Volume 104 Issue 9

Page 1

The Spectator The Stuyvesant High School Newspaper

Volume CIV  No.9

February 5, 2014

When senior Soham Daga was first told he was an Intel Finalist, his immediate response was something like, “Wow wow wow wow oh my god wow wow wow.” But, considering Daga is also the captain of policy debate and thus accustomed to speaking very quickly, it probably sounded more like “wowowowowohmygodwow.” Daga, whose project dealt with using Google Trends to predict patterns in the economy, was especially surprised when he heard he was one of the forty finalists chosen from across the nation, because social science projects rarely make it to the finalist stage. In fact, there was only one other finalist this year besides Daga whose project related to social sciences. Furthermore, Daga has cleared a spot for his name in the record books by becoming Stuyvesant’s first Intel Finalist with a social sciences project. In his project, Daga examined the relationship between information on Google Trends, which contains data on where and in what quantity certain terms are searched, and mortgage delinquency. Mortgage delinquency is a phenomenon that occurs when borrowers are unable to return money to the loaners as explained in a contract. Daga decided to link Google Trends to delinquency because of the widespread use of Google. “Everyone uses Google nowadays; my five-year old sister uses it,” Daga said. In his paper, Daga explained that giving banks models to accurately predict how many of their loans will be paid back would be valuable in preventing a fiscal crisis, as unpaid bank loans was one of the major causes

leading to the 2008 recession. Prior to Daga’s project, the predictors of delinquency could not see very far into the future and had a large percent error. Using data from ten different search terms on Google Trends, Daga succeeded in creating models that could predict a delinquency crisis from six to 18 months in advance with only about 1.8 percent error. This achievement enables banks to use the knowledge that a mortgage delinquency crisis might be approaching to cut down on their loans, which would help prevent another recession. Large businesses like Citibank recognize the potential usefulness of Daga’s models and have already begun to use them. Though Daga’s final models are very accurate and have wide implications, coming up with the equations that guide these models was very difficult, and Daga had to overcome numerous obstacles throughout the process. One of the hardest problems for Daga was coming up with the ten search terms he wanted to use to guide his models. Daga came up with his initial list of terms by meeting with an industry expert and brainstorming possible terms people might search when having trouble repaying loans. After eliminating some terms because of insufficient data on Google Trends and specifying other terms, Daga generated a list of 58 terms, ranging from “I am in debt” to “mortgage complaint.” He further narrowed down this list by making sure that some of the final terms had a long-term correlation with mortgage rates and others had a short-term correlation. continued on page 4

Behind the Malfunctioning Alarms By Joanne Ha and Ariel Levy When the school fire alarms went off during fifth period on Monday, January 6, without prior notification of a planned fire drill, teachers were unsure whether to exit the building or remain inside. After a period of five minutes, Assistant Principal of Organization Saida Rodriguez-Tabone eventually announced over the loudspeakers to disregard the alarms. It was one of several times the malfunctioning system has accidentally been triggered in the past three weeks. When a fire alarm sounds, the administration first must determine if there is an actual fire. Staff members look at the control panel to determine the location from which the alarm was triggered. One of the school engineers is then sent to the location of the triggered alarm and evaluates the situation. “Sometimes someone pulls the alarm, sometimes a switch breaks, and sometimes a smoke alarm goes off,” custodian Fred Arnebold said. “The most recent time, a sprinkler line broke in the school cafeteria,” he said. After determining if it is a malfunction, Rodriguez-Tabone is notified and proceeds to alert the school via the public address system. Because the elevator doors are automatically shut during a fire alarm, the amount of time it takes to evaluate the situation can vary based on the location of the triggered alarm. The school administration has been investigating the causes of these accidents for some time. Arnebold has referred the issue for special attention to the Division of School Facilities. This institution is responsible for the safety

Jin Hee Yoo / The Spectator

Acclaimed Writer Chang Rae Lee Comes to Stuy

Asian American author Changrae Lee visited Stuyvesant on January 22.

By Jane Argodale “You can ask me about my books, you can ask me what it’s like to be a writer, you can even ask me about Princeton, but keep in mind I’m not involved in admissions. But maybe, if

you’re really nice to me, we can have something arranged,” acclaimed writer and Princeton University creative writing professor Chang-Rae Lee said with a chuckle at the beginning of his visit to Stuyvesant High School. Lee came to the Stuyvesant library during and after 10th period on Wednesday, January 22 at the invitation of English teacher Sophie Oberfield and her Asian American Literature class. Her class had read his first published novel, “Native Speaker,” and Lee’s visit came on the heels of the release of his fifth and most recent novel, the dystopic “On Such a Full Sea.” Rather than giving a lecture on a single topic, Lee dived straight into Q&A, taking questions from students on everything from how he became a writer to his use of a comparison between food and sex in a scene in “Native Speaker.” After the talk, Lee signed copies of his books, and one student’s AP Calculus review book.

stuyspec.com

Senior Elena Milin came to see Chang-Rae Lee as a fan of his work, and was impressed with the format he chose as well as the answers he gave. “It was really interesting to see Mr. Lee speak, because even though he just had us ask questions instead of giving a structured talk, the conversation between him and the audience flowed very well. It felt honest and organic,” she said. From his visit, students learned a great deal about Lee’s writing process and career. One secret that Lee exposed to students was about his first novel— not “Native Speaker”, which is his first published novel, but a story written the year after he quit his job on Wall Street to become a writer. The novel was so terribly written that no publisher gave it so much as a second glance, but Lee said that this helped prove to him that writing was what he really wanted to do. “After that setback, instead of giving up, I wrote another novel,” he said.

and maintenance of all buildings under the jurisdiction of the City of New York’s school system. However, the cause of the most recent incident is still unknown. “We do not know why the alarms have been going off the past few weeks,” Principal Jie Zhang said. Fire alarms have accidentally been triggered many times in the past under former Principal Stanley Teitel’s administration. “It has happened many times in the past before; it might happen again in two seconds; it might happen again in two months,” Arnebold said. He believes the school simply needs to replace the system. “It has been in place since the construction of the building,” he said. “Right now there isn’t enough money, but we need a new one.” A more striking concern involved with the malfunctioning alarms is the safety hazard that it poses. “I think the malfunctioning fire alarm system is, in theory, a huge safety risk to students and faculty, especially in a ten-floor environment such as Stuy,” said sophomore Samuel Zhang. Freshman Cade Leuker agrees, believing that the multiple accidental alarms decrease the influential effect they are supposed to have. “The fire alarm malfunction causes distrust of fire alarms and causes people to be delayed and less reactive,” he said. Regarding the safety concerns connected to the faulty alarm system, Assistant Principal of Security, Safety, and Student Affairs Brian Moran declined to comment. Some students are dissatisfied with the alarm system for different reasons. Freshman Lydia Choi, for example, was annoyed because of the time wasted dealing with the accidental alarms. “During the fire

Justin Kong / The Spectator

How to Google Your Way to Intel By Ariella Kahan

“The Pulse of the Student Body”

Fire alarms have sounded irregularly for the past three weeks due to a defective alarm system.

drill, I tried to go to the library after lunch and the staff forced me to go downstairs, but then I had to go back up again. It took up 20 minutes of my time when I had a physics test, so I couldn’t study and got stressed,” she said. Others, however, are less worried by the issues caused by the alarms. “I have no complaints. There is some technical malfunction, but things happen; the main thing is all of our safety,” said Social Studies teacher Michael Waxman. Many students share the same opinion, saying that the malfunctions with the alarm system aren’t very important. “In practice, few fires have ever occurred at Stuy, if at all, so it shouldn’t be that much of a concern,” Samuel Zhang said. Junior Victor Gaitour agreed. “There are definitely bigger problems in the school than [the malfunctioning alarms],” he said.

Imaginaçao

see photo essay on page 4

Special on Pages 13 - 16: Surveying Homework, Sleep, Social Life, and Drug Use


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Volume 104 Issue 9 by The Stuyvesant Spectator - Issuu