Advice
Matters
Volume 37 | Summer Edition 2017 Economic Update
P1
Checking your super statement
P2
Who gets your super if you die?
P3
Your guide to looking and feeling great this summer
P4
Economic and market update ANZ Wealth Chief Investment Office November 2017
Solid macro outlook supports markets
Major asset class performance (%)
• Returns in November across most asset classes sustained strong performance. US economic data remained solid with considerable momentum carrying into 2018. • The minutes from the US Federal Reserve (Fed) suggest interest rates will rise in December as economic growth is solid and the labour market continues to strengthen. The Fed Chair nominee Jerome Powell is widely viewed as a good choice to succeed Ms Yellen and his appointment suggests that the Fed’s approach to gradually raise interest rates and reduce its balance sheet will likely continue. • The European recovery is broadening and strengthening. Strong German economic growth and improved conditions in France and Italy saw preliminary 3Q GDP revised up to 2.5% as the manufacturing PMI for the Eurozone hit 60 and unemployment fell below 9%. • Chinese growth continued to ease as policy remains directed towards reducing inefficient production and debt across a number of industries. Despite this, the macro outlook for emerging markets appears solid. • Low inflation globally, and accommodative messages from central banks contributed to the positive returns in many fixed income markets. • Improved outlook supported Australian shares, crossing the 6,000 mark in November for the first time in almost a decade.
Asset classes Australian Shares Global Shares (hedged) Global Shares (unhedged) Global Emerging Markets (unhedged) Global Small Companies (unhedged) Global Listed Property Cash Australian Fixed Income International Fixed Income
1 month 1.7 1.7 3.2 1.2 3.2 2.6 0.1 0.9 0.2
12 months 5 years (pa) 14.7 10.5 22.1 15.6 20.5 19.4 29.3 11.5 20.4 21.4 9.9 10.7 1.8 2.4 4.0 4.3 3.8 5.0
Source: JP Morgan & ANZ Wealth, 30 November 2017. Indices: Australian Shares - S&P / ASX 300 Accumulation, Global Shares (hedged/unhedged) - MSCI World ex Australia Net, Global Emerging Markets - MSCI Emerging Free Net in AUD (unhedged), Global Small Companies (unhedged) - MSCI World Small Cap ex Australia, Global Listed Property - FTSE EPRA/NAREIT Developed Rental Index ex Australia (hedged), Cash - Bloomberg Bank Bill, Australian Fixed Income - Bloomberg Composite Bond All Maturities, International Fixed Income Barclays Global Aggregate Bond Index (hedged). Please note: Past performance is not indicative of future performance.
Currency Exchange rates At close on 30/11 AUD/USD 0.76 AUD/euro 0.64 AUD/yen 85.0 Trade weighted index 63.6
% change 1 mth -1.0 -3.4 -2.6 -2.0
% change 12 mths 2.7 -9.4 0.9 1.9
Source: Bloomberg & ANZ Wealth, 30 November 2017. All foreign exchange rates are rounded to two decimal places where appropriate. Please note: Past performance is not indicative of future performance.
GENERAL ADVICE WARNING This publication contains general (including taxation) information only. It is not intended to constitute financial product advice. Any information provided or conclusions made, whether express or implied, do not take into account the investment objectives, financial situation and particular needs of an investor. It should not be relied upon as a substitute for professional advice. You should obtain and consider a Product Disclosure Statement (PDS) before making any decision to acquire a product.
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