Grains & Harvest 2020

Grains & Harvest

October 2020 10-page feature

Spring outlook bright Brothers Simon Wall (left) and Richard Wall examine their Whistler wheat crop at Gowangardie, between Shepparton and Benalla. With improved spring rains and a forecast of higher than average rainfall, the season is looking up.

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’Grains Harvest’, October, 2020—PAGE 29

grains & harvest

Growers are quietly confident

By Geoff Adams

ropping farmers generally C don’t relax until the grain is in the bin, but this spring

has certainly brought some smiles out.

Last week out at Gowangardie, just south of the Broken River, the stalks of Whistler wheat were waving in the breeze and the roots were soaking up the moisture from about 20 mm of spring rain.

The Wall family rain gauge shows just over 300 mm of rain for the growing season — nothing to get too excited about, with an annual average of about 500 mm — but a better fall than in the two previous dry years.

September’s rainfall was just below average.

Standing in the 35 ha paddock of wheat, Richard Wall reckons the crop could do with another ‘‘inch’’ (25 mm) at this stage. ‘‘I was reading just the other day, that crops are pulling out about five to six millimetres of moisture a day, so an inch of rain does not last a week at that rate,’’ he said.

Mr Wall points out that with the longer, warmer days, his wheat, oats, canola and faba bean crops are drawing a lot more moisture out of the soil, and continued rain will be needed to fill out the heads.

The canola crops got off to a

good start and flowered a little earlier than expected.

The chief grain crop for the Wall family’s mixed farm enterprise is wheat, and Rabobank is reporting strong international demand for the grain, generated by ‘‘exuberant’’ Chinese buying.

Rabobank is also expecting European Union exports will be down by as much as 34 per cent because of a smaller harvest crop, but European weather is likely to be favourable for wheat planting and farmers will be highly motivated to increase planting areas. Plantings in the United States are also likely to be increased because of favourable expected weather.

The Wall family’s Whistler wheat crop is looking robust and heads are filling out.

Richard Wall with the faba beans produced from a healthy pod due for harvest in November.

Pictures: Rodney Braithwaite

PAGE 30—’Grains Harvest’, October, 2020

grains & harvest

Spring rain good news for crops elow-average rainfall B during winter is not expected to have

substantially reduced crop prospects in Victoria, according to the latest crop report from the Australian Bureau of Agricultural and Resource Economics and Sciences.

The report said above-average levels of lower-layer soil moisture present at the beginning of winter were expected to have sustained crops.

In addition, timely August rainfall in western districts was sufficient to support crops in average to above-average condition at the beginning of spring.

Root zone soil moisture in August was below average in south-western cropping regions, and ABARES said sufficient and timely spring rainfall would be especially important in these regions to support grain formation.

Spring rainfall was likely to be above average in most cropping regions in Victoria, according to the latest September-toNovember forecast issued by the Bureau of Meteorology.

September and October rainfall is expected to be average to above average in most cropping regions, supporting yield prospects.

Spring rains should boost winter crop production.

Yields are expected to be above average in most regions.

Winter crop production in Victoria is forecast to increase by six per cent in 2020-21 to about 7.9 million tonnes.

This mostly reflects an expected increase in yields, driven by favourable seasonal conditions in autumn and the favourable spring outlook.

The forecast increase in production also reflects an estimated eight per cent increase in planted area to 3.4 million hectares in 2020-21, as a result of favourable seasonal conditions in autumn, particularly in marginal cropping regions.

Significant area of wheat and barley crops is not expected to

be cut for hay and fodder because of the favourable seasonal conditions expected during spring and low hay prices.

Wheat production is forecast to increase by 14 per cent in 2020-21 to 4.1 million tonnes, reflecting an expected increase in the average yield and an estimated increase in planted area.

Yields are forecast to increase from last year and be average to above average in most cropping regions.

The forecast increase in production also reflects an estimated 10 per cent increase in planted area to 1.6 million hectares.

Barley production is forecast to decrease by six per cent in 2020-21 to about 2.3 million tonnes, driven by an expected fall in the average yield to 2.7 tonnes/ha, which is down 11 per cent from the exceptional average yield in 2019-20.

Planted area is estimated to have increased by six per cent, partially offsetting the effect on production of the expected fall in yields.

The average yield for barley is expected to have fallen yearover-year because a smaller area is estimated to have been planted to barley in high-yielding regions in comparison to 2019-20.

Canola production is forecast to increase by 18 per cent in 2020-21 to 765,000 tonnes.

Planted area for canola production is estimated to have increased by 17 per cent to 450,000 ha because of favourable seasonal conditions.

The average canola yield is expected to be similar to 2019-20.

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’Grains Harvest’, October, 2020—PAGE 31

grains & harvest

Ready for a bumper harvest he upcoming harvest T season will soon bring Australia’s most automated

and intelligent harvester, the John Deere S700, back into the paddock to help capture what is predicted to be a national winter crop more than 60 per cent up on last year.

John Deere harvesting product specialist Max Cusack said John Deere was looking forward to seeing the S700 in action and supporting a cropping sector on course for a hugely improved season across many major production areas, after a number of years heavily impacted by drought. ‘‘The Australian Bureau of Agricultural and Resource Economics and Sciences last month increased its estimate for the upcoming winter crop harvest to a total production of 47.9 million tonnes, to be 64 per cent up on last year and some 20 per cent ahead of the 10-year average,’’ Mr Cusack said. ‘‘We know the S700 series is one of the most relied-upon harvesters in the country and we are wholeheartedly looking forward to again seeing these machines, which are proven performers under our unique Australian conditions, in the paddock and working on what is on track to be a much stronger

Australia’s most automated and intelligent harvester, the John Deere S700, is ready to tackle the 2020-21 harvest. harvest than we have seen in some time.’’

At the heart of the S700’s effectiveness is the optional Combine Advisor package, to help set, optimise and automate main harvester functions when conditions change.

Combine Advisor gives operators direct access to key technologies including the HarvestSmart system for automation of feed rate, and Active Terrain Adjustment, to

compensate for rolling and hilly terrain, so as to maintain optimum performance.

It also includes Auto Maintain to analyse the level at which the harvester is performing, sets that as a target, and automates settings to continually maintain that target as conditions change.

This is supported by ActiveVision cameras and grain loss monitors, specifically designed to adjust the machine to hit the pre-determined target.

‘‘The S700 is the most automated and intelligent harvester in the Australian market and our customers consistently tell us it is the ability of Combine Advisor to empower operators of any skill or experience to get the most out of the day, and out of the season, that makes a difference,’’ Mr Cusack said. ‘‘It allows producers to reduce losses and maximise profits by ensuring the machine operates at its best at all times — regardless of conditions, time of day or who is

behind the wheel — and to make sure what is taken from the paddock ends up in the field bin.’’

Precision agriculture technology is at the forefront of S700 design, with AutoTrac Guidance included as standard on all machines across the line-up, ensuring accurate and repeatable pass after pass through the paddock to increase consistency and productivity while reducing burden on the operator. ➤ For more information, visit: JohnDeere.com.au

PAGE 32—’Grains Harvest’, October, 2020

grains & harvest

Check crops carefully for pests s this year’s winter crop A reaches a critical growth stage, it’s time to do rigorous

and regular surveillance to protect your growing crops from new weeds, pests and diseases.

Grains biosecurity officer Jim Moran said surveillance throughout the life of a crop would provide the best possible chance of identifying new weeds, pests and diseases early — just after symptoms appear — and will significantly increase the possibility of being able to eradicate the pest, and minimise crop damage and loss of income. ‘‘Whether it’s something new to Australia, or an established pest that’s new to your farm, there can be multiple impacts on productivity from weeds, pests and diseases without early interventions,’’ Mr Moran said. ‘‘If you have imported fodder, grain or stockfeed lately from other regions onto your property, you need to be particularly vigilant about surveillance for germinating plants, new insects and disease symptoms. ‘‘Check the places where it was stored and fed to livestock, and in paddocks nearby. ‘‘There are many ways unwanted, uncontrolled and unclean arrivals can spread problems for you.’’

Weeds, pests and diseases

Unwanted intruders can contaminate crops, so rigorous and regular surveillance is vital.

arrive as seeds, eggs, spores and other microscopic particles.

They are transported in and on soil, plant matter, machinery, work boots, vehicles, trucks, equipment and livestock. ‘‘Once established, they can increase your cost of production through chemical applications, decrease yields through plant

damage and delay, and may impact on the quality, price and marketability of your finished product, if you get one,’’ Mr Moran said.

A successful surveillance program is only possible if you have a thorough knowledge of the common pests of the crop(s) you are growing.

‘‘Whether it’s you, a family member or your agronomist who does the surveillance, knowing what’s normal to expect in your crop, will help to identify, through elimination, any unusual weeds, pests and diseases,’’ Mr Moran said.

There are numerous sources of excellent information on

common and exotic grain pests and diseases, which support surveillance activity.

Information is found in booklets, ute guides, fact sheets, websites, social media forums, various crop disease apps for mobile devices, and grower group publications, such as e-newsletters.

Key points: ➤ Plan regular and thorough surveillance of your crops and at-risk areas of the property. ➤ Listen for pest and disease risk alerts issued by various agencies and organisations. ➤ Get diagnostic advice from an expert in weeds, plant pests and diseases. ➤ Send samples of anything unusual to experts for analysis (for example, to Agriculture Victoria and the Cropsafe program). ➤ Download free copies of the Biosecurity Manual for Grain Producers and Monitoring Stored Grain on Farm booklet. ➤ Install a biosecurity sign to help control movement of people and their vehicles onto your property. ➤ Phone Jim Moran at Agriculture Victoria in Epsom on 0418 377 930 for advice. ➤ For more information on biosecurity or the Grains Farm Biosecurity Program, visit www.planthealthaustralia.com.au and www.agriculture.vic.gov.au

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’Grains Harvest’, October, 2020—PAGE 33

grains & harvest

Tractor sales still strong he sale of agricultural tractors T continues to gather pace with The Tractor Machinery Association

reporting another big increase for August, up 19 per cent compared to the same month last year and now up 21 per cent year-to-date.

The ongoing demand for agricultural produce combined with favourable weather conditions across the nation and the Federal Government’s Instant Asset Write-Off program are supporting record sales volumes.

However, the association warns the issue of supply has now become a factor, with some product normally expected to be ex-stock now being subject to six to eight week delivery times.

Product coming out of Europe and the United States continues to be hampered by factory-based restrictions, with reasonable demand in home markets compounding these delays.

Locally, dealerships continue to operate under COVID-safe workplans, which are also impacting supply.

Activity across the states remains quite solid with the continued recovery in NSW the standout, up 52 per cent on the same time last year and now sitting 28 per cent ahead for the year.

Victoria reported another strong month, up 15 per cent and now 29 per cent ahead year-to-date, meanwhile Queensland was up five per cent to be 13 per cent up for the year.

Western Australia sales were in line with the same month last year but remain two per cent behind last year, due mainly to the reduced demand for large tractors in the broadacre sector.

Sales in South Australia continue to rally with another strong month, now 31 per cent up year-to-date, and activity in Tasmania remains strong, now 21 per cent ahead for the year.

The increase in sales numbers is again due almost entirely to the ongoing strength in the smaller end of the market supported by the Instant Asset Write-Off scheme.

The under 40 hp (30 kw) range was up 58 per cent for the month and now sits 24 per cent ahead for the year-to-date.

The 40 to 100 hp (30 to 75 kw) range was again up strongly 27 per cent, now 22 per cent ahead for the year.

The 100 to 200 hp (75 to 150 kw) category saw its first dip in some time, down six per cent, but still up 31 per cent for the YTD, while sales in the large 200 hp (150 kw) or above range were again down another two per cent, leaving this category seven per cent behind YTD. Demand for large tractors is being impacted by a range of factors, including the persistent drought in regions within northern NSW and southern Queensland, and the ongoing challenges being felt in Western Australia.

Further pressure is being felt as a result of recent price increases.

For other products, sales of combine harvesters remain steady, with most product now in place for the upcoming harvest season. The full-year picture is likely to be about 15 per cent to 20 per cent down on last year.

Baler sales were again strong, remaining up 27 per cent year-to-date, while sales of out-front mowers were down a touch, but still 14 per cent ahead of the same time last year.

Tractor sales are up across Australia.

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UWA researcher Sheng Chen is leading a project looking at the genetics of heat tolerance in canola.

Picture: Evan Collins

Keeping canola cool

five-year research project has A been launched to find the heattolerant genes in canola.

Canola is Australia’s third most economically important crop and is particularly sensitive to heat stress.

The project is led by the University of Western Australia’s Institute of Agriculture research fellow Sheng Chen. ‘‘Heat stress is globally identified as an issue of increasing concern, with average temperatures projected to rise in coming decades,’’ Dr Chen said.

Canola varieties grown in Australia lose as much as 300 kg of usable crop per hectare for every degree above 30°C at flowering.

High temperatures often occur with

drought conditions, putting dual stress on the crop and making it hard for scientists to identify the real influences.

Using controlled screen houses in Perth and heat chambers in Wagga Wagga, the project will subject canola plants to heat stress without water stress.

Dr Chen aims to separate heat tolerance genes using controlled temperature experiments and screening 200 canola lines a year at UWA for heattolerant germplasm (genetic material).

After the genes are located, they will be tested in the field by NSW DPI and in West Australian irrigated field trials.

The project was launched in 2019, but field tests are only now getting under way.

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PAGE 34—’Grains Harvest’, October, 2020

grains & harvest

Follow snail trail to reduce impact nail awareness and control will S help growers protect the value of their grain and avoid costly delays

from clogged headers at harvest time.

South Australian Research and Development Institute entomologist Kym Perry said understanding snail behaviour could help minimise their impact at harvest. ‘‘In spring, snails climb plants to avoid heat from the soil,’’ Dr Perry said. ‘‘As temperatures rise, they increasingly shelter in crop canopies, sometimes between grains in the seed head, and become very difficult to dislodge.’’

While recognising that snail dynamics and harvest operations are different on every farm, harvesting high-value crops or infested crops early is one strategy to help growers manage snail contamination. ‘‘Plants are more resilient at early maturity and snails will be easier to dislodge before temperatures peak,’’ Dr Perry said. ‘‘Monitoring snail movement can also assist with timing harvest operations to keep snails out of the header. ‘‘Recent camera studies showed that snails frequently move up and down plant canopies during spring, presumably collecting food and moisture reserves and seeking aestivation sites in preparation for summer.

‘‘Much of this spring movement occurs during the night and early morning, or in response to light moisture events, particularly earlier in spring. ‘‘During the heat of the day, and later in spring, we find they are more likely to settle in the crop canopy. ‘‘Monitoring snail movements can help growers decide the best times of the day to harvest snail-infested areas, taking into account the need to meet grain moisture content specifications.’’

Dr Perry said establishing where snails were concentrated on their property allowed growers to manage areas with a high snail-contamination risk. ‘‘Farmers often know the problem areas on their farm, but snail densities vary across seasons. ‘‘Monitoring live snail densities three to four weeks before harvest is recommended to allow time to plan the harvest accordingly.’’

He said monitoring for live snails was best done with a 30 cm x 30 cm square sampling frame and moving in a straight line from the edge of the paddock to the centre, placing the frame down at 10 m intervals and counting the snails within it. ➤ For more information on snail management ahead of harvest, visit: https:// bit.ly/343dWQW

Snails can clog up machinery and contaminate harvested grain.

Picture: GRDC

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’Grains Harvest’, October, 2020—PAGE 35

grains & harvest

More rain on way he Bureau of Meteorology’s T declaration of a La Niña event means there is likely to be above-average spring rainfall across southern Australia.

Recent changes in ocean temperatures and weather patterns over the Pacific are now likely to remain until at least the end of the year.

The bureau says La Niña is the cool phase of the El Niño Southern Oscillation.

It is associated with coolerthan-average sea surface temperatures in the central and eastern tropical Pacific Ocean.

La Niña events often form in autumn or winter, then decay in late summer.

The greatest impact normally occurs during the spring and early summer period.

La Niña events normally last for about a year, however, they can be shorter or much longer.

Recent observations and model forecasts show the central tropical Pacific Ocean is now 0.8°C cooler than normal, and that has resulted in changes to trade winds and pressure patterns.

Climate models suggest these patterns will continue until at least the end of the year.

La Niña typically results in above-average spring rainfall for Australia, particularly across

Removing risk from the program lthough never one to A gamble on the vagaries of the seasons, former

The three-month rainfall outlook.

eastern, central and northern regions.

It can also mean cooler days, more tropical cyclones and an earlier onset of the first rains of the wet season across the north.

The last La Niña event occurred from 2010-12 and resulted in one of Australia’s wettest two-year periods on record.

Widespread flooding occurred in many parts of Australia associated with the record rainfalls.

Tropical cyclone activity in the 2010-11 season was near normal.

Source: BOM

However, five of the tropical cyclones during 2010-11 were in the severe category, which is above average, including Tropical Cyclone Yasi, which caused widespread damage to far-north Queensland.

The impacts of La Niña can vary significantly between events.

It is likely this year will not see the same intensity as the 2010-11 La Niña event, but is still likely to be of moderate strength.

The bureau shifted from La Niña ‘‘watch’’ to La Niña ‘‘alert’’ on August 18.

Bureau of Meteorology employee Cam Gethin backs sowing three different wheats to achieve yield competitiveness across sowing times, weed control and grade differentiation.

By next season he is planning his wheat trifecta will be an early sowing option, RockStar, a mid-season sowing option, Scepter, and an imidazolinonetolerant option, Chief CL Plus. ‘‘With a mixed sheep and cropping enterprise, with brome, barley and rye-grasses needing to be managed, InterGrain’s Chief CL Plus, with its Clearfield Plus technology, gives us a valuable head start on weed control for the following year,’’ Mr Gethin said.

This year he sowed InterGrain’s high yielding, mid to slow season, AH wheat RockStar across 35 ha on May 10 as a bulk-up crop.

His transition to RockStar was due to its longer maturity compared to Scepter and its higher yield compared to Magenta. ‘‘Also a real bonus is that I

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recently learnt that RockStar now has dual classification, AH (Australian Hard) and AHN (Australian Hard Noodle, segregated at APWN), the addition of AHN could be an advantage in seasons where there is a price premium for this grade,’’ he said. ‘‘With AH often difficult to achieve, the dual classification option will be handy because we usually only make the AH grade in a tough finishing year.’’

Although Magenta has been Mr Gethin’s early planting option since the InterGrain variety was first released, RockStar will supersede it due to its 13 per cent yield margin over Magenta in the NVT’s Agzone 4. ‘‘On top of the impressive RockStar NVT trial data, when I looked at phenology trials by Dion Nicol at DPIRD’s Merredin Research Station, it showed me that RockStar would have a good fit in my system,’’ he said.

About 2000 ha of wheat on the West Australian property has been planted this season, plus 200 ha of lupins, with the balance pasture grazed by Merinos.

PAGE 36—’Grains Harvest’, October, 2020

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