Gen Y - You'll Have to Wait

Page 1

Know Your Consumer.

What will they pay for?

What do they call home?

What adds value to your bottom line?

CONSUMER INSIGHTS SURVEY OVER

30,000

SURVEYED

NATIONWIDE SAMPLE

100+

QUESTIONS

Please visit www.WhatDoYouCallHome.com to participate in our Consumer Survey.


Gen Y

You’ll Have to Wait

You may think of tech-savvy Gen Y as contrarian, iPad-toting hipsters in search of super-green urban living, averse to all things suburban and unwalkable. Born between 1980 and the early 2000s, Gen Y looks poised to be the next big purchaser of homes and one that the homebuilding industry is eagerly anticipating. After all, they will quickly become the predominant generational group within the primary home buying age. BY GREGORY TSUJIMOTO, Manager

As a housing market researcher and member of Gen Y myself, I want to take a further look into what it will mean for community planners and builders. Surprisingly, we may not be that radical a departure from the norm.

WAIT FOR IT While the 25+ portion of Gen Y will grow significantly over the next three years, their anticipated influence will be delayed. The home buying delay for this generation is a result of three things:

1. STUDENT LOAN DEBT. With 40% of the 18-29 year old population with established credit saddled with student loan debt, homeownership is taking a back seat.

2. THE GREAT RECESSION. The persistent downturn that began in 2008 hit just as Gen Yers were coming of age, delaying the establishment of their careers, and leaving many graduates struggling on the front lines of high unemployment, with 9.7% of those 20-34 unemployed compared to 6.2% amongst older age groups.


3. A CULTURAL SHIFT.

“Gen Y is putting off major life choices like marriage and starting a family.”

For the above reasons along with other sociocultural influencers, Gen Y is putting off major life choices like marriage and starting a family. Compared to previous generations at comparable points, fewer members of Gen Y are married, and starting their own households is a more distant priority. This notable shift is exemplified in the chart below, which shows a nearly 10% decrease in the marriage rate of 20-34-year olds in just a six year span.

ANTICIPATING GEN Y Homeownership remains part of the American Dream across all life stages according to our Consumer Insights survey. What’s more, when the time comes, Gen Y will have more conventional preferences for homes than we expect. Though delayed, their goals are more similar to the previous generations’ than not. As they begin to enter their 30s and 40s, and eventually marry and start families, they will turn to the suburbs just as their parents did in search of affordable housing and more space. In contrast, urban housing options are often higher priced with monthly fees and smaller in size which will be challenging for these expanding households. While Gen Y will have similar overall housing preferences to past generations, it is a group of design-centric consumers. They will expect more efficient and thoughtful floor plans marked by multi-functionality, technology integration, and the cross-pollination of indoor and outdoor spaces. You’ll have to wait for them, but they will eventually be the promised surge in the housing market. Plan accordingly. WWW.REALESTATECONSULTING.COM


PROPRIETARY INDICES Housing Cycle Risk Index™: Our index of housing demand, supply and affordability fundamentals has foretold home price appreciation and depreciation by 1-3 years We are a leading US real estate research firm offering published research, custom consulting, and advisory services with a laser-sharp focus on the housing industry. We provide clarity and direction in the age of information overload to help our clients make better decisions in their business pursuits. Our team of more than 35 experienced housing analysts and is heavily networked with builders, developers and investors and are generating new relationships across the country everyday.

Burns Home Value Index™: Our home price index is 5 months more current than Case-Shiller and helped investors make decisions months ahead of the price increases that happened mid-year 2012 Burns Finished Lot Value Index™: Our land value index helps investors understand home builder market value in relation to book value Burns Affordability Index™: Our index is the only measure that allows you to compare affordability across geographies over time.

CONSULTING SERVICES >> >> >> >> >> >> >> >>

Strategic direction & planning Home builder operations & assessment Demand analyis Consumer research & focus groups Economic analysis & forecasting Litigation support & expert witness Financial modeling Project & product positioning

RESEARCH SERVICES

>> H ome builder, regional, metro market, apartment, and building product manufacturer analysis & forecast >> Exclusive client events >> Public builder call summaries >> Wekkly insight >> Presentations & webinars >> Consumer research >> Proprietary surveys

Our Locations

MARKET COVERAGE JOHN BURNS REAL ESTATE CONSULTING OFFICES

Atlanta | Chicago | Dallas | Irvine | New England | Sacramento | San Diego | West Palm Beach


Turn static files into dynamic content formats.

Create a flipbook
Issuu converts static files into: digital portfolios, online yearbooks, online catalogs, digital photo albums and more. Sign up and create your flipbook.