01 24 | January 2024 | Residential Real Estate | South Santa Barbara County THE LUXURY REPORT MONTECITO | HOPE RANCH | SANTA BARBARA
SPECTACULAR FALL SUNRISE | 1322 DOVER ROAD | UPPER RIVIERA | EXCLUSIVE OFFERING BY RANDY + MOLLY January 20 24 2 SOUTH SANTA BARBARA COUNTY MARKET REPORT | JANUARY 2024
Hello Family and Friends -
As we embark on 2024, we're thrilled to share what is happening in the local real estate market!
We all know the real estate markets for Montecito, Hope Ranch and Santa Barbara are HOT! We anticipate the spring market to be even hotter. If you’re thinking of a move in spring or summer, it’s not too early to plan since our spring market really starts mid-February. Our best advice—start the process now! A well prepared property ensures success and we have the experience and proven track record to guide you through the process and help get your home traded for the best terms and highest possible price. Reach out for a conversation!
The housing market in January 2024 mirrors the trends observed in the latter half of 2023. While January saw an uptick in supply of inventory, the 182 available homes for sale is less than half the amount of inventory in 2020 (382 Active Listings) and 57% lower than 2019 (423). Given the continued demand to live here, the median home price for the entire area is at a premium of $2,425,000,
LUXURY MARKET | Of the 16 sales in Montecito, 7 properties traded over $5M with the high sale at 1035 Alston Road trading off market for $14,500,000 (86% of original list price of $16,850,000). Median Sold Price was $4,587,500 compared to 2023 Year End Median of $5,000,000. 56% were all cash and two homes traded off market. Hope Ranch saw only 2 sales—1 cash and the other off market with the Median Sold Price at $5,935,000 ($5,737,500 for Year End 2023).
ALL CASH | The all cash trend continued in January with 56% all cash transactions in Montecito, 50% in Hope Ranch and 41% for the entire Santa Barbara area.
OFF MARKET | Up to 20% of sales traded off market in 2023 and we anticipate this to continue moving forward. We network extensively with other top agents and have been successful in putting many deals together privately. With our strong listing business and agent connections, we are able to give you a heads up about “Quietly Listed” and “Coming Soon” properties—giving you the edge in this highly competitive market.
Regardless if you are buying or selling, we encourage you to reach out to discuss your real estate goals and learn about our Compass Private Exclusive Program. These are additional offerings we can share directly with our clients and other Compass agents nationwide BUT they do not appear on public search sites (Zillow/Redfin, etc,). This provides the opportunity for homeowners to sell discreetly and buyers to purchase a property before it is offered publicly, thus avoiding the competition. Our most recent Compass Private Exclusive offering is in Montecito with mesmerizing mountain views and we would be delighted to discuss it with you. Reach out for details and a private tour!
In this highly competitive market—experience matters. We offer extensive market knowledge, world-class marketing and concierge level professional service with complete confidentiality to our clients. Our proven track record of success includes skills necessary to put complicated deals together and negotiate the price and terms that will get your home sold for a premium price and offer accepted on your replacement property—even amongst multiple offers.
Read on for market statistics. In addition to sharing what we see happening in this changing market, we also like to show you with clear visuals by compiling the data into charts and graphs. Enjoy!
Looking for professional + creative results-oriented representation - Let’s Talk!
3 Randy and Molly
4 SOUTH SANTA BARBARA COUNTY MARKET REPORT | JANUARY 2024
Some Agents Know The Market
Good Agents Understand The Market
Exceptional Agents
Can Explain The Market
- read on . . .
- bioRANDY/MOLLY
NATIONAL REAL ESTATE INSIGHTS
January 2024 | National Market Highlights:
• Year over year, the median existing-single-family home sales price was up 5%, and the median condo/co-op sales price up 5.7%. Due to seasonal supply and demand dynamics, median sales prices typically climb early in the year to peak in late spring.
• Year over year, total existing-home sales were up 1.3% in January, but the number of homes selling for $1,000,000+ jumped 27%. Affluent buyers appear to be jumping back into the market more quickly, perhaps due to spectacular rebounds in stock markets.
• The number of new listings coming on market was up 25% from December, and should continue to climb rapidly through spring, but inventory remains far below long-term norms.
• The percentage of all-cash purchases hit its highest monthly point in almost 10 years, and the average number of offers received was the highest since last summer.
• As of February 22nd, interest rates have ticked up, but remain well below those seen in October 2023. Consumer confidence remained positive after the large jumps in December and January. The January inflation reading declined slightly, but not as much as analysts expected.
Note that January statistics based on closed sales - sales prices, sales volume, days-on-market, overbidding, and so on - will mostly reflect listings that went into contract in late 2023, generally speaking the slowest market of the year. Spring, typically the most active and most competitive selling season, should soon result in substantial changes in all these indicators.
click for COMPASS National Report
6 SOUTH SANTA BARBARA COUNTY MARKET REPORT | JANUARY 2024
AVAILABLE PROPERTIES
Check out our carefully curated Compass Collection which includes properties we consider to be exceptional, excellent investments and/or good values - call/text/email for details or a private showing at 805.880.6530.
These properties are available at time of publication, but the market is still moving fast due to historically low inventory. Stay ahead of the market by getting in touch for a list of the most up to inventory—including Compass Private Exclusives (off market) and Coming Soon homes that are not available below or on public search sites.
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Properties
of
may be listed by brokers
COLLECTION
featured are courtesy
the Santa Barbara MLS. They
and/or agents other than Compass or Haden Homes Luxury Property Group. JANUARY COMPASS
BANDIT AT HIS
IN THE WHITE MOUNTAINS | PINETOP ARIZONA 8 SOUTH SANTA BARBARA COUNTY MARKET REPORT | JANUARY 2024
CABIN
JANUARY 2024 | In Review
Single Family Homes + Condominiums
+25% change over 2023
85
SINGLE
TOTAL
$3,200,139
SALES PRICE +36% increase over 2023
$2,425,000
CONDOMINIUM HOMES
TOTAL
26
change over 2023
$950,000
over 2023
$884,250
9 - south -
AVERAGE DAY ON MARKET 24 SOLD TO ORIGINAL LIST PRICE 98%
SANTA BARBARA COUNTY
SALES +53% change over 2023
AVERAGE SALES PRICE -6%
MEDIAN SALES PRICE -2% change
AVERAGE DAY ON MARKET 30 SOLD TO ORIGINAL LIST PRICE 90%
FAMILY
HOMES
SALES
AVERAGE SALES PRICE 0% increase over
+13% change over 2023 59
2023
MEDIAN
Information Deemed Reliable But Not Guaranteed. Data Provided by Fidelity National Title/Santa Barbara, CORT or SBAOR. - southSANTA BARBARA COUNTY - homes | estates | puds (excludes condos)SOLD PRICE/MEDIAN+AVERAGE 15 Month Comparison $2,425,000 $3,200,139
JANUARY SALES OFF MARKET 13 of the 85 Total Sales 41% JANUARY SALES ALL CASH 35 of the 85 Total Sales 10 SOUTH SANTA BARBARA COUNTY MARKET REPORT | JANUARY 2024
13%
11 - southSANTA BARBARA COUNTY - homes | estates | puds | condosSOLD PRICE/MEDIAN + AVERAGE 22 Year Trend | 2003—2024 $1,707,000 $2,511,861 Information Deemed Reliable But Not Guaranteed. Data Provided by Fidelity National Title/Santa Barbara, CORT or SBAOR.
- southSANTA BARBARA COUNTY - homes | estates | puds | condosSALES VOLUME/INTEREST RATE ANALYSIS 22 Year Trend | 2003—2024 Information Deemed Reliable But Not Guaranteed. Data Provided by Fidelity National Title/Santa Barbara, CORT or SBAOR. 12 SOUTH SANTA BARBARA COUNTY MARKET REPORT | JANUARY 2024
SANTA BARBARA COUNTY
- homes | estates | puds (excludes condos)SOLDS + ACTIVE LISTINGS/INVENTORY JANUARY LEVELS | 2019-2024
The Current Limited Inventory Is Keeping Sold Prices Elevated
INSIGHT |
2023 Total SFH Sales of 857 is the Lowest Reported and at the Same Level as 2008
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- south -
Information Deemed Reliable But Not Guaranteed. Data Provided by SBAOR.
223 157 182 75 92 73 50 49 140 382
JANUARY 2024 | In Review Single Family Homes + Condominiums MONTECITO 14 SOUTH SANTA BARBARA COUNTY MARKET REPORT | JANUARY 2024
TOTAL JANUARY SALES
16
AVERAGE SALES PRICE
-16% change from 2023 $5,277,500
MEDIAN SALES PRICE -4% change from 2023
$4,587,500
HIGHEST SALES PRICE
1035 Alston Road Montecito CA 93108 $14,500,000
LOWEST SALES PRICE
633 Circle Drive Montecito CA 93108 $1,900,000
REAL TIME MARKET DATA - click -
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TOTAL SALES JANUARY
DISTRIBUTED BY PRICE RANGE
16 sales
TOTAL JANUARY SALES
16 Total Transactions Dollars In Millions
56%
9
13%
2
JANUARY SALES OFF MARKET
of the 16 Total Sales
JANUARY SALES ALL CASH
of the 16 Total Sales MONTECITO - homes | estates | puds | condos -
2024
Information Deemed Reliable But Not Guaranteed. Data Provided by Fidelity National Title/Santa Barbara, CORT or SBAOR. 16 SOUTH SANTA BARBARA COUNTY MARKET REPORT | JANUARY 2024
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TRANSACTIONS • DOM = Days on Market Information Deemed Reliable But Not Guaranteed. Data Provided by Fidelity National Title/Santa Barbara, CORT or SBAOR. Address List Price Sold Price % to List DOM Month 1035 Alston Road $16,850,000 $14,500,000 86% 150 January 515 Santa Angela Lane $8,450,000 $7,825,000 93% 59 January 608 Stone Meadow Lane $7,950,000 $7,950,000 100% 1 January 900 West Park Lane $7,950,000 $6,780,000 85% 176 January 839 Summit $5,900,000 $5,900,000 100% 1 January 301 San Ysidro Road $6,850,000 $5,700,000 83% 227 January 674 Oak Grove Drive $5,825,000 $5,015,000 86% 85 January 1365 Virginia Road $4,795,000 $4,675,000 97% 53 January 830 Summit Road $4,795,000 $4,500,000 94% 11 January 547 Owen Road $5,150,000 $4,500,000 87% 310 January 919 Aleeda Lane $3,950,000 $3,900,000 99% 17 January 1557 Miramar Lane $3,595,000 $3,620,000 101% 10 January 11 Cedar Lane $2,675,000 $2,675,000 100% 5 January 621 Barker Pass Road $2,500,000 $2,400,000 96% 22 January 195 Canon View Road $2,700,000 $2,700,000 100% 1 January 633 Circle Drive $1,950,000 $1,950,000 100% 1 January
MONTECITO JANUARY | 16
AVAILABLE PROPERTIES
Check out our carefully curated Compass Collection which includes properties we consider to be exceptional, excellent investments and/or good values - call/text/email for details or a private showing at 805.880.6530.
These properties are available at time of publication, but the market is still moving fast due to historically low inventory. Stay ahead of the market by getting in touch for a list of the most up to inventory—including Compass Private Exclusives (off market) and Coming Soon homes that are not available below or on public search sites.
Properties featured are courtesy of the Santa Barbara MLS. They may be listed by brokers and/or agents other than Compass or Haden Homes Luxury Property Group. JANUARY
18 SOUTH SANTA BARBARA COUNTY MARKET REPORT | JANUARY 2024
COMPASS COLLECTION
19 MONTECITO - homes | estates | puds | condosSOLD PRICE/MEDIAN + AVERAGE 6 Year Trend | 2019—2024 $5,277,500$4,587,500 Information Deemed Reliable But Not Guaranteed. Data Provided by Fidelity National Title/Santa Barbara, CORT or SBAOR.
756 HOT SPRINGS ROAD MONTECITO
Golden Opportunity in the Quadrangle
4 BD | 3 BA | 4034± SF | 1.08± AC
860 Lower Extra SF | Guest Cottage
Golden Opportunity in the Golden Quadrangle of Montecito | Mid-Century Remodel/Gorgeous Guest Cottage on 1+ Acre. Tucked away down a private lane
on over an acre, surrounded by palatial estates and impressive homes is a rare opportunity to develop a private and secluded family compound or easily remodel the existing Mid-Century 4034± SF home plus extra 860± lower level. Existing remodeled cozy guest cottage with designer finishes.
Offered at $4,799,000
Exclusive Offering By: Randy Haden/Molly Haden
PROPERTY REPORT 20 SOUTH SANTA BARBARA COUNTY MARKET REPORT | JANUARY 2024
JANUARY 2024 | In Review Single Family Homes HOPE RANCH 22 SOUTH SANTA BARBARA COUNTY MARKET REPORT | JANUARY 2024
TOTAL JANUARY SALES
AVERAGE SALES PRICE
-2% change from 2023
$5,935,350
MEDIAN SALES PRICE
-2% change from 2023
$5,935,350
2 REAL TIME MARKET DATA
HIGHEST SALES PRICE
4161 Creciente Drive
Hope Ranch CA 931110
$7,500,700
LOWEST SALES PRICE
4157 Lago Drive
Hope Ranch CA 931110
$4,370,000
- click -
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• DOM = Days on Market Information Deemed Reliable But Not Guaranteed. Data Provided by Fidelity National Title/Santa Barbara, CORT or SBAOR. Address List Price Sold Price % to List DOM Month 4161 Creciente Drive $9,750,000 $7,500,700 77% 138 January 4157 Lago Drive $4,370,000 $4,370,000 100% 1 January
JANUARY
TRANSACTIONS 24 SOUTH SANTA BARBARA COUNTY MARKET REPORT | JANUARY 2024
HOPE RANCH
| 2
TOTAL SALES JANUARY 2024
DISTRIBUTED BY PRICE RANGE
2 sales
TOTAL JANUARY SALES
2 Total Transactions
Dollars In Millions
25 HOPE RANCH
homes
-
| estates | puds -
Information Deemed Reliable But Not Guaranteed. Data Provided by Fidelity National Title/Santa Barbara, CORT or SBAOR. 50% JANUARY SALES OFF MARKET 1 of the 12 Total Sales 50% JANUARY SALES ALL CASH 1 of the 2 Total Sales
AVAILABLE PROPERTIES
Check out our carefully curated Compass Collection which includes properties we consider to be exceptional, excellent investments and/or good values
- call/text/email for details or a private showing at 805.880.6530.
These properties are available at time of publication, but the market is still moving fast due to historically low inventory. Stay ahead of the market by getting in touch for a list of the most up to inventory—including Compass Private Exclusives (off market) and Coming Soon homes that are not available below or on public search sites.
Properties featured are courtesy of the Santa Barbara MLS. They may be listed by brokers and/or agents other than Compass or Haden Homes Luxury Property Group.
COLLECTION 26 SOUTH SANTA BARBARA COUNTY MARKET REPORT | JANUARY 2024
JANUARY COMPASS
27 HOPE RANCH - homes | estates | puds SOLD PRICE/MEDIAN + AVERAGE 6 Year Trend | 2019—2024 $5,935,000$5,935,000 Information Deemed Reliable But Not Guaranteed. Data Provided by Fidelity National Title/Santa Barbara, CORT or SBAOR.
28 SOUTH SANTA BARBARA COUNTY MARKET REPORT | JANUARY 2024
TOTAL JANUARY SALES
36
AVERAGE SALES PRICE
+33% change from 2023
$2,966,098
MEDIAN SALES PRICE
+6% change from 2023
$1,717,500
HIGHEST SALES PRICE
3139 Cliff Drive
Santa Barbara CA 93109
$8,750,000
LOWEST SALES PRICE
333 Por La Mar Circle
Santa Barbara CA 93109
$870,000
Condominium Home
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REAL TIME MARKET DATA - click -
30 SOUTH SANTA BARBARA COUNTY MARKET REPORT | JANUARY 2024
1322 DOVER ROAD
SANTA BARBARA
Upper Riviera Premier Location
Dramatic Ocean Ocean View Parcel
Vacant Lot | Existing Pool
Architectural Plans Available
0.82± Acres Parcel | Double Wide
Sweeping Ocean View Building Parcel—Your Dream Home Awaits! Located in one of the most desirable sections of Santa Barbara awaits this double wide lot with majestic ocean views on one of the most coveted streets on the highly desirable American Riviera of Santa Barbara. Architectural plans with project design approval from the City of Santa Barbara Architectural Review Board available. Get started on your trophy propertyQ
Offered at $3,100,000
Exclusive Offering By: Randy Haden/Molly Haden
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PROPERTY REPORT
3139 SEA CLIFF
SANTA BARBARA
Undeniable Momentum on Sea Clif
Plans for Lot Split | Existing Home
3 BD | 3 BA | 3045± SF | 1.46± AC
Offered at $7,497,000
Endless Possibilities on Sea Cliff with 3.19±
AC on a Premier Street In Santa Barbara
The momentum on Sea Cliff is undeniable as a sought after estate location. Plans for lot split into three 1 acre parcels are in process. Save valuable time, frustration and expense! Existing Mid-Century Home. Currently a vacation rental with impressive rental income. Ideal floorplan to remodel and make home or include as on of a new owners three separate parcel offerings.
Offered at $7,497,000
Exclusive Offering By: Randy Haden/Molly Haden
PROPERTY REPORT 32 SOUTH SANTA BARBARA COUNTY MARKET REPORT | JANUARY 2024
34 SOUTH SANTA BARBARA COUNTY MARKET REPORT | JANUARY 2024
TOTAL JANUARY SALES
1
AVERAGE SALES PRICE
+147% change from 2023
$3,700,000
MEDIAN SALES PRICE
+147% change from 2023
$3,700,000
HIGHEST SALES PRICE
2561 Golden Gate Avenue
Summerland CA 93067
$3,700,000
LOWEST SALES PRICE
2561 Golden Gate Avenue
Summerland CA 93067
$3,700,000
REAL TIME MARKET DATA - click -
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36 SOUTH SANTA BARBARA COUNTY MARKET REPORT | JANUARY 2024
TOTAL JANUARY SALES
AVERAGE SALES PRICE
-60% change from 2023
$1,266,583
MEDIAN SALES PRICE
-31% change from 2023
$780,000
6 REAL TIME MARKET DATA
HIGHEST SALES PRICE
8109 Puesta Del Sol
Carpinteria CA 93013
$4,000,000
LOWEST SALES PRICE
5915 Hickory Street, Unit 1
Carpinteria CA 93013
$545,000
Condominium Home
- click -
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JANUARY 2024 | In Review Single Family Homes + Condominiums GOLETA 38 SOUTH SANTA BARBARA COUNTY MARKET REPORT | JANUARY 2024
TOTAL JANUARY SALES
24
AVERAGE SALES PRICE
+10% change from 2023
$1,313,271
MEDIAN SALES PRICE +15% change from 2023
$1,212,500
HIGHEST SALES PRICE
355 Island Oak Lane Goleta CA 93117
$2,680,000
LOWEST SALES PRICE
35 Dearborn Place, Unit 61 Goleta CA 93111 $550,000
Condominium Home
REAL TIME MARKET DATA - click -
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MOLLY HADEN
Realtor / Marketing Director
DRE 02020380
805.880.6540
molly@hadenhomes.com
RANDY HADEN
Broker Associate / Realtor
DRE 01988499
805.880.6530
randy@hadenhomes.com
LET’S CONNECT www.hadenhomes.com @hadenhomesrealtors
Top 1% of Local Agents CHOOSE experience
1%
40 SOUTH SANTA BARBARA COUNTY MARKET REPORT | JANUARY 2024
CONCIERGE Real Estate Service
EXPERT PERSPECTIVE
Now more than ever you need an expert advisor on your side who can provide comprehensive analysis and exclusive insights into today’s fast-paced housing market. We see every luxury property available and know the market. Our commitment to staying educated on what’s happening with economic news, the real estate market, local sales and listings is essential to your success when buying or selling properties.
CONCIERGE SERVICE
We strive to deliver a high level of personalized service—personally! We provide our clients with cutting-edge strategies that produce ideal results. Our exceptional service is driven by efficient communication, understanding your needs and having expansive industry resources— combined with expert knowledge of the extensive contracts and required forms to protect your best interests. The process comes together as a result of our years of successful negotiating which leads to a winning deal. We listen carefully, anticipate your needs, execute the deal and handle all the details. The hard work starts when a contract is in place so you will be happy you chose representation experienced in closing the deal smoothly.
COMMUNITY INVESTMENT
Sell a Home | Build a Home initiative. We are deeply connected and committed to the communities in which we live and work. Haden Homes Luxury Property Group has made a pledge to help individuals with housing needs by partnering with Habitat for Humanity. For every home that our clients buy or sell, Haden Homes makes a donation to Santa Barbara’s Habitat for Humanity.
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DISCRETION
Privacy is the Ultimate Commodity And the Decision to
Sell Your Home
Is a Personal One.
FLEXIBILITY
Decide When to Share Details About Your Home - Including PriceMore Expansively On Your Own Timing.
QUALITY
Exclusive Exposure To Compass Agents, Including Premium Placements On Agent Facing Platform.
VALUE
Get the Best Offer by Testing The Market Privately to Gather Key Insights Without Your Listing Getting Stale or Overexposed.
42 SOUTH SANTA BARBARA COUNTY MARKET REPORT | JANUARY 2024
COMPASS PRIVATE EXCLUSIVE LISTINGS
Ask Us About Our Exciting Private Exclusive Listings | Contact Us Live For details!
A Compass Private Exclusive listing is an off-market home that can be shared by a Compass agent directly with their colleagues and their buyers. Property details are not disseminated widely and won’t appear on public home search websites.
Listing your home as a private exclusive allows you to control what information is shared about you and your home while still getting exposure to top agents at Compass.
THE TALK IS HOUSING MARKET, RENOVATING + MORE
- click link for full article -
A Wave of Change Is Headed For Montecito
Compass CEO: All Key Signs in Housing Are Pointing in the Right Direction
Four Questions You Should Answer Before Buying a Second Home. Before Investing In A Vacation Property There Are Important Considerations Beyond Location
Renovating an Old House? Here's How to Update It Without Wasting Money
Barbara Corcoran Says Now Is the ‘Best Time’ To Buy a House: Here’s Why
Compass AI | A New Tool Seamlessly Integrated With The Compass Technology Platform
44 SOUTH SANTA BARBARA COUNTY MARKET REPORT | JANUARY 2024
45 REAL TIME DATA ACTIVE STATS AND TRENDS FOR SOUTH SANTA BARBARA COUNTY - Click Below for the Latest Active Stats + TrendsReal Time Data Courtesy of 805 Title MONTECITO SUMMERLAND SANTA BARBARA 93103 CARPINTERIA HOPE RANCH SANTA BARBARA 93105 SANTA BARBARA 93101 SANTA BARBARA 93109 HOW TO READ THIS REPORT
RANDY HADEN | MOLLY HADEN 805.880.6530 46 SOUTH SANTA BARBARA COUNTY MARKET REPORT | JANUARY 2024
CHICAGO TITLE FIDELITY NATIONAL TITLE SANTA BARBARA MLS
DATA SOURCES | LISTING DISCLOSURE
All information provided is deemed reliable but has not been verified. We do not guarantee it and recommend buyers make their own inquiries. Data source Fidelity National Title of Santa Barbara, CORT and Santa Barbara MLS. INdata Real Estate Market Reporting through January 2024.
Properties featured are courtesy of the Santa Barbara MLS and are available for sale at time of publication. They may be listed by brokers and/or agents other than Compass or Haden Homes
Luxury Property Group. Contact us for details or to set up a private showing at 805.880.6530.
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