Ipcc working group 2

Canada in a Changing Climate: Sector Perspectives on Impacts and Adaptation April 8, 2014 Fiona Warren Climate Change Impacts and Adaptation Division (CCIAD) Natural Resources Canada

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Canada has been producing science assessments since 1998

1998

2004

2008 To be released- 2014

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The 2014 Assessment is near completion CANADA IN A CHANGING CLIMATE: Sector Perspectives on Impacts and Adaptation • An update to the 2008 national assessment • Led by NRCan – work commenced January 2012 • Involved 90 authors from federal and provincial governments, academia and professional organizations • External review involved over 115 expert reviewers • Synthesizes more than 1500 scientific and technical publications into a single, definitive resource

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The report is structured by sectors and themes…

Synthesis (NRCan) 1. Introduction (NRCan) 2. An Overview of Canada’s Changing Climate (EC, DFO, NRCan) 3. Natural Resources (NRCan & Sask. Research Council) 4. Food Production (AAFC and DFO) 5. Industry (Institute for Catastrophic Loss Reduction) 6. Biodiversity and Protected Areas (Parks Canada and Ontario MNR) 7. Human Health (HC & PHAC) 8. Water and Transportation Infrastructure (NRCan and U of Waterloo) 9. Adaptation: Linking Research and Practice (NRCan & ESSA Technologies)

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.. with common elements between chapters.

Each sectoral chapter starts with high-level key findings Background on the sectors is provided, followed by discussion of impacts and adaptation.

Case studies provide more detail and highlight examples of adaptation.

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Similarities and differences with IPCC AR5 WGII report Approach •Both rely on existing scientific literature, volunteer author and reviewer time •Both focus on risk, with emphasis on the human dimension and adaptation

Structure •GoC report organized by sectors, IPCC report by both sectors and regions

Link to Climate Science •IPCC report supported by climate science as presented in WGI report.

•GoC report supported by climate science in Chapter 2 of same report

Link to Mitigation •Strong component of the IPCC report •Not a focus of the GoC report, but implications for mitigation are clear

Analysis •Detection and attribution is a key element of the IPCC report. In most cases data is insufficient to support such analysis for Canada alone

Key findings •Strong similarities between the two reports. GoC report provides far greater detail for Canada.

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Stay tuned for…

• A spring release of the full report (to be posted online) – will be available to download by chapter or full report.

• Future webinars which will focus on the assessment findings and content (with lead authors invited to speak)

adaptation.nrcan.gc.ca

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