ReportLinker
Find Industry reports, Company profiles and Market Statistics
>> Get this Report Now by email!
Syria Defence and Security Report Q4 2011 Published on September 2011
Report Summary Syria continues to crack down brutally on anti-regime protesters with the most recent (July 2011) assaults on Hama and the eastern towns of Deir al-Zour and Abu Kamal bringing the death toll since March 2011 when the protests and crackdown began to more than 1,400. With international opinion over military intervention divided and little appetite in the West to get involved, President Bashar Assad's regime would appear to be secure for now although some questions have been raised about the continued unity of the military. There are also fears in some quarters that should Assad fall, the country, with 17 minority groups, could splinter into rival groups in a similar way to Iraq after the fall of Saddam. Regional powers Israel, Saudi Arabia and Iran all have vested interests in the country and are likely to try to take advantage of any power vacuum presented by the uprising. Syria's military equipment is long outdated, having been sourced mostly from the Soviet Union. It is possible that military and economic ties to Iran may come into play to support the Assad regime's survival. There has been little defence procurement in recent months since the beginning of delivery of 50 Pantsyr-S1E air-defence systems from Russia which began last year. Syria's economy has stalled, while the closed borders have brought tourism to a standstill. Its only trading partners are Iran and North Korea. Even before the uprising began in March, the country was facing a catalogue of problems with an estimated 25% unemployment and water shortages exacerbating structural difficulties such as population growth and international isolation.
Table of Content Executive Summary . 5 SWOT Analysis 6 Syria Security SWOT ........ 6 Syria Defence Industry SWOT ... 7 Syria Political SWOT ........ 7 Syria Economic SWOT ...... 8 Syria Business Environment SWOT .... 8 Global Political Outlook .... 9 MENA And Eurozone Take Centre-Stage..... 9 Global Hotspots: Libya, Iran, Afghanistan, Korea, Greece .... 9 Table: Election Timetable ........ 13 United States: Heading Into Election Season...... 16 Latin America: Much More Uncertainty To Come ....... 16 Western Europe: Incumbent Leaders Under Pressure . 17 Russia And The Former Soviet Union: Succession In Focus. 18 Middle East And North Africa: Can Democracy Take Root' . 19 Asia: All Eyes On China's Moves ..... 21 Middle East Security Overview 25 The Strategic Outlook For The 2010s ........ 25 The Middle East In A Global Context ........ 25
Syria Defence and Security Report Q4 2011 (From Issuu)
Page 1/4
ReportLinker
Find Industry reports, Company profiles and Market Statistics
>> Get this Report Now by email! Challenges And Threats To Stability And Security....... 25 Regional Power Dynamics ....... 36 Nuclear Proliferation ...... 38 External Powers..... 39 Scenarios For The Middle East 40 What If Assad's Regime Falls' Scenarios Assessed ..... 42 Turkey Facing Increasing Risks From Syria ....... 45 What If Assad's Regime Falls' Scenarios Assessed ..... 48 Security Risk Analysis .... 52 BMI's Security Ratings ... 52 Table: Middle East And Africa Defence And Security Ratings ....... 52 Table: Middle East And North Africa State Vulnerability To Terrorism Index . 53 City Terrorism Rating ..... 53 Table: BMI's Middle East And North Africa City Terrorism Index 54 Political Overview ... 56 Regional Outlook ... 59 Domestic Security Overview .... 68 Internal Security Situation ....... 68 External Security Situation ...... 69 Armed Forces And Government Spending ....... 72 Armed Forces ........ 72 International Deployments ....... 73 Weapons Of Mass Destruction . 73 Latest Developments ....... 74 Market Overview ..... 75 Imports . 76 Exports . 76 Procurement Trends And Developments .... 76 Industry Forecast Scenario ...... 78 Armed Forces ........ 78 Table: Syria's Armed Forces, 2002-2008 ('000 personnel, unless otherwise stated) . 78 Table: Syria's Available Manpower For Military Services, 2008-2015 (aged 16-49, unless otherwise stated) ...... 78 Defence Expenditure ....... 79 Table: Syrian Government Defence Expenditure, 2008-2015 79 Table: Syria's Defence Expenditure Scenario ' Changing % Of GDP, 2008-2015 (US$mn) ...... 79 Defence Trade ........ 81 Key Risks To BMI's Forecast Scenario ...... 81 Macroeconomic Outlook . 81 Table: Syria - Economic Activity, 2006-2015 ..... 83 Methodology .. 84 How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts 84 Defence Industry .... 84 City Terrorism Rating ..... 85 Table: Methodology ........ 87 Sources 88
Syria Defence and Security Report Q4 2011 (From Issuu)
Page 2/4
Find Industry reports, Company profiles and Market Statistics
ReportLinker
>> Get this Report Now by email! Fax Order Form To place an order via fax simply print this form, fill in the information below and fax the completed form to: ƒ ƒ
Europe, Middle East and Africa : + 33 4 37 37 15 56 Asia, Oceania and America : + 1 (805) 617 17 93
If you have any questions please visit http://www.reportlinker.com/notify/contact
Order Information Please verify that the product information is correct and select the format(s) you require. Syria Defence and Security Report Q4 2011
Product Formats Please select the product formats and the quantity you require. 1 User License--USD 530.00
Quantity: _____
3 User License--USD 689.00
Quantity: _____
5 User License--USD 795.00
Quantity: _____
Annual Subscription--USD 975.00
Quantity: _____
Department License--USD 1 060.00
Quantity: _____
Corporate License--USD 3 180.00
Quantity: _____
Contact Information Please enter all the information below in BLOCK CAPITALS
Title:
Mr
Mrs
Dr
Miss
Ms
Prof
First Name:
_____________________________ Last Name: __________________________________
Email Address:
__________________________________________________________________________
Job Title:
__________________________________________________________________________
Organization:
__________________________________________________________________________
Address:
__________________________________________________________________________
City:
__________________________________________________________________________
Postal / Zip Code:
__________________________________________________________________________
Country:
__________________________________________________________________________
Phone Number:
__________________________________________________________________________
Fax Number:
__________________________________________________________________________
Syria Defence and Security Report Q4 2011 (From Issuu)
Page 3/4
Find Industry reports, Company profiles and Market Statistics
ReportLinker
>> Get this Report Now by email! Payment Information Please indicate the payment method, you would like to use by selecting the appropriate box.
Payment by credit card
Card Number: ______________________________________________
Expiry Date
__________ / _________
CVV Number _____________________
Card Type (ex: Visa, Amex…) _________________________________
Payment by wire transfer
Crédit Mutuel RIB : 10278 07314 00020257701 89 BIC : CMCIFR2A IBAN : FR76 1027 8073 1400 0202 5770 189
Payment by check
UBIQUICK SAS 16 rue Grenette – 69002 LYON, FRANCE
Customer signature:
Please note that by ordering from Reportlinker you are agreeing to our Terms and Conditions at http://www.reportlinker.com/index/terms
Please fax this form to: Europe, Middle East and Africa : + 33 4 37 37 15 56
Syria Defence and Security Report Q4 2011 (From Issuu)
Asia, Oceania and America : + 1 (805) 617 17 93
Page 4/4