percent month-on-month in October. Housing prices rose 0.2 percent in the Seoul metropolitan area which includes Seoul (up 0.2%), Gyeonggi Province (up 0.2%) and Incheon (up 0.2%). Housing prices were up 0.1 percent in the five metropolitan cities (up 0.1%) and the eight provinces (up 0.0%). Housing price increases in five metropolitan cities (m-o-m, %) Busan (0.1), Daegu (0.3), Gwangju (0.2), Daejeon (0.2), Ulsan (-0.1)
Nationwide housing prices
(Percentage change from previous period)
2013 2014 2015
2016
Annual Annual Annual Annual
Nationwide
Oct
2017 Annual Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
0.3
1.7
3.5
0.7
0.2
1.2
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.1
Seoul metropolitan area -1.1
1.5
4.4
1.3
0.3
1.8
0.4
0.3
0.4
0.2
0.2
- Seoul
-1.4
1.1
4.6
2.1
0.4
2.7
0.7
0.4
0.5
0.1
0.2
· Gangnam¹
-1.1
1.2
5.2
2.5
0.6
3.1
0.9
0.4
0.6
0.0
0.3
· Gangbuk²
-1.7
1.1
3.9
1.8
0.3
2.2
0.5
0.4
0.3
0.1
0.2
1.7
1.9
2.7
0.2
0.1
0.7
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
Areas excluding the Seoul metropolitan area
1. Upscale area of Southern Seoul 2. Northern Seoul Source: Korea Appraisal Board
Housing sales prices (m-o-m, %)
3
2
1
0
Nationwide Seoul metropolitan area Areas excluding Seoul metropolitan area
-1
-2 2008.1
2009.1
2010.1
Source: Korea Appraisal Board
2011.1
2012.1
2013.1
2014.1
2015.1
2016.1
2017.1
37
November 2017
Housing rental prices nationwide rose 0.1 percent month-on-month. Rental prices were up 0.1 percent in the Seoul metropolitan area and remained unchanged in areas excluding the Seoul metropolitan area. Housing rental price increases in major districts in Seoul metropolitan area (m-o-m, %) Gangnam (0.1), Songpa (0.4), Seocho (-0.2), Gangdong (0.4), Dongjak (0.3), Bundang (0.3)
Nationwide housing rental prices
(Percentage change from previous period)
2016
2013 2014 2015
Annual Annual Annual Annual
2017 Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
4.7
3.4
4.8
1.3
0.1
0.6
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
Seoul metropolitan area 6.2
4.7
7.1
2.0
0.2
1.3
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.1
- Seoul
6.6
3.6
7.2
2.0
0.2
1.6
0.3
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.1
· Gangnam¹
6.7
3.3
7.9
1.8
0.2
2.1
0.4
0.3
0.3
0.1
0.2
· Gangbuk²
6.4
3.8
6.5
2.1
0.2
1.2
0.2
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
Areas excluding the Seoul metropolitan area 3.3
2.2
2.8
0.7
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Nationwide
1. Upscale area of Southern Seoul Source: Korea Appraisal Board
Oct
Annual Jun
2. Northern Seoul
Housing rental prices (m-o-m, %)
3
2
1
0
-1
Nationwide Seoul metropolitan area Areas excluding Seoul metropolitan area
-2
-3 2008.1
2009.1
2010.1
2001.1
2012.1
2013.1
2014.1
2015.1
2016.1
2017.1
Source: Korea Appraisal Board
There were 84,350 housing transactions in September, down 12.7 percent from a month earlier (96,578) and down 7.9 percent from a year ago (91,612).
Housing transactions 2015
(Thousands)
2017
2016 1
1
Annual Annual Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep
Nationwide
99
88
92
109 103
1. Monthly average Source: Ministry of Land, Infrastructure and Transport
89
59
63
77
75
85
98
98
97
84
38
Economic Bulletin
The Green Book
Monthly housing transactions (thousands)
160 140 120 100 80 60 40
Nationwide Seoul metropolitan area Areas excluding Seoul metropolitan area
20 0 2008.1
2009.1
2010.1
2011.1
2012.1
2013.1
2014.1
2015.1
2016.1
2017.1
Source: Ministry of Land, Infrastructure and Transport
12.2 Land market Land prices nationwide rose 0.32 percent month-on-month in September. Land prices rose 0.30 percent in the Seoul metropolitan area which includes Seoul (up 0.32%) and Gyeonggi Province (up 0.27%). Land price increases in Seoul metropolitan area (m-o-m, %)
0.22 (Feb 2017) → 0.32 (Mar) → 0.32 (Apr) → 0.41 (May) → 0.40 (Jun) → 0.39 (Jul) → 0.34 (Aug) → 0.30 (Sep)
Land prices rose 0.36 percent in areas excluding the Seoul metropolitan area, led by Busan (up 0.59%), Ulsan (up 0.30%), Sejong (up 0.67%) and Jeju (up 0.44%). Land price increases in areas excluding Seoul metropolitan area (m-o-m, %)
0.24 (Feb 2017) → 0.32 (Mar) → 0.31 (Apr) → 0.34 (May) → 0.38 (Jun) → 0.38 (Jul) → 0.37 (Aug) → 0.36 (Sep)
Land prices
(Percentage change from previous period)
2013 2014 2015
2016
Annual Annual Annual Annual
2017
Q3
Q4
Annual
Q1
Q2
Q3
Aug
Sep
Nationwide
1.14
1.96
2.40
2.70
0.72
0.71
2.92
0.74
1.10
1.06
0.35
0.32
Seoul
1.21
2.66
2.69
2.97
0.83
0.78
3.32
0.75
1.34
1.20
0.40
0.32
Gyeonggi
0.91
1.24
1.73
2.23
0.64
0.63
2.57
0.68
1.00
0.87
0.28
0.27
Incheon
0.87
1.35
1.95
1.74
0.47
0.44
2.36
0.67
0.77
0.90
0.29
0.28
Source: Korea Appraisal Board
39
November 2017
There were 293,000 land transactions in September, down 10.4 percent from the previous month and up 22.2 percent from a year ago (240,000). Land transaction increases (m-o-m, %)
Seoul (-29.6), Busan (-33.8), Sejong (-32.5), South Gyeongsang Province (-14.7)
Vacant land transactions declined 3.0 percent from the previous month to 94,000, accounting for 32.0 percent of the total land transactions. The index increased 16.9 percent compared with a year ago (80,000).
Land transactions
(Land lots, thousands)
2015
2016
1
2017
1
Annual Annual Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep
Nationwide
257
250
240 274 274 276 216 226 273 258 280 301 312 327 293
Seoul
30
31
31
35
33
32
24
26
29
30
35
41
40
45
31
Gyeonggi
58
63
64
74
72
74
53
52
66
64
70
79
91
93
86
Incheon
12
13
13
14
15
12
10
9
14
13
16
17
18
21
20
1. Monthly average Source: Korea Land & Housing Corporation
Land transactions (thousand m²)
350,000 300,000 250,000 200,000 150,000 100,000 50,000
Seoul metropolitan area Areas excluding Seoul metropolitan area
0
2008.1
2009.1
2010.1
Source: Korea Appraisal Board
2011.1
2012.1
2013.1
2014.1
2015.1
2016.1
2017.1
40
Economic Bulletin
The Green Book
13. Composite indices of business cycle indicators Industrial output rose 0.9 percent month-on-month in September. Output increased in mining & manufacturing (up 0.1%), services (up 1.3%) and public administration (up 6.5%), and decreased in construction (down 2.2%). Compared to a year ago, industrial output rose 7.4 percent.
Index of all industry production (%)
20 15 10 5 0 -5 -10
Index of all industry production (y-o-y) Index of all industry production (m-o-m)
-15 2008.1
2009.1
2010.1
2011.1
2012.1
2013.1
2014.1
2015.1
2016.1
2017.1
Source: Statistics Korea (industrial activity trends)
2017 Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul1
Aug1
Sep1
Index of all industry production (m-o-m, %)
-0.3
1.3
-1.0
-0.1
0.0
1.0
-0.1
0.9
(y-o-y, %)
4.2
4.1
3.5
2.6
1.7
2.0
2.5
7.4
Coincident composite index (2010=100) (m-o-m, %) Cyclical indicator of coincident composite index (m-o-m, p) Leading composite index (2010=100) (m-o-m, %)
124.1 124.7 125.1 125.2 125.3 125.7 126.1 126.6 0.2
0.5
0.3
0.1
0.1
0.3
0.3
0.4
100.7 101.0 101.0 100.8 100.7 100.7 100.8 100.9 0.0
0.3
0.0
-0.2
-0.1
0.0
0.1
0.1
129.3 129.7 130.3 131.0 131.9 132.6 133.1 133.2 0.5
0.3
0.5
0.5
0.7
0.5
0.4
0.1
Cyclical indicator of leading composite index 100.9 100.8 101.0 101.2 101.6 101.7 101.8 101.6 (m-o-m, p)
0.2
-0.1
0.2
0.2
0.4
0.1
0.1
-0.2
1. Preliminary
The cyclical indicator of the coincident composite index rose 0.1 points from the previous month to 100.9. Among the seven components of the coincident composite index, only the value of construction completed declined.
41
November 2017
Components of the coincident composite index in September (m-o-m)
mining & manufacturing production (0.5%), service output (0.5%), retail sales (0.7%), domestic shipments (0.3%), imports (0.3%), nonfarm payroll employment (0.1%), value of construction completed (-0.4%)
Cyclical indicator of coincident composite index (points)
110
105
100
95
90 2008.1
2009.1
2010.1
2011.1
2012.1
2013.1
2014.1
2015.1
2016.1
2017.1
Source: Statistics Korea (industrial activity trends)
The cyclical indicator of the leading composite index declined 0.2 points from the previous month to 101.6. Spreads between long & short term interest rates increased, and KOSPI remained unchanged. Six components of the index, such as domestic shipments of machinery and the consumer expectations index, declined. Components of the leading composite index in September (m-o-m)
spreads between long & short term interest rates (0.04%p), inventory circulation indicator (-0.5%p), consumer expectations index (-2.1p), domestic shipments of machinery (-2.8%), value of construction orders received (-1.2%), ratio of export to import prices (-0.4%), ratio of job openings to job seekers (-0.9%p), KOSPI (0.0%)
Cyclical indicator of leading composite index (points)
110
105
100
95
90 2008.1
2009.1
2010.1
2011.1
2012.1
Source: Statistics Korea (industrial activity trends)
2013.1
2014.1
2015.1
2016.1
2017.1
Policy Issue
Korea to boost entrepreneurship, building up startup-friendly environment
43
November 2017
Korea to Boost Entrepreneurship, Building up Startup-friendly Environment The government unveiled its plan to support innovative startups, which covers creating startup-friendly environment, providing financial support and promoting venture capital. The plan is in line with the administration’s growth through innovation policies.
Create startup-friendly environment - Launch a ‘startup leave’ program, which allows returning to where he used to work in a company when he fails, to encourage talented employees to start his own business - Promote academic professionals’ venturing into their own business by giving them more flexibility in their employment contracts - Revise the current innovative startup support programs to be more private sector-driven, for example authorizing the private sector to select recipients - Offer office spaces and provide networking opportunities, both online and offline, to seed stage startups: Set up nationwide a center for commercializing ideas and utilize the Pangyo Techno Valley, government properties and public institutions as places for exchanging ideas and networking - Assist startups throughout their development stages, from financing to helping them participate in public procurement markets, secure market shares and gain access to overseas markets, so that they can grow further into medium-sized strong enterprises
44
Economic Bulletin
Policy Issue
Strengthen financial support and tax incentives - Launch an innovative startup fund worth 10 trillion won which includes 3 trillion won of public sector contribution, such as through fiscal expenditure and policybased loans, and 7 trillion of private sector money: The fund will provide venture capital to innovative startups, increasing its investment in common shares, and will continue to provide support throughout business development, from idea commercialization to product launch, or from M&A to business restructuring - Promote technology-backed financing: Properly assess future value the technology will create, and open courses on technology financing at graduate schools as well as at the Korea Banking Institute - Increase tax incentives for investing in startups: Introduce a tax incentive package which includes 1) raising the angel investment tax exemption ceiling two-fold from 15 million won to 30 million won, 2) reviving the tax exemption for gains from the sales of employee stock options, 3) raising the tax exemption ceiling for employee stock ownership from 4 million won to 15 million won, and 4) giving tax incentives for investing in venture investment firms to promote ordinary citizens’ micro investment
Create an ecosystem in which those who failed can have chances to try again - Gradually phase out joint surety of which the burden startup failures have to carry: Public sector financial institutions will lift joint surety in the first half of 2018, and private sector financial institutions will gradually phase it out afterwards. - Develop a secondary market and promote M&As to attract venture capital: Work to make the KOSDAQ and KONEX markets thriving and encourage pension funds to invest in those markets, and promote M&As by large companies and global venture capital funds - Strictly deal with technology theft: Launch a task force for technology theft investigation at the Korea Fair Trade Commission (KFTC) and strengthen KFTC’s investigative mandate for technology theft
Economic News Briefing
Government unveils support prior to minimum wage increase Korea and Canada sign standing currency swap agreement Government to improve regulations to develop KTB market Korea grows 1.4% in Q3 2017 (advanced) Korea ranks 4th in World Bank’s Doing Business index
46
Economic Bulletin
Economic News Briefing
Government unveils support prior to minimum wage increase The government unveiled its support for the minimum wage increase scheduled to take effect next year, focusing on small businesses that are likely to suffer from increased labor costs. Hourly minimum wages will be 7,530 won in 2018, and will reach 10,000 won by 2020 according to the administration’s minimum wage initiative.
Worries over shrinking employment There have been worries over shrinking employment when the minimum wage increase takes effect next year, as it will impose burden on small businesses. Against this backdrop, the government has proposed budgets for small business support worth 3 trillion won.
Support The government will provide small businesses with a monthly support of 130,000 won per employee. A total of 3 million employees are expected to receive the support. - Eligibility: Small businesses with less than 30 employees if they pass the screening, and small businesses with 30 employees or more for some services industries, such as those providing home security services and janitorial services - Recipient employees: Employees earning less than 1.9 million won per month - Support: Monthly support of 130,000 won per employee, which includes extra management costs caused by the minimum wage increase
Korea and Canada sign standing currency swap agreement Korea and Canada have signed their first standing bilateral currency swap agreement on November 16. The currency swap agreement, effective immediately, “will enable the Bank of Canada to provide Canadian dollars to the Bank of Korea, as well as to provide liquidity in the Korean won to financial institutions in Canada, should the need arise.” “Likewise, the Bank of Korea will provide Korean won to the Bank of Canada, as well as to provide liquidity in the Canadian dollar to financial institutions in Korea.” The currency swap agreement has no limit on liquidity provisions and no expiration date.
47
November 2017
Government to improve regulations to develop KTB market The government unveiled its plans to promote the development of Korea’s sovereign bond market.
Summary of the plan - Encourage primary dealers: Revise regulations on primary dealers to encourage them to more actively participate in KTB auctions, as well as to ease their burden in the market - Ensure steady supply of inflation-linked KTBs: Keep the issuance of inflation-linked KTBs steady below 15 percent of the 10 year KTB issuance, so that the market can predict the supply - Promote repurchase agreement (RP) transactions: Promote RP transactions between financial institutions to facilitate short-term financing in the market - Reflect market interest rates in exchange offer yields: Reflect KTB yields in the market, with which the bonds are traded on the day, when determining exchange offer yields - Expand KTB-backed RPs: Ease maturity requirements for KTBs to guarantee RPs, from KTBs with at least five years of remaining maturity to KTBs maturing later than the time of repurchase - Increase the share of long-term KTBs: Increase the share of long-term debt to meet growing demand in the market, as well as to properly finance the country’s mid- to long-term fiscal needs
Korea grows 1.4% in Q3 2017 (advanced) Korea’s real gross domestic product (GDP) expanded 1.4 percent quarter-on-quarter and 3.6 percent year-on-year in the third quarter of 2017, according to advanced data released by the Bank of Korea (BOK) on October 26. On the production side, agriculture, forestry & fisheries contracted 6.5 percent from the previous quarter as beef and vegetable production declined. Manufacturing rose 2.7 percent, led by semiconductors and chemical products, and construction grew 1.3 percent, led by residential building construction. Services rose 0.9 percent, as wholesale & retail, hotels & restaurants and health & social welfare services improved. On the expenditure side, private consumption expanded 0.7 percent, as expenditures on services and nondurable goods rose. Government consumption rose 2.3 percent, led by expenditures on goods and health insurance benefits. Construction investment rose 1.5 percent as investment in building construction increased, and facility investment rose 0.5 percent due to strong machinery investment.
48
Economic Bulletin
Economic News Briefing
Exports expanded 6.1 percent due to strong semiconductors, chemical products and automobiles. Imports rose 4.5 percent, led by chemical products and crude oil.
GDP by production and expenditure*
(Percentage change from previous period)
2015
2016
20171
1
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Q1
Q2
Q3
GDP
0.8 (2.6)2
0.4 (2.4)2
1.3 (3.0)2
0.7 (3.2)2
0.5 (2.9)2
0.9 (3.4)2
0.5 (2.6)2
0.5 (2.4)2
1.1 (2.9)2
0.6 (2.7)2
1.4 (3.6)2
Agriculture, forestry & fisheries
1.8
-8.3
4.1
-2.0
3.7
-4.5
-1.9
-1.8
5.9
-1.1
-6.5
Manufacturing
0.9
0.7
0.8
0.4
0.4
1.0
-0.4
1.8
2.1
-0.3
2.7
Electricity, gas & water supply
-0.4
1.1
3.8
0.6
0.1
0.0
3.4
-3.0
-1.4
3.8
3.5
Construction
2.5
1.5
4.2
0.9
3.6
2.6
2.3
1.3
5.3
-1.3
1.3
Services
0.6
0.3
1.0
0.8
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.2
0.2
0.8
0.9
Private consumption
0.9
-0.3
1.3
1.5
-0.1
0.8
0.6
0.2
0.4
1.0
0.7
Government consumption
-0.1
1.1
1.0
1.3
1.4
0.6
0.9
0.6
0.5
1.1
2.3
Construction investment
9.0
1.4
2.1
-2.2
7.6
3.1
2.2
-1.2
6.8
0.3
1.5
Facility investment
0.3
0.8
1.9
0.0
-7.0
2.6
0.9
5.9
4.4
5.2
0.5
Intellectual property investment
1.6
-0.4
0.5
0.7
0.2
1.3
0.5
0.6
0.3
1.2
1.1
Exports
-0.3
-0.2
0.1
2.1
-0.6
1.0
1.0
-0.1
2.1
-2.9
6.1
Imports
0.1
0.7
1.2
2.9
-1.5
2.2
2.6
-0.1
4.8
-1.0
4.5
3
*Based on 2010 chained prices in seasonally adjusted terms 1. Preliminary 2. Percentage change from the same period of the previous year (original data) 3. Wholesale & retail, hotels & restaurants, transportation & storage, communications services, financial & insurance services, real estate & renting, business services, public administration, defense & social security, education services, healthcare & social welfare services, entertainment, cultural & sports services and other services are included.
Korea ranks 4th in World Bank’s Doing Business index Korea ranks fourth among 190 countries in World Bank’s Ease of Doing Business index for 2018, up one notch compared to the previous year to an all-time high. Of the 10 sets of indicators to measure the ease of doing business, Korea ranks high in “enforcing contracts” (1st → 1st), “getting electricity” (1st → 2nd), “resolving insolvency” (4th → 5th) and “starting a business” (11th → 9th), while it is placed lower in areas such as “dealing with construction permits” (31st → 28th), “trading across borders” (32nd → 33rd) and “getting credit” (44th → 55th).
Statistical Appendices
01. National accounts 02. Production, shipment and inventory 03. Production capacity and operation ratio 04. Consumer goods sales index 05. Machinery orders received and facility investment index 06. Value of construction completed and domestic construction orders received 07. Composite indices of business cycle indicators, CSI and BSI 08. Prices 09. Employment (I) 10. Employment (II) 11. Balance of payments (I) 12. Balance of payments (II) 13. Financial indicators 14. Monetary indicators 15. Exchange rates
50
Economic Bulletin
Statistical Appendices
1. National accounts (year-on-year change, %, chained 2010 year prices)
Real GDP
Period
Agri., fores. & fisheries
Final consumption Manufacturing expenditure
Gross fixed capital formation Private consumption
Construction
Facilities
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016p 2009 Ⅰ Ⅱ Ⅲ Ⅳ 2010 Ⅰ Ⅱ Ⅲ Ⅳ 2011 Ⅰ Ⅱ Ⅲ Ⅳ 2012 Ⅰ Ⅱ Ⅲ Ⅳ 2013 Ⅰ Ⅱ Ⅲ Ⅳ 2014 Ⅰ Ⅱ Ⅲ Ⅳ 2015 Ⅰ Ⅱ Ⅲ Ⅳ
6.5 3.7 2.3 2.9 3.3 2.8 2.8 -1.9 -1.1 0.9 4.8 7.3 7.4 5.4 6.0 4.9 3.6 3.3 3.0 2.5 2.4 2.1 2.2 2.1 2.7 3.2 3.5 3.9 3.5 3.4 2.7 2.6 2.4 3.0 3.2
-4.3 -2.0 -0.9 3.1 3.6 -0.4 -2.9 2.5 0.0 5.0 5.0 0.0 -2.2 -7.8 -5.7 -9.3 -2.5 -5.8 7.1 0.1 -1.8 0.0 -1.3 -1.2 0.1 4.3 7.0 5.9 4.5 2.7 2.4 8.5 -3.0 0.3 -4.0
13.7 6.5 2.4 3.6 3.5 1.8 2.3 -8.4 -5.7 1.6 10.4 16.1 17.2 10.1 11.9 11.4 6.5 5.6 3.4 2.7 2.8 2.0 2.0 2.7 3.6 3.8 4.2 4.7 4.7 3.1 1.8 1.1 0.9 2.2 2.7
4.3 2.7 2.2 2.2 2.0 2.4 2.9 -1.9 0.9 1.7 4.5 6.2 3.6 3.9 3.4 3.3 3.3 2.8 1.7 2.2 1.3 2.7 2.7 1.5 2.2 2.4 2.6 2.9 1.8 2.0 1.6 1.8 2.0 2.3 3.4
4.4 2.9 1.9 1.9 1.7 2.2 2.5 -4.3 -0.8 0.7 5.3 6.8 3.6 4.0 3.2 3.7 3.7 2.5 1.7 1.6 0.7 2.6 2.7 1.5 1.9 1.9 2.2 2.8 1.7 1.4 1.1 1.5 1.7 2.2 3.4
5.5 0.8 -0.5 3.3 3.4 5.1 5.2 -5.4 -1.1 0.8 5.8 12.0 6.8 3.8 1.3 -0.7 2.5 1.7 -0.3 6.2 -2.3 -0.9 -3.6 -3.2 4.2 4.9 6.5 6.1 3.6 3.6 0.7 3.9 3.9 6.0 6.3
-3.7 -3.4 -3.9 5.5 1.1 6.6 10.7 1.9 4.4 3.1 4.1 1.6 -4.8 -4.8 -5.1 -8.2 -2.5 -2.2 -2.0 -0.2 -5.3 -2.6 -6.4 1.2 8.9 7.5 3.5 4.5 0.3 2.3 -1.7 4.0 4.6 7.6 9.6
22.0 4.7 0.1 -0.8 6.0 4.7 -2.3 -19.4 -13.6 -5.9 9.5 27.6 28.8 20.6 12.9 8.3 8.3 3.4 -0.9 11.0 -1.9 -4.2 -3.8 -12.3 -3.2 2.3 11.7 7.5 8.0 4.3 4.2 5.4 4.3 6.0 3.1
2016p Ⅰ Ⅱ Ⅲ Ⅳ
2.9 3.4 2.6 2.4 2.9 2.7 3.6
-2.3 1.0 -4.7 -4.7 -2.4 0.8 -3.7
2.4 2.7 1.4 2.7 4.5 3.2 6.3
2.9 3.7 3.1 2.0 2.2 2.5 2.9
2.3 3.5 2.7 1.5 2.0 2.3 2.4
2.9 5.2 5.3 7.1 10.4 9.6 9.1
9.0 10.6 11.2 11.6 11.3 8.0 7.5
-4.6 -2.9 -3.9 2.0 14.4 17.3 16.8
2017p Ⅰ Ⅱ Ⅲ p: Preliminary Source: Bank of Korea
51
November 2017
2. Production, shipment and inventory (constant prices, 2010=100)
Period 2015 2016 2015 Ⅰ Ⅱ Ⅲ Ⅳ 2016 Ⅰ Ⅱ Ⅲ Ⅳ 2017 Ⅰ Ⅱ Ⅲp 2015 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 2016 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10p 11 12 2017 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8p 9p
Production index*
Shipment index*
y-o-y change (%)
108.1 109.2 105.9 108.9 106.0 111.7 105.6 109.7 106.5 114.8 109.5 110.3 110.2 108.3 96.1 113.3 110.2 105.6 110.8 109.2 101.8 106.9 112.9 109.0 113.1 105.9 98.3 112.7 107.2 110.2 111.8 110.8 104.0 104.8 111.5 114.9 118.0 107.3 104.9 116.4 109.2 110.5 111.3 110.5 106.4 113.6
-0.3 1.0 -0.9 -0.8 0.4 0.4 -0.3 0.7 0.5 2.8 3.7 0.5 3.5 1.7 -5.0 0.3 -1.9 -2.7 2.0 -2.9 0.6 3.6 2.5 0.3 -1.7 -2.2 2.3 -0.5 -2.7 4.4 0.9 1.5 2.2 -2.0 -1.2 5.4 4.3 1.3 6.7 3.3 1.9 0.3 -0.4 -0.3 2.3 8.4
Inventory index*
y-o-y change (%)
108.2 109.0 106.3 108.6 106.3 111.8 105.4 109.9 106.2 114.5 109.0 109.9 110.3 108.4 96.9 113.6 110.1 105.8 109.8 108.0 102.7 108.2 113.1 109.0 113.2 104.2 97.6 114.4 108.2 109.8 111.6 108.8 104.4 105.4 111.0 114.1 118.5 105.7 104.7 116.5 108.7 109.1 111.8 109.5 107.5 114.3
0.2 0.7 -0.3 -0.6 1.3 0.4 -0.8 1.2 -0.1 2.4 3.4 0.0 3.9 2.8 -4.4 0.4 -0.9 -2.7 1.6 -1.5 1.0 4.6 3.4 -0.5 -1.7 -3.9 0.7 0.7 -1.7 3.8 1.6 0.7 1.7 -2.6 -1.9 4.7 4.7 1.4 7.3 1.8 0.5 -0.6 0.2 0.6 2.7 8.4
* Including mining, manufacturing, electricity & gas and water industry p: Preliminary Source: Statistics Korea
Service production index
y-o-y change (%)
131.6 124.0 132.7 134.5 138.2 131.6 136.8 131.8 127.4 124.0 129.2 129.5 130.8 131.9 132.4 132.7 134.2 133.5 134.5 137.6 137.3 138.2 136.4 136.7 131.6 137.8 137.5 136.8 133.1 134.1 131.8 130.9 130.0 127.4 128.0 127.9 124.0 129.8 129.2 129.2 132.1 135.8 129.5 133.3 134.6 130.8
3.3 -5.8 2.4 4.9 7.1 3.3 3.1 -2.0 -7.8 -5.8 -5.6 -1.7 2.7 0.2 2.8 2.4 2.7 3.0 4.9 3.8 5.7 7.1 4.9 5.8 3.3 4.5 3.9 3.1 -0.8 0.4 -2.0 -4.9 -5.3 -7.8 -6.2 -6.4 -5.8 -5.8 -6.0 -5.6 -0.8 1.3 -1.7 1.8 3.5 2.7
y-o-y change (%)
112.1 115.5 108.3 111.6 111.7 116.8 111.3 115.5 115.7 119.3 114.2 118.2 119.4 107.1 104.7 113.0 111.6 111.5 111.8 111.9 110.9 112.4 114.0 113.1 123.2 110.1 108.0 115.8 113.8 115.5 117.3 115.5 115.8 115.7 116.3 116.0 125.6 113.0 110.7 119.0 116.5 118.2 119.8 118.1 118.2 122.0
2.9 3.0 2.8 2.8 2.9 3.3 2.8 3.5 3.6 2.1 2.6 2.3 3.2 2.2 2.7 3.1 4.2 2.3 1.8 2.8 2.6 3.6 2.9 2.9 3.8 2.8 3.2 2.5 2.0 3.6 4.9 3.2 4.4 2.9 2.0 2.6 1.9 2.6 2.5 2.8 2.4 2.3 2.1 2.3 2.1 5.4
52
Economic Bulletin
Statistical Appendices
3. Production capacity and operation ratio (constant prices, 2010=100)
Period 2015 2016 2015 Ⅰ Ⅱ Ⅲ Ⅳ 2016 Ⅰ Ⅱ Ⅲ Ⅳ 2017 Ⅰ Ⅱ Ⅲp 2015 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 2016 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10p 11p 12 2017 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8p 9p
Production capacity index* (2010=100)
Operation ratio index* (2010=100)
y-o-y change (%)
111.4 112.3 111.2 111.3 111.4 111.8 111.5 111.8 112.5 113.6 113.2 112.8 113.6 111.1 111.0 111.5 111.2 111.3 111.4 111.2 111.2 111.8 111.9 111.8 111.7 111.3 111.4 111.7 111.6 111.7 112.1 112.3 112.5 112.7 113.3 113.7 113.8 113.5 113.4 112.8 112.8 112.8 112.8 113.1 113.6 114.0
* Manufacturing industry p: Preliminary Source: Statistics Korea
0.9 0.8 1.4 1.3 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.4 1.0 1.6 1.5 0.9 1.0 1.2 1.3 1.6 1.5 1.3 1.2 0.7 0.5 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.6 1.0 1.2 0.8 1.3 1.7 1.9 2.0 1.8 1.0 1.1 1.0 0.6 0.7 1.0 1.2
92.4 90.4 90.3 95.2 90.1 93.9 89.1 92.3 86.9 93.5 88.2 91.2 89.4 93.1 81.2 96.5 96.1 92.1 97.4 95.0 86.3 89.0 95.5 91.9 94.3 89.4 81.6 96.2 90.4 93.1 93.4 92.1 83.7 84.8 91.1 94.3 95.0 85.1 84.1 95.5 90.5 91.2 92.0 91.4 85.2 91.7
y-o-y change (%)
Capacity utilization rate* (%)
-2.0 -2.2 -2.8 -1.7 -1.5 -2.0 -1.3 -3.0 -3.6 -0.4 -1.0 -1.2 2.9 1.3 -7.3 -2.6 -3.6 -3.7 2.4 -3.7 -0.6 0.0 -0.4 -2.2 -3.4 -4.0 0.5 -0.3 -5.9 1.1 -4.1 -3.1 -3.0 -4.7 -4.6 2.6 0.7 -4.8 3.1 -0.7 0.1 -2.0 -1.5 -0.8 1.8 8.1
74.5 72.6 74.4 74.5 75.2 73.7 73.4 72.8 71.9 72.4 72.8 71.5 72.3 74.4 74.7 74.0 74.8 73.4 75.4 74.7 75.8 75.1 74.4 73.0 73.7 72.8 73.7 73.7 71.8 74.3 72.4 73.7 70.4 71.6 70.9 73.7 72.6 74.2 71.0 73.1 71.8 71.5 71.3 73.1 72.0 71.8
53
November 2017
4. Consumer goods sales index (constant prices, 2010=100)
Total
Period 2015 2016 2015 Ⅰ Ⅱ Ⅲ Ⅳ 2016 Ⅰ Ⅱ Ⅲ Ⅳ 2017 Ⅰ Ⅱ Ⅲp 2015 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 2016 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 2017 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8p 9p p: Preliminary Source: Statistics Korea
y-o-y change (%)
114.6 119.5 109.1 113.2 113.2 123.0 114.6 119.9 117.2 126.1 116.8 121.9 122.2 108.0 105.8 113.5 112.8 117.2 109.5 113.2 110.0 116.5 121.7 121.8 125.6 113.8 109.3 120.6 117.1 122.9 119.8 118.0 116.8 116.7 124.8 125.7 127.9 118.5 109.8 122.0 120.1 124.6 121.1 122.2 117.9 126.4
4.1 4.3 2.4 3.9 3.6 6.3 5.0 5.9 3.5 2.5 1.9 1.7 4.3 -2.3 6.4 3.5 6.3 4.2 1.0 2.4 2.1 6.2 9.0 6.2 4.1 5.4 3.3 6.3 3.8 4.9 9.4 4.2 6.2 0.2 2.5 3.2 1.8 4.1 0.5 1.2 2.6 1.4 1.1 3.6 0.9 8.3
Consumer goods sales index Durable goods Semi-durable goods y-o-y change (%)
135.0 141.1 126.2 131.9 132.7 149.3 134.3 146.5 134.1 149.4 138.5 152.9 151.0 127.8 116.8 133.9 129.1 130.6 136.1 139.8 129.0 129.2 143.2 146.9 157.8 125.7 125.4 151.7 138.9 145.9 154.6 140.4 136.6 125.2 144.2 148.8 155.2 127.8 134.7 152.9 146.9 154.9 157.0 156.8 144.9 151.3
10.0 4.5 7.5 8.8 7.5 16.1 6.4 11.1 1.1 0.1 3.1 4.4 12.6 9.8 -0.3 12.8 12.8 7.3 6.8 6.5 8.9 7.2 20.4 14.1 14.3 -1.6 7.4 13.3 7.6 11.7 13.6 0.4 5.9 -3.1 0.7 1.3 -1.6 1.7 7.4 0.8 5.8 6.2 1.6 11.7 6.1 20.8
y-o-y change (%)
104.1 106.7 98.1 103.2 92.6 122.3 100.4 107.7 95.8 122.8 99.0 105.4 95.3 97.9 91.6 104.7 107.2 114.2 88.3 91.9 87.9 98.1 122.2 124.5 120.3 101.4 93.0 106.8 109.2 115.0 98.9 98.5 89.1 99.8 123.8 125.0 119.7 100.6 92.1 104.2 109.8 109.5 96.9 96.1 87.8 102.1
-1.1 2.5 -2.0 -1.3 -3.5 1.5 2.3 4.4 3.5 0.4 -1.4 -2.1 -0.5 -2.6 -0.2 -3.0 1.5 2.4 -8.8 -3.8 -3.7 -3.2 5.6 3.3 -3.9 3.6 1.5 2.0 1.9 0.7 12.0 7.2 1.4 1.7 1.3 0.4 -0.5 -0.8 -1.0 -2.4 0.5 -4.8 -2.0 -2.4 -1.5 2.3
Nondurable goods
y-o-y change (%)
109.7 115.0 105.9 108.7 113.2 111.1 111.5 112.9 118.7 116.7 114.4 114.7 120.5 103.2 106.8 107.8 107.6 112.2 106.4 110.2 110.8 118.7 111.4 108.9 112.9 113.6 108.9 112.0 110.4 115.6 112.8 116.1 119.7 120.2 116.1 115.2 118.8 122.0 105.9 115.4 112.0 117.1 115.0 117.5 118.5 125.4
3.1 4.8 1.5 3.3 4.2 3.3 5.3 3.9 4.9 5.0 2.6 1.6 1.5 -7.9 13.0 1.5 5.1 3.2 1.8 2.5 0.8 9.5 4.6 3.1 2.4 10.1 2.0 3.9 2.6 3.0 6.0 5.4 8.0 1.3 4.2 5.8 5.2 7.4 -2.8 3.0 1.4 1.3 2.0 1.2 -1.0 4.3
54
Economic Bulletin
Statistical Appendices
5. Machinery orders received and facility investment index Period 2015 2016 2015 Ⅰ Ⅱ Ⅲ Ⅳ 2016 Ⅰ Ⅱ Ⅲ Ⅳ 2017 Ⅰ Ⅱ Ⅲp 2015 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 2016 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 2017 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8p 9p p: Preliminary Source: Statistics Korea
Domestic machinery orders received excluding ship (billion won, constant value) Total Public Private y-o-y change (%)
25,453 26,413 6,459 7,032 5,501 6,461 6,419 6,818 5,682 7,494 8,280 8,760 7,422 2,334 1,857 2,268 2,771 2,101 2,159 2,010 1,631 1,860 1,999 1,969 2,493 1,682 2,279 2,458 1,987 2,155 2,676 2,018 1,659 2,005 1,812 2,303 3,379 2,286 2,667 3,327 2,899 2,651 3,210 2,783 2,296 2,343
-3.9 3.8 -2.5 15.2 -28.3 6.3 -0.6 -3.0 3.3 16.0 29.0 28.5 30.6 33.1 0.7 -25.1 21.9 14.8 7.9 13.5 -60.1 2.3 3.3 -14.7 35.7 -27.9 22.7 8.4 -28.3 2.5 23.9 0.4 1.7 7.8 -9.4 16.9 35.5 36.0 17.0 35.3 45.9 23.0 20.0 37.9 38.4 16.9
y-o-y change (%)
1,921 2,842 405 493 399 624 635 570 470 1,167 687 542 458 116 141 148 127 197 169 133 160 106 98 228 298 69 255 312 188 169 213 52 84 334 59 141 967 118 226 342 241 117 184 296 82 81
-61.7 48.0 -66.9 61.6 -85.3 -19.8 56.9 15.7 17.7 87.1 8.2 -4.9 -2.6 32.0 17.6 -85.4 30.7 69.1 84.7 50.2 -93.7 34.8 -53.6 -46.7 113.6 -40.7 80.7 110.8 48.7 -14.1 25.6 -61.3 -47.3 214.8 -39.7 -38.3 224.7 71.7 -11.1 9.8 28.1 -30.9 -13.5 473.1 -3.2 -75.9
y-o-y change (%)
23,533 23,571 6,054 6,539 5,101 5,838 5,784 6,248 5,212 6,327 7,594 8,218 6,964 2,218 1,716 2,121 2,645 1,905 1,990 1,876 1,471 1,754 1,902 1,742 2,195 1,613 2,025 2,147 1,799 1,986 2,464 1,966 1,575 1,671 1,753 2,163 2,411 2,168 2,441 2,985 2,658 2,534 3,026 2,487 2,215 2,262
9.6 0.2 12.0 12.7 2.8 10.1 -4.5 -4.4 2.2 8.4 31.3 31.5 33.6 33.2 -0.5 5.2 21.5 11.1 4.2 11.5 -4.6 0.8 10.2 -7.4 29.3 -27.3 18.0 1.2 -32.0 4.3 23.8 4.8 7.1 -4.7 -7.8 24.2 9.9 34.4 20.6 39.0 47.8 27.6 22.8 26.5 40.6 35.4
Facility investment index (2010=100) y-o-y
change (%)
112.2 110.7 108.3 113.5 111.6 115.2 100.1 114.2 106.3 122.0 118.2 134.4 128.3 103.8 99.0 122.1 113.9 107.9 118.6 120.2 106.3 108.3 113.0 107.8 124.9 97.0 90.7 112.7 111.0 110.6 121.1 105.0 109.8 104.0 109.3 118.8 138.0 107.0 108.4 139.1 126.9 132.7 143.6 131.1 123.5 130.2
6.9 -1.3 9.2 5.2 10.8 2.0 -7.6 0.6 -4.7 5.9 18.1 17.7 20.7 14.8 3.6 11.2 3.0 -0.3 13.2 8.0 17.3 8.1 12.9 -4.3 -1.0 -6.6 -8.4 -7.7 -2.5 2.5 2.1 -12.6 3.3 -4.0 -3.3 10.2 10.5 10.3 17.7 23.4 14.3 20.0 18.6 24.9 12.5 25.2
55
November 2017
6. Value of construction completed and domestic construction orders received (current value, billion won)
Period 2015 2016 2015 Ⅰ Ⅱ Ⅲ Ⅳ 2016 Ⅰ Ⅱ Ⅲ Ⅳ 2017 Ⅰ Ⅱ Ⅲp 2015 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 2016 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 2017 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8p 9p
Total
Value of construction completed Public Private
y-o-y change (%)
102,614 119,959 21,925 25,735 25,420 35,895 24,533 29,977 29,573 35,895 30,622 35,556 34,733 7,055 6,870 8,000 7,915 7,994 9,826 8,104 8,123 9,193 8,714 8,888 11,932 7,509 7,424 9,600 9,027 9,347 11,603 9,545 9,832 10,195 10,474 11,459 13,962 8,988 9,658 11,976 11,230 11,253 13,073 11,209 11,122 12,403
p: Preliminary Source: Statistics Korea
4.2 16.9 1.1 -1.7 7.7 21.5 11.9 16.5 16.3 21.5 24.8 18.6 17.4 0.0 3.1 0.6 -6.6 -2.4 3.3 2.4 5.2 15.4 5.7 6.4 14.3 6.4 8.1 20.0 14.0 16.9 18.1 17.8 21.0 10.9 20.2 28.9 17.0 19.7 30.1 24.7 24.4 20.4 12.7 17.4 13.1 21.7
y-o-y change (%)
31,034 30,907 6,681 8,286 7,247 9,046 6,710 8,099 7,061 9,046 6,960 8,067 6,838 2,067 2,121 2,494 2,493 2,358 3,434 2,312 2,224 2,710 2,292 2,465 4,062 2,045 1,976 2,689 2,317 2,326 3,456 2,256 2,344 2,460 2,348 2,779 3,920 1,972 2,149 2,839 2,302 2,428 3,338 2,236 2,099 2,504
-3.1 -0.4 -6.5 -4.9 0.0 2.6 0.4 -2.3 -2.6 2.6 3.7 -0.4 -3.2 -10.7 -3.9 -5.1 -9.0 -8.8 1.5 -4.8 -4.3 8.8 -9.5 -7.8 9.6 -1.1 -6.8 7.8 -7.1 -1.4 0.6 -2.4 5.4 -9.2 2.4 12.7 -3.5 -3.6 8.8 5.6 -0.7 4.4 -3.4 -0.9 -10.5 1.8
Total
y-o-y change (%)
67,349 83,686 14,482 16,451 17,164 25,454 16,512 20,494 21,226 25,454 22,619 26,578 27,046 47,680 4,527 5,187 5,112 5,319 6,019 5,523 5,598 6,043 6,043 6,025 7,185 5,144 5,086 6,282 6,299 6,611 7,585 6,914 7,109 7,203 7,693 8,226 9,535 6,682 7,232 8,705 8,641 8,543 9,393 8,711 8,774 9,560
7.9 24.3 5.9 -0.4 11.7 32.2 14.0 24.6 23.7 32.2 37.0 29.7 27.4 7.1 6.8 4.0 -6.3 0.1 4.9 7.3 9.5 18.5 12.5 13.7 16.0 7.9 12.3 21.1 23.2 24.3 26.0 25.2 27.0 19.2 27.3 36.5 32.7 29.9 42.2 38.6 37.2 29.2 23.8 26.0 23.4 32.7
Domestic construction orders received Public Private
y-o-y change (%)
134,493 146,247 25,470 35,382 36,494 46,811 29,008 33,013 36,970 46,811 30,050 38,544 32,742 7,520 5,432 12,519 9,100 12,640 13,641 8,681 8,767 19,046 10,387 13,244 13,517 7,339 10,002 11,666 10,850 9,656 12,507 11,991 13,372 11,607 14,819 12,563 19,428 8,551 12,437 9,062 14,564 11,425 12,556 8,460 12,763 11,519
48.4 8.7 57.8 49.8 50.6 26.0 13.9 -6.7 1.3 26.0 3.6 16.8 -11.4 35.6 -3.5 152.1 21.3 85.3 46.7 23.4 -0.3 126.4 29.8 107.0 10.8 -2.4 84.1 -6.8 19.2 -23.6 -8.3 38.1 52.5 -39.1 42.7 -5.1 43.7 16.5 24.3 -22.3 34.2 18.3 0.4 -29.5 -4.6 -0.8
y-o-y change (%)
28,546 33,963 4,599 8,962 4,899 12,619 7,816 5,564 7,964 12,619 7,313 7,525 6,872 1,325 1,140 2,134 2,569 2,368 4,025 1,791 1,921 1,187 1,803 3,265 5,019 2,693 2,362 2,761 1,185 2,126 2,254 2,626 3,404 1,933 3,212 2,792 6,615 2,255 3,091 1,967 2,102 1,486 3,937 1,801 3,031 2,040
8.0 19.0 -22.4 36.5 -5.5 25.1 70.0 -37.9 62.6 25.1 -6.4 35.2 -13.7 -35.3 -49.2 30.7 35.6 19.4 49.8 17.0 18.8 -41.6 27.6 76.5 -8.7 103.3 107.1 29.4 -53.9 -10.2 -44.0 46.6 77.2 62.9 78.2 -14.5 31.8 -16.3 30.9 -28.7 77.4 -30.1 74.7 -31.4 -11.0 5.6
y-o-y change (%)
103,185 108,561 20,586 25,902 30,869 33,363 20,485 26,705 27,196 33,363 18,665 30,261 25,728 6,082 4,210 10,293 6,475 10,169 9,258 6,813 6,541 17,515 8,583 9,419 7,827 4,373 7,559 8,552 9,297 7,412 9,995 8,499 9,464 9,233 11,532 9,667 12,164 6,293 5,999 6,374 11,852 9,880 8,529 6,638 9,720 9,371
66.1 5.2 110.9 55.0 67.9 29.2 -0.5 3.1 -11.9 29.2 -8.9 13.3 -5.4 83.8 30.0 220.4 15.7 113.2 45.8 27.0 -6.0 189.0 34.0 112.5 21.9 -28.1 79.5 -16.9 43.6 -27.1 8.0 24.7 44.7 -47.3 34.4 2.6 55.4 43.9 -20.6 -25.5 27.5 33.3 -14.7 -21.9 2.7 1.5
56
Economic Bulletin
Statistical Appendices
7. Composite indices of business cycle indicators, CSI and BSI Period 2014 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 2015 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 2016 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9p 10 11 12 2017 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8p 9p 10 11
indicator indicator Leading index Cyclical index Cyclical of leading index Coincident of coincident (2010=100) (2010=100) (2010=100) index (2010=100) 112.9 113.2 113.4 113.8 114.1 114.4 114.6 115.2 115.8 116.2 116.5 117.0 117.7 118.1 118.7 119.1 119.8 120.1 120.5 121.0 121.6 122.0 122.4 122.6 122.7 122.8 123.1 123.7 124.2 124.5 125.0 125.8 126.5 127.0 127.5 128.1 128.6 129.3 129.7 130.3 131.0 131.9 132.6 133.1 133.2 -
100.6 100.5 100.4 100.4 100.3 100.3 100.1 100.2 100.4 100.4 100.3 100.3 100.6 100.6 100.7 100.7 100.8 100.7 100.7 100.7 100.7 100.7 100.6 100.4 100.1 99.7 99.7 99.8 99.8 99.8 99.9 100.1 100.3 100.5 100.5 100.6 100.7 100.9 100.8 101.0 101.2 101.6 101.7 101.8 101.6 -
112.0 112.3 112.8 113.0 113.0 113.2 113.5 113.9 114.1 114.0 114.2 114.9 115.3 115.9 116.2 116.6 116.4 116.5 116.8 117.5 118.4 119.0 119.0 119.3 119.3 119.5 119.6 119.9 120.5 121.0 121.6 122.1 122.2 122.2 122.6 123.2 123.8 124.1 124.7 125.1 125.2 125.3 125.7 126.1 126.6 -
100.0 100.0 100.2 100.1 99.9 99.8 99.8 99.9 99.8 99.5 99.5 99.8 99.9 100.2 100.1 100.2 99.8 99.6 99.6 99.9 100.4 100.7 100.4 100.4 100.1 100.0 99.9 99.9 100.1 100.2 100.5 100.6 100.4 100.2 100.3 100.5 100.7 100.7 101.0 101.0 100.8 100.7 100.7 100.8 100.9 -
CSI1 109.0 108.0 108.5 108.4 104.5 107.0 104.7 106.5 107.3 104.7 102.7 101.1 102.5 103.1 101.4 104.0 105.3 98.4 100.3 101.6 102.7 105.1 105.7 102.6 100.0 97.9 100.0 101.6 99.2 98.8 101.0 101.9 101.8 102.0 95.7 94.1 93.3 94.4 96.7 101.2 108.0 111.1 111.2 109.9 107.7 109.2 -
1. Consumer Sentiment Index 2. Business Survey Index (manufacturing, seasonally adjusted) p: Preliminary Sources: Statistics Korea, Bank of Korea
BOK BSI2 Results
Prospects
78 79 78 76 75 75 75 75 77 73 76 76 75 74 74 74 69 65 71 71 70 73 69 69 67 64 65 66 68 70 72 73 72 73 74 74 77 77 77 77 78 77 78 81 85 83 -
81 83 82 81 80 79 79 77 76 78 77 78 79 75 80 76 76 74 68 72 73 71 72 71 70 68 65 67 69 72 72 74 76 75 74 74 73 78 79 78 79 82 81 81 84 79 87
57
November 2017
8. Prices
Period 2014 2015 2016 2014 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 2015 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 2016 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 2017 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
All items
y-o-y change (%)
99.3 100.0 101.0 98.8 99.1 99.3 99.3 99.5 99.4 99.5 99.7 99.6 99.3 99.1 99.1 99.8 99.7 99.7 99.8 100.0 100.1 100.2 100.4 100.1 100.1 99.9 100.2 100.4 100.8 100.6 100.8 100.8 100.8 100.6 100.9 101.5 101.6 101.5 101.6 102.4 102.8 102.8 102.7 102.8 102.7 102.9 103.5 103.6 103.4
Source: Bank of Korea
1.3 0.7 1.0 1.1 1.0 1.3 1.5 1.7 1.7 1.6 1.4 1.1 1.1 1.0 0.8 1.0 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.5 0.8 0.8 1.1 0.6 1.1 0.8 1.0 0.8 0.7 0.4 0.5 1.3 1.5 1.5 1.3 2.0 1.9 2.2 1.9 2.0 1.9 2.2 2.6 2.1 1.8
Consumer prices (2015=100) Commodities Services y-o-y change (%)
100.7 100.0 99.4 100.6 101.0 101.1 100.9 101.1 100.8 100.8 101.0 101.0 100.3 99.9 99.8 100.6 100.4 100.1 99.8 100.3 100.4 100.0 100.1 99.8 99.6 99.3 99.7 99.2 99.9 99.1 99.3 99.1 99.1 98.2 98.5 100.0 100.3 100.1 100.1 101.1 101.6 101.5 100.8 101.0 100.9 100.8 102.0 102.5 101.8
0.9 -0.7 -0.6 0.9 0.9 1.1 1.3 1.7 1.7 1.4 1.0 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.1 -0.6 -1.0 -1.1 -0.8 -0.4 -0.8 -0.9 -1.3 -0.7 -0.7 -0.2 -1.4 -0.5 -1.0 -0.5 -1.2 -1.3 -1.8 -1.6 0.3 0.8 0.8 0.4 1.9 1.7 2.4 1.6 2.0 1.8 2.7 3.6 2.4 1.5
Core
y-o-y change (%)
98.2 100.0 102.3 97.4 97.6 97.8 98.1 98.2 98.2 98.5 98.6 98.5 98.5 98.5 98.5 99.1 99.2 99.4 99.7 99.8 99.8 100.4 100.6 100.4 100.6 100.5 100.7 101.3 101.6 101.8 101.9 102.2 102.2 102.6 102.8 102.6 102.7 102.6 102.8 103.5 103.7 103.9 104.1 104.2 104.1 104.5 104.7 104.5 104.7
1.6 1.8 2.3 1.3 1.1 1.5 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.6 1.6 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.6 1.6 1.6 2.0 2.0 1.9 2.1 2.0 2.2 2.3 2.5 2.4 2.3 2.4 2.4 2.1 2.2 2.2 2.1 2.1 2.0 2.2 2.1 2.1 2.2 2.0 1.9 1.9 1.8 1.8 2.0
y-o-y change (%)
97.8 100.0 101.6 96.9 97.2 97.4 97.6 97.9 98.0 98.2 98.2 98.2 98.2 98.2 98.3 99.4 99.5 99.6 99.6 99.9 99.9 100.2 100.3 100.2 100.4 100.4 100.6 101.0 101.2 101.3 101.5 101.7 101.8 101.5 101.6 101.7 102.1 102.0 101.9 102.5 102.7 102.8 102.8 103.1 103.2 103.3 103.4 103.3 103.5
2.0 2.2 1.6 1.7 1.7 2.1 2.3 2.2 2.1 2.2 2.4 1.9 1.8 1.6 1.6 2.6 2.4 2.2 2.1 2.1 2.0 2.1 2.1 2.0 2.2 2.2 2.3 1.6 1.7 1.7 1.9 1.8 1.8 1.3 1.3 1.5 1.8 1.6 1.2 1.5 1.5 1.4 1.3 1.4 1.4 1.8 1.8 1.6 1.3
Producer prices (2010=100) All items Commodities y-o-y change (%)
105.2 101.0 99.1 105.6 105.8 105.7 105.6 105.5 105.6 105.7 105.6 105.2 104.5 104.1 103.1 101.9 101.9 101.8 101.8 101.8 101.8 101.4 100.8 100.3 99.7 99.3 99.0 98.5 98.5 98.4 98.7 98.8 99.0 98.9 99.0 99.2 99.5 100.0 100.9 102.3 102.7 102.7 102.4 102.2 101.8 101.9 102.3 103.0 103.0
-0.5 -4.0 -1.8 -0.3 -0.9 -0.5 -0.3 0.0 0.1 0.2 -0.2 -0.5 -0.8 -0.9 -2.1 -3.6 -3.6 -3.7 -3.6 -3.5 -3.6 -4.0 -4.5 -4.6 -4.6 -4.7 -4.0 -3.3 -3.4 -3.3 -3.0 -3.0 -2.7 -2.5 -1.8 -1.1 -0.1 0.7 1.8 3.9 4.3 4.3 3.8 3.4 2.8 3.0 3.3 3.8 3.5
y-o-y change (%)
104.8 98.0 94.6 105.7 105.9 105.7 105.4 105.3 105.4 105.4 105.1 104.7 103.6 103.1 101.7 99.7 99.7 99.5 99.3 99.3 99.3 98.6 97.7 97.0 96.0 95.3 95.0 94.0 93.9 93.8 94.1 94.3 94.6 94.4 94.4 94.7 95.0 95.7 97.0 99.0 99.5 99.3 99.0 98.5 97.8 97.9 98.5 99.5 99.5
-1.4 -6.4 -3.4 -1.0 -1.7 -1.3 -1.1 -0.7 -0.6 -0.5 -1.1 -1.4 -1.8 -2.0 -3.6 -5.8 -5.8 -5.9 -5.8 -5.7 -5.8 -6.4 -7.1 -7.3 -7.4 -7.6 -6.6 -5.7 -5.9 -5.7 -5.2 -5.1 -4.7 -4.3 -3.4 -2.4 -1.0 0.4 2.2 5.3 6.0 5.9 5.1 4.4 3.4 3.7 4.4 5.1 4.7
58
Economic Bulletin
Statistical Appendices
9. Employment (I) Period 2015 2016 2015 Ⅰ Ⅱ Ⅲ Ⅳ 2016 Ⅰ Ⅱ Ⅲ Ⅳ 2017 Ⅰ Ⅱ Ⅲ 2015 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 2016 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 2017 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Economically active persons (thousands)
y-o-y change
Economically inactive persons (thousands)
y-o-y change
26,913 27,247 26,356 27,140 27,166 26,989 26,708 27,415 27,539 27,327 27,082 27,836 27,799 26,094 26,398 26,577 26,954 27,211 27,255 27,303 27,064 27,129 27,137 27,082 26,747 26,433 26,734 26,955 27,228 27,455 27,563 27,578 27,524 27,516 27,499 27,446 27,035 27,082 27,138 27,409 27,751 27,828 27,929 27,879 27,740 27,779 27,751
377 335 412 373 355 367 351 275 374 338 374 421 260 444 401 390 239 449 430 413 290 363 328 296 476 339 337 379 274 244 308 274 460 387 362 364 288 374 404 454 522 373 367 301 216 263 252
16,105 16,169 16,469 15,835 15,921 16,194 16,568 15,970 15,926 16,210 16,552 15,896 15,992 16,681 16,429 16,298 15,971 15,764 15,770 15,751 16,022 15,990 16,012 16,099 16,469 16,806 16,540 16,358 16,120 15,932 15,859 15,864 15,941 15,972 16,013 16,091 16,526 16,552 16,495 16,257 15,947 15,907 15,834 15,897 16,052 16,026 16,076
128 64 72 150 162 128 99 135 4 17 -17 -74 66 27 83 106 272 73 104 114 225 146 176 197 11 125 111 61 149 169 89 113 -81 -18 1 -8 57 -17 -45 -101 -173 -25 -24 33 111 54 63
Source: Statistics Korea
Labor force rate participation rate Employment (%) (%) 62.6 62.8 61.5 63.2 63.0 62.5 61.7 63.2 63.4 62.8 62.1 63.7 63.5 61.0 61.6 62.0 62.8 63.3 63.3 63.4 62.8 62.9 62.9 62.7 61.9 61.1 61.8 62.2 62.8 63.3 63.5 63.5 63.3 63.3 63.2 63.0 62.1 62.1 62.2 62.8 63.5 63.6 63.8 63.7 63.3 63.4 63.3
60.3 60.4 59.0 60.7 60.9 60.5 59.1 60.8 61.1 60.7 59.4 61.2 61.3 58.7 58.8 59.5 60.3 30.9 60.9 61.1 60.7 60.9 60.9 60.8 59.9 58.8 58.7 59.6 60.3 61.0 61.2 61.2 61.0 61.0 61.1 61.1 60.1 59.4 59.1 60.2 60.8 61.3 61.4 61.5 61.1 61.3 61.3
Unemployment rate (%) 3.6 3.7 4.1 3.8 3.4 3.1 4.3 3.8 3.6 3.2 4.3 3.9 3.5 3.8 4.6 4.0 3.9 3.8 3.9 3.7 3.4 3.2 3.1 3.1 3.2 3.7 4.9 4.3 3.9 3.7 3.6 3.5 3.6 3.6 3.4 3.1 3.2 4.3 5.0 4.2 4.2 3.6 3.8 3.5 3.6 3.4 3.2
59
November 2017
10. Employment (II) Period
Employed persons (thousands) All industry
y-o-y change
Manufacturing
y-o-y change
SOC & services
y-o-y change
25,936 26,235 25,267 26,098 26,237 26,143 25,554 26,387 26,554 26,446 25,915 26,754 26,833 25,106 25,195 25,501 25,900 26,189 26,205 26,305 26,141 26,264 26,298 26,253 25,879 25,445 25,418 25,800 26,153 26,450 26,559 26,603 26,528 26,531 26,577 26,592 26,168 25,689 25,788 26,267 26,577 26,824 26,860 26,916 26,740 26,844 26,855
337 299 354 308 310 376 287 289 318 302 360 367 279 347 376 338 216 379 329 326 256 347 348 285 495 339 223 300 252 261 354 298 387 267 278 339 289 243 371 466 424 375 301 313 212 314 279
4,486 4,481 4,418 4,466 4,511 4,550 4,544 4,503 4,439 4,439 4,432 4,480 4,470 4,421 4,433 4,400 4,455 4,464 4,478 4,528 4,491 4,512 4,552 4,545 4,552 4,566 4,541 4,525 4,503 4,514 4,493 4,464 4,418 4,436 4,437 4,443 4,437 4,406 4,449 4,441 4,441 4,489 4,509 4,513 4,442 4,456 4,465
156 -5 139 147 164 176 126 38 -71 -110 -112 -23 31 141 159 116 167 140 133 170 156 166 191 190 146 145 108 124 48 50 15 -65 -74 -76 -115 -102 -115 -160 -92 -83 -62 -25 16 50 25 20 28
20,092 20,449 19,747 20,114 20,217 20,289 19,956 20,446 20,683 20,710 20,449 20,829 20,902 19,693 19,716 19,832 20,004 20,179 20,161 20,250 20,153 20,249 20,248 20,353 20,266 19,955 19,885 20,028 20,263 20,483 20,593 20,719 20,677 20,653 20,682 20,759 20,689 20,362 20,354 20,631 20,759 20,875 20,852 20,953 20,841 20,913 20,913
287 357 307 290 253 300 209 332 466 421 493 383 219 317 309 294 185 364 319 247 213 300 275 256 370 262 169 196 259 304 433 469 524 404 434 406 424 407 469 604 496 392 259 234 163 260 232
2015 2016 2015 Ⅰ Ⅱ Ⅲ Ⅳ 2016 Ⅰ Ⅱ Ⅲ Ⅳ 2017 Ⅰ Ⅱ Ⅲ 2015 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 2016 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 2017 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Source: Statistics Korea
60
Economic Bulletin
Statistical Appendices
11. Balance of payments (I) (US $ million)
Period 2015 2016p 2015 Ⅰ Ⅱ Ⅲ Ⅳ 2016p Ⅰ Ⅱ Ⅲ Ⅳ 2017p Ⅰ Ⅱ Ⅲ 2015 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 2016p 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 2017p 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 p: Preliminary Source: Bank of Korea
Current account
Goods
105,939.6 98,677.4 23,222.0 26,951.4 28,246.3 27,519.9 25,349.7 26,337.2 21,509.8 25,480.7 19,430.9 16,835.4 25,527.4 7,035.8 6,305.5 9,880.7 7,254.8 8,136.1 11,560.5 9,325.9 8,207.6 10,712.8 9,576.4 9,841.5 8,102.0 7,183.0 7,619.7 10,547.0 3,756.4 10,494.5 12,086.3 8,412.6 5,030.1 8,067.1 8,719.3 8,892.2 7,869.2 5,277.8 8,400.2 5,752.9 3,891.1 5,937.3 7,007.0 7,261.3 6,061.1 12,205.0
122,269.2 120,445.7 24,516.1 33,667.7 31,319.2 32,766.2 28,954.6 33,534.3 28,268.1 29,688.7 27,981.3 30,363.9 35,030.3 6,860.8 7,061.6 10,593.7 11,850.1 8,868.3 12,949.3 10,304.2 8,848.7 12,166.3 10,971.6 10,635.0 11,159.6 8,186.1 7,926.2 12,842.3 9,847.8 10,857.3 12,829.2 10,665.7 6,940.1 10,662.3 9,830.2 10,425.1 9,433.4 7,813.9 10,545.3 9,622.1 11,823.9 8,834.3 9,705.7 10,707.3 9,310.2 15,012.8
Exports
Imports
542,811.2 511,776.1 131,427.3 142,086.3 133,550.1 135,817.5 118,316.3 128,243.4 127,558.4 137,658.0 138,937.2 142,980.1 150,122.4 44,427.0 39,430.9 47,569.4 49,643.9 43,406.2 49,036.2 47,221.5 42,080.5 44,248.1 46,261.8 43,126.3 46,429.4 37,340.3 36,291.5 44,684.5 40,434.3 42,545.7 45,263.4 42,364.1 41,281.3 43,913.0 43,339.0 46,365.8 47,953.2 44,107.5 44,630.1 50,199.6 48,095.4 46,895.9 47,988.8 47,211.2 47,818.2 55,093.0
420,612.0 391,330.4 106,911.2 108,418.6 102,230.9 103,051.3 89,361.7 94,709.1 99,290.3 107,969.3 110,955.9 112,616.2 115,092.1 37,566.2 32,369.3 36,975.7 37,793.8 34,537.9 36,086.9 36,917.3 33,231.8 32,081.8 35,290.2 32,491.3 35,269.8 29,154.2 28,365.3 31,842.2 30,586.5 31,688.4 32,434.2 31,698.4 34,341.2 33,250.7 33,508.8 35,940.7 38,519.8 36,293.6 34,084.8 40,577.5 36,271.5 38,061.6 38,283.1 36,503.9 38,508.0 40,080.2
Services
Primary income
Secondary income
-14,916.8 -17,608.0 -4,111.1 -3,037.3 -3,736.1 -4,032.3 -3,917.8 -3,910.7 -5,660.0 -4,119.5 -8,863.2 -6,875.4 -8,523.5 -1,913.6 -1,658.4 -539.1 -861.6 -18.2 -2,157.5 -1,502.5 -982.4 -1,251.2 -1,490.5 -1,219.4 -1,322.4 -1,837.3 -1,158.3 -922.2 -1,530.8 -1,071.5 -1,308.4 -1,583.4 -1,498.5 -2,578.1 -1,594.5 -1,737.1 -787.9 -3,359.3 -2,229.4 -3,274.5 -2,376.1 -1,688.1 -2,811.3 -3,294.6 -2,332.1 -2,896.8
3,572.4 1,459.3 4,067.5 -2,479.2 1,515.2 468.9 1,197.7 -2,108.9 1,262.5 1,108.0 1,128.6 -5,168.9 1,650.3 2,711.9 1,130.2 225.4 -3,236.8 -270.3 1,027.9 712.7 460.6 341.9 533.0 612.0 -676.1 1,232.2 831.1 -856.6 -4,057.1 858.5 1,089.7 -46.5 531.9 777.1 860.9 435.4 -188.3 1,090.3 631.3 -593.0 -5,026.2 -689.1 546.4 577.0 -77.5 1,150.8
-4,985.2 -5,619.6 -1,250.5 -1,199.8 -852.0 -1,682.9 -884.8 -1,177.5 -2,360.8 -1,196.5 -815.8 -1,484.2 -2,629.7 -623.3 -227.9 -399.3 -496.9 -443.7 -259.2 -188.5 -119.3 -544.2 -437.7 -186.1 -1,059.1 -398.0 20.7 -507.5 -503.5 -149.8 -524.2 -623.2 -943.4 -794.2 -377.3 -231.2 -588.0 -267.1 -547.0 -1.7 -530.6 -519.8 -433.8 -728.4 -839.5 -1,061.8
61
November 2017
12. Balance of payments (II) (US $ million)
Period 2015 2016p 2015 Ⅰ Ⅱ Ⅲ Ⅳ 2016p Ⅰ Ⅱ Ⅲ Ⅳ 2017p Ⅰ Ⅱ Ⅲ 2015 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 2016p 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 2017p 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Financial account*
Direct investment
Portfolio investment
Financial derivatives
Other investment
Reserve assets
106,299.2 100,385.6 22,974.3 25,857.1 29,806.1 27,661.7 28,794.3 19,126.9 27,255.5 25,208.9 19,554.4 13,132.6 31,644.6 6,561.4 6,015.2 10,397.7 9,207.3 7,148.8 9,501.0 10,175.7 8,778.2 10,852.2 11,148.7 7,808.2 8,704.8 7,556.3 9,199.0 12,039.0 713.3 9,092.9 9,320.7 10,151.2 7,521.4 9,582.9 7,044.3 8,898.8 9,265.8 4,347.8 9,205.6 6,001.0 1,828.4 2,582.4 8,721.8 9,770.0 9,125.0 12,749.6
19,656.3 16,447.6 4,328.8 6,256.2 3,695.1 5,376.2 5,266.0 1,893.5 2,296.8 6,991.3 6,982.6 3,301.3 4,254.4 933.9 1,186.6 2,208.3 1,267.5 375.4 4,613.3 -394.9 -280.6 4,370.6 3,452.7 589.0 1,334.5 13.8 1,645.1 3,607.1 -121.2 698.1 1,316.6 845.5 431.6 1,019.7 1,358.1 657.7 4,975.5 3,268.1 4,246.7 -532.2 1,363.0 668.9 1,269.4 397.9 1,579.6 2,276.9
49,529.8 66,333.6 7,743.0 7,111.1 15,559.7 19,116.0 16,887.9 13,426.6 15,949.6 20,069.5 8,033.0 11,205.0 25,016.0 3,385.5 3,030.3 1,327.2 107.2 353.1 6,650.8 8,169.7 2,395.5 4,994.5 7,118.3 5,228.6 6,769.1 5,452.2 5,861.0 5,574.4 2,827.8 4,547.3 6,051.5 254.4 6,712.4 8,982.8 9,868.7 6,968.2 3,232.6 4,772.3 878.2 2,382.5 2,763.2 5,531.7 2,910.1 3,207.0 11,455.9 10,353.1
1,791.3 -3,177.9 -726.3 -759.5 4,731.1 -1,454.0 2,724.0 -1,185.3 -3,798.1 -918.5 -3,107.6 -2,063.6 -404.2 -310.7 -332.5 -83.1 -581.5 -429.5 251.5 1,384.8 1,616.5 1,729.8 -1,272.4 -600.1 418.5 1,227.8 756.6 739.6 -1,043.5 -463.7 321.9 -471.8 -1,292.6 -2,033.7 -740.5 100.4 -278.4 -317.6 -1,579.1 -1,210.9 -909.0 -413.3 -741.3 -221.7 -71.2 -111.3
23,269.2 13,092.8 4,518.7 5,947.4 10,106.9 2,696.2 5,202.7 4,043.6 5,850.2 -2,003.7 6,910.1 475.7 2,929.7 -1,475.4 1,931.8 4,062.3 5,010.6 3,951.7 -3,014.9 1,988.9 8,928.5 -810.5 -379.6 978.0 2,097.8 480.2 2,502.0 2,220.5 -2,266.4 3,909.7 2,400.3 7,556.3 -1,419.0 -287.1 -3,662.3 1,689.6 -31.0 -3,633.2 5,811.4 4,731.9 -1,217.9 -3,283.4 4,977.0 6,257.9 -4,186.2 858.0
12,052.6 7,689.5 7,110.1 7,301.9 -4,286.7 1,927.3 -1,286.3 948.5 6,957.0 1,070.3 736.3 214.2 -151.3 4,028.1 199.0 2,883.0 3,403.5 2,898.1 1,000.3 -972.8 -3,881.7 567.8 2,229.7 1,612.7 -1,915.1 382.3 -1,565.7 -102.9 1,316.6 401.5 -769.6 1,966.8 3,089.0 1,901.2 220.3 -517.1 1,367.1 258.2 -151.6 629.7 -170.9 78.5 306.6 128.9 346.9 -627.1
* Positive figures represent net outflows, and negative figures represent net inflows. p: Preliminary Source: Bank of Korea
Capital account -60.2 -36.6 -22.0 -25.6 -26.2 13.6 -11.6 -7.0 11.0 -29.0 36.4 -60.3 -7.7 -13.0 -1.7 -7.3 -8.7 -1.6 -15.3 -29.9 1.5 2.2 -5.4 18.8 0.2 -6.1 -2.3 -3.2 -5.0 1.0 -3.0 2.7 17.1 -8.8 -9.6 -34.9 15.5 40.1 -2.0 -1.7 -26.2 -2.0 -32.1 15.3 -21.8 -1.2
62
Economic Bulletin
Statistical Appendices
13. Financial indicators (period average)
Yields (%) Period 2014 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 2015 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 2016 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 2017 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Source: Bank of Korea
Call rate (1 day)
CDs (91 days)
Treasury bonds (3 years)
2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.3 2.2 2.1 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 1.8 1.7 1.7 1.6 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.3 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.3 1.2
2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.5 2.4 2.2 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.0 1.8 1.8 1.7 1.7 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.7 1.7 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.3 1.4 1.4 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4
2.9 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.8 2.7 2.6 2.5 2.4 2.2 2.1 2.1 2.0 2.0 1.9 1.7 1.9 1.8 1.8 1.7 1.7 1.6 1.8 1.7 1.6 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.3 1.2 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.6 1.7 1.6 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.8 1.8 2.0
Stock Treasury bonds (5 years)
Corporate bonds (3 years, AA-)
KOSPI (end-period)
3.3 3.2 3.2 3.2 3.1 3.0 2.8 2.8 2.7 2.4 2.3 2.3 2.2 2.1 2.0 1.9 2.1 2.0 2.1 2.0 1.8 1.8 1.9 1.9 1.8 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.4 1.3 1.3 1.4 1.4 1.7 1.9 1.8 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 2.0 2.0 2.2
3.3 3.3 3.3 3.3 3.3 3.2 3.0 3.0 2.8 2.6 2.5 2.5 2.4 2.3 2.1 2.0 2.1 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.0 2.0 1.9 1.9 1.8 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.8 2.0 2.2 2.1 2.1 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.6
1,941.15 1,979.99 1,985.61 1,961.79 1,994.96 2,002.21 2,076.12 2,068.54 2,020.09 1,964.43 1,980.78 1,915.59 1,949.26 1,985.80 2,041.03 2,127.17 2,114.80 2,074.20 2,030.16 1,941.49 1,962.81 2,029.47 1,991.97 1,961.31 1,912.06 1,916.66 1,995.85 1,994.15 1,983.40 1,970.35 2,016.19 2,034.65 2,043.63 2,008.19 1,983.48 2,026.46 2,067.57 2,091.64 2,160.23 2,205.44 2,347.38 2,391.79 2,402.71 2,363.19 2,394.47 2,523.43
63
November 2017
14. Monetary indicators (period average, billion won)
Reserve money Period 2014 2015 2016 2014 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 2015 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 2016 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 2017 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
M1
y-o-y change (%)
103,331.5 120,691.4 137,441.5 98,541.6 100,547.9 100,624.0 98,898.5 101,791.4 101,412.3 101,164.2 107,682.4 105,354.1 107,117.5 106,667.9 110,175.6 113,304.2 116,502.4 115,974.9 115,132.7 117,726.3 118,688.2 122,041.0 121,854.4 126,572.2 125,616.2 126,767.1 128,117.5 131,279.3 134,913.0 132,957.9 135,038.9 135,971.3 135,758.4 135,906.7 139,073.9 142,079.6 141,103.5 141,757.2 143,458.7 147,380.8 150,092.9 145,049.0 149,630.1 149,446.2 150,519.7 149,955.1 152,170.5 154,578.6
Source: Bank of Korea
13.1 16.8 13.9 14.8 13.2 12.4 12.7 13.5 11.2 11.6 14.9 10.7 14.4 13.9 13.6 15.0 15.9 15.3 16.4 15.7 17.0 20.6 13.2 20.1 17.3 18.8 16.3 15.9 15.8 14.6 17.3 15.5 14.4 11.4 14.1 12.3 12.3 11.8 12.0 12.3 11.3 9.1 10.8 9.9 10.9 10.3 9.4 8.8
M2 y-o-y change (%)
536,733.4 636,639.0 734,411.8 515,742.5 518,475.5 520,299.0 518,809.3 523,069.9 532,041.2 534,028.8 538,640.3 548,550.8 551,416.0 562,006.2 577,721.1 579,964.2 592,737.4 600,719.9 610,803.3 621,985.5 630,546.3 645,975.4 653,105.9 665,691.1 669,737.7 677,629.2 690,772.4 699,767.3 708,014.0 713,861.2 720,818.5 722,544.4 730,637.8 735,172.2 738,120.9 751,408.5 753,367.3 762,639.7 776,589.6 780,995.5 776,362.5 789,187.8 791,859.3 791,074.8 798,890.2 804,853.4 805,103.3 810,905.0
10.9 18.6 15.4 10.9 9.8 10.1 9.1 10.0 9.3 9.2 11.9 11.8 12.1 12.6 13.4 12.5 14.3 15.5 17.7 18.9 18.5 21.0 21.3 21.4 21.5 20.6 19.6 20.7 19.4 18.8 18.0 16.2 15.9 13.8 13.0 12.9 12.5 12.5 12.4 11.6 9.7 10.6 9.9 9.5 9.3 9.5 9.1 7.9
Lf y-o-y change (%)
2,009,576.3 2,182,911.9 2,342,621.3 1,937,045.6 1,954,340.7 1,964,954.0 1,970,361.6 1,982,390.9 1,999,376.3 2,013,935.1 2,031,777.2 2,037,600.8 2,051,149.8 2,083,253.5 2,088,729.8 2,092,223.5 2,109,892.3 2,127,887.8 2,148,114.7 2,166,741.1 2,179,561.1 2,200,510.9 2,218,660.3 2,230,000.7 2,232,432.0 2,242,848.2 2,246,070.1 2,261,356.4 2,285,313.5 2,294,544.7 2,299,081.3 2,312,801.2 2,334,256.2 2,352,245.1 2,377,323.1 2,383,040.5 2,391,059.2 2,406,393.5 2,414,040.9 2,417,635.8 2,420,285.6 2,436,994.7 2,450,220.9 2,454,386.7 2,470,861.1 2,472,110.4 2,485,629.9 2,492,388.4
6.6 8.6 7.3 5.2 5.2 5.5 5.5 6.0 6.1 6.5 7.6 7.1 7.5 8.3 8.1 8.0 8.0 8.3 9.0 9.3 9.0 9.3 9.2 9.4 8.8 7.7 7.5 8.1 8.3 7.8 7.0 6.7 7.1 6.9 7.2 6.9 7.1 7.3 7.5 6.9 5.9 6.2 6.6 6.1 5.9 5.1 4.6 4.6
y-o-y change (%)
2,721,502.2 2,986,699.4 3,229,766.4 2,635,100.1 2,647,674.0 2,659,443.2 2,669,341.4 2,684,643.9 2,703,088.1 2,725,737.6 2,743,972.5 2,759,390.8 2,776,968.0 2,817,698.0 2,834,968.4 2,857,610.1 2,876,467.8 2,907,976.4 2,936,746.7 2,960,998.1 2,986,316.5 3,013,503.9 3,028,981.1 3,049,823.2 3,059,051.9 3,076,029.2 3,086,887.8 3,110,535.8 3,133,492.2 3,158,687.8 3,170,277.9 3,189,899.3 3,223,154.5 3,242,338.3 3,270,365.6 3,288,026.0 3,305,950.4 3,328,489.7 3,337,069.4 3,359,110.8 3,364,315.8 3,387,986.2 3,404,957.2 3,416,320.2 3,440,571.4 3,454,563.6 3,472,041.5 3,483,119.8
7.0 9.7 8.1 6.7 6.4 6.4 6.2 6.6 6.7 6.9 7.3 7.1 7.3 8.1 8.2 8.4 8.6 9.3 10.0 10.3 10.5 10.6 10.4 10.5 10.2 9.2 8.9 8.9 8.9 8.6 8.0 7.7 7.9 7.6 8.0 7.8 8.1 8.2 8.1 8.0 7.4 7.3 7.4 7.1 6.7 6.5 6.2 5.9
64
Economic Bulletin
Statistical Appendices
15. Exchange rates (end-period)
US $/\ Period 2014 2015 2016 2014 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 2015 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 2016 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 2017 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Source: Bank of Korea
100/\
Won
y-o-y change (%)
1,099.2 1,172.0 1,208.5 1,079.2 1,067.7 1,068.8 1,031.7 1,021.6 1,014.4 1,024.3 1,013.6 1,050.6 1,054.0 1,101.1 1,099.2 1,090.8 1,099.2 1,105.0 1,068.1 1,108.0 1,124.1 1,166.3 1,176.3 1,194.5 1,142.3 1,150.4 1,172.0 1,208.4 1,235.4 1,153.5 1,143.9 1,190.6 1,164.7 1,125.7 1,118.5 1,096.3 1,145.2 1,168.5 1,208.5 1,157.8 1,132.1 1,116.1 1,130.1 1,123.9 1,139.6 1,119.1 1,122.8 1,146.7 1,125.0
4.2 6.6 3.1 -0.3 -1.6 -3.9 -6.9 -9.5 -11.8 -8.0 -8.8 -2.3 -0.7 3.7 4.2 1.1 3.0 3.4 3.5 8.5 10.8 13.9 16.1 13.7 8.4 4.5 6.6 10.8 12.4 4.4 7.1 7.5 3.6 -3.5 -4.9 -8.2 0.3 1.6 3.1 -4.2 -8.4 -3.2 -1.2 -5.6 -2.2 -0.6 0.4 4.6 -1.8
Euro/\
Won
y-o-y change (%)
Won
y-o-y change (%)
920.1 972.0 1,036.8 1,043.7 1,044.8 1,038.7 1,005.3 1,004.2 1,000.0 995.7 977.6 960.2 964.1 933.9 920.1 921.4 920.7 920.3 897.2 894.6 917.2 939.3 970.1 996.8 944.1 936.7 972.0 1,017.1 1,085.8 1,026.0 1,058.2 1,072.8 1,132.2 1,073.7 1,086.3 1,083.7 1,094.4 1,038.8 1,036.8 1,017.9 1,004.0 998.5 1,016.0 1,014.3 1,017.6 1,012.3 1,017.4 1,020.4 994.2
-8.4 5.6 6.7 -12.2 -11.2 -12.0 -11.2 -10.1 -14.3 -12.3 -13.4 -12.6 -10.5 -10.0 -8.4 -11.7 -11.9 -11.4 -10.8 -10.9 -8.3 -5.7 -0.8 3.8 -2.1 0.3 5.6 10.4 17.9 11.5 17.9 19.9 23.4 14.3 12.0 8.7 15.9 10.9 6.7 0.1 -7.5 -2.7 -4.0 -5.4 -10.1 -5.7 -6.3 -5.8 -9.2
1,336.5 1,280.5 1,267.6 1,473.6 1,463.6 1,469.4 1,425.0 1,389.6 1,384.2 1,371.8 1,336.2 1,333.3 1,328.8 1,372.2 1,336.5 1,235.7 1,230.7 1,196.8 1,187.0 1,215.2 1,260.5 1,275.4 1,317.3 1,343.9 1,254.8 1,218.3 1,280.5 1,322.2 1,348.3 1,307.4 1,298.4 1,326.8 1,295.5 1,246.7 1,246.9 1,230.3 1,257.1 1,244.3 1,267.6 1,239.5 1,198.6 1,192.6 1,228.1 1,255.6 1,304.0 1,315.7 1,335.6 1,350.9 1,310.1
-8.2 -4.2 -1.0 0.3 2.7 3.1 -1.8 -5.6 -7.6 -7.1 -9.1 -8.1 -8.8 -5.0 -8.2 -16.1 -15.9 -18.6 -16.7 -12.6 -8.9 -7.0 -1.4 0.8 -5.6 -11.2 -4.2 7.0 9.6 9.2 9.4 9.2 2.8 -2.3 -5.3 -8.5 0.2 2.1 -1.0 -6.3 -11.1 -8.8 -5.4 -5.4 0.7 5.5 7.1 9.8 4.2
Useful websites
Ministry of Strategy and Finance
http://english.mosf.go.kr Korea Development Institute
http://www.kdi.re.kr/kdi_eng Ministry of Trade, Industry and Energy
http://english.motie.go.kr Financial Services Commission
http://www.fsc.go.kr/eng Financial Supervisory Service
http://english.fss.or.kr Fair Trade Commission
http://www.ftc.go.kr/eng Ministry of Employment and Labor
http://www.moel.go.kr/english Bank of Korea
http://www.bok.or.kr/eng Statistics Korea
http://kostat.go.kr/portal/eng
November 2017
ECONOMIC BULLETIN (Republic of Korea)
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