Advice
Matters
Volume 39 | Winter Edition 2018 Economic and market update
P1
Will the proposed superannuation changes impact your retirement strategy
P2
Top tips for making the most of your tax refund
P3
Four common retirement fears
P4
Economic and market update ANZ Wealth Chief Investment Office | May 2018
A month of two halves • Global shares rose 0.4% in unhedged terms (1.3% hedged) in May as a strong start on the back of better-than-expected economic data and easing US-Chinese trade tensions softened a mixed second half as President Trump cancelled talks with North Korea, and as political uncertainty heightened in Italy and Spain. • Over May, the US S&P 500 index increased by 2.2%. In Europe, the French CAC40 fell -2.2% while UK’s FTSE100 rose 2.3%. The major bourses in Asia were lower. • Threat of Turkey’s President taking over its central bank spooked markets about emerging markets. The region was down -3.8%. • Minutes from the US FOMC’s May meeting revealed that officials are likely on track to raise rates in June. It also suggested the Fed may be willing to permit inflation to run higher than its 2% target. • US 10-year Treasury bond yields exceeded 3% during May as prospects of higher inflation dimmed the appeal of longer-term debts. However, yields fell sharply in the final days of the month as troubles in Italy saw investors flee to the safety of US Treasuries. • Australian shares rose, up by 1.2%. The housing market continued to rebalance as foreign buyer demand slows and bank lending standards tighten.
Major asset class performance (%) Asset classes Australian Shares
1 month
12 months
1.2
10.0
8.8
Global Shares (hedged)
1.3
11.3
12.2
Global Shares (unhedged)
0.4
9.8
14.9
-3.8
12.2
9.6
2.4
15.0
16.7
Global Emerging Markets (unhedged) Global Small Companies (unhedged) Global Listed Property
5 years (p.a.)
2.8
3.6
8.2
Cash
0.2
1.8
2.2
Australian Fixed Income
0.7
1.7
4.1
International Fixed Income
0.4
1.5
4.7
Source: JP Morgan & ANZ Wealth, 31 May 2018.
Currency Exchange rates
At close on 28/2
AUD/USD
0.76
% change 1 month 0.2
% change 12 months 1.6
AUD/euro
0.65
3.8
-2.1
AUD/yen
82.2
-0.5
-0.1
Trade weighted index
62.8
1.1
-4.1
Source: Bloomberg & ANZ Wealth, 31 May 2018. All foreign exchange rates are rounded to two decimal places where appropriate. Please note: Past performance is not indicative of future performance.
FOMC = Federal Open Market Committee.
GENERAL ADVICE WARNING This publication contains general (including taxation) information only. It is not intended to constitute financial product advice. Any information provided or conclusions made, whether express or implied, do not take into account the investment objectives, financial situation and particular needs of an investor. It should not be relied upon as a substitute for professional advice. You should obtain and consider a Product Disclosure Statement (PDS) before making any decision to acquire a product.
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