Builders outlook June 2011

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Builders Outlook Issue 6 2011

Building El Paso’s tomorrow today

Housing AffordAbiLity risEs to rEcord LEvEL tight financing continues to constrain sales El Paso makes the top ten least affordable markets NAHB Washington, DC- Nationwide housing affordability during the first quarter of 2011 rose to its highest level in the more than 20 years it has been measured, according to National Association of Home Builders/Wells Fargo Housing Opportunity Index (HOI) data released in May. The HOI indicated that 74.6 percent of all new and existing homes sold in the first quarter of 2011 were affordable to families earning the national median income of $64,400. This eclipsed the previous high of 73.9 percent set during the fourth quarter of 2010 and marked the ninth consecutive quarter that the index has been above 70 percent. Until 2009, the HOI rarely topped 65 percent and never reached 70 percent. "With interest rates remaining at historically low levels, today's report indicates that homeownership is within

reach of more households than it has been for more than two decades," said Bob Nielsen, chairman of the National Association of Home Builders (NAHB) and a home builder from Reno, Nev. "While this is good news for consumers, home buyers and builders continue to confront extremely tight credit conditions, and this remains a significant obstacle to many potential home sales." Syracuse, N.Y., was the most affordable major housing market in the country during the first quarter of the year. In Syracuse, 94.5 percent of all homes sold were affordable to households earning the area's median family income of $64,300. Also ranking near the top of the most affordable major metro housing markets were Youngstown-Warren-Boardman, Ohio-Pa.; Indianapolis-Carmel, Ind.; Warren-Troy-Farmington Hills, Mich.; and Toledo, Ohio. Among smaller housing markets, the

most affordable was Kokomo, Ind., where 98.6 percent of homes sold during the first quarter of 2011 were affordable to families earning a median income of $61,400. Other smaller housing markets near the top of the index included Monroe, Mich.; Cumberland, Md.-W.Va.; Elkhart-Goshen, Ind.; and El Paso, Texas. “It continues to amaze the Association that year after year the economic well being of the housing market in El Paso is threatened with new fees and costs,” said Ray Adauto, Executive Vice President of the El Paso Association of Builders. “For years we have tried to point these statistics to the local governments, especially the City of El Paso, without much response other than to raise fees for construction and infrastructure,” said Greg Bowling, President of the EPAB. “The bottom line is that independent analysis done by the respected authority on affordability for housing in a market backs

10 Least Affordable Metro Areas 1. New York-White Plains-Wayne, NY-NJ 2. San Francisco-San Mateo-Redwood City, CA 3. Los Angeles-Long Beach-Glendale, CA 4. Honolulu, HI 5. Santa Ana-Anaheim-Irvine, CA 6. San Jose-Sunnyvale-Santa Clara, CA 7. Bridgeport-Stamford-Norwalk, CT 8. Nassau-Suffolk, NY 9. San Diego-Carlsbad-San Marcos, CA 10. El Paso, TX

up our concerns and frustrations,” Bowling continued. El Paso is now in the company of cities like San Diego, Honolulu and San Francisco on affordability according to the latest statistics.

buiLdErs to congrEss: Maintain federal role to ensure healthy mortgage market

PRSRT STD U.S. POSTAGE PAID EL PASO TX PERMIT NO. 429

NAHB Washington, DC - With some members of Congress actively pushing to abolish Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac and end the federal backstop for housing, the National Association of Home Builders (NAHB) told Congress that maintaining an appropriate level of government support is absolutely essential to preserve financial stability.

Testifying before the Senate Banking Committee, NAHB First Vice Chairman Barry Rutenberg, a home builder from Gainesville, Fla., said that absent a federal role to help reassure mortgage market investors, the cost and availability of mortgage credit would be subject to unpredictable volatility. “The historical track record from the 1998 Russian crisis to the tragedy of Sept. 11 clearly shows that the private sector is not capable of providing a consistent and adequate supply of housing credit without a government backstop,” said Rutenberg. “Therefore, as the private market transitions to assume a greater responsibility, there must be a predictable, permanent federal role in order to ensure a consistent supply of mortgage liquidity and to allow rapid and effective responses to market dislocations and crises.” While NAHB strongly supports efforts to modernize the nation’s housing finance system, it is critical that any reforms be wellconceived, orderly and phased in over time. NAHB opposes legislation pending in the House and Senate that would effectively wind down the operations of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac without offering a clear vision for the future housing system and a nondisruptive transition to a new secondary market framework. Similarly, NAHB believes that more than a dozen short-term legislative proposals offered by House Republican lawmakers to reduce the support Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac provide to the mortgage markets represent a piecemeal approach to reform that would disrupt the housing market and could push the nation back into a deep recession. New legislative efforts would take a very

different tack from these proposals. Recent bipartisan legislation (H.R. 1859) introduced by Reps. John Campbell (R-Calif.) and Gary Peters (D-Mich.) would replace Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac with five private companies that would issue mortgage-backed securities that have government backing. Legislation currently being developed by Rep. Gary Miller (R-Calif.) would also include a predictable government role in the secondary mortgage market to preserve financial stability in the market and maintain a stable housing sector. “NAHB views the introduction of H.R. 1859 and Rep. Miller’s draft legislative proposal as very positive developments as debate on the future of the housing finance system moves forward in Congress,” said Rutenberg. “Maintaining a continuing and appropriate level of government support is necessary to promote investor confidence and ensure liquidity and stability for homeownership and rental housing.” Absent a federal backstop for housing, Rutenberg warned that the 30-year, fixedrate mortgage, the major housing finance tool for most Americans, would become increasingly scarce and much more costly, pricing many creditworthy borrowers out of the marketplace. Similarly, the availability of financing for multifamily housing would fall woefully short of the growing need. Qualified Residential Mortgages Also of great concern to NAHB are proposals unveiled in late March by six federal agencies that would establish a “Qualified Residential Mortgage” (QRM) standard featuring a minimum 20 percent downpayment on a home loan. Requiring 20

percent down would keep homeownership out of reach for most first-time home buyers and middle-class households. About 62 percent of first mortgages taken out to purchase a home would not have qualified under the proposed QRM standard because they had down payments of less than 20 percent, according to LPS Applied Analytics, a mortgage data firm. NAHB estimates that it would take 12 years for a typical family to save enough money for a 20 percent down payment on a median-priced single-family home and other research has found it would take even longer. “If buyers are denied access to affordable housing credit, the shadow inventory of foreclosed homes will not be drawn down, a housing recovery will not take hold and economic growth will stall,” said Rutenberg. Moreover, low-down payment home loans have been originated safely for decades and are not what drove the housing lending crisis, added Rutenberg. “Subprime, no-doc and other alternative mortgage products crashed our economy,” he said. “We believe the Administration and regulators must acknowledge this fact and offer a new plan that ensures a safe and healthy mortgage market and keeps homeownership affordable for working American families.


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Builders outlook June 2011 by Ted Escobedo - Issuu