Figure 7: Winners and losers under the proposed PMT formula

from Assessing the Targeting System in Georgia: Proposed Reform Options

by World Bank Group - Social Protection & Jobs

Table 4: Selected variables in proposed formula and coefficient signs

Figure 7: Winners and losers under the proposed PMT formula

Source: Authors’ calculations on HIES 2018. Note: The percentages indicate the share of people from each decile who keep, gain (‘winners’), lose (‘losers’), do not gain eligibility status as a result of the proposed PMT formula changes. Winners are people who become covered by TSA as a result of the formula update. Losers are people who lose eligibility for TSA as a result of the update. Beneficiaries after the formula changed are identified assuming budget neutrality from the change: households are ranked according to the new formula and assumed to be covered starting from the poorest, until the projected total cost of TSA transfers under the new formula equates the estimated total cost under the old formula. The relevant threshold is a PMT score of 66,850 up from the 65,000 threshold in the old formula.

Figure 7: Winners and losers under the proposed PMT formula

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Table 4: Selected variables in proposed formula and coefficient signs

Figure 7: Winners and losers under the proposed PMT formula

More articles from this publication:

Table 4: Selected variables in proposed formula and coefficient signs

Figure 1: Percentage of households with score below 57,000 and 65,000, 2013 2018 Figure 2: Percentage of population overlap between ‘true’ and estimated welfare within the bottom 10

percent, 20 percent, and 30 percent of population

3. The estimation of a new PMT formula

Annex D: Limitations in the replication of the TSA score in the HIES data

References

5. Recommendations

List of Boxes

Figure 6: Coverage and targeting accuracy under the current and proposed model

This article is from:

Assessing the Targeting System in Georgia: Proposed Reform Options