Net Leased Auto Parts Research Report

Page 1

THE NET LEASE AUTO PARTS REPORT AUTO PARTS STORE PROPERTIES MEDIAN ASKING CAP RATES

MARKET OVERVIEW

Q4 2017 (Previous)

Q4 2018 (Current)

Basis Point Change

Advance Auto Parts

6.75%

6.75%

0

AutoZone

5.62%

5.47%

-15

O'Reilly Auto Parts

5.94%

5.80%

-14

Tenant

AUTO PARTS STORE PROPERTIES MEDIAN ASKING PRICE Median Asking Price

Median Price Per Foot

Advance Auto Parts

$1,351,250

$199

AutoZone

$1,795,632

$263

O'Reilly Auto Parts

$1,879,000

$255

Tenant

PERCENTAGE OF AUTO PARTS STORES ON THE MARKET BY TENANT Percentage of Market

Tenant Advance Auto Parts

56.3%

AutoZone

24.1%

O’Reilly Auto Parts

19.6%

Q4 2017 (Previous)

Q4 2018 (Current)

Auto Parts

6.19%

6.26%

Market

6.07%

6.25%

+12

+1

Spread (bps)

Cap rates for the single tenant net leased auto parts store sector increased by 7 basis points from the fourth quarter of 2017 to the fourth quarter of 2018 to 6.26%. The auto parts sector, for the purpose of this report, is defined as Advance Auto Parts, AutoZone and O’Reilly Auto Parts as they account for the highest percentage of single tenant transactions of properties occupied by auto parts retailers. Despite the increase in cap rates, the median lease term remaining for the net leased auto parts sector increased by an additional year. The increase in cap rates can be primarily attributed to the high concentration of Advance Auto Parts properties on the market. The median asking cap rate for Advance Auto Parts is significantly higher than its peers; O’Reilly Auto Parts and AutoZone. The majority of the sector is comprised of Advance Auto Parts properties which experienced no change in their cap rates when compared to one year ago (6.75%). Conversely, cap rates for AutoZone and O’Reilly Auto Parts properties compressed by 15 and 14 basis points to 5.47% and 5.80% respectively. Transaction volume for the net leased auto parts store sector declined by approximately 13% in 2018 when compared to 2017. The decline in transaction volume can be attributed to investor concern that Amazon could impact brick and mortar auto part locations. Inversely, the overall net lease market saw transaction volume increase by approximately 4%. As the current auto fleet in the United States continues to age, demand for auto parts from consumers, garages and service stations should continue to grow. The 2018 Lang Aftermarket iReport, confirms that the average age of vehicles on the road increased to 12 years.

AUTO PARTS STORES PROPERTIES VS. RETAIL NET LEASE MARKET Tenant

2018

Q4

The low absolute price point of properties within the net lease auto parts store sector make these investments attractive to investors. Outside of dollar stores, there is a limited supply of net leased properties available under $2 million leased to investment grade rated tenants. Furthermore, auto parts stores are typically located in primary and secondary markets and their typical store footprint makes them easier to re-tenant. Transaction volume in the auto parts sector should remain similar to 2018 as investors continue to seek properties with investment grade tenants at lower price points. Auto parts store properties with shorter lease terms located in areas with strong real estate fundamentals also remain in high demand among buyers seeking higher yields.

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THE NET LEASE AUTO PARTS REPORT

2018

Q4

AUTO PARTS STORES MEDIAN ASKING CAP RATES

5.30% 6.45% 6.41%

WEST MOUNTAIN

NO

MIDWEST

SOUTH 6.00%

6.22%

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H T R

E

T S A


THE NET LEASE AUTO PARTS REPORT

2018

Q4

MEDIAN ASKING CAP RATES BY LEASE TERM REMAINING Years Remaning

Advance Auto Parts

AutoZone

O’Reilly Auto Parts

Under 5

7.75%

7.00%

7.05%

6-9

7.00%

6.28%

6.60%

10-14

6.22%

5.60%

6.08%

15-17

5.85%

5.35%

5.70%

18-20

N/A

5.25%

5.30%

SELECT SINGLE TENANT AUTO PARTS STORES SALES COMPARABLES Price S.F.

Cap Rate

Lease Term Remaining

$2,825,000

$379

5.47%

20

SC

$2,645,000

$379

5.75%

10

Cary

NC

$2,200,000

$317

6.75%

5

O'Reilly Auto Parts

Spanish Fort

AL

$2,155,500

$299

5.70%

20

Oct-18

AutoZone

Chesterfield

MI

$1,819,000

$238

6.35%

10

Sep-18

Advance Auto Parts

Austin

TX

$1,750,000

$250

7.68%

5

Sep-18

AutoZone

Lakewood

WA

$1,600,000

$296

5.23%

10

Sep-18

Advanace Auto Parts

Pueblo

CO

$1,480,000

$218

6.75%

11

Sep-18

Advanace Auto Parts

Palmview

TX

$1,300,000

$186

10.80%

3

Oct-18

O'Reilly Auto Parts

Defuniak Springs

FL

$1,125,000

$212

6.15%

13

Nov-18

O'Reilly Auto Parts

Monahans

TX

$1,050,000

$164

6.28%

10

Sale Date

Tenant

City

State

Nov-18

O'Reilly Auto Parts

Tamarac

FL

Aug-18

Advance Auto Parts

Okatie

Dec-18

Advance Auto Parts

Nov-18

Price

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THE NET LEASE AUTO PARTS REPORT

2018

Q4

AUTO PARTS STORES COMPANY COMPARISONS Advance Auto Parts

AutoZone

O’Reilly Auto Parts

Credit Rating

BBB- (Stable)

BBB (Stable)

BBB+ (Stable)

Market Cap

$13 billion

$22.9 billion

$27.7 billion

Revenue

$9.37 billion

$11.2 billion

$8.98 billion

Number of Stores

5,200

6,000

5,147

Typical Lease Term

15 year primary term with fifteen years of options

15 or 20 year primary term with twenty years of options

20 year primary term with twenty years of options

FOR MORE INFORMATION AUTHOR John Feeney Senior Vice President john@bouldergroup.com

CONTRIBUTORS Randy Blankstein | President

Jimmy Goodman | Partner

randy@bouldergroup.com

jimmy@bouldergroup.com

Scott Harris | Senior Analyst

Jeff Weil | Analyst

scott@bouldergroup.com

jeff@bouldergroup.com

Š 2019. The Boulder Group. Information herein has been obtained from databases owned and maintained by The Boulder Group as well as third party sources. We have not verified the information and we make no guarantee, warranty or representation about it. This information is provided for general illustrative purposes and not for any specific recommendation or purpose nor under any circumstances shall any of the above information be deemed legal advice or counsel. Reliance on this information is at the risk of the reader and The Boulder Group expressly disclaims any liability arising from the use of such information. This information is designed exclusively for use by The Boulder Group clients and cannot be reproduced, retransmitted or distributed without the express written consent of The Boulder Group.

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