Rental Housing Journal Metro January 2017

Page 1

Rental Housing Journal Metro

January 2017

2. Home Sales Expected to Expand Modestly in 2017 as Affordability Pressures Tempter Buyer Enthusiasm 3. Housing Data Reveals Gaps in Economic Opportunity Along Generational, Racial, and Socio-Economic Lines 5. New Beginnings

10. Is My Uber Driver Holding Back the 6. Happy New Year Everyone! Housing Market? 7. HomeUnion Names the Highest-Growth 11. Visionary Property Managers Rental Markets Anticipate Tomorrow's Rental Markets 8. Home Values Rise at Fastest Pace 14. The Housing Crisis is a Problem the Since 2006 City Helped Create 9. Dear Maintenance Men – Slab Leaks, Safety Bars and Shaky Ovens

www.rentalhousingjournal.com • Professional Publishing, Inc

Portland/Vancouver

Published in association with: Multifamily NW; Rental Housing Association of Oregon; IREM & Clark County Association

3Q16 Market Overview

Your Residents Can’t Recycle If They Don’t Know How

Multifamily Housing Update Portland, OR Payroll Job Summary Average Payrolls Annual Change RCR 2016 Forecast RCR 2017 Forecast RCR 2018 Forecast RCR 2019 Forecast

1,145.8m 32.1m (2.9%) 33.0m (3.0%) 34.4m (3.0%) 29.4m (2.5%) 20.0m (1.7%)

RCR 2020 Forecast Unemployment (NSA)

14.9m (1.2%) 4.7% (Oct.)

3Q16 Payroll Trends and Forecast Third quarter job growth was “steady as it goes” as Portland added workers to payrolls at a 32,100-job, 2.9% rate, representing the 13th consecutive quarterly advance over 30,000 jobs. Skilled service industries continued to lead the way. Business, education and healthcare services expanded at a collective 13,200 -job, 4.0% rate, up from 2Q’s 3.5% performance. Gains also were recorded among finance and insurance firms and, notably, construction employers. Builders added workers at a 3,500-job, 5.9% pace, topping the prior quarter’s 2,800-job add. Elsewhere, growth in manufacturing and consumer driven sectors continued to deteriorate. Job attrition in transportation equipment and weaker electronics growth dragged factory trends into the red (-900 jobs), while retail trade and personal service hiring fell to the slowest quarterly pace (1,600 jobs y-o-y) observed since 3Q10. Seasonally-adjusted payroll data were more robust. This series shows a powerful 13,000-job net pick-up for the JulySeptember period, representing the largest three-month gain recorded since 2005, and the largest summer quarter job add since 1995. By way of comparison, only 900 jobs were created in the prior quarter. RED Research’s PORT payroll model employs the rate of change of U.S. job growth (+); 5-year GDP growth (-); and metro personal income (+) and home price continued on page 12 Professional Publishing Inc., PO Box 6244 Beaverton, OR 97007

5 tips to improve your property’s recycling education in 2017

F

rom milk jugs to cardboard boxes, Portland residents want to recycle. It’s not surprising our city has one of the highest recycling rates in the nation, with an impressive recovery rate of over 70 percent. Recycling doesn’t just happen. Multifamily property managers are critical to our success. Informed residents and an easy-to-use collection system are key to making your garbage and recycling program a success. Here are some tips from the City of Portland to help you plan your property’s recycling education for 2017. continued on page 18

More than One in 10 Homeowners Underwater as Housing Market Nears Full Recovery

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ven as home values approach the highest levels reached during the housing bubble, 11 percent of homeowners with a mortgage are underwater, according to the third quarter Zillow® Negative Equity Reporti The share of homeowners who owe more on their mortgages than their homes are worth has dropped by nearly two-thirds since the housing bubble burst four years ago. Nationally 5.3 million homeowners were in negative equity in the third quarter, meaning they owe more than their homes are worth. At the peak in Q1 2012, 15.7 million homeowners were underwater on their mortgages. continued on page 13

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