Table 3-2: Future Geographic Park Distribution and Population Served

According to SANDAG’s regional growth forecast, most of the projected population growth is expected to take place around these opportunity areas. In fact, two of the areas that will see the largest population increase in Oceanside by 2035 are near existing and planned community centers. These community centers are areas of housing within walking or biking distance of transit stations, and are characterized by low- and mid-residential, office, and commercial buildings. Despite this, some of these areas are not currently served by any parks of recreation facilities, as seen in Figure 3-2. The City should encourage new development in these smart growth areas and should try to provide parks near these new population centers.

3.2 FUTURE CONDITIONS GDA

In addition to the existing condition GDA performed in the previous chapter, access distances were calculated for all parks and future parks including special recreation facilities and schools with MOUs. This analysis used 2035 future populations, as projected by SANDAG’s regional growth forecast.

For these future conditions, the parks and recreation facilities GDA effort looked at the percentage of future population that will be serviced by the existing community parks, neighborhood parks, recreation centers, school recreation areas with MOUs, and special use parks. The future percentage of population being serviced by these facilities was evaluated using actual walking, driving, or biking distances utilizing the existing network routes that lead to park and recreation facilities (see Figure 3-3 and Figure 3-4). This analysis indicates those neighborhoods that might be currently adequately serviced by parks and other recreation facilities, but that may experience future deficiencies based on the expected population growth. Additionally, the existing park amenities are analyzed based on a ratio of amenity per future population. Given the current population growth trends and the location of existing facilities, about 24 percent of residents will be served by the 15-minute walkshed for the neighborhood parks and 87 percent of the community will be served by the 5-minute driveshed for parks, community centers, special use parks, and regional parks (see Table 3-2).

3.3 FUTURE CONDITIONS POPULATION BASED STANDARDS (PBS)

Amenities that currently exceed the standards are expected to keep meeting them by 2035. However, the facilities that do not meet the level of standards today will have a greater deficiency in the future, as shown in Table 3-3. This type of analysis is import-

TAbLE 3-2: Future Geographic Park Distribution and Population Served

Park Service Area Total Acreage # Population Served 2016 % Population Served 2016 # Population Served 2035 % Population Served 2035

15-Minute Walking Distance (Neighborhood Parks and School Facilities with MOU) 15-Minute Walking Distance (All Parks) 4,278 43,759 24.9% 45,902 24.3%

11,304 108,575 64.0% 119,876 63.6%

5-Minute Driving Distance (Community and Regional Parks) 17,711 150,980 88.9% 164,197 87.1% 5-Minute Driving Distance (All Parks) 18,176 155,697 91.7% 168,434 89.3%

Park Service Area including parks outside of city limit but still within walk/drivesheds

15-Minute Walking Distance (Neighborhood Parks and School Facilities with MOU) 4,457 46,903 26.7% 49,473 26.2% 15-Minute Walking Distance (All Parks) 11,460 110,083 64.8% 121,714 64.6% 5-Minute Driving Distance (Community and Regional Parks) 18,068 153,738 90.6% 166,554 88.3% 5-Minute Driving Distance (All Parks) 18,407 156,386 92.1% 169,164 89.7%

ant because it allows the City to identify the future needs and deficiencies of the community and plan accordingly, especially around those areas that are expected to gain the most population by 2030.

New community parks and recreation facilities should be centered in those areas with deficiencies that are expected to concentrate more density, especially near developments that meet the criteria for density incentives for low- and moderate-income units. This will make these facilities more accessible to a higher percentage of users who drive, bike, or walk. Future development should be located within shorter distance of these community parks and recreation facilities to ensure an adequate level of service while at the same time encouraging alternate modes of traveling, traffic reduction, and healthier lifestyles.

3.4 FUTURE OPPORTUNITIES

In order to reduce the shortage of parks and recreation facilities in some of Oceanside’s neighborhoods, and in order to close some of the geographic gaps, parks with new facilities should be added in these areas when possible. The City should ensure that new developments build parks to cover their share of park requirements. Where areas are park or facility deficient, staff should require new development to construct parks rather than accept the in-lieu fees so that the deficient resource can be made available to the future population, within a reasonable distance.

Potential park in Area A located on Oceanview Road north of Terrace Lane Potential trail connection in Area B at Panorama Ridge Road just north of Northerly Street

Potential park in Area C at the corner of Spur Avenue and Belmont Park Road

3.4.1 Potential New Park Locations

Figure 3-5 shows potential future locations for parks that have been identified throughout the City of Oceanside. These parks are mostly needed to fill in existing park gaps within the city. Adding new parks in these areas will improve the distribution of parks and will ensure that all residents are properly serviced by these facilities.

The list below details the potential locations that have been identified:

Area A: Located north of Route 78, east of El

Camino Real, and south of Oceanside Boulevard. Area B: Located south of Mesa Drive, North of

Oceanside Boulevard, east of College Drive, and west of Melrose Drive. Area C: Located south of 76 and east of Melrose.

In addition to these potential parks, the City should consider the placement of trails within its parks. This should also include the development of a citywide trails master plan that can further refine these ideas.