BY JEN ALLEN
KEY MARKET METRICS
The number of Nantucket real estate transactions dropped to single digits in February for the first time in 14 years. However, unlike 2009, this dearth of activity stemmed largely from a lack of supply meeting buyer demand as evidenced by the multiple offers that took place for properties that appealed to eager buyers. Additionally, new contract activity during the month was just as strong as it’s been the last few years, signaling the market remains on solid ground and may well stay that way if real estate continues to be a haven for investors looking to diversify assets amidst unrest in the financial markets. Here are Fisher’s February Market Insights...
NANTUCKET REAL ESTATE ACTIVITY
(508) 228–4407 21 MAIN STREET, NANTUCKET, MASSACHUSETTS 1
Market Insights
NANTUCKET REAL ESTATE
FISHER’S
$3,800,000 (+ construction contract) 79 POLPIS ROAD PRIVATE SALE $3,525,000 2 HIAWASSE LANE MARKETED FOR [3 Days] $2,350,000 163 ORANGE STREET MARKETED FOR [286 Days] HIGHEST RESIDENTIAL SALE MULTIPLE BID SALE MONTHLY SALES
ALL PROPERTY TYPES 2023 2022 % CHANGE YOY 5-YEAR AVG. Transactions 28 51 -45% f 55 Dollar Volume ($ in 000s) $90,400 $162,166 -44% f $140,131 Months on Market 2.4 2.5 -4% f 5.6 Sale Price to Last Ask 94% 95% -1 f 94% Active Listings 87 61 43% d 171 Projected Absorption 2.5 1.1 139% d 4.8 New Monthly Contracts 18 20 -10% f 25 Dollar Volume # of Transactions YTD Dollar Volume # of Transactions
FEB ‘23 REVIEW
HIGHLIGHTS
THROUGH FEBRUARY 2013 - 2023
LONGEST MARKETED SALE
Market Insights BY
JEN ALLEN
PROPERTY SALES BY PRICE POINT
CONSISTENT DEMAND DESPITE DECLINE IN SALES
• Transaction volume across all property types was significantly lower than in previous years during February. Sales by price point thereby dropped in every pricing category except for sales above $10 million, which saw one more transaction than in 2022 for the same period.
• On a percentage of sales basis, sales between $2 million and $3 million saw the most significant increase during this short timeframe. Time will tell if this trend continues, but this price point tends to see the highest concentration of sales in any given year so 2023 is off to a consistent start. The recent sale of 2 Hiawasse Lane illustrates just how strong demand continues to be as multiple offers resulted in a sale price $275,000 above the list price.
RESIDENTIAL SALES ACTIVITY STEEP DECLINE IN TRANSACTION VOLUME
• Single-family home sales (excluding condos, co-ops, multi-family & covenant properties) saw a dramatic decline during February, tallying just six transactions totaling $14.5 million. This is the lowest number of monthly transactions posted during any year since 2009. Conditions are currently quite different as this decline in activity stemmed largely from the lack of home inventory meeting buyer demand.
• The highest sale during the month was the $3.8 million sale of 79 Polpis Road, which is artificially low as there was a separate, private construction contract for the dwelling which reportedly totaled an all-in price of $8 million.
• Monthly sales metrics remained solid with the average marketing time and sales discounts stronger than they were one year ago.
CONTRACT ACTIVITY NEW PURCHASES REBOUNDED
• After a dip in monthly contract activity in January, February’s recorded contracts (Offers to Purchase and Purchase & Sale Contracts excluding duplicates) rallied to 18 newly contracted properties, right in line with monthly activity over the last few years.
• Of these recorded contracts, four were for properties last listed above $5 million, signaling a continued strength in the upper end of the market.
• This new activity suggests we should see a modest bump in transaction activity as we head into the spring market.
SFH INVENTORY BY PRICE POINT MODEST GROWTH ACROSS THE BOARD
• Although property inventory remained at historic lows, February represented the second month of the year with a slight increase from 2022 levels. As of February 28, 2023, there were just 87 properties listed for sale including residential, commercial, and vacant land listings. By isolating single-family homes for sale by price point, nearly every price point saw an incremental increase in listed properties from 2022.
• The total months’ supply, or how long it would take to sell all listings based on trailing 12-month sales, measured two and a half months, an increase from 1.1 months at this time last year.
(508) 228–4407 21 MAIN STREET, NANTUCKET, MASSACHUSETTS 2 2 2023 2022 % Change 5-Year Avg. Total Transactions 6 12 -50% f 14 Total Sales Dollar Volume $14,500,000 $52,951,667 -73% f $38,552,733 Avg. Selling Price $2,416,667 $4,412,639 -45% f $2,765,991 Median Selling Price $2,925,000 $4,500,000 -35% f $2,500,000 Avg. Months on Market 0.1 2.6 -97% f 4.3 Avg. Price as % of Last Ask 104% 95% 9 d 96% Avg. Price as % of Original Ask 104% 96% 8 d 94% Avg. Price as % of Assessed Value 153% 172% -19 f 134%
FISHER’S
FEBRUARY ‘23 REVIEW January
$2M-$4M $4M-$7M $7M-$10M $10M+ $1M-$2M <$1M February 2021 2022 2023