Kingdom of Thailand Bond Market Development
50 30
$ 6 Bil
20
P/N
LBA
15 ILB
10
50% ILB
20%
30%
Sustainability
7 5
3
$ 3 Bil
SB
SB
GOVT Debt Folio
9 yr ATM
Outstanding
Public Debt Management Office, Ministry of Finance, KINGDOM OF THAILAND
Size
January 2013
Domestic Bond Market Development A. Evolution of Bond Market Development (1995 – Present) • 1997 Asian Financial Crisis The Rude Awakening • Thai Bond Market Has Grown Strongly and Rapidly for More than a Decade • Innovation of Government’s Debt Securities • Equilibrium of Thai Bond Market
1
B. Building up of Benchmark Bond (FY2007 - FY2012) • PDMO Revised the Strategies of Benchmark Bond Issuance in 3 Ways • Keep Our Word to Get Investors Confidence for the Plan Firm Committed Supply of Benchmark Bond Regardless of Budget Uncertainty • Key Success Indicators of Benchmark Bond Liquidity • Market’s Favorite Benchmark Bond
5
C. Bond Supply FY2013 + Funding Needs FY2013 - FY2015 • FY 2013 Total Funding Needs (by Bills) 1,013,546 THB mil. • FY 2013 Total Fund Raising (by Instruments) 1,090,076 THB mil. • FY 2013 Benchmark Bond (3-5-7-10-15-20-30-50 tenors) 525,000 THB mil. • FY 2013’Q2 Government Bond Auction Schedule 133,000 THB mil. • Fund Raising Strategies Building Benchmark Bond to Stabilize Yield Curve Segmenting Investors Base to Diversify Dependency Risk •Next Phase of Inflation Linked Bond Creating Liquidity & Extending Yield Curve
11
D. Well-Developed Bond Market Improved Government Debt Profile Dramatically • Full Capacity of Government Funding Instruments (FY 2013) 1,150,000 THB Mil (equiv. 40,000 USD Bil) • Systematic Benchmark Bond Issuance Lengthened ATM by 3 ½ years Lowered cost by 20 basis points Enhanced fixed-float Ratio Reduced bunching risk
18
Q1/FY 2013 HIGHLIGHTS Domestic Bond Market in Transition : Funding Infrastructure Investment & Connecting ASEAN FY2013 Inaugural Amortized Loan Bond (LBA)
22 This booklet is produced and printed in-house by Bond Market Development Bureau Public Debt Management Office Ministry of Finance, Kingdom of Thailand This booklet can be downloaded at www.pdmo.go.th
e-book
A. Evolution of Bond Market Development (1995 – Present) Public Debt Management Office, Ministry of Finance, Kingdom of Thailand
• 1997 Asian Financial Crisis The Rude Awakening • Thai Bond Market Has Grown Strongly and Rapidly for More than a Decade • Innovation of Government’s Debt Securities • Equilibrium of Thai Bond FY 2013 Domestic Bond Market Market Development
• To Enhance Liquidity • To Broaden Investor Base • To Strengthen Fiscal Sustainability
Public Debt Management Office, Ministry of Finance, Kingdom of Thailand
50-year Benchmark Bond March 2th 2011
12-year and 18year Fixed-rate Promissory Note
30-year Benchmark Bond
December 22nd 2010
April 23nd 2008
10-year Inflation Linked Bond July 11th 2011
5-year Step-up Savings Bond
6-year Step-up Savings Bond June 7th 2010
July 15th 2009
4-year Floating Rate Bond 3-year Electronic Retail Savings Bond
July 27th 2009
September 12th 2011
FY 2008
2009
2010
2011-12
FY 2013
011
1997 Asian Financial Crisis
The Rude Awakening Public Debt Management Office, Ministry of Finance, Kingdom of Thailand
% Share of GDP
*Bank Loan Data as of Oct 2012
140% 128%
Balanced
120%
106
%
100%
97
%*
80%
77
%
60%
8.6 THB Trillion Dec 2012
40% 24% Asian Fin. Crisis
20%
12%
0% Bank Loan /GDP
Source : ThaiBMA
Equity/GDP
Bond Market Cap. = 8.6 THB Trillion ($287 Bil.)
Bond Market / GDP
GOVT Bond = 3.0 THB Trillion ($100 Bil.)
Public Debt Management Office, Ministry of Finance, Kingdom of Thailand
% Share of GDP *Bank Loan Data as of Oct 2012
140%
Domestic Bond Market Classified by Issuer
128%
Baht Bond
120%
106% 100%
(Foreign Issuers Bond)
1%
97%*
80%
77%
Corp Bond
19%
60%
$287 Bil. 40%
24%
SOEs Bond
7%
Asian Fin. Crisis
20%
12%
0%
BOT Bond Bank Loan /GDP
Equity/GDP
Bond Market / GDP
Maturity Profile
3.1 THB Trillion
37%
BOT vs GOVT Bond BOT ATM = 11mths GOVT ATM = 7yrs 7mths 9%
2
GOVT Bond ($100 Bil.)
68%
25%
BOT
26%
16% 6%
27%
23%
<1y
2-3y
3-5y
6-10y
11-50y
MOF
3.0 THB Trillion
36%
Bond Market Developed Rapidlyand andEfficiently Efficiently The The ThaiThai Bond Market hasHas Developed Rapidly Public Debt Management Office, Ministry of Finance, Kingdom of Thailand
10
Next Step 2013-15:
2007 – 2010 :
2011-12:
Development Oriented Regular Benchmark Issuance New Product Development Regular Market Dialogue with BoT and PDs
(Market Deepening Oriented) 50-yr Bond, 10-yr LB, Electronic Retail Bond Upgrade PD Privileges 8 Benchmark bonds create reliable reference yield curve
100%
(Financing Thailand & Connecting ASEAN) 25-yr Amortized Bond, 15-yr ILB, Zero-Coupon Bond Bond Switching & Bond Consolidation Foreign Currency Bond Regional Linkage (CGIF)
8
77%
80%
Post Crisis – 2000 : Volume Oriented Bond Market Capitalisation tripled Government Bonds Outstanding grew by 50 times Government Bond Market Share jumped from 3% in 1997 to 44% in 2000
60% % of GDP
THB Trillion
6
4
2
40%
Pre-Crisis - Illiquid Bond Market - Absence of Benchmark Bond - Dominated by SoE’s Bonds
20%
0
0%
FY2007 – FY2013
Innovation of GOV’T Debt Securities
FY 2007-10
Public Debt Management Office, Ministry of Finance, Kingdom of Thailand
30-yr Benchmark Bond
• Lengthen average-time-to-maturity of Total Government Debt Portfolio 5yrs 7mths to 7yrs 6mths • Meet Long-term investors’ demand
Floating Rate Bond
• Increase floating debt ratio of Total Government Debt Portfolio 10% to 18%* • Promote BIBOR (Bangkok Interbank Offered Rate)
Step-up Savings Bond
• Broaden investor base – Retail investors • Low interest burden at the initial periods of bond
FY 2012-2013
FY 2011
*From FY2007 to FY2010
Fixed Rate Promissory Note
• Broaden investor base – Insurance / Long-term investors • Non-Benchmark tenors
50-yr Benchmark Bond
• Combat low interest rate + Lengthen average time-to-maturity • 4th country in the world (1st : UK 2nd : France 3rd : China)
10-yr Inflation-Linked Bond (ILB)
• Strong anti-inflationary signal • Deepen the Development of the Bond market • 1st country in Emerging Asian Economies
Electronic Retail Savings Bond
• Lower Minimum Amount to Purchase / Offer throughout the year • Develop the retail bond into an electronic form Scripless System • Can be purchased via ATM, in addition of Bank Retail Branches
Amortized Bond
• Suitable financing instrument for the government’s investment mega-project in the form of PPP • Pay back the bond principal by installments Promote the government’s fiscal discipline
Bond Switching & Consolidation
Upgrade PD Privileges
• Allow both issuer and investors to improve their portfolio • Larger outstanding size + Less bond series more liquidity in the secondary market
PDDF Activated
(Public Debt Restructuring and Domestic Bond Market Development Fund)
15-yr ILB
Baht Bond
CGIF Activated
(Credit Guarantee and Investment Facility)
3
Equilibrium of Thai Bond Market Public Debt Management Office, Ministry of Finance, Kingdom of Thailand
Issuers
• 80 percent of Thailand’s debt securities are issued by Government, Central Bank and State-owned Enterprises
Credit Rating
• 96 percent of Thailand’s debt securities are classified as Investment Grade
Investors
• Thailand’s government debt securities are held by a wide group of investor types
Thailand Bond Market (Classified by Issuers)
Thailand Bond Market (Classified by Credit Rating) BBB
Baht Bond 1%
A
19%
36%
7%
AAA
Government
3%
36%
SOEs
7%
Insurance and Other Corporation
NR 15% Household and Non-profit
34%
9%
Central Bank
Central Bank
Depository Corporation
37%
37%
33%
Total of 8.6 THB Trillion
Source : ThaiBMA ( 28 Dec 2012)
4
CB 9%
5%
Government
SOEs
Non-rated
1%4%
7%
AA
Private Sector
State Agencies Debt Securities (Classified by Types of Investors)
Total of 8.6 THB Trillion
Source : ThaiBMA (28 Dec 2012)
Total of 3.1 THB Trillion
Source : CB (28 Dec 2012)
B. Building up of Benchmark Bond (FY2007 - FY2012) Public Debt Management Office, Ministry of Finance, Kingdom of Thailand
• PDMO Revised the Strategies of Benchmark Bond Issuance in 3 Ways • Keep Our Word to Get Investors Confidence for the Plan
Firm Committed
Supply of Benchmark Bond Regardless of Budget Uncertainty • Key Success Indicators of Benchmark Bond Liquidity • Market’s Favorite Benchmark Bond
5
2550 PDMO Revised the Strategy of Benchmark Bond Issuance in 3 ways (FY2007 - FY2013) ,
Public Debt Management Office, Ministry of Finance, Kingdom of Thailand
I. Reduce Auction Frequency
II. Increase Auction Size
from
Once a Week to Every Other Month
(to Create Even Distribution of the Benchmark Bond Supply over the Year)
Tenors: 3-5-7-10 yrs
Unit : THB Mil.
4,000 FY 07
6,0008,000
8,00010,000
10,00012,000
12,00015,000
15,00020,000
$500 – 700 Mil.
FY 08
III. Increase Outstanding Size
FY 09
FY 10
FY 11
FY 12
150,000200,000
Unit : THB Mil.
FY 07
6
50,00080,000 FY 08
FY 13
Tenors: 3-5-7-10 yrs
(by Re-opening)
40,000
15,00020,000
80,000100,000
100,000120,000
100,000120,000
120,000150,000
$5 – 7 Bil.
FY 09
FY 10
FY 11
FY 12
FY 13
Keep Our Word to get Investor Confidence for the Plan
Firm Committed Supply of Benchmark Bond Regardless of Budget uncertainty Public Debt Management Office, Ministry of Finance, Kingdom of Thailand
THB Mil.
+40% Plan
FY2009
Actual
+2%
Higher government funding needs due to Stimulus Package
+170%
approx.+250,000 THB Mil.
Total Funding needs increased from:
+86%
+33%
420,000 THB Mil. to 670,000 THB Mil. Benchmark Bond
Savings Bond
T-Bill (Outstanding)
THB Mil.
FY2010
Plan
0
Treasury Balance = 417,166 THB Mil.
Benchmark Bond
Non Benchmark Bond
Keep Our Word to get Investor Confidence for the Plan
-45% 154,000
170,000
100,000
+8%
-51% 82,233
(-20%)
+118% 131,000
800,000 THB Mil to 640,000 THB Mil
200,000
60,000
Total Funding needs decreased from:
Actual
281,000
310,000
300,000
Lower Borrowing needs due to Economic Recovery
309,826
0%
approx. -160,000 THB Mil.
Others
321,171
400,000
Non Benchmark Bond
261,171
59%)
(+
Treasury Balance = 278,694 THB Mil.
Savings Bond
T-Bill (Outstanding)
Others
Firm Committed Supply of Benchmark Bond Regardless of Budget uncertainty Bond Market Development Bureau, Public Debt Management Office
Treasury Balance = 510,180 THB Mil.
400,000
Treasury Balance = 552,692 THB Mil.
Actual
149,110
177,770
34,600
45,000
190,514 40,000
9,000
1,075
54,014
Fixed P/N
-16%
Bank Loan (Outstanding)
200,000
Benchmark Bond
Non Benchmark Bond
Savings Bond
T-Bill (Outstanding)
ILB
Float P/N
Fixed P/N
-92% 30,030
88,249
+96% 45,000
125,122
-13% 52,180
+116%
120,231
-4%
-63% 60,000
0
-44%
30,000
100,000
1,140,000 THB Mil to 750,000 THB Mil
(-34%)
Float P/N
-23%
345,751
330,000
300,000
64,659
Total Funding needs decreased from:
ILB
Plan
199,110
THB Mil.
T-Bill (Outstanding)
THB Mil.
110,850
approx. -390,000
Savings Bond
-72%
+344%
+5%
FY2012 Lower-than-expected Disbursement
Non Benchmark Bond
-38% 125,691
204,000 Benchmark Bond
Actual
400,000
0
-26%
37,359
(- 36%)
100,000
-
Total Funding needs decreased from: 700,000 THB Mil to 450,000 THB Mil
200,000
100,000
THB Mil.
95,000
approx. -250,000
300,000
Plan
-3%
70,000
Higher than expected Revenue collection
349,500
FY2011
THB Mil.
339,900
400,000
Bank Loan (Outstanding)
7
FY2008-FY2012 Key Success Indicators
1. Trading Volume 3. Demand Concentration
2. Turnover Ratio 4. Auction Price
Public Debt Management Office, Ministry of Finance, Kingdom of Thailand
5-yr Benchmark Tenor : Highest Secondary Trading Volume in every year (accounted for 25% of total trading volume)
5 yr Benchmark Bond : Higher Turnover Ratio
LB155A
Unit: % share of Market Trading Volume
LB133A
27% 20%
9
LB145B
28% 20%
LB133A
16%
7% FY07
FY08
FY09
FY10
FY11
FY12
2.8
2.4 FY08
FY09
4.2
FY10
FY11
FY12
Top 10 Gov’t Bond Series – Accounted for 90% of all Gov’t Bond trading in Secondary Trading Volume
Well developed Benchmark Bond pays off : Even with greater size of issuance, the cost of funding is still at market rate
Unit: % share of Market Trading Volume
Unit: Billion USD
75% FY07
76%
+0.9 bps
90% +1.4 bps
84% 77%
14.7
+3.2 bps
16.5
13.7
12.8
80% +1.2 bps
7.5 FY08
FY09
FY10
FY11
-0.4 bps
FY12 FY08
8
LB15DA
3.1
1.5 FY07
4.2
LB176A
FY09
FY10
FY11
FY12 F
FY2012 Total GOVT Bond = 44 Series
TOP 5
(2,447,XXX THB Mil)
> 100,000 THB Mil in Size (68% of Trading Volume)
Next 10 > 50,000 THB Mil in Size
(24% of Trading Volume)
Public Debt Management Office, Ministry of Finance, Kingdom of Thailand
Top 5 (>100,000)
FY2012 Market Share of Trading Volume in Secondary Market
3 150,000
TOP 5
Next 10
3
68%
(50,000-100,000)
Outstanding size (THB Mil.)
Next 10 Bottom 30
10
0
5
50
ILB
100,000
8%
24%
100
FY 2012 on-the-run Benchmark Bond
10
7 % %
30 50,000
50
FY2012 Market’s Favorites Classified by Turnover Ratio
LB383A
LB396A
LB145A
LB406A
LB183A
LB13OA
LB22NA
LB244A
LB326A LB326A
LB157A
LB27DA LB27DA
LB143A
LB19DA
LB171A
LB214A
LB316A
LB616A LB616A
LB175A
LB25DA
LB236A
LB191A
LB14DA
LB267A
LB24DA
4
LB296A
16
LB233A
9
LB137A
7
LB167A
LB283A
LB16NA
5
LB416A LB416A
LB213A
6
LB198A
LB193A LB193A
10
LB183B
1
LB17OA
LB133A
7
10 5
ILB217A ILB217A
2
LB196A
3
LB176A LB176A
LB145B
3
LB21DA LB21DA
TTM (Year)
LB155A LB155A
0
LB15DA LB15DA
15 20
7
All 3-5-7-10 on-the-run Benchmark Bonds Have Turnover Ratio between 2.7 – 4.2 (while market turnover ratio = 1) Public Debt Management Office, Ministry of Finance, Kingdom of Thailand
Turnover Ratio
4 4.2
4.00
4.00
150000
150,000
Outstanding ≥ 100,000 MB Current Outstanding 50,000-100,000 MB Current Outstanding ≤ 50,000 MB
FY 2012 on-the-run Benchmark Bond
3.2
3
3.00
3.00
2.00
2.00
1.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
2.7 2.7 2.7 100000
100,000
2
3
15
10
20 10
50
Turnover Ratio 0.2 – 1.0
LB396A
LB383A
LB214A
LB22NA
LB406A
LB183A
LB19DA
LB198A
LB267A
LB13OA
LB171A
LB175A LB244A
LB191A
LB167A
LB157A
LB283A
LB316A
LB233A
LB296A
LB14DA
LB213A
LB24DA
LB143A
LB16NA
LB145B
3
LB133A
LB15DA LB176A
7
LB155A
LB193A
10
LB193A
LB21DA
LB176A
5
LB15DA LB155A
0
0
LB21DA
1
LB27DA LB17OA ILB217A LB137A LB326A LB236A LB196A LB145A LB616A LB183B LB416A LB25DA
50000
50,000
30
Nearly No Trading
9
ACHIEVEMENTS PUBILC DEBT MANAGEMENT OFFICE INNOVATION INFLATION-LI NKED BOND PIONEER PDDF CGIF DEDICATION BENCHMARK BOND FISCAL DISCIP LINE COMMITMENT BOND MARKET DEVELOPMENT ACHIEVEMENTS PUBILC D EBT MANAGEMENT OFFICE INNOVATION INFLATION-LINKED BOND PIONEER PD DF CGIF DEDICATION BENCHMARK BOND FISCAL DISCIPLINE COMMITMENT B OND MARKET DEVELOPMENT ACHIEVEMENTS PUBILC DEBT MANAGEMENT OF FICE INNOVATION INFLATION-LINKED BOND PIONEER PDDF CGIF DEDICATION BE NCHMARK BOND FISCAL DISCIPLINE COMMITMENT BOND MARKETDEVELOPM ENT ACHIEVEMENTS PUBILC DEBT MANAGEMENT OFFICE INNOVATION INFLATIO N-LINKED BOND PIONEER PDDF CGIF DEDICATION BENCHMARK BOND FISCAL DI SCIPLINE COMMITMENT BOND MARKET DEVELOPMENT ACHIEVEMENTS PUBI LC DEBT MANAGEMENT OFFICE INNOVATION INFLATION-LINKED BOND PIONEER PDDF CGIF DEDICATION BENCHMARK BOND FISCAL DISCIPLINE COMMITMENT BOND MARKET DEVELOPMENT ACHIEVEMENTS PUBILC DEBT MANAGEMENT OF FICE INNOVATION INFLATION-LINKED BOND PIONEER PDDF CGIF DEDICATION BE NCHMARK BOND FISCAL DISCIPLINE COMMITMENT BOND MARKET DEVELOP MENT ACHIEVEMENTS PUBILC DEBT MANAGEMENT OFFICE INNOVATION INFLAT ION-LINKED-BOND PIONEER PDDF CGIF DEDICATION BENCHMARK BOND FISCAL DISCIPLINE COMMITMENT BOND MARKET DEVELOPMENT ACHIEVEMENTS PU BILC DEBT MANAGEMENT OFFICE INNOVATION INFLATION-LINKED BOND PIONE ER PDDF CGIF DEDICATION BENCHMARK BOND FISCAL DISCIPLINET COMMMITM ENT BOND MARKET DEVELOPMENT ACHIEVEMENTS PUBILC DEBT MANAGEMEN T OFFICE INNOVATION INFLATION-LINKED BOND PIONEER PDDF CGIF DEDICATIO N BENCHMARK BOND FISCAL DISCIPLINE COMMITMENT BOND MARKET DEVE LOPMENT ACHIEVEMENTS PUBILC DEBT MANAGEMENT OFFICE INNOVATION IN FLATION-LINKED-BOND PIONEER PDDF CGIF DEDICATION BENCHMARK BOND FI SCAL DISCIPLINE COMMITMENT BOND MARKET DEVELOPMENT ACHIEVEMEN TS PUBILC DEBT MANAGEMENT OFFICE INNOVATION INFLATION-LINKED BOND P IONEER PDDF CGIF DEDICATION BENCHMARK BOND FISCAL DISCIPLINE COMMM ITMENT BOND MARKET DEVELOPMENT ACHIEVEMENTS PUBILC DEBT MANAGE MENT OFFICE INNOVATION INFLATION-LINKED BOND PIONEER PDDF CGIF DEDI CATION BENCHMARK BOND FISCAL DISCIPLINE COMMITMENT BOND MARKET DEVELOPMENT ACHIEVEMENTS PUBILC DEBT MANAGEMENT OFFICE INNOVATIO N INFLATION-LINKED BOND PIONEER PDDF CGIF DEDICATION BENCHMARK BON D FISCAL DISCIPLINE COMMITMENT BOND MARKET DEVELOPMENT ACHIEVE MENTS PUBILC DEBT MANAGEMENT OFFICE INNOVATION INFLATION-LINKED-BO ND PIONEER PDDF CGIF DEDICATION BENCHMARK BOND ACHIEVEMENTS PUBIL C DEBT MANAGEMENT OFFICE INNOVATION INFLATION-LINKED BOND PIONEER PDDF CGIF DEDICATION BENCHMARK BOND FISCAL DISCIPLINE COMMITMENT BOND MARKET DEVELOPMENT ACHIEVEMENTS PUBILC DEBT MANAGEMENT OF 10 FICE INNOVATION INFLATION-LINKED BOND PIONEER PDDF CGIF DEDICATION BE
C. Bond Supply FY2013 + Funding Needs FY2013 - FY2015 Public Debt Management Office, Ministry of Finance, Kingdom of Thailand
• FY 2013 Total Funding Needs (by Bills)
1,013,546 THB mil.
• FY 2013 Total Fund Raising (by Instruments)
1,090,076 THB mil.
• FY 2013 Benchmark Bond (3-5-7-10-15-20-30-50 tenors)
525,000 THB mil.
• FY 2013’Q2 Government Bond Auction Schedule
133,000 THB mil.
• Fund Raising Strategies Building Benchmark Bond to Stabilize Yield Curve Segmenting Investors Base to Diversify Dependency Risk
•Next Phase of Inflation Linked Bond
Creating Liquidity & Extending Yield Curve
11
FY2013 Total Funding Needs
(By Bills)
1,013,546 THB Mil.
• • • • •
Deficit Deficit Restructuring FIDF Restructuring Water Insurance
300,000 157,503 166,543 340,000 49,500
Public Debt Management Office, Ministry of Finance, Kingdom of Thailand
Deficit Deficit Restructuring FIDF Restructuring TKK TKK Restructuring Water Management Decree Insurance Decree
THB Mil.
1,000,000
49,500
340,000
750,000 500 10,000
TENTATIVE Infrastructure Bill
? ? 70,470
260,000
500,000
340,122
250,000
25,000
157,503
201,848
113,014 239,222 52,000 344,084
232,575
129,124 69,749
58,940
139,171
166,543
300,000
200,666
250,000 150,000
-
(250,000) Annual Funding Needs (THB Mil.)
FY2010
FY2011
FY2012
656,746
424,620
694,706
FY2013 Total Fund Raising Plan
(By Bills) THB Mil.
1,000,000
750,000
Deficit Deficit Restructuring FIDF Restructuring TKK TKK Restructuring Water Management Decree Insurance Decree Pre-Mature TKK Restructuring Pre-Mature FIDF Conversion T-Bill Conversion (Bill to Bond)
FY2013F
1,013,546
FY2014F
651,442
1,090,076 THB Mil.
• • • • • • •
FY2015F
490,231
Deficit Deficit Restructuring FIDF Restructuring Water Insurance Pre-Mature FIDF Pre-Mature TKK
Public Debt Management Office, Ministry of Finance, Kingdom of Thailand
49,500
340,000 500 10,000
TENTATIVE Infrastructure Bill
? ? 70,470
500,000
260,000
340,122
139,171 250,000
25,000
157,503
-
201,848 239,222
52,000
300,000
200,666
250,000 150,000
28,309
18,000 5,782
117,600
128,272
FY2010 656,746
FY2011 424,620
FY2012 694,706
863,230
570,529
846,760
124,254
129,124
113,014
344,084 232,575
166,543
69,749
58,940
57,000 19,530
82,230 (250,000) Annual Funding Needs (THB Mil.) Annual Fund Raising (THB Mil.)
12
300,000 157,503 166,543 340,000 49,500 57,000 19,530
FY2013F
1,013,546 1,090,076
FY2014F 651,442
FY2015F 490,231
651,442
490,231
FY 2013 Total Fund Raising Plan (by Instruments and Bills)
1,090,076 THB Mil. Public Debt Management Office, Ministry of Finance, Kingdom of Thailand
Insurance Decree
49,500 Non-Benchmark Bond
Water Decree 340,000
Bank Loan 6 mths – 4 yrs (Now – June 2013)
Savings Bond
ILB Amortized Bond Global Bond
457,503
Float P/N
Deficit
58,000
Amortized Bond
60,000
SB
300,000
NEW NEW
6,000
Benchmark Bond (5 - 7 - 15 - 20 - 30 – 50-yr)
331,000
Restructuring 157,503
Float P/N
223,543
503
15-yr ILB
FIDF
Benchmark Bond (3 & 10-yr) 194,000
166,543 57,000
Pre-Mature FIDF Pre-Mature TKK
25,043
Other ILB 10 yr
19,530
By Bills
15,530 10,000
By Instruments
ALL FY2013 Benchmark Bond Series (3 – 5 – 7 – 10 – 15 - 20 – 30 – 50-yr + 15-yr ILB+ 25-yr LBA)
To Reach 100,000 THB Mil. in Outstanding Amount by the End of FY2013 Public Debt Management Office, Ministry of Finance, Kingdom of Thailand
200,000
3
5
7
FY 2013 Indicative Benchmark Bond Plan-to-issue Amount in FY2013
90,000
90,000
80,000
new 15-yr 10
Inflation-Linked Bond
Amortized Bond
100,000 THB Mil. 40,000
50
41,205
40,000
($ 3.3 Bil.)
LB616A
30
53,436
To be issued in 2013 : 70,000
30,000
50,000 35,000 LB326A
35,000 LB27DA
ILB283A
LBA37DA
20
50,000
85,000 LB236A
LB21DA
-
LB196A
44,000
111,110
99,994
100,000
50,000
15
LB416A
25 100,000
LB176A
Outstanding size (THB Mil.)
150,000
Outstanding Amount as of the beginning of FY2013
13
14
2-Jan-13 9-Jan-13 16-Jan-13 23-Jan-13 30-Jan-13 6-Feb-13 13-Feb-13 20-Feb-13 27-Feb-13 6-Mar-13 12-Mar-13 13-Mar-13 20-Mar-13 27-Mar-13 รวม Coupon Maturity Date
Auction date
8,000
LB326A
7,000 3.58% 17-Dec-70 Re-open
Re-open
8,000 16,000 3.775% 25-Jun-75
ILB (15 yrs) 40,000 MB syndication
7,000
LB27DA
Website http://www.pdmo.go.th/
Re-open Re-open
Re-open
28,500 3.625% 16-Jun-66
14,000
14,500
LB236A
7. LBA37DA = 8. LB416A = 9. LB616A =
Re-open
Re-open
10,000 3.65% 17-Dec-64
10,000
LB21DA
Re-open
Re-open
28,000 3.875% 13-Jun-62
14,000
14,000
LB196A LB196A
8,000 4.26% 12-Dec-80
8,000
LBA37DA LBA37DA
Government Bond Auction Schedule for Q2/FY2013
5. LB27DA = 6. LB326A =
2. LB196A = 3. LB21DA = 4. LB236A =
1. LB176A =
17,500 3.25% 16-Jun-60
17,500
LB176A
Exclusivity MoF Outright PD Only
6,000 3.80% 14-Jun-84
6,000
LB416A
12,000 4.85% 17-Jun-04
6,000
6,000
LB616A
20,500 8,000 14,000 7,000 10,000 6,000 17,500 14,000 8,000 20,000 8,000 133,000
Total
New Product : Amortized bond
Exclusivity
FY2013 Indicative Benchmark Bond
15
• Building Benchmark Bond to Stabilized Yield Curve • Diversifying Investor Base to Reduce Dependency Risk
Fund Raising Plan Strategies
Public Debt Management Office, Ministry of Finance, Kingdom of Thailand
Well Diversified Investors Ensures Funding Needs
FYFull2013 Full Capacity* : 1,150,000 THB Mil Capacity* of All Government Funding Instruments 1,150,000 THB Mil.
Potential Demand for Gov’t Bond 2013
($40 Bil.)
* Under favorable market liquidity + using All funding instruments
Public Debt Management Office, Ministry of Finance, Kingdom of Thailand
THB Bil.
CB 9%
LB 3 yrs 150,000 THB Mil. ($5 Bil.)
6.50
LB 5 yrs 120,000 THB Mil. ($4 Bil.)
LB 7 yrs
6.00
80,000 THB Mil.
($2.8 Bil.)
50
LB 10 yrs 80,000 THB Mil. ($2.8 Bil.)
Average Bidding Yield (%)
LB 15 yrs 60,000 THB Mil. ($2 Bil.) 5.50
LB 20 yrs 60,000 THB Mil. ($2 Bil.) LB 30 yrs 30,000 THB Mil. ($1 Bil.)
Benchmark Bond
4.50
10
7
4.00
15
Benchmark Bond ($3.5 Bil.) Savings Bond ($3.5 Bil.) Amortized Bond ($2.8 Bil.) Inflation Linked Bond
($20.8 Bil.)
~600,000 THB Mil. (52%) ~100,000 THB Mil. (8%) ~100,000 THB Mil. (8%) ~80,000 THB Mil. (7%) ~40,000 THB Mil. ~30,000 THB Mil.
Promissory Note ($1.0 Bil.) Floating Rate Bond
5 3
($7.0 Bil.)
($40 Bil.)
3.00
Bank Loan
Total
SB
Household and Non-profit
(4%) (3%)
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
1,150,000 THB Mil. (100%)
33%
TTM (Yrs.)
9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51
Outstanding of Foreign Debt
Equiv. 44,924 THB Mil (1.3% of Gov’t Debt) Equiv. 11,861 THB Mil Commercial Papers Samurai bond 5 yr 20,000 Yen Mil Samurai bond 7 yr 10,000 Yen Mil MTN 40 USD Mil
Equiv. 33,063 THB Mil Soft Loans JBIC ADB IBRD Other
- Life Insurance - Pension Funds
450
Depository Corporations
450
- Retail - Non-profit org.
200
Non-Residence
?
Bank loan FRB / LB
Source : CB (28 Dec 2012)
* Under favorable market liquidity + using All funding instruments
62,500 Yen Mil 300 USD Mil 62 USD Mil 11 USD Mil (as of Dec 2012)
16
34%
9% Depository Corporation
~200,000 THB Mil. (18%)
ThaiBMA 2.50
Insurance and Other Corporation
NR 15%
Government Funding Instruments
20
($1.4 Bil.)
3.50
LB 5/10 ILB
30
ThaiBMA
LB 50 yrs 20,000 THB Mil. ($0.8 Bil.)
5.00
P/N LB
• To diversify portfolio of government debt • To keep the presence of KOT Bond (Kingdom of Thailand) in the foreign market • To maintain KOT Bond as a reference benchmark yield for Thai private sector issuers
• To avoid crowding out effect on domestic bond market Concerns : exchange rate risk / swap cost / natural hedging
Structure of Thai Inflation Linked Bond (Inaugural ILB, July 2011) Public Debt Management Office, Ministry of Finance, Kingdom of Thailand
Format Currency Tenor
Capital Indexed Bond (with Principle Protection) Thai Baht 10 years
Programme Size Interest Payment
40,000 THB Mil. (1.3 Bil USD equiv.) Every 6 months
Index Indexation Lag Index Ratio
Headline CPI 3 months CPIt /CPI0 (TBMA’s calculation)
Real Yield Repayment Method
1.2 Bullet
PD’s responsibility
Local Institutions
15,000 MB
20,000 MB
5,000 MB
Subscription : approx. 1.6 times
Next Step Continuing Issuance
Allocations Foreign Institutions
Local Retail
Enhance ILB liquidity
FY 2012 : Develop regular annual auction plan (every quarter) FY 2012 : Top-up the existing tenor to enhance liquidity : 60,000 THB Mil. (2 USD Bil equiv.) (15,000 THB Mil. each in Feb Apr Jun and Aug) FY 2013 : Issue other Benchmark tenors (5-15years ILBs)
FY 2012 : Maintain portion of successful bid in ILB primary market FY 2013 : Maintain portion of ILB trading in secondary market FY 2013 : Provide firm bid / ask spreads in secondary market
8 International AWARDS
+
2 Domestic AWARDS
Best Sovereign Bond 2011 Best Thailand Deal 2011 Best Local Currency Bond 2011 Best Thailand Deal 2011 Thailand Capital Markets Deal of the Year 2011 Deal of the Year from Asia Outstanding Issuer of the Year The Most Impressive Local Currency 2011 Deal of the Year 2011 Most Creative Issue 2011
Enhance Liquidity
: Asiamoney Awards : Asiamoney Awards : FinanceAsia Achievement Awards : FinanceAsia Achievement Awards : IFRAsia Asia Awards : Euro Money : Asset Asian Awards 2011 : Euroweek Asia : ThaiBMA : ThaiBMA
Next Phase of Inflation Linked Bond in FY2013
• Enhance Liquidity of 10-yr • Extending Yield Curve to 15-yr • PDS’ Responsibilities As Market Marker
Public Debt Management Office, Ministry of Finance, Kingdom of Thailand
Keep Our Promise
10-yr ILB (ILB217A)
• Continue to re-open ILB217A in Q1/FY’13 to build up outstanding size of 100,000 THB Mil. T/R 1.1
Extending Yield Curve
New 15-yr ILB
• Build Up 15-yr ILB to around 80,000 – 100,000 THB Mil. by end of 2013 (Syndication & Auctions)
Fund Raising Instrument for Water Decree • Option A : Issue new tenor of ILB • Option B : Re-open the existing tenor
PDS’ RESPONSIBILITIES
• New 5-yr ILB • Top-up 15-yr ILB
Up To 60,000 THB Mil.
• Participate in the Primary Market • Achieve 5% of Trading Volume in the Secondary Market • Provide Bid – Offer Price 17
D. Well-Developed Bond Market Improved Government Debt Profile Public Debt Management Office, Ministry of Finance, Kingdom of Thailand
• Public Debt Outstanding (as of Sep 2012) = 4.9 THB Trillion (43% of GDP) • Total GOV’T Debt (Direct + FIDF) • Average-Time-to-Maturity (ATM) • Average Cost • Fixed : Float
= 3.46 THB Trillion (70% of Public Debt) = 7yrs 6mths = 4.3% = 86 : 14
• Well-Developed Bond Market Improved GOV’T Direct Debt Profile Dramatically • Average-Time-to-Maturity (ATM) = 8yrs 10mths • Average Cost = 4.5% • Fixed : Float Ratio = 86 : 14 • Maturity Distribution Profile = 51-21-28
• Full Capacity of All Government Funding Instruments (FY2013) 1,150,000 THB Mil
• Maturity Profile of GOV’T Funding Instruments (Strategic Framework) • Average-Time-to-Maturity (ATM) • Fixed : Float • Maturity Distribution Profile
18
= 9yrs = 65 : 35 = 50-30-20
Public Debt Outstanding (as of Sep 2012) = 4.9 THB Trillion (43% of GDP) Public Debt Management Office, Ministry of Finance, Kingdom of Thailand
Components of Public Debt
Units : THB Mil.
1. Government Debt (excluded FIDF)
2,381,879**
2. Government Debt (for FIDF)
1,133,132
3. Non-Financial State Enterprise Debt
1,064,289
4. Special Financial Institutions Guaranteed Debt 5. Autonomous Agency Debt (VP and EFPO)
Public Debt Outstanding (as of Sep 2012)
Special Financial Institution Guaranteed Debt
7
% 0.35 THB Trillion Autonomous Agency Debt (VP and EFPO) 0.5% 0.006 THB Trillion
352,207 5,732
4,937,239
*Including 52,647 THB Mil. of External Debt
Non-Financial State Enterprise Debt
21.5% 1.06 THB Trillion
GOV’T Debt
48% 2.38 THB Trillion
GOV’T Debt (for FIDF)
23% 1.13** THB Trillion
019
As of Sep 2012 Average-Time-to-Maturity (ATM) = 7yrs 6mths Average Cost = 4.5% Fixed : Float = 86 : 14 As of Sep 2012
Total GOV’T Debt = 3.46* THB Trillion (70% of Public Debt) * Excluded 52,647 THB Mil. of Foreign Debt
Public Debt Management Office, Ministry of Finance, Kingdom of Thailand Assumptions : 6 months BIBOR = 3.23%, 6 months Fixed Deposit Rate = 2.58%
FIDF 1
FIDF 3
162,099
300,000
61%
GOV’T Debt (for FIDF) = 1.13* THB Trillion
31%
40,000
35,000
next 5 yrs
year 6 - 10
10yrs +
14,000
44,000
69,000
101,800
75,000
Maturity Profile
7%
37,900
25,000
39,836 66,000
64,771
64,124
159,853
-
11,309
58,440
65,000
200,000
100,000
ATM = 5yrs 4mths Avg. Cost = 4.7% Fixed : Float = 79 : 21
TTM
Fiscal Year
TKK
On-lending Loan
Insurance Decree
ATM = 8yrs 10mths Avg. Cost = 4.3% Fixed : Float = 87 : 13
10yrs +
41,205
year 6 - 10
27,800
29,800
20,000
53,436
5,500
6,500
5,000
41,900
35,000
15,700
next 5 yrs
2,200
96,950 47,000
43,000
50,000
18,900 76,700
32,500
111,110
90,872
-
Maturity Profile
0000
21% 28%
GOV’T Debt (exclude FIDF) = 2.33*** THB Trillion
145,994
118,209
16,000
22,000
86,630
7,156
51%
111,830
157,000
239,222
291,912
100,000
201,848
200,000
70,470
86
300,000
8,000
Budget Deficit
TTM Fiscal Year
***Excluded 52,647 THB Mil. of Foreign Debt
(1) (2) (3) (4)
Well-Developed Bond Market Improved GOV’T Direct Debt Profile Dramatically
ATM Lengthened Cost Lowered Well-Balanced Fixed-Float Ratio Well-Distributed Maturity Profile
Public Debt Management Office, Ministry of Finance, Kingdom of Thailand
Note : Government Direct Debt = 2.33 THB Million
As of Dec 2007
As of Sep 2012 ATM
Average-Time-to-Maturity LENGTHENED by 3 ½ yrs
8yrs 10mths ATM
5yrs 3mths
Avg. cost
Avg. Cost LOWERED by 20 bps
4.5%
.
Avg. cost
4.3%
(While ATM Lengthened by 3 ½ yrs)
Float
Well-Balanced Fixed/Float Ratio (Target : Fixed/Float ratio = 80 : 20)
10%
Float
Fixed
Fixed
90%
87%
Maturity Profile as of Dec 2009
61% Well-Distributed Maturity Profile next 5 yrs
20
Maturity Profile as of Sep 2012
51% 24%
Target : Maturing Debt in the next 5 yrs is less than 50% of Total Debt
13%
year 6 - 10
21%
15% 10yrs +
next 5 yrs
year 6 - 10
28% 10yrs +
Full Capacity* of All Government Funding Instruments
1,150,000 THB Mil. per Year ($40 Bil.)
* Under favorable market liquidity + using All funding instruments
Public Debt Management Office, Ministry of Finance, Kingdom of Thailand
LB 3 yrs 150,000 THB Mil. ($5 LB 5 yrs 120,000 THB Mil. LB 7 yrs
80,000 THB Mil.
LB 10 yrs 80,000 THB Mil. LB 15 yrs 60,000 THB Mil. LB 20 yrs 60,000 THB Mil. LB 30 yrs 30,000 THB Mil. LB 50 yrs 20,000 THB Mil.
Bil.) ($4 Bil.) ($2.8 Bil.) ($2.8 Bil.) ($2 Bil.) ($2 Bil.) ($1 Bil.) ($0.8 Bil.)
Thailand’s Loan Bonds weighting in international indices
GBI-EM Global JP Morgan
iBoxx Asia ex Japan Markit
7.3%
Asian Local Markets HSBC
7.8%
7.6% 50
30
Benchmark Bond
20 15
10
Government Funding Instruments ($20.4 Bil.) Benchmark Bond
7 5 3
~100,000THB Mil.
($3.5 Bil.) Amortized Bond ($2.8 Bil.) Inflation-Linked Bond
~100,000THB Mil.
(8%)
~80,000THB Mil.
(7%)
($1.4 Bil.) Promissory Note
~40,000THB Mil.
(4%)
($1.0 Bil.) Floating Rate Bond
~30,000THB Mil.
(3%)
($7.0 Bil.) Bank Loan
ThaiBMA Government Bond Yield Curve as of 08 Feb 2013
(A) ATM = 9 yrs (B) Fixed : Float = 65 : 35 (C) Maturity Distribution Profile 50 - 30 - 20
Benchmark Bond
580,000 THB Mil 150,000 150,000
1,150,000 THB Mil. (100%)
Public Debt Management Office, Ministry of Finance, Kingdom of Thailand
50% (≤ 5 yrs)
ATM Cost (Avg. past 3 yrs) Fixed : Float
30% (6-10 yrs) 120,000
350,000 THB Mil
10yrs 8mths +5 bps 100 : 0
20
20,000
15
30,000
10
60,000
7
50,000
220,000 THB Mil 60,000
80,000
20% (≥ 11 yrs) 80,000
100,000
(8%)
~200,000THB Mil. (18%)
($40 Bil.) Total
FY2012 Maturity Profile of GOV’T Funding Instruments (Strategic Framework)
~600,000THB Mil. (52%)
($3.5 Bil.) Savings Bond
30
50
-
3
5
150,000
Savings Bond 90,000
50,000
ATM Cost (Avg. past 3 yrs) Fixed : Float
6yrs 4mths + 80 bps 75 : 35
10,000
10,000
10,000
10,000
10,000
50,000
25,000
10,000
10,000
10,000
10,000
10,000
25,000
25,000
50,000
50,000
50,000 10,000
25,000
90,000
50,000
50,000
Alternative Instruments
Amortized Bond
25,000
-
25,000
50,000
25,000
25,000
-
ILB
Promissory Note
100,000
100,000
100,000
50,000 10,000
100,000150,000
50,000
Bank Loan FRB
Not-to-Collide with Benchmark Tenors
21
ACHIEVEMENTS PUBILC DEBT MANAGEMENT OFFICE INNOVATION INFLATION-LI NKED-BOND PIONEER PDDF CGIF DEDICATION BENCHMARK BOND FISCAL DISCIP LINE COMMITMENT BOND MARKET DEVELOPMENT ACHIEVEMENTS PUBILC D EBT MANAGEMENT OFFICE INNOVATION INFLATION-LINKED BOND PIONEER PD DF CGIF DEDICATION BENCHMARK BOND FISCAL DISCIPLINE COMMITMENT B OND MARKET DEVELOPMENT ACHIEVEMENTS PUBILC DEBT MANAGEMENT OF FICE INNOVATION INFLATION-LINKED BOND PIONEER PDDF CGIF DEDICATION BE NCHMARK BOND FISCAL DISCIPLINE COMMITMENT BOND MARKETDEVELOPM ENT ACHIEVEMENTS PUBILC DEBT MANAGEMENT OFFICE INNOVATION INFLATIO N-LINKED-BOND PIONEER PDDF CGIF DEDICATION BENCHMARK BOND FISCAL DI SCIPLINE COMMITMENT BOND MARKET DEVELOPMENT ACHIEVEMENTS PUBI LC DEBT MANAGEMENT OFFICE INNOVATION INFLATION-LINKED BOND PIONEER PDDF CGIF DEDICATION BENCHMARK BOND FISCAL DISCIPLINE COMMITMENT BOND MARKET DEVELOPMENT ACHIEVEMENTS PUBILC DEBT MANAGEMENT OF FICE INNOVATION INFLATION-LINKED BOND PIONEER PDDF CGIF DEDICATION BE NCHMARK BOND FISCAL DISCIPLINE COMMITMENT BOND MARKET DEVELOP 2013 HIGHLIGHTS MENT ACHIEVEMENTS PUBILC1/FY DEBT MANAGEMENT OFFICE INNOVATION INFLAT ION-LINKED-BOND PIONEER PDDF CGIF DEDICATION BENCHMARK BOND FISCAL DISCIPLINECOMMITMENT BOND MARKET Domestic Bond Market in DEVELOPMENT Transition : ACHIEVEMENTS PU BILC DEBT MANAGEMENT OFFICE INNOVATION INFLATION-LINKED BOND PIONE Infrastructure ConnectingCOMMMITM ASEAN ER PDDF CGIFFunding DEDICATION BENCHMARKInvestment BOND FISCAL&DISCIPLINET ENT BOND MARKET DEVELOPMENT ACHIEVEMENTS PUBILC DEBT MANAGEMEN T OFFICE INNOVATION BONDLoan PIONEER CGIF DEDICATIO FY2013 INFLATION-LINKED Inaugural Amortized BondPDDF (LBA) N BENCHMARK BOND FISCAL DISCIPLINE COMMITMENT BOND MARKET DEVE LOPMENT ACHIEVEMENTS PUBILC DEBT MANAGEMENT OFFICE INNOVATION IN FLATION-LINKED-BOND PIONEER PDDF CGIF DEDICATION BENCHMARK BOND FI SCAL DISCIPLINE COMMITMENT BOND MARKET DEVELOPMENT ACHIEVEMEN TS PUBILC DEBT MANAGEMENT OFFICE INNOVATION INFLATION-LINKED BOND P IONEER PDDF CGIF DEDICATION BENCHMARK BOND FISCAL DISCIPLINE COMMM ITMENT BOND MARKET DEVELOPMENT ACHIEVEMENTS PUBILC DEBT MANAGE MENT OFFICE INNOVATION INFLATION-LINKED BOND PIONEER PDDF CGIF DEDI CATION BENCHMARK BOND FISCAL DISCIPLINE COMMITMENT BOND MARKET DEVELOPMENT ACHIEVEMENTS PUBILC DEBT MANAGEMENT OFFICE INNOVATIO N INFLATION-LINKED BOND PIONEER PDDF CGIF DEDICATION BENCHMARK BON D FISCAL DISCIPLINE COMMITMENT BOND MARKET DEVELOPMENT ACHIEVE MENTS PUBILC DEBT MANAGEMENT OFFICE INNOVATION INFLATION-LINKED-BO ND PIONEER PDDF CGIF DEDICATION BENCHMARK BOND ACHIEVEMENTS PUBIL C DEBT MANAGEMENT OFFICE INNOVATION INFLATION-LINKED BOND PIONEER PDDF CGIF DEDICATION BENCHMARK BOND FISCAL DISCIPLINE COMMITMENT BOND MARKET DEVELOPMENT ACHIEVEMENTS PUBILC DEBT MANAGEMENT OF 22 FICE INNOVATION INFLATION-LINKED BOND PIONEER PDDF CGIF DEDICATION BE
Q
Bond Market Developed Rapidlyand andEfficiently Efficiently The The ThaiThai Bond Market hasHas Developed Rapidly Public Debt Management Office, Ministry of Finance, Kingdom of Thailand
10
Next Step 2013-15:
2007 – 2010 :
2011-12:
Development Oriented Regular Benchmark Issuance New Product Development Regular Market Dialogue with BoT and PDs
(Market Deepening Oriented) 50-yr Bond, 10-yr LB, Electronic Retail Bond Upgrade PD Privileges 8 Benchmark bonds create reliable reference yield curve
100%
(Financing Thailand & Connecting ASEAN) 25-yr Amortized Bond, 15-yr ILB, Zero-Coupon Bond Bond Switching & Bond Consolidation Foreign Currency Bond Regional Linkage (CGIF)
8
80%
77% Post Crisis – 2000 : Volume Oriented Bond Market Capitalisation tripled Government Bonds Outstanding grew by 50 times Government Bond Market Share jumped from 3% in 1997 to 44% in 2000
60% % of GDP
THB Trillion
6
4
2
40%
Pre-Crisis - Illiquid Bond Market - Absence of Benchmark Bond - Dominated by SoE’s Bonds
20%
0
0%
Domestic Bond Market in Transition
Financing Infrastructure Investment Connecting ASEAN Public Debt Management Office, Ministry of Finance, Kingdom of Thailand
Market Deepening Oriented (2011-12)
Sustainable Source of Fund Regional Connectivity / AEC
Debt Folio Enhancement
Financing Infrastructure Investment & Connecting ASEAN (2013-15)
Water Decree (350 THB Billion)
Long-Term Infrastructure Investment (2 THB Trillion)
Thai Khem Khang (350 THB Billion)
Private Sector Participation in Infrastructure Inv’t Foreign Currency Bond
Baht Bond
Credit Guarantee Investment Facility
ATM Lengthened
Well Diversified Investor Base
Cost Lowered
Well Balanced Fixed-Floated Proportion
FIDF Decree Passed ̴ 70,000MB Fiscal Space
Well Distributed Maturity Profile
Market Infrastructure
Appointed 13 MOF-Outright PDs
Bond Switching
Activated Public Debt Management Fund
Bond Consolidation Inaugural 25-yr Amortized Loan Bond
Innovation / Product Development
Electronic Retail Savings Bond
15-yr Inflation Linked Bond Zero Coupon Bond
Inaugural 10-yr Inflation Linked Bond
Scripless Retail Savings Bond Liquidity 30
50
Turnover Ratio = 2.5-4.0
20
Building Yield Curve / Enhancing Liquidity
(3-10yrs)
15
7 5 3
10
8 tenors of Benchmark Bond
100,000 MB Outstanding Amount 3 5 7
10
15
20
30
50
23
FY2013 Inaugural Amortized Loan Bond (LBA) Public Debt Management Office, Ministry of Finance, Kingdom of Thailand
Developing New Instrument Broadening Investor base
Reducing Refinancing Risk
LBA Reducing Reinvestment Risk
Matching Liability Profile Bond Market Development
Structure of Amortized Bond (LBA) Public Debt Management Office, Ministry of Finance, Kingdom of Thailand
Indicative Terms & Conditions
24
Issuer
The Ministry of Finance of The Kingdom of Thailand
Currency
Thai Baht
Type
Amortized Bond in Registered Form
Programme size
THB 30,000 million (USD 1,000 million equiv.)
Issue Date
12 December 2012
Maturity Date
23 December 2037
Tenor
25 years
Principal Repayment
5 Equal Annual Principal Repayments Commencing From the End of Year 21
Interest Payment
Fixed Rate, Payable Every 6 months
Weighted Average Life (WAL)
23 Year
Reference Benchmark
THB Government Bond Yield Curve
Expected Coupon
4.26% p.a.
Listing
The Thai Bond Market Association
Governing Law
The Laws of the Kingdom of Thailand
Documentation
Domestic Documentation
Distribution Method
Syndication: Bangkok Bank (BBL) Deutsche Bank (DB) The Hongkong and Shanghai Banking Corporation (HSBC)
• Offering up to THB 30,000 Mil. Thru Syndication • Enhancing Liquidity Thru Electronic Auctions
“Super-Size” 25-year Back End Amortized Bond
Public Debt Management Office, Ministry of Finance, Kingdom of Thailand
Comparing “Super-Size” LBA with Bullet Benchmark Bond Size
25-yr LBA… THB 300,000 Mil.
Turnover Ratio (FY2012)
Immediate Task :
Build up to THB 100,000 Mil. in 1 Year
Next Possible Task : Build up to “Super Size – THB 300 ,000 Mil. In 3 years”
180,000 Mil.
2.6
4.0 120,000 Mil.
100,000 Mil.
2.5
80,000 Mil.
3.1 1.6
3
5
7
10
15
0.5
20
ALL FY2013 Benchmark Bond Series (3 – 5 – 7 – 10 – 15 - 20 – 30 – 50-yr + 15-yr ILB+ 25-yr LBA)
0.2
0.3
30
50
To Reach 100,000 THB Mil. in Outstanding Amount by the End of FY2013 Public Debt Management Office, Ministry of Finance, Kingdom of Thailand
200,000
3
5
7
FY 2013 Indicative Benchmark Bond Plan-to-issue Amount in FY2013
90,000
25-yr 10
Amortized Bond
100,000 THB Mil.
53,436
50 40,000
40,000
($ 3.3 Bil.)
LB416A
To be issued in 2013 : 70,000
30,000 LBA37DA
35,000 LB326A
50,000
35,000 LB27DA
50,000
85,000 LB236A
LB21DA
-
LB196A
44,000
111,110
99,994
100,000
50,000
20
41,205
30 15
LB616A
90,000
80,000
new
100,000
LB176A
Outstanding size (THB Mil.)
150,000
Outstanding Amount as of the beginning of FY2013
25
Bond Market Development Bureau, Public Debt Management Office Ministry of Finance, Kingdom of Thailand
For Further Information : Chularat Suteethorn
+662 265 8050 ext. 5100
chularat@mof.go.th
Director-General, Public Debt Management Office
Prawit Sarakitprija
+662 265 8050 ext. 5111
prawit@pdmo.go.th
+66 2271 7999 ext. 5802
pimpen@pdmo.go.th
Public Debt Advisor
Pimpen Ladpli
Director of Government Bond Market Development Division Acting Director Bond Market Development Bureau
Nattakarn Boonsri
+66 2271 7999 ext. 5803
nattakarn@pdmo.go.th
Director of Fund Management and Bond Market Infrastructure Development Division
Chatmanee Sinsiri
+66 2271 7999 ext. 5804
chatmanee@pdmo.go.th
Director of International Bond Market Policy Division
Pothirat Kijsriopak
+66 2271 7999 ext. 5812
pothirat@pdmo.go.th
+66 2271 7999 ext. 5806
ittipong@pdmo.go.th
+66 2271 7999 ext. 5801
raveewan@pdmo.go.th
Economist
Ittipong Kanluan Economist
Raveewan Buanung General Administration Officer
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