USA OUTLOOK October 28 to November 01, 2024

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Dow closes more than 250points higher, S&P 500 rises as softening oil prices lift stocks

Stocks jumped Monday as investors looked for a batch of megacap technology earnings to keep driving the Nasdaq Composite to new heights this week. A cooling geopolitical situation also aided risk sentiment.

The S&P 500 gained 0.27% to close at 5,823.52. The Dow Jones Industrial Average advanced 273.17 points,or0.65%,toendat42,387.57.TheNasdaqrose 0.26%, closing at 18,567.19.

Weekend airstrikes by Israel against Iran did not target oil or nuclear facilities as was feared, and oil futures sold off on the day. U.S. crude futures were down 6%, along with international benchmark Brent.

This week is the busiest one in the third-quarter earnings reporting season. It’s also the last week before the Nov. 5 U.S. presidential election and the Federal Reserve policy decision on Nov. 7.Five of the Magnificent Seven companies Alphabet, Microsoft, Meta Platforms, Amazon and Apple are scheduled to report their latest financial results. Shares of Apple and Alphabet each climbed about 0.9%

Source:

https://www.cnbc.com/2024/10/27/stock-market-today-live-updates.html

Oil prices settle down on report of talks to end Lebanon war

Oil prices closed slightly lower on Tuesday, adding to a more than 6% drop in the previous session, on a report that Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu will hold a meeting for a diplomatic solution to the war in Lebanon.

Brent crude futures settled down 30 cents, or 0.4%, at $71.12 a barrel, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude shed 17 cents, or 0.3%, to $67.21 a barrel.

The two benchmarks had gained more than $1 a barrel earlier in the session. Both contracts fell on Monday to their lowest levels since Oct. 1 after Israel's retaliatory strike on Iran at the weekend bypassed Tehran's oil infrastructure.

Netanyahu will hold a meeting on Tuesday evening with Israeli ministers and the heads of the country's military and intelligence community about talks for a diplomatic solution to the war in Lebanon, Axios reporter Barak Ravid said on X, citing two sources

Iranian Foreign Ministry spokesperson Esmaeil Baghaei said on Monday that Iran will "use all available tools" to respond to Israel's weekend attack.

Source:

https://www.reuters.com/markets/commodities/oil-prices-edge-up-us-plan-refill-reserve-

Photo: CNBC
Photo: Reuters

USdollarsofteraheadofelection and jobs data

The dollar softened against other major currencies on Wednesday, after stronger-than-expected U.S. data and a UK budget release set off choppy trading in a market awaiting jobs data later this week and a U.S. election the next.

U.S. private payrolls growth surged in October, overcoming fears of temporary disruptions from hurricanes and strikes, according to the ADP National Employment Report.

Meanwhile, separate data showed the U.S. economy grew at an annualized rate of 2.8% in the third quarter, slightly lower than the 3% expected by economists.

The U.S. dollar index, which measures the currency against six major rivals, rose to 104.43 earlier in the session but was last seen down 0.17% to 104.06. It rose to the highest since July 30 at 104.63 on Tuesday.

"Besides sterling, I think today is about position adjusting ahead of the data on Friday," said Marc Chandler, chief market strategist at Bannockburn Global Forex. "The two big uncertainties are the U.S. jobs data on Friday and the U.S. election."

Mixed U.S. indicators overnight, showing a loosening U.S. jobs market but a confident consumer, provided little clarity on the outlook for Federal Reserve rates, allowing the greenback to drift lower with Treasury yields.

Source:

US offshore wind execs fret privately over possible Trump election win

U.S. offshore wind developers put on a brave face at a conference this week, touting their ability to work with leaders from both political parties, although privately attendees fretted that things could get rough forthem ifRepublican Donald Trumpwinsthe Nov. 5 presidential election.

The Republican nominee and former president has vowed to scrap offshore wind projects through an executive order on his first day in office if he retakes the White House, claiming windmills ruin the environment and kill birds and whales.

Trump is in a tight race against Democratic Vice President Kamala Harris, who has championed ambitious offshore wind targets as part of President Joe Biden's administration.

The tight election race has made a challenging year worse for the industry, already roiled by canceled projects, shelved lease sales and a construction accident at the country's first major offshore wind project.

Source:

Photo: Reuters
Photo: Reuters

Washington state vote a harbinger for wider carbon markets

AballotinitiativetoaxWashingtonstate'scarbonmarketwould,ifpassednextweek,sendanominoussignal to other U.S. states and Canadian regions looking to build markets aimed at cutting emissions that scientists blame for climate change.

The carbon market, formed by the state's Climate Commitment Act (CCA), has raised more than $2 billion for programs including transit, wildfire protection, and salmon protection since its 2023 launch.

It is supported by Native American tribes and environmental groups, as well as BP (BP.L), opens new tab, a global energy company preparing for the potential wider adoption of such markets.

Hedge fund manager Brian Heywood is leading the initiative in the Nov. 5 elections to repeal it. He blames CCA, which puts emissions limits on about 100 of the state's largest polluters, for spiking Washington's gasoline prices to the highest in the U.S. in mid-2023.

Heywood, the millionaire Republican and CEO of Taiyo Pacific Partners, holds rallies for the initiative at gas stations, where he gives drivers money to reduce the cost of fill-ups.

Source:

https://www.reuters.com/markets/carbon/washington-state-vote-harbinger-wider-carbon-markets-2024-11-01/

Photo: Reuters

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