WPS Attendance Area Scenarios

Wayzata Public Schools Enrollment Projections & Facility Utilization Analysis Survival Cohort Method October 29, 2012 Analysis created for Wayzata Public Schools by the Insight Services Department at TeamWorks International, Inc. Centerville, MN

Wayzata Public Schools Current Attendance Areas

18 1

19 2

4B

8

Ê

Ê ÊÊ 32

Ê Ê 33 Ê

34

35

10

Ê 12

Ê Ê 13

11B

28

37

36

å

14

38

KIMBERLY LANE EL.

PLYMOUTH CREEK EL.

GREENWOOD EL.

16

42

å

30 Ê

31

Ê 7

11A

27

Ê

5

9

26

25

3

6

4A

ÊÊ

23

21 22

Ê

Ê

24

20

29

40

å

39

41 50

15

48

49

17

52 44

43

53

54

51 58

57

60 66

45

46

OAKWOOD EL.

å

47

Current Attendance Areas

68

å

Birchview

69

62

Plymouth Creek Sunset Hill

Ê

Proposed Housing Developments Natural Neighborhoods

å

76

BIRCHVIEW EL.

65

79

70

71

77 78

63

GLEASON LAKE EL.

Kimberly Lane Oakwood

75 74

Gleason Lake Greenwood

73

61

59

64 67

56

55

72

81

å

SUNSET HILL EL.

80

Enrollment Projections and Facility Utilization Analysis

Birchview Elementary

Historical Enrollment

Projected Enrollment

Grade K 1 2 3 4 5

07-08 82 108 103 101 88 94

08-09 102 92 108 110 99 107

09-10 106 111 97 108 114 109

10-11 119 118 117 99 110 111

11-12 84 122 116 109 103 111

12-13 94 110 121 124 107 101

13-14 96 108 110 122 125 110

14-15 90 111 108 111 123 129

15-16 100 103 111 109 112 127

16-17 102 115 104 112 110 115

17-18 92 117 116 104 113 113

Total Enrollment

576

618

645

674

645

657

672

672

663

659

656

700

Total Enrollment

650 600 550 500 450 400

Potential Kindergateners Based on Live Births - Birchview Attendance Area Birth Year*

01-02

02-03

03-04

04-05

05-06

06-07

07-08

08-09

09-10

10-11

11-12

Begin K Year

07-08

08-09

09-10

10-11

11-12

12-13

13-14

14-15

15-16

16-17

17-18

Births

112

% Retention**

73.2%

102 100.0%

134 79.1%

123 96.7%

114 73.7%

118 79.7%

120 80.3%

112 80.3%

125 80.3%

127 80.3%

115 80.3%

% Utilization

Capacity*

102% 105% 90% 112% 102% 107%

100 110 115 100 108 108

Projected Enrollment 17-18 92 117 116 104 113 113

103%

641

656

*Both Birth Year and Begin K Year is based on a School Year beginning on September 1st and ending on August 31st ** %Retention is calculated by taking the total K for that given Begin K Year divided by the total births in that given Birth Year

Facilities Utilization Grade

Capacity*

K 1 2 3 4 5 Practical Capacity

100 110 115 100 108 108

Projected Enrollment 13-14 96 108 110 122 125 110

641

672

% Utilization

Capacity*

96% 98% 96% 122% 116% 102%

100 110 115 100 108 108

Projected Enrollment 14-15 90 111 108 111 123 129

105%

641

672

% Utilization

Capacity*

90% 101% 94% 111% 114% 119%

100 110 115 100 108 108

Projected Enrollment 15-16 100 103 111 109 112 127

105%

641

663

% Utilization

Capacity*

100% 94% 96% 109% 104% 117%

100 110 115 100 108 108

Projected Enrollment 16-17 102 115 104 112 110 115

103%

641

659

% Utilization 92% 107% 100% 104% 105% 105% 102%

Enrollment Projections and Facility Utilization Analysis

Gleason Lake Elementary

Historical Enrollment Grade K 1 2 3 4 5 Total Enrollment

Projected Enrollment

07-08 77 126 110 121 118 116

08-09 96 84 125 116 118 119

09-10 108 104 90 122 112 117

10-11 120 127 114 96 125 113

11-12 95 97 133 113 101 123

12-13 109 99 94 133 110 109

13-14 90 107 101 95 134 113

14-15 87 89 109 102 95 137

15-16 95 85 91 110 102 97

16-17 80 93 87 91 111 105

17-18 98 79 95 88 92 113

668

658

653

695

662

654

639

619

581

567

565

*In 2010-2011, 21 students from Plymouth Creek were added to Gleason Lake and these numbers were NOT included here and will be added to Plymouth Creek *In 2012-2013, 21 students from Kimberly Lane were added to Gleason Lake and these numbers were NOT included here and will be added to Kimberly Lane

750 Total Enrollment

700 650 600 550 500 450

Potential Kindergateners Based on Live Births - Gleason Lake Attendance Area Birth Year*

01-02

02-03

03-04

04-05

05-06

06-07

07-08

08-09

09-10

10-11

11-12

Begin K Year

07-08

08-09

09-10

10-11

11-12

12-13

13-14

14-15

15-16

16-17

17-18

85 111.4%

72 111.4%

88 111.4%

% Utilization

Capacity*

80% 85% 76% 73% 82% 78%

100 110 115 125 135 135

Projected Enrollment 17-18 98 79 95 88 92 113

79%

720

565

97 114 100 97 79 82 78 % Retention** 73.3% 99.0% 94.7% 120.0% 97.9% 138.0% 110.1% 111.4% *Both Birth Year and Begin K Year is based on a School Year beginning on September 1st and ending on August 31st ** %Retention is calculated by taking the total K for that given Begin K Year divided by the total births in that given Birth Year Births

105

Facilities Utilization Grade

Capacity*

K 1 2 3 4 5 Practical Capacity

100 110 115 125 135 135

Projected Enrollment 13-14 90 107 101 95 134 113

720

639

% Utilization

Capacity*

90% 97% 88% 76% 99% 83%

100 110 115 125 135 135

Projected Enrollment 14-15 87 89 109 102 95 137

89%

720

619

% Utilization

Capacity*

87% 81% 95% 81% 70% 101%

100 110 115 125 135 135

Projected Enrollment 15-16 95 85 91 110 102 97

86%

720

581

% Utilization

Capacity*

95% 78% 79% 88% 76% 72%

100 110 115 125 135 135

Projected Enrollment 16-17 80 93 87 91 111 105

81%

720

567

% Utilization 98% 72% 83% 70% 68% 84% 78%

Enrollment Projections and Facility Utilization Analysis

Greenwood Elementary

Historical Enrollment

Projected Enrollment

Grade K 1 2 3 4 5

07-08 73 97 107 124 110 118

08-09 100 87 103 107 130 108

09-10 93 115 93 108 106 131

10-11 100 89 113 92 105 107

11-12* 129 117 104 124 104 110

12-13 109 112 133 115 137 121

13-14 110 118 129 147 128 150

14-15 129 119 135 144 163 142

15-16 110 139 135 150 159 178

16-17 112 114 154 144 161 170

17-18 116 116 126 165 155 172

Total Enrollment

629

635

646

606

688

727

781

832

871

855

851

*In 2011-2012 42 students from Plymouth Creek were added to Greenwood and these numbers were NOT included here and will be added to Plymouth Creek

900 850 800 750 700 650 600 550 500 450

Total Enrollment

Potential Kindergateners Based on Live Births - Greenwood Attendance Area Birth Year*

01-02

02-03

03-04

04-05

05-06

06-07

07-08

08-09

09-10

10-11

11-12

Begin K Year

07-08

08-09

09-10

10-11

11-12

12-13

13-14

14-15

15-16

16-17

17-18

Births

82

% Retention**

89.0%

61 163.9%

74 125.7%

47 212.8%

57 226.3%

51 213.7%

48 228.4%

55 234.6%

44 249.6%

36 311.1%

47 247.7%

% Utilization

Capacity*

93% 86% 113% 116% 119% 126%

120 132 137 125 135 135

Projected Enrollment 17-18 116 116 126 165 155 172

109%

784

851

*Both Birth Year and Begin K Year is based on a School Year beginning on September 1st and ending on August 31st ** %Retention is calculated by taking the total K for that given Begin K Year divided by the total births in that given Birth Year

Facilities Utilization Grade

Capacity*

K 1 2 3 4 5 Practical Capacity

120 132 137 125 135 135

Projected Enrollment 13-14 110 118 129 147 128 150

784

781

% Utilization

Capacity*

91% 89% 94% 118% 95% 111%

120 132 137 125 135 135

Projected Enrollment 14-15 129 119 135 144 163 142

100%

784

832

% Utilization

Capacity*

108% 90% 99% 115% 121% 105%

120 132 137 125 135 135

Projected Enrollment 15-16 110 139 135 150 159 178

106%

784

871

% Utilization

Capacity*

92% 105% 99% 120% 118% 132%

120 132 137 125 135 135

Projected Enrollment 16-17 112 114 154 144 161 170

111%

784

855

% Utilization 97% 88% 92% 132% 115% 127% 108%

Enrollment Projections and Facility Utilization Analysis

Kimberly Lane Elementary

Historical Enrollment

Projected Enrollment

Grade K 1 2 3 4 5

07-08 95 116 114 120 107 113

08-09 82 114 127 133 130 113

09-10 120 110 129 132 142 137

10-11 105 147 117 144 140 152

11-12 64 122 153 122 147 145

12-13 115 83 122 151 119 146

13-14 105 142 87 127 154 122

14-15 85 130 148 90 130 158

15-16 81 105 136 155 92 133

16-17 59 100 110 141 158 95

17-18 61 73 105 114 144 162

Total Enrollment

665

699

770

805

753

736

737

742

702

663

659

850 Total Enrollment

800 750 700 650 600 550 500 450

P Potential i l Kindergateners Ki d Based B d on Live Li Births Bi h - Kimberly Ki b l Lane L Attendance A d Area A Birth Year*

01-02

02-03

03-04

04-05

05-06

06-07

07-08

08-09

09-10

10-11

11-12

Begin K Year

07-08

08-09

09-10

10-11

11-12

12-13

13-14

14-15

15-16

16-17

17-18

Births

59

% Retention**

161.0%

56 146.4%

65 184.6%

55 190.9%

43 148.8%

56 205.4%

59 178.0%

47 180.9%

63 128.6%

56 105.4%

61 100.0%

% Utilization

Capacity*

59% 91% 95% 113% 117% 70%

100 110 115 125 135 135

Projected Enrollment 17-18 61 73 105 114 144 162

92%

720

659

*Both Birth Year and Begin K Year is based on a School Year beginning on September 1st and ending on August 31st ** %Retention is calculated by taking the total K for that given Begin K Year divided by the total births in that given Birth Year

Facilities Utilization Grade

Capacity*

K 1 2 3 4 5 Practical Capacity

100 110 115 125 135 135

Projected Enrollment 13-14 105 142 87 127 154 122

720

737

% Utilization

Capacity*

105% 129% 75% 102% 114% 91%

100 110 115 125 135 135

Projected Enrollment 14-15 85 130 148 90 130 158

102%

720

742

% Utilization

Capacity*

85% 118% 129% 72% 96% 117%

100 110 115 125 135 135

Projected Enrollment 15-16 81 105 136 155 92 133

103%

720

702

% Utilization

Capacity*

81% 96% 118% 124% 68% 99%

100 110 115 125 135 135

Projected Enrollment 16-17 59 100 110 141 158 95

97%

720

663

% Utilization 61% 66% 91% 92% 107% 120% 92%

Enrollment Projections and Facility Utilization Analysis

Oakwood Elementary

Historical Enrollment

Projected Enrollment

Grade K 1 2 3 4 5

07-08 72 71 88 77 85 88

08-09 68 83 74 92 76 85

09-10 84 75 90 71 101 75

10-11 86 83 75 96 77 99

11-12 87 101 86 76 100 80

12-13 59 84 94 88 80 98

13-14 64 63 84 96 92 80

14-15 70 69 63 86 101 93

15-16 67 75 69 65 90 101

16-17 51 72 75 71 68 90

17-18 63 54 72 77 74 68

Total Enrollment

481

478

496

516

530

503

480

482

467

427

409

550 Total Enrollment

500 450 400 350 300

P Potential i l Kindergateners Ki d Based B d on Live Li Births Bi h - Oakwood O k d Attendance A d Area A Birth Year*

01-02

02-03

03-04

04-05

05-06

06-07

07-08

08-09

09-10

10-11

11-12

Begin K Year

07-08

08-09

09-10

10-11

11-12

12-13

13-14

14-15

15-16

16-17

17-18

Births

77

% Retention**

93.5%

67 101.5%

77 109.1%

83 103.6%

58 150.0%

61 96.7%

55 117.2%

61 115.1%

58 115.1%

44 115.1%

55 115.1%

% Utilization

Capacity*

51% 65% 66% 57% 50% 67%

100 110 115 125 135 135

Projected Enrollment 17-18 63 54 72 77 74 68

59%

720

409

*Both Birth Year and Begin K Year is based on a School Year beginning on September 1st and ending on August 31st ** %Retention is calculated by taking the total K for that given Begin K Year divided by the total births in that given Birth Year

Facilities Utilization Grade

Capacity*

K 1 2 3 4 5 Practical Capacity

100 110 115 125 135 135

Projected Enrollment 13-14 64 63 84 96 92 80

720

480

% Utilization

Capacity*

64% 58% 73% 77% 68% 59%

100 110 115 125 135 135

Projected Enrollment 14-15 70 69 63 86 101 93

67%

720

482

% Utilization

Capacity*

70% 63% 55% 69% 75% 69%

100 110 115 125 135 135

Projected Enrollment 15-16 67 75 69 65 90 101

67%

720

467

% Utilization

Capacity*

67% 69% 60% 52% 67% 75%

100 110 115 125 135 135

Projected Enrollment 16-17 51 72 75 71 68 90

65%

720

427

% Utilization 63% 49% 62% 62% 55% 50% 57%

Enrollment Projections and Facility Utilization Analysis

Plymouth Creek Elementary

Historical Enrollment

Projected Enrollment

Grade K 1 2 3 4 5

07-08 95 124 122 104 115 102

08-09 106 120 132 129 112 118

09-10 116 117 118 144 120 117

10-11 141 139 114 125 147 119

11-12 112 153 150 118 128 151

12-13 150 131 166 161 128 127

13-14 122 172 139 176 168 130

14-15 151 140 182 147 183 170

15-16 171 173 149 193 153 185

16-17 164 196 183 157 201 155

17-18 171 188 208 194 164 203

Total Enrollment

662

717

732

785

812

863

906

973

1,024

1,056

1,128

1,250 Total Enrollment

1,150 1,050 950 850 750 650 550 450

P Potential i l Kindergateners Ki d Based B d on Live Li Births Bi h - Plymouth Pl h Creek C k Attendance A d Area A Birth Year*

01-02

02-03

03-04

04-05

05-06

06-07

07-08

08-09

09-10

10-11

11-12

Begin K Year

07-08

08-09

09-10

10-11

11-12

12-13

13-14

14-15

15-16

16-17

17-18

Births

70

% Retention**

135.7%

71 149.3%

69 168.1%

87 162.1%

69 162.3%

78 192.3%

73 167.7%

88 171.5%

102 167.7%

98 167.7%

102 167.7%

% Utilization

Capacity*

164% 178% 159% 126% 149% 115%

100 110 115 125 135 135

Projected Enrollment 17-18 171 188 208 194 164 203

147%

720

1128

*Both Birth Year and Begin K Year is based on a School Year beginning on September 1st and ending on August 31st ** %Retention is calculated by taking the total K for that given Begin K Year divided by the total births in that given Birth Year

Facilities Utilization Grade

Capacity*

K 1 2 3 4 5 Practical Capacity

100 110 115 125 135 135

Projected Enrollment 13-14 122 172 139 176 168 130

720

906

% Utilization

Capacity*

122% 156% 121% 141% 124% 96%

100 110 115 125 135 135

Projected Enrollment 14-15 151 140 182 147 183 170

126%

720

973

% Utilization

Capacity*

151% 127% 158% 118% 136% 126%

100 110 115 125 135 135

Projected Enrollment 15-16 171 173 149 193 153 185

135%

720

1024

% Utilization

Capacity*

171% 157% 129% 154% 113% 137%

100 110 115 125 135 135

Projected Enrollment 16-17 164 196 183 157 201 155

142%

720

1056

% Utilization 171% 171% 181% 155% 121% 151% 157%

Enrollment Projections and Facility Utilization Analysis

Sunset Hill Elementary

Historical Enrollment

Projected Enrollment

Grade K 1 2 3 4 5

07-08 88 91 109 91 84 90

08-09 92 92 92 105 93 95

09-10 86 108 91 94 100 94

10-11 91 88 110 86 101 104

11-12 91 104 92 103 89 99

12-13 92 94 96 90 101 89

13-14 81 100 93 92 91 102

14-15 86 88 99 90 93 92

15-16 78 94 87 95 91 94

16-17 104 85 93 84 96 92

17-18 80 113 84 89 85 97

Total Enrollment

553

569

573

580

578

562

560

548

539

554

549

600

Total Enrollment

550 500 450 400

P t ti l Ki Potential Kindergateners d t B Based d on Li Live Bi Births th - Sunset S t Hill Attendance Att d Area A Birth Year*

01-02

02-03

03-04

04-05

05-06

06-07

07-08

08-09

09-10

10-11

11-12

Begin K Year

07-08

08-09

09-10

10-11

11-12

12-13

13-14

14-15

15-16

16-17

17-18

Births

76

% Retention**

115.8%

78 117.9%

81 106.2%

75 121.3%

88 103.4%

93 98.9%

77 105.3%

80 107.9%

74 105.3%

99 105.3%

76 105.3%

% Utilization

Capacity*

104% 77% 81% 67% 71% 68%

100 110 115 125 135 135

Projected Enrollment 17-18 80 113 84 89 85 97

77%

720

549

*Both Birth Year and Begin K Year is based on a School Year beginning on September 1st and ending on August 31st ** %Retention is calculated by taking the total K for that given Begin K Year divided by the total births in that given Birth Year

Facilities Utilization Grade

Capacity*

K 1 2 3 4 5 Practical Capacity

100 110 115 125 135 135

Projected Enrollment 13-14 81 100 93 92 91 102

720

560

% Utilization

Capacity*

81% 91% 81% 74% 67% 76%

100 110 115 125 135 135

Projected Enrollment 14-15 86 88 99 90 93 92

78%

720

548

% Utilization

Capacity*

86% 80% 86% 72% 69% 68%

100 110 115 125 135 135

Projected Enrollment 15-16 78 94 87 95 91 94

76%

720

539

% Utilization

Capacity*

78% 85% 76% 76% 67% 70%

100 110 115 125 135 135

Projected Enrollment 16-17 104 85 93 84 96 92

75%

720

554

% Utilization 80% 103% 73% 72% 63% 72% 76%

Enrollment Projections and Facility Utilization Analysis

Wayzata School District

Historical Enrollment

Projected Enrollment

Grade K 1 2 3 4 5

07-08 582 733 753 738 707 721

08-09 646 672 761 792 758 745

09-10 713 740 708 779 795 780

10-11 762 791 760 738 805 805

11-12 662 816 834 765 772 819

12-13 728 713 826 862 782 791

13-14 668 810 743 855 892 807

14-15 698 746 844 770 888 921

15-16 702 774 778 877 799 915

16-17 672 775 806 800 905 822

17-18 681 740 806 831 827 928

Total Enrollment

4,234

4,374

4,515

4,661

4,668

4,702

4,775

4,867

4,845

4,780

4,813

5,450 Total Enrollment 4,450 3,450 2,450 1,450 450

Potential Kindergateners Based on Live Births - Birchview Attendance Area Birth Year*

01-02

02-03

03-04

04-05

05-06

06-07

07-08

08-09

09-10

10-11

11-12

Begin K Year

07-08

08-09

09-10

10-11

11-12

12-13

13-14

14-15

15-16

16-17

17-18

Births

581

% Retention**

100.2%

532 121.4%

614 116.1%

570 133.7%

526 125.9%

536 135.8%

514 130.0%

521 134.0%

551 127.4%

532 126.3%

544 125.2%

*Both Birth Year and Begin K Year is based on a School Year beginning on September 1st and ending on August 31st ** %Retention is calculated by taking the total K for that given Begin K Year divided by the total births in that given Birth Year

Facilities Utilization Grade

Capacity*

K 1 2 3 4 5 Practical Capacity

720 792 827 850 918 918 5025

Current % Enrollment Utilization 12-13 728 101% 713 90% 826 100% 862 101% 782 85% 791 86% 4702

94%

Capacity* 720 792 827 850 918 918 5025

Projected % Enrollment Utilization 13-14 668 93% 810 102% 743 90% 855 101% 892 97% 807 88% 4775

95%

Capacity* 720 792 827 850 918 918 5025

Projected % Enrollment Utilization 14-15 698 97% 746 94% 844 102% 770 91% 888 97% 921 100% 4867

97%

Capacity* 720 792 827 850 918 918 5025

Projected % Enrollment Utilization 15-16 702 98% 774 98% 778 94% 877 103% 799 87% 915 100% 4845

96%

Capacity* 720 792 827 850 918 918 5025

Projected % Enrollment Utilization 16-17 672 93% 775 98% 806 97% 800 94% 905 99% 822 90% 4780

95%

Capacity* 720 792 827 850 918 918 5025

Projected % Enrollment Utilization 17-18 681 95% 740 93% 806 97% 831 98% 827 90% 928 101% 4813

96%

Enrollment Projections and Facility Utilization Analysis

Wayzata School District

Historical Enrollment

Projected Enrollment

Grade K 1 2 3 4 5

07-08 582 733 753 738 707 721

08-09 646 672 761 792 758 745

09-10 713 740 708 779 795 780

10-11 762 791 760 738 805 805

11-12 662 816 834 765 772 819

12-13 728 713 826 862 782 791

13-14 668 810 743 855 892 807

14-15 698 746 844 770 888 921

15-16 702 774 778 877 799 915

16-17 672 775 806 800 905 822

17-18 681 740 806 831 827 928

Total Enrollment

4,234

4,374

4,515

4,661

4,668

4,702

4,775

4,867

4,845

4,780

4,813

5,450 Total Enrollment 4,450 3,450 2,450 1,450 450

Facilities Utilization Grade

Capacity*

K 1 2 3 4 5 Practical Capacity

720 792 827 850 918 918 5025

Current % Enrollment Utilization 12-13 728 101% 713 90% 826 100% 862 101% 782 85% 791 86% 4702

94%

Capacity* 720 792 827 850 918 918 5025

Projected % Enrollment Utilization 13-14 668 93% 810 102% 743 90% 855 101% 892 97% 807 88% 4775

95%

Capacity* 720 792 827 850 918 918 5025

Projected % Enrollment Utilization 14-15 698 97% 746 94% 844 102% 770 91% 888 97% 921 100% 4867

97%

Capacity* 720 792 827 850 918 918 5025

Projected % Enrollment Utilization 15-16 702 98% 774 98% 778 94% 877 103% 799 87% 915 100% 4845

96%

Capacity* 720 792 827 850 918 918 5025

Projected % Enrollment Utilization 16-17 672 93% 775 98% 806 97% 800 94% 905 99% 822 90% 4780

95%

Capacity* 720 792 827 850 918 918 5025

Projected % Enrollment Utilization 17-18 681 95% 740 93% 806 97% 831 98% 827 90% 928 101% 4813

96%

Wayzata Public Schools Enrollment Projections & Facility Utilization Analysis Attendance Area Scenario #3 Neighborhoods 54,55 & 56 – Birchview to Sunset Hill Neighborhood 42 – Oakwood to Gleason Lake Neighborhoods 8,9,10, 11A, 12 & 13 – Greenwood to Oakwood Neighborhoods 2 & 3 – Greenwood to Kimberly Lane Neighborhood 30 – Plymouth Creek to Kimberly Lane Neighborhoods 33 & 34 – Plymouth Creek to Oakwood October 29, 2012 Analysis created for Wayzata Public Schools by the Insight Services Department at TeamWorks International, Inc. Centerville, MN

Wayzata Public Schools Attendance Area Scenario #3

18 1

19 2

4B

8

Ê

Ê ÊÊ 32

Ê Ê 33 Ê

34

35

10

Ê 12

Ê Ê 13

11B

28

37

36

å

14

38

KIMBERLY LANE EL.

PLYMOUTH CREEK EL.

GREENWOOD EL.

16

42

å

30 Ê

31

Ê 7

11A

27

Ê

5

9

26

25

3

6

4A

ÊÊ

23

21 22

Ê

Ê

24

20

29

40

å

39

41 50

15

48

49

17

52 44

43

53

54

51 58

57

60 66

45

46

OAKWOOD EL.

å

47

Attendance Area Color Code

68

å

Birchview

69

62

Plymouth Creek Sunset Hill

Ê

Proposed Housing Developments Natural Neighborhoods

å

76

BIRCHVIEW EL.

65

79

70

71

77 78

63

GLEASON LAKE EL.

Kimberly Lane Oakwood

75 74

Gleason Lake Greenwood

73

61

59

64 67

56

55

72

81

å

SUNSET HILL EL.

80

Enrollment Projections and Facility Utilization Analysis

Birchview Elementary

Historical Enrollment

Projected Enrollment

Grade K 1 2 3 4 5

07-08 82 108 103 101 88 94

08-09 102 92 108 110 99 107

09-10 106 111 97 108 114 109

10-11 119 118 117 99 110 111

11-12 84 122 116 109 103 111

12-13 94 110 121 124 107 101

13-14 74 88 85 95 96 84

14-15 69 90 84 87 95 98

15-16 77 84 86 85 87 97

16-17 79 94 80 87 85 88

17-18 71 96 89 82 87 87

Total Enrollment

576

618

645

674

645

657

524

524

516

514

512

700

Total Enrollment

650 600 550 500 450 400

Facilities Utilization Grade

Capacity*

K 1 2 3 4 5 Practical Capacity

100 110 115 100 108 108 641

Projected % Enrollment Utilization 13-14 74 74% 88 80% 85 74% 95 95% 96 89% 84 78% 524

82%

Capacity* 100 110 115 100 108 108 641

Projected % Enrollment Utilization 14-15 69 69% 90 82% 84 73% 87 87% 95 88% 98 91% 524

82%

Capacity* 100 110 115 100 108 108 641

Projected % Enrollment Utilization 15-16 77 77% 84 77% 86 75% 85 85% 87 80% 97 90% 516

81%

Capacity* 100 110 115 100 108 108 641

Projected % Enrollment Utilization 16-17 79 79% 94 85% 80 70% 87 87% 85 79% 88 82% 514

80%

Capacity* 100 110 115 100 108 108 641

Projected % Enrollment Utilization 17-18 71 71% 96 87% 89 78% 82 82% 87 81% 87 80% 512

80%

Enrollment Projections and Facility Utilization Analysis

Gleason Lake Elementary

Historical Enrollment

Projected Enrollment

Grade K 1 2 3 4 5

07-08 77 126 110 121 118 116

08-09 96 84 125 116 118 119

09-10 108 104 90 122 112 117

10-11 120 127 114 96 125 113

11-12 95 97 133 113 101 123

12-13 109 99 94 133 110 109

13-14 97 120 111 115 149 120

14-15 95 103 117 120 112 145

15-16 102 101 98 124 117 106

16-17 86 108 96 106 122 113

17-18 105 90 103 104 104 119

Total Enrollment

668

658

653

695

662

654

712

691

649

630

626

*In 2010-2011, 21 students from Plymouth Creek were added to Gleason Lake and these numbers were NOT included here and will be added to Plymouth Creek *In 2012-2013, 21 students from Kimberly Lane were added to Gleason Lake and these numbers were NOT included here and will be added to Kimberly Lane

750 Total Enrollment

700 650 600 550 500 450

Facilities Utilization Grade

Capacity*

K 1 2 3 4 5 Practical Capacity

100 110 115 125 135 135 720

Projected % Enrollment Utilization 13-14 97 97% 120 109% 111 96% 115 92% 149 110% 120 89% 712

99%

Capacity* 100 110 115 125 135 135 720

Projected % Enrollment Utilization 14-15 95 95% 103 94% 117 101% 120 96% 112 83% 145 107% 691

96%

Capacity* 100 110 115 125 135 135 720

Projected % Enrollment Utilization 15-16 102 102% 101 92% 98 86% 124 99% 117 87% 106 79% 649

90%

Capacity* 100 110 115 125 135 135 720

Projected % Enrollment Utilization 16-17 86 86% 108 98% 96 83% 106 85% 122 90% 113 84% 630

88%

Capacity* 100 110 115 125 135 135 720

Projected % Enrollment Utilization 17-18 105 105% 90 82% 103 90% 104 83% 104 77% 119 88% 626

87%

Enrollment Projections and Facility Utilization Analysis

Greenwood Elementary

Historical Enrollment

Projected Enrollment

Grade K 1 2 3 4 5

07-08 73 97 107 124 110 118

08-09 100 87 103 107 130 108

09-10 93 115 93 108 106 131

10-11 100 89 113 92 105 107

11-12* 129 117 104 124 104 110

12-13 109 112 133 115 137 121

13-14 97 102 118 131 120 150

14-15 112 100 121 124 151 142

15-16 93 115 117 128 144 178

16-17 103 101 144 131 154 170

17-18 107 103 117 150 149 172

Total Enrollment

629

635

646

606

688

727

720

750

775

802

797

*In 2011-2012 42 students from Plymouth Creek were added to Greenwood and these numbers were NOT included here and will be added to Plymouth Creek

850 800 750 700 650 600 550 500 450

Total Enrollment

Facilities Utilization Grade

Capacity*

K 1 2 3 4 5 Practical Capacity

120 132 137 125 135 135 784

Projected % Enrollment Utilization 13-14 97 81% 102 78% 118 86% 131 105% 120 89% 150 111% 720

92%

Capacity* 120 132 137 125 135 135 784

Projected % Enrollment Utilization 14-15 112 93% 100 75% 121 88% 124 100% 151 112% 142 105% 750

96%

Capacity* 120 132 137 125 135 135 784

Projected % Enrollment Utilization 15-16 93 77% 115 87% 117 85% 128 102% 144 107% 178 132% 775

99%

Capacity* 120 132 137 125 135 135 784

Projected % Enrollment Utilization 16-17 103 85% 101 77% 144 105% 131 105% 154 114% 170 126% 802

102%

Capacity* 120 132 137 125 135 135 784

Projected % Enrollment Utilization 17-18 107 89% 103 78% 117 86% 150 120% 149 110% 172 127% 797

102%

Enrollment Projections and Facility Utilization Analysis

Kimberly Lane Elementary

Historical Enrollment

Projected Enrollment

Grade K 1 2 3 4 5

07-08 95 116 114 120 107 113

08-09 82 114 127 133 130 113

09-10 120 110 129 132 142 137

10-11 105 147 117 144 140 152

11-12 64 122 153 122 147 145

12-13 115 83 122 151 119 146

13-14 111 152 94 140 164 127

14-15 93 138 158 101 140 164

15-16 90 115 144 169 101 140

16-17 67 111 120 153 169 100

17-18 70 84 116 129 154 169

Total Enrollment

665

699

770

805

753

736

788

794

758

721

721

850 Total Enrollment

800 750 700 650 600 550 500 450

Facilities Utilization Grade

Capacity*

K 1 2 3 4 5 Practical Capacity

100 110 115 125 135 135 720

Projected % Enrollment Utilization 13-14 111 111% 152 138% 94 82% 140 112% 164 121% 127 94% 788

109%

Capacity* 100 110 115 125 135 135 720

Projected % Enrollment Utilization 14-15 93 93% 138 125% 158 138% 101 81% 140 104% 164 122% 794

110%

Capacity* 100 110 115 125 135 135 720

Projected % Enrollment Utilization 15-16 90 90% 115 104% 144 125% 169 135% 101 75% 140 104% 758

105%

Capacity* 100 110 115 125 135 135 720

Projected % Enrollment Utilization 16-17 67 67% 111 101% 120 104% 153 122% 169 125% 100 74% 721

100%

Capacity* 100 110 115 125 135 135 720

Projected % Enrollment Utilization 17-18 70 70% 84 76% 116 101% 129 103% 154 114% 169 126% 721

100%

Enrollment Projections and Facility Utilization Analysis

Oakwood Elementary

Historical Enrollment

Projected Enrollment

Grade K 1 2 3 4 5

07-08 72 71 88 77 85 88

08-09 68 83 74 92 76 85

09-10 84 75 90 71 101 75

10-11 86 83 75 96 77 99

11-12 87 101 86 76 100 80

12-13 59 84 94 88 80 98

13-14 93 89 114 117 110 106

14-15 108 94 105 109 122 128

15-16 109 106 110 101 111 139

16-17 85 97 114 92 93 120

17-18 97 80 116 102 92 109

Total Enrollment

481

478

496

516

530

503

629

666

676

601

596

700 Total Enrollment

650 600 550 500 450 400 350 300

Facilities Utilization Grade

Capacity*

K 1 2 3 4 5 Practical Capacity

100 110 115 125 135 135 720

Projected % Enrollment Utilization 13-14 93 93% 89 81% 114 99% 117 94% 110 81% 106 79% 629

87%

Capacity* 100 110 115 125 135 135 720

Projected % Enrollment Utilization 14-15 108 108% 94 85% 105 91% 109 87% 122 90% 128 95% 666

92%

Capacity* 100 110 115 125 135 135 720

Projected % Enrollment Utilization 15-16 109 109% 106 96% 110 95% 101 81% 111 82% 139 103% 676

94%

Capacity* 100 110 115 125 135 135 720

Projected % Enrollment Utilization 16-17 85 85% 97 88% 114 99% 92 74% 93 69% 120 89% 601

83%

Capacity* 100 110 115 125 135 135 720

Projected % Enrollment Utilization 17-18 97 97% 80 73% 116 101% 102 82% 92 68% 109 81% 596

83%

Enrollment Projections and Facility Utilization Analysis

Plymouth Creek Elementary

Historical Enrollment

Projected Enrollment

Grade K 1 2 3 4 5

07-08 95 124 122 104 115 102

08-09 106 120 132 129 112 118

09-10 116 117 118 144 120 117

10-11 141 139 114 125 147 119

11-12 112 153 150 118 128 151

12-13 150 131 166 161 128 127

13-14 93 139 103 138 133 99

14-15 114 113 136 115 146 129

15-16 130 140 111 151 122 141

16-17 125 158 136 123 160 118

17-18 130 152 155 152 130 154

Total Enrollment

662

717

732

785

812

863

705

753

794

820

873

900 850 800 750 700 650 600 550 500 450

Total Enrollment

Facilities Utilization Grade

Capacity*

K 1 2 3 4 5 Practical Capacity

100 110 115 125 135 135 720

Projected % Enrollment Utilization 13-14 93 93% 139 126% 103 90% 138 110% 133 99% 99 73% 705

98%

Capacity* 100 110 115 125 135 135 720

Projected % Enrollment Utilization 14-15 114 114% 113 103% 136 118% 115 92% 146 108% 129 96% 753

105%

Capacity* 100 110 115 125 135 135 720

Projected % Enrollment Utilization 15-16 130 130% 140 127% 111 96% 151 121% 122 90% 141 104% 794

110%

Capacity* 100 110 115 125 135 135 720

Projected % Enrollment Utilization 16-17 125 125% 158 144% 136 119% 123 99% 160 118% 118 87% 820

114%

Capacity* 100 110 115 125 135 135 720

Projected % Enrollment Utilization 17-18 130 130% 152 138% 155 134% 152 122% 130 97% 154 114% 873

121%

Enrollment Projections and Facility Utilization Analysis

Sunset Hill Elementary

Historical Enrollment Grade K 1 2 3 4 5 Total Enrollment

Projected Enrollment

07-08 88 91 109 91 84 90

08-09 92 92 92 105 93 95

09-10 86 108 91 94 100 94

10-11 91 88 110 86 101 104

11-12 91 104 92 103 89 99

12-13 92 94 96 90 101 89

13-14 103 120 118 119 120 121

14-15 107 108 123 114 122 115

15-16 101 113 112 119 117 114

16-17 127 106 116 108 122 113

17-18 101 135 110 112 111 118

553

569

573

580

578

562

701

690

676

693

687

750

Total Enrollment

700 650 600 550 500 450 400

Facilities Utilization Grade

Capacity*

K 1 2 3 4 5 Practical Capacity

100 110 115 125 135 135 720

Projected % Enrollment Utilization 13-14 103 103% 120 109% 118 103% 119 95% 120 89% 121 90% 701

97%

Capacity* 100 110 115 125 135 135 720

Projected % Enrollment Utilization 14-15 107 107% 108 99% 123 107% 114 91% 122 90% 115 85% 690

96%

Capacity* 100 110 115 125 135 135 720

Projected % Enrollment Utilization 15-16 101 101% 113 103% 112 98% 119 95% 117 86% 114 84% 676

94%

Capacity* 100 110 115 125 135 135 720

Projected % Enrollment Utilization 16-17 127 127% 106 96% 116 101% 108 87% 122 90% 113 84% 693

96%

Capacity* 100 110 115 125 135 135 720

Projected % Enrollment Utilization 17-18 101 101% 135 123% 110 96% 112 90% 111 82% 118 87% 687

95%

Enrollment Projections and Facility Utilization Analysis

Wayzata School District

Historical Enrollment

Projected Enrollment

Grade K 1 2 3 4 5

07-08 582 733 753 738 707 721

08-09 646 672 761 792 758 745

09-10 713 740 708 779 795 780

10-11 762 791 760 738 805 805

11-12 662 816 834 765 772 819

12-13 728 713 826 862 782 791

13-14 668 810 743 855 892 807

14-15 698 746 844 770 888 921

15-16 702 774 778 877 799 915

16-17 672 775 806 800 905 822

17-18 681 740 806 831 827 928

Total Enrollment

4,234

4,374

4,515

4,661

4,668

4,702

4,775

4,867

4,845

4,780

4,813

5,450 Total Enrollment 4,450 3,450 2,450 1,450 450

Facilities Utilization Grade

Capacity*

K 1 2 3 4 5 Practical Capacity

720 792 827 850 918 918 5025

Current % Enrollment Utilization 12-13 728 101% 713 90% 826 100% 862 101% 782 85% 791 86% 4702

94%

Capacity* 720 792 827 850 918 918 5025

Projected % Enrollment Utilization 13-14 668 93% 810 102% 743 90% 855 101% 892 97% 807 88% 4775

95%

Capacity* 720 792 827 850 918 918 5025

Projected % Enrollment Utilization 14-15 698 97% 746 94% 844 102% 770 91% 888 97% 921 100% 4867

97%

Capacity* 720 792 827 850 918 918 5025

Projected % Enrollment Utilization 15-16 702 98% 774 98% 778 94% 877 103% 799 87% 915 100% 4845

96%

Capacity* 720 792 827 850 918 918 5025

Projected % Enrollment Utilization 16-17 672 93% 775 98% 806 97% 800 94% 905 99% 822 90% 4780

95%

Capacity* 720 792 827 850 918 918 5025

Projected % Enrollment Utilization 17-18 681 95% 740 93% 806 97% 831 98% 827 90% 928 101% 4813

96%

Wayzata Public Schools Enrollment Projections & Facility Utilization Analysis Attendance Area Scenario #4 Neighborhoods 38 & 39 – Plymouth Creek to Sunset Hill Neighborhood 42 – Oakwood to Gleason Lake Neighborhoods 8,9,10, 11A, 12 & 13 – Greenwood to Oakwood Neighborhoods 2 & 3 – Greenwood to Kimberly Lane Neighborhood 30 – Plymouth Creek to Kimberly Lane Neighborhoods 33 & 34 – Plymouth Creek to Oakwood October 29, 2012 Analysis created for Wayzata Public Schools by the Insight Services Department at TeamWorks International, Inc. Centerville, MN

Wayzata Public Schools Attendance Area Scenario #4

18 1

19 2

4B

8

Ê

Ê ÊÊ 32

Ê Ê 33 Ê

34

35

10

Ê 12

Ê Ê 13

11B

28

37

36

å

14

38

KIMBERLY LANE EL.

PLYMOUTH CREEK EL.

GREENWOOD EL.

16

42

å

30 Ê

31

Ê 7

11A

27

Ê

5

9

26

25

3

6

4A

ÊÊ

23

21 22

Ê

Ê

24

20

29

40

å

39

41 50

15

48

49

17

52 44

43

53

54

51 58

57

60 66

45

46

OAKWOOD EL.

å

47

Attendance Area Color Code

68

å

Birchview

69

62

Plymouth Creek Sunset Hill

Ê

Proposed Housing Developments Natural Neighborhoods

å

76

BIRCHVIEW EL.

65

79

70

71

77 78

63

GLEASON LAKE EL.

Kimberly Lane Oakwood

75 74

Gleason Lake Greenwood

73

61

59

64 67

56

55

72

81

å

SUNSET HILL EL.

80

Enrollment Projections and Facility Utilization Analysis

Birchview Elementary

Historical Enrollment

Projected Enrollment

Grade K 1 2 3 4 5

07-08 82 108 103 101 88 94

08-09 102 92 108 110 99 107

09-10 106 111 97 108 114 109

10-11 119 118 117 99 110 111

11-12 84 122 116 109 103 111

12-13 94 110 121 124 107 101

13-14 96 108 110 122 125 110

14-15 90 111 108 111 123 129

15-16 100 103 111 109 112 127

16-17 102 115 104 112 110 115

17-18 92 117 116 104 113 113

Total Enrollment

576

618

645

674

645

657

671

672

662

658

655

700

Total Enrollment

650 600 550 500 450 400

Facilities Utilization Grade

Capacity*

K 1 2 3 4 5 Practical Capacity

100 110 115 100 108 108 641

Projected % Enrollment Utilization 13-14 96 96% 108 98% 110 96% 122 122% 125 116% 110 102% 671

105%

Capacity* 100 110 115 100 108 108 641

Projected % Enrollment Utilization 14-15 90 90% 111 101% 108 94% 111 111% 123 114% 129 119% 672

105%

Capacity* 100 110 115 100 108 108 641

Projected % Enrollment Utilization 15-16 100 100% 103 94% 111 97% 109 109% 112 104% 127 118% 662

103%

Capacity* 100 110 115 100 108 108 641

Projected % Enrollment Utilization 16-17 102 102% 115 105% 104 90% 112 112% 110 102% 115 106% 658

103%

Capacity* 100 110 115 100 108 108 641

Projected % Enrollment Utilization 17-18 92 92% 117 106% 116 101% 104 104% 113 105% 113 105% 655

102%

Enrollment Projections and Facility Utilization Analysis

Gleason Lake Elementary

Historical Enrollment

Projected Enrollment

Grade K 1 2 3 4 5

07-08 77 126 110 121 118 116

08-09 96 84 125 116 118 119

09-10 108 104 90 122 112 117

10-11 120 127 114 96 125 113

11-12 95 97 133 113 101 123

12-13 109 99 94 133 110 109

13-14 97 120 111 115 149 120

14-15 95 103 117 120 112 145

15-16 102 101 98 124 117 106

16-17 86 108 96 106 122 113

17-18 105 90 103 104 104 119

Total Enrollment

668

658

653

695

662

654

712

691

649

630

626

*In 2010-2011, 21 students from Plymouth Creek were added to Gleason Lake and these numbers were NOT included here and will be added to Plymouth Creek *In 2012-2013, 21 students from Kimberly Lane were added to Gleason Lake and these numbers were NOT included here and will be added to Kimberly Lane

750 Total Enrollment

700 650 600 550 500 450

Facilities Utilization Grade

Capacity*

K 1 2 3 4 5 Practical Capacity

100 110 115 125 135 135 720

Projected % Enrollment Utilization 13-14 97 97% 120 109% 111 96% 115 92% 149 110% 120 89% 712

99%

Capacity* 100 110 115 125 135 135 720

Projected % Enrollment Utilization 14-15 95 95% 103 94% 117 101% 120 96% 112 83% 145 107% 691

96%

Capacity* 100 110 115 125 135 135 720

Projected % Enrollment Utilization 15-16 102 102% 101 92% 98 86% 124 99% 117 87% 106 79% 649

90%

Capacity* 100 110 115 125 135 135 720

Projected % Enrollment Utilization 16-17 86 86% 108 98% 96 83% 106 85% 122 90% 113 84% 630

88%

Capacity* 100 110 115 125 135 135 720

Projected % Enrollment Utilization 17-18 105 105% 90 82% 103 90% 104 83% 104 77% 119 88% 626

87%

Enrollment Projections and Facility Utilization Analysis

Greenwood Elementary

Historical Enrollment

Projected Enrollment

Grade K 1 2 3 4 5

07-08 73 97 107 124 110 118

08-09 100 87 103 107 130 108

09-10 93 115 93 108 106 131

10-11 100 89 113 92 105 107

11-12* 129 117 104 124 104 110

12-13 109 112 133 115 137 121

13-14 97 102 118 131 120 150

14-15 112 100 121 124 151 142

15-16 93 115 117 128 144 178

16-17 103 101 144 131 154 170

17-18 107 103 117 150 149 172

Total Enrollment

629

635

646

606

688

727

720

750

775

802

797

*In 2011-2012 42 students from Plymouth Creek were added to Greenwood and these numbers were NOT included here and will be added to Plymouth Creek

850 800 750 700 650 600 550 500 450

Total Enrollment

Facilities Utilization Grade

Capacity*

K 1 2 3 4 5 Practical Capacity

120 132 137 125 135 135 784

Projected % Enrollment Utilization 13-14 97 81% 102 78% 118 86% 131 105% 120 89% 150 111% 720

92%

Capacity* 120 132 137 125 135 135 784

Projected % Enrollment Utilization 14-15 112 93% 100 75% 121 88% 124 100% 151 112% 142 105% 750

96%

Capacity* 120 132 137 125 135 135 784

Projected % Enrollment Utilization 15-16 93 77% 115 87% 117 85% 128 102% 144 107% 178 132% 775

99%

Capacity* 120 132 137 125 135 135 784

Projected % Enrollment Utilization 16-17 103 85% 101 77% 144 105% 131 105% 154 114% 170 126% 802

102%

Capacity* 120 132 137 125 135 135 784

Projected % Enrollment Utilization 17-18 107 89% 103 78% 117 86% 150 120% 149 110% 172 127% 797

102%

Enrollment Projections and Facility Utilization Analysis

Kimberly Lane Elementary

Historical Enrollment

Projected Enrollment

Grade K 1 2 3 4 5

07-08 95 116 114 120 107 113

08-09 82 114 127 133 130 113

09-10 120 110 129 132 142 137

10-11 105 147 117 144 140 152

11-12 64 122 153 122 147 145

12-13 115 83 122 151 119 146

13-14 111 152 94 140 164 127

14-15 93 138 158 101 140 164

15-16 90 115 144 169 101 140

16-17 67 111 120 153 169 100

17-18 70 84 116 129 154 169

Total Enrollment

665

699

770

805

753

736

788

794

758

721

721

850 Total Enrollment

800 750 700 650 600 550 500 450

Facilities Utilization Grade

Capacity*

K 1 2 3 4 5 Practical Capacity

100 110 115 125 135 135 720

Projected % Enrollment Utilization 13-14 111 111% 152 138% 94 82% 140 112% 164 121% 127 94% 788

109%

Capacity* 100 110 115 125 135 135 720

Projected % Enrollment Utilization 14-15 93 93% 138 125% 158 138% 101 81% 140 104% 164 122% 794

110%

Capacity* 100 110 115 125 135 135 720

Projected % Enrollment Utilization 15-16 90 90% 115 104% 144 125% 169 135% 101 75% 140 104% 758

105%

Capacity* 100 110 115 125 135 135 720

Projected % Enrollment Utilization 16-17 67 67% 111 101% 120 104% 153 122% 169 125% 100 74% 721

100%

Capacity* 100 110 115 125 135 135 720

Projected % Enrollment Utilization 17-18 70 70% 84 76% 116 101% 129 103% 154 114% 169 126% 721

100%

Enrollment Projections and Facility Utilization Analysis

Oakwood Elementary

Historical Enrollment

Projected Enrollment

Grade K 1 2 3 4 5

07-08 72 71 88 77 85 88

08-09 68 83 74 92 76 85

09-10 84 75 90 71 101 75

10-11 86 83 75 96 77 99

11-12 87 101 86 76 100 80

12-13 59 84 94 88 80 98

13-14 93 89 114 117 110 106

14-15 108 94 105 109 122 128

15-16 109 106 110 101 111 139

16-17 85 97 114 92 93 120

17-18 97 80 116 102 92 109

Total Enrollment

481

478

496

516

530

503

629

666

676

601

596

700 Total Enrollment

650 600 550 500 450 400 350 300

Facilities Utilization Grade

Capacity*

K 1 2 3 4 5 Practical Capacity

100 110 115 125 135 135 720

Projected % Enrollment Utilization 13-14 93 93% 89 81% 114 99% 117 94% 110 81% 106 79% 629

87%

Capacity* 100 110 115 125 135 135 720

Projected % Enrollment Utilization 14-15 108 108% 94 85% 105 91% 109 87% 122 90% 128 95% 666

92%

Capacity* 100 110 115 125 135 135 720

Projected % Enrollment Utilization 15-16 109 109% 106 96% 110 95% 101 81% 111 82% 139 103% 676

94%

Capacity* 100 110 115 125 135 135 720

Projected % Enrollment Utilization 16-17 85 85% 97 88% 114 99% 92 74% 93 69% 120 89% 601

83%

Capacity* 100 110 115 125 135 135 720

Projected % Enrollment Utilization 17-18 97 97% 80 73% 116 101% 102 82% 92 68% 109 81% 596

83%

Enrollment Projections and Facility Utilization Analysis

Plymouth Creek Elementary

Historical Enrollment

Projected Enrollment

Grade K 1 2 3 4 5

07-08 95 124 122 104 115 102

08-09 106 120 132 129 112 118

09-10 116 117 118 144 120 117

10-11 141 139 114 125 147 119

11-12 112 153 150 118 128 151

12-13 150 131 166 161 128 127

13-14 60 102 82 108 96 68

14-15 72 82 106 91 106 87

15-16 80 103 88 118 90 95

16-17 79 114 105 95 113 83

17-18 80 112 118 118 94 108

Total Enrollment

662

717

732

785

812

863

516

544

573

589

630

900 850 800 750 700 650 600 550 500 450

Total Enrollment

Facilities Utilization Grade

Capacity*

K 1 2 3 4 5 Practical Capacity

100 110 115 125 135 135 720

Projected % Enrollment Utilization 13-14 60 60% 102 93% 82 72% 108 86% 96 71% 68 50% 516

72%

Capacity* 100 110 115 125 135 135 720

Projected % Enrollment Utilization 14-15 72 72% 82 75% 106 92% 91 73% 106 79% 87 64% 544

76%

Capacity* 100 110 115 125 135 135 720

Projected % Enrollment Utilization 15-16 80 80% 103 93% 88 76% 118 94% 90 67% 95 70% 573

80%

Capacity* 100 110 115 125 135 135 720

Projected % Enrollment Utilization 16-17 79 79% 114 104% 105 92% 95 76% 113 84% 83 61% 589

82%

Capacity* 100 110 115 125 135 135 720

Projected % Enrollment Utilization 17-18 80 80% 112 102% 118 103% 118 94% 94 70% 108 80% 630

87%

Enrollment Projections and Facility Utilization Analysis

Sunset Hill Elementary

Historical Enrollment Grade K 1 2 3 4 5 Total Enrollment

Projected Enrollment

07-08 88 91 109 91 84 90

08-09 92 92 92 105 93 95

09-10 86 108 91 94 100 94

10-11 91 88 110 86 101 104

11-12 91 104 92 103 89 99

12-13 92 94 96 90 101 89

13-14 114 137 114 122 128 126

14-15 128 118 129 114 134 126

15-16 128 131 110 128 124 131

16-17 150 129 124 111 142 122

17-18 130 153 122 122 122 138

553

569

573

580

578

562

741

749

752

778

787

850 800 750 700 650 600 550 500 450 400

Total Enrollment

Facilities Utilization Grade

Capacity*

K 1 2 3 4 5 Practical Capacity

100 110 115 125 135 135 720

Projected % Enrollment Utilization 13-14 114 114% 137 125% 114 99% 122 98% 128 95% 126 93% 741

103%

Capacity* 100 110 115 125 135 135 720

Projected % Enrollment Utilization 14-15 128 128% 118 107% 129 112% 114 91% 134 99% 126 93% 749

104%

Capacity* 100 110 115 125 135 135 720

Projected % Enrollment Utilization 15-16 128 128% 131 119% 110 96% 128 102% 124 92% 131 97% 752

104%

Capacity* 100 110 115 125 135 135 720

Projected % Enrollment Utilization 16-17 150 150% 129 117% 124 108% 111 89% 142 105% 122 90% 778

108%

Capacity* 100 110 115 125 135 135 720

Projected % Enrollment Utilization 17-18 130 130% 153 139% 122 106% 122 98% 122 90% 138 102% 787

109%

Enrollment Projections and Facility Utilization Analysis

Wayzata School District

Historical Enrollment

Projected Enrollment

Grade K 1 2 3 4 5

07-08 582 733 753 738 707 721

08-09 646 672 761 792 758 745

09-10 713 740 708 779 795 780

10-11 762 791 760 738 805 805

11-12 662 816 834 765 772 819

12-13 728 713 826 862 782 791

13-14 668 810 743 855 892 807

14-15 698 746 844 770 888 921

15-16 702 774 778 877 799 916

16-17 672 775 807 800 903 823

17-18 681 739 808 829 828 928

Total Enrollment

4,234

4,374

4,515

4,661

4,668

4,702

4,775

4,867

4,846

4,780

4,813

5,450 Total Enrollment 4,450 3,450 2,450 1,450 450

Facilities Utilization Grade

Capacity*

K 1 2 3 4 5 Practical Capacity

720 792 827 850 918 918 5025

Current % Enrollment Utilization 12-13 728 101% 713 90% 826 100% 862 101% 782 85% 791 86% 4702

94%

Capacity* 720 792 827 850 918 918 5025

Projected % Enrollment Utilization 13-14 668 93% 810 102% 743 90% 855 101% 892 97% 807 88% 4775

95%

Capacity* 720 792 827 850 918 918 5025

Projected % Enrollment Utilization 14-15 698 97% 746 94% 844 102% 770 91% 888 97% 921 100% 4867

97%

Capacity* 720 792 827 850 918 918 5025

Projected % Enrollment Utilization 15-16 702 98% 774 98% 778 94% 877 103% 799 87% 916 100% 4846

96%

Capacity* 720 792 827 850 918 918 5025

Projected % Enrollment Utilization 16-17 672 93% 775 98% 807 98% 800 94% 903 98% 823 90% 4780

95%

Capacity* 720 792 827 850 918 918 5025

Projected % Enrollment Utilization 17-18 681 95% 739 93% 808 98% 829 98% 828 90% 928 101% 4813

96%