Oil theft: FG may lose $12bn in 2013 - Okonjo Iweala

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NOVEMBER 4,

106.0

0.6

2,650.00

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18.24

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106.62

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94.94

-1.44

CURRENCY BUYING CENTRAL DOLLAR

2013

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154.8

155.3

155.8

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248.670

249.4739

250.2771

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214.3652

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238.9338

239.7056

240.4773

CBN Exchange rate as at 01/11/2013

R

evenue earned by Nigeria this year may be as much as $12 billion short of budget estimates as theft of crude and output disruptions persist in the oil-rich Niger River delta, Finance Minister Ngozi Okonjo-Iweala said. The government will draw down its oil savings in the Excess Crude Account to compensate for the drop in revenue to keep the budget deficit under control, Okonjo-Iweala said in an interview with Bloomberg in Abuja. Savings in the special crude account have dropped by half as President Goodluck Jonathan’s government tries to make up for the drop in oil revenue and fund a deficit that has reached 2.5 percent, according to the central bank. With a 2013 budget based on a daily output of 2.53 million barrels and an oil price of $79 a barrel, Nigeria expected revenue of almost $80 billion from exports. In the first half of the year, oil receipts amounted to $28.2 billion, more than $7 billion below the estimate, according to central bank figures. “What is amazing now is that we’ve had this quantity of shock and we were able to weather it,” Okonjo-Iweala said. “You can say theft, but it’s still a quantity shock.” Nigeria depends on crude exports for about 80 per cent of government

From left: Senior Project Officer, Lagos Empowerment and Resource Network (LEARN), Mrs. Tonne Saheed; winner of Senior School Debate Competition, Uzordinma Rita, of Eric Moore Senior High School; Tutor General/Permanent Secretary, Education District 4, Lagos State, Otunba Obajinmi and Director, Legal Services, Etisalat Nigeria, Mrs. Adeolu Idowu, at the Etisalat Career Counselling Session, held at Knot Centre, Yaba, Lagos, today, Thursday, 31st October, 2013. Photo:Bunmi Azeez.

Oil theft: FG may lose $12bn in 2013 — Okonjo-Iweala revenue and 95 percent of export income. Criminal gangs tapping oil from pipelines for illegal sale have posed the biggest threat to output since a government amnesty in 2009 reduced armed attacks led by rebels fighting for greater control of the region’s resources. The revenue shortfall due to output disruptions will probably be between

$6 billion and $12 billion, said Bright Okogu, director of the Budget Office, who sat in on the interview with the finance minister. The government saves the balance of oil revenue above the budgeted price in the Excess Crude Account, which had a balance of just under $5 billion, down from about $9 billion at the beginning of the year, according to the minister.

Nigeria’s vulnerability to shocks is heightened because of lower government revenue from oil, putting pressure on the currency, central bank Governor Lamido Sanusi said in an interview in Oslo. “The great challenge now is that the fiscal buffers are not as strong as they

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