financial vanguard 14th january edition

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JANUARY 14, 2013

Kano state governor Dr. Rabiu Kwakwaso and the MD /CEO Bank of Industry Ms. Evelyn Oputu during a courtesy visit by the management of Bank of Industry to the governor at the governor’s lounge Abuja yesterday.

Nigeria risks decline in foreign aid in 2013 — Experts BY BABAJIDE KOMOLAFE igeria and Nigerian institu tions risk significant decline in foreign aid and assistance from multilateral donor agencies and developed countries says economic experts. Speaking at the Finance Correspondents Association of Nigeria (FICAN) Roundtable on the Economy, with the theme “Nigerian Economy in 2013: Issues and Expectations”, experts said that the

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uncertainties in the global economy and the planned rebasing of Nigeria’s Real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) could lead to decline in foreign aid and support to the country and institutions in the country that depend on such aids. In a paper titled, Global Economic Outlook in 2013: Implications for Nigeria, Professor Akpan Ekpo, Director General, West African Institute for Financial and Economic Management (WAIFEM), said that some advance countries have started reducing funding of key multilateral

financial institutions, who also have indicated intention to reduce aid given to developing economies like Nigeria and institutions in such countries that depend on such aids. On his part, Mr. Bismarck Rewane, Managing Director/Chief Executive, Financial Derivatives Company (FDC) Limited, said that the planned rebasing of Nigeria’s real GDP could lead to decline in foreign aid to the country and magnify income inequality. The real GDP is the total output of goods and services produced in an

economy at the prices of a particular year, called the base year. Currently, Nigeria’s real GDP is calculated using 1990 prices. But the National Bureau of Statistics plans to increase the base year to 2008 hence real GDP will be calculated using 2008 prices. In a paper titled, “Monetary Policy and Economic Growth in 2012 Outcomes and Prospects in 2013,” Rewane observed that this move is not economically expedient and it is for political mileage, adding that it is like wearing high heel shoes to increase ones height. He said that the rebasing will result in an increase in the nominal GDP to an estimate of $400 billion from the current estimate of $273.8 billion while Real GDP growth rate could decline from seven per cent to five per cent in 2013. He noted that when the maximum deficit to GDP ratio of 3.0 per cent is applied, the rebasing will increase the amount of money government can borrow, as three per cent of $400 billion is higher than three per cent of $273.8 billion. He said that the higher nominal GDP figure will lead to a shift in Nigeria’s status to Middle income country from that of a low income Continued on page 18

153.0

3.35

2,255.00

-14.00

19.19

0.23

1110.55 -1.34 93.64

-0.18

CURRENCY BUYING CENTRAL DOLLAR 154.77 POUNDS 249.3499 EURO 205.1322 FRANC 168.7602 YEN 1.7429 CFA 0.2904 WAUA 236.0165 RENMINBI 24.8953 RIYA 41.2676 KRONA 27.4873 SDR 236.7826

155.27 250.1555 205.7949 169.3054 1.7485 0.3004 236.7789 24.9762 41.4009 27.5761 237.5476

SELLING 155.77 250.961 206.4576 169.8506 1.7542 0.3104 237.5414 25.0571 41.5342 27.6649 238.3125

CBN Exchange rate as at 11/01/2013 C M Y K


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