Rental Housing Journal Metro
September 2016
3. The VIP Tour of How to Easily Set the Perfect Marketing Budget & Strategy for your Apartment Complex 4. Creating an Annual Operating Budget for Your Multifamily Property 5. "And a wonderful time was had by all."
6. Chasing Economic Trends in Multifamily Can Be a Downfall 7. Multifamily NW Presents: SPECTRUM 8. Spectrum Classes 10. Spectrum Exhibitors
13. The Scoop On How Pet DNA Testing Fixes Your Apartment Poop Problem 14. The Risk and Rewards of Owning NNN Investments 19. Dear Maintenance Men – Do's, Dont's, Doors and Droughts
Portland/Vancouver
www.rentalhousingjournal.com • Professional Publishing, Inc
Published in association with: Multifamily NW; Rental Housing Association of Oregon; IREM & Clark County Association
Budgets; Don't Just Update That Spreadsheet
2Q16 Market Overview Multifamily Housing Update
A
h, September… my favorite time of year –warm days, cool nights, back to school, turning leaves – and all that ruined with the prospect of dealing with budgets! With the crazy schedules that fall brings it can be awfully tempting to just increase everything by the obligatory 2 to 3% and call it a day, especially if you are budgeting for multiple properties. Yet, I’ve learned the hard way that accuracy and usefulness can plummet after a couple of years of that budgeting method.
Portland, OR Payroll Job Summary Average Payrolls Annual Change RCR 2016 Forecast RCR 2017 Forecast RCR 2018 Forecast RCR 2019 Forecast
1,142.7m 33.3m (3.0%) 31.6m (2.8%) 30.3m (2.7%) 25.5m (2.2%) 13.4m (1.1%)
RCR 2020 Forecast Unemployment (NSA)
12.8m (1.1%) 5.1% (June)
2Q16 Payroll Trends and Forecast Job creation in Portland MSA continued at a steady pace in the spring, rising at a robust 33,300-job, 3.0% pace, on point with the 2.9% compound annual growth rate ob-served since 2012. Hiring by manufacturers was consider-ably weaker (-100 jobs in 2Q16, down from +2,100 in 1Q) but faster annual job gains totaling 4,200 in consumer and socially funded sectors (construction, retail and govern-ment) were more than offsetting. Meanwhile, the tech sector continued to chalk down significant year-on-year gains, most notably among software publishers (3.5%), computer system designers (5.3%) and semiconductor fabricators (2.8%). Metals manufacturing was the sole sector experiencing material job losses (-6.7%), reflecting the effects on export sales of a strong dollar. Seasonally-adjusted data were less sanguine, perhaps signaling that an inflexion point is reached. This series shows only a 900 job April to June advance, down sharply from 8,500- and 10,800-job gains during 1Q16 and 4Q15. continued on page 12 Professional Publishing Inc., PO Box 6244 Beaverton, OR 97007
m u r t Sp e c
continued on page 22
Multifamily NW Pres ents
S
-BE YOUR OWN HERO-
pectrum is the largest rental housing educational conference and trade show in Oregon. It will be held September 22nd at the Oregon Convention Center in Portland from 8:00am to 4:00pm. Spectrum is the premier annual educational conference for rental housing ownership, management and maintenance. This year’s show features a bustling trade show floor of both local and national exhibitors. The event draws over 1,200 attendees and offers 28 unique education workshops. Everyone looks forward to Spectrum addressing the needs and issues of our region’s rental property owners, onsite leasing agents, portfolio managers and maintenance professionals. Spectrum 2016 will feature a superhero theme and include a cast of costumed characters to entertain attendees throughout the day. We are excited to PRSRT STD US Postage PAID Portland, OR Permit #5460
kick off the conference with a general session featuring national speaker Linda Edgecombe who will discuss how you can be your own hero. The Spectrum curriculum focuses on the current market with several sessions dedicated to timely issues such as: hoarding, leasing in a tight market, customer service, habitability issues and more! We are bringing back crowd favorite classes including the always popular Mock Trial sessions from Warren Allen LLP. This year, Spectrum offers outstanding courses on leadership and communication, including: “#Superfresh Ideas for Leadership & Team Motivation,” “Customer Service Best Practices,” “Becoming an Asset/Portfolio Manager” and more! For rental property owners, Spectrum has many outstanding workshops, includ-
ing: “Single-Family Form Management” and “CyberSafe – protecting your data.” Spectrum’s maintenance offerings include: “Finding Money in Maintenance” and “Are You Ready for the Big One? – Dealing with Catastrophic Events.” Don’t miss this exciting day! See the full list of classes and register for the 2016 Spectrum show at www.multifamilynw. org. Admission to Spectrum includes lunch, workshops and access to the amazing trade show floor. Attendance is $100 for members and $150 for non-members. Most Spectrum classes qualify for Continuing Education Credit for Oregon Broker’s and Property Manager Licenses. SPECTRUM is brought to you by Multifamily NW. continued on page 7
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