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Daily Market Reflection 31th May 2016

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Gold and silver showed bearish movement as US holiday so market moves in a range and in coming session selling can be continued. Gold is very bearish and selling gold would be a profitable strategy. Crude also showed bullish movement. In coming session buying in crude can be profitable strategy in near term. Base metals showed sideways movement as LME holiday and in near term selling would be profitable.

Fundamental News Fundamental Factors Gold prices fell Monday, moving in the opposite direction of the U.S. dollar, which soared after comments by Federal Reserve Chairwoman Janet Yellen last week indicated an interest-rate hike could come this summer. Crude oil prices continue to battle to remain above the $50 price level but find the resistance hard to breach. Traders remain focused on Thursday’s Producers Meeting.

COMDEX

Market Updates MCX GOLD SILVER CRUDE COPPER ALUMINIUM LEAD NICKEL ZINC NATURALGAS COMEX

Important Data Time

Currency

Event

Forecast

Previous

1:30pm

EUR

M3 Money Supply y/y

5.0%

5.0%

2:30pm

EUR

CPI Flash Estimate y/y

-0.1%

-0.2%

GOLD SILVER CRUDE COPPER USDINR $ INDEX

Date 27-05-16 28603 38866 3310 314.30 103.65 113.60 562.10 127.70 147 Date 27-05-16 1216.70 16.269 49.33 2.114 67.3650 95.73

Date 30-05-16 28603 38577 3386 312.50 103.55 113.55 559 127.75 145.90 Date 30-05-16 1207.50 16.005 49.62 2.095 67.5450 95.72

% Chg 0.00% -0.74% +2.30% -0.57% -0.10% -0.04% -0.55% +0.04% 0.75% % Chg -0.76% -1.62% +0.59% -0.90% +0.27% -0.01%

OUR PREVIOUS CALLS UPDATE Intraday super star

2:30pm

EUR

6:00pm

USD

6:00pm

USD

7:15pm

USD

Core CPI Flash Estimate y/y

0.8%

0.7%

Commodity

Entry

Exit

P/L

26/05

CRUDE

3350

3290

-6000

Date Commodity 26/05 COPPER Trifid special

Entry 316

Exit 313

P/L -3000

Date

Commodity

Entry

Exit

P/L

26/05

DHANIYA

6750

6825

-7500

Multibagger

Core PCE Price Index m/m

0.2%

0.1%

Personal Spending m/m

0.6%

0.1%

Chicago PMI

Date

50.8

50.4

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Gold and Silver GOLD

COMEX GOLD

PIVOTS S1 MCX 28400 COMEX 1195

S2 28200 1190

R1 28665 1215

R2 28900 1230

Gold today continue on lower note and broke its important support of 28500 and showed sideways trend. Sustaining below 28400 again drag it upto the support level of 28300. On higher side if some correction happens then 28900 will act as strong resistance level.

SILVER

COMEX SILVER

PIVOTS

S1

S2

R1

R2

SILVER over all showed sideways trend as gap down

MCX COMEX

38250 16.00

37700 15.80

38750 16.35

39250 16.55

opening drag it towards the support level od 38300. Now bearishness may again drag it upto the support level of 37900. On the other hand 39000 will act as major resistance level above only some correction may be seen.

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Crude and Copper CRUDE

COMEX CRUDE

MCX Crude opened on higher note and showed bullish PIVOTS

S1

S2

R1

R2

MCX

3350

3400

3280

3240

COMEX

48.60

48.00

49.90

50.50

COPPER

movement. Now bullishness may bounce it towards the resistance level of 3400. And on lower side 3270 will act as important support level. COMEX COPPER

PIVOTS

S1

S2

R1

R2

Copper showed sideways movement as LME holiday. Now

MCX

312

310

315.80

318.05

if it maintain above 316 then 320 will act as next resistance

COMEX

2.1165

2.3500

2.0835

2.0585

level. On other hand 312 will act as important support level.

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Other Commodities PIVOTS COMMODITIES

S1

S2

R1

R2

VOLUME

OI

TREND

ALUMINIUM

103.20

102.20

104.50

105.50

2112

2293

Bearish

LEAD

113

112

114

115

3902

3014

Bullish

NICKEL

552

540

570

580

7898

19253

Bearish

ZINC

127

126

128

129

4933

3730

Bullish

NATURAL GAS

145

142

148

150

21258

6144

Sideways

LME Inventory Commodities

24/05/2016

25/05/2016

26/05/2016

27/05/2016

30/05/2016

ALUMINIUM

-5550

-5375

-4425

-5900

-

COPPER

+2250

-2000

+725

-2225

-

LEAD

+5575

+5575

-275

-25

-

NICKEL

-384

-630

-978

+1848

-

ZINC

-100

-600

-50

-2025

-

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Agri Commodity Updates CHANA Chana showed sideways movement all the day broke its important resistance level of 6100. Now if it maintains above 6120 then 6160 will be next resistance level. And on lower side 6040 will act as major support level.

PIVOTS

DHANIYA

S1

S2

R1

R2

6045

6000

6120

6160

Dhaniya showed sideways trend and formed head and shoulder pattern on 30 min chart. Now on higher side 6925 will act as important resistance level above which it will pull towards the resistance level of 7050 On lower side some bearishness drag towards the support level of 6800.

PIVOTS

S1

S2

R1

R2

6810

6715

6925

7000

GUARSEED Guarseed showed sideways movement all the day and correction on higher side take it towards the resistance level of 3175. Now if it sustains below 3090 then 3025 will be next support level. And on higher side 3185will act as major resistance level.

PIVOTS

S1

S2

R1

R2

3080

3045

3150

3185

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