MoneyMarketing June 2021

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30 June 2021 | www.moneymarketing.co.za

WHAT’S INSIDE YOUR JUNE ISSUE ARE WE IN A COMMODITIES SUPER-CYCLE? Commodity prices have rallied aggressively in the past six months on prospects for normalising global economic activity. Page 12

OFFSHORE SUPPLEMENT MoneyMarketing’s guide to investing offshore in volatile times Page 13

GOING GLOBAL: NAVIGATING THE COMPLEXITIES Investing offshore has always been a hot topic for South Africans Page 16

WHY LUMP SUM COVER IS INADEQUATE WHEN FIGHTING CANCER Optimal cover is a combination of income and lump sum benefits Page 29

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The art of identifying multibagger stocks BY JANICE ROBERTS Editor: MoneyMarketing

M

arkets are presently pondering the return of economic growth, inflation and rising interest rates. The dominant narrative is that this environment is good for value stocks, and bad for growth stocks. Nick Dennis, who manages the Raging Bull Award-winning Anchor Global Equity Fund*, doesn’t agree. “This narrative isn’t supported by history, and neither is it supported by data,” he says. “And so, to my mind at least, I think this focus on interest rates is a bit of a red herring. And I think what is more important is liquidity, and animal spirits – and investor risk appetite.” The Anchor Global Equity Fund is focused on a subset of growth stocks that Dennis calls multibaggers – or companies with the potential to increase by multiples of their current size over the next five to 10 years. These are, for the most part, young, innovative, founder-run businesses, built on the foundation of a great product that is usually cheaper, and one that offers customers greater choice. “Asset managers are typically left-brain oriented, they are very spreadsheet driven, logical and numbers oriented, and that’s all fine. But that’s not enough,” he explains. “In order to find multibaggers, you need to lean into the right side of the brain where creativity, imagination, and things that are unorthodox lie.”

Newly launched US Dollar class

LAURIUM AFRICA USD BOND FUND

Some of the names on the top 10 holdings of the Fund at the end of April aren’t immediately recognisable. “This is a very different portfolio compared to a lot of other fund managers, and that’s really by design. We want to hold names with the highest long-term potential, which can be quite unorthodox at times.” Sea, a gaming and ecommerce company headquartered in Singapore – and operating predominantly in Southeast Asia – holds the largest position in the Fund. It has been a tenbagger for the Fund since it bought the stock around two years ago. Driving Sea’s profits has been its hit battle royale game, called Free Fire, which earned it first place on the list of the most downloaded mobile games in the world in 2020. “Multibaggers – and Sea – don’t rest on their laurels,” Dennis adds. “Sea is taking every last dollar of profits from the gaming division and they’re reinvesting it in their ecommerce platform, Shopee, that operates right across Southeast Asia, which has a population of roughly 650 million people.” Dennis believes Nick Dennis, that Sea is using Fund Manager, Shopee to build the Anchor Capital Amazon of Southeast Asia, with revenue of the ecommerce platform for the fourth quarter of 2020 coming in at $842.2m, up 178.3 per cent year-on-year.

“Shopee’s biggest market is Indonesia, which has over 270 million people. It’s a massive country and ecommerce penetration is in mid to high single digits. And it’s still early days.” In addition, Shopee is reportedly scaling up its operations in Brazil and evaluating the long-term potential of Latin American markets. According to analytics firm App Annie, Shopee Brazil’s app saw more monthly active users in December 2020 than Amazon’s unit in the country, although it remained behind large regional players, such as Argentinian ecommerce market leader Mercado Libre – another company that the Anchor Global Equity Fund holds. Dennis describes Mercado Libre as the Amazon of Latin America. “This region has been one of high inflation or hyper-inflation, it’s had very mediocre economic growth and currencies have been weak. It’s just been a really tough place to do business.” Yet, despite these challenges, Mercado Libre has absolutely trumped the macro environment, rising 20-fold (in US dollar terms) over the past decade.

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We know Investments T +27 (0)11 263 7700 E laurium@lauriumcapital.com Authorisation of the Laurium Africa USD Bond Fund by the Central Bank of Ireland is not an endorsement or guarantee nor is the Central Bank of Ireland responsible for the contents of the prospectus. Authorisation by the Central Bank of Ireland shall not constitute a warranty as to the performance of the Fund and the Central Bank of Ireland shall not be liable for the performance or default of the Prescient Global Funds ICAV Platform. Shares in the Fund cannot be offered in any jurisdiction in which such offer is not authorised or registered. The investments of the Fund are subject to market fluctuations and the risks inherent in all investments and there can be no assurance that an investment will retain its value or that appreciation will occur. The price of shares and the income from shares can go down as well as up and investors may not realize the value of their initial investment. Accordingly, an investment in the Fund should be viewed as a medium to long-term investment. Past performance may not be a reliable guide to future performance. Prospective investors should consult a stockbroker, bank manager, solicitor, accountant, financial adviser or their professional advisers accordingly. Copies of the prospectus and the Key Investor Information Documents are available from www.lauriumcapital.com


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