Wayzata Public Schools Enrollment Projections & Facility Utilization Analysis Survival Cohort Method October 29, 2012 Analysis created for Wayzata Public Schools by the Insight Services Department at TeamWorks International, Inc. Centerville, MN
Wayzata Public Schools Current Attendance Areas
18 1
19 2
4B
8
Ê
Ê ÊÊ 32
Ê Ê 33 Ê
34
35
10
Ê 12
Ê Ê 13
11B
28
37
36
å
14
38
KIMBERLY LANE EL.
PLYMOUTH CREEK EL.
GREENWOOD EL.
16
42
å
30 Ê
31
Ê 7
11A
27
Ê
5
9
26
25
3
6
4A
ÊÊ
23
21 22
Ê
Ê
24
20
29
40
å
39
41 50
15
48
49
17
52 44
43
53
54
51 58
57
60 66
45
46
OAKWOOD EL.
å
47
Current Attendance Areas
68
å
Birchview
69
62
Plymouth Creek Sunset Hill
Ê
Proposed Housing Developments Natural Neighborhoods
å
76
BIRCHVIEW EL.
65
79
70
71
77 78
63
GLEASON LAKE EL.
Kimberly Lane Oakwood
75 74
Gleason Lake Greenwood
73
61
59
64 67
56
55
72
81
å
SUNSET HILL EL.
80
Enrollment Projections and Facility Utilization Analysis
Birchview Elementary
Historical Enrollment
Projected Enrollment
Grade K 1 2 3 4 5
07-08 82 108 103 101 88 94
08-09 102 92 108 110 99 107
09-10 106 111 97 108 114 109
10-11 119 118 117 99 110 111
11-12 84 122 116 109 103 111
12-13 94 110 121 124 107 101
13-14 96 108 110 122 125 110
14-15 90 111 108 111 123 129
15-16 100 103 111 109 112 127
16-17 102 115 104 112 110 115
17-18 92 117 116 104 113 113
Total Enrollment
576
618
645
674
645
657
672
672
663
659
656
700
Total Enrollment
650 600 550 500 450 400
Potential Kindergateners Based on Live Births - Birchview Attendance Area Birth Year*
01-02
02-03
03-04
04-05
05-06
06-07
07-08
08-09
09-10
10-11
11-12
Begin K Year
07-08
08-09
09-10
10-11
11-12
12-13
13-14
14-15
15-16
16-17
17-18
Births
112
% Retention**
73.2%
102 100.0%
134 79.1%
123 96.7%
114 73.7%
118 79.7%
120 80.3%
112 80.3%
125 80.3%
127 80.3%
115 80.3%
% Utilization
Capacity*
102% 105% 90% 112% 102% 107%
100 110 115 100 108 108
Projected Enrollment 17-18 92 117 116 104 113 113
103%
641
656
*Both Birth Year and Begin K Year is based on a School Year beginning on September 1st and ending on August 31st ** %Retention is calculated by taking the total K for that given Begin K Year divided by the total births in that given Birth Year
Facilities Utilization Grade
Capacity*
K 1 2 3 4 5 Practical Capacity
100 110 115 100 108 108
Projected Enrollment 13-14 96 108 110 122 125 110
641
672
% Utilization
Capacity*
96% 98% 96% 122% 116% 102%
100 110 115 100 108 108
Projected Enrollment 14-15 90 111 108 111 123 129
105%
641
672
% Utilization
Capacity*
90% 101% 94% 111% 114% 119%
100 110 115 100 108 108
Projected Enrollment 15-16 100 103 111 109 112 127
105%
641
663
% Utilization
Capacity*
100% 94% 96% 109% 104% 117%
100 110 115 100 108 108
Projected Enrollment 16-17 102 115 104 112 110 115
103%
641
659
% Utilization 92% 107% 100% 104% 105% 105% 102%
Enrollment Projections and Facility Utilization Analysis
Gleason Lake Elementary
Historical Enrollment Grade K 1 2 3 4 5 Total Enrollment
Projected Enrollment
07-08 77 126 110 121 118 116
08-09 96 84 125 116 118 119
09-10 108 104 90 122 112 117
10-11 120 127 114 96 125 113
11-12 95 97 133 113 101 123
12-13 109 99 94 133 110 109
13-14 90 107 101 95 134 113
14-15 87 89 109 102 95 137
15-16 95 85 91 110 102 97
16-17 80 93 87 91 111 105
17-18 98 79 95 88 92 113
668
658
653
695
662
654
639
619
581
567
565
*In 2010-2011, 21 students from Plymouth Creek were added to Gleason Lake and these numbers were NOT included here and will be added to Plymouth Creek *In 2012-2013, 21 students from Kimberly Lane were added to Gleason Lake and these numbers were NOT included here and will be added to Kimberly Lane
750 Total Enrollment
700 650 600 550 500 450
Potential Kindergateners Based on Live Births - Gleason Lake Attendance Area Birth Year*
01-02
02-03
03-04
04-05
05-06
06-07
07-08
08-09
09-10
10-11
11-12
Begin K Year
07-08
08-09
09-10
10-11
11-12
12-13
13-14
14-15
15-16
16-17
17-18
85 111.4%
72 111.4%
88 111.4%
% Utilization
Capacity*
80% 85% 76% 73% 82% 78%
100 110 115 125 135 135
Projected Enrollment 17-18 98 79 95 88 92 113
79%
720
565
97 114 100 97 79 82 78 % Retention** 73.3% 99.0% 94.7% 120.0% 97.9% 138.0% 110.1% 111.4% *Both Birth Year and Begin K Year is based on a School Year beginning on September 1st and ending on August 31st ** %Retention is calculated by taking the total K for that given Begin K Year divided by the total births in that given Birth Year Births
105
Facilities Utilization Grade
Capacity*
K 1 2 3 4 5 Practical Capacity
100 110 115 125 135 135
Projected Enrollment 13-14 90 107 101 95 134 113
720
639
% Utilization
Capacity*
90% 97% 88% 76% 99% 83%
100 110 115 125 135 135
Projected Enrollment 14-15 87 89 109 102 95 137
89%
720
619
% Utilization
Capacity*
87% 81% 95% 81% 70% 101%
100 110 115 125 135 135
Projected Enrollment 15-16 95 85 91 110 102 97
86%
720
581
% Utilization
Capacity*
95% 78% 79% 88% 76% 72%
100 110 115 125 135 135
Projected Enrollment 16-17 80 93 87 91 111 105
81%
720
567
% Utilization 98% 72% 83% 70% 68% 84% 78%
Enrollment Projections and Facility Utilization Analysis
Greenwood Elementary
Historical Enrollment
Projected Enrollment
Grade K 1 2 3 4 5
07-08 73 97 107 124 110 118
08-09 100 87 103 107 130 108
09-10 93 115 93 108 106 131
10-11 100 89 113 92 105 107
11-12* 129 117 104 124 104 110
12-13 109 112 133 115 137 121
13-14 110 118 129 147 128 150
14-15 129 119 135 144 163 142
15-16 110 139 135 150 159 178
16-17 112 114 154 144 161 170
17-18 116 116 126 165 155 172
Total Enrollment
629
635
646
606
688
727
781
832
871
855
851
*In 2011-2012 42 students from Plymouth Creek were added to Greenwood and these numbers were NOT included here and will be added to Plymouth Creek
900 850 800 750 700 650 600 550 500 450
Total Enrollment
Potential Kindergateners Based on Live Births - Greenwood Attendance Area Birth Year*
01-02
02-03
03-04
04-05
05-06
06-07
07-08
08-09
09-10
10-11
11-12
Begin K Year
07-08
08-09
09-10
10-11
11-12
12-13
13-14
14-15
15-16
16-17
17-18
Births
82
% Retention**
89.0%
61 163.9%
74 125.7%
47 212.8%
57 226.3%
51 213.7%
48 228.4%
55 234.6%
44 249.6%
36 311.1%
47 247.7%
% Utilization
Capacity*
93% 86% 113% 116% 119% 126%
120 132 137 125 135 135
Projected Enrollment 17-18 116 116 126 165 155 172
109%
784
851
*Both Birth Year and Begin K Year is based on a School Year beginning on September 1st and ending on August 31st ** %Retention is calculated by taking the total K for that given Begin K Year divided by the total births in that given Birth Year
Facilities Utilization Grade
Capacity*
K 1 2 3 4 5 Practical Capacity
120 132 137 125 135 135
Projected Enrollment 13-14 110 118 129 147 128 150
784
781
% Utilization
Capacity*
91% 89% 94% 118% 95% 111%
120 132 137 125 135 135
Projected Enrollment 14-15 129 119 135 144 163 142
100%
784
832
% Utilization
Capacity*
108% 90% 99% 115% 121% 105%
120 132 137 125 135 135
Projected Enrollment 15-16 110 139 135 150 159 178
106%
784
871
% Utilization
Capacity*
92% 105% 99% 120% 118% 132%
120 132 137 125 135 135
Projected Enrollment 16-17 112 114 154 144 161 170
111%
784
855
% Utilization 97% 88% 92% 132% 115% 127% 108%
Enrollment Projections and Facility Utilization Analysis
Kimberly Lane Elementary
Historical Enrollment
Projected Enrollment
Grade K 1 2 3 4 5
07-08 95 116 114 120 107 113
08-09 82 114 127 133 130 113
09-10 120 110 129 132 142 137
10-11 105 147 117 144 140 152
11-12 64 122 153 122 147 145
12-13 115 83 122 151 119 146
13-14 105 142 87 127 154 122
14-15 85 130 148 90 130 158
15-16 81 105 136 155 92 133
16-17 59 100 110 141 158 95
17-18 61 73 105 114 144 162
Total Enrollment
665
699
770
805
753
736
737
742
702
663
659
850 Total Enrollment
800 750 700 650 600 550 500 450
P Potential i l Kindergateners Ki d Based B d on Live Li Births Bi h - Kimberly Ki b l Lane L Attendance A d Area A Birth Year*
01-02
02-03
03-04
04-05
05-06
06-07
07-08
08-09
09-10
10-11
11-12
Begin K Year
07-08
08-09
09-10
10-11
11-12
12-13
13-14
14-15
15-16
16-17
17-18
Births
59
% Retention**
161.0%
56 146.4%
65 184.6%
55 190.9%
43 148.8%
56 205.4%
59 178.0%
47 180.9%
63 128.6%
56 105.4%
61 100.0%
% Utilization
Capacity*
59% 91% 95% 113% 117% 70%
100 110 115 125 135 135
Projected Enrollment 17-18 61 73 105 114 144 162
92%
720
659
*Both Birth Year and Begin K Year is based on a School Year beginning on September 1st and ending on August 31st ** %Retention is calculated by taking the total K for that given Begin K Year divided by the total births in that given Birth Year
Facilities Utilization Grade
Capacity*
K 1 2 3 4 5 Practical Capacity
100 110 115 125 135 135
Projected Enrollment 13-14 105 142 87 127 154 122
720
737
% Utilization
Capacity*
105% 129% 75% 102% 114% 91%
100 110 115 125 135 135
Projected Enrollment 14-15 85 130 148 90 130 158
102%
720
742
% Utilization
Capacity*
85% 118% 129% 72% 96% 117%
100 110 115 125 135 135
Projected Enrollment 15-16 81 105 136 155 92 133
103%
720
702
% Utilization
Capacity*
81% 96% 118% 124% 68% 99%
100 110 115 125 135 135
Projected Enrollment 16-17 59 100 110 141 158 95
97%
720
663
% Utilization 61% 66% 91% 92% 107% 120% 92%
Enrollment Projections and Facility Utilization Analysis
Oakwood Elementary
Historical Enrollment
Projected Enrollment
Grade K 1 2 3 4 5
07-08 72 71 88 77 85 88
08-09 68 83 74 92 76 85
09-10 84 75 90 71 101 75
10-11 86 83 75 96 77 99
11-12 87 101 86 76 100 80
12-13 59 84 94 88 80 98
13-14 64 63 84 96 92 80
14-15 70 69 63 86 101 93
15-16 67 75 69 65 90 101
16-17 51 72 75 71 68 90
17-18 63 54 72 77 74 68
Total Enrollment
481
478
496
516
530
503
480
482
467
427
409
550 Total Enrollment
500 450 400 350 300
P Potential i l Kindergateners Ki d Based B d on Live Li Births Bi h - Oakwood O k d Attendance A d Area A Birth Year*
01-02
02-03
03-04
04-05
05-06
06-07
07-08
08-09
09-10
10-11
11-12
Begin K Year
07-08
08-09
09-10
10-11
11-12
12-13
13-14
14-15
15-16
16-17
17-18
Births
77
% Retention**
93.5%
67 101.5%
77 109.1%
83 103.6%
58 150.0%
61 96.7%
55 117.2%
61 115.1%
58 115.1%
44 115.1%
55 115.1%
% Utilization
Capacity*
51% 65% 66% 57% 50% 67%
100 110 115 125 135 135
Projected Enrollment 17-18 63 54 72 77 74 68
59%
720
409
*Both Birth Year and Begin K Year is based on a School Year beginning on September 1st and ending on August 31st ** %Retention is calculated by taking the total K for that given Begin K Year divided by the total births in that given Birth Year
Facilities Utilization Grade
Capacity*
K 1 2 3 4 5 Practical Capacity
100 110 115 125 135 135
Projected Enrollment 13-14 64 63 84 96 92 80
720
480
% Utilization
Capacity*
64% 58% 73% 77% 68% 59%
100 110 115 125 135 135
Projected Enrollment 14-15 70 69 63 86 101 93
67%
720
482
% Utilization
Capacity*
70% 63% 55% 69% 75% 69%
100 110 115 125 135 135
Projected Enrollment 15-16 67 75 69 65 90 101
67%
720
467
% Utilization
Capacity*
67% 69% 60% 52% 67% 75%
100 110 115 125 135 135
Projected Enrollment 16-17 51 72 75 71 68 90
65%
720
427
% Utilization 63% 49% 62% 62% 55% 50% 57%
Enrollment Projections and Facility Utilization Analysis
Plymouth Creek Elementary
Historical Enrollment
Projected Enrollment
Grade K 1 2 3 4 5
07-08 95 124 122 104 115 102
08-09 106 120 132 129 112 118
09-10 116 117 118 144 120 117
10-11 141 139 114 125 147 119
11-12 112 153 150 118 128 151
12-13 150 131 166 161 128 127
13-14 122 172 139 176 168 130
14-15 151 140 182 147 183 170
15-16 171 173 149 193 153 185
16-17 164 196 183 157 201 155
17-18 171 188 208 194 164 203
Total Enrollment
662
717
732
785
812
863
906
973
1,024
1,056
1,128
1,250 Total Enrollment
1,150 1,050 950 850 750 650 550 450
P Potential i l Kindergateners Ki d Based B d on Live Li Births Bi h - Plymouth Pl h Creek C k Attendance A d Area A Birth Year*
01-02
02-03
03-04
04-05
05-06
06-07
07-08
08-09
09-10
10-11
11-12
Begin K Year
07-08
08-09
09-10
10-11
11-12
12-13
13-14
14-15
15-16
16-17
17-18
Births
70
% Retention**
135.7%
71 149.3%
69 168.1%
87 162.1%
69 162.3%
78 192.3%
73 167.7%
88 171.5%
102 167.7%
98 167.7%
102 167.7%
% Utilization
Capacity*
164% 178% 159% 126% 149% 115%
100 110 115 125 135 135
Projected Enrollment 17-18 171 188 208 194 164 203
147%
720
1128
*Both Birth Year and Begin K Year is based on a School Year beginning on September 1st and ending on August 31st ** %Retention is calculated by taking the total K for that given Begin K Year divided by the total births in that given Birth Year
Facilities Utilization Grade
Capacity*
K 1 2 3 4 5 Practical Capacity
100 110 115 125 135 135
Projected Enrollment 13-14 122 172 139 176 168 130
720
906
% Utilization
Capacity*
122% 156% 121% 141% 124% 96%
100 110 115 125 135 135
Projected Enrollment 14-15 151 140 182 147 183 170
126%
720
973
% Utilization
Capacity*
151% 127% 158% 118% 136% 126%
100 110 115 125 135 135
Projected Enrollment 15-16 171 173 149 193 153 185
135%
720
1024
% Utilization
Capacity*
171% 157% 129% 154% 113% 137%
100 110 115 125 135 135
Projected Enrollment 16-17 164 196 183 157 201 155
142%
720
1056
% Utilization 171% 171% 181% 155% 121% 151% 157%
Enrollment Projections and Facility Utilization Analysis
Sunset Hill Elementary
Historical Enrollment
Projected Enrollment
Grade K 1 2 3 4 5
07-08 88 91 109 91 84 90
08-09 92 92 92 105 93 95
09-10 86 108 91 94 100 94
10-11 91 88 110 86 101 104
11-12 91 104 92 103 89 99
12-13 92 94 96 90 101 89
13-14 81 100 93 92 91 102
14-15 86 88 99 90 93 92
15-16 78 94 87 95 91 94
16-17 104 85 93 84 96 92
17-18 80 113 84 89 85 97
Total Enrollment
553
569
573
580
578
562
560
548
539
554
549
600
Total Enrollment
550 500 450 400
P t ti l Ki Potential Kindergateners d t B Based d on Li Live Bi Births th - Sunset S t Hill Attendance Att d Area A Birth Year*
01-02
02-03
03-04
04-05
05-06
06-07
07-08
08-09
09-10
10-11
11-12
Begin K Year
07-08
08-09
09-10
10-11
11-12
12-13
13-14
14-15
15-16
16-17
17-18
Births
76
% Retention**
115.8%
78 117.9%
81 106.2%
75 121.3%
88 103.4%
93 98.9%
77 105.3%
80 107.9%
74 105.3%
99 105.3%
76 105.3%
% Utilization
Capacity*
104% 77% 81% 67% 71% 68%
100 110 115 125 135 135
Projected Enrollment 17-18 80 113 84 89 85 97
77%
720
549
*Both Birth Year and Begin K Year is based on a School Year beginning on September 1st and ending on August 31st ** %Retention is calculated by taking the total K for that given Begin K Year divided by the total births in that given Birth Year
Facilities Utilization Grade
Capacity*
K 1 2 3 4 5 Practical Capacity
100 110 115 125 135 135
Projected Enrollment 13-14 81 100 93 92 91 102
720
560
% Utilization
Capacity*
81% 91% 81% 74% 67% 76%
100 110 115 125 135 135
Projected Enrollment 14-15 86 88 99 90 93 92
78%
720
548
% Utilization
Capacity*
86% 80% 86% 72% 69% 68%
100 110 115 125 135 135
Projected Enrollment 15-16 78 94 87 95 91 94
76%
720
539
% Utilization
Capacity*
78% 85% 76% 76% 67% 70%
100 110 115 125 135 135
Projected Enrollment 16-17 104 85 93 84 96 92
75%
720
554
% Utilization 80% 103% 73% 72% 63% 72% 76%
Enrollment Projections and Facility Utilization Analysis
Wayzata School District
Historical Enrollment
Projected Enrollment
Grade K 1 2 3 4 5
07-08 582 733 753 738 707 721
08-09 646 672 761 792 758 745
09-10 713 740 708 779 795 780
10-11 762 791 760 738 805 805
11-12 662 816 834 765 772 819
12-13 728 713 826 862 782 791
13-14 668 810 743 855 892 807
14-15 698 746 844 770 888 921
15-16 702 774 778 877 799 915
16-17 672 775 806 800 905 822
17-18 681 740 806 831 827 928
Total Enrollment
4,234
4,374
4,515
4,661
4,668
4,702
4,775
4,867
4,845
4,780
4,813
5,450 Total Enrollment 4,450 3,450 2,450 1,450 450
Potential Kindergateners Based on Live Births - Birchview Attendance Area Birth Year*
01-02
02-03
03-04
04-05
05-06
06-07
07-08
08-09
09-10
10-11
11-12
Begin K Year
07-08
08-09
09-10
10-11
11-12
12-13
13-14
14-15
15-16
16-17
17-18
Births
581
% Retention**
100.2%
532 121.4%
614 116.1%
570 133.7%
526 125.9%
536 135.8%
514 130.0%
521 134.0%
551 127.4%
532 126.3%
544 125.2%
*Both Birth Year and Begin K Year is based on a School Year beginning on September 1st and ending on August 31st ** %Retention is calculated by taking the total K for that given Begin K Year divided by the total births in that given Birth Year
Facilities Utilization Grade
Capacity*
K 1 2 3 4 5 Practical Capacity
720 792 827 850 918 918 5025
Current % Enrollment Utilization 12-13 728 101% 713 90% 826 100% 862 101% 782 85% 791 86% 4702
94%
Capacity* 720 792 827 850 918 918 5025
Projected % Enrollment Utilization 13-14 668 93% 810 102% 743 90% 855 101% 892 97% 807 88% 4775
95%
Capacity* 720 792 827 850 918 918 5025
Projected % Enrollment Utilization 14-15 698 97% 746 94% 844 102% 770 91% 888 97% 921 100% 4867
97%
Capacity* 720 792 827 850 918 918 5025
Projected % Enrollment Utilization 15-16 702 98% 774 98% 778 94% 877 103% 799 87% 915 100% 4845
96%
Capacity* 720 792 827 850 918 918 5025
Projected % Enrollment Utilization 16-17 672 93% 775 98% 806 97% 800 94% 905 99% 822 90% 4780
95%
Capacity* 720 792 827 850 918 918 5025
Projected % Enrollment Utilization 17-18 681 95% 740 93% 806 97% 831 98% 827 90% 928 101% 4813
96%
Enrollment Projections and Facility Utilization Analysis
Wayzata School District
Historical Enrollment
Projected Enrollment
Grade K 1 2 3 4 5
07-08 582 733 753 738 707 721
08-09 646 672 761 792 758 745
09-10 713 740 708 779 795 780
10-11 762 791 760 738 805 805
11-12 662 816 834 765 772 819
12-13 728 713 826 862 782 791
13-14 668 810 743 855 892 807
14-15 698 746 844 770 888 921
15-16 702 774 778 877 799 915
16-17 672 775 806 800 905 822
17-18 681 740 806 831 827 928
Total Enrollment
4,234
4,374
4,515
4,661
4,668
4,702
4,775
4,867
4,845
4,780
4,813
5,450 Total Enrollment 4,450 3,450 2,450 1,450 450
Facilities Utilization Grade
Capacity*
K 1 2 3 4 5 Practical Capacity
720 792 827 850 918 918 5025
Current % Enrollment Utilization 12-13 728 101% 713 90% 826 100% 862 101% 782 85% 791 86% 4702
94%
Capacity* 720 792 827 850 918 918 5025
Projected % Enrollment Utilization 13-14 668 93% 810 102% 743 90% 855 101% 892 97% 807 88% 4775
95%
Capacity* 720 792 827 850 918 918 5025
Projected % Enrollment Utilization 14-15 698 97% 746 94% 844 102% 770 91% 888 97% 921 100% 4867
97%
Capacity* 720 792 827 850 918 918 5025
Projected % Enrollment Utilization 15-16 702 98% 774 98% 778 94% 877 103% 799 87% 915 100% 4845
96%
Capacity* 720 792 827 850 918 918 5025
Projected % Enrollment Utilization 16-17 672 93% 775 98% 806 97% 800 94% 905 99% 822 90% 4780
95%
Capacity* 720 792 827 850 918 918 5025
Projected % Enrollment Utilization 17-18 681 95% 740 93% 806 97% 831 98% 827 90% 928 101% 4813
96%
Wayzata Public Schools Enrollment Projections & Facility Utilization Analysis Attendance Area Scenario #3 Neighborhoods 54,55 & 56 – Birchview to Sunset Hill Neighborhood 42 – Oakwood to Gleason Lake Neighborhoods 8,9,10, 11A, 12 & 13 – Greenwood to Oakwood Neighborhoods 2 & 3 – Greenwood to Kimberly Lane Neighborhood 30 – Plymouth Creek to Kimberly Lane Neighborhoods 33 & 34 – Plymouth Creek to Oakwood October 29, 2012 Analysis created for Wayzata Public Schools by the Insight Services Department at TeamWorks International, Inc. Centerville, MN
Wayzata Public Schools Attendance Area Scenario #3
18 1
19 2
4B
8
Ê
Ê ÊÊ 32
Ê Ê 33 Ê
34
35
10
Ê 12
Ê Ê 13
11B
28
37
36
å
14
38
KIMBERLY LANE EL.
PLYMOUTH CREEK EL.
GREENWOOD EL.
16
42
å
30 Ê
31
Ê 7
11A
27
Ê
5
9
26
25
3
6
4A
ÊÊ
23
21 22
Ê
Ê
24
20
29
40
å
39
41 50
15
48
49
17
52 44
43
53
54
51 58
57
60 66
45
46
OAKWOOD EL.
å
47
Attendance Area Color Code
68
å
Birchview
69
62
Plymouth Creek Sunset Hill
Ê
Proposed Housing Developments Natural Neighborhoods
å
76
BIRCHVIEW EL.
65
79
70
71
77 78
63
GLEASON LAKE EL.
Kimberly Lane Oakwood
75 74
Gleason Lake Greenwood
73
61
59
64 67
56
55
72
81
å
SUNSET HILL EL.
80
Enrollment Projections and Facility Utilization Analysis
Birchview Elementary
Historical Enrollment
Projected Enrollment
Grade K 1 2 3 4 5
07-08 82 108 103 101 88 94
08-09 102 92 108 110 99 107
09-10 106 111 97 108 114 109
10-11 119 118 117 99 110 111
11-12 84 122 116 109 103 111
12-13 94 110 121 124 107 101
13-14 74 88 85 95 96 84
14-15 69 90 84 87 95 98
15-16 77 84 86 85 87 97
16-17 79 94 80 87 85 88
17-18 71 96 89 82 87 87
Total Enrollment
576
618
645
674
645
657
524
524
516
514
512
700
Total Enrollment
650 600 550 500 450 400
Facilities Utilization Grade
Capacity*
K 1 2 3 4 5 Practical Capacity
100 110 115 100 108 108 641
Projected % Enrollment Utilization 13-14 74 74% 88 80% 85 74% 95 95% 96 89% 84 78% 524
82%
Capacity* 100 110 115 100 108 108 641
Projected % Enrollment Utilization 14-15 69 69% 90 82% 84 73% 87 87% 95 88% 98 91% 524
82%
Capacity* 100 110 115 100 108 108 641
Projected % Enrollment Utilization 15-16 77 77% 84 77% 86 75% 85 85% 87 80% 97 90% 516
81%
Capacity* 100 110 115 100 108 108 641
Projected % Enrollment Utilization 16-17 79 79% 94 85% 80 70% 87 87% 85 79% 88 82% 514
80%
Capacity* 100 110 115 100 108 108 641
Projected % Enrollment Utilization 17-18 71 71% 96 87% 89 78% 82 82% 87 81% 87 80% 512
80%
Enrollment Projections and Facility Utilization Analysis
Gleason Lake Elementary
Historical Enrollment
Projected Enrollment
Grade K 1 2 3 4 5
07-08 77 126 110 121 118 116
08-09 96 84 125 116 118 119
09-10 108 104 90 122 112 117
10-11 120 127 114 96 125 113
11-12 95 97 133 113 101 123
12-13 109 99 94 133 110 109
13-14 97 120 111 115 149 120
14-15 95 103 117 120 112 145
15-16 102 101 98 124 117 106
16-17 86 108 96 106 122 113
17-18 105 90 103 104 104 119
Total Enrollment
668
658
653
695
662
654
712
691
649
630
626
*In 2010-2011, 21 students from Plymouth Creek were added to Gleason Lake and these numbers were NOT included here and will be added to Plymouth Creek *In 2012-2013, 21 students from Kimberly Lane were added to Gleason Lake and these numbers were NOT included here and will be added to Kimberly Lane
750 Total Enrollment
700 650 600 550 500 450
Facilities Utilization Grade
Capacity*
K 1 2 3 4 5 Practical Capacity
100 110 115 125 135 135 720
Projected % Enrollment Utilization 13-14 97 97% 120 109% 111 96% 115 92% 149 110% 120 89% 712
99%
Capacity* 100 110 115 125 135 135 720
Projected % Enrollment Utilization 14-15 95 95% 103 94% 117 101% 120 96% 112 83% 145 107% 691
96%
Capacity* 100 110 115 125 135 135 720
Projected % Enrollment Utilization 15-16 102 102% 101 92% 98 86% 124 99% 117 87% 106 79% 649
90%
Capacity* 100 110 115 125 135 135 720
Projected % Enrollment Utilization 16-17 86 86% 108 98% 96 83% 106 85% 122 90% 113 84% 630
88%
Capacity* 100 110 115 125 135 135 720
Projected % Enrollment Utilization 17-18 105 105% 90 82% 103 90% 104 83% 104 77% 119 88% 626
87%
Enrollment Projections and Facility Utilization Analysis
Greenwood Elementary
Historical Enrollment
Projected Enrollment
Grade K 1 2 3 4 5
07-08 73 97 107 124 110 118
08-09 100 87 103 107 130 108
09-10 93 115 93 108 106 131
10-11 100 89 113 92 105 107
11-12* 129 117 104 124 104 110
12-13 109 112 133 115 137 121
13-14 97 102 118 131 120 150
14-15 112 100 121 124 151 142
15-16 93 115 117 128 144 178
16-17 103 101 144 131 154 170
17-18 107 103 117 150 149 172
Total Enrollment
629
635
646
606
688
727
720
750
775
802
797
*In 2011-2012 42 students from Plymouth Creek were added to Greenwood and these numbers were NOT included here and will be added to Plymouth Creek
850 800 750 700 650 600 550 500 450
Total Enrollment
Facilities Utilization Grade
Capacity*
K 1 2 3 4 5 Practical Capacity
120 132 137 125 135 135 784
Projected % Enrollment Utilization 13-14 97 81% 102 78% 118 86% 131 105% 120 89% 150 111% 720
92%
Capacity* 120 132 137 125 135 135 784
Projected % Enrollment Utilization 14-15 112 93% 100 75% 121 88% 124 100% 151 112% 142 105% 750
96%
Capacity* 120 132 137 125 135 135 784
Projected % Enrollment Utilization 15-16 93 77% 115 87% 117 85% 128 102% 144 107% 178 132% 775
99%
Capacity* 120 132 137 125 135 135 784
Projected % Enrollment Utilization 16-17 103 85% 101 77% 144 105% 131 105% 154 114% 170 126% 802
102%
Capacity* 120 132 137 125 135 135 784
Projected % Enrollment Utilization 17-18 107 89% 103 78% 117 86% 150 120% 149 110% 172 127% 797
102%
Enrollment Projections and Facility Utilization Analysis
Kimberly Lane Elementary
Historical Enrollment
Projected Enrollment
Grade K 1 2 3 4 5
07-08 95 116 114 120 107 113
08-09 82 114 127 133 130 113
09-10 120 110 129 132 142 137
10-11 105 147 117 144 140 152
11-12 64 122 153 122 147 145
12-13 115 83 122 151 119 146
13-14 111 152 94 140 164 127
14-15 93 138 158 101 140 164
15-16 90 115 144 169 101 140
16-17 67 111 120 153 169 100
17-18 70 84 116 129 154 169
Total Enrollment
665
699
770
805
753
736
788
794
758
721
721
850 Total Enrollment
800 750 700 650 600 550 500 450
Facilities Utilization Grade
Capacity*
K 1 2 3 4 5 Practical Capacity
100 110 115 125 135 135 720
Projected % Enrollment Utilization 13-14 111 111% 152 138% 94 82% 140 112% 164 121% 127 94% 788
109%
Capacity* 100 110 115 125 135 135 720
Projected % Enrollment Utilization 14-15 93 93% 138 125% 158 138% 101 81% 140 104% 164 122% 794
110%
Capacity* 100 110 115 125 135 135 720
Projected % Enrollment Utilization 15-16 90 90% 115 104% 144 125% 169 135% 101 75% 140 104% 758
105%
Capacity* 100 110 115 125 135 135 720
Projected % Enrollment Utilization 16-17 67 67% 111 101% 120 104% 153 122% 169 125% 100 74% 721
100%
Capacity* 100 110 115 125 135 135 720
Projected % Enrollment Utilization 17-18 70 70% 84 76% 116 101% 129 103% 154 114% 169 126% 721
100%
Enrollment Projections and Facility Utilization Analysis
Oakwood Elementary
Historical Enrollment
Projected Enrollment
Grade K 1 2 3 4 5
07-08 72 71 88 77 85 88
08-09 68 83 74 92 76 85
09-10 84 75 90 71 101 75
10-11 86 83 75 96 77 99
11-12 87 101 86 76 100 80
12-13 59 84 94 88 80 98
13-14 93 89 114 117 110 106
14-15 108 94 105 109 122 128
15-16 109 106 110 101 111 139
16-17 85 97 114 92 93 120
17-18 97 80 116 102 92 109
Total Enrollment
481
478
496
516
530
503
629
666
676
601
596
700 Total Enrollment
650 600 550 500 450 400 350 300
Facilities Utilization Grade
Capacity*
K 1 2 3 4 5 Practical Capacity
100 110 115 125 135 135 720
Projected % Enrollment Utilization 13-14 93 93% 89 81% 114 99% 117 94% 110 81% 106 79% 629
87%
Capacity* 100 110 115 125 135 135 720
Projected % Enrollment Utilization 14-15 108 108% 94 85% 105 91% 109 87% 122 90% 128 95% 666
92%
Capacity* 100 110 115 125 135 135 720
Projected % Enrollment Utilization 15-16 109 109% 106 96% 110 95% 101 81% 111 82% 139 103% 676
94%
Capacity* 100 110 115 125 135 135 720
Projected % Enrollment Utilization 16-17 85 85% 97 88% 114 99% 92 74% 93 69% 120 89% 601
83%
Capacity* 100 110 115 125 135 135 720
Projected % Enrollment Utilization 17-18 97 97% 80 73% 116 101% 102 82% 92 68% 109 81% 596
83%
Enrollment Projections and Facility Utilization Analysis
Plymouth Creek Elementary
Historical Enrollment
Projected Enrollment
Grade K 1 2 3 4 5
07-08 95 124 122 104 115 102
08-09 106 120 132 129 112 118
09-10 116 117 118 144 120 117
10-11 141 139 114 125 147 119
11-12 112 153 150 118 128 151
12-13 150 131 166 161 128 127
13-14 93 139 103 138 133 99
14-15 114 113 136 115 146 129
15-16 130 140 111 151 122 141
16-17 125 158 136 123 160 118
17-18 130 152 155 152 130 154
Total Enrollment
662
717
732
785
812
863
705
753
794
820
873
900 850 800 750 700 650 600 550 500 450
Total Enrollment
Facilities Utilization Grade
Capacity*
K 1 2 3 4 5 Practical Capacity
100 110 115 125 135 135 720
Projected % Enrollment Utilization 13-14 93 93% 139 126% 103 90% 138 110% 133 99% 99 73% 705
98%
Capacity* 100 110 115 125 135 135 720
Projected % Enrollment Utilization 14-15 114 114% 113 103% 136 118% 115 92% 146 108% 129 96% 753
105%
Capacity* 100 110 115 125 135 135 720
Projected % Enrollment Utilization 15-16 130 130% 140 127% 111 96% 151 121% 122 90% 141 104% 794
110%
Capacity* 100 110 115 125 135 135 720
Projected % Enrollment Utilization 16-17 125 125% 158 144% 136 119% 123 99% 160 118% 118 87% 820
114%
Capacity* 100 110 115 125 135 135 720
Projected % Enrollment Utilization 17-18 130 130% 152 138% 155 134% 152 122% 130 97% 154 114% 873
121%
Enrollment Projections and Facility Utilization Analysis
Sunset Hill Elementary
Historical Enrollment Grade K 1 2 3 4 5 Total Enrollment
Projected Enrollment
07-08 88 91 109 91 84 90
08-09 92 92 92 105 93 95
09-10 86 108 91 94 100 94
10-11 91 88 110 86 101 104
11-12 91 104 92 103 89 99
12-13 92 94 96 90 101 89
13-14 103 120 118 119 120 121
14-15 107 108 123 114 122 115
15-16 101 113 112 119 117 114
16-17 127 106 116 108 122 113
17-18 101 135 110 112 111 118
553
569
573
580
578
562
701
690
676
693
687
750
Total Enrollment
700 650 600 550 500 450 400
Facilities Utilization Grade
Capacity*
K 1 2 3 4 5 Practical Capacity
100 110 115 125 135 135 720
Projected % Enrollment Utilization 13-14 103 103% 120 109% 118 103% 119 95% 120 89% 121 90% 701
97%
Capacity* 100 110 115 125 135 135 720
Projected % Enrollment Utilization 14-15 107 107% 108 99% 123 107% 114 91% 122 90% 115 85% 690
96%
Capacity* 100 110 115 125 135 135 720
Projected % Enrollment Utilization 15-16 101 101% 113 103% 112 98% 119 95% 117 86% 114 84% 676
94%
Capacity* 100 110 115 125 135 135 720
Projected % Enrollment Utilization 16-17 127 127% 106 96% 116 101% 108 87% 122 90% 113 84% 693
96%
Capacity* 100 110 115 125 135 135 720
Projected % Enrollment Utilization 17-18 101 101% 135 123% 110 96% 112 90% 111 82% 118 87% 687
95%
Enrollment Projections and Facility Utilization Analysis
Wayzata School District
Historical Enrollment
Projected Enrollment
Grade K 1 2 3 4 5
07-08 582 733 753 738 707 721
08-09 646 672 761 792 758 745
09-10 713 740 708 779 795 780
10-11 762 791 760 738 805 805
11-12 662 816 834 765 772 819
12-13 728 713 826 862 782 791
13-14 668 810 743 855 892 807
14-15 698 746 844 770 888 921
15-16 702 774 778 877 799 915
16-17 672 775 806 800 905 822
17-18 681 740 806 831 827 928
Total Enrollment
4,234
4,374
4,515
4,661
4,668
4,702
4,775
4,867
4,845
4,780
4,813
5,450 Total Enrollment 4,450 3,450 2,450 1,450 450
Facilities Utilization Grade
Capacity*
K 1 2 3 4 5 Practical Capacity
720 792 827 850 918 918 5025
Current % Enrollment Utilization 12-13 728 101% 713 90% 826 100% 862 101% 782 85% 791 86% 4702
94%
Capacity* 720 792 827 850 918 918 5025
Projected % Enrollment Utilization 13-14 668 93% 810 102% 743 90% 855 101% 892 97% 807 88% 4775
95%
Capacity* 720 792 827 850 918 918 5025
Projected % Enrollment Utilization 14-15 698 97% 746 94% 844 102% 770 91% 888 97% 921 100% 4867
97%
Capacity* 720 792 827 850 918 918 5025
Projected % Enrollment Utilization 15-16 702 98% 774 98% 778 94% 877 103% 799 87% 915 100% 4845
96%
Capacity* 720 792 827 850 918 918 5025
Projected % Enrollment Utilization 16-17 672 93% 775 98% 806 97% 800 94% 905 99% 822 90% 4780
95%
Capacity* 720 792 827 850 918 918 5025
Projected % Enrollment Utilization 17-18 681 95% 740 93% 806 97% 831 98% 827 90% 928 101% 4813
96%
Wayzata Public Schools Enrollment Projections & Facility Utilization Analysis Attendance Area Scenario #4 Neighborhoods 38 & 39 – Plymouth Creek to Sunset Hill Neighborhood 42 – Oakwood to Gleason Lake Neighborhoods 8,9,10, 11A, 12 & 13 – Greenwood to Oakwood Neighborhoods 2 & 3 – Greenwood to Kimberly Lane Neighborhood 30 – Plymouth Creek to Kimberly Lane Neighborhoods 33 & 34 – Plymouth Creek to Oakwood October 29, 2012 Analysis created for Wayzata Public Schools by the Insight Services Department at TeamWorks International, Inc. Centerville, MN
Wayzata Public Schools Attendance Area Scenario #4
18 1
19 2
4B
8
Ê
Ê ÊÊ 32
Ê Ê 33 Ê
34
35
10
Ê 12
Ê Ê 13
11B
28
37
36
å
14
38
KIMBERLY LANE EL.
PLYMOUTH CREEK EL.
GREENWOOD EL.
16
42
å
30 Ê
31
Ê 7
11A
27
Ê
5
9
26
25
3
6
4A
ÊÊ
23
21 22
Ê
Ê
24
20
29
40
å
39
41 50
15
48
49
17
52 44
43
53
54
51 58
57
60 66
45
46
OAKWOOD EL.
å
47
Attendance Area Color Code
68
å
Birchview
69
62
Plymouth Creek Sunset Hill
Ê
Proposed Housing Developments Natural Neighborhoods
å
76
BIRCHVIEW EL.
65
79
70
71
77 78
63
GLEASON LAKE EL.
Kimberly Lane Oakwood
75 74
Gleason Lake Greenwood
73
61
59
64 67
56
55
72
81
å
SUNSET HILL EL.
80
Enrollment Projections and Facility Utilization Analysis
Birchview Elementary
Historical Enrollment
Projected Enrollment
Grade K 1 2 3 4 5
07-08 82 108 103 101 88 94
08-09 102 92 108 110 99 107
09-10 106 111 97 108 114 109
10-11 119 118 117 99 110 111
11-12 84 122 116 109 103 111
12-13 94 110 121 124 107 101
13-14 96 108 110 122 125 110
14-15 90 111 108 111 123 129
15-16 100 103 111 109 112 127
16-17 102 115 104 112 110 115
17-18 92 117 116 104 113 113
Total Enrollment
576
618
645
674
645
657
671
672
662
658
655
700
Total Enrollment
650 600 550 500 450 400
Facilities Utilization Grade
Capacity*
K 1 2 3 4 5 Practical Capacity
100 110 115 100 108 108 641
Projected % Enrollment Utilization 13-14 96 96% 108 98% 110 96% 122 122% 125 116% 110 102% 671
105%
Capacity* 100 110 115 100 108 108 641
Projected % Enrollment Utilization 14-15 90 90% 111 101% 108 94% 111 111% 123 114% 129 119% 672
105%
Capacity* 100 110 115 100 108 108 641
Projected % Enrollment Utilization 15-16 100 100% 103 94% 111 97% 109 109% 112 104% 127 118% 662
103%
Capacity* 100 110 115 100 108 108 641
Projected % Enrollment Utilization 16-17 102 102% 115 105% 104 90% 112 112% 110 102% 115 106% 658
103%
Capacity* 100 110 115 100 108 108 641
Projected % Enrollment Utilization 17-18 92 92% 117 106% 116 101% 104 104% 113 105% 113 105% 655
102%
Enrollment Projections and Facility Utilization Analysis
Gleason Lake Elementary
Historical Enrollment
Projected Enrollment
Grade K 1 2 3 4 5
07-08 77 126 110 121 118 116
08-09 96 84 125 116 118 119
09-10 108 104 90 122 112 117
10-11 120 127 114 96 125 113
11-12 95 97 133 113 101 123
12-13 109 99 94 133 110 109
13-14 97 120 111 115 149 120
14-15 95 103 117 120 112 145
15-16 102 101 98 124 117 106
16-17 86 108 96 106 122 113
17-18 105 90 103 104 104 119
Total Enrollment
668
658
653
695
662
654
712
691
649
630
626
*In 2010-2011, 21 students from Plymouth Creek were added to Gleason Lake and these numbers were NOT included here and will be added to Plymouth Creek *In 2012-2013, 21 students from Kimberly Lane were added to Gleason Lake and these numbers were NOT included here and will be added to Kimberly Lane
750 Total Enrollment
700 650 600 550 500 450
Facilities Utilization Grade
Capacity*
K 1 2 3 4 5 Practical Capacity
100 110 115 125 135 135 720
Projected % Enrollment Utilization 13-14 97 97% 120 109% 111 96% 115 92% 149 110% 120 89% 712
99%
Capacity* 100 110 115 125 135 135 720
Projected % Enrollment Utilization 14-15 95 95% 103 94% 117 101% 120 96% 112 83% 145 107% 691
96%
Capacity* 100 110 115 125 135 135 720
Projected % Enrollment Utilization 15-16 102 102% 101 92% 98 86% 124 99% 117 87% 106 79% 649
90%
Capacity* 100 110 115 125 135 135 720
Projected % Enrollment Utilization 16-17 86 86% 108 98% 96 83% 106 85% 122 90% 113 84% 630
88%
Capacity* 100 110 115 125 135 135 720
Projected % Enrollment Utilization 17-18 105 105% 90 82% 103 90% 104 83% 104 77% 119 88% 626
87%
Enrollment Projections and Facility Utilization Analysis
Greenwood Elementary
Historical Enrollment
Projected Enrollment
Grade K 1 2 3 4 5
07-08 73 97 107 124 110 118
08-09 100 87 103 107 130 108
09-10 93 115 93 108 106 131
10-11 100 89 113 92 105 107
11-12* 129 117 104 124 104 110
12-13 109 112 133 115 137 121
13-14 97 102 118 131 120 150
14-15 112 100 121 124 151 142
15-16 93 115 117 128 144 178
16-17 103 101 144 131 154 170
17-18 107 103 117 150 149 172
Total Enrollment
629
635
646
606
688
727
720
750
775
802
797
*In 2011-2012 42 students from Plymouth Creek were added to Greenwood and these numbers were NOT included here and will be added to Plymouth Creek
850 800 750 700 650 600 550 500 450
Total Enrollment
Facilities Utilization Grade
Capacity*
K 1 2 3 4 5 Practical Capacity
120 132 137 125 135 135 784
Projected % Enrollment Utilization 13-14 97 81% 102 78% 118 86% 131 105% 120 89% 150 111% 720
92%
Capacity* 120 132 137 125 135 135 784
Projected % Enrollment Utilization 14-15 112 93% 100 75% 121 88% 124 100% 151 112% 142 105% 750
96%
Capacity* 120 132 137 125 135 135 784
Projected % Enrollment Utilization 15-16 93 77% 115 87% 117 85% 128 102% 144 107% 178 132% 775
99%
Capacity* 120 132 137 125 135 135 784
Projected % Enrollment Utilization 16-17 103 85% 101 77% 144 105% 131 105% 154 114% 170 126% 802
102%
Capacity* 120 132 137 125 135 135 784
Projected % Enrollment Utilization 17-18 107 89% 103 78% 117 86% 150 120% 149 110% 172 127% 797
102%
Enrollment Projections and Facility Utilization Analysis
Kimberly Lane Elementary
Historical Enrollment
Projected Enrollment
Grade K 1 2 3 4 5
07-08 95 116 114 120 107 113
08-09 82 114 127 133 130 113
09-10 120 110 129 132 142 137
10-11 105 147 117 144 140 152
11-12 64 122 153 122 147 145
12-13 115 83 122 151 119 146
13-14 111 152 94 140 164 127
14-15 93 138 158 101 140 164
15-16 90 115 144 169 101 140
16-17 67 111 120 153 169 100
17-18 70 84 116 129 154 169
Total Enrollment
665
699
770
805
753
736
788
794
758
721
721
850 Total Enrollment
800 750 700 650 600 550 500 450
Facilities Utilization Grade
Capacity*
K 1 2 3 4 5 Practical Capacity
100 110 115 125 135 135 720
Projected % Enrollment Utilization 13-14 111 111% 152 138% 94 82% 140 112% 164 121% 127 94% 788
109%
Capacity* 100 110 115 125 135 135 720
Projected % Enrollment Utilization 14-15 93 93% 138 125% 158 138% 101 81% 140 104% 164 122% 794
110%
Capacity* 100 110 115 125 135 135 720
Projected % Enrollment Utilization 15-16 90 90% 115 104% 144 125% 169 135% 101 75% 140 104% 758
105%
Capacity* 100 110 115 125 135 135 720
Projected % Enrollment Utilization 16-17 67 67% 111 101% 120 104% 153 122% 169 125% 100 74% 721
100%
Capacity* 100 110 115 125 135 135 720
Projected % Enrollment Utilization 17-18 70 70% 84 76% 116 101% 129 103% 154 114% 169 126% 721
100%
Enrollment Projections and Facility Utilization Analysis
Oakwood Elementary
Historical Enrollment
Projected Enrollment
Grade K 1 2 3 4 5
07-08 72 71 88 77 85 88
08-09 68 83 74 92 76 85
09-10 84 75 90 71 101 75
10-11 86 83 75 96 77 99
11-12 87 101 86 76 100 80
12-13 59 84 94 88 80 98
13-14 93 89 114 117 110 106
14-15 108 94 105 109 122 128
15-16 109 106 110 101 111 139
16-17 85 97 114 92 93 120
17-18 97 80 116 102 92 109
Total Enrollment
481
478
496
516
530
503
629
666
676
601
596
700 Total Enrollment
650 600 550 500 450 400 350 300
Facilities Utilization Grade
Capacity*
K 1 2 3 4 5 Practical Capacity
100 110 115 125 135 135 720
Projected % Enrollment Utilization 13-14 93 93% 89 81% 114 99% 117 94% 110 81% 106 79% 629
87%
Capacity* 100 110 115 125 135 135 720
Projected % Enrollment Utilization 14-15 108 108% 94 85% 105 91% 109 87% 122 90% 128 95% 666
92%
Capacity* 100 110 115 125 135 135 720
Projected % Enrollment Utilization 15-16 109 109% 106 96% 110 95% 101 81% 111 82% 139 103% 676
94%
Capacity* 100 110 115 125 135 135 720
Projected % Enrollment Utilization 16-17 85 85% 97 88% 114 99% 92 74% 93 69% 120 89% 601
83%
Capacity* 100 110 115 125 135 135 720
Projected % Enrollment Utilization 17-18 97 97% 80 73% 116 101% 102 82% 92 68% 109 81% 596
83%
Enrollment Projections and Facility Utilization Analysis
Plymouth Creek Elementary
Historical Enrollment
Projected Enrollment
Grade K 1 2 3 4 5
07-08 95 124 122 104 115 102
08-09 106 120 132 129 112 118
09-10 116 117 118 144 120 117
10-11 141 139 114 125 147 119
11-12 112 153 150 118 128 151
12-13 150 131 166 161 128 127
13-14 60 102 82 108 96 68
14-15 72 82 106 91 106 87
15-16 80 103 88 118 90 95
16-17 79 114 105 95 113 83
17-18 80 112 118 118 94 108
Total Enrollment
662
717
732
785
812
863
516
544
573
589
630
900 850 800 750 700 650 600 550 500 450
Total Enrollment
Facilities Utilization Grade
Capacity*
K 1 2 3 4 5 Practical Capacity
100 110 115 125 135 135 720
Projected % Enrollment Utilization 13-14 60 60% 102 93% 82 72% 108 86% 96 71% 68 50% 516
72%
Capacity* 100 110 115 125 135 135 720
Projected % Enrollment Utilization 14-15 72 72% 82 75% 106 92% 91 73% 106 79% 87 64% 544
76%
Capacity* 100 110 115 125 135 135 720
Projected % Enrollment Utilization 15-16 80 80% 103 93% 88 76% 118 94% 90 67% 95 70% 573
80%
Capacity* 100 110 115 125 135 135 720
Projected % Enrollment Utilization 16-17 79 79% 114 104% 105 92% 95 76% 113 84% 83 61% 589
82%
Capacity* 100 110 115 125 135 135 720
Projected % Enrollment Utilization 17-18 80 80% 112 102% 118 103% 118 94% 94 70% 108 80% 630
87%
Enrollment Projections and Facility Utilization Analysis
Sunset Hill Elementary
Historical Enrollment Grade K 1 2 3 4 5 Total Enrollment
Projected Enrollment
07-08 88 91 109 91 84 90
08-09 92 92 92 105 93 95
09-10 86 108 91 94 100 94
10-11 91 88 110 86 101 104
11-12 91 104 92 103 89 99
12-13 92 94 96 90 101 89
13-14 114 137 114 122 128 126
14-15 128 118 129 114 134 126
15-16 128 131 110 128 124 131
16-17 150 129 124 111 142 122
17-18 130 153 122 122 122 138
553
569
573
580
578
562
741
749
752
778
787
850 800 750 700 650 600 550 500 450 400
Total Enrollment
Facilities Utilization Grade
Capacity*
K 1 2 3 4 5 Practical Capacity
100 110 115 125 135 135 720
Projected % Enrollment Utilization 13-14 114 114% 137 125% 114 99% 122 98% 128 95% 126 93% 741
103%
Capacity* 100 110 115 125 135 135 720
Projected % Enrollment Utilization 14-15 128 128% 118 107% 129 112% 114 91% 134 99% 126 93% 749
104%
Capacity* 100 110 115 125 135 135 720
Projected % Enrollment Utilization 15-16 128 128% 131 119% 110 96% 128 102% 124 92% 131 97% 752
104%
Capacity* 100 110 115 125 135 135 720
Projected % Enrollment Utilization 16-17 150 150% 129 117% 124 108% 111 89% 142 105% 122 90% 778
108%
Capacity* 100 110 115 125 135 135 720
Projected % Enrollment Utilization 17-18 130 130% 153 139% 122 106% 122 98% 122 90% 138 102% 787
109%
Enrollment Projections and Facility Utilization Analysis
Wayzata School District
Historical Enrollment
Projected Enrollment
Grade K 1 2 3 4 5
07-08 582 733 753 738 707 721
08-09 646 672 761 792 758 745
09-10 713 740 708 779 795 780
10-11 762 791 760 738 805 805
11-12 662 816 834 765 772 819
12-13 728 713 826 862 782 791
13-14 668 810 743 855 892 807
14-15 698 746 844 770 888 921
15-16 702 774 778 877 799 916
16-17 672 775 807 800 903 823
17-18 681 739 808 829 828 928
Total Enrollment
4,234
4,374
4,515
4,661
4,668
4,702
4,775
4,867
4,846
4,780
4,813
5,450 Total Enrollment 4,450 3,450 2,450 1,450 450
Facilities Utilization Grade
Capacity*
K 1 2 3 4 5 Practical Capacity
720 792 827 850 918 918 5025
Current % Enrollment Utilization 12-13 728 101% 713 90% 826 100% 862 101% 782 85% 791 86% 4702
94%
Capacity* 720 792 827 850 918 918 5025
Projected % Enrollment Utilization 13-14 668 93% 810 102% 743 90% 855 101% 892 97% 807 88% 4775
95%
Capacity* 720 792 827 850 918 918 5025
Projected % Enrollment Utilization 14-15 698 97% 746 94% 844 102% 770 91% 888 97% 921 100% 4867
97%
Capacity* 720 792 827 850 918 918 5025
Projected % Enrollment Utilization 15-16 702 98% 774 98% 778 94% 877 103% 799 87% 916 100% 4846
96%
Capacity* 720 792 827 850 918 918 5025
Projected % Enrollment Utilization 16-17 672 93% 775 98% 807 98% 800 94% 903 98% 823 90% 4780
95%
Capacity* 720 792 827 850 918 918 5025
Projected % Enrollment Utilization 17-18 681 95% 739 93% 808 98% 829 98% 828 90% 928 101% 4813
96%