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Daily Market Reflection 18th May 2016 USDINR

Market Outlook Indian currency appreciated in the early session against greenback on back of positive sentiments in most Asian currencies but soon lost its shine as the session moved forward and finally settled on flat note. One of the major events awaited was UK Consumer Prices Index (CPI) which rose by 0.3% in the year to April 2016, down from 0.5% in the year to March. From late 2015, the rate began to increase gradually

Reference Rate

from close to zero. The drop in April 2016 is the first fall since September 2015.

Currency

Date Date 16-05-16 17-05-16 66.8216 66.7233 75.5953 75.4907 95.9625 96.5953 61.4500 61.0700

Fundamental News 

Dollar edges down, Aussie soars on less dovish RBA minutes.

South Korea won up on renewed risk demand, stocks edge down.

UK CPI softens in April, drops for the 1st time since

Currencies vs $

September. 

USDINR EURINR GBPINR JPYINR

Currency

Euro area international trade in goods surplus €28.6 bn. Rupee Dollar Index Euro Pound Japanese Yen

Currency Future Currency

Date

Date

16-05-16

17-05-16

USDINR

66.9675

67.0150

+0.07%

EURINR

75.8400

75.8625

+0.03%

GBPINR

96.2100

96.9900

+0.81%

JPYINR

61.4775

61.2125

-0.49%

% Chg

Currency

Event

Forecast

Close (5:00pm) 66.8750 94.5800 1.1306 1.4459 109.43

Prev Close 66.8050 94.5500 1.1318 1.4482 108.92

% Chg +0.10% +0.03% -0.10% -0.15% +0.46%

Global Commodities

Event Calendar (18th May 2016) Time

% Change -0.14% -0.13% +0.65% -0.61%

Previous

5:20am

JPY

Prelim GDP q/q

0.1%

-0.3%

2:00pm

GBP

Average Earnings Index 3m/y

1.7%

1.8%

2:00pm

GBP

Claimant Count Change

4.0K

6.7K

2:00pm

GBP

Unemployment Rate

5.1%

5.1%

2:30pm

EUR

Final CPI y/y

-0.2%

-0.2%

11:30pm

USD

FOMC Meeting Minutes

-

-

Commodity Gold Silver Crude Copper

Close 1272.38 17.10 48.42 2.0730

Prev.Close 1278.56 17.22 48.87 2.0868

% Chg -0.48% -0.69% -0.92% -0.66%

Our Previous calls update Intraday super star Date Currency Entry Exit P/L 17/05 EURINR 75.7000 75.8700 -3400 Trifid special Date Currency Entry Exit P/L 10/05 GBPINR 96.5700 97.0700 20000 For our next calls click here……..

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Overview USDINR

EURINR

USDINR opened on lower note on strengthening of Rupee

EURINR opened on lower note but showed pull back from

against dollar but soon Indian currency lost its shine and the

bottom levels to close on a flat to positive note.

pair closed on positive note. Now, if it is able to sustain above 100 day EMA then it may

It is expected to find support near the trend line as shown in daily chart above i.e. around 75.5000 while any closing

lead higher while 66.8000 is still acting as important support.

above 76.1000 can firm the trend of the pair.

R1 67.1000

R1

R2

S1

S2

76.0000

76.10000

75.7000

75.5000

R2 67.2000

S1 66.8000

S2 66.7000

GBPINR

JPYINR

GBPINR jumped sharply against the previous session close

JPYINR showed weak trend for the entire session after

and closed with gains of approx 0.80%.

opening on lower side.

It took resistance of 100 day EMA i.e. around 97.0700 and so

On daily charts, it took support exactly near the trend line

sustaining above it can again show bulls while 96.7000 is seen

and 62.9000 is expected as good support for it while 61.5000

as immediate support level.

is seen as resistance ahead.

R1 97.1000

R2 97.3000

S1 96.7000

S2 96.5000

R1 61.4000

R2 61.6000

S1 61.0000

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S2 60.8000


Intraday Super Star (Premium Section)

Currency found support around the trend line so coming from deeper support and it still looks weaker against the Indian currency hence selling pressure is expected in the counter. **** TARGETS ****/**** SL *****. For complete call subscribe our premium reports.

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Trifid Special (Premium Section)

Currency closed near to the important resistance of 100 day EMA and now seems to move ahead as is expected to surpass the resistance and may reach upper resistance levels. **** TARGET ***** SL *****. For complete call subscribe our premium reports.

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