The Long Shadow of Informality

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T H E L O NG S HA D O W O F I N F O R MA L I T Y

C H A P T ER 4

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years shorter than in EMDEs with below-median informality. Both the maternal mortality rate and the mortality rate of children under 5 years old in EMDEs with above-median informality were nearly twice the rates in EMDEs with below-median informality. In EMDEs with above-median informality, on average, about 133 deaths per 100,000 persons were caused by household air pollution and ambient pollution, which is significantly higher than in EMDEs with below-median informality by more than 50 deaths per 100,000 persons. Education. Access to education is less available in EMDEs with more pervasive informality (Docquier, Müller, and Naval 2017). On average in EMDEs with abovemedian informality, people spent less than seven years in schooling, compared with eight to nine years in EMDEs with below-median informality. Less than 85 percent of the population aged 15-24 years in EMDEs with above-median informality is literate— more than 10 percentage points less than the population in EMDEs with below-median informality. Gender equality. Female workers make up a disproportionate share of workers in the informal sector (Bonnet, Vanek, and Chen 2019; ILO 2018b). In EMDEs with abovemedian employment informality, 87 percent of employed women work in the informal sector, which is about three-quarters higher than in EMDEs with below-median employment informality (table 4D.12). In South Asia (SAR) and Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA), the regions where informality is most pervasive, about 80 percent of female workers in the nonagricultural sector are informally employed (UN Women 2016). In low-income countries, up to 92 percent of all employed women work in the informal sector (ILO 2018b; OECD/ILO 2019). Working in the informal sector exposes female workers to low remuneration, poor working conditions, and lack of or limited access to social protection and rights at work (ILO 2019; Otobe 2017). EMDEs with more widespread informality are also associated with greater gender inequality in broader terms. The average years of schooling received by women in EMDEs with above-median informality are, on average, 20 percent less than the average years received by men, in stark contrast to EMDEs with below-median informality where no significant gender gap in schooling prevails. Only 55 percent of women in EMDEs with above-median informality have their family planning needs attended to, which is 10 percentage points lower than in EMDEs with below-median informality. In addition to factors such as traditional gender roles, lack of access to education and insufficient coverage of family planning needs constrain women’s ability to participate in the formal sector (Malta et al. 2019).

Informality and SDGs related to infrastructure More widespread informality is associated with poorer access to, and lower overall quality of, infrastructure, with causality running in both directions. Thus widespread informality tends to limit government revenue and hence public expenditure on infrastructure; conversely, poor access to infrastructure can discourage firms or workers from joining the formal sector and engaging with the government (Perry et al. 2007).


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Articles inside

References

17min
pages 344-353

Annex 6A Policies and informality

3min
pages 323-324

Fiscal measures

2min
page 301

Data and methodology

2min
page 300

6.1 Financial development and the informal economy

9min
pages 290-294

6.8 Informality after labor market reforms in EMDEs

2min
page 313

Conclusion

2min
page 271

References

20min
pages 272-284

Conclusion

2min
page 319

Latin America and the Caribbean

2min
page 251

South Asia

2min
page 260

Sub-Saharan Africa

4min
pages 264-265

Middle East and North Africa

2min
page 255

Europe and Central Asia

2min
page 246

East Asia and Pacific

2min
page 241

Informality in EMDEs

2min
page 237

References

24min
pages 222-234

4D.7 Regression: Changes in informality and poverty reduction

2min
page 208

competition

2min
page 206

4D.8 Regression: Changes in informality and improvement in income inequality

1min
page 209

4D.14 Regression: Developmental challenges and DGE-based output informality in EMDEs

5min
pages 216-218

Annex 4C Bayesian model averaging approach

4min
pages 200-201

4D.4 Regression: Labor productivity of formal and informal firms 4D.5 Regression: Labor productivity of formal firms facing informal

1min
page 205

Annex 4B Regression analysis

2min
page 199

Annex 4A Meta-regression analysis

2min
page 198

Informality and SDGs related to human development

2min
page 191

Informality and SDGs related to infrastructure

2min
page 193

4.3 Informality, poverty, and income inequality

5min
pages 180-182

Informality and institutions

2min
page 189

Finding the needle in the haystack: The most robust correlates

2min
page 195

Conclusion

1min
page 197

Informality and economic correlates

2min
page 179

4.2 Casting a shadow: Productivity in formal and informal firms

4min
pages 167-168

Links between informality and development challenges

2min
page 165

4.1 Informality and wage inequality

8min
pages 158-161

References

6min
pages 147-152

Conclusion

2min
page 136

Data and methodology

2min
page 129

Literature review: Linkages between formal and informal sectors

6min
pages 126-128

References

13min
pages 115-122

2B.9 World Values Survey

1min
page 114

2B.8 MIMIC model estimation results, 1993-2018

1min
page 113

Future research directions

2min
page 54

Database of informality measures

14min
pages 81-86

References

10min
pages 55-62

Key findings and policy messages

6min
pages 36-38

Definition of informality

4min
pages 79-80

Conclusion

2min
page 99

Annex 2A Estimation methodologies

9min
pages 100-103

16 Informality indicators and entrepreneurial conditions in Sub-Saharan

2min
page 35
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