Predição e prevenção de prematuridade Ben Willem Mol CMGO 2015

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Predição e prevenção de prematuridade Ben Willem Mol Adelaide, Australia


Disclosures My institute has been paid for talks and advice (Schering-Plough, MSD, Ferring, ObsEva) I have been an invited speaker at commercially sponsored conferences I am neither a politician nor a diplomat


Clinical spectrum • Prevention • Prediction • Treatment






Data in 2003 that progesterone prophylaxis is effective at reducing preterm delivery in high risk singleton pregnancy




Pessary • 1959 first introduction pessary to prevent PTBcervix • Designed to move the weight of the pregnancy to anterior and the cervix to posterior

• Encompasses the cervix as a cerclage • Different types (e.g. Smith, Hodge, Risser): Arabin pessary most popular

Stars event, Perth, September 24 2014 (5) Vitsky M. Am J Obstet Gynecol 1961








PESSARIES IN MULTIPLE PREGNANCY TO PREVENT PRETERM BIRTH Sophie Liem, Ewoud Schuit, Joke Bais, Karin de Boer, Kitty Bloemenkamp, Jozien Brons, Hans Duvekot, Bas Nij Bijvank, Maureen Franssen, Ingrid Gaugler, Jan Molkenboer, Martijn Oudijk, Dimitri Papatsonis, Paula Pernet, Martina Porath, Liesbeth Scheepers, Marko Sikkema, Jan Sporken, Harry Visser, Wim van Wijngaarden, Mallory Woiski, Marielle van Pampus, Ben Willem Mol, Dick Bekedam


Baseline characteristics Pessary (N=403)

No Pessary (N=410)

23.7 (21.5-26.3)

22.9 (21.0-25.8)

222 (55%)

225 (55%)

Previous preterm delivery

29 (7%)

26 (6%)

Smoking during pregnancy

16 (4%)

25 (6%)

Higher-order multiple

9 (2%)

9 (2%)

Monochorionic

87 (22%)

100 (25%)

GA at CL measurement

18.8 (1.1)

18.7 (1.1)

CL measurement 16-22 wks

328 (81%)

293 (71%)

Cervical length overall (SD)

43.6 (8.1)

44.2 (8.5)

BMI (IQR) Nulliparous


Primary outcome Pessary (N=410)

No pessary (N=407)

Relative Risk (95% CI)

53 (13%)

55 (14%)

0.98 (0.69-1.4)

Periventricular leukomalacia

0 (0%)

5 (1%)

NA

Respiratory distress syndrome

27 (7%)

18 (4%)

1.5 (0.82-2.7)

Broncho pulmonal dysplasia

2 (0%)

6 (1%)

0.34 (0.07-1.7)

Intraventricular hemorrhage

6 (1%)

5 (1%)

1.2 (0.37-4.0)

Necrotizing enterocolitis

8 (2%)

6 (1%)

1.4 (0.47-3.9)

Sepsis

16 (4%)

18 (4%)

0.89 (0.45-1.8)

Stillbirth

10 (2%)

10 (2%)

1.0 (0.41-2.6)

Death before discharge

16 (4%)

18 (4%)

0.90 (0.46-1.8)

Neonatal outcome Composite poor perinatal outcome


Proportion of women pregnant (%)

Time to delivery

Gestational age in weeks


Subgroup analysis • 25th percentile at 38 mm • P value for interaction 0.01


Subgroup <25th percentile (38 mm) Pessary (N=78)

No pessary (N=55)

Relative Risk (95% CI)

9 (12%)

16 (29%)

0.40 (0.19-0.83)

Stillbirth

3 (4%)

2 (4%)

1.1 (0.18-6.2)

Periventricular leukomalacia

0 (0%)

1 (2%)

NA

Respiratory distress syndrome

7 (9%)

2 (4%)

2.5 (0.53-11.5)

Broncho pulmonal dysplasia

0 (0%)

2 (4%)

NA

Intraventricular hemorrhage

0 (0%)

3 (5%)

NA

Necrotizing enterocolitis

0 (0%)

1 (2%)

NA

Sepsis

2 (3%)

4 (7%)

0.38 (0.05-3.1)

Death before discharge

2 (3%)

10 (18%)

0.14 (0.03-0.65)

Neonatal outcome

Composite poor perinatal outcome


Time to delivery Proportion of women pregnant (%)

<25th percentile

P=0.01

Gestational age in weeks

≼25th percentile


Delivery <25th percentile (38 mm) Pessary (N=78)

No pessary (N=55)

Relative Risk (95% CI)

36+3 (35+0-37+2)

35+0 (30+5-36+5)

0.49 (0.41-0.77)

< 28 wk

3 (4%)

9 (16%)

0.23 (0.06-0.87)

< 32 wk

11 (14%)

16 (29%)

0.49 (0.24-0.97)

< 37 wk

50 (64%)

43 (78%)

0.82 (0.54-1.2)

GA at delivery (median (IQR))


Perinatal outcome subgroup (CL <38mm) Pessary Number of children No pessary

Gestational age in weeks


Distribution of CL in Twins 30 mm

25 mm


Posthoc analysis Pro TWIN


Preterm birth: RCT of cervical pessary in twins

Elena Carreras Maria Goya Andrea Gascón Manel Mendoza Carlota Rodó

Hospital Universitari Vall d’Hebron. Barcelona, Catalonia, Spain


Arabin pessary in twins : PECEP-TWIN Trial Barcelona: Vall d’Hebron, Dexeus, St J. Reus Mallorca: Son Llàtzer Madrid: La Paz 2931 eligible women 644 declined to participate

2287 consented

Exclusion criteria: cervix > 25 mm fetal abnormalities contractions bleeding

154 cervix ≤ 25 mm 17 declined to participate

137 randomly assigned

68 assigned to Arabin pessary

3 lost follow up

66 assigned to expectant management

Primary endpoint: spontaneous premature delivery before 34 weeks


PECEP-TWIN Trial: baseline characteristics P value

Arabin Cervical Pessary group

Expectant Management group

(n=68)

(n=66)

Maternal age (years)

30 (24-40)

31 (19-43)

ns

Body mass index (kg/m2)

25 (21-28)

25 (22-30)

ns

Nulliparous

31 (46%)

29 (44%)

ns

Parous with no previous preterm birth

25 (37%)

26 (36%)

ns

Parous with ≼ 1 preterm birth

12 (18%)

11 (17%)

ns

Cigarette smoking during pregnancy

10 (15%)

9 (14%)

ns

White

41 (63%)

38 (58%)

ns

Latin American

15 (22%)

16 (24%)

ns

other

12 (18%)

12 (18%)

ns

Monochorionic pregnancy

13 (19%)

12 (18%)

ns

Assisted Reproductive Techniques

21 (31%)

20 (30%)

ns

22.0 (21.1-23.6)

23.0 (21.2-23.4)

ns

15 (8-18)

19 (10-25)

ns

Ethnic origin (self reported)

Weeks at randomisation Cervical length at randomisation (mm)


PECEP-TWIN Trial: outcomes II

Arabin cervical pessary group (n=68)

Expectant management group (n=66)

P value

Spontaneous delivery before 28 weeks

4 (5.9%)

9 (13.6%)

0.02

Spontaneous delivery before 34 weeks

11 (16.2%)

17 (25.7%)

0.001

36.4 (26.4-38)

35.0 (22.6-38)

0.01

Pregnancy outcome

Gestational age at delivery (weeks)


PECEP-TWIN Trial: outcomes III

Arabin cervical pessary group (n=136)

Expectant management group (n=130)

P value

Fetal death

0

0

-

Neonatal death

0

-

-

Birthweight less than 1500 g

6 (4.4%)

8 (6.1%)

ns

Birthweight less than 2500 g

20 (14.7%)

24 (18.2%)

ns

Necrotising enterocolitis

0

2 (1.5%)

ns

Intraventricular haemorrhage

0

4 (3%)

ns

Respiratory distress syndrome

8 (5.8%)

8 (6.1%)

ns

0

0

-

4 (2.9%)

6 (7.5%)

ns

8 (5.9%)

12 (9.1%)

ns

Perinatal outcome

Adverse outcomes

Retinopathy Treatment for sepsis Composite adverse outcomes






Progesterone for prevention of pre-term birth in twins

Stars event, Perth, September 24 2014


Norman JE et al 2009, Lancet 373: 2034


Rouse DJ et al 2007 N Engl J Med 357:454


Combs A et al 2011, Am J Obstet Gynecol 204: 221 Rode L et al 2011, Ultras Obstet Gynecol 38: 272


What does all this tell us ? • How many trials do we need to tell us that progesterone does not prevent preterm birth in twin pregnancy? • Could we have got to a faster answer if we had joined forces at the beginning ? • Could we have got a more relevant answer if we had joined forces at the beginning ?


Do vitamins C and E prevent pre-eclampsia?



International information sharing and collaboration

PSANZ IMPACT 2014


GONet



Progestogens in twins • Published • Rouse et al • Fonseca et al • Norman et al • Briery et al • Cetingoz et al • Lim et al • Combs et al • Rode et al • Aboulghar et al • Wood et al • Serra et al • Senat et al • Ongoing • Nassar et al

NEJM 2007 NEJM 2007 Lancet 2009 South Med J 2009 Arch Gyn Obs 2010 Obstet Gynecol 2011 AJOG 2011 Ultrasound Obstet Gynecol 2011 Reprod Biomed Online 2012 J Perinat Med 2012 BJOG 2013

USA UK UK USA Turkey Netherlands USA Denmark/Austria Egypt Canada Spain

AJOG in press

France

NCT00141908

Libanon


Results: subgroups Subgroups: no effect of progestogen for (p-value interaction > 0.05) – Mono-/dichorionic twins – Prior spontaneous preterm birth <37 weeks

Short cervix ≤25 mm at randomisation (adverse perinatal outcome) Vag vs. control: 15/56 vs 22/60; RR 0.57; 95% CI 0.47–0.70; NNT 10


Cerclage, pessary or progesterone? (singletons high risk) Cerclage

Pessary

(Progesterone)

-

-

0.70

Secondary (short cervix)

0.80

0.70

0.70

Tertiary (emergency)

? ?

Primary (previous preterm)

no


Cerclage, pessary or progesterone? (twins) Pessary Cerclage

(Progesterone)

Primary

no

no

no

Secondary (short cervix)

no

0.50

0.50

Tertiary (emergency)

?

no

no


PROspective Meta-analysis for Pessary Trials


Singleton Trials (some include twins) USA, MFMU Mini-Monster

Matt Hoffman

USA

PoPPS

The Netherlands UK

Quadruple P Singleton RECAP

Lorraine Dugoff, Jack Ludmir Eva Pajkrt

Canada

P3S

Brazil

P5

USA

KUMC

Zarko Alfirevic Liz Asztalos, Jon Barrett Rodolfo Pacagnella Carl Weiner, Gene Lee


Twins Trials UK USA,MFMU France

STOPPIT-2 PROSPECT PESSAR’-ONE

Jane Norman Joseph Biggio Christophe Vayssiere

USA Netherlands

PoPPT Quadruple P Twins

Lorraine Dugoff Eva Pajkrt



Elvira van Vliet L Askie, BW Mol, MA Oudijk


Spontaneous preterm birth • Vascular placental lesions • Failure of spiral artery remodeling • Abnormal plasma profile, comparable to women with pre-eclampsia

Backgroun

Study

Results

Conclusion


PARIS IPD

Antiplatelets in pregnancy in women at risk of PE • A lower risk of PE (RR 0.90), 95% CI 0.84-0.97) • A lower risk of birth <34 weeks (RR 0.90, 95%-CI 0.83-0.98)


Outcome measures • Spontaneous PTB 20 - 37 weeks • Spontaneous PTB 20 - 34 weeks • Spontaneous PTB 20 - 28 weeks • Subgroup analysis • Kaplan Meier Curve


Results aspirin for spontaneous preterm birth • Lower risk of SPTB < 37 weeks: RR 0.93, 95% CI 0.86-0.996 • Lower risk of SPTB <34 weeks: RR 0.86, 95% CI 0.76 – 0.99 • RR for SPTB <28 0.81 (95% CI 0.59-1.12)


Results aspirin for spontaneous preterm birth


A day without randomisation is a day without progress

Un dĂ­a sin asignaciĂłn es un dĂ­a sin avances

Twitter @bwmol ben.mol@adelaide.edu.au www.globalobstetricsnetwork.org/


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