The Long Shadow of Informality

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C H A P T ER 4

T H E L O NG S HA D O W O F I N F O R MA L I T Y

BOX 4.3 Informality, poverty, and income inequality

Economies with greater informality also feature more poverty and greater income inequality. The coincidence of informality, poverty, and income inequality partly reflects wage differentials between formal and informal employment and the presence in those emerging market and developing economies (EMDEs) where informality is more prevalent of weaker fiscal positions, social safety nets, and growth. Declines in informality have been associated with poverty reduction but not systematically with declines in income equality.

Introduction Prevalence of informality is associated with persistent poverty and income inequality. a This may reflect higher wages for formal than informal workers and more limited income redistribution in EMDEs with widespread informality. Limited redistribution, in turn, in part reflects a lack of fiscal resources, inefficient or inadequate tax and social security systems, burdensome regulations and taxation, and relatively slow economic growth.b The association with inequality has been noted especially in poorer countries (Dell’Anno 2016; Elgin and Elveren 2019), other researchers have found an association with increases in income inequality (for instance, Mishra and Ray 2010; Rosser, Rosser, and Ahmed 2000). c The COVID-19 (coronavirus) pandemic has led to an increase in global poverty for the first time in decades (World Bank 2020b, 2021). It has hit informal firms and informally employed workers particularly hard, in part because they struggled to adjust to digital operations and to access government support schemes (box 2.1; Yoshida, Narayan, and Wu 2020). Meanwhile, because of severe economic contractions in the formal sector, the share of informal activity is likely to have increased as a result of the pandemic. Against this backdrop, this box explores and quantifies the relationships between informality and poverty and income inequality by addressing the following questions: •

How strong is the association between informality and poverty or income inequality?

Note: This box was prepared by Sergiy Kasyanenko. a. For cross-country studies, see Devicienti, Groisman, and Poggi (2009); Fields and Pieters (2018); Gasparini and Tornaroli (2007); ILO (2018b); and World Bank (2019, 2020b). b. For studies showing the potneital channels via which informality is linked with limited redistribution, see Besley and Persson (2014), Ordóñez (2014), Perry et al. (2007), and World Bank (2019, 2020b). c. Country-level studies often find that higher informality is associated with greater income inequality (Amarante, Arim, and Yapor 2016; Ariza and Montes-Rojas 2017; Docquier and Iftikhar 2019).


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References

17min
pages 344-353

Annex 6A Policies and informality

3min
pages 323-324

Fiscal measures

2min
page 301

Data and methodology

2min
page 300

6.1 Financial development and the informal economy

9min
pages 290-294

6.8 Informality after labor market reforms in EMDEs

2min
page 313

Conclusion

2min
page 271

References

20min
pages 272-284

Conclusion

2min
page 319

Latin America and the Caribbean

2min
page 251

South Asia

2min
page 260

Sub-Saharan Africa

4min
pages 264-265

Middle East and North Africa

2min
page 255

Europe and Central Asia

2min
page 246

East Asia and Pacific

2min
page 241

Informality in EMDEs

2min
page 237

References

24min
pages 222-234

4D.7 Regression: Changes in informality and poverty reduction

2min
page 208

competition

2min
page 206

4D.8 Regression: Changes in informality and improvement in income inequality

1min
page 209

4D.14 Regression: Developmental challenges and DGE-based output informality in EMDEs

5min
pages 216-218

Annex 4C Bayesian model averaging approach

4min
pages 200-201

4D.4 Regression: Labor productivity of formal and informal firms 4D.5 Regression: Labor productivity of formal firms facing informal

1min
page 205

Annex 4B Regression analysis

2min
page 199

Annex 4A Meta-regression analysis

2min
page 198

Informality and SDGs related to human development

2min
page 191

Informality and SDGs related to infrastructure

2min
page 193

4.3 Informality, poverty, and income inequality

5min
pages 180-182

Informality and institutions

2min
page 189

Finding the needle in the haystack: The most robust correlates

2min
page 195

Conclusion

1min
page 197

Informality and economic correlates

2min
page 179

4.2 Casting a shadow: Productivity in formal and informal firms

4min
pages 167-168

Links between informality and development challenges

2min
page 165

4.1 Informality and wage inequality

8min
pages 158-161

References

6min
pages 147-152

Conclusion

2min
page 136

Data and methodology

2min
page 129

Literature review: Linkages between formal and informal sectors

6min
pages 126-128

References

13min
pages 115-122

2B.9 World Values Survey

1min
page 114

2B.8 MIMIC model estimation results, 1993-2018

1min
page 113

Future research directions

2min
page 54

Database of informality measures

14min
pages 81-86

References

10min
pages 55-62

Key findings and policy messages

6min
pages 36-38

Definition of informality

4min
pages 79-80

Conclusion

2min
page 99

Annex 2A Estimation methodologies

9min
pages 100-103

16 Informality indicators and entrepreneurial conditions in Sub-Saharan

2min
page 35
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