MONTHLY WEATHER REVIEW
66
THE WEATHER AND CIRCULATION OF FEBRUARY 1956' Including a Discussion of Persistent Blocking and Severe Weather in Europe JAMES F. ANDREWS Extended Forecast W o n ,
1.
THE REVERSAL FROM EARLY WINTER
U. S. Weather Bureau. Washington, D. C.
TABLE1.-Persistence measures of monthly mean anomalies United States during 1966-68 winter
i n the
From December 1955 to January 1956 the large-scale circulation patterns over North America were remarkably Jan.-Feb. Chance Dec.-Jan. $=\ _" " persistent [l,21. In both months the controlling features height Oag correlation)-_____________ -. 48 52 .28 0 .a were two deep troughs, one in the eastern Pacific, the other 700mb. Temperature (0 or 1 class change, percent)". 71 69 82 Precipitation (0 class change, percant) ________ 27 37 33 Is just off theAtlantic Coast. I n Februaryanabrupt reversal occurred as these troughs filled rapidly a t middle and low latitudes, thus lengthening the wavelength and resulting information of a new trough inthe central are appreciably less than expected by chance or the normal United States. The mont.hly mean 700-mb. chart (fig. 1) amount of persistence from JanuarytoFebruary as shows the first t,rough as only a relatively minor feature found by Namias [3]. Especially striking is the contrast in the Gulf of Alaska, the second ext,ending from middle with the marked persistence from December to January latitudes of the western Atlantic into eastern Canada, and as given in the last column of table 1 [l]. the new trough as a majorfeaturefromthe Missouri Valley southwestward through Lower California. 2. WEATHER AND CIRCULATIONIN THE UNITED STATES The change in 700-mb. height anomalies associated with this transitionin circulation pattern was very Temperaturesin the western portion of the United striking, as can be seen in figure 2 by noting the large States averaged below normalduringFebruary,with areas of positive anomalous height change in the eastern greatest departures in the eastern halves of Washington Pacific and western Atlantic,separated by a band of and Oregon(fig. 3A and Chart I-B). The source region negative change in the central United States. The for much of this cold air was Alaska and northwest magnitude of this circulation reversal is expressed statisCanada, where mean temperatures in the layer from the tically in table 1, which shows thatthe correlation surface to 700 mb. averaged as low as 8" C. below normal coefficient between the height anomaly patterns in the for the month (fig. 5 ) . This cold poolhas been a persistent area from 30' N. to 50' N. and 70'W. to 130' W. was feature of this fall and winter; in fact, portions of Alaska negative from January to February, but positive from have had below normal temperatures each month since December to January. February 1955. Stronger than normal northwesterly Closely related to thecirculation reversal was an abrupt flow at 700 mb. between a deep subpolar Low and a strong change in weather from the regime of December and mid-Pacific ridge (fig. l), broughtrepeatedoutbreaks January to that of February. In the West mild, exces- of this cold polar air into the West. Note the existence sively rainy weather was replaced by cold, relatively dry of northwesterly anomalous flow components in the lower weather; while the East experienced a change from cold, troposphere from Alaska to Texas (figs. 1 and 6B) The dry conditions to a mild and rainy regime. This can best coldest weather was observed during the first half of the be seen by comparing figures 3 and 4, which show the month, occurring at a time when the mean ridge reached observed temperature and precipitation anomaly classes its strongest development off the Pacific Coast. During for the months of January and February 1956. I n table the period January 29-February 5, temperatures averaged 1 is given a summary of statistical measures of this 21" F. below normal in parts of eastern Washington, 'reversal. From a count of 100 stations evenly distributed Oregon, and Idaho, and 18" F. below normal in western around the country it was found that 48 did not change Texas [4]. by more than one class intemperature, while only 27 The subnormaltemperaturesthroughout the West remained in the sameprecipitation class. These values produced few records. It waa, however, the coldest February ever observed at Fresno, Calif., and the second 1 8ee Charta I-XV following p. 85 for analyzed climatologicaldata for the month,