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Poland Shipping Report Q4 2011 Published on August 2011
Report Summary The port of Gdansk is set to hold the top position in Poland's maritime sector in terms of both total tonnage and container throughput in 2011 after overtaking the port of Gdynia in terms of boxes handled in 2010. Gdansk has a strong position to build on in 2011. The largest global container line, Maersk Line, is its customer, and the shipping company now offers the facility as a port of call on one of its direct Asia- Europe services offering Poland's importers and exporters cheaper, quicker transport links to ports in China. Over the mid term we project further growth at the port of Gdansk. Gdynia has started its recovery, as it returned to positive growth in 2010. Headline Industry Data * 2011 port of Gdansk tonnage throughput forecast to grow 9%, over the mid-term we project a 41% increase. * 2011 port of Gdansk container throughput forecast to grow 28%, over the mid-term we project a 114% increase. * 2011 total trade growth forecast at 8.45%. Key Industry Trends DCT Gdansk Continues Rapid Growth On Back Of Strong Polish Macro Fundamentals: DCT Gdansk is continuing its rapid growth, having handled its millionth 20-foot equivalent unit (TEU) just three years after opening. BMI notes that Gdansk has already become Poland's largest port in terms of both containers and total tonnage, knocking the port of Gdynia into second place. We believe that Gdansk's profile in the global shipping sector will continue to rise, with the port now a stop on a direct Asia-Europe service rather than being a feeder call. New Terminal Operating System At DCT Gdansk: To further support its rapid development plans and to meet international standards for terminal operations, DCT Gdansk is planning to implement Navis SPARCS N4. The terminal operating system (TOS) by Navis, a part of Cargotec Corporation, is expected to be put into service in Q411. Risks To Outlook The strong base for growth at the country's ports stems from BMI's positive outlook for the Polish economy. The country's real GDP is estimated to increase by 4.6% in 2011. Poland's economy will continue to be on the increase as a solid external environment and robust domestic demand underpin growth, boding well for containerised imports. An upside risk to our forecasts comes in the form of China's interest in Poland's main port. If Gdansk wins the investment package and patronage of Ningbo, throughput volumes will increase as the port caters for greater Chinese cargo to Poland and Central Europe.
Table of Content Executive Summary 5 SWOT Analysis 7 Poland Shipping SWOT 7 Poland Political SWOT . 7 Poland Economic SWOT ...... 8
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>> Get this Report Now by email! Poland Business Environment SWOT .. 8 Global Overview ...... 9 Container Shipping: Overcapacity Threat To Haunt In The Mid Term, Asia-Europe Most Exposed .. 9 Drivers .. 9 Bellwethers . 11 Rates ... 14 Capacity ...... 17 Table: Newbuilds Due Online In The Mid Term . 19 Dry-Bulk: No Recovery On The Horizon For Dry Bulk As Overcapacity Cloud Hangs Low .... 21 Drivers 21 Capacity ...... 23 Rates ... 26 Liquid Bulk Shipping: At the Start of a Brutal Down Cycle ..... 29 Drivers 29 Capacity ...... 34 Rates ... 37 Industry Trends and Development ....... 40 Market Overview .... 42 Industry Forecast .. 44 Table: Major Port Data, 2008-2015 ... 45 Table: Trade Overview, 2008-2015 .... 46 Table: Key Trade Indicators, 2008-2015 .... 46 Table: Main Import Partners, 2002-2009 ... 47 Table: Main Export Partners, 2002-2009 ... 48 Company Profile .... 49 Maersk Line 49 Mediterranean Shipping Company (MSC) .. 55 CMA CGM .. 58 COSCO Container Lines Company Limited (COSCON)..... 61 Hapag-Lloyd ....... 64 Evergreen Line ... 67 APL ..... 70 CSAV .. 74 Hanjin Shipping (Container Operations) .... 77 China Shipping Container Line (CSCL) ..... 81
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