Global Productivity

Page 454

428

CHAPTER 7

GLOBAL PRODUCTIVITY

EMDEs than in advanced economies. Furthermore, the distortions in the finance sector in LICs are particularly large. These findings are in line with the literature.22

ANNEX 7C Firm TFP data, estimates, and methodology Data. The World Bank Enterprise Surveys (ES) collect firm-level data from surveys conducted with more than 129,000 firms in 127 countries, including 71,000 manufacturing firms, over a period spanning 2007 to 2017. This annex uses revenue TFP constructed for 15,181 manufacturing firms for which output, input, and firm characteristics data are available (Cusolito et al. 2018). The sample covers 108 EMDEs. TFP estimates. The underlying assumption is that sector-specific elasticities of output with respect to inputs are the same across economies in a given income group.23 Firmlevel revenue TFP estimates are computed in each sector s by pooling all firms i across economies c.24 The weighted regressions, using survey weights, exploit the log transform of a Cobb-Douglas production function and, therefore, TFP estimates can assume negative and positive values. The ES data set provides two estimates of firm-level TFP, output TFP and value added TFP. Output TFP is estimated as

α s ,K ln( K sci ) + α s ,N ln( N sci ) + α s ,M ln( M sci ) . + interaction & quadratic terms  

YKNM = ln( Ysci ) −  TFPRsci

Value added TFP is estimated as

α s ,K ln( K sci ) + α s ,N ln( N sci )    + interaction & quadratic terms  ,

VAKN TFPRsci = ln( VAsci ) − 

where Y is the firm’s output, K is the input capital, N is the input labor, M is intermediate materials, and VA is the firm’s value added (Cusolito et al. 2018).25 Two22 Vollrath (2009) shows that the ratio of marginal product of labor in industry to that of agriculture ranges from a low of a low of 1.67 in Australia to a high of 16.84 in Kenya. Moreover, Dennis and Işcan (2011) find that the rate of structural change (that is, the reallocation of labor from low- to high-productivity sectors) is slow in countries with large distortions in agriculture; and Restuccia, Yang, and Zhu (2008) find that wage wedges, measured as differences in average wage across sectors, significantly slow the process of structural change. 23 This assumption implies that firm-level TFP are not directly comparable to aggregate TFP from macro panel data. 24 Firms are grouped in two-digit ISIC code industries for the estimation. To allow for comparison, values (collected in local currency units) are converted to U.S. dollars using the corresponding exchange rate and then US deflated using the 2009 gross domestic product deflator for the United States [LCU/(FX x defl 2009 )]. 25 The value of (log) intermediate inputs (materials, electricity) is subtracted from the (log) output to obtain the (log) value added. Thus, output and value added TFP are the same when elasticities of intermediate inputs with respect to output (αs,M in equation 1) is equal to one, but different otherwise. Interaction and quadratic terms are included to control for possible nonlinearities. Because of the lack of information on self-reported inputs in the World Bank ES data set, TFP values are not available for some firms in the manufacturing sector. Extreme observations are also removed in the upper tail of the firm-level TFP distribution in Sub-Saharan Africa.


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Annex 7B Marginal productivity gap

4min
pages 452-453

References

14min
pages 456-463

Annex 7A Data and methodology

6min
pages 448-451

References

13min
pages 421-428

Sectoral productivity gaps

2min
page 432

Annex 7C Firm TFP data, estimates, and methodology

5min
pages 454-455

Annex 6C Commodity-driven productivity developments: Methodology

2min
page 420

Conclusion and policy implications

2min
page 412

Drivers of productivity: Technology vs. demand shocks

2min
page 391

Annex 6A SVAR identification of technology drivers of productivity

8min
pages 413-416

PART III Technological Change and Sectoral Shifts

0
pages 383-386

Effects of demand shocks

2min
page 397

Figure 6.1 Global labor productivity surges and declines

7min
pages 388-390

Sub-Saharan Africa

2min
page 350

Figure 5.22 Factors supporting productivity growth in MNA

7min
pages 333-335

Figure 5.19 Drivers of productivity growth in LAC

9min
pages 325-328

South Asia

4min
pages 337-338

Conclusion

2min
page 363

Figure 5.13 Drivers of productivity growth in ECA

10min
pages 314-317

Middle East and North Africa

2min
page 329

Latin America and the Caribbean

2min
page 318

Figure 5.12 Drivers of productivity growth in ECA in regional comparison

5min
pages 312-313

Europe and Central Asia

2min
page 305

Figure 5.7 Drivers of productivity growth in EAP

3min
page 301

PART II Regional Dimensions of Productivity

0
pages 281-284

Sources of, and bottlenecks to, regional productivity growth

4min
pages 290-291

Figure 5.1 Evolution of regional productivity in EMDE regions

4min
pages 288-289

East Asia and Pacific

2min
page 295

References

12min
pages 274-280

Evolution of productivity across regions

2min
page 287

Annex 4F Productivity measurement: PPP vs. market exchange rates

4min
pages 268-269

Annex 4C Beta-convergence testing

2min
page 257

Figure 4.4 Convergence club memberships

2min
page 242

Annex 4D Estimating convergence clubs: Commonalities in productivity levels

7min
pages 258-260

Testing for convergence and its pace

4min
pages 236-237

Conclusion and policy implications

7min
pages 253-255

Convergence clubs

7min
pages 239-241

Annex 3B Robustness

2min
page 213

Conclusion

2min
page 204

Figure 3.8 Episodes across different types of events

4min
pages 193-194

Annex 3A Data, sources, and definitions

2min
page 206

How has productivity convergence evolved?

2min
page 231

Figure 3.4 Episodes of war

2min
page 187

What policies can mitigate the effects of adverse events?

2min
page 203

Figure 3.5 Correlations between war frequency and productivity growth

7min
pages 188-190

Figure B3.1.1 Severity of pandemics, epidemics, and climate disasters

6min
pages 179-181

Figure B3.1.3 Impact of epidemics

6min
pages 184-186

Annex 2A Partial correlations

2min
page 146

Figure 3.2 Episodes of natural disaster

4min
pages 175-176

Box 3.1 How do epidemics affect productivity?

1min
page 178

Adverse events: Literature and stylized facts

2min
page 171

Conclusion

2min
page 145

Figure 2.13 Developments in financial and government technology

2min
page 143

Figure 2.12 EMDE infrastructure and education gaps

2min
page 142

Policy priorities

4min
pages 140-141

Figure 2.11 Post-GFC slowdown of the drivers of productivity growth

10min
pages 136-139

References

12min
pages 101-108

Analyzing the effects of drivers

1min
page 128

Developments in drivers of productivity

2min
page 134

Figure 2.1 Innovation

5min
pages 114-115

Box 2.1 Review of recent firm-level total factor productivity literature

8min
pages 130-133

Summary of stylized facts

2min
page 126

Long-run drivers

4min
pages 112-113

Box 1.1 Productivity: Conceptual considerations and measurement challenges

9min
pages 85-88

Conclusion

2min
page 96

Annex 1A Cyclical and technology-driven labor productivity developments

1min
page 100

Figure B1.1.1 Labor productivity decomposition and natural capital in EMDEs

7min
pages 89-91

References

13min
pages 65-70

Key findings and policy messages

4min
pages 32-33

Future research directions

2min
page 64

Synopsis

2min
page 39

PART I Productivity: Trends and Explanations

0
pages 71-74

Evolution of productivity

2min
page 78

Sources of the slowdown in labor productivity growth after the GFC

2min
page 83

Implications of COVID-19 for productivity

11min
pages 34-38
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