The Boulder Group | Net Lease Bank Ground Lease Research Report

Page 1

THE NET LEASE BANK GROUND LEASE REPORT BANK GROUND LEASE PROPERTIES MEDIAN ASKING CAP RATE

MARKET OVERVIEW

Q1 2018 (Previous)

Q1 2019 (Current)

Basis Point Change

Bank of America

4.53%

4.50%

-3

Chase Bank

5.00%

5.00%

0

PNC Bank

4.50%

4.55%

+5

TD Bank

4.95%

5.35%

+40

Other Banks

4.84%

5.15%

+31

All Bank Ground Leases

4.63%

4.84%

+21

Tenant

The above data reflects bank ground leases with 12 or more lease years remaining.

BANK GROUND LEASE PROPERTIES MEDIAN ASKING PRICE Tenant

Average Price

Bank of America

$4,070,000

Chase Bank

$4,280,000

PNC Bank

$2,528,900

TD Bank

$6,306,000

Other Banks

$3,235,400

All Bank Ground Leases

$3,850,000

The above data reflects bank ground leases with 12 or more lease years remaining.

MEDIAN ASKING CAP RATE BY LEASE TERM REMAINING Lease Term Remaining

Cap Rate

20+

4.78%

15-19

5.03%

10-14

5.27%

Under 10

5.75%

2019

Q1

Cap rates for the single tenant bank ground lease sector increased by 46 basis points to 5.30% in the first quarter of 2019 compared to one year ago. In the past two years, cap rates in the bank ground lease sector increased by more than 65 basis points while net lease retail cap rates increased by only 8 basis points. For the purpose of this report, the bank ground lease sector is comprised of both national and regional banks, regardless of credit. Transaction volume for single tenant bank branches decreased by more than 9% in 2018 when compared to 2017. This can be primarily attributed to the concern among investors regarding the future need of brick and mortar banking facilities. Additional concerns from investors include high rents that are typically above their current submarket levels and difficult to repurpose buildings. Bank branch expansion remains limited, causing the supply of properties to be saturated with seasoned leases. The median remaining lease term for bank ground leases dropped below 10 years for the first time since The Boulder Group began covering the bank ground lease sector. The typical bank ground lease investor prefers longer term leases which in turn has lowered the demand for this asset class due to the current supply of shorter-term leases. Accordingly, the significant cap rate premium historically associated with the bank ground lease sector compressed to 97 basis points. Five years ago, the bank ground lease sector regularly saw a 200 plus basis point premium over the net lease retail sector. Investor demand for bank ground leases will remain fragmented. Some will be seeking assets with long term leases, strong branch deposits and a lease with a tier one financial institutions. While others will be focused on residual real estate with in-place rents comparable to the surrounding area. However, the expectation is that interest in bank ground leases will remain lower than other net lease investment classes.

www.bouldergroup.com


THE NET LEASE BANK GROUND LEASE REPORT

2019

Q1

SELECTED BANK GROUND LEASE SALES COMPARABLES Sale Date

Tenant

City

State

Price

Cap Rate

Lease Term Remaining

Feb-19

Wells Fargo (GL)

District Heights

MD

$3,900,000

6.43%

9

Apr-19

TCF Bank (GL)

Richfield

MN

$2,925,000

6.25%

9

Mar-19

Bank of America (GL)

Henderson

NV

$2,218,000

6.00%

6

Feb-19

SunTrust (GL)

Purcellville

VA

$7,000,000

5.50%

14

Sep-18

Bank of America (GL)

Richmond

TX

$2,800,000

5.50%

10

Jul-18

Wells Fargo (GL)

Phoenix

AZ

$6,225,000

5.40%

9

Jul-18

Capital One (GL)

Keller

TX

$2,837,500

5.29%

12

Mar-19

Chase Bank (GL)

Wylie

TX

$3,085,000

5.10%

8

Oct-18

Regions Bank (GL)

Missouri City

TX

$2,983,690

4.77%

20

BANK GROUND LEASE VS RETAIL NET LEASE CAP RATE TRENDS 8.60% 8.10% 7.60% 7.10% 6.60% 6.10% 5.60% 5.10% 4.60% 4.10%

Q1 2004

Q1 2006

Q1 2008

Q1 2010

Q1 2012

Q1 2014

Q1 2016

Q1 2018 Retail

www.bouldergroup.com

Bank


THE NET LEASE BANK GROUND LEASE REPORT

2019

Q1

COMPANY COMPARISON Total Number of Branches

Credit Rating

Market Cap (Billions)

Associated Bank

230

BBB+

$3.7

Bank of America

4,600

A-

$287.3

BB&T

1,800

A-

$37.8

BMO Harris

600

A+

$50.5

Chase Bank

5,100

A+

$368.4

Citibank

2,649

BBB+

$161.1

Fifth Third

1,312

A-

$21.2

Tenant

KeyBank

1,197

BBB+

$17.0

PNC Bank

2,481

A

$60.2

Regions Bank

1,899

A-

$15.4

425

BBB-

$3.6

TD Bank

TCF Bank

1,301

AA-

$104.0

US Bank

3,067

A+

$81.9

Wells Fargo

8,050

A-

$214.7

MEDIAN CLOSED CAP RATE SPREAD Tenant

Closed

Ask

Spread (bps)

Bank Ground Leases

5.19%

4.84%

35

The above data reflects bank ground leases with 12 or more lease years remaining.

BANK GROUND LEASE SECTOR VS NET LEASE SECTOR CAP RATE Q1 2018 (Previous)

Q1 2019 (Current)

Bank Ground Lease Sector

4.84%

5.30%

Retail Net Lease Market

6.10%

6.27%

+126

+97

Tenant

Bank Ground Lease Premium (bps)

FOR MORE INFORMATION AUTHOR John Feeney | Senior Vice President john@bouldergroup.com

CONTRIBUTORS Randy Blankstein | President

Jimmy Goodman | Partner

randy@bouldergroup.com

jimmy@bouldergroup.com

Scott Harris | Vice President

Jeff Weil | Vice President

scott@bouldergroup.com

jeff@bouldergroup.com

© 2019. The Boulder Group. Information herein has been obtained from databases owned and maintained by The Boulder Group as well as third party sources. We have not verified the information and we make no guarantee, warranty or representation about it. This information is provided for general illustrative purposes and not for any specific recommendation or purpose nor under any circumstances shall any of the above information be deemed legal advice or counsel. Reliance on this information is at the risk of the reader and The Boulder Group expressly disclaims any liability arising from the use of such information. This information is designed exclusively for use by The Boulder Group clients and cannot be reproduced, retransmitted or distributed without the express written consent of The Boulder Group.

www.bouldergroup.com


Turn static files into dynamic content formats.

Create a flipbook
Issuu converts static files into: digital portfolios, online yearbooks, online catalogs, digital photo albums and more. Sign up and create your flipbook.