financial vanguard October 8th edition

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OCTOBER 8, 2012

Cautious optimism as monetary tightening buoys Q3 economic performance

Experts attributed these developments to a number of factors, particularly the measures introduced by the CBN in the second quarter to further tighten money supply, the inclusion of Nigeria in the JP Morgan Government Bond Index-Emerging Market (GBI-EM), renewed interest by foreign investors in the Nigerian capital market and the commencement of a number of new initiatives by the NSE designed to enhance market efficiency.

APITAL MARKET: SWF, retail bond trading and improved results fuel optimism

C

A significant improvement was recorded in transactions in the Nigerian Stock Exchange, NSE, in the third quarter, as the key indices for measuring performance in the Continues on page 17

169.00

-5.55

2,385.00

-10.00

21.48

-0.12

*From left: Mr. Edem Vindah, Media& Public Relations Manager, Nigerian Breweries Plc (NB); Mrs Nkechi AlliBalogun, former Chairman, Nigerian Institute of Public Relations (NIPR) Lagos, and Mr. Vivien Ikem, Corporate & Social Responsibility Manager, NB Plc at the media briefing on the 2012 Nigerian Breweries' Golden Pen Prize in Lagos. Photo by Sylva Eleanya. BY BABAJIDE KOMOLAFE, MICHAEL EBOH, NKIRUKA NNOROM, FRANKLIN ALLI & NAOMI UZOR

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conomic experts have called for cautious optimism following significant improvement recorded in some economic indices in the third quarter of the year as a result of the tight monetary policy measures of the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN). Reviewing the performance of the economy in the third quarter, experts C M Y K

who spoke to Financial Vanguard said that though most economic indices performed positively during the period with possibility of doing better in the fourth quarter, there are still factors in the global and local economy which pose serious threats to future economic performance. In the third quarter, the official exchange rate dropped by 12 kobo to N155.78, while inflation rate dropped to 11.7 per cent. Also, cost of funds in the interbank money market moderated downwards by 500 basis points. These

improvements facilitated inflow of foreign exchange which prompted the nation’s external reserve to rise to $41.16 billion from $36.77 billion in the second quarter. The nation’s capital market also recorded its highest growth with market indices growing by more than 20 per cent. Market capitalization rose by 20.12 to close the third quarter at N8.282 trillion, while the All-share index rose by 20.43 per cent or 4,412.07 basis points to close the quarter at 26,011.64 points from 21,599.57.

111.41

-1.17

89.47

-2.24

CURRENCY BUYING CENTRAL SELLING DOLLAR STERLING EURO FRANC YEN CFA WAUA RENMINBI RIYAL KRONA SDR

154.77 250.5572 201.3712 166.0979 1.9726 0.2854 237.4943 24.6244 41.2698 26.9982 238.9958

155.27 251.3666 202.0218 166.6345 1.979 0.2954 238.2616 24.7044 41.4031 27.0854 239.7679

155.77 252.1761 202.6723 167.1711 1.9853 0.3054 239.0288 24.7844 41.5365 27.1727 240.54

CBN Exchange rate as at 05/10/2012 C M Y K


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