Financial Analysis - Nuance Communications, Inc. provides speech and imaging solutions for businesse

Page 1

30.04.2013

Company Analysis - Overview Ticker:

Nuance Communications Inc

NUAN US

Benchmark: S&P 500 INDEX (SPX)

NASDAQ GS: NUAN, Currency: USD

Currency: Sector: Information Technology

Industry: Software

Year:

Telephone 1-781-565-5000 Revenue (M) Website www.nuance.com No of Employees Address 1 Wayside Road Burlington, MA 01803 United States Share Price Performance in USD Price 19.14 1M Return 52 Week High 25.89 6M Return 52 Week Low 18.00 52 Wk Return 52 Wk Beta 1.60 YTD Return Credit Ratings Bloomberg S&P Moody's Fitch

Nuance Communications, Inc. provides speech and imaging solutions for businesses and consumers around the world. The Company's products include a speech recognizer, call steering, and a product that converts text into speech.

1'652 12'000 -5.2% -14.4% -21.7% -14.3%

IG8 BBBa3 -

Date Date Date

9/09 56.8x 21.0x 4.0x 2.0x 0.0%

9/10 70.8x 61.1x 20.8x 4.0x 2.0x 0.0%

9/11 52.7x 68.5x 24.9x 4.7x 2.5x 0.0%

9/12 26.3x 45.3x 23.0x 4.6x 2.8x -

9/13E 10.6x 8.5x 2.8x 2.1x -

9/14E 9.4x 7.6x 2.5x 1.9x -

9/15E 8.8x 7.1x 2.3x 1.8x 0.0%

9/09 Gross Margin 62.2 EBITDA Margin 22.4 Operating Margin 8.3 Profit Margin -2.0 Return on Assets -0.6 Return on Equity -1.1 Leverage and Coverage Ratios 9/09 Current Ratio 1.9 Quick Ratio 1.7 EBIT/Interest 1.7 Tot Debt/Capital 0.3 Tot Debt/Equity 0.4 Eff Tax Rate % 192.3

9/10 63.4 21.3 7.3 -1.7 -0.5 -0.9

9/11 62.1 20.3 7.4 2.9 1.0 1.6

9/12 63.4 23.0 11.7 12.5 4.2 7.9

9/13E 67.2 40.2 31.4 27.2 -0.2 6.9

9/14E 66.9 39.6 32.7 27.7 1.0 2.3

9/15E 65.6 39.6 36.1 29.2 -

9/10 2.2 1.9 2.0 0.3 0.4 -

9/11 1.8 1.6 2.7 0.3 0.3 -

9/12 1.8 1.6 2.3 0.4 0.8 -

11.02.2011 -

Outlook Outlook Outlook

Business Segments in USD Healthcare and Dictation Mobile and Enterprise Enterprise Imaging Acquisition related revenue

Sales (M) 669 508 332 228 -87

Sales (M) 1175 476

5%

STABLE STABLE -

13%

29% 36%

Valuation Ratios P/E EV/EBIT EV/EBITDA P/S P/B Div Yield Profitability Ratios %

Geographic Segments in USD United States International

18%

71% 28% Healthcare and Dictation Mobile and Enterprise Enterprise

United States

International

Imaging Acquisition related revenue

Current Capitalization in USD Common Shares Outstanding (M) Market Capitalization (M) Cash and ST Investments (M) Total Debt (M) Preferred Equity (M) LT Investments in Affiliate Companies (M) Investments (M) Enterprise Value (M)

Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |

312.1 6053.5 1005.3 2341.6 4.6 0.0 0.0 7394.4


Company Analysis - Analysts Ratings Nuance Communications Inc

15

40% 68%

74%

72%

72%

74%

72%

76%

76%

72% 53%

53%

20%

50%

10 5

0%

0 mai.12

juin.12

juil.12

août.12

sept.12

oct.12

Buy

Hold

nov.12

Sell

déc.12

Price

janv.13

févr.13

mars.13

avr.13

Target Price

Date

Buy

Hold

Sell

Date

30-Apr-13 29-Mar-13 28-Feb-13 31-Jan-13 31-Dec-12 30-Nov-12 31-Oct-12 28-Sep-12 31-Aug-12 31-Jul-12 29-Jun-12 31-May-12

50% 53% 53% 72% 76% 76% 72% 74% 72% 72% 74% 68%

39% 37% 37% 17% 18% 18% 17% 16% 17% 17% 16% 21%

11% 11% 11% 11% 6% 6% 11% 11% 11% 11% 11% 11%

30-Apr-13 29-Apr-13 26-Apr-13 25-Apr-13 24-Apr-13 23-Apr-13 22-Apr-13 19-Apr-13 18-Apr-13 17-Apr-13 16-Apr-13 15-Apr-13 12-Apr-13 11-Apr-13 10-Apr-13 9-Apr-13 8-Apr-13 5-Apr-13 4-Apr-13 3-Apr-13 2-Apr-13 1-Apr-13 29-Mar-13 28-Mar-13 27-Mar-13 26-Mar-13 25-Mar-13 22-Mar-13 21-Mar-13 20-Mar-13

Price Target Price 19.14 23.30 22.77 22.75 22.27 21.35 21.04 20.39 20.24 20.69 21.12 20.82 21.61 21.65 21.60 20.96 20.27 20.52 20.81 21.06 21.33 20.18 20.18 20.18 20.11 19.99 19.81 19.86 19.86 19.50

26.33 26.33 26.33 26.33 26.33 26.33 26.33 26.46 26.46 26.46 26.46 26.46 26.46 26.46 26.46 26.46 26.46 26.46 26.46 26.46 26.46 26.46 26.46 26.46 26.46 26.46 26.46 26.46 26.46 26.46

Broker

Analyst

Oppenheimer & Co Wells Fargo Securities, LLC Raymond James Morgan Stanley Mizuho Securities USA Inc Stifel Avondale Partners LLC B Riley & Company, Inc Goldman Sachs Needham & Co FBR Capital Markets Craig-Hallum Capital Group LLC Northland Securities Inc Canaccord Genuity Corp Piper Jaffray EVA Dimensions Deutsche Bank Wedbush Wedge Partners

SHAUL EYAL GRAY W POWELL TAVIS C MCCOURT JENNIFER LOWE JOANNA MAKRIS TOM RODERICK JOHN F BRIGHT DANIEL CUMMINS GREG DUNHAM SCOTT ZELLER DANIEL H IVES JEFF VAN RHEE MICHAEL JAMES LATIMORE RICHARD DAVIS JR MARK R MURPHY ANDREW S ZAMFOTIS NANDAN AMLADI SCOTT P SUTHERLAND BRIAN BLAIR

Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |

Recommendation outperform market perform Under Review Overwt/In-Line buy hold market outperform neutral neutral/neutral hold outperform hold outperform buy neutral sell buy underperform no rating system

Wedge Partners

20

Wedbush

60%

25

Deutsche Bank

39%

EVA Dimensions

37%

Piper Jaffray

37%

Canaccord Genuity Corp

30 17%

Northland Securities Inc

11%

FBR Capital Markets

11%

Craig-Hallum Capital Group LLC

11%

11%

Needham & Co

17%

6% 18%

Goldman Sachs

16%

6% 18%

B Riley & Company, Inc

17%

11%

Avondale Partners LLC

17%

11%

Stifel

16%

11%

Mizuho Securities USA Inc

21%

11%

Morgan Stanley

80%

11%

Raymond James

11%

Brokers' Target Price 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 Wells Fargo Securities, LLC

35

100%

Oppenheimer & Co

Buy and Sell Recommendations vs Price and Target Price

Price

Broker Recommendation

Target price in USD

Target

Date

30.00

30-Apr-13 30-Apr-13 22-Apr-13 3-Apr-13 3-Apr-13 2-Apr-13 1-Apr-13 20-Feb-13 8-Feb-13 8-Feb-13 8-Feb-13 8-Feb-13 8-Feb-13 7-Feb-13 7-Feb-13 15-Jan-13 15-Nov-12 7-Aug-12 15-Mar-12

28.00 26.00 35.00 21.00 22.00 28.00 24.00 26.00 26.00 22.00 30.00 19.00


30.04.2013

Nuance Communications Inc

Company Analysis - Ownership Ownership Type

Ownership Statistics Shares Outstanding (M) Float Short Interest (M) Short Interest as % of Float Days to Cover Shorts Institutional Ownership Retail Ownership Insider Ownership

97%

Institutional Ownership

Retail Ownership

Insider Ownership

Pricing data is in USD Top 20 Owners: Holder Name WARBURG PINCUS LLC WARBURG PINCUS LLC T ROWE PRICE ASSOCIA ICAHN ASSOCIATES COR FMR LLC VANGUARD GROUP INC AMERIPRISE FINANCIAL BLACKROCK PRIMECAP MANAGEMENT FRANKLIN RESOURCES ALLIANZ ASSET MANAGE INVESCO LTD STATE STREET RICCI PAUL A WESTFIELD CAPITAL MG FAIRPOINTE CAPITAL L STERLING CAPITAL MAN PIONEER INVESTMENT M LUTHER KING CAPITAL LORD ABBETT & CO LLC

United States Unknown Country Britain Netherlands Luxembourg Japan Bermuda Others

86.48% 2.49% 2.05% 1.82% 1.29% 1.05% 0.90% 3.93%

Institutional Ownership Distribution Investment Advisor Private Equity Hedge Fund Manager Individual Others

67.64% 13.78% 12.34% 2.49% 3.74%

RICCI PAUL A BEAUDOIN THOMAS LINWOOD CHAMBERS STEVEN G NELSON WILLIAM KENNET DILLIONE JANET D

2% 2%

1%

1% 1% 4%

2%

87%

United States

Unknown Country

Britain

Netherlands

Luxembourg

Japan

Bermuda

Others

TOP 20 ALL

Position 53'004'254 43'058'531 29'398'004 29'329'291 17'851'319 12'376'660 11'852'538 11'389'347 10'227'210 9'958'317 6'623'224 5'228'721 4'667'315 4'125'444 3'948'645 3'843'339 3'549'830 3'545'481 2'994'953 2'812'375

Position Change 0 -9'945'723 -6'904'115 0 2'757'603 914'836 -214'677 730'503 -715'000 1'280'271 206'337 -21'414 259'356 0 338'110 104'968 3'251'234 593'927 -6'741 58'903

Market Value 1'014'501'422 824'140'283 562'677'797 561'362'630 341'674'246 236'889'272 226'857'577 217'992'102 195'748'799 190'602'187 126'768'507 100'077'720 89'332'409 78'960'998 75'577'065 73'561'508 67'943'746 67'860'506 57'323'400 53'828'858

% of Ownership 16.76% 13.61% 9.30% 9.27% 5.64% 3.91% 3.75% 3.60% 3.23% 3.15% 2.09% 1.65% 1.48% 1.30% 1.25% 1.22% 1.12% 1.12% 0.95% 0.89%

Report Date

Position

Position Change

Market Value

% of Ownership

Report Date

31.12.2012 14.03.2013 31.12.2012 20.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.12.2012 26.04.2013 31.12.2012 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 29.04.2013 29.04.2013 24.04.2013 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.03.2013 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012

Source 13F 13D 13F 13G ULT-AGG 13F 13F ULT-AGG 13F ULT-AGG ULT-AGG ULT-AGG ULT-AGG Form 4 13F 13F 13F 13F 13F 13F

24.04.2013 01.04.2013 17.12.2012 15.04.2013 15.04.2013

Form 4 Form 4 Form 4 Form 4 Form 4

Top 5 Insiders: Holder Name

Geographic Ownership

Geographic Ownership Distribution

1%2%

312.1 83.9% 24.6 9.39% 4.16 96.34% 1.20% 2.46%

4'125'444 617'331 492'753 322'210 295'160

-5'000 -16'559 -16'565

78'960'998 11'815'715 9'431'292 6'167'099 5'649'362

1.30% 0.20% 0.16% 0.10% 0.09%

Source

Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |

Institutional Ownership

Country UNITED STATES UNITED STATES UNITED STATES UNITED STATES UNITED STATES UNITED STATES UNITED STATES UNITED STATES UNITED STATES UNITED STATES GERMANY UNITED STATES n/a UNITED STATES UNITED STATES UNITED STATES UNITED STATES UNITED STATES UNITED STATES

2%

4%

12%

14%

68%

Investment Advisor

Private Equity

Individual

Others

Hedge Fund Manager


Company Analysis - Financials I/IV Nuance Communications Inc Financial information is in USD (M) Periodicity:

Fiscal Year

Equivalent Estimates 9/02

9/03

9/04

9/05

9/06

9/07

9/08

9/09

9/10

9/11

9/12

9/13E

9/14E

9/15E

107 16

135 26

131 42

232 60

389 108

602 185

868 316

950 360

1'119 409

1'319 500

1'652 605

2'160

2'444

2'605

Gross Income - Selling, General & Admin Expenses (Research & Dev Costs)

90 83 28

109 112 34

89 96 26

172 163 39

280 273 59

417 378 80

553 510 115

591 512 117

710 628 152

819 722 179

1'047 853 225

1'451

1'636

1'709

Operating Income - Interest Expense - Foreign Exchange Losses (Gains) - Net Non-Operating Losses (Gains)

8 0 0 1

-3 1 0 2

-7 0 0 1

9 2

7 18

79 47 0 11

81 41 0 41

97 37 0 31

679

799

941

-3

42 55 0 3

193 85

6

39 37 0 -6

Pretax Income - Income Tax Expense

7 0

-6 -0

-8 1

1 7

-7 15

8 23

-16 15

21 40

-1 18

30 -8

65 -142

628

750

858

Income Before XO Items - Extraordinary Loss Net of Tax - Minority Interests

6 0 0

-6 0 0

-9 0 0

-5

-22 1

-14 0 0

-30 0 0

-19 0 0

-19 0 0

38 0 0

207

(0.09)

(0.05)

(0.13)

(0.08)

(0.14)

(0.08)

(0.07)

0.12

0.65

23 0.20

45 0.24

65 0.32 0.00

134 0.56 0.00

217 0.79 0.00

259 0.86 0.00

283 0.90 0.00 0.0

381 1.19

589 1.81

676 2.03

761 2.17 0.00 0.00

869

968

1'032

Income Statement Revenue - Cost of Goods Sold

43

Diluted EPS Before XO Items

0.09

(0.07)

Net Income Adjusted* EPS Adjusted Dividends Per Share Payout Ratio %

19 0.25 0.00 0.0

11 0.12 0.00

Total Shares Outstanding Diluted Shares Outstanding

63 73

103 79

106 104

157 119

170 164

193 176

229 210

277 254

298 287

309 316

312 321

EBITDA

21

12

6

27

46

89

141

213

239

268

380

0.00

*Net income excludes extraordinary gains and losses and one-time charges.

Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |


Company Analysis - Financials II/IV Periodicity:

9/02

9/03

9/04

9/05

9/06

9/07

9/08

9/09

9/10

9/11

9/12

73.488 174.901993 263.321014 421.615997 23 72 112 184 7 24 3 37 70 131 210 0 0 7 8 6 9 14 17

515.283 262 0 204 7 43

795.827 527 0 200 9 61

841.642 517 5 218 9 94

854.927 447 31 280 11 85

1701.306 1'130 0 381 11 179

2'704 0 118 65 53 2'650

2'928 28 149 87 62 2'838

3'240 0 192 113 78 3'162

4'098 0 255 139 116 3'982

9/13E

9/14E

9/15E

9.25

9.99

10.55

Balance Sheet Total Current Assets + Cash & Near Cash Items + Short Term Investments + Accounts & Notes Receivable + Inventories + Other Current Assets Total Long-Term Assets + Long Term Investments Gross Fixed Assets Accumulated Depreciation + Net Fixed Assets + Other Long Term Assets

40.429 94.6790009 19 43 0 0 17 40 1 0 3 11 103 0 9 7 3 100

307 0 16 9 7 300

319 17 20 12 8 294

582

972

1'751

31 17 14 568

55 24 31 941

73 35 38 1'714

2'331 0 95 49 46 2'284

24 7 3 13

50 7 1 42

46 8 0 37

163 17 28 118

212 28 4 180

257 56 7 194

382 32 7 343

419 60 7 353

382 79 8 296

475 83 7 385

965 113 380 471

1 0 1

48 28 20

45 28 18

80 0 80

446 350 96

1'038 900 138

1'040 894 145

1'037 849 188

1'090 851 239

1'127 853 274

2'088 1'736 352

24 5 0 270 -155

99 5 0 464 -166

91 5 0 476 -179

243 5

658 5

700 -190

773 -201

1'295 5 0 1'078 -205

1'421 5 0 1'659 -238

1'456 5 0 2'309 -271

1'473 5 0 2'582 -290

1'602 5 0 2'746 -258

3'052 5 0 2'927 -185

Total Shareholders Equity

119

303

302

515

577

878

1'425

2'043

2'297

2'493

2'747

Total Liabilities & Equity

144

402

393

757

1'235

2'173

2'846

3'499

3'770

4'095

5'799

Book Value Per Share Tangible Book Value Per Share

1.81 0.28

2.91 0.01

2.81 0.06

3.26 -0.26

3.36 -2.04

4.52 -3.97

6.19 -3.58

7.36 -2.02

7.69 -1.58

8.06 -1.91

8.79 -3.59

Total Current Liabilities + Accounts Payable + Short Term Borrowings + Other Short Term Liabilities Total Long Term Liabilities + Long Term Borrowings + Other Long Term Borrowings Total Liabilities + Long Preferred Equity + Minority Interest + Share Capital & APIC + Retained Earnings & Other Equity

Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |


Company Analysis - Financials III/IV Periodicity:

9/02

9/03

9/04

9/05

9/06

9/07

9/08

9/09

9/10

9/11

9/12

9/13E

9/14E

9/15E

Net Income + Depreciation & Amortization + Other Non-Cash Adjustments + Changes in Non-Cash Capital

6 13 1 -8

-6 15 2 -6

-9 13 2 0

-5 18 4 -1

-23 38 38 9

-14 50 65 5

-30 99 83 44

-19 134 104 40

-19 157 125 33

38 171 144 4

207 187 49 30

-10

114

206

Cash From Operating Activities + Disposal of Fixed Assets + Capital Expenditures + Increase in Investments + Decrease in Investments + Other Investing Activities

12 0 -2 0 0 -4

5 0 -3 0 0 27

6 0 0 -25 0 -0

16 0 -5

62 0 -8 0 0 -362

106 0 -13 0 0 -565

196 0 -18 0 0 -428

259 0 -20 0 0 -165

296 0 -26 0 0 -290

357 0 -46 0 0 -380

473 0 -63 0 0 -862

-62

-59

-85

Cash From Investing Activities + Dividends Paid + Change in Short Term Borrowings + Increase in Long Term Borrowings + Decrease in Long Term Borrowings + Increase in Capital Stocks + Decrease in Capital Stocks + Other Financing Activities

-6 0 0 0 0 8 -7 -3

24 0 0 0 -11 10 -3 -2

-25 0 0 0 -1 7 -0 -3

-45

-578 0 0 551 -18 33 -6 -17

-446 0 0 0 -19 336 -1 11

-185 0 0 0 -16 216 -0 -8

-316 0 0 0 -18 43 -1 -15

-426 0 0 0 -18 54 0 -37

-924 0

-0 80 -0 -2

-370 0 0 346 -14 32 -1 -14

1'365 -15 24 -200 -40

Cash From Financing Activities

-2

-6

3

77

349

543

327

191

9

-1

1'134

5

24

-16

49

41

72

77

265

-10

-69

683

10

2

6

12

54

94

178

239

270

312

410

474

554

739

10 10 0.15

-8 0.03

5 0.06

5 11 0.11

386 0.33

33 627 0.53

159 0.85

196 223 0.94

252 0.94

294 1.03

1'760 1.34

Cash Flows

Net Changes in Cash Free Cash Flow (CFO-CAPEX) Free Cash Flow To Firm Free Cash Flow To Equity Free Cash Flow per Share

-40

Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |


Company Analysis - Financials IV/IV Periodicity:

9/02

9/03

9/04

9/05

9/06

9/07

9/08

9/09

9/10

9/11

9/12

9/13E

9/14E

9/15E

Valuation Ratios Price Earnings EV to EBIT EV to EBITDA Price to Sales Price to Book Dividend Yield

20.8x 41.7x 15.3x 3.3x 2.9x 0.0%

44.3x

24.2x 83.3x 28.1x 2.5x 1.6x

29.2x 229.3x 35.9x 3.4x 2.4x

128.7x 114.5x 50.2x 5.7x 4.3x 0.0%

14.0x 81.1x 24.3x 2.9x 2.0x 0.0%

70.8x 61.1x 20.8x 4.0x 2.0x 0.0%

52.7x 68.5x 24.9x 4.7x 2.5x 0.0%

26.3x 45.3x 23.0x 4.6x 2.8x

10.6x

9.4x

8.8x

56.8x 21.0x 4.0x 2.0x 0.0%

43.0x 3.1x 1.8x 0.0%

68.1x 3.2x 1.5x 0.0%

8.4x 2.8x 2.1x

7.6x 2.5x 1.9x

7.1x 2.3x 1.8x 0.0%

Profitability Ratios Gross Margin EBITDA Margin Operating Margin Profit Margin Return on Assets Return on Equity

84.6% 19.5% 7.2% 5.9% 4.4% 5.6%

80.7% 9.2% -2.0% -4.1% -2.0% -2.7%

68.1% 4.7% -5.5% -7.2% -2.4% -3.1%

74.2% 11.8% 4.0% -2.3% -0.9% -1.3%

72.2% 11.7% 1.8% -5.9% -2.3% -4.2%

69.3% 14.7% 6.5% -2.3% -0.8% -1.9%

63.7% 16.3% 4.9% -3.5% -1.2% -2.6%

62.2% 22.4% 8.3% -2.0% -0.6% -1.1%

63.4% 21.3% 7.3% -1.7% -0.5% -0.9%

62.1% 20.3% 7.4% 2.9% 1.0% 1.6%

63.4% 23.0% 11.7% 12.5% 4.2% 7.9%

67.2% 40.2% 31.4% 27.2% -0.2% 6.9%

66.9% 39.6% 32.7% 27.7% 1.0% 2.3%

65.6% 39.6% 36.1% 29.2%

Leverage & Coverage Ratios Current Ratio Quick Ratio Interest Coverage Ratio (EBIT/I) Tot Debt/Capital Tot Debt/Equity

1.71 1.53 20.72 0.03 0.03

1.88 1.64 -3.49 0.09 0.09

1.61 1.47 -21.15 0.09 0.09

1.07 1.02 5.63 0.05 0.05

1.24 1.15 0.41 0.38 0.61

1.64 1.55 1.07 0.51 1.03

1.35 1.22 0.77 0.39 0.63

1.90 1.73 1.67 0.30 0.42

2.20 1.93 1.99 0.27 0.37

1.80 1.60 2.65 0.26 0.34

1.76 1.57 2.27 0.44 0.77

Others Asset Turnover Accounts Receivable Turnover Accounts Payable Turnover Inventory Turnover

0.75 7.20 2.77 18.79

0.50 4.71 3.53 31.32

0.33 3.41 5.46 104.32

0.40 4.38 4.72 174.70

0.39 3.88 5.08 30.43

0.35 3.54 4.46 24.97

0.35 4.20 7.22 41.63

0.30 4.72 7.92 45.87

0.31 5.36 5.93 47.81

0.34 5.30 6.23 50.10

0.33 4.99 6.18 53.24

Ratio Analysis

Effective Tax Rate

3.9%

488.3%

265.1%

192.3%

Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |


Company Analysis - Peers Comparision NUANCE COMMUNICA Latest Fiscal Year:

MICROSOFT CORP

IBM

ADOBE SYS INC

GOOGLE INC-CL A

CISCO SYSTEMS

09/2012 25.89 13.09.2012 18.00 01.03.2013 15'838'193

06/2012 32.84 25.04.2013 26.26 05.12.2012 19'604'178

12/2012 215.90 15.03.2013 181.85 12.07.2012 1'723'443

11/2012 45.59 29.04.2013 29.52 12.07.2012 1'038'559

12/2012 844.00 06.03.2013 556.52 14.06.2012 970'187

07/2012 21.98 11.03.2013 14.96 25.07.2012 6'328'991

Current Price (4/dd/yy)

19.14

32.76

198.79

44.99

819.55

52-Week High % Change

-26.1% 6.3% 312.1

-0.2% 24.8% 8'381.0

-7.9% 9.3% 1'117.4

-1.3% 52.4% 494.1

-2.9% 47.3% 330.0

52-Week High 52-Week High Date 52-Week Low 52-Week Low Date Daily Volume

52-Week Low % Change Total Common Shares (M)

Market Capitalization Total Debt Preferred Stock Minority Interest Cash and Equivalents

Enterprise Value

OMTOOL LTD

IRIS

SYMANTEC CORP

12/2007 6.70 16.05.2012 3.10 08.03.2013 400

12/2012 44.52 04.04.2013 26.60 25.07.2012 200

03/2012 24.91 08.03.2013 13.06 24.07.2012 2'746'852

21.03

3.30

43.20

24.28

-4.3% 40.5% 5'298.0

-50.7% 6.5% 4.6

-3.0% 62.4% 1.8

-2.5% 86.0% 724.0

6'052

273'582

221'549

22'582

271'278

112'105

16

81

16'734

2'115.9 4.6 1'129.8

11'944.0 63'040.0

33'269.0 124.0 11'129.0

1'509.8 3'538.4

5'537.0 49'557.0

16'328.0 15.0 48'716.0

1.6 2.3

5.5 11.0

2'039.0 78.0 3'211.0

74

15'558

7'388

213'294

243'076

20'466

224'849

82'030

1'651.5 1'813.8 2'160.5 2'443.6 4.7x 4.3x 3.3x 2.8x 380.4 372.2 869.2 967.6 20.3x 20.7x 8.1x 7.0x 0.95 0.80 1.81 2.03 23.8x 23.8x 10.6x 9.4x 25.2% 17.3% 41.8% 33.8% 20.5% 40.2% 39.6%

73'723.0 76'012.0 78'899.8 84'767.9 2.4x 2.3x 2.6x 2.2x 30'923.0 30'645.0 32'214.4 35'428.6 5.8x 5.8x 6.3x 5.3x 2.73 2.68 2.77 3.08 12.2x 12.2x 11.8x 10.6x 5.4% 7.5% 3.3% 9.1% 40.3% 40.8% 41.8%

104'507.0 103'242.0 103'588.6 106'372.5 2.5x 2.5x 2.4x 2.3x 25'119.0 25'121.0 27'868.5 29'375.5 10.3x 9.4x 8.8x 8.3x 15.25 15.52 16.69 18.34 12.8x 12.8x 11.9x 10.8x (2.3%) (0.7%) 0.1% 6.1% 24.0% 26.9% 27.6%

4'403.7 4'366.3 4'118.5 4'512.0 4.1x 4.1x 4.8x 4.4x 1'477.0 1'296.0 1'204.0 1'438.3 12.1x 13.8x 16.6x 13.9x 1.62 1.41 1.45 1.80 31.9x 31.9x 31.0x 25.1x 4.4% 3.1% 0.7% 4.7% 29.7% 29.2% 31.9%

50'175.0 54'703.0 47'546.3 55'173.4 4.3x 3.9x 4.5x 3.5x 15'722.0 16'160.0 21'383.4 25'240.6 13.7x 13.3x 9.9x 7.7x 34.02 34.99 46.17 53.26 23.4x 23.4x 17.8x 15.4x 32.4% 22.2% 15.7% 21.0% 29.5% 45.0% 45.7%

46'061.0 47'252.0 48'677.8 51'367.1 1.8x 1.7x 2.1x 1.8x 12'971.0 13'372.0 15'211.6 15'691.9 6.4x 6.2x 6.8x 5.8x 1.60 1.48 2.00 2.11 14.2x 14.2x 10.5x 10.0x 6.6% 4.4% 18.4% 5.1% 28.3% 31.2% 30.5%

77.2% 43.5% 6.292x 3.591x 4.460x

18.0% 15.3% 0.463x -1.967x 81.376x

176.4% 63.7% 1.324x 0.881x 52.660x

22.7% 18.5% 1.192x -1.633x 21.886x

7.7% 7.2% 0.318x -2.873x 187.167x

31.8% 24.1% 1.218x -2.250x 21.763x

BB11.02.2011 Ba3 06.08.2012

AAA 22.09.2008 Aaa 11.05.2009

AA30.05.2012 Aa3 23.11.2010

BBB+ 25.01.2010 Baa1 25.01.2010

AA 19.11.2012 Aa2 16.05.2011

A+ 10.02.2006 A1 10.02.2006

15 Valuation

Total Revenue

EV/Total Revenue

EBITDA

EV/EBITDA

EPS

P/E

Revenue Growth EBITDA Growth EBITDA Margin

LFY LTM CY+1 CY+2 LFY LTM CY+1 CY+2 LFY LTM CY+1 CY+2 LFY LTM CY+1 CY+2 LFY LTM CY+1 CY+2 LFY LTM CY+1 CY+2 1 Year 5 Year 1 Year 5 Year LTM CY+1 CY+2

16.5 16.2 0.5x 0.5x (1.6) (0.5) -5.2x -0.54 -0.27 20.0% 3.4% 67.7% (2.9%) -

100.0 100.0 123.0 129.0 0.6x 0.4x 7.7 8.6 8.7 9.6 7.3x 6.5x 1.91 1.99 2.73 3.10 21.7x 22.6x 15.8x 13.9x (17.6%) 1.5% 7.5% 6.3% 7.1% 7.5%

6'730.0 6'839.0 6'885.0 6'998.0 1.7x 1.7x 2.1x 1.9x 1'795.0 1'834.0 2'283.2 2'458.5 6.3x 6.2x 6.3x 5.4x 1.20 1.22 1.71 1.93 19.9x 19.9x 14.2x 12.6x 8.7% 3.4% 8.9% 5.1% 26.8% 33.2% 35.1%

9.1% 8.3% 0.543x -0.786x 30.085x

40.0% 28.3% 1.677x -0.641x 15.609x

FALSE FALSE FALSE FALSE FALSE

FALSE FALSE FALSE FALSE FALSE

FALSE FALSE FALSE FALSE FALSE

FALSE FALSE FALSE FALSE FALSE

FALSE FALSE FALSE FALSE FALSE

FALSE FALSE FALSE FALSE FALSE

-

BBB 13.09.2010 Baa2 13.09.2010

FALSE FALSE FALSE FALSE

FALSE FALSE FALSE FALSE

FALSE FALSE FALSE FALSE

FALSE FALSE FALSE FALSE

FALSE FALSE FALSE FALSE

FALSE FALSE FALSE FALSE

Leverage/Coverage Ratios Total Debt / Equity % Total Debt / Capital % Total Debt / EBITDA Net Debt / EBITDA EBITDA / Int. Expense

203.3% 67.0% -9.390x

Credit Ratings S&P LT Credit Rating S&P LT Credit Rating Date Moody's LT Credit Rating Moody's LT Credit Rating Date

-

Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |


Turn static files into dynamic content formats.

Create a flipbook
Issuu converts static files into: digital portfolios, online yearbooks, online catalogs, digital photo albums and more. Sign up and create your flipbook.