HANOI REAL ESTATE MARKET INSIGHTS Q3/2022 | © CBRE, Inc. CBRE Vietnam
HANOI REAL ESTATE MARKET INSIGHTS Q3/2022 | © CBRE, Inc. CBRE V ietn am
HANOI REAL ESTATE MARKET INSIGHTS Q3/2022 | © CBRE, Inc. MARKET INSIGHTS Q3 2022 HANOI
HANOI REAL ESTATE MARKET INSIGHTS Q3/2022 | © CBRE, Inc.
HANOI REAL ESTATE MARKET INSIGHTS Q3/2022 | © CBRE, Inc.
HANOI REAL ESTATE MARKET INSIGHTS Q3/2022 | © CBRE, Inc.
HANOI REAL ESTATE MARKET INSIGHTS Q3/2022 | © CBRE, Inc. ▪ ▪ ▪ ▪ ▪ ▪
HANOI REAL ESTATE MARKET INSIGHTS Q3/2022 | © CBRE, Inc. • • • •
HANOI REAL ESTATE MARKET INSIGHTS Q3/2022 | © CBRE, Inc.
HANOI REAL ESTATE MARKET INSIGHTS Q3/2022 | © CBRE, Inc.
HANOI REAL ESTATE MARKET INSIGHTS Q3/2022 | © CBRE, Inc. (%) • •
HANOI REAL ESTATE MARKET INSIGHTS Q3/2022 | © CBRE, Inc.
HANOI REAL ESTATE MARKET INSIGHTS Q3/2022 | © CBRE, Inc. • •
HANOI REAL ESTATE MARKET INSIGHTS Q3/2022 | © CBRE, Inc. MARKET INSIGHTS Q3 2022 HANOI
Q3 2022 in Review
HANOI REAL ESTATE MARKET INSIGHTS Q3/2022 | © CBRE, Inc.
Grade B welcomes a new office project in the West area (Cau Giay District, 22,000sqm NLA), resulting in a slight increase in average rents and vacancy rates in Grade B segment.
HANOI REAL ESTATE MARKET INSIGHTS Q3/2022 | © CBRE, Inc. Market Snapshot Q3 2022 HANOI Snapshot Q3 2022 SUPPLY NLA (sqm) ASKING RENT (*) US$/sqm/month VACANCY RATE (*) (%) US$ 14. ▲ 0.6% q-o-q ▲ 3.2% y-o-y 11.9% ▲ 1.6 ppt q-o-q ▲ 0.4 ppt y-o-y US$ 31.3 0.0% q-o-q ▲ 3.3% y-o-y 11.1% ▲ 2.6 ppt q-o-q ▲ 1.3 ppt y-o-y GRADE A GRADE BGRADE A CBD 253,817 sqm 1,019,930 sqm603,518 sqm 28.2% ▼ -0.5 ppt q-o-q ▼ -4.0 ppt y-o-y US$ 26.0 ▲ 0.6% q-o-q ▲ 6.0% y-o-y HANOI OFFICE MARKET (1 new project: 22,000 sqm)
HANOI OFFICE MARKET
Market Performance, Hanoi Office, Q3 2022
Improvement in both rents and occupancy rates across both grades
Vacancy rates in Grade B are rising as market welcomed a new building.
HANOI REAL ESTATE MARKET INSIGHTS Q3/2022 | © CBRE, Inc.
Flight to Quality
Vacancy rates in Grade A
CBD are rising as tenants relocated from older Grade
A buildings in the CBD to newer buildings elsewhere, while rents in all areas tend to rise slightly,
Market Performance, Hanoi Office, Grade A, By Cluster, Q3 2022
HANOI REAL ESTATE MARKET INSIGHTS Q3/2022 | © CBRE, Inc.
HANOI OFFICE MARKET
HANOI OFFICE MARKET
Net Absorption, Hanoi Office, Q3 2022
Net Absorption Remains Moderate
Due to Limited New Supply
HANOI REAL ESTATE MARKET INSIGHTS Q3/2022 | © CBRE, Inc.
HANOI OFFICE MARKET
Notable Transactions by Purposes, Hanoi, Q3 2022
Rising Desire For Expansion
HANOI REAL ESTATE MARKET INSIGHTS Q3/2022 | © CBRE, Inc.
HANOI REAL ESTATE MARKET INSIGHTS Q3/2022 | © CBRE, Inc. Notable Transactions by Industry, Q3 2022 Technology Industry and the West Area Are Highlights Among Major Transactions Recorded in Q3 2022 Notable Transactions by Location, Q3 2022 Industry Area (sqm) Location Purpose IT/Tech 6,800 789 Building (West) Expansion IT/Tech 3,000 LeAdvisors (West) Expansion Securities 2,000 Capital Place (Midtown) Expansion IT/Tech 1,700 PVI (West) New letting HANOI OFFICE MARKET
HANOI REAL ESTATE MARKET INSIGHTS Q3/2022 | © CBRE, Inc.
HANOI REAL ESTATE MARKET INSIGHTS Q3/2022 | © CBRE, Inc.
HANOI REAL ESTATE MARKET INSIGHTS Q3/2022 | © CBRE, Inc.
HANOI REAL ESTATE MARKET INSIGHTS Q3/2022 | © CBRE, Inc.
Market Performance, Hanoi Office, 2019 – 2023F
HANOI REAL ESTATE MARKET INSIGHTS Q3/2022 | © CBRE, Inc.
Retail Market
HANOI REAL ESTATE MARKET INSIGHTS Q3/2022 | © CBRE, Inc.
MARKET INSIGHTS Q3 2022 HANOI
HANOI REAL ESTATE MARKET INSIGHTS Q3/2022 | © CBRE, Inc. ▲ ▲ ▲ ▼ ▼ ▲ ▲ ▲
HANOI RETAIL MARKET Hanoi Retail, Asking Rents, Q3 2022
HANOI REAL ESTATE MARKET INSIGHTS Q3/2022 | © CBRE, Inc.
HANOI RETAIL MARKET
Breitling
The 1st Boutique Flagship stores in Vietnam
61 Ly Thai To, Hoan Kiem, Hanoi September 2022
56 Trang Tien, Hoan Kiem, Hanoi September 2022
Berluti
The 1st store in Vietnam
57 Ly Thai To, Hoan Kiem, Hanoi September 2022
HANOI REAL ESTATE MARKET INSIGHTS Q3/2022 | © CBRE, Inc.
Marc Jacobs
HANOI RETAIL MARKET
HANOI REAL ESTATE MARKET INSIGHTS Q3/2022 | © CBRE, Inc.
Expansion in Q3 2022 Future Expansion
Aeon MaxValu Supermarket
Lyn – Fashion Accessories
Annam Gourmet – Supermarket Vincom Mega Mall Times City August 2022 Mothercare - Fashion Accessories Lotte Department Store Hanoi August 2022
Uniqlo Fashion
Jumbo Seafood F&B
Mojo
Boutique Coffee
–
F&B
Tops Market Supermarket
HANOI RETAIL
HANOI REAL ESTATE MARKET INSIGHTS Q3/2022 | © CBRE, Inc.
MARKET The Zei Tu Liem District NLA: 9,000 sqm Hinode City Hai Ba Trung District 10,000 sqm 2022: 19,000 sqm NLA 2023-2024: Over 300,000 sqm NLA of future supply FLC Twin Towers Cau Giay District 14,000 sqm The Village - Park City Ha Dong District 12,200 sqm Toshin – Starlake Phase 1 Tay Ho District 35,000 sqm Lotte Mall Hanoi Tay Ho District 72,000 sqm Aeon Mall Hoang Mai Hoang Mai District 84,000 sqm Tien Bo Plaza Ba Dinh District 50,000 sqm Splendora Mall Hoai Duc District 8,450 sqm Thor Complex Hai Ba Trung District 12,884 sqm
HANOI RETAIL MARKET
HANOI REAL ESTATE MARKET INSIGHTS Q3/2022 | © CBRE, Inc.
HANOI RETAIL MARKET
Market Performance 2022 – 2024F, Hanoi Retail Market Outlook
HANOI REAL ESTATE MARKET INSIGHTS Q3/2022 | © CBRE, Inc.
HANOI RETAIL MARKET
Market Outlook Consumer experience a top priority Inflationary pressures may dampen outlook
Prime assets to remain well sought after
With limited new supply and demand for prime locations remaining firm, space in city centres and along prime high streets will remain keenly sought-after in the coming time.
Physical retail stores will focus on facilitating consumer experience by integrating in-store utilities and enhancing online order fulfilment capabilities, a trend already evident within the F&B sector
Concerns about challenges and inflationary pressures in the coming time may affect the recovery of retail sector as costs of raw materials, production costs and consumer goods prices expect to increase further, affecting consumer spending and consumer confidence especially for non-necessities.
HANOI REAL ESTATE MARKET INSIGHTS Q3/2022 | © CBRE, Inc.
Residential Market
HANOI REAL ESTATE MARKET INSIGHTS Q3/2022 | © CBRE, Inc.
MARKET INSIGHTS Q3 2022 HANOI
Hanoi Condominium:
Snapshot
new supply allows for
absorption during the quarter albeit primary prices
to set new heights.
Research
Primary Price: US$
regardless of being
(excluding
during the
and quoted on
for
during the
HANOI REAL ESTATE MARKET INSIGHTS Q3/2022 | © CBRE, Inc. Source: CBRE Vietnam
& Consulting, Q3 2022 *Average
psm
VAT
NSA). This index tracks all projects available
sales
review quarter,
launched
quarter or previously.
HANOI
RESIDENTIAL MARKET
Market
Q3 2022 Limited
positive
continued
Ultra Luxury New launch supply (units) 0 0 2,456 ▲8% y-o-y 1,184 ▼2% y-o-y 0 3,640 ▲5% y-o-y Average Primary Price* (US$ psm) US$ 25,000 US$ 5,489 ▲8% y-o-y US$ 2,294 ▲1% y-o-y US$ 1,653 ▲13% y-o-y US$ 924 ▲4% y-o-y US$ 1, ▲23% y-o-y Sold units 0 47 2,338 ▲67% y-o-y 1,220 ▼6% y-o-y 19 ▼89% y-o-y 3,624 ▲22% y-o-y
HANOI RESIDENTIAL MARKET
New Supply from Highend Segment Surpassed Mid-end’s for Three Consecutive Quarters
Most of products in township developments offered in high-end price range
Condominium, New Launch, Q3 2022
No new affordable project launched over the past 5 quarters
Luxury High-end Mid-end Affordabl e Ultra Luxury
Source: CBRE Vietnam Research & Consulting, Q3 2022
High-end segment covered 61% of new launch in 9M 2022
HANOI REAL ESTATE MARKET INSIGHTS Q3/2022 | © CBRE, Inc.
HANOI REAL ESTATE MARKET INSIGHTS Q3/2022 | © CBRE, Inc.
HANOI REAL ESTATE MARKET INSIGHTS Q3/2022 | © CBRE, Inc. HANOI RESIDENTIAL MARKET Moving towards Higher-end Segments across Locations in Hanoi ▲ ▲ ▲ ▲ ▲ Condominum, Primary Prices, Selected Districts in Hanoi Q3 2022
Condominium: Secondary Prices Continued to Increase at a High Rate for Three
Consecutive Quarters
This is the third consecutive quarter that the market recorded annual secondary price growth of 9% and above –higher than the period before 2021 when the movements were typically between 2-4% yo-y.
Source: CBRE Vietnam Research & Consulting, Q3 2022
*Average Secondary Price: US$ psm (excluding VAT and quoted on NSA). This index tracks all projects available for sales during the review quarter, regardless of being launched during the quarter or previously.
HANOI REAL ESTATE MARKET INSIGHTS Q3/2022 | © CBRE, Inc.
HANOI
RESIDENTIAL MARKET
Condominium, Secondary Prices, Selected Districts in Hanoi Q3 2022
▲ ▲
▲ ▲ ▲ ▲ ▲
HANOI RESIDENTIAL MARKET
Condominium: Sold Units
Sustained at a Similar Level to New Launch
Absorption remains on par with supply volume, but both numbers lagged behind pre-COVID levels.
Condominium, Sold Units, Q3 2022
Source: CBRE Vietnam Research & Consulting, Q3 2022
HANOI REAL ESTATE MARKET INSIGHTS Q3/2022 | © CBRE, Inc.
Condominium Projects
Property Project
HANOI REAL ESTATE MARKET INSIGHTS Q3/2022 | © CBRE, Inc. RESIDENTIAL MARKET Future Supply – Hanoi Residential Market – Q4 2022 – 2023F Central Residence Hoang Mai Dist. – 1,800 units Newly launched project Vinhomes Galaxy Thanh Xuan Dist. ~3,500 units Newly launched project Vinhomes Wonder Park Dan Phuong Dan Phuong Commune Landed
Sunshine Crystal River Tay Ho Dist. ~954 units Newly launched project Grandeur Palace Pham Hung Tu Liem Dist. ~970 units Newly launched project The Manor Central Park Hoang Mai Dist. Newly launched project Projects at Vinhomes Smart City Tu Liem Dist. Follow-on launches Vinhomes Co Loa Dong Anh District Ha Do Charm Villas – Phase 2 Hoai Duc District 100 units CEO Me Linh Me Linh District 568 units
Market Outlook
HANOI REAL ESTATE MARKET INSIGHTS Q3/2022 | © CBRE, Inc.
HANOI RESIDENTIAL MARKET
RESIDENTIAL MARKET
HANOI REAL ESTATE MARKET INSIGHTS Q3/2022 | © CBRE, Inc.
Landed Property: New Launch Supply Remained at a High Level
Similar to previous quarter, Q3 2022 also recorded a significant large volume of new units launched, the majority of which came from the launch of Vinhomes Ocean Park 2 (VHOCP2) – The Empire.
Units launched from VHOCP2 during Q2 and Q3 alone was almost 89% of the total units launched over the 4-year period from Q1 2018 to Q1 2022. Out of the new launches, townhouses accounted for the largest proportion of 53%.
Landed Property, New Supply, 2018 - 2022
VS.
HANOI REAL ESTATE MARKET INSIGHTS Q3/2022 | © CBRE, Inc.
HANOI RESIDENTIAL MARKET
Landed Property: Primary Prices on the Rise
primary prices of Q3 2022 recorded significant increases due to several new launches coming from high-end projects and by reputable developers (such as Vingroup, Bitexco).
HANOI REAL ESTATE MARKET INSIGHTS Q3/2022 | © CBRE, Inc. HANOI RESIDENTIAL MARKET
Landed Property, Primary Prices by Product, Hanoi Q3 2022 Source: CBRE Vietnam Research & Consulting, Q3 2022 *Average Primary & Secondary Prices: US$ psm (excluding VAT and quoted on NSA). Villa Average Primary Price* (US$ psm) US$ 8,077 ▲8.4% q-o-q ▲42% y-o-y US$ 6,624 ▲12.5% q-o-q ▲7% y-o-y US$ 10,684 ▲8.5% q-o-q ▲50% y-o-y US$ 8,462 ▲13.7% q-o-q ▲36% y o y Average
HANOI RESIDENTIAL MARKET
Hanoi Landed Property, Villa Secondary Price Index by District, 2018 - 2022
Landed Property: Secondary Prices also Climbed Up Significantly
Secondary prices remained its upward trend over the past 4 years, indicating strong demand of investors for landed products, along with the prominent future investment value of the properties.
HANOI REAL ESTATE MARKET INSIGHTS Q3/2022 | © CBRE, Inc.
HANOI RESIDENTIAL MARKET
Landed property, New launch vs Sold Units, 2018 - 2022
Landed Property: Strong Market Absorption
Q3 2022, together with Q2 2022, recorded a significant amount of sold units compared to previous quarters, following strong launching volume from mostly Vinhomes Ocean Park 2 –The Empire project.
HANOI REAL ESTATE MARKET INSIGHTS Q3/2022 | © CBRE, Inc.
Landed Property: Market Outlook
The upward trend in secondary price is expected to continue but at a slower pace especially as macro factors are shifting quickly. New supply volume will moderate after 2022, but expects to remain at a high level compared historically.
HANOI REAL ESTATE MARKET INSIGHTS Q3/2022 | © CBRE, Inc.
HANOI RESIDENTIAL MARKET
Thank
HANOI REAL ESTATE MARKET INSIGHTS Q3/2022 | © CBRE, Inc.
you Disclaimer: All materials presented in this report, unless specifically indicated otherwise, is under copyright and proprietary to CBRE. Information contained herein, including projections, has been obtained from materials and sources believed to be reliable at the date of publication. While we do not doubt its accuracy, we have not verified it and make no guarantee, warranty or representation about it Readers are responsible for independently assessing the relevance, accuracy, completeness and currency of the information of this publication This report is presented for information purposes only, exclusively for CBRE clients and professionals, and is not to be used or considered as an offer or the solicitation of an offer to sell or buy or subscribe for securities or other financial instruments All rights to the material are reserved and none of the material, nor its content, nor any copy of it, may be altered in any way, transmitted to, copied or distributed to any other party without prior express written permission of CBRE Any unauthorised publication or redistribution of CBRE research reports is prohibited CBRE will not be liable for any loss, damage, cost or expense incurred or arising by reason of any person using or relying on information in this publication