Santa Fe Market Update | Q3 2016

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Santa Fe, NM | mls: 201604342

Santa Fe Market Update Third Quarter 2016 SANTA FE BROKERAGES Washington Avenue Brokerage | t. 505.988.8088 Grant Avenue Brokerage | t. 505.988.2533 East Palace Brokerage | t. 500.982.6207

sothebyshomes.com/santafe

Statistics and numbers are obtained from the Santa Fe Association of Realtors Multiple Listing Service and are deemed reliable but are not guaranteed and are subject to change. Data may not reflect all real estate activity in the market area.


A MESSAGE FROM OUR QUALIFYING BROKER: Gregg Antonsen, t: 505.988.2533 | gregg.antonsen@sothebyshomes.com I am pleased to report that the momentum achieved in the first two quarters of 2016 continued at a robust pace throughout the third quarter of the year. According to the Santa Fe Association of Realtors MLS, both average and median sales prices made healthy gains and the number of units sold increased while days on market declined as compared to one year ago. Overall closed sales were up 3.3% through the third quarter of 2016 compared to same time period in 2015 according to the MLS. The bright spots of the Santa Fe residential market included activity in the $500,000 to $749,999 price band which saw a 9% increase in units sold as well as the $1M-$2M price band which reported a 23.6% increase in unit sales from one year ago. Days on market throughout the quarter contracted in all price sectors with the exception of the high end of the market ($2M+). That particular sector of the market saw an 18.6% increase from one year ago. Closed sales in the high end of the market have remained flat year over year. A number of factors may positively impact the final quarter of the year. This includes a growing number of boomers who are currently looking for retirement homes in the Southwest and a growing number of millennials who are reaching homebuying age, and in addition, there may be the continuation of historically low interest rates. A recent article in the Financial Analysis and Commentary section of the Wall Street Journal concluded that current market factors don’t preclude the Fed from raising interest rates later this year, further rate increases will come only gradually. That bodes well for real estate sales and purchases. “The era of low U.S. interest rates isn’t close to ending,” concluded Justin Lahart of the Wall Street Journal. (page B-12, October 8-9, 2016, WSJ). That conclusion, if it remains true, is good news for the real estate industry, in general, and for Santa Fe in particular. SANTA FE BROKERAGES | sothebyshomes.com/santafe 417 East Palace Avenue Santa Fe, NM 87501 t: 505.982.6207

326 Grant Avenue Santa Fe, NM 87501 t: 505.988.2533

231 Washington Avenue Santa Fe, NM 87501 t: 505.988.8088

THIRD QUARTER ACTIVITY Number of Units Sold, Average DOM, and Average Sales Price for Residential Listings Sold in All Areas for All Third Quarters of 2006 through 2016 3000

Units Sold

Average Days On Market

$600,000

Average Sales Price

2800 $485,272

2600

$479,889

$500,000

2400 2200

$417,589

$446,617

2000 $400,377

1800

$391,329

$399,522 $389,150 $389,548 $387,010

1600

$300,000

1951

1889

1665

1593

$200,000

143

170

179

$100,000 178

1441 219

205

1241

1274 195

1137

190

200

157

400

160

600

180

800

1325

1761

1200

2424

1400 1000

$400,000

$401,019

Number of Units Sold, Average Days on Market (DOM), and Average Sales Price for Residential Listings Sold (Single $0Family, 0 2006 2007 2008 2010 2006, 2011 2012 2009, 2013 20142012, 2015 Condos, and Townhouses) for the First2009 Half of 2005, 2007, 2008, 2010, 2011, 2013, and2016 2014

Sotheby’s International Realty and the Sotheby’s International Realty logo are registered (or unregistered) service marks used with permission. Operated by Sotheby’s International Realty, Inc. If your property is listed with a real estate broker, please disregard. It is not our intention to solicit the offerings of other real estate brokers. We are happy to work with them and cooperate fully. Real estate agents affiliated with Sotheby’s International Realty, Inc. are independent contractor sales associates and are not employees of Sotheby’s International Realty, Inc.


FEATURED LISTINGS

EL CIELO GRANDE DE TAOS MLS 201603124 | $2,899,000 This beautifully crafted, 15,000 sq ft estate home on over 12, irrigated acres has 8 bedrooms and 9 baths plus a recreational retreat with indoor pool and spa facing stunning views of Taos mountain. Santa Fe Real Estate Consultants 505.231.4046

1056 SIERRA DEL NORTE MLS 201604005 | $3,500,000 Unique contemporary styling distinguishes this glorious Sierra del Norte home, which boasts four bedrooms, a Bulthaup kitchen, and a west-facing patio with an infinity-edge pool and outdoor kitchen. Ray Rush & Tim Van Camp 505.984.5117

3 INDIAN PONY MLS 201603592 | $4,295,000 Stunning architectural design, impeccable construction, and a gated 10.823-acre homesite with seemingly endless mountain views are among the many highlights of this extraordinary Las Campanas estate. Team Blankenship & Moore | Johnnie Gillespie 505.412.9566 | 505.954.0731


SALES

SINGLE FAMILY HOMES, TOWNHOUSES, CONDOMINIUMS

THIRD QUARTER CLOSED SALES PRICE RANGE

2014

2015

2016

% Change (2015 v 2016)

UP TO $249,999

675

742

663

-10.65%

$250,000-$499,999

614

736

848

15.22%

$500,000-$749,999

208

233

254

9.01%

900 Up to $249,999

800

$250,000-$499,999

700

$500,000-$749,999 $750,000-$999,999

600

$1-$2M

500

Above $2M

400

$750,000-$999,999

94

95

91

-4.21%

$1-$2 MILLION

63

72

89

23.61%

ABOVE $2 MILLION

11

11

6

-45.45%

300 200 100 0 2014

2015

2016

THIRD QUARTER AVERAGE DAYS ON MARKET PRICE RANGE UP TO $249,999

2014

2015

2016

% Change (2015 v 2016)

171

168

137

-18.45%

350

Up to $249,999 $250,000-$499,999

300

$500,000-$749,999 $750,000-$999,999

250

$250,000-$499,999

168

161

128

-20.50%

$500,000-$749,999

194

169

163

-3.55%

150

$750,000-$999,999

252

220

210

-4.55%

100

$1-$2 MILLION

195

197

194

-1.52%

50

ABOVE $2 MILLION

292

242

287

18.60%

$1-$2M

200

Above $2M

0 2014

2015

2016

THIRD QUARTER AVERAGE & MEDIAN SALES PRICES YEAR 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

AVERAGE SALE PRICE

MEDIAN SALE PRICE

$446,617 $485,272 $479,889 $400,377 $401,019 $417,589 $391,329 $389,150 $389,548 $387,010 $399,522

$345,000 $375,000 $330,000 $297,000 $305,000 $299,578 $285,500 $300,000 $291,500 $290,000 $312,500

sothebyshomes.com/santafe

$600,000

$500,000

Average Sales Price Median

$400,000

$300,000

$200,000

$100,000

$0 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016


SALES

SINGLE FAMILY HOMES, TOWNHOUSES, CONDOMINIUMS

LISTING INVENTORY AS OF 9/30: SANTA FE COUNTY 2014

2015

2016

% Change (2015 v 2016)

600

UP TO $249,999

249

154

182

18.18%

500

$250,000-$499,999

524

405

383

-5.43%

400

$500,000-$749,999

264

232

211

-9.05%

300

$750,000-$999,999

157

129

166

28.68%

200

$1M AND ABOVE

254

248

251

1.21%

100

PRICE RANGE

Up to $249,999 $250,000-$499,999 $500,000-$749,999 $750,000-$999,999 $1M and Above

0 2014

THIRD QUARTER SALES BY PRICE RANGE PRICE RANGE

2015

2016

39%

34%

UP TO $249,999 $250,000-$499,999

39%

43%

$500,000-$749,999

12%

13%

$750,000-$999,999

5%

5%

$1-$2 MILLION

4%

5%

ABOVE $2 MILLION

1%

0%

2015

2016

2015

2016

4% 1%

5%

5%

12%

5%

13%

34%

39%

39%

43%

Up to $249,999

$500,000-$749,999

$1-$2 Million

$250,000-$499,999

$750,000-$999,999

Above $2 Million

RESIDENTIAL SOLDS BY MONTH - ALL PROPERTY TYPES 2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

350

178 185 184 201 155

151

174 187

144

137

179 176 194 182

205 216

209 219 231

235

263 249 182

169

222 214 230

225

252 155

162

185

196 182 210

217 225

233 216 190 172 161

173 160 187

195

155 169

160 138

146

131 126

149 130 138 108

100

109 117

150

168

166

199

200

222 213

223

257

250

272 261

306

300

50

0 January

February

March

April

May

June

July

August

September

Values for residential solds by month are for all property types including single family homes, townhouses, condominiums, duplexes, manufactured homes, mobile homes, modular homes, and x-plexes. All statistics and numbers are obtained from the Santa Fe Association of Realtors Multiple Listing Service and are deemed reliable but are not guaranteed and are subject to change. Data may not reflect all real estate activity in the market area.

October

November

December


ON THE MARKET

left to right from top to bottom:

METROPOLITAN MARKETS NEW YORK, NY | Web: 00110341 | $1,499,000 HOUSTON, TX | Web: 1234994 | $1,199,999 PASADENA, CA | Web: 0278049 | $1,150,000 RESORT MARKETS GLEN ELLEN, CA | Web: 0244201 | $1,495,000 EAST HAMPTON, NY | Web: 0038372 | $1,495,000 SANTA FE, NM | Web: 0575641 | $1,297,000 FOREIGN MARKETS COSTA RICA | Web: S34T2S | $1,200,000 ITALY | Web: LV25XV | 1.100.000 € EUR TURKS AND CAICOS | Web: 2SZDM9 | $975,000 sothebysrealty.com


The Personal Art Collection of David Bowie Auctions in London 10 & 11 November 2016, Viewing 1 – 10 November Enquiries +44 (0)20 7293 5519 bowie@sothebys.com 34–35 New Bond Street, London W1A 2AA sothebys.com/BowieCollector

© GAVIN EVANS


SIGNIFICANT SALES | Q3 2016

171 HEADQUARTERS TRAIL | MLS 201600015 | $3,195,000 list Team Lehrer & Earley | 505.660.1734 (listing brokers) David Woodard | 505.920.2000 (selling broker)

479 CAMINO DE LAS ANIMAS | MLS 201602394 | $1,960,000 list Neil Lyon, CRB, CRS, GRI | 505.954.5505

1438-C BISHOPS LODGE ROAD | MLS 201502542 | $1,800,000 list Roxanne Apple & Johnnie Gillespie | 505.954.0723 (listing brokers) Ashley Margetson | 505.920.2300 (selling broker)

3304 MONTE SERENO DRIVE | MLS 201601874 | $1,795,000 list Paul McDonald | 505.984.5111

41 DAYFLOWER | MLS 201603277 | $1,085,000 list Team Burbic Yoder | 505.670.9399

10 CAMINO MONTE FELIZ | MLS 201601568 | $850,000 list Emily Garcia | 505.955.7963 (listing broker) Katherine Blagden | 505.490.2400 (selling broker)


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