Tussen Colloquium

Page 1

Sebastiaan

Urban and Landscape Design

www.sebastiaanbrons.nl



Energy resources demand over time

100

80

60 % Gas 40 Oil Peat 20 Wood

Coal Other

0 1600

1650

1700

1750

1800 Year

1850

1900

1950

2000


Worldwide energy consumption Worldwide Energy Consumption

Geothermal electricity = 0.07% Solar PV power = 0.06% Nuclear = 2.7%

Wind power = 0.51% Biomass electricity = 0.28% Biodiesel = 0.17% Ethanol = 0.50%

Hydropower = 3.34%

Renewables = 16.7%

Biomass heat = 11.44%

Geothermal heat = 0.12% Solar hotwater = 0.17%

Fossil fuels = 80.6%

Data from source: Renewable Energy Policy Network, 2010

Total

Renewables

Fossil fuels = 80.6% Renewables = 16.7% Nuclear = 2.7%

Biomass heat = 11.44% Solar hotwater = 0.17% Geothermal heat = 0.12% Hydropower = 3.34% Ethanol = 0.50% Biodiesel = 0.17% Biomass electricity = 0.28% Wind power = 0.51% Geothermal electricity = 0.07% Solar PV power = 0.06% Solar CSP = 0.002% Ocean power = 0.001%


Energy consumption Netherlands

Conversion losses Built environment 15%

20% gas

61%

electricity other 29%

33% 6% 0%

Industry

33% Transport 3% Agriculture

TotalEnergy Energy consumption per sector (1150 Total consumption perTWh*/y) sector (1150 TWh/y) *One terawatt-hour is equal to a sustained power of approximately 114 megawatts** for a period of one year. One one terawatt-hour is equal to 1146 MW.MW for one year **In comparison big windturbine of has a sustained power of approximately and one turbine approximately 6MW

Amsterdam produces enough waste heat to provide heat for the whole city. (Rotterdam produces enough waste heat to provide heat for the entire Randstad) Source: Young Innovators: Jeroen Atteveld, Dingeman Deijs (2015)

100%


Electricity consumption Amsterdam

Source: DRO (2015), Heren 5 architecten (Jeroen Atteveld) (2015); edited by myself


Gas consumption Amsterdam

Source: DRO (2015), Heren 5 architecten (Jeroen Atteveld) (2015); edited by myself


Ambition Europe

80-95% CO2 reduction by 2050.


Ambition Netherlands

In 2023, at least 16% of all energy must be sustainable. In the long term the Netherlands has to make the transition to a low-CO2 energy economy.


Ambition Amsterdam

40% CO2 reduction by 2025 and 75% in 2040, compared to 1990.


Why transition?

Amsterdam climate in 2071

Independence from Russia

Rising sea levels Image 2, 3, 4 source: Young Innovators: Jeroen Atteveld, Dingeman Deijs (2015)

Natural gas is getting expensive

Fossil fuels are getting scarce


What is sustainable energy? What is sustainable energy?

Reduce energy demand

Reduce energy demand

Now

?

?

Sustainable production

Sustainable production

?

Goal

Efficient fossil production

Efficient fossil production

Source: http://www.dingemandeijs.nl/index.php?/warmsterdam/

Energy exchange

Energy exchange


Trias Energetica?

dem ergy uce en Red

bles

ewa

f ren

o Use

and

Reduc

Effi

Efficient fossil use

Trias Energetica


Quattuor Energetica

Use of renewables

Efficient fossil use

Smart energy exchange

s

able

Reduce energy demand

Quattuor Energetica


rgy demand

Change

Now production

Goal

sil production

hange

Source: http://www.dingemandeijs.nl/index.php?/warmsterdam/


Power plants Amsterdam

Source: DRO (2015), Heren 5 architecten (Jeroen Atteveld) (2015); edited by myself


Potential Amsterdam (electricity production)

Source: DRO (2015), Heren 5 architecten (Jeroen Atteveld) (2015); edited by myself


Potential Amsterdam (waste heat)

Source: DRO (2015), Heren 5 architecten (Jeroen Atteveld) (2015); edited by myself


Potential Amsterdam (thermal storage)

Source: DRO (2015), Heren 5 architecten (Jeroen Atteveld) (2015); edited by myself


Why has this not been done yet?


Potential energy from the sun

Now in use: 0,02 PJ Potential now: 3,75 PJ

Theoretical potential: 596,9 PJ Sun Potential Amsterdam: 1.042.000 MWh


Potential sustainable energy Amsterdam Sun Potential

Wind Potential

Heat Potential

Now in use: 0,02 PJ

Now in use: 0,5 PJ

Now in use: 0 PJ

Potential now: 3,75 PJ

Potential now: 1,6 PJ

Potential now: 0,39 PJ

Theoretical potential: 596,9 PJ

Theoretical potential: 14,6 PJ

Theoretical potential: 11,6 PJ

Sun Potential Amsterdam: 1.042.000 MWh

Wind Potential Amsterdam: 445.000 MWh

Cold Potential

Hot/Cold Storage open system potential

Hot/Cold Storage closed system potential

Now in use: 0 PJ

Now in use: 0,64 PJ

Now in use: 0 PJ

Potential now: 0,25 PJ

Potential now: 54 PJ

Potential now: 4 PJ

Theoretical potential: 10 PJ

Theoretical potential: 237 PJ

Theoretical potential: 20,7 PJ

Geothermal Potential

Waste heat potential

Waste potential

Now in use: 0 PJ

Now in use: 0 PJ

Now in use: 0,3 PJ

Potential now: 9,31PJ

Potential now: 1,31 PJ

Potential now: 0,3 PJ

Theoretical potential: 10,96 PJ

Theoretical potential: 3,92 PJ

Theoretical potential: 1,14PJ

Source: Energieatlas Amsterdam Zuidoost, Gemeente Source: Energieatlas Amsterdam Zuidoost, Gemeente Amsterdam (april, 2014)Amsterdam (april, 2014), edited by myself

Waste Potential Amsterdam: 77.778 MWh


Final energy output sun

Solar insolation Amsterdam

Only rooftops

Orientation / suitable

Efficiency solar panel

N 100% 597 PJ

15% 89 PJ

6% 41 PJ

1% 3,75 PJ


Sustainable energy assumptions Solar insolation Amsterdam

Only rooftops

Orientation / suitable

Efficiency solar panel

Hydrous sand layers

Flow and radiation

Limited range

Near buildings

1% 3,75 PJ

100% 475 PJ

50% 237 PJ

33% 157 PJ

23% 108 PJ

Deep heat source

Heat exchanger

Heat loss distribution

90% 11,4 PJ

75% 9,3 PJ

N 100% 597 PJ

15% 89 PJ

Wimdturbines Amsterdam

Minimal distance buildings

6% 41 PJ

Windstrategy municipality Amsterdam

300 m

3 km

100% 14,6 PJ

55% 8 PJ

11% 1,6 PJ

100% 12,7 PJ

Waste production Amsterdam

Efficiency waste powerplant

Energy production

Waste heat

Collect

Heat exchanger

Seasonal storage

100% 4 PJ

50% 2 PJ

25% 1 PJ

12,5% 0,5 PJ

Heatpump

+

100% 5 PJ

27% 1,6 PJ

26% 1,5 PJ 1% 0,1 PJ

Source: Energieatlas Amsterdam Zuidoost, Gemeente Amsterdam (april, 2014), edited by myself

17% 0,7 PJ


Capital costs per energy resource

Solar PV (Rooftop residential)

$3500

Solar PV (Rooftop Commercial & Industry)

$2500

$4500

$3000

Solar thermal with storage

Alternative energy

$7000

Fuel Cell

$3800

Microturbine

$2300

$7000 $3800

Geothermal

$4600

Biomass

$3000

Wind

$1400

Diesel generator

$500

Gas peaking

Conventional energy

$9800

$7250

$4000

$1800

$800

$800

$1000

IGCC

$4000

$8000

(integrated gasification combined cycle)

$5400

Nuclear Coal

$3000

Gas combined cycle

$1000

$0 Data from source: http://www.lazard.com/

$8200

$1000

$8400

$1300

$2000

$3000

$4000

$5000

$6000

Capital Cost ($/kW)

$7000

$8000

$9000

$10000


Levelized costs per energy resource *LCOE Levelized Cost of Energy consists of: -Investments -Operations/maintenance -Fuel -Electricity generation -Life of System

Solar PV (Rooftop residential)

$180

Solar PV (Rooftop Commercial & Industry)

Alternative energy

$126

Solar thermal with storage

$118

Fuel Cell

$115

Microturbine

$89

Biomass

$87

Wind

$37

$177 $130 $176

$102

Geothermal

$265

$135 $142 $116

$81

Diesel generator

$297

Gas peaking

Conventional energy

$179

IGCC

$102

$332

$230 $171

(integrated gasification combined cycle)

$92

Nuclear Coal

$66

Gas combined cycle

$0 Data from source: http://www.lazard.com/

$132 $151

$61

$87

$50

$100

$150

$200

$250

$300

LCOE* ($/MWh)

$350

$400

$450

$500


Necessity + Ambitions + Potential + Final output + Costs =


Where to begin?


Housing Corporations


Home ownership


Amsterdam

Source: DRO (2015), Heren 5 architecten (Jeroen Atteveld) (2015); edited by myself


Total / Average consumption

Average Electricity Consumption - Re

Average Electricity Consumption - Co

Average Gas Consumption - Residen

Average consumption: Total / known connections (gas/electricity) Most consumption

Least consumption No data Protected data

Source: www.energieinbeeld.nl through Laura Hakvoort (Gemeente Amsterdam, 2015)

Average Gas Consumption - Comme


Consumption vs Potential Potential

Source Efficiency (%) = Amount (GWh)

3 km

75% = 2582 GWh

1% = 1042 GWh

2014 consumption

4545 GWh Electricity

2014 consumption 780 777 453 m3 Gas

= 229 GWh

17% = 195 GWh 11% = 444 GWh

1% = 28 GWh

26% = 417 GWh

Total: 1903 GWh

Electricity potential vs. Heat potential

Total: 2805 GWh


Energy Market Change


Various players


Government vs. Citizen

Government

3 km

Change

Citizens


Centralized Resources

Fossil fuels

Source: www.energyplan.eu, edited by myself

Conversion

Demands

Combustion engine

Mobility

Power plants

Electricity

Boiler

Heat


vs. Decentralized Resources

Conversion

Demands

Combustion engine

Electric vehicles Fuel storage

Wind

Bioenergy fuels

Fluctuating electricity

Combined heat power plant

Synthetic fuels

Heat pump

Power exchange

Electricity storage

Mobility

Flexible electricity

Cooling

Solar

Fluctuating heat

Source: www.energyplan.eu, edited by myself

Thermal storage Heating


Conclusion


Concluding Energy production

+

Energy consumption

+

Housing corporations/ Home ownership

or o p st

Energy reuse

+

Potential sustainable energy

+

Smart energy exchange

t

We

st e W ei uw

N

Land vs Sea

rg

bu e e Z


Westpoort / Nieuw-West


Sloterplas


Slotermeer-Zuidwest




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