QUARTER TWO MARKET REPORT 2021
TABLE OF C ONTENT S 2021 Q2 MARKET REPORT
4
OVERVIEW
5
MAP
7
ALL AVAIL ABLE INVENTORY
9
PROPERTIES SOLD
11
TOTAL SOLD VOLUME
13
AVER AGE DAYS ON MARKE T
15
MONTHS SUPPLY OF INVENTORY
17
AVER AGE AND MEDIAN SOLD PRICES
MARKET REPORT QUARTER T WO 2021
Welcome to Summit Sotheby’s International Realty’s Quarter Two Market Report. This report takes a look and reviews Utah’s current real estate market conditions for the Wasatch Front, Wasatch Back and Southern Utah areas. US Economy The US economy is in the midst of a “reflationary recovery” dynamic, with pent-up demand for goods, services, and raw materials in full swing. The real GDP projection is now at a whopping 7.4%, as the economy snaps back at an ever-increasing rate. While there are some inflationary pressures, as noted by a CPI increase of 5.4% year over year, economists seem to agree these will be “largely transitory”. Many expect profits to rebound strongly and exceed pre-pandemic levels before the end of 2021. US Real Estate Market The residential housing market is a sizable chunk of the US GDP, roughly 5%. And demand for housing is still outpacing supply. A Fed rate hike is not on the table anytime soon, a good sign for borrowers, and 30-year fixed rates recently fell to a 180-day low of an average of 2.625%. However, median home prices across the US have increased 24.4% in the last year while income only increased by 1.2%, adding to concerns that some home buyers may soon be priced out of the market. Home prices are still expected to rise, an additional 9% in 2021 and 3% in 2022. This may explain why the apartment market is booming this quarter, increasing by 207,035 units nationwide – a number that’s usually in the 40,000-80,000 range. The Utah Market Real estate inventory in Utah is now half of what it was in 2019 (15,471 available properties), with only about 7,871 residential properties on the market in June 2021. The buyer profile is also changing, with out-of-state buyers from larger city markets influencing the price of Utah real estate by what they are willing to pay, as opposed to traditional methods of pricing being determined by an analysis of sold comparable properties in the area. This has caused the average home price to climb faster than the national pace, with average prices increasing in one year by 31.8% along the Wasatch Front, 39.8% in Southern Utah, and 54.6% along the Wasatch Back.
THE ARE AS AREAS INCLUDED IN OUR Q2 MARKET REPORT
FARMINGTON
S A LT L A K E CIT Y
PA R K C I T Y
H EB ER C I T Y PR OVO
WASATCH BACK C EDA R C I T Y
CO U N T IE S : SU M M I T A N D WA S ATC H
WASATCH FRONT
CO U N T IE S : DAV I S , S A LT L A K E A N D U TA H
S P R I N G DA L E , ZION
S T. G EO R G E
SOUTHERN UTAH
CO U N T IE S : WA S H IN G TO N A N D IR O N
ALL AVAIL ABLE INVENTORY UTAH - DECEMBER 2018 - JUNE 2021
All Available Inventory Utah - December 2018 to June 2021 2018
2019
13,513
1,484
12,380
2,216
2,112
1,877
2,093
2,189
2,179
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
Jan
Feb
Mar
7,357
7,806
8,313
8,719
2,117
1,431
2,110
Jul
9,917
2,077
Jun
11,141
11,700
2,071
May
11,239
11,698
2,173
Apr
11,019 2,230
Mar
10,562 2,267
Feb
9,743
Jan
10,067
Dec
9,906
2,156
1,497
10,977
2,086
11,687
11,396
1,840
11,675
1,508
11,698
1,482
1,559
1,609
1,717
1,749
1,702
1,594
13,537
14,965 14,916
1,638
1,598
13,344
1,655
13,808
1,623
14,452
14,843
1,630
15,478 15,471 15,526 15,514
All Available Inventory is the total "# For Sale" that month. This includes any property that was on the market at any point during the month, as opp listed and sold within the same month. Data is aggregated from three different MLS databases (PCBAOR, WFMLS, WCMLS) and was pulled on July 1 sold by Summit Sotheby's. 'Wasatch Back' includes all listings from Summit and Wasatch Counties. 'Southern Utah' includes Washington and Iron Co
summitsothebysrealty.com
DEFINING ALL AVAIL ABLE INVENTORY This metric gives us a glance of the total amount of properties for sale in Utah by month, from 2018 to present. Broken down by area, we see a steady decline in inventory, with consistent increases beginning in March 2021.
2020
2021
# For Sale - Wasatch Back
# For Sale - Wasatch Front
# For Sale - Southern Utah 13,006 12,275 11,664 10,538 9,749
1,220
767
743
839
6,126
7,263
1,376
1,120
1,015
973
1,004
975
996
1,005
1,099
5,491
1,468
5,275
1,661
4,266
1,848
4,289
2,021
4,493
2,164
5,571 2,181
5,962
856
6,209
947
1,071
1,025
6,579
7,278
7,153
7,684
8,407
8,759
9,322
9,720
9,290
7,089
810
7,871
7,716
5,539
1,386
1,596
1,668
1,663
1,395
12,866
1,528
13,412
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
posed to just the number of "For Sale at the End of the Month" which would be lower. This chart would capture any property that was 16th, 2021. Properties Sold includes any property listed as sold that month in the respective MLS, and is not restricted to only properties ounties. 'Wasatch Front' includes Davis, Salt Lake, and Utah Counties. Prepared By Summit Sotheby's International Realty.
Q2 MARKET REPORT | Page 7
PROPERTIES SOLD UTAH - DECEMBER 2018 - JUNE 2021
Properties Sold Utah - December 2018 to June 2021
2018
2019
# Sold - Wasatch Back
# Sold - Wasatch Front
# Sold - Southern Utah 4,283
4,194 4,232
207
3,911
196
220
147
3,625
3,579
172
216
3,698 216
3,174
3,025
191
143
2,824
3,282
3,262 137
198
2,741
118
132
2,422
2,405 2,170
130
3,513
116
3,295
2,956
3,495
161
3,487 2,938
3,047 2,558
2,485
2,357
2,638
2,653 2,250
1,733
1,915
1,965
349
321
310
397
Dec
Jan
Feb
Mar
497
563
469
503
525
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
425
435
425
431
346
359
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
Jan
Feb
487
Mar
Data is aggregated from three different MLS databases (PCBAOR, WFMLS, WCMLS) and was pulled on July 16th, 2021. Properties Sold includes any p Back' includes all listings from Summit and Wasatch Counties. 'Southern Utah' includes Washington and Iron Counties. 'Wasatch Front' includes Davi
summitsothebysrealty.com
DEFINING PROPERTIES SOLD This metric calculates the number of properties sold, by month, broken down by our three key regions: Wasatch Front, Wasatch Back and Southern Utah. Spiking in July of 2020 with 5,111 properties sold, this chart shows the cyclical nature of Utah’s real estate seasons and the above average sales that marked the end of 2020.
2020
2021
5,111 291
4,704 4,711
4,553
333
183
390
4,616 405
4,105 3,901 3,844 313
3,471
261
3,798
382
3,430
79
286
3,474 190
242
2,910 100
4,122 3,742
3,790
3,682
2,517 3,579
191 3,058
2,939
2,628 166 3,316 2,968
3,008
2,626
2,839
2,419 1,947
391
453
Apr
May
580
Jun
698
Jul
629
639
632
Aug
Sep
Oct
2,043
530
454
379
419
Nov
Dec
Jan
Feb
562
544
Mar
Apr
445
528
May
Jun
property listed as sold that month in the respective MLS, and is not restricted to only properties sold by Summit Sotheby's. 'Wasatch is, Salt Lake, and Utah Counties. Prepared By Summit Sotheby's International Realty.
Q2 MARKET REPORT | Page 9
TOTAL SOLD VOLUME UTAH - DECEMBER 2018 - JUNE 2021
Total Sold Volume Utah - December 2018 to June 2021
2018
2019 Total Volume - Wasatch Back
Total Volume - Wasatch Front
Total Volume - Southern Utah
1.75B 1.55B
143M
242M
99M
136M
175M
203M
165M
168M
183M
151M
151M
158M
152M
123M
130M
180M
1,053M
138M
186M 738M
1,025M
964M
1,158M
1,115M
1,321M
1,347M
1,262M
1,104M
102M
688M
908M
160M
141M
1.15B
123M
616M
1,328M
134M 842M
1.38B
1.05B
0.95B 0.86B
1.42B
881M
168M
1.21B 1.10B
1.36B 239M
246M
1.51B 246M
241M
1.57B
204M
1.72B
142M
232M
1.51B
210M
1.74B
Dec
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
Jan
Feb
Mar
Data is aggregated from three different MLS databases (PCBAOR, WFMLS, WCMLS) and was pulled on July 16th, 2021. Properties Sold includes any Back' includes all listings from Summit and Wasatch Counties. 'Southern Utah' includes Washington and Iron Counties. 'Wasatch Front' includes Davi
summitsothebysrealty.com
DEFINING TOTAL SOLD VOLUME This metric defines the total dollar volume of real estate sales by area. The Wasatch Back experienced exponential sales growth in 2020, with sales volume more than doubling when comparing to the same time period in years prior. The Wasatch Front and Southern Utah areas also saw growth patterns during this period. June 2021 has had the highest sold voulme at 2.51 Billion, surpassing any month from last fall.
2020
2021 2.51B
2.48B 2.47B
419M
553M
509M
201M
Oct
Nov
Dec
Jan
Feb
1,792M 1,459M
Mar
Apr
May
277M
189M
Sep
225M
199M
Aug
274M
245M
Jul
287M
264M
963M
1,516M
1,284M
290M
278M 262M
881M
1,374M
1,343M
1,564M
1,594M
1,612M 244M
Jun
286M
217M
172M
1,155M
1,554M
122M 150M
958M
1,734M
95M
1.35B
1.23B
May
1.95B
1.45B
1.42B
Apr
441M
2.13B
270M
645M
2.10B
1.99B
200M
1.97B
2.33B 620M
474M
413M
2.33B
538M
2.43B
Jun
property listed as sold that month in the respective MLS, and is not restricted to only properties sold by Summit Sotheby's. 'Wasatch is, Salt Lake, and Utah Counties. Prepared By Summit Sotheby's International Realty.
Q2 MARKET REPORT | Page 11
AVER AGE SOLD DAYS ON THE MARK E T UTAH - DECEMBER 2018 - JUNE 2021
Average Days on the Market Utah - December 2018 to June 2021 138
135
140 130 120 110 100
113
119
106
118 111
106 102
101
90
93 85
80
101
98
82
70
40
52 39
30
50 35
47
60
33
34
35
54
53
37
Aug '19
40
45
58 45 44
57
56
Jul '19
53
50
60
Jun '19
60
59
47 38
45 41
62
50
46
46
20 10
Feb '20
Jan '20
Dec '19
Nov '19
Oct '19
Sep '19
May '19
Apr '19
Mar '19
Feb '19
Jan '19
Dec '18
Nov '18
0
Data is aggregated from three different MLS databases (PCBAOR, WFMLS, WCMLS) and was pulled on July 16th, 2021. Properties Sold include Back' includes all listings from Summit and Wasatch Counties. 'Southern Utah' includes Washington and Iron Counties. 'Wasatch Front' include
summitsothebysrealty.com
DEFINING AVERAGE SOLD DAYS ON THE MARKET This metric follows the amount of days a property is available for sale. In all areas, we see this average number in steady decline. Cash of fers, ef ficient financing and robust buyer demand are driving forces in this trend.
Sold Avg DOM - Wasatch Back
Sold Avg DOM - Wasatch Front
Sold Avg DOM - Southern Utah
116 101 92 87 77
27
25
20 19
18
16
16 15
16
Jul '21
Oct '20
28
41
29 29
Jun '21
26
32
38
May '21
26 25
Jun '20
38
Apr '21
30
28
May '20
Apr '20
30
31
40
Mar '21
31
53
Feb '21
47
54
45
Sep '20
44
50
Aug '20
39
64
55
Jul '20
53
74
73
Jan '21
53
96
85
Dec '20
82
Nov '20
100
Mar '20
97
es any property listed as sold that month in the respective MLS, and is not restricted to only properties sold by Summit Sotheby's. 'Wasatch es Davis, Salt Lake, and Utah Counties. Prepared By Summit Sotheby's International Realty.
Q2 MARKET REPORT | Page 13
MONTHS SUPPLY OF INVENTORY (MSI) UTAH - FEBRUARY 2019 - JUNE 2021
Months Supply of Inventory Utah By Region 2.4
7.3
8.0
1.9
7.4
2.0
2.0
1.7
8.8
8.7 5.7
6.3
4.4
Southern Utah
2.3
6.1
7.0
May
Jun
Jul
Apr
Mar
Feb
2.6
Nov
2.9
3.5
3.3
Oct
3.0
Aug
3.0
9.5
4.2
3.8 3.2
1.7
6.5
4.3
3.2
10.0
Jan
7.4
1.8
2.3
Dec
1.9
2.1
2.6
3.1
Feb
2.5
Sep
Wasatch Back
Wasatch Front
2019
Months Supply of Inventory refers to the number of months it would take for the current inventory of homes on the market to se
2021. Properties Sold includes any property listed as sold that month in the respective MLS, and is not restricted to only properties sold by Su 'Wasatch Front' includes Davis, Salt Lake, and Utah Counties. Prepared By Summit Sotheby's International Realty.
summitsothebysrealty.com
DEFINING MONTHS SUPPLY OF INVENTORY (MSI) This metric is defined by how long (in months) it would take to sell all available properties currently on the market. Generally speaking, any where from four to six months of inventory is considered balanced. With each of Utah’s key selling regions well below this range, sellers
y (MSI)
have a key advantage due to the lack of properties for sale given the current sales pace.
2020
2021 MSI
2.0
1.0
1.9 1.4
1.2
1.1
1.1
1.0
1.0
1.0
13.0
1.0
0.9
0.8
0.6
0.7
0.6
15.8 13.3
2.1
2.3
1.3
1.2
2.4
2.7
1.9
2.0
1.9
1.6
1.9
0.9
0.8
0.7
0.8
Mar
3.9
3.1
Feb
4.2
Jan
7.0
2.0
3.7
1.0 May
Apr
1.3
Dec
1.5
Nov
1.1
Oct
Sep
1.5
Jul
Jun
May
Apr
Mar
1.8
Aug
2.4
ell given the current sales pace. Data is aggregated from three different MLS databases (PCBAOR, WFMLS, WCMLS) and was pulled on July 16th, ummit Sotheby's. 'Wasatch Back' includes all listings from Summit and Wasatch Counties. 'Southern Utah' includes Washington and Iron Counties.
Q2 MARKET REPORT | Page 15
AVER AGE AND MEDIAN SOLD PRICES WASATCH FRONT
Average & Median Sold Prices Wasatch Front
31 . 8%
Average and Median sold prices for residential housing along the Wasatch Front have increased over the last 2 years. ONE Y E AR INCRE ASE IN T HE AVER AGE SOL D PRICE $540,386
540K
Avg Sold $ - Wasatch Front
Median Sold $ - Wasatch Front
520K 500K 480K
$467,035
460K 440K 420K 400K
$410,021 $383,083
380K
$364,778
360K
$340,350
Jul '21
Jun '21
May '21
Apr '21
Mar '21
Feb '21
Dec '20
Nov '20
Oct '20
Sep '20
Aug '20
Jul '20
Jun '20
May '20
Apr '20
2021
Mar '20
Feb '20
Jan '20
Dec '19
Nov '19
Oct '19
Sep '19
Aug '19
Jul '19
Jun '19
May '19
2020
Jan '21
340K
Data is aggregated from the WFMLS, and was pulled on July 16th, 2021. Properties Sold includes any property listed as sold that month in the respective MLS, and is not restricted to only properties sold by Summit Sotheby's. 'Wasatch Front' includes Davis, Salt Lake, and Utah Counties. Prepared By Summit Sotheby's International Realty.
summitsothebysrealty.com
AVER AGE AND MEDIAN SOLD PRICES WASATCH BACK
Average & Median Sold Prices Wasatch Back
54 .6%
Average and Median sold prices for residential housing along the Wasatch Back have increased in the years.ASE IN T HE AV ER AGE SOL D PRICE ONElast Y E A 2R INCRE $1,688,710 Avg Sold $ - Wasatch Back
1800K
Median Sold $ - Wasatch Back
1600K
1400K
1200K
$1,000,000 $1,092,172
1000K
$965,791 $729,610
$752,500
Jul '21
Jun '21
May '21
Apr '21
Mar '21
Feb '21
Dec '20
Nov '20
Oct '20
Sep '20
Aug '20
Jul '20
Jun '20
May '20
Apr '20
2021
Mar '20
Feb '20
Dec '19
Nov '19
Oct '19
Sep '19
Aug '19
Jul '19
Jun '19
May '19
2020
Jan '21
600K
Jan '20
800K
Data is aggregated from the PCBAOR, and was pulled on July 16th, 2021. Properties Sold includes any property listed as sold that month in the respective MLS, and is not restricted to only properties sold by Summit Sotheby's. 'Wasatch Back' includes all listings from Summit and Wasatch Counties. Prepared By Summit Sotheby's International Realty.
Q2 MARKET REPORT | Page 17
AVER AGE AND MEDIAN SOLD PRICES SOUTHERN UTAH
Average & Median Sold Prices Southern Utah
39. 8%
ONEAverage Y E AR INCRE ASEMedian IN T HE AV ER AGE SOL Dfor PRICE and sold prices residential housing in Southern Utah have increased in the last 2 years. $524,094 520K
Avg Sold $ - Southern Utah
Median Sold $ - Southern Utah
500K 480K 460K
$435,450
440K 420K 400K 380K 360K
$374,912
$351,674
340K
$335,000
320K
Jul '21
Jun '21
May '21
Apr '21
Mar '21
Feb '21
Jan '21
Dec '20
Nov '20
Oct '20
Sep '20
Aug '20
Jul '20
Jun '20
May '20
Apr '20
2021
Mar '20
Feb '20
Jan '20
Dec '19
Nov '19
Oct '19
Sep '19
2020
Aug '19
Jul '19
Jun '19
$314,000 May '19
300K
Data is aggregated from the WCMLS and was pulled on July 16th, 2021. Properties Sold includes any property listed as sold that month in the respective MLS, and is not restricted to only properties sold by Summit Sotheby's. 'Southern Utah' includes Washington and Iron Counties. Prepared By Summit Sotheby's International Realty.
summitsothebysrealty.com
OUR OFFICES 175 0 Park Avenue Park Ci ty 62 5 Ma in Street Park Ci ty
362 N M ai n Street Heber Ci ty
545 Main Street Park Ci ty
8020 Vi c tor y Ran ch Roa d Vi c tor y Ran ch, Kamas
Mont Cer v in Pla z a #10 5 Deer Va lley ® , Park Ci ty 1 8 35 Three Kin g s Drive, #70 S ilver S ta r, Park Ci ty 8 41 7 E Ran ch Club Trai l Dri ve Prom on tor y, Park Ci ty 7085 G le nwild Dri ve Glenwild, Park Ci ty
1260 E Stri n gham Avenue, Sui te 100 Sugar Ho use, Sal t L ake Ci ty 870 East 90 0 South 9 th & 9 th , Sal t L ake Ci ty 13693 South 20 0 West , Sui te 10 0 Draper 15 1 N M ai n Street An cesto r Square, St . Geo rge
summit s otheby s realt y.com
All Available Inventory is the total “Number For Sale” that month. This includes any property that was on the market at any point during the month, as opposed to just the number of “For Sale at the End of the Month” which would be lower. This chart would capture any property that was listed and sold within the same month. Data is aggregated from three different MLS databases (PCBAOR, WFMLS, WCMLS) and was pulled on July 16th, 2021. Properties Sold includes any property listed as sold that month in the respective MLS, and is not restricted to only properties sold by Summit Sotheby’s. “Wasatch Back’ includes all listings from Summit and Wasatch Counties. ‘Southern Utah’ includes Washington and Iron Counties. ‘Wasatch Front’ includes Davis, Salt Lake, and Utah Counties. Prepared By Summit Sotheby’s International Realty. ©MMXXI Sotheby’s International Realty Affiliates, Inc. All Rights Reserved. Sotheby’s International Realty® is a licensed trademark to Sotheby’s International Realty Affiliates, Inc. An Equal Opportunity Company. Each Office Is Independently Owned And Operated. Copyright© Summit Sotheby’s International Realty 2021.