Pantone 654c
NATIONAL SUMMIT ON
HYPERSONIC WEAPON SYSTEMS April 26 & 27, 2022
Gaylord National Resort and Convention Center, Washington, D.C.
Hypersonic Missiles Report 2019-2027
AmericanConference.com/Hypersonic-Technology • 888 224 2480
Part of American Conference Institute’s DEFENSE SERIES
Pantone 654c
NATIONAL SUMMIT ON
HYPERSONIC WEAPON SYSTEMS
Content Overview In advance of our National Summit on Hypersonic Weapons Systems we have worked closely with our Partner Market Forecast to keep you apprised of the latest innovations and key components of developing hypersonic weapons including – Integration, Testing, Materials, Propulsion and Sensors – to maintain the balance of geopolitics. Keep reading to find out more:
Global Supersonic & Hypersonic Weapons – Classification based on Type Guidance System & Technology
2
Global Supersonic & Hypersonic Weapons – Trends and Insights
3
Findings
3
Conclusions
3
Global Supersonic & Hypersonic Weapons Market by Regions Overview
4
Global Super Sonic & Hypersonic Weapons Market by Type Overview
4
Global Supersonic & Hypersonic weapons Market by Guidance System
5
Global Supersonic & Hypersonic weapons Market by Technology
5
Countering Supersonic and Hypersonic Weapons
6
Directed Energy Weapon
6
Space Based Sensors
6
Glide Breaker
6
Global Supersonic & Hypersonic Weapons – Classification Based on Type In this report our partners have classified Global Supersonic & Hypersonic Weapons under three major groups:
TYPE
GUIDANCE SYSTEMS
TECHNOLOGY
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Global Supersonic & Hypersonic Weapons – Trends and insights 1. In the air domain the sale of combat aircraft is predicated on the associated Supersonic and Hypersonic
Weapons package. The aircraft per se is only part of the campaign. Also of significance are the weapons on offer as part of any deal. As such a proposed weapons package, air-to-air and air-to surface, can act as a discriminator in selecting a particular aircraft.
2. The perceived efficacy of Supersonic & Hypersonic Weapons has had effects reaching beyond Beijing
and Moscow. Several other states with a mature defense industrial base have also either independently developed or pursued development of such weapons in concert with a partner nation, while a wider pool of nations have bought off the shelf.
3. Several nations, principally China, Russia and the United States are actively engaged in the development of Global Supersonic & Hypersonic weapons capable of flight at speeds of Mach 5 and above. When combined with Developments in C4ISR, their use has the potential to drastically reduce the strike time against a broad target set.
4. A high probability of reaching the target is required if only a small number of the Supersonic & hypersonic
Weapon is to be used to engage. If a greater number is to be used, then a lower probability for each round reaching the target can be accepted.
5. Accuracy, range and speed are the design drivers for guided weaponry. These three performance criteria
exist in tension to one another, with mission designs trading off accuracy, range and speed depending on the requirement, type and size of the warhead.
Findings Efficient aerodynamic lift-to-drag (L/D) configurations in guided missiles for high Mach numbers are not efficient for low Mach numbers. A compromise in efficiency is required. The United States Armed Forces is revving up testing of hypersonic cruise missiles. There are currently 5 active hypersonic test programs in various stages of planning at the RTS [Ronald Regan Ballistic Missile Defense Test Site] The United States, China, Russia and India are investing a major portion of their missile defense budget to redesign Kill Vehicles, Multi-Mode Seekers, New Propellants and Navigation on Chip. Areas for technology investment include: Persistent discrimination in the current and future MBDS sensor architecture; high power lasers; Multi-Object Kill Vehicle (MOKV) technology and other advance technology for high-risk/high-pay off breakthroughs. The advanced technology investments are informed by capability gap assessments and focus on concepts that bring upgraded capability to the warfighter. The goal is to provide capabilities that enable the future BMDS to keep pace with new and evolving threats. The United States, China and Russia are developing guided missile technologies that address User-Defined capability gaps, while providing an innovative means of reducing the cost basis of guided missiles in general. These objectives are addressed by the development of a modular open architecture contrast for guided missiles and their subsystems. The primary obstacle to a modular open architecture lies not in the hardware, but in the underlying algorithms used in the development of guidance and control and fire control software.
Conclusions CHEVRON-DOUBLE-RIGHT Russia and China will increase export of Anti-Aircraft missile systems with dual role features of area in air defense as well as medium range anti-aircraft engagement capabilities. CHEVRON-DOUBLE-RIGHT Major missile Original Equipment Manufacturers are developing algorithm technology that supports modular open architectures for guided missiles. These algorithms are adaptable to physical changes in the design of a guided missile and allow subsystems to be independently procured and rapidly integrated into the system. CHEVRON-DOUBLE-RIGHT Several upcoming missile programs combine the capabilities of 3 separate systems (two forward firing systems and one drop/glide system) into a single product line in order to benefit the logistics chain. CHEVRON-DOUBLE-RIGHT New electrically powered solid-state lasers (SSLs) may be the most promising alternative for laser weapons that can be mounted on large mobile platforms such as surface vessels. CHEVRON-DOUBLE-RIGHT Russia and China are the top exporters of Supersonic & Hypersonic Weapons. India and Saudi Arabia are the top two importers. The U.S. market is the largest for Supersonic and Hypersonic weapons with China being the second largest.
3/ AmericanConference.com/Hypersonic-Technology • 888 224 2480
Part of American Conference Institute’s DEFENSE SERIES
Pantone 654c
NATIONAL SUMMIT ON
HYPERSONIC WEAPON SYSTEMS
Tables and Graphics on Hypersonic Market Forecast: Highlighted in the following tables and graphs are numbers related to the main market forecast and event based forecast. These tables and graphics are meant to shed light on the market size of Global Supersonic and Hypersonic Weapons.
Table 1: Market Forecast Global Supersonic & Hypersonic Weapons by Regions (U.S. $BN) 2019-2027 2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
19-27
CAGR 19-27
Americas
4.3
4.5
4.9
5.5
5.5
6.0
6.0
5.9
7.2
49.8
6.7%
EuropE
1.7
1.8
1.9
2.2
2.2
2.4
2.4
2.3
2.5
19.3
5.0%
Asia
3.1
3.3
3.6
4.0
4.0
4.4
4.4
4.2
5.0
35.9
6.1%
Middle East
1.1
1.2
1.3
1.4
1.5
1.6
1.6
1.5
2.0
13.3
7.4%
Africa
0.8
0.8
0.9
1.0
1.0
1.1
1.1
1.1
1.3
8.9
6.3%
Total
11.0
11.5
12.6
14.0
14.2
15.5
15.5
15.0
18.0
127.3
6.3%
Notes:
Americas Market Forecast will grow by 6.7% CAGR from 2019-2027, with a cumulative US $49.8 billion during this period. Europe Market Forecast with grow by 5.0% CAGR from 2019-2027, with a Cumulative US $19.3 Billion during this period. Asia Market Forecast with brow by 6.1% CAGR from 2019-2029, with a cumulative US$35.9 Billion during this period. Middle East Market Forecast will grow by 7.4% CAGR from 2019- 2027, with a cumulative US$13.3 Billion during this period. Africa Market Forecast will grow by 6.3% CAGR From 2019-2027, with a cumulative US$8.9Billion during this period.
Table 2: Market Forecast Global Supersonic & Hypersonic Weapons by Type (U.S. $BN) 2019-2027 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
2025
2026 2027 19-27
CAGR 19-27
Land Attack Cruise Missile
0.6
0.6
0.6
0.7
0.7
0.8
0.8
0.8
0.9
6.4
6.3%
Air Launched Cruise Missile
1.2
1.3
1.4
1.5
1.6
1.7
1.7
1.7
2.0
14.1
6.7%
Anti-Ship Cruise Missle
1.3
1.4
1.5
1.7
1.7
1.9
1.9
1.8
2.1
15.2
6.0%
Hypersonic Glide Vehicle
3.3
3.5
3.8
4.2
4.3
4.7
4.7
4.5
5.4
38.2
6.3%
Surface to Air Missile
2.8
2.9
3.2
3.5
3.6
3.9
3.9
3.8
4.5
31.8
6.3%
Tactical Ballistic Missile
0.8
0.8
0.9
1.0
1.0
1.1
1.1
1.1
1.3
9.0
6.8%
Non-Missile Kinetic Penetrators
1.1
1.2
1.3
1.4
1.4
1.6
1.6
1.5
1.8
12.7
6.3%
Total
11.0
11.5
12.6
14.0
14.2
15.5
15.5
15.0
18.0
127.3
6.3%
4/ AmericanConference.com/Hypersonic-Technology • 888 224 2480
Table 3: Market Forecast – Global Supersonic & Hypersonic Weapons by Guidance System (U.S. $BN) 2019-2017 Infrared Homing
0.8
1.2
0.9
1.5
1.0
1.6
1.1
1.7
1.6
11.2
9.7%
Laser Homing
1.5
1.5
1.9
1.7
2.0
2.0
2.3
1.8
2.3
17.1
5.4%
Radar
4.0
3.9
3.8
4.2
5.1
5.3
4.7
4.5
5.0
40.4
3.1%
Satellite Based Navigation
2.8
3.1
3.8
3.8
3.6
4.2
.4.7
4.1
5.4
35.3
8.8%
Acoustic Homing
2.0
1.8
2.3
2.8
2.6
2.5
2.8
3.0
3.6
23.3
7.8%
Total
11.0
11.5
12.6
14.0
14.2
15.5
15.5
15.0
18.0
127.3
6.3%
Table 4 Market Forecast Global Supersonic & Hypersonic Weapons by Technologies (U.S. $BN) 2019-2027 2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
19-27
CAGR 19-27
Aerodynamics
1.3
1.3
1.8
1.8
1.7
1.7
2.2
2.0
2.2
15.9
6.6%
Propulsion
1.2
1.4
1.3
2.1
1.6
1.9
1.6
2.3
2.2
15.3
7.5%
Structure/ Materials
1.1
0.9
1.1
1.0
1.4
1.2
1.4
1.1
1.3
10.5
1.7%
Guidance & Control
0.9
1.2
1.4
1.4
1.1
1.6
1.7
1.5
2.0
12.7
10.7%
Seeker
1.0
1.2
1.5
1.5
1.3
1.6
1.9
1.7
1.8
13.3
7.8%
Munition Design
1.1
1.3
1.1
1.0
1.4
1.7
1.4
1.1
1.6
11.7
5.0%
Satellite Navigation Sensors
0.8
0.7
0.6
1.0
1.0
0.9
0.8
1.1
1.6
8.4
9.7%
Automatic Target Recognition
0.4
0.6
0.5
0.8
0.6
0.8
0.6
0.9
1.3
6.5
14.1%
Mission Management
1.0
0.8
0.9
0.8
1.3
1.1
1.1
0.9
1.3
9.1
3.1%
Data Link
0.7
0.8
0.8
1.0
0.9
1.1
0.9
1.1
0.9
8.0
4.0%
Cost/Logistics
1.1
0.9
0.9
0.8
1.4
1.2
1.1
0.9
1.2
9.6
1.1%
Observables/ Survivability
0.4
0.6
0.8
0.7
0.6
0.8
0.9
0.8
0.7
6.2
6.3%
11.0
11.5
12.6
14.0
14.2
15.5
15.5
15.0
18.0
127.3
6.3%
Total
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Part of American Conference Institute’s DEFENSE SERIES
Pantone 654c
NATIONAL SUMMIT ON
HYPERSONIC WEAPON SYSTEMS
Countering Supersonic and Hypersonic Weapons: The Armed forces in the United States and in the EU believe that the stage to knock out hypersonic weapons is during their relatively long cruise phase, in which they do not change course abruptly. Hypersonic missiles during that stage are not particularly hard to intercept, but it would require advanced warning. What’s more, hypersonic weapons are difficult to track via existing space-based sensors. Hypersonic weapons targets are 10 to 20 times dimmer than what the United States normally tracks by satellites in geostationary orbit. And so, the U.S. would need to combine radar with a network of spacebased sensors to effectively track and target an adversary’s hypersonic weapons. The urgency in developing a defense shield is driven by the fact that China is outpacing the United States in development of offensive hypersonic weapons. In August 2018, the country reportedly conducted the maiden flight of a new hypersonic test vehicle, named starry Sky 2 which boosts its speed by wave riding on its shockwaves. The vehicle reached Mach 505 for more than six minutes and topped out at Mach 6. Some of the technologies that are now being considered as possible defenses against hypersonic weapons are: Directed Energy Weapons – (DEW) is a ranged weapon that damages its target with highly focused Energy, including laser, microwaves, and particle beams. From the last decade, development of DEWs has gathered pace in the U.S., Russia, China and Germany among many other nations. Lasers are the most mature of the DEW technologies, becoming smaller and more powerful over the years. Three categories of DEW’s are: • High Energy Laser Weapons (HEL) • Particle Beam Weapons • High Power Microwave Weapons (HPM) Space Based Sensors - To track hypersonic gliders, the vantage point of space would be advantageous. The utility of space sensors has been studied for decades so the Pentagon has plenty of data to draw from. Electronic eyes in low-Earth orbit would be looking sideways at objects, “with the coldness of space behind them”. A constellation of missile-tracking satellites in low and medium early orbits would add a new set of eyes to the existing missile shield in the U.S. The foundation of a space layer for missile defense would be satellites and sensors, but it would also need artificial intelligence and other advance technologies to process data and give commanders realtime updates. The data collected by the new sensor layer would be meshed with that from existing missile warning satellites and other sources of intelligence. Glide Breaker – DARPA wants an interceptor that can stop weapons that are hypersonic. The agency has begun soliciting proposals for Glide Breaker, its project to stop boost-glide vehicles that are lofted high into the atmosphere atop a ballistic missile, and then glide down to Earth.
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NATIONAL SUMMIT ON
HYPERSONIC WEAPON SYSTEMS April 26 & 27, 2022
Gaylord National Resort and Convention Center Washington, D.C.
With both Russia and China aggressively developing & fielding Hypersonic Weapons, successful near-peer enemy global strike capabilities have been obtained. With this in mind, American Conference Institute has created the National Summit on Hypersonic Weapons Systems, taking place April 26-27 in Washington, D.C. to take a deep dive into the necessity of hastening the procurement of hypersonic platforms as well as the testing and fielding steps that will provide the ability to maintain the balance of geopolitics. Join key experts to explore and understand the DoD’s approach to the ongoing global proliferation of hypersonic weapons, as well as learn from senior level discussions on emerging opportunities, and needs and challenges within Hypersonic Weapon Systems technologies. Key themes running throughout the summit include: • The Latest DoD Hypersonic Weapon Systems Posture, Programs & Emerging Capabilities and Opportunities for Industry • Advancements in Hypersonic Glide Vehicles Design & Long-Range SCRAMJET Missile Technologies • Hypersonic Defense Modular System Architecture and Industrial Engineering Challenges • Latest Advancements in the Fielding and Testing of Hypersonic Weapons • Counter Hypersonic Technologies and Platforms – Challenging the Adversarial Threats • Government/DoD and International Cooperation Plans and Policies to Maintain a Global Defensive Superiority
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